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☆ Key Fed inflation measure rose 2.8% in March from a year ago, more than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Inflation showed little signs of letting up in March, with a key barometer the Federal Reserve watches closely showing that price pressures remain elevated. The personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy increased 2.8% from a year ago in March, the same as in February, the Commerce Department reported Friday. Including food and energy, the all-items PCE price gauge increased 2.7%, compared to the 2.6% estimate. The Fed targets 2% inflation, a level that core PCE has been above for the past three years. Services prices increased 0.4% on the month while goods were up 0.1%, reflecting a swing back in consumer prices as goods inflation dominated since the early days of the Covid pandemic.

Persons: Dow Jones, George Mateyo Organizations: Reserve, Commerce Department, Dow, Treasury, Key Wealth, Fed, Labor Department

☆ Treasury yields ease slightly ahead of key inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the 10-year Treasury was down by over three basis points to 4.6754%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was last more than one basis point lower at 4.9850%. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Friday as investors digested Thursday's gross domestic product report and looked ahead to the release of key inflation figures. The yields on the 10-year Treasury and 2-year Treasury had soared to their highest levels since November on Thursday, following the release of a weaker-than-expected U.S. gross domestic product reading. Fresh inflation insights are expected Friday in form of the personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's favored inflation gauge.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, PCE

☆ Our base case remains that we'll still see a soft landing in the U.S.: JPMorgan's Elyse Ausenbaugh
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOur base case remains that we'll still see a soft landing in the U.S.: JPMorgan's Elyse AusenbaughElyse Ausenbaugh, JPMorgan Private Bank global investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to expect from today's March PCE inflation, state of the economy, and more.

Persons: we'll, Ausenbaugh Organizations: JPMorgan Private Bank Locations: U.S

☆ Watch CNBC’s full interview with Cantor’s Eric Johnson, Payne’s Courtney Garcia and Invesco’s Brian Levitt
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Cantor’s Eric Johnson, Payne’s Courtney Garcia and Invesco’s Brian LevittCantor's Eric Johnson, Payne Capital's Courtney Garcia and Invesco's Brian Levitt, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss markets, PCE, potential for rate cuts, and the state of the consumer.

Persons: Cantor’s Eric Johnson, Payne’s Courtney Garcia, Invesco’s Brian Levitt, Eric Johnson, Payne Capital's Courtney Garcia, Invesco's Brian Levitt

☆ Gold on track for first weekly dip in six; focus on U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An employee handles one kilogram gold bullions at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold was little changed on Friday ahead of a key U.S. inflation report, but prices were on track for their first weekly drop in six weeks on easing concerns of a major escalation of the Middle East crisis. Focus now turns to March's core Personal Consumption Expenditures, or PCE, index data due later on Friday — the Fed's preferred measure of inflation — for further clues on the U.S. rate outlook. The dollar index was headed for its biggest weekly dip since early March, making the greenback-priced bullion less expensive for other currency holders. Spot silver rose 0.2% to $27.49 per ounce, spot platinum rose 0.8% to $921.45 and palladium gained 1.4% to $988.22.

Persons: Gold, Yeap Jun Rong, Jun Rong Organizations: Co, Federal Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S

☆ Stock market today: Indexes gain as investors assess new inflation data and latest earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Max Adams | Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rose on Friday as markets assessed new inflation data in the form of March PCE. The Fed's preferred gauge showed inflation rose 2.8% year-over-year, slightly higher than estimates. AdvertisementUS stocks climbed on Friday, with investors digesting new inflation data and cheering earnings from mega-cap tech titans Microsoft and Alphabet. Personal consumption expenditures data showed prices rose more than expected last month. The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation showed an uptick of 2.8% versus estimates of 2.7%.

Persons: —, Clark Bellin Organizations: PCE, Microsoft, Google, Service, Federal, Bellwether

☆ We have more insights as to where the economy is headed — and it's not good
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today's big story, we're looking at how the latest GDP data has shifted the expectations of where the economy is headed. Now, the economy will need some type of event (see: bubble popping) for rate cuts to become an option anytime soon, Miskin said. Energy price shocks could bring the world economy to a "vulnerable moment," chief economist Indermit Gill warned.

Persons: —, TikTok, they're, you'd, Jia Feng, It'll, Insider's Madison Hoff, It's, Jerome Powell, Anna Moneymaker, BI's Filip De Mott, Jamie Dimon, Matt Miskin, Miskin, Mark Zuckerberg, C, Cox, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Goldman Sachs, Guess what's, Indermit Gill, Alphabet's, Redmond, Tyler Le, Doug McMillon, execs, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Reserve, stagflation, JPMorgan, Wall Street, John Hancock Investment Management, Galatioto Sports Partners, Bank, Google, Big Tech, Microsoft, Health, Linkedin, YouTube, ExxonMobil Locations: Chevron, New York, London

☆ Stock market today: US indexes drop as 1st-quarter GDP growth comes in weaker than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Max Adams | Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks fell sharply Thursday as data showed the US economy grew much slower than expected to start 2024. The report also showed consumer prices rising in the quarter, complicating the Fed's rate-cut decision. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . The market will be focused on personal consumption expenditures data, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, which is due out on Friday. AdvertisementBond yields jumped as traders reacted to the economic data.

Persons: —, Quincy Krosby Organizations: Treasury, Service, Economic, Federal Reserve, LPL, Here's

☆ Stock market today: Dow falls 375 points as traders brace for new inflation data after weak GDP
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Max Adams | Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Commentators pointed out that the data was still mostly strong but inflation is problematic. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStocks fell on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average losing 375 points as the market took in weaker-than-expected economic data. Savings rates are falling as sticky inflation puts greater pressure on the consumer," LPL Financial chief economist Jeffrey Roach said.

Persons: —, Stocks, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Reserve, Barclays, Bank of America, PCE, Financial, Treasury, Meta, Microsoft, Google

☆ GDP growth slowed to a 1.6% rate in the first quarter, well below expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Consumer spending increased 2.5% in the period, down from a 3.3% gain in the fourth quarter and below the 3% Wall Street estimate. Net exports subtracted 0.86 percentage point from the growth rate while consumer spending contributed 1.68 percentage points. Excluding food and energy, core PCE prices rose at a 3.7% rate, both well above the Fed's 2% target. Income adjusted for taxes and inflation rose 1.1% for the period, down from 2%. Services spending increased 4%, its highest quarterly level since Q3 of 2021.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: Gross, department's, Analysis, Commerce Department, Federal, Dow Jones, Treasury, Federal Reserve, LPL, Labor Department

☆ Treasury yields dip ahead of gross domestic product, inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.9248% after dipping by just over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields fell slightly on Thursday as investors looked ahead to key economic data points that could inform the path ahead for interest rates. Investors awaited gross domestic product and inflation insights due Thursday and Friday, respectively. The data could inform how Federal Reserve policymakers think about monetary policy and what decisions they come to regarding the outlook for interest rates. Markets are widely expecting interest rates to remain unchanged then, with traders last pricing in the first rate cut for September according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, U.S, PCE

☆ Dow drops more than 600 points on inflation and growth concerns, heads for biggest drop of the year: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Economists polled by Dow Jones forecast GDP growth would come in at 2.4%. Tech tumbleThe lackluster GDP added further pressure to an already-tense market contending with concerns over a pullback in growth among technology earnings. "This report was the worst of both worlds: economic growth is slowing and inflationary pressures are persisting," wrote Chris Zaccarelli, investment chief at Independent Advisor Alliance. Investors are hoping the PCE report, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, will show an improvement in pricing pressures after the March consumer inflation report came in hotter than expected. — Brian Evans8:58 a.m.: 10-year Treasury yield jumps to highest level since NovemberThe 10-year Treasury yield broke above 4.7% following the GDP report, hitting its highest level since November.

Persons: Johannes Eisele, Dow Jones, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, Meta, Thierry Wizman, UnitedHealth, Alex Harring, Mark Zuckerberg's, Hakyung Kim, Fred Imbert, Chris Zaccarelli, Sarah Min, — Brian Evans, — Jesse Pound Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty, Dow Jones, Caterpillar, IBM, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal Reserve, Federal, Traders, Meta, Business Machines, FX, Macquarie, Microsoft, Amazon, Merck, York Stock Exchange, Independent, Alliance, Investors, Treasury, Gross

☆ Can a new batch of tech earnings rescue the market? Here are the factors at play
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The market was already headed toward a down session due to disappointing reactions to earnings, which haven't been entirely bad. Club earnings : Microsoft and Alphabet report after the bell Thursday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, haven't, hasn't, it's, Mark Zuckerberg, Amy Hood, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Club, Meta, Tech, Nvidia, Broadcom, Microsoft, PCE, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Colgate, Palmolive, HCA Holdings, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Abbvie

☆ Slowing growth plus stubborn inflation add up to a headache for Fed officials
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The slowing growth and stubborn inflation picture emerging in the U.S. economy may not be quite a nightmare scenario for the Federal Reserve, but it at least could make for some restless sleep. Markets had been looking for the string of good readings dating back to mid-2022 to continue, with economists estimating real GDP growth of 2.4% and inflation readings around 3%. What it got was essentially what some on Wall Street called the worst of both worlds, with weakening growth and stubborn price pressures. The Fed will get a more granular look at PCE data on Friday when the Commerce Department releases the monthly figures for March. "We still think Fed cuts are coming this summer, before inflation has sustainably slowed."

Persons: Matthew Ryan, —, Ryan, Steven Blitz, Veronica Clark Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce, Treasury, Commerce Department, TS Lombard, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S

☆ Firm dollar drags yen down closer to intervention range
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A firm U.S. dollar had the yen locked near a fresh 34-year low on Tuesday, keeping investors on heightened intervention watch as they looked ahead to key U.S. inflation report and the Bank of Japan's rate decision this week. A firm U.S. dollar had the yen locked near a fresh 34-year low on Tuesday, keeping investors on heightened intervention watch as they looked ahead to key U.S. inflation report and the Bank of Japan's rate decision this week. Traders have been keeping wary eye as yen slips towards 155.00, a level considered by many participants as the new trigger for intervention by Japanese authorities. The weak yen complicates the BOJ's policy path, with some market players betting the central bank could come under pressure to hike rates sooner than it wants to slow the currency's decline. Markets are currently pricing in a 46% chance of the Fed's first rate cut starting in September, with November not far behind at 42%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Persons: Carol Kong, Shunichi Suzuki, BoE, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Bank of, Traders, Bank of Japan's, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Japan's Finance, Federal Reserve, Investors, Commonwealth Bank of Australia's, European Central Bank, Bank of England Locations: Japan, Iran, Israel, Tokyo, Japan's, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia's Kong

☆ Gold prices slip to 2-1/2-week low as Middle East tensions ease
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Pure 1,000-gram gold bars produced by South Korea's LS-Nikko are stacked in a dealers room in Seoul on Jan. 9, 2009. Spot gold was down nearly 1% at $2,304.99 per ounce, as of 0336 GMT. U.S. gold futures fell 1.2% to $2,318.80. "Investors are seeing this as an opportunity to lock in some profits after gold's recent run of good form," Waterer said. Among other precious metals, spot silver fell about 1% to $26.92 per ounce, spot platinum dropped 0.7% to $911.10, and palladium slumped 1.1% to $997.75.

Persons: Tim Waterer, Waterer, Gold Organizations: South Korea's, Nikko, KCM Locations: Seoul, Iran

Mortgage rates haven't changed much over the last week, but they could move up or down later this week depending on how a couple of big economic reports turn out. If these reports come in hotter than expected, mortgage rates could tick up higher. This index is expected to come in a bit lower than last month's reading, which would be good news for mortgage rates. This means we could see mortgage rates start to trend down in fall. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron

☆ What will it take to get tech stocks rising again? An unemployment rate above 4%
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Analysts slashed the "Big Six" tech stocks' ratings to neutral from overweight, arguing that profit growth momentum could "collapse" over the next few quarters. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, what's, it's, We're, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, UBS Global Research

☆ Treasury yields rise as investors look to key data in week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. Treasury yields rose on Monday as investors looked to economic data in the week ahead that could provide fresh hints about the state of the economy and outlook for interest rates. Investors awaited fresh economic data as uncertainty about the outlook for the U.S. economy and Federal Reserve monetary policy persisted. Several key data points are slated for the week, including the personal consumption expenditures price index for March, which is due Friday. The PCE is the Fed's favored inflation gauge and could inform policymakers' thinking about what could lie ahead for interest rate cuts ahead of the next Fed policy meeting on April 30-May 1. Durable goods orders and a reading of the gross domestic product for the first quarter of 2024 are among the other key data points due throughout the week.

Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed Locations: U.S

High mortgage rates are likely to constrain affordability through the peak homebuying season, which typically lasts from spring to early fall. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Essentially Flat (+0.01%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.25%, just a single basis point higher than last week. Mortgage Refinance Rates30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Inch Up (+0.09%)The average 30-year refinance rate is 7.53%, nine basis points higher than last week. Mortgage rates also rose dramatically in 2023, though they started trending back down toward the end of the year.

Persons: you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: US, of, CPI, Incoming, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron

☆ Former Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren: Expect the core PCE index to continue trending downward
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren: Expect the core PCE index to continue trending downwardFormer Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's inflation fight, state of the U.S. economy, interest rate path outlook, and more.

Persons: Eric Rosengren Organizations: Former Boston Fed, Boston Fed Locations: U.S

☆ 6 portfolio stock earnings and the Fed's favorite inflation gauge dominate the week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-20 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

The Nasdaq sank 2% on Friday as Netflix dropped nearly 11% post-earnings and Club stock Nvidia fell 10%, entering bear market territory but still up more than 50% in 2024. Following a much stronger-than-expected March retail sales report last month, fresh economic data and six Club stock earnings will take center stage in the week ahead. While lower rates may help stock multiples, that is not a sustainable path to higher equity prices over time. Earnings : The latest quarterly reporting season is starting to ramp into high gear with six Club names set to report next week. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Dow, Jerome Powell, Jim Cramer, Mark, Meta, Bing, Ford, Vimal, Lockheed Martin, Clark, Philip Morris, Sherwin, Williams, Baker Hughes, Lam, Northrop, Dr Pepper, CARR, Edwards Lifesciences, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael M Organizations: Nasdaq, Netflix, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Federal, Fed, Hamas, Gross, Google, Reality Labs, General Motors, Honeywell, Microsoft, Verizon Communications, Albertsons Companies, SAP, Cadence Design Systems, United Parcel Service, General Electric, GE, PepsiCo, Lockheed, Spotify Technology, RTX Corporation, JetBlue Airways, Halliburton, HAL, Philip Morris International, Quest Diagnostics, Texas Instruments, Seagate Technology, Mattel, Veralto Corporation, Boeing, General Dynamics, Boston, Hilton, Fisher, Otis Worldwide, IBM, Grill, Viking Therapeutics, Lam Research, Whirlpool, WM, Honeywell International, Royal Caribbean Cruises, American Airlines, Altria, Newmont, Caterpillar, Southwest Airlines, Myers Squibb, AstraZeneca, Mobileye, Northrop Grumman, CNBC, Comcast, Merck, Dow Inc, Carrier Global, Union Pacific, Intel, Western, Mobile, L3Harris Technologies, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Colgate, Palmolive, HCA Healthcare, Charter Communications, Newell Brands, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: Israel, Iran, Ukraine, destocking, China, Cleveland, Freeport, McMoRan, Kimberly, Masco, Bristol, New York City

☆ Breaking down the market sell-off and odds this 5% pullback turns into a 10% correction
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-20 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

Hard-to-handicap geopolitical conflict never helps, even if it rarely serves as the key swing factor in a market trend. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500, 1-year And then there was simply the elevated valuation and over-optimistic sentiment that had built up over that five-month, 28% rally that culminated at the end of March. Over the long span of time, about 40% of all 5% market pullbacks deepened into full 10% corrections. A 10%-ish correction from the S & P 500 high of 5254 would pull the index down below 4800, the former record high from early 2022, and so would be a test of the first-quarter breakout. Last week's 3% decline took the index back to Feb 21 and thereby closed the "Nvidia gap," the 100-point S & P 500 pop the day after Nvidia's blowout fourth-quarter earnings report.

Persons: Warren Pies, Jerome Powell Organizations: Nasdaq, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Big Tech, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Silicon

☆ We know the March PCE isn't going to be good enough for rate cuts, says Krishna Guha
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe know the March PCE isn't going to be good enough for rate cuts, says Krishna GuhaKrishna Guha, Evercore ISI Vice Chairman, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk recent market action, what's next for the Fed, and more.

Persons: PCE isn't, Krishna Guha Krishna Guha, Evercore, what's Organizations: PCE, Fed

☆ Friday's PCE report is an important inflation gauge, says Jim Cramer
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFriday's PCE report is an important inflation gauge, says Jim Cramer'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer looks ahead to next week's market moving events and earnings.

Persons: Jim Cramer

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