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To an extent that few Americans genuinely appreciate, global growth has been powered by the so-called Chinese miracle for almost half a century now. grew by 30 percent and China’s by 263 percent — China accounted for more than 40 percent of all global growth. If you excluded China from the data, global G.D.P. In 1992, China’s G.D.P. Quite likely not somewhere great, even if the world’s great powers manage to avoid direct conflict.
Persons: , China’s, David Oks, Henry Williams, Ricardo Hausmann, Tim Sahay, Narendra Modi Organizations: World Bank, Harvard Kennedy School Locations: China, Asia, United States, India
China is being hit by a "debt supercycle" that began with the 2008 financial crisis, Kenneth Rogoff said. While Beijing has a strong record of containing economic fires, today's crisis of slowing growth and high debt is unprecedented, he added. "The debt supercycle may have lasted longer than initially expected, perhaps because of the pandemic. But it was a critical piece of the story, and now, as China's economy falters, it is the best explanation for what might come next," he later added. Trouble for China's economy could stretch on over the long-term as it faces poor growth prospects, experts have warned.
Persons: Kenneth Rogoff, Rogoff Organizations: Service, Project Syndicate, Harvard Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, , Europe, Beijing
United States and Chinese flags are set up before a meeting between U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing, China, Saturday, July 8, 2023. The U.S. economy expanded 1.2% in the second quarter, following 1.6% growth in the first three months of the year. Meanwhile, China's growth outlook continues to darken. "We may see similar growth rates between the U.S. and China, which is a concern for China because it is much poorer per capita," she added. The historic highs and lows of U.S. and Chinese economic surprises, respectively, will likely revert to mean as analysts adjust their expectations.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Mark Schiefelbein, That's, Goldman Sachs, Desmond Lachman, Dirk Willer, Jamie McGeever, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: Treasury, Rights, Atlanta Fed's, Barclays, Goldman, American Enterprise Institute, Reuters, Center for Strategic, International Studies, U.S, World Bank, Citi, Thomson Locations: United States, Diaoyutai, Beijing, China, Rights ORLANDO , Florida, U.S
Packages of "Impossible Burger" and Beyond Meat sit on a shelf for sale on November 15, 2019 in New York City. Vegetarian alternatives to burgers and sausages are enjoying a certain enthusiasm that meat giants also want to enjoy. Reducing meat and dairy consumption could be the key to Southeast Asia's climate crisis, experts say. By 2060, alternative proteins around Southeast Asia and other Asia-Pacific nations will need to account for more than half of protein production, the report added. That adds to the overall environmental footprint of animal production.
Organizations: Asia Research, Lancet, Food Institute Asia Pacific, CNBC Locations: New York City, Singapore, Southeast Asia, Asia, Pacific, Malaysia, Vietnam, Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay
One such prediction came Monday from Morgan Stanley analysts who forecasted a 1.3% drop in calorie consumption in the U.S. by 2035. The shift in behavior is notable because it will affect a sizeable demographic group that represents a disproportionate share of food consumption, the analysts said. In fact, some patients taking these medicines say they have to sometimes force themselves to eat due to a lack of appetite. These types of patterns were seen in consumer research Morgan Stanley conducted in June and July among 300 patients taking these medicines. Keurig Dr Pepper, with its coffee business accounting for about 30% of corporate sales, offers some diversification from at-risk beverage categories, Morgan Stanley said.
Persons: you've, Morgan Stanley, Pamela Kaufman, Read, Campbell, Mondelez, Eli Lilly's Mounjaro, Morgan Stanley's, Morgan, John David Rainey, We've, we're, Rainey, Dara Mohsenian, Eric Serotta, Dr Pepper Organizations: Hostess Brands, Hershey, Nordisk's Ozempic, Centers for Disease Control, Food and Drug Administration, Novo Nordisk, Industry, Lawmakers, Walmart Locations: U.S, Cava
This is especially true if you’re comparing a high-income economy like the United States with a middle-income nation like China or, even more so, with a low-income country like India. In such a world, countries would have to be competitive in the production of traded goods, so their wage rates in dollars would reflect their productivity in tradable goods (like the airplanes), not nontradable goods (like the haircuts). Such countries have high wages, but these wages are reflected in higher prices for nontradables and hence in an overall higher price level than in poorer countries. I won’t try to do a rigorous or comprehensive test, just provide an illustrative figure with a few important economies. Here’s the price level in several countries, as measured by the ratio of dollar G.D.P.
Persons: Samuelson, Bela Balassa, Paul Samuelson Locations: United States, China, India, nontradables
While stock markets worldwide have rallied this year on fading fears of a global recession, a number of stocks have been left behind. However, the London-listed company's stock is expected to rise by 143% over the next 12 months, according to the consensus price target of six analysts. Brooke expects the outperform-rated shares to rise by more than 150% to 50p (£0.50, or $0.64) over the next 12 months. Vanquis' stock went another leg lower after it announced the departure of its CFO earlier this month. However, the median average of analyst price targets points to an upside potential of 148% over the next 12 months.
Persons: , Andrew Brooke, Brooke, Helios Towers, Helios, Jefferies, Giles Thorne, Thorne Organizations: CNBC Pro, FTSE, Capita, Capital Markets, Banking, Provident Financial, Helios Locations: London, Africa
If you’re approaching retirement, there are important real estate decisions to make. A new study from Bankrate scored all 50 U.S. states in five separate categories to determine which were the best (and worst) to retire in. Topping the list for best retirement state was Iowa, which finished third in affordability and 11th in health care. West Virginia, the most affordable U.S. state, ranked third, followed by Missouri (fifth most affordable) and Mississippi (second most affordable, seventh best for weather). In case you’re wondering, the retirement mecca of Florida finished eighth overall, with third-place scores in both the well-being and weather categories.
Persons: that’s, Bankrate Locations: Iowa, Delaware, West Virginia, Missouri, Mississippi, Florida
A recent report by the Bank of America Institute compared population with housing supply. San Antonio, Dallas, Orlando, and Houston have high population growth and low housing supply. Anna Zhou, an economist at the Bank of America Institute, said in a recent report that housing supply is unusually constrained right now, as measured by months' supply. Finally, cities in the upper-left quadrant identified in red have high housing supply but a declining population, putting them in the "cold" group. Zhou highlighted San Antonio, Dallas, Orlando, and Houston as among the "hot" cities experiencing high population growth coupled with low housing supply.
Persons: Anna Zhou, Zhou, That's, US . Bank of America Zhou Organizations: Bank of America Institute, Houston, Bank of America, National Association of Realtors, US . Bank of America, BofA Global Research, Jacksonville, Las Vegas, Portland , Oregon ., Portland , Oregon . Los Angeles Locations: San Antonio, Dallas, Orlando, Cities, Tampa, Jacksonville, Antonio, Houston, 2Q24, St, Louis, Detroit, Miami, droves, Jacksonville , Florida, Columbus , Ohio, Charlotte, Nashville, San Francisco , New York, Boston, Portland , Oregon, Portland , Oregon . Los
Not only did this help to slow down skyrocketing housing costs, it inspired a bipartisan, nationwide expansion of the policy. Home prices in Auckland, New Zealand's biggest city, doubled between 2009 and 2016 and prices across the rest of the country followed close behind. "A typical New Zealand city looks a lot like a typical US city," Gray said. There are three models of housing construction in US cities right now, Gray said. "In terms of an overall objective, I think bringing down house prices to construction costs is an ultimate sign of housing abundance."
Persons: Upzoning, Jenny Schuetz, Matthew Maltman, who's, Ryan Greenaway, Guo Lei, Maltman, There's, Auckland's upzoning, Vicki Been, Bill de Blasio, Schuetz, Nolan Gray, Gray, let's, Brett Coomer, that's, Allison Zaucha, Freemark, we're, Emily Hamilton, Eliza Relman Organizations: Brookings Institute, Auckland, Economic, University of Auckland, New, National Party, Housing, Economic Development, New Zealand, California YIMBY, Urban Institute, Houston, Montana Republicans, George Mason University Locations: New Zealand, Auckland, Australian, Zealand, Auckland , New, New Zealand's, New York, Europe, California, Zealanders, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Phoenix, Houston, Atlanta, Denver, Seattle, Washington, Portland , Oregon, Montana, California . Utah, Minneapolis, New York City
Today, that union of minds finds refuge in Prague in a retrofitted factory building called Paralelní Polis, or "parallel world." The dark stucco of Polis' Prague headquarters is an outlier among the ornate, brightly-colored buildings that tower over it. ETHPrague 2023 was held at Paralelní Polis in the Czech Republic Pavel SinaglThe 'parallel world' concept is sticky. The Vienna branch goes so far as to self-describe as a living example of how "the Paralelní Polis cryptoliberation virus is spreading." The most popular Czech bitcoin YouTuber boasts 90k subscribers, while the annual Czech-only bitcoin conference called Chaincamp attracts around 2000 visitors, even during the bear market."
Persons: Czech Republic Pavel Sinagl, Ztohoven —, Ztohoven, provocateurs, Václav Benda, Dan Ligocký, Ligocký, William Lobkowicz, ethereum, Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum, Pavel Sinagl, Prague MacKenzie Sigalos, Holy, William, Ileana Lobkowicz, Josef Tětek, Tětek, isn't, biohacking, , Carl Menger, Friedrich Hayek, BTCPrague, Michael Saylor, Satoshi cryptographer, Adam Back, Saifedean Ammous, bitcoin, Gary Gensler, bitcoin maximalist, Vaclav, — Matěj Žák, Jan Čapek, Christoph Kassas, YouTuber Jakub Vejmola, Jameson Lopp, Stephan Livera, Robert Breedlove, Stani Kulechov, Ondrej Polak, Czech Republic Pavel Sinagl Ligocky Organizations: Paralelní, CNBC, European Union, Polis, of Cryptoanarchy, Austrian, Securities, Exchange, Czech Craft, U.S, Treasury, Casa, Ethereum Foundation, Czech Blockchain Association, optimist Locations: Paralelní Polis, Czech Republic, Czech Republic Pavel Sinagl PRAGUE, Czech, Bohemian, Prague, It's, Polis, Polis —, Lobkowicz, Nazi, Vienna, Barcelona, Bratislava, Slovakia, Košice, Austrian, ., Alza, Bohemia, Europe, Old Town, Holešovice
Capita flags up to $32 mln costs related to cyber incident
  + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
Capita's logo is pictured on a smartphone in front of an electronic display showing the same logo in this illustration taken, December 4, 2021. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/IllustrationAug 4 (Reuters) - Capita (CPI.L) said on Friday it expected net exceptional costs of up to 20-25 million pounds ($32 million) related to the cyber incident which rocked the British outsourcing firm in March. The company confirmed that some data was "exfiltrated" following the cyber incident and said its probe was close to completion. "There was minimal operational impact to the majority ofour clients and their customers during the incident," Capita said in a statement. ($1 = 0.7862 pounds)Reporting by Aby Jose Koilparambil in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi Aich and Dhanya Ann ThoppilOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Capita, Aby Jose Koilparambil, Rashmi Aich, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: REUTERS, Capita, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru
Morgan Stanley upgraded Indian stocks to "overweight" from "equal weight," citing a strong profit outlook and the country's attractiveness to investors in a "multipolar world." India's situation is in "stark contrast to that in China," the bank said in its Aug. 2 note. Morgan Stanley downgraded Chinese stocks to equal weight in the same note. Stock picks While Indian stock valuations "overshot somewhat" last October, it's "less extreme" now, Morgan Stanley said. Morgan Stanley added two Indian stocks to its focus list: Maruti Suzuki : Morgan Stanley said the automaker is set to benefit from a higher per-capita income in India; an expansion in market share; and an improving product mix.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, capex, Maruti Suzuki, Larsen, Toubro, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Maruti, ICICI Bank, Hindustan Aeronautics Locations: China, India, Saudi Arabia
REUTERS/Amit Dave/File PhotoNEW DELHI, Aug 3 (Reuters) - S&P Global on Thursday projected the Indian economy to grow by an average annual rate of 6.7% to March 2031, driven by manufacturing and services exports and consumer demand, despite short-term challenges from rate hikes and a global slowdown. S&P retained its earlier forecast of 6% growth for the current fiscal year ending March 2024, noting even at this rate, India will be the fastest growing economy in the G20. S&P Global expects the size of the economy to reach $6.7 trillion from $3.4 trillion in fiscal 2023, which could see per capita GDP rise to about $4,500. If realised, India would overtake Japan and China to become the third largest economy in the world. "India's ability to become a major global manufacturing hub will be a paramount test for its economic future."
Persons: Shah, Amit Dave, Manoj Kumar, Toby Chopra Organizations: Manubhai, Shah LLP, REUTERS, Global, International Monetary Fund, P Global, Thomson Locations: Ahmedabad, India, Delhi, Japan, China
The extreme heat is harming people's health and labor productivity. Newly available economic data and more advanced climate models now make it possible to measure how extreme heat hurts the global economy. "The economic costs of extreme heat do not encompass the totality of the economic costs of climate change," Mankin said. "Average temperatures are rising, so statistically, we are going to have more extreme heat in more places," he said. "What's unique about the extreme heat right now is the number of people it's impacting.
Persons: Justin Mankin, Mankin, Adrienne Arsht Organizations: Service, Dartmouth College, Rockefeller Foundation Resilience, CNN, European Union Locations: . Texas, Southern Europe, North Africa, Italy, Spain, Greece, Tunisia
There is no evidence Nicole Schwab, World Economic Forum (WEF) leader Klaus Schwab’s daughter, publicly called for “permanent climate lockdowns.” Yet, posts on social media link to a headline that says: “Klaus Schwab’s Daughter: ‘Permanent Climate Lockdowns Coming – Whether You Like It or Not.’”It stems from an article published by ‘The People’s Voice’ website on July 30 (here). Reuters did not find any credible reports that Nicole Schwab made a call for “permanent climate lockdowns” (archive.is/wip/dm6il), and a spokesperson for the WEF said to Reuters that she made no such remark. The article itself and the evidence it includes also do not show Schwab proposing permanent climate lockdowns. The article does not call for a “permanent climate lockdown,” however. The video linked in the article does not feature Nicole Schwab making a call for permanent climate lockdowns.
Persons: Nicole Schwab, Klaus Schwab’s, “ Klaus Schwab’s, , Schwab, Klaus Schwab, Kunal Kumar, Covid, Kumar, Spokespeople, Read Organizations: Economic, Reuters, Indian Ministry of Housing, Urban Affairs
China has a rapidly aging population and a difficult macro environment, but it also has some strong points. Beijing must stabilize its housing market to avoid the same pitfalls Japan faced decades prior. Strategists warned Wednesday of the superpower's "Japanification" risk that could stem from an unsteady housing market, financial imbalance, and an aging population. Hence, it is critical to stabilize the housing market as a near-term policy priority, as emphasized by the July Politburo meeting." Ultimately, much of the potential "Japanification" falls back to housing market risks.
Persons: Japan's Organizations: Service, Privacy, China, stagnating, JPMorgan Locations: China, Japan, Beijing, Wall, Silicon, stagnating Japan, 1Q23, , Russia, Ukraine
Milk and vegetable retailer Mother Dairy has seen a 300% jump in tomato puree sales in the last 15 days in New Delhi, a spokesperson said. Amazon said demand for tomato puree on its platform rose five times over the past month, while ketchup sales rose 30%. Packs of puree typically contain around 40% tomato paste and the rest water, and cost 130 rupees/kg. Google Trends data shows the number of online searches for terms "tomato puree" and "tomato puree 1kg price" in recent weeks in India have been highest in the last five years. Food sellers - big and small - are battling high tomato prices.
Persons: Dairy, BigBasket, Seshu Kumar, Pravieen Sridhar, Price, gesturing, Pradeep Shetty, Raj Kumar, Riddhima Talwani, Aditya Kalra, Kim Coghill Organizations: Google, Restaurant Association of Western, Thomson Locations: DELHI, New Delhi, Indian, Chennai, India, Birju, Restaurant Association of Western India, Delhi
But whose responsibility is the carbon produced when forests burn? In the age of extreme weather and climate agreements, the world has learned to tabulate ecological guilt nation by nation — cutting responsibility for the current crisis into so many slices of pie. If the 20th century taught us the perversity of aggressive fire suppression, the 21st is already teaching us the limits of that lesson. But if the costs to human health of wildfire smoke are larger than from the fires themselves, should the goal be recalibrated? Canada has a gargantuan per capita carbon footprint, in fact, by some measures larger than that of the United States.
Persons: ” Henry Mance, Organizations: U.S ., Canadair, Financial Times Locations: North America, Eurasia, China, United States, India, California, Canada, Russia, Ontario, Quebec, Michigan, Maine, U.S, Los Angeles, Tampa
CNN —A Brussels court on Tuesday found six out of ten suspects guilty of “terrorist murder” in the 2016 Brussels attacks, according to Belgian public broadcaster RTBF. Mohamed Abrini, Oussama Atar, Osama Krayem, Salah Abdeslam, Ali El Haddad Asufi and Bilal El Makhoukhi were all found guilty of terrorist murder, according to RTBF. The Brussels court established a terrorist motive behind the attacks, ruling that the group’s intention was to intimidate the Belgian population and kill as many people as possible, RTBF reported. The six men, alongside Hervé Bayingana Muhirwa and Sofien Ayari, were also found guilty of participating in the activities of a terrorist organization, according to RTBF. Meanwhile, Oussama Atar who was absent from the Brussels trial, is presumed to have been killed in Syria, according to RTBF.
Persons: Mohamed Abrini, Oussama Atar, Osama Krayem, Salah Abdeslam, Ali El Haddad Asufi, Bilal El Makhoukhi, Hervé Bayingana, Sofien Ayari, Geert Vanden Wijngaert, Abdeslam, Smail Farisi, Ibrahim Farisi Organizations: CNN, RTBF, ISIS, Reuters, European Union Locations: Brussels, Belgian, Paris, Syria, Belgium, Iraq
Does Israel Need So Much Aid? - The New York Times
  + stars: | 2023-07-22 | by ( Nicholas Kristof | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
One sign of changed times: Almost a quarter of Israel’s arms exports last year went to Arab states. Aid to Israel is now almost exclusively military assistance that can be used only to buy American weaponry. In reality, it’s not so much aid to Israel as it is a backdoor subsidy to American military contractors, which is one reason some Israelis are cool to it. “Israel should give up on the American aid,” Yossi Beilin, a former Israeli minister of justice, told me. “Israel’s economy is strong enough that it does not need aid; security assistance distorts Israel’s economy and creates a false sense of dependency,” Kurtzer said in an email.
Persons: it’s, , ” Yossi Beilin, Daniel Kurtzer, ” Kurtzer, Israel, Organizations: jihadis Locations: Israel, Japan, Niger, United States, “ Israel, American
On a trip home five years ago, I met an Egyptian man much younger than me. We fell in love and decided to marry so we could be together in an open and free society. I applied for him to come to the United States as my fiancé. During that time, I traveled to Egypt every four to six months so we could be together. Either he loves you for you or he wants a better life.
Organizations: U.S, Embassy, Rights Watch Locations: Egyptian, United States, Cairo, Egypt
REUTERS/Stringer/File PhotoSummary Countries at odds over which should pay climate financeEU wants China to contribute to climate fundsChina among countries not currently obliged to payBRUSSELS/BEIJING, July 21 (Reuters) - Record-breaking heat in China. The EU, today the biggest contributor of climate finance, has lobbied to expand the pool of donor countries that provide it. Climate finance refers to money that wealthy countries pay toward helping poorer nations reduce CO2 emissions and adapt to a hotter, harsher world. Advocates for the change argue that an expansion needs to happen before a new - and, likely, far bigger - U.N. target for climate finance kicks in after 2025. "It would earn China diplomatic clout, and pressure Western donors to raise their stakes on climate finance," he said.
Persons: Stringer, John Kerry, Janet Yellen, Kerry, Li Qiang, Pa'olelei Luteru, Luteru, Byford Tsang, Kate Abnett, Valerie Volcovici, Katy Daigle, Stephen Coates Organizations: REUTERS, BRUSSELS, U.S, Union, Reuters, EU, United Arab Emirates, of Small, WHO, United, Climate Cooperation, Initiative, Bridgetown Initiative, Thomson Locations: Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China, EU, BEIJING, COP28, Dubai, Beijing, U.S, Brazil, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Singapore, States, United States, South Korea, U.N, Barbados, Bridgetown, Brussels
WHICH COUNTRIES PAY U.N. CLIMATE FINANCE? That analysis suggested only seven countries had paid their "fair share" in 2020 - Denmark, France, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden. By ODI's ranking, the U.S. lags behind every other developed nation, when its past climate finance contributions are compared with what its "fair share" would be. Taken together, the 27-country EU is the biggest provider of climate finance, contributing 23.38 billion euros ($26.15 billion) in 2020.
Persons: Kate Abnett, Katy Daigle Organizations: UN, FINANCE, Economic, European Union, United, WHO, FAIR, U.S, Finance, Thomson Locations: BRUSSELS, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, United States, China, United Arab Emirates, London, U.S, EU, Lincoln
[1/5] A worker sweeps a street in the Central Business District on a rainy day in Beijing, China, July 12, 2023. REUTERS/Thomas PeterBEIJING, July 18 (Reuters) - China is entering an era of much slower economic growth, raising a daunting prospect: it may never get rich. He expects growth to slow to 3%, which "will feel like an economic recession" when youth unemployment is already above 20%. The April-June data puts 2023 growth on track for roughly 5%, with slower rates thereafter. But China's annual growth averaged around 7% last decade, and more than 10% in the 2000s.
Persons: Thomas Peter BEIJING, Desmond Lachman, year's, Wang Jun, Zheng Shanjie, Zheng, Richard Koo, Juan Orts, Xi Jinping's, Zhao, Cai Fang, Zhu Ning, Koo, Liangping Gao, Ellen Zhang, Ziyi Tang, Kevin Yao, Joe Cash, Marius Zaharia, David Crawshaw Organizations: Central Business District, REUTERS, American Enterprise Institute, Reuters, Communist, Huatai Asset Management, Reform Commission, Overseas, Nomura Research Institute, Fathom Consulting, Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Japan, United States, Young, Africa, Latin, U.S, Central
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