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☆ An options strategy on Oracle ahead of earnings that generates income
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-07 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Oracle (ORCL) , one of the top three largest U.S. based software companies, report earnings next week on June 11. I want to utilize an options strategy to create income and capitalize on ORCL moving higher. Per YCharts, the S & P Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment index has soared 57% this year, while the S & P Software and Services index is up just 2.2%. ORCL .SPX YTD mountain Oracle vs. the S & P 500 YTD Technically, Oracle is revealing strength as it sits above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. DISCLOSURES: (Long Oracle and this options spread) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY .

Persons: Per Organizations: Oracle, U.S, Semiconductors, P Software, Labor, & $

☆ Trading the jobs report: Where JPMorgan sees the market going based on these scenarios
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

On top of that, the S & P 500 is trading at record levels thanks in large measure to the unrelenting momentum in Nvidia. Hot jobs growth + weaker-than-expected wage growth: The S & P 500 would advance 0.25% to 0.75% in this event, the traders said. In-line jobs growth + strong wage growth: This outcome indicates inflation persists given tight labor market conditions. Disappointing jobs growth + hotter-than-expected wage expansion: JPMorgan traders think this would be the worst outcome for market bulls, with the S & P 500 losing 1.25%-2%. JPMorgan expects the S & P 500 to rise, or fall, as much as 0.25%.

Persons: Dow Jones, stagflation Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nvidia, JPMorgan Locations: U.S

☆ The S&P 500 will rise 4% to a record 5,500 by the end of this month, Fundstrat's Tom Lee says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Lee called for the broad market index to reach 5,500 by the end of June. The S & P 500 finished Monday's trading session at 5,283.40 and is up about 3% over the past month. The broad market index fell more than 4% in April before surging nearly 5% in May to record highs above 5,300. I don't think one cut or three cuts makes [it] that much different for stocks," Lee said. "It all depends on inflation, really the edge coming off enough for the Fed to say we're comfortable cutting this year," he added.

Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, Lee's Organizations: Fundstrat Global, Federal Reserve

☆ S&P 500 to correct by 10% by end of September, so get defensive, Stifel says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors should position themselves defensively as the S & P 500 could drop about 10% before the end of September, according to Stifel Financial. That would mark a more than 10% decline from where the S & P 500 finished Monday's trading session. The S & P 500 closed out 2023 at about 4,770. That can, in turn, push the S & P 500 price-to-earnings multiple down by about two points, weighing on the stock market. Discounted for inflation, the S & P 500 is slightly below where it was about two and a half years ago.

Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister Organizations: Financial, Central, Federal Reserve, Federal

☆ Nvidia's latest roadmap shows how it plans to keep the lead in the AI chip race
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

NVDA .SPX 1Y mountain Nvidia's stock performance over the past 12 months compared with the S & P 500. The fresh details Sunday underscore Nvidia's commitment to roll out a new version of its AI chip platform roughly every year, instead of the two-year cadence it used to follow. In a sign of the competition, Advanced Micro Devices , Nvidia's main rival in the booming AI chip market, also highlighted plans at Computex to release updated processors each year. The product announcements "continue to bolster" Nvidia's AI leadership position, Bank of America analysts wrote to clients Monday. The firm reiterated its price target of $1,500 per share and top-pick designation on Nvidia's stock.

Persons: Rubin, Blackwell, Jensen Huang, Taiwan —, Vera, Hopper, Grace, Vera Rubin —, what's, Goldman, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Sam Yeh Organizations: Nvidia, Devices, AMD, Microsoft, Blackwell, Smithsonian, Wall Street, Bank of America, CNBC, AFP, Getty Locations: Blackwell, Taiwan, Computex, Taipei

☆ Bad economic news has been good for stocks, but that could change this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Bad economic news so far has been mostly positive for the stock market, as investors worry over whether the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates. The greenback often rises on bad news as investors seek the safety of cash and equivalents, while the stock market gains on good news. .SPX .DXY line 2024-04-01 Stocks vs. the dollar At the same time, economic data has generally deteriorated, or at least not met Wall Street forecasts. For the most part, bad economic news likely could help convince the Fed that the time is right to start lowering interest rates. Based on the prior two months, the unemployment rate would have to rise to 4.3% in May for that to happen.

Persons: Ohsung Kwon, Kwon, Dow Jones, Claudia Sahm, BofA Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Citi, Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New Century Advisors

☆ S&P 500 enters June near a record but with growing concerns about the market's narrow leadership
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-01 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The S & P 500 is a mere 1.2% from its all-time high, yet only 60% of its member stocks are up for the year and just over 40% last week were above their 50-day moving average. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, 1-year We seem to undergo one of these periods of decrying a lack of market breadth every few months in recent years. Bespoke Investment Group last week looked at the small number of past instances when the S & P 500 was so close to a record yet most stocks were beneath a 50-day average. The 100-day correlation between the S & P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has hit its lowest level since the dot-com bust of the early 2000s, according to CNBC's Data & Analytics group. The S & P 500 at the highs hit 21-times forward earnings, and we've spent very little time above that outside the pandemic melt-up and the tech boom/bust a quarter-century ago.

Persons: Warren Pies, Dow, Scott Chronert, we've Organizations: Investment, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Treasury, Microsoft, Apple, Dow Jones, Dell Technologies, Citi, UBS Locations: Banks

☆ Costco shares dip despite earnings beat. There's no cause for investor concern
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

On an annual basis, Costco's EPS grew 29%. After closing at a record $815.34 per share Thursday, Costco's stock declined about 1.5% in extended trading. Core merchandise was flat on a reported basis, but a two-basis-point improvement when excluding the impact of gasoline. Costco's reporting segment for so-called "other" items saw a 57-basis-point benefit on a reported basis and a 56-basis-point benefit ex-gas. Costco's inflation update remained encouraging.

Persons: We're, Ron Vachris, Gary Millerchip, Vachris, Millerchip, Costco didn't, that's, Richard Galanti, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Costco Wholesale, Costco, LSEG, Wholesale, Walmart, Club, Amazon, CNBC, Costco Self, Ucg, Getty Locations: U.S, Canada, Queens , New York

☆ The summer trade: Here's how the S&P 500 fares between June and August—and which sectors stand out
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-29 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The major averages hit record highs in May, with the S & P 500 breaking above 5,300 for the first time. Historically, the summer months prove to be less robust for the S & P 500. July is typically a standout month, however, with the S & P 500 posting a 3.27% increase on average. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has added more than 11% in 2024. The S & P 500 tech sector averages a flat performance for June going back a decade.

Persons: It's, — CNBC's Christopher Hayes Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CNBC, Tech, Technology, Nvidia

☆ Market crash indicator with spotty track record 'Hindenburg Omen' triggered last week
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The ominous "Hindenburg Omen" was triggered last week, StockCharts.com chief market technician David Keller noted Monday. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 "It has a track record of calling major market tops so when the Hindenburg Omen fires it's something that investors should take note of. The Russell 2000 is up just 2.5% in 2024, while the S & P 500 has advanced 11%. If anything, the technician regards the Hindenburg Omen more as an indicator of new market leadership than a harbinger of a downturn. A loss of the consumer discretionary sector, which makes up roughly one-tenth of the S & P 500, could mean a deeper drawdown of 10% to 20% in the index.

Persons: David Keller, JC O'Hara, Roth, O'Hara, Russell, He's Organizations: Street, Dow Jones

☆ The S&P 500 was up more than 10% in the first 100 trading days of 2024. Here's what typically happens next
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The S & P 500 's strong first 100 trading days of 2024 is a good omen for the rest of the year, according to Bank of America technical research strategist Stephen Suttmeier. As of May 23, the 100th trading day of 2024, the S & P 500 rallied more than 10% for the year. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 year to date Historically, when the S & P 500 rises 10% or more in the first 100 days of any year, the index is higher the rest of the year 76% of the time, the strategist said. In this case, the average return comes in at 7.1%, with a higher median return of 9.3%. If 2024 followed that pattern, the S & P 500 would stand at 5650 shortly before Labor Day, based on the May 23 close, Bank of America said.

Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Labor

☆ Options market sees 12% move in Nvidia after this 'unusually important' earnings report, says Goldman
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Nvidia has been the biggest story of Wall Street's rally to record highs, but the options market appears to be underestimating the impact of its earnings report Wednesday, according to Goldman Sachs. "NVDA options suggest investors expect this earnings report to be unusually important; NVDA options imply a +/-11.9% earnings-day move vs. its 4-quarter historical earnings-day move of +/-10.8%. The importance of this earnings report is easy to see given NVDA options volume has been 36% of all single stock options volumes over the past three months," the note said. The S & P 500 is a market cap-weighted index, meaning that Nvidia has taken on extra importance over the past two years. The options market has underpriced S & P 500 moves following the previous four Nvidia reports as well, according to Goldman.

Persons: Wall, Goldman Sachs, John Marshall, Marshall, Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Traders

☆ Transition to next-generation AI chips and 2 other pressing questions ahead of Nvidia's earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Nvidia's Hopper chips include the H100, which was announced in 2022 and faced severe supply shortages last year as the AI gold rush intensified. Tuesday's AWS news represents a pushout in demand for Nvidia chips, not a loss of it. That would be the so-called "digestion" phase for AI chips that Wall Street has been speculating about since last year. If anything, AWS deciding to wait for the more-powerful Blackwell chips could mean the digestion phase is further out on the horizon than initially thought. Unlike last year, when Nvidia's chips were in such short supply, there are now rival chips out there, such as AMD's MI300X, which is angling for a corner of the inferencing market .

Persons: you've, it's, Jim Cramer, Hopper, Blackwell, Nvidia's Hopper, There's, Grace Hopper Superchip, Kimberly Powell, Powell, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Jensen Huang, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Nvidia, Blackwell, Amazon Web Services, CNBC, NVIDIA, AWS, Club, SAP Center Locations: Hopper, Ceiba, San Jose , California

☆ JPMorgan strategist stays stubbornly negative on stocks even as other Wall Street bears capitulate
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A top strategist for JPMorgan is sticking with a pessimistic outlook for stocks despite a strong start to 2024 that's winning over other Wall Street skeptics. The JPMorgan note comes shortly after strategists from Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley raised their forecasts for the S & P 500. The stock market has outrun most Wall Street projections so far this year, with the S & P 500 up more than 11%. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has already surpassed the original year-end 2024 targets from major Wall Street strategists. Kolanovic's JPMorgan colleague Dubravko Lakos-Bujas has the lowest S & P 500 target — 4,200 — among major strategists, according to the CNBC Market Strategist Survey .

Persons: that's, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Morgan Stanley, Dubravko Lakos, Bujas, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, CNBC Market, Survey

☆ A chip stock hedge if the AI trend cools off a bit following Nvidia's earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Nvidia's earnings release is front and center this week as the beloved chipmaker should determine the short-term direction of U.S. equities. Led by the $2.3 trillion behemoth Nvidia (NVDA) , semiconductors have been on fire in 2024 after a dramatic outperformance in 2023. I want to implement a hedge using the popular VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) which has a near 21% weighting to Nvidia. The largest ETF to hold NVDA is the SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) , with a 5.1% allocation or about $28 billion in market value. It can (and has) propel NVDA higher in a faster manner, but it also can amplify a move lower (if that is possible for the AI darling, NVDA).

Persons: NVDA SMH Organizations: Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, Trust

☆ Here's how Disney’s streaming business can work toward Netflix-like profitability
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +14 min

Disney's streaming margins, while still negative due to losses and nowhere near Netflix's, have improved significantly in recent quarters and are now on the doorstep of an important milestone. Disney's streaming overview Disney+ is its flagship streaming service across the globe. The ARPU discrepancy on Disney+ core helps explain why Netflix is much more profitable than Disney's streaming business. Given that Disney's streaming business has rolled out pretty much everywhere across the globe, Cruetz said moving forward "it's about driving more penetration in those markets." The latest is a matchup with Disney and HBO's parent Warner Bros Discovery , whose flagship streaming service is called Max.

Persons: Bob Iger, Disney, Iger, Covid, Morgan Stanley, It's, That's, Cowen, Doug Creutz, Hulu's, Cowen's Cruetz, Brandon Nispel, Cruetz, TD Cowen, Max, Creutz, cannibalization, it's, KeyBanc's Nispel, Wells Fargo, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Presley Ann Organizations: Disney, Netflix, ESPN, Reliance Industries, Century Fox, CNBC, Comcast, Capital, Warner Bros Discovery, Getty Locations: Netflix's, Hulu, India, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, U.S, Canada, Europe, Africa, West Asia, Los Angeles

☆ Charts show little fear of a market drawdown. So now may be a good time to hedge
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Breaking down the market charts The S & P 500 broke out above the 2021 highs of 4,820 in the first two weeks of this year. Again, I don't know. I don't know. And I'm content to come before you and say I don't know and we can't know. This measures how much premium is embedded in the at the money puts and calls in the S & P 500.

Persons: Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Nvidia, Inside Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management

☆ Morgan Stanley stock strategist Mike Wilson raises S&P 500 forecast to 5,400 after bearish call on 2024 fails to pan out
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. equity strategist now expects the S & P 500 will rise to 5,400 by the second quarter of 2025. Just last week, the S & P 500 closed above 5,300 for the first time. His bull case of 6,350 represents roughly 20% upside over the next 12 months for the S & P 500. Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha hiked his S & P 500 target to 5,100, noting the benchmark could pop to 5,500. But market strategists on average are anticipating the S & P 500 will fall to 5,220 by the end of 2024, according to CNBC's Market Strategist Survey .

Persons: Morgan, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Morgan Stanley's, Brian Belski, Chadha, Dubravko, Bujas Organizations: CNBC Market, Deutsche

☆ Deutsche Bank raises year-end S&P 500 forecast: 'We see the earnings cycle having plenty of legs'
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Deutsche Bank sees more room for the S & P 500 to run this year as strong earnings growth drives multiples. Binky Chadha, the firm's chief U.S. equity and global strategist, raised his year-end forecast for the broad index to 5,500 from 5,100. "We see the earnings cycle having plenty of legs," he told clients. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Index year to date Chadha said he's been overweight on financial, consumer cyclical, material and utility stocks in this environment. The updated expectations come as the S & P 500 has roared back near all-time highs despite a correction at the start of the second quarter.

Persons: Chadha, he's Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Wall Locations: Europe

☆ More and more stocks are joining the market's rally to new highs. Here's why and when to buy
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The S & P 500 on Wednesday closed above 5,300 for the first time ever. The last time the S & P 500 Short Range Oscillator was this overbought was back in December. The upswing picked up after the S & P 500's most recent bottom on April 19 and pushed to this week's records. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 - 1 year There is no telling whether the current overbought market will follow a similar pattern. Perhaps more telling, four of the bottom six sectors saw earnings estimates revised higher since the end of the first quarter.

Persons: Dow, Morgan Stanley, Stocks, it's, Rather, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Victor J Organizations: Federal Reserve, Palo Alto Networks, CNBC, Visitors, New York Stock Exchange, Blue, Bloomberg, Getty

☆ This 147-year-old company that's been trailing the market is ready for big upside, some analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Despite AT & T 's stock trailing the overall market, analysts from JPMorgan and Wells Fargo think the storied company is well positioned for long-term growth. AT & T dates back to 1876, when Alexander Graham Bell invented the telephone and then founded Bell Telephone Company a year later. Both JPMorgan and Wells Fargo think the firm can continue to grow its wireless business with a steady stream of new customers. The analyst maintains an overweight rating on AT & T stock with a $20 per share price target, implying 15% upside moving forward. In the first-quarter, the company said it reported the lowest level of postpaid customer churn for that time period ever.

Persons: Wells, Sebastiano Petti, Alexander Graham Bell, Petti, Wall, Eric Luebchow Organizations: JPMorgan, Bell Telephone Company, 5G

☆ BMO Capital hikes S&P 500 target to highest on Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The rally back to the record highs for the S & P 500 is already spurring at least one Wall Street shop to raise its expectations for the year. BMO Capital Markets strategist Brian Belski said in a note to clients Wednesday that he is raising his year-end target for the S & P 500 by almost 10% — to 5,600 from 5,100. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has rebounded to record highs. "Historical performance patterns suggest continued gains given the level of YTD performance. The S & P 500 hit an intraday all-time high on Wednesday morning, trading near 5,279.

Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, Street, CNBC Market, Survey, BMO

☆ Chart analysis signals the bull market has further to go with possible S&P 500 upside target of 6,100
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

With the S & P 500 making a fresh all-time high Wednesday morning, it has erased the 6% pullback in short-order. By late March, momentum began to slow, and it became clear that it would take some time to see the next bullish pattern. That means there still has not been a successful bearish pattern (big or small) since last October. If the S & P 500 can't hold this latest push to new highs, then a bullish formation like this could be constructed. The bottom line is this: Strong trends are made from both bullish patterns working and bearish patterns failing.

Persons: Frank Cappelleri Organizations: CNBC Pro

☆ These 3 ETFs have risen by double-digits every year for the past 5 years
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Two U.S.-listed ETFs — the SPDR S & P Metals & Mining ETF and VanEck Steel ETF — and the Japan-listed NEXT NOTES Japan Equity High Beta Select 30 ETF have each risen more than 10% every year since 2019. SPDR S & P Metals & Mining ETF The SPDR S & P Metals & Mining ETF (ticker: XME) gives investors broad exposure to the metals and mining segment. The VanEck fund has outperformed the S & P 500 in four of the past five years. NEXT NOTES Japan Equity High Beta Select 30 The NEXT NOTES Japan Equity High Beta Select 30 ETF (ticker: 2068.T-JP) is a smart beta ETF. High beta stocks react with more volatility than the rest of the market.

Persons: SPDR, It's Organizations: CNBC, P Metals, Mining, VanEck Steel, —, Japan, CNBC Pro, Mining ETF, VanEck, NEXT, Nomura Japan Equity Locations: U.S, Japan

☆ The S&P 500 just flashed a bullish signal that suggests the stock market will hit record highs this summer
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The stock market just flashed a bullish signal that suggests more upside ahead, according to Bank of America. The S&P 500 and NYSE advance-decline lines hit new all-time highs on Friday. The bullish breadth signal supports the bull case for a 6% gain in the S&P 500 this summer. AdvertisementThe stock market in recent days has flashed a bullish signal that suggests the S&P 500 will hit record highs this summer, according to Bank of America. According to Suttmeier, the bullish advance-decline line, combined with a bullish continuation pattern formed in the S&P 500 this month, means that the index is likely to hit record highs this summer.

Persons: —, Stephen Suttmeier, Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Suttmeier Organizations: Bank of America, NYSE, Service, Carson Group

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