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☆ Asian stocks subdued as traders brace for inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

"But I think it's not just this week's inflation indicator, it's also the December payroll numbers ... they'll be quite critical." "Our view is that the Fed will probably start cutting rates when inflation goes below the 3% mark. The weaker-than-expected data weighed on Treasury yields, with the yield on benchmark 10-year notes slipping 9.6 basis points on Monday. The dollar index , a measure of the greenback against a basket of currencies, fell to 103.07, its lowest since Aug. 31. Data showed retail sales in Australia unexpectedly slipped in October as consumers cut back on everything but food, though analysts believe many were merely saving some money to splurge on Black Friday sales that took place this month.

Persons: DAX, Vasu Menon, they'll, Menon, Dave Ramsden, Christine Lagarde, Jerome Powell, HSI, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Sam Holmes, Kim Coghill Organizations: Federal, Investors, OCBC Bank, of England, European Central Bank, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Singapore, U.S, Hong Kong, Australia

☆ Asian stocks inch ahead as traders brace for inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Japan's Nikkei (.N225) eased 0.20% but is up 8% this month, on course for its strongest monthly performance in three years. "The outlook for central bank policy has been a big factor driving the improvement in risk appetite in November," said Rodrigo Catril, senior FX strategist at National Australia Bank. Investors will focus this week on the Fed's preferred measure of inflation on Thursday and euro zone consumer inflation figures for further clarity on the where inflation is headed. The weaker-than-expected data weighed on Treasury yields, with the yield on benchmark 10-year notes slipping 9.6 basis points on Monday. The dollar index , a measure of the greenback against a basket of currencies, fell to 103.11, its lowest since Aug. 31.

Persons: Rodrigo Catril, Catril, Christine Lagarde, Jerome Powell, HSI, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Sam Holmes Organizations: Federal, Japan's Nikkei, National Australia Bank, European Central Bank, Treasury, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, U.S, OPEC

☆ Israel's war with Hamas will cost $53 billion, Israeli central bank says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Israel's central bank forecasts war with Hamas to cost $53 billion between 2023 and 2025, per the WSJ. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementNew estimates from the Israeli central bank forecast the war with Hamas to cost Israel roughly $53 billion between now and 2025, according to a Wall Street Journal report. By the end of 2024, the war will cut into Israel's GDP by 3%, in the Israeli central bank's view, even as policymakers work to stabilize financial markets and its currency. Thanks to central bank interventions, it's jumped about 9% over the last four weeks against the greenback, after the conflict had previously dragged the currency to an 11-year low.

Persons: Israel's shekel, —, Amir Yaron, it's, Yaron Organizations: Service, Wall, Bank of Israel, greenback Locations: Israel

☆ Dollar hangs at three-month low as traders eye PCE data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

United States one dollar bills are curled and inspected during production at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in Washington. The dollar index , a measure of the greenback against a basket of currencies, was last at 103.11, its lowest since Aug. 31. The dollar was track for a loss of more than 3% in November, its worst performance in a year. Market expectation that the Fed's rate increase cycle has finally come to an end has also put downward pressure on the greenback. PCE tops off a slew of other key economic events this week, including Chinese purchasing managers' index data and OPEC+ decision.

Persons: Kyle Rodda, Tony Sycamore Organizations: Engraving, The U.S, Federal Reserve, Reuters, greenback . U.S, Fed, Traders, Australian, Reserve Bank of New, Bank of Japan, IG Locations: United, Washington, The, U.S, OPEC, Reserve Bank of New Zealand

Funds' $10 billion net long dollar position in the week ending Nov. 7 was the biggest bullish bet on the greenback since October last year and a huge turnaround from the net short position worth more than $20 billion in mid-July. The last decade has shown that CFTC funds' net dollar positions tend to be long-term, directional trades held for at least a year, the longest of which was the net long from May 2013 through June 2017. But this time may be different - funds have only been net long dollars for nine weeks. The long dollar liquidation in the week to Nov. 14 was mostly against the euro and Japanese yen. Funds expanded their net long euro position by $2.9 billion, or nearly 21,000 contracts, the sixth increase in a row and the biggest since July.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, that's, Morgan, Jamie McGeever, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Futures Trading Commission, Traders, Reuters, Funds, Bank of Japan, FX, Thomson Locations: Rights ORLANDO , Florida

☆ Russia's fraught rupee oil trade is a warning for countries trying to abandon the dollar
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

But trading in alternative currencies like the Indian rupee and the Chinese yuan has its own issues. Russia's oil trade best exemplifies the problems it has with alternative currency trade, as it accounts for about a quarter of Russia's budget. AdvertisementThe international oil trade is typically denominated in the dollar, but due to sanctions, less than 10% of Russia's daily oil trade is sold in the dollar and the euro, five traders told Reuters on Monday. Risks and complications of alternative currenciesRussia's oil trade with India is particularly problematic. To be able to buy Russian oil, India insisted on settling trades in the rupee earlier this year.

Persons: —, hasn't, Vladimir Putin, It's, Sergey Ivanov Organizations: Service, Reuters, United, United Arab Emirates Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Europe, India, China, Africa, Turkey, Delhi, Beijing, United Arab, UAE, Russian

[1/4] A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. In precious metals, gold hit a six-month high with a boost from the softer dollar and expectations for a pause in Fed tightening. There's a growing sense the economy is slowing, that price growth will likely continue to fall, that profit growth will likely fall," said Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Cresset Capital, in Chicago. The U.S. dollar index slid against most major currencies on Monday and was on track for a monthly decline of more than 3%, which would be its biggest monthly drop in a year. The dollar index was down 0.203%, with the euro up 0.11% to $1.0951.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Brent, Jack Ablin, Ablin, Christine Lagarde, Jim Barnes, Sterling, Sinéad Carew, Chuck Mikolazczak, Harry Robertson, Wayne Cole, Stephen Coates, Ed Osmond, Chizu Nomiyama, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Cresset, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, Central, Reuters Graphics Oil, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Europe, OPEC, Chicago, Bryn Mawr, Berwyn , Pennsylvania, Israel, New York, London, Sydney

The dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, slipped 0.1% to 103.37 and was headed for a monthly loss of more than 3%, its worst performance since November 2022. The market is also eyeing a rate decision from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and Chinese purchasing managers' index (PMI) data. In other currencies, the euro was little changed against the dollar at $1.0937 . Against the yen, the dollar fell 0.4% to 148.885 yen . The dollar extended losses after data showed U.S. new home sales fell more than expected in October, dropping 5.6% to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 679,000 units.

Persons: ECB's Lagarde, Helen, Christine Lagarde's, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Samuel Indyk, Rae Wee, Toby Chopra, Mark Potter, Paul Simao Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Monex USA, Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Reserve Bank of New, Australian, greenback, New, Thomson Locations: U.S, Washington, OPEC, Australia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, New Zealand, China, New York, London, Singapore

☆ Sterling rises, dollar listless as markets brace for post-Thanksgiving buzz
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The pound was on track for a roughly 3.8% gain for the month, its largest monthly gain in a year. Elsewhere, the dollar fell 0.32% to 148.97 yen , while the euro gained 0.2% to $1.0952. The dollar index slipped 0.12% to 103.31 and was headed for a monthly loss of more than 3%, its worst performance in a year. In China, the yuan slipped after the official midpoint snapped five straight sessions of strengthening, with the onshore yuan last at 7.1550 per dollar. Reporting by Rae Wee; Editing by Gerry Doyle and Christopher CushingOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Sterling, Carol Kong, Jane Foley, Rae Wee, Gerry Doyle, Christopher Cushing Organizations: Federal, Reserve Bank of New, PMI, Bank of England, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Traders, Rabobank, ", Fed, New, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, OPEC, Australia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, New Zealand, China, Beijing

☆ Sterling steady, dollar wobbles as markets brace for post-Thanksgiving buzz
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

In this photo illustration, a old British £1 note is pictured with a one Dollar bill note on November 05, 2023 in Bath, England. The Australian dollar likewise stood near a roughly three-month high and last bought $0.6578, ahead of domestic inflation data on Wednesday. The weakening greenback provided some respite for the Japanese yen , which sat on the stronger side of 150 per dollar and last stood at 149.52 per dollar. The New Zealand dollar eased 0.1% to $0.6076, but was likewise hovering near Friday's more than three-month high of $0.6096. "I think the issues in the Middle East have definitely become more of a background risk," said CBA's Kong.

Persons: Sterling, Carol Kong, Jane Foley, CBA's Organizations: Federal, Reserve Bank of New, PMI, Bank of England, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S ., U.S, Rabobank, Fed, New Zealand, Israel Locations: Bath, England, OPEC, Australia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Friday's, U.S, East, Gaza

A man looks at an electric monitor displaying the Japanese yen exchange rate against the U.S. dollar and Nikkei share average outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan October 4, 2023. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 28 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. Volatility across major asset classes is low - implied volatility on Wall Street is at its lowest in almost four years, global currency implied vol is the lowest since early last year, and U.S. bond vol is at a two-month low. China's markets, especially, have lagged, although Japanese stocks have outperformed thanks to the weak yen and a historic loosening of wider financial conditions. The Aussie on Monday rose above $0.66 for the first time since Aug. 10 and was one of the biggest winners among major currencies along with the Japanese yen and New Zealand dollar.

Persons: Issei Kato, Goldman Sachs, Michele Bullock, Bullock, Philip Lowe, Bullock's, Fed's Waller, Bowman, Goolsbee, Barr, Jamie McGeever Organizations: U.S ., Nikkei, REUTERS, Reserve Bank of Australia, Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Bank for International, New Zealand, Bank of, RBA, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Asia, Hong Kong, Bank of Japan, Australia

☆ Goldman says 'shine is returning' for gold as investors ramp up bets on rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at Novosibirsk Refining Plant, Russia on September 15, 2023. Gold prices on Monday rose to a more than six-month high as the U.S. dollar weakened and investors firmed up bets that the Federal Reserve is done with interest rate hikes. Spot gold was up 0.52% at $2,012.39 per ounce at 1:47 p.m. London time, but reached a May 16 high of $2,017.82 earlier in the day, Reuters reported. Gold futures for December hit $2,018.9, the highest level since Oct. 27, according to CNBC calculations. A weaker dollar and lower interest rates are often flagged by market-watchers as boosting gold prices.

Persons: CME's Organizations: Novosibirsk Refining Plant, U.S, Federal, Reuters, CNBC Locations: Novosibirsk, Russia, London

☆ Take Five: Warming up this winter
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

1\BUCK UP, IT'S DECEMBERThe dollar is heading for its weakest monthly performance for a year, with a loss so far of 2.7%. On Thursday, China releases official manufacturing PMI data, which last month showed an unexpected contraction, killing momentum for an economic recovery. COP28 gets underway in Dubai and securing an agreement on how to tackle global warming and, crucially, how to pay for it looks as difficult as ever for the near 200 countries and institutions attending. Reuters Graphics5\THE ECB'S BALANCING ACTEuro zone inflation data on Nov. 30 may well confirm a trend of price rises moderating. Policymakers remain wary of any hopes for rate cuts spilling over into increased bank lending and household spending, renewing inflationary pressures.

Persons: Lewis Krauskopf, Kevin Buckland, Naomi Rovnick, Marc Jones, Amanda Cooper, it's, Joshua Roberts, Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, Christine Lagarde, Pasit Kongkunakornkul, Sumanta Sen, Kripa Jayaram, Vineet Sachdev, Prinz, Toby Chopra Organizations: BUCK, IT'S, Federal Reserve, Reuters, REUTERS, COP28, World Bank, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: China, Dubai, Lewis, New York, Tokyo, London, Washington , U.S, UAE

[1/4] An illegal money changer checks old U.S. dollars at a marketplace in Harare, Zimbabwe, November 26, 2020. The government reintroduced the local currency in 2019, but it rapidly lost value. Zimbabwe's dollarization story is as full of warnings as it is with promise. During the five years before dollarization in 2000, the monthly measure of annualized inflation averaged 33% in Ecuador. "With our local currency we couldn't buy anything, it was very expensive to acquire things, so dollarization ... allowed people to have greater security in their purchases."

Persons: Javier Milei, Milei, Zimbabwe's, Bongiwe Mudau, Dollarization, dollarization, Mudau, Moses Mhlanga, Nestor Cerneaz, Wilson Andrade, Juan Carlos Villota, Guido Puig, Tito Correa, Nyasha, Miguel Lo Bianco, Rodrigo Campos, Adam Jourdan, Karin Strohecker, Rosalba O'Brien Organizations: REUTERS, Philimon, Rights, U.S ., Reuters, International Monetary Fund, hawker, Reuters Graphics Reuters, dollarization, Thomson Locations: Harare, Zimbabwe, Philimon Bulawayo, Rights QUITO, HARARE, BUENOS AIRES, Zimbabwe's, Quito, Ecuador, Argentina, El Salvador, greenbacks, Buenos Aires, Argentine, New York

☆ Turkey's central bank hikes interest rate by 500 basis points to 40%, well above expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( Natasha Turak | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Turkey's Taksim Square, with the figure of Kemal Ataturk, the first president, and the Turkish flag in the background. Turkey's central bank on Thursday hiked its key interest rate, the benchmark one-week repo rate, by another 500 basis points to 40%. The move was seen as a continuation of the bank's attempt to combat high inflation and a falling lira , the Turkish currency. Timothy Ash, emerging markets strategist at BlueBay Asset Management, was one of the few experts who expected a 500-basis-point hike. "Really impressive move by the CBRT [Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey] - probing their orthodoxy and getting well ahead of expectations," he said in a note.

Persons: Turkey's, Kemal Ataturk, Timothy Ash Organizations: Turkish, BlueBay Asset Management, Central Bank of, greenback Locations: Turkish, Republic of Turkey, Ankara

☆ Wall St edges higher before holiday, crude claws back initial loss
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/3] A street sign for Wall Street is seen in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 8, 2021. While Wall Street's rally was modest but broad-based, energy stocks (.SPNY) were the clear outlier, falling in tandem with crude prices . But crude prices settled well above the day's lows. U.S. crude dipped 0.86% to settle at $77.10 per barrel, while Brent settled at $81.96, down 0.59% on the day. Gold prices dipped below the key $2,000 per ounce level in opposition to the dollar's strength.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Sterling, Wall, Brent, Stephen Culp, Amanda Cooper, Deepa Babington Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, U.S, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Carson Group, Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow Jones, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, OPEC, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, China, Omaha, Asia, Pacific, Japan, OPEC, London

☆ Oil edges lower in choppy trade as OPEC+ delays meeting
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Nicole Jao | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, U.S., November 22, 2019. The delay stoked concerns that more production could come online from oil producers in the coming months, said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial. A rise in inventories also pressured prices lower on Wednesday morning, he said. U.S. crude oil inventories rose by 8.7 million barrels last week on higher imports, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said. To support prices, OPEC and its allies will need to not only extend, but increase cuts, said John Evans of oil broker PVM in a note.

Persons: Angus Mordant, Dennis Kissler, John Evans, Nicole Jao, Paul Carsten, Ahmad Ghaddar, Laura Sanicola, Colleen Howe, Jason Neely, Marguerita Choy, David Gregorio, Deepa Babington Organizations: REUTERS, . West Texas, U.S, Organization of, Petroleum, BOK, Energy Information Administration, U.S ., greenback, Reuters, International Energy, Thomson Locations: Loving County , Texas, U.S, Brent, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia

☆ Dollar climbs after U.S. labor, consumer sentiment data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

"The fact that we are seeing a drop definitely suggests that the labor market is not cooling as quickly as markets or the Fed might have been expecting there," said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Corpay in Toronto. Schamotta also said market participants were maintaining relatively high dollar positions before liquidity dries up before the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday. The greenback extended gains after the University of Michigan's survey of consumer sentiment showed U.S. consumers' inflation expectations rose for a second straight month in November. UMich inflation expectationsThe dollar index rose 0.37% to 103.9, on track for its biggest one-day percentage gain since Nov 9. The Japanese yen weakened 0.82% to 149.61 per dollar, while Sterling was last trading at $1.249, down 0.37% on the day.

Persons: Karl Schamotta, Schamotta, CME's, policymaker Mario Centeno, Joachim Nagel, Sterling, Jeremy Hunt, Changpeng Zhao, Zhao, Chuck Mikolajczak, Will Dunham, Richard Chang Organizations: Labor Department, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, Detroit's Big, Federal, Fed, University of Michigan's, European Central Bank, Investors, Thomson Locations: Toronto, U.S

☆ Dollar strengthens after U.S. labor, consumer sentiment data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Schamotta also said market participants were maintaining relatively high dollar positions before liquidity dries up before the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday. The Fed minutes showed Fed officials said inflation remained well above their target but noted that rates would need to be raised only if new data showed insufficient progress on reducing price pressures. The greenback extended gains after the University of Michigan's survey of consumer sentiment showed U.S. consumers' inflation expectations rose for a second straight month in November. The dollar index rose 0.64% at 104.17 and was on track for its biggest one-day percentage gain since Oct 24. The Japanese yen weakened 0.86% versus the greenback at 149.66 per dollar, while Sterling was last trading at $1.246, down 0.65% on the day.

Persons: Karl Schamotta, Schamotta, CME's, Mario Centeno, Sterling, Chuck Mikolajczak, Will Dunham Organizations: Labor Department, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, Detroit's Big, Federal, Fed, University of Michigan's, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: Toronto, U.S

☆ US stocks edge higher ahead of holiday, crude tumbles
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/3] A street sign for Wall Street is seen in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 8, 2021. All three major U.S. stock indexes were green ahead of the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday, with interest rate sensitive momentum stocks putting the tech-laden Nasdaq in the lead. "People feel good going into the Thanksgiving holiday," said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.36% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 0.11%. Emerging market stocks lost 0.57%.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Peter Tuz, Tuz, Sterling, Brent, Stephen Culp, Amanda Cooper, Deepa Babington Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, U.S, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Chase Investment, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, Fed, Federal, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, China, Charlottesville , Virginia, OPEC, Asia, Pacific, Japan, London

☆ The US dollar is central to Argentina's plan to fix its broken economy. There's just one hitch.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Argentina's new president Javier Milei wants to adopt the US dollar to tame sky-high inflation. There's a major problem with his plan to revive the ailing South American economy. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementRight-wing economist Javier Milei won Argentina's presidential runoff Sunday – and that means the country could soon ditch the peso for the US dollar. Under the president-elect's plan, the government would scrap the peso and replace it with the dollar.

Persons: Javier Milei, doesn't, —, Milei, Mary, Read, John Hopkins, Steve Hanke, Guillermo Ortiz, Nora Mazzini, Lucila Bonilla Organizations: Service, Central Bank of, US Federal Reserve, International Monetary Fund, Bank, Reuters, Bloomberg, Bank of Mexico, Economics, Oxford Economics Locations: Central Bank of Argentina, Ecuador, El, Panama, Argentina, Mar del Plata, Argentine

☆ Dollarization will provide an 'incredible boost' to Argentina's economy, veteran emerging-markets investor says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

A plan by Argentina's president-elect to dollarize the economy won the backing of Mark Mobius. The veteran emerging-market investor said the currency shift would be an "incredible boost" for the economy. The comments from the veteran emerging-market investor come after Javier Milei won Argentina's presidency over the weekend, bringing his dollarization plans a step closer to reality. Dollarization critics have warned that a sudden currency switch could trigger a recession, citing a shortage of dollar reserves at Argentina's central bank. AdvertisementMobius also warned that the current condition of Argentina's economy has made investing there difficult.

Persons: Mark Mobius, —, Javier Milei, Milei, Mobius, Milei's, it's Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Argentina's, Mobius, Federal Reserve Locations: Argentina, Argentina's

☆ Dollar hovers near 2-1/2-month lows, easing pressure on yen
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Japanese yen and U.S. dollar on display in Yichang, Hubei province, Nov 13, 2023. The dollar index held around 2-1/2-month lows after minutes of the Federal Reserve's last meeting did little to dislodge market expectations that its monetary tightening cycle was over. Treasury yields slipped again overnight to hover around 4.40%, easing further pressure on the yen. The Japanese yen advanced around 0.1% versus the greenback to 148.28, clinging to recent gains after ticking up slightly from as low as 147.155 overnight. While speculation that the Bank of Japan could exit from negative interest rates early next year should help stabilize the yen, the Japanese currency still faces strong headwinds.

Persons: Matt Simpson, CME's, Sterling, Simpson, Tony Sycamore Organizations: U.S, Index, Treasury, Bank of Japan, IG Locations: Yichang, Hubei province, U.S

U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. Deutsche Bank's CVIX (.DBCVIX) - the currency market's version of Wall St's "fear index" of stock volatility and a weighted average of implied "vol" in nine major pairings - has basically imploded. By driving short-term dollar cash rates and U.S. bond yields higher over the past 20 months, the Fed basically sucked cash from the wider investment world and supercharged dollar exchange rates everywhere. Now that it looks done, the buck's finally on the back foot - plumbing levels not seen since August. With implied volatility directionally biased, the dollar index and the CVIX are typically well correlated and both peaked in tandem in same month of September last year.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Deutsche Bank's, Chris Turner, Francesco Pesole, BOJ, BOE, Marcelli, Morgan Stanley, Matthew Hornbach, David Evans Organizations: REUTERS, Deutsche, U.S, ING, Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank and Bank of England, ECB, UBS Global Wealth, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, U.S . Federal, Japan, U.S

☆ Dollar extends fall ahead of Fed minutes, yen strengthens
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

NEW YORK, Nov 21 (Reuters) - The dollar index fell for a third straight session on Tuesday ahead of minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve's most recent policy meeting as expectations grow the central bank will start to cut rates in the early portion of next year. Bregar noted, however, the downward move in the greenback may be starting to run out of steam and big option expirations in the eurodollar and yen could stabilize the dollar. The dollar index fell 0.13% to 103.31 after falling to a fresh 2-1/2 month low of 103.17, its lowest since Aug. 31. The weakness in the dollar has buoyed the yen, along with expectations the Bank of Japan may eventually start to move off its ultra-loose monetary policy next year. The yen strengthened 0.42% versus the greenback to 147.76 per dollar after the greenback hit its lowest level since mid-September at 147.14 yen, while sterling was last trading at $1.254, up 0.29% on the day.

Persons: CME's, Erik Bregar, It's, it's, Bregar, Chuck Mikolajczak, Nick Macfie Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, Bull, Bank of Japan, greenback, Thomson Locations: U.S ., Toronto

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