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Small-cap stocks are showing signs of life
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Small-cap stocks are starting to show signs of life lately. While the IWM has delivered 12% this year, that is far below the S & P 500 gain of almost 23%. IWM YTD mountain IWM Many investors are uncertain how long the latest trend can continue. The Russell 2000 ETF is higher by 1.6% in October against 1.2% for the S & P 500, but over the past three months, the S & P 500 has outperformed, 3.6% to 3.3%. "We think Fed rate cuts have a strong ability to create a favorable backdrop for small-cap stocks," Michael Graham, analyst at Canaccord Genuity, wrote Tuesday.
Persons: Russell, What's, Brian Belski, Michael Graham, Genuity, Graham Organizations: Federal Reserve, BMO Capital Markets
A number of negative catalysts are set to drive shares of Etsy lower, according to Goldman Sachs. Analyst Eric Sheridan downgraded the e-commerce stock to sell from neutral and slashed his price target by $25 to $45, which implies more than 9% downside from Monday's close. ETSY YTD mountain ETSY, year-to-date With that, Sheridan thinks that Etsy will continue to lose market share in the years to come, seeing low-single-digit buyer growth over time. "On net, we believe that the analysis points to a lower likelihood of ETSY meaningfully compounding GMS above long-term Street estimates." Specifically, he believes that margins could be pressured if Etsy "leans further into investments to stimulate growth."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Eric Sheridan, Sheridan, Etsy, it'll Locations: HundredX
Citi is warning that Constellation Energy could face execution risks in restarting the Three Mile Island nuclear plant , initiating coverage of the high-flying power stock with caution. But Citi analyst Ryan Levine warned that Constellation will likely face cost overruns and delays in restarting Three Mile Island. Every month that the project is delayed could shave 9 cents off Constellation's stock, according to Levine. Levine also warned that Constellation could face challenges inking deals to directly power data centers with its nuclear reactors, the largest such fleet in the country. About 35% of Constellation's current stock price assumes power sales from its nuclear fleet to the tech companies scaling up data centers.
Persons: Ryan Levine, Levine Organizations: Citi, Constellation Energy, Constellation, Microsoft
Unappreciated aspects of Welltower , a real estate investment trust, or REIT, that invests in health-care infrastructure, are likely to translate into long-term growth ahead, according to Bank of America. Analyst Joshua Dennerlein reiterated his buy rating on the S & P 500 company, which owns senior housing as well as post-acute care and outpatient medical facilities. He also increased his price target by $61 to $190, the highest on the Street, according to FactSet, which implies nearly 52% upside from Friday's close. This year, the stock has been on a monster run, soaring about 41%, excluding reinvested dividends, versus 22.5% for the S & P 500. The Bank of America recommendation joins several other analysts on Wall Street who are bullish on Welltower.
Persons: Joshua Dennerlein, Welltower, Dennerlein, Organizations: Bank of America, of, Wall Locations: Toledo , Ohio
Even as focus turns to the upcoming presidential election, Morgan Stanley thinks the business cycle will matter more for stock picking. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia stock. Wells Fargo also made the cut. WFC YTD mountain Wells Fargo stock. Wells Fargo also repurchased $3.5 billion worth of stock throughout the quarter, which marked a 60% increase from the same period a year ago.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michael Wilson, Wilson, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Wells Fargo, Jason Goldberg, Goldberg Organizations: Nvidia, Barclays Locations: Wells Fargo
Some well-known stocks could see big moves on the back of earnings reports this week. CNBC Pro screened to find the stocks that could see the biggest swings in either direction following their earnings releases this week. While the typical analyst polled by LSEG has a hold, they expect a rebound ahead with a price target suggesting shares can bounce more than 13%. Analysts surveyed by LSEG have a buy rating and price target suggesting shares can climb 7%. The average analyst surveyed by LSEG has a buy rating, with a price target suggesting shares should hover around flat for the next year.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, LSEG, Lawson Winder, Oppenheimer's Jason Helfstein Organizations: Columbus Day, United Airlines, CNBC Pro, CNBC, Walgreens, WBA, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Amazon, Dow Jones, Alcoa, Bank of America, Netflix
It's time to buy shares of this under-the-radar injectable delivery and beauty packaging maker with more than 30% upside potential, according to Jefferies. Analyst Daniel Rizzo upgraded shares of Aptargroup to a buy rating, saying that new pharmaceutical delivery products should drive 10% sales growth on a compound annual basis through 2027. Along with the upgrade, Rizzo boosted his price target by 39% to $215 a share, representing 33% upside from Friday's close. The firm also forecasts that the company can drive 7% to 11% pharmaceuticals sales growth over the next 10 years, given that 80% of its delivery systems are protected by intellectual property tools such as patents. "The stock is up ~30% YTD ... but as new products help earnings accelerate, we expect multiple expansion to help support another ~30% increase."
Persons: Daniel Rizzo, Rizzo Organizations: Jefferies, OTC Narcan, pharma Locations: Aptargroup, U.S
The Stock Trader's Almanac issued a seasonal buy signal for equities, saying investors who sold in May can start to come back to the market now as the calendar nears what are historically the best six months of the year. The same is true of the S & P 500 . In the best six months, the S & P 500 gained 3,019 points, while rising 1,133 points in the worst six. "And beginning on the first trading day of April we prepare to exit these seasonal positions as soon as the market falters." The 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average rose above the 43,000 milestone on Monday, while the S & P 500 recently crossed the 5,800 level for the first time.
Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: Cambodia
"The people who want us, find us and sleep at night," said Peris, who manages the Strategic Value Dividend Fund and the U.S. Strategic Dividend exchange-traded fund . What to look for in dividend stocks Peris leans more "old economy" when looking for stocks, focusing on names that are everyday brands that people know. The U.S. Strategic Dividend ETF has an adjusted expense ratio of 0.5% and 3.19% 30-day SEC yield. A-shares of the Strategic Value Dividend Fund (SVAAX), which have an adjusted expense ratio of 1.06%, have a 30-day SEC yield of 3.27%, as of Sept 30. "The dividend investor's focus has to be, by definition, on — does this income stream add up?
Persons: Hermes, Daniel Peris, Peris, they've, they're, Buybacks Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Strategic, CNBC, SEC, Holdings Locations: U.S, SVAAX, Silicon Valley
Investors should snatch up shares of Flutter Entertainment following a recent sell-off, according to Wells Fargo. Analyst Daniel Politzer upgraded shares of the online sports betting company to overweight from equal weight. The change comes after the stock sold off 8.8% on Friday following reports that the U.K. is weighing higher taxes on the gambling industry. Wells Fargo isn't the only firm turning more bullish on Flutter. "Despite similar-to-better business and financial characteristics, Flutter trades at a 35% discount to its "new peers", highlighting strong re-rating potential."
Persons: Daniel Politzer, Politzer, Wells, Adrien de Saint Hilaire Organizations: of America Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S, Friday's
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Monday: TD Cowen reiterates Nvidia as buy TD said Nvidia remains a top pick at the firm. Goldman Sachs upgrades Ibotta to buy from neutral Goldman Sachs reiterates Alphabet as buy Goldman lowered its price target on the stock to $208 per share from $217 citing a slew of headwinds for Alphabet. Wells Fargo upgrades Flutter to overweight from equal weight Wells says investors should buy the dip in shares of the gambling company. Goldman Sachs downgrades AutoZone to sell from buy Goldman downgraded the auto parts retailer due to "muted growth." Goldman Sachs upgrades Ibotta to buy from neutral Goldman says it likes the growth opportunity for the mobile tech company.
Persons: TD Cowen, Mizuho, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Wells, Truist, Morgan Stanley, Caterpillar, Piper Sandler, Tesla, Piper, wouldn't, it's, Baird, KeyCorp, Jefferies, it's bullish, Stock, GOOS, AppLovin, Oppenheimer Organizations: Nvidia, NVIDIA, Away Tech, Mizuho, AMD, Broadcom, UBS, Partners, Surgery Partners, Apple, VF Corp, Vans, UW, Walmart Locations: Wells Fargo, China
Berkshire Hathaway's Bank of America stake has finally been cut to below the key 10% threshold, keeping Warren Buffett's next potential moves under wraps for a few months. The first 700 million shares had a low cost basis of only about $7 per share, while the average cost of the next 300 million shares was in the $30s, Goldberg estimated. "When we sell something, very often it's going to be our entire stake," Buffett said in 2020 when he entirely dumped his holdings in airlines. Still, Buffett sounded negative towards banking following 2023's regional bank crisis that took down Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank. It's gotten changed by [the regional bank crisis].
Persons: Warren Buffett's, Brian Moynihan, Jason Goldberg, Buffett, Goldberg, It's, That's, digitalization, fintech, Goldman Sachs, Wells Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway's Bank of America, Bank of America, Barclays, Federal, Bank, Signature Bank, First Republic Bank, JPMorgan, U.S . Bancorp Locations: Berkshire, Charlotte, Wells Fargo, U.S
As artificial intelligence fuels the boom in data center growth, investors are eyeing a new frontier: the companies keeping these digital powerhouses cool. That's because historically, data centers used air cooling to manage the heat generated by traditional cloud applications. Triple data center growth Vertiv and Modine are legacy air cooling players that entered the liquid cooling market through acquisitions, while nVent is a pioneer. "The need for liquid cooling is not cannibalizing the need for mechanical (air) cooling," Matt Summerville, an analyst at D.A. "The need for liquid cooling is not cannibalizing the need for mechanical (air) cooling," Matt Summerville, an analyst at D.A.
Persons: Modine, there's, Dean Dray, Matt Summerville, Davidson, Summerville, William Blair, Brian, nVent, Dray, Vertiv, Jefferies, Saree Boroditsky, Boroditsky Organizations: Modine, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC, D.A, CoolTerra, TMG, Scotts, Scotts Springfield Manufacturing, Asia Pacific, CDU, Summerville, Luza Locations: Scotts Springfield, Asia, Summerville
This time of year typically tests nerves, more so when — as now — an election is onrushing and the S & P 500 was already up 20% for the year. Since June 30, the equal-weighted S & P 500 has gained 9.5%, more than triple the Nasdaq 100's rise. A buyer at the mid-July S & P 500 peak of 5667 sustained a quick 8% tumble in three weeks. Goldman Sachs calculated VIX being this elevated with the S & P 500 calmly clicking to record highs is essentially unheard-of. Cash that's still yielding well more than inflation and bonds holding their value allow investors to shoulder higher equity exposures rather than rotating out.
Persons: isn't, it's, Goldman Sachs, Cash, Friday's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, American Association of, Deutsche, , Bank
Wells Fargo reported results before Friday's opening bell. WFC YTD mountain Wells Fargo YTD Shares of Wells Fargo surged 6% on the release to more than $61. Wells Fargo Why we own it : We bought Wells Fargo as a turnaround story under CEO Charlie Scharf. We come away from the call feeling good not only about Wells Fargo's setup for next year. A resurgence in Wall Street dealmaking — both mergers and acquisitions and initial public offerings — will benefit Wells Fargo.
Persons: Wells, Wells Fargo, That's, Charlie Scharf, He's, Scharf, Charles Scharf, we've, Morgan Stanley, NII, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Investors, Wells, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Citigroup, buybacks, Management, CNBC Locations: LSEG, Wells, Wells Fargo, reinvest, U.S, NII
Goldman's favorite trades for the upcoming earnings season
  + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
"This rise in nervousness has increased the potential for relief rallies for stocks on their respective earnings events." Analysts expect an earnings growth rate for the S & P 500 of 4.2% in the third quarter, per FactSet data, which would represent a fifth-straight period of year-over-year growth. Here's a look at some of Goldman's top trade ideas heading into earnings season. GAP YTD mountain Gap stock. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia stock.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Marshall, Goldman, Wells Fargo, Brooke Roach, Toshiya Hari, Hari Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, Old Navy, GAP, Nvidia, Broadcom, Boston Scientific
Shares of Meta Platforms are hovering near record highs — but at least one Wall Street analyst is on edge heading into the social-media giants earnings report later this month. "[We] believe buyside expectations for a clean beat and raise quarter have minimal margin of error," Roth MKM wrote. Another reason: Roth MKM believes Temu and Shein are seeing declining importance in using Facebook and Instagram to acquire customers through ads. META YTD mountain Meta Platforms' stock performance so far in 2024. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Roth MKM, Roth, Shein, they've, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Porte, Julien De Rosa Organizations: Facebook, Temu, Meta, CNBC, Porte de, Afp, Getty Locations: Asia, Pacific, China, Temu, Europe, Paris
Wall Street has been fairly hot-and-cold on Tesla stock this year — and its highly anticipated robotaxi unveiling on Thursday isn't helping to improve investor sentiment. As such, we anticipate TSLA to be under pressure following the event," Jonas, the firm's head of global auto and shared mobility research, said in a Friday note to clients entitled "That's it? TSLA YTD mountain Tesla stock this year. Simply put, the event failed to offer a significant bright spot for Tesla's stock, according to Jonas. The analyst has an eye on Tesla's expectation to start fully autonomous, unsupervised FSD in Texas and California for its Model 3 and Model Y electric vehicles.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Jonas, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Musk, TLSA, Tesla's, FactSet Organizations: Investors, Morgan Locations: Los Angeles, FSD, Texas, California
A handful of stocks stood out as the biggest winners on Wall Street this week, and analysts think they have more room to run. Consensus price targets from analysts polled by LSEG imply 16% upside for shares moving forward. Super Micro Computer also made the list, with shares of the information technology stock up nearly 16% on the week. Analysts polled by LSEG forecast upside of nearly 62%, per their consensus price targets. Consensus forecasts from analysts polled by LSEG forecast about 19% upside moving forward.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Dow Jones, Stocks, LSEG, Andrew Didora Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, CNBC Pro, Bank of America, Computer, Nvidia, LSEG
Netflix is less than a week away from issuing its third-quarter results, and some analysts think the stock is poised for more upside ahead. With a buy rating on the stock, Hodulik's target of $750 implies more than 2% upside from Thursday's close. Hodulik's forecast of double-digit growth comes as Netflix has already reported stronger-than-expected results for the previous two quarters this year. NFLX YTD mountain NFLX, year-to-date Other analysts are even more bullish on the name heading into earnings. Netflix has an average target of $708.75, implying about 3% downside, as of Thursday's close.
Persons: John Hodulik, Morgan Stanley, Oppenheimer, Benjamin Swinburne –, Jed Kelly, Kelly Organizations: Netflix, UBS, Squid, NFL Locations: 4Q23, U.S, United Kingdom, France
And, with earnings season set to ramp up, that could mean further gains. Already, on Friday, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo were rallying in midday trading after reporting their latest results this week, an auspicious start to the earnings season. A strong earnings season Earnings results next week will be dominated by reports from the banking sector, giving investors further insight into the health of the capital markets as well as the consumer. Several regional banks are also set to announce how they did in the most recent quarter as well, such as PNC Financial Services Group and Citizens Financial Group. Even so, investors are optimistic about the outlook for corporate profits this earnings season, especially with expectations having come down.
Persons: what's, Oppenheimer, Wells Fargo, Charlie Ashley, Ashley, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Ross Mayfield, Catalyst's Ashley, Baird's Mayfield, Mayfield, Charles Schwab, Huntington Bancshares Organizations: Dow Jones, Tech, Nvidia, JPMorgan Chase, Traders, Federal Reserve, Catalyst Funds, Nasdaq, Ashley . Bank of America, PNC Financial Services Group, Citizens Financial Group, Private Wealth Management, Treasury, Columbus, Columbus Day, Index, United Airlines, Hunt Transport Services, Citigroup, State, Goldman Sachs Group, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Johnson, Bank of America, PNC Financial Services, UnitedHealth, Price, PPG Industries, Steel Dynamics, Discover Financial Services, CSX, Abbott Laboratories, U.S . Bancorp, Financial Group, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Netflix, T Bank Corp, Elevance, Truist, Blackstone, Housing, Schlumberger, Procter, Gamble, Fifth Third Bancorp, Regions Financial, American Express Locations: Ashley, bullish, Prologis, NAHB
After 15 years of bullishness on Honeywell , JPMorgan is finally moving to the sidelines. In a Thursday note, the Wall Street bank downgraded shares of the Charlotte-based industrial manufacturer to a neutral rating from overweight. Shares of Honeywell are up just 1% on the year but stand to gain almost 10% over the next year, based on Tusa's updated price target. HON YTD mountain HON YTD chart While Tusa said Honeywell shares are cheap, the company's planned divestitures are a short-term headwind. Still, Tusa applauded Honeywell's defensive growth profile, extended visibility from a long cycle backlog and renewed focus on growth under a new CEO.
Persons: Stephen Tusa, YTD, Tusa, divestitures Organizations: Honeywell, JPMorgan Locations: Charlotte
Morgan Stanley has a buy-equivalent rating on the Club stock and a price target of $150 a share, implying 13% upside from Wednesday's close. If artificial intelligence models are tasked with completing more complicated tasks, that could play into Nvidia's hands over time, Morgan Stanley reasoned. Several positive updates on AI adoption last month helped Nvidia's stock mount the comeback, which has completely erased a severe post-earnings slide that began Aug. 28 . More recently, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has touted "insane" demand for Blackwell . Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang talks onstage with Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff during Salesforce's Dreamforce on September 17, 2024 in San Francisco, California.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's, Jensen Huang, Morgan Stanley, Nvidia's, Morgan, Jim Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Marc Benioff, Salesforce's Dreamforce, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Nvidia, Club, Blackwell, Tech, Microsoft, Nasdaq, Google, Apple, Devices, Broadcom, CNBC, Getty Locations: , San Francisco , California
While "boring" bitcoin has been chopping sideways since March, bitcoin proxy MicroStrategy is trading at its highest level relative to the flagship crypto since 2019. Wolfe Research managing director Rob Ginsberg said he "loves [MicroStrategy's] chances to get out and continue climbing," but that the stock is overbought in the near term. "On a relative basis vs. BTC, the stock is at its highest level since 2019," Ginsberg added. Bitcoin is up 41% for the year, while MicroStrategy has gained 193%. MicroStrategy, which tends to be a high beta play on the cryptocurrency, is expected to follow.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, MARA, MSTR, Ginsberg, Price, Wolfe, MicroStrategy, bitcoin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, BTC Locations: pullbacks, MSTR, bitcoin
The S & P 500 hit new highs on Wednesday, but there's more to the story that investors need to be mindful of. A lack of breadth by this measure indicates the S & P 500 is susceptible to a correction, he said. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500, year to date Still, Wednesday's return to all-time highs marks a positive development amid what has been a choppy trading month. With the latest moves, the S & P 500 is now tracking to end 2024 higher by more than 21%. The average year-end price target for the S & P 500 implies the index will decline around 3% from where it closed Wednesday, according to CNBC Pro's subscriber-exclusive survey.
Persons: Chris Verrone, Verrone, Wednesday's Organizations: Investment, CNBC
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