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Some key inflation readings in the week ahead could bolster the case for a September interest rate cut, as investors deliberate how long stocks can sustain their rally to record highs. After a rocky start to the year, a recently improving inflation picture has investors hopeful the Federal Reserve could soon start to lower rates. Stubborn inflation patches The June consumer price index is expected to show a slight improvement in the headline number. In May, for example, shelter inflation rose 0.4% on the month and 5.4% on the year, while other key items declined. Monday, July 8 3 p.m. Consumer Credit (May) Tuesday, July 9 6 a.m. NFIB Small Business Index (June) Wednesday, July 10 10 a.m. Wholesale Inventories final (May) Thursday, July 11 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (June) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: nonfarm payrolls, Mark Malek, FactSet, there's, Ross Mayfield, Baird, Mayfield, David Kelly, CNBC's, Wells, Price, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CPI, PPI, FactSet, University of Michigan, Asset Management, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, Consumer Credit, Treasury Budget, Air Lines, Conagra, JPMorgan, Bank of New York Mellon Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Michigan, Fastenal
Why Nvidia just got a rare stock downgrade
  + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
Nvidia stock was downgraded to 'Neutral' by NewStreet Research on valuation concerns. AdvertisementNvidia stock got a rare downgrade on Wall Street on Friday. Ferragu said that while Nvidia still has the strongest AI franchise amongst its competitors, a "more prudent view on the stock" is necessary after its year-to-date rally of 157%. Downbeat opinions on Nvidia are rare among Wall Street analysts, with 89% of the 72 analysts who cover the company rating the stock a "Buy," according to data from Bloomberg. AdvertisementFerragu's $135 price target falls in-line with the average 12-month price target on the stock at $134.77.
Persons: Pierre Ferragu, , Ferragu Organizations: NewStreet Research, Service, Nvidia, NewStreet, Wall Street, Bloomberg
Termessos, Turkey CNN —Alexander the Great tried to conquer Termessos but failed. He reputedly called the city an “eagle’s nest.”Later, the Romans had more success in controlling the city. Barry Neild/CNNClimbing higher up the hillside on a rocky path sprouting with fragrant wild sage, there’s more evidence of how sophisticated life in Termessos would’ve been. Further up, the upper city walls give commanding views of the forest below and offer a good vantage point over anyone trying to sneak up for an invasion. In Termessos, the location is particularly significant, as it sits opposite a mountain that was once sacred to the city’s inhabitants.
Persons: Turkey CNN — Alexander the Great, Mount Güllük, Barry Neild, would’ve, , Önder Uğuz, he’s, Termessos, We’re, , Alexander the Great, Termessos would’ve Organizations: CNN, Turkey CNN, agora Locations: Termessos, Turkey, Antalya, That’s, Machu Picchu, Mount
The bull case for small caps as the second half kicks off
  + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +6 min
By contrast, the S & P 500 has already reached Jefferies' bull case of 5,400, the strategist noted. The right catalyst For investors, the bull case for small caps that prevailed when the year began, still holds. More immediately, second-quarter earnings may prove a positive catalyst for small caps since expectations are so low, according to Jefferies' DeSanctis. On a trailing 12-month basis, the S & P 500 is trading at a multiple of 25 times earnings. Ultimately, however, many investors say that a rotation into small caps is coming, even if it hasn't happened yet.
Persons: Russell, Richard Nixon, Steven DeSanctis, Jefferies, DeSanctis, Brian Leonard, Ross Mayfield, Baird, Keeley Teton's Leonard, Something's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Jefferies, CNBC Pro, Fed, Advisors Locations: Keeley
"He caused the inflation," Trump said of Biden during the June 27 debate. "He decimated the economy, absolutely decimated the economy," Biden said. 'Neither Trump nor Biden is to blame'Global events beyond Trump's or Biden's control wreaked havoc on supply-and-demand dynamics in the U.S. economy, fueling higher prices, economists said. "In my view, neither Trump nor Biden is to blame for the high inflation," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. For example, Trump imposed tariffs on imported steel, aluminum and several goods from China, which Biden largely kept intact.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Andrew Harnik, Trump, Biden, David Wessel, Mark Zandi, Mario Tama, Wessel, Zandi, Stephen Brown, , Michael Strain, Strain Organizations: Getty, Federal Reserve, Biden, Trump, Hutchins, Brookings Institution, Finance, Social Security, Medicare, Moody's, Port, International Monetary Fund, North, Capital Economics, American, American Enterprise Institute, Federal, U.S Locations: Atlanta, U.S, Ukraine, China, Port of Los Angeles, San Pedro , California, North America, It's
Federal Reserve officials at their June meeting indicated that inflation is moving in the right direction but not quickly enough for them to lower interest rates, minutes released Wednesday showed. "Participants affirmed that additional favorable data were required to give them greater confidence that inflation was moving sustainably toward 2 percent," the meeting summary said. The Fed targets 2% annual inflation, a level it has been above since early in 2021. Since the meeting, officials have largely stuck to a cautious script stressing data dependency rather than forecasts. However, there have been indications from multiple officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, that continued encouraging readings on inflation would provide confidence that rates can be lowered.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal, Open Market, Fed Locations: Portugal
"I don't think I ever had a customer send one back for being too tough, too marbled, or being unsatisfied with it," she told BI. Related stories"I've never had another salad like it — it's sweet, salty, and amazing," Lee told BI. "The best dessert to order from the menu was Thunder and Lightning because it featured chocolate, strawberries, and more chocolate," she told BI. "Most of the customers ordered these three to five times during a shift," he told BI. AdvertisementShe told BI that most of the time, people sent it back to the kitchen.
Persons: , Eric Bush, Michaela Mutell, Audria Lee, Irene Jiang, Mutell, Lee, Montell, I've, Bush, Oliver Tsang, fryer, Sydney Shrooms, Lee wasn't Organizations: Service, Business, Down, South China Morning, Getty, Sydney, Outback, Toowoomba Locations: American, Texas, New York, South
In a few days, bankrupt Tokyo-based bitcoin exchange Mt. Disbursements will be in a mix of bitcoin and bitcoin cash, an early offshoot of the original cryptocurrency. Gox — short for "Magic: The Gathering Online Exchange" — was once the largest spot bitcoin exchange globally, claiming to handle around 80% of all global dollar trades for bitcoin. Gox users would likely translate to huge sales in bitcoin as investors look to lock in gains. Vijay Ayyar, head of consumer growth for Asia-Pacific at crypto exchange Gemini, said that the overall impact of the Mt.
Persons: Omer Taha Cetin, that's, Disbursements, bitcoin, Gox, , John Glover, Glover, James Butterfill, bitcoin's, Gemini, Lennix Lai, Butterfill, Bitcoin, Jacob Joseph, Joseph, Alex Thorn, Thorn, Vijay Ayyar, Gox disbursement, Ayyar Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, CNBC, bitcoin, Barclays, CoinShares, Gemini, JPMorgan, Arkham Intelligence, Analysts, U.S . Securities, Exchange, Federal Reserve Locations: Tokyo, Gox, Mt, bitcoin, Asia, Pacific
Investors seeking to boost returns in their 60/40 portfolio should look to what AllianceBernstein calls "the magnificent others." "If you're finding companies that are giving you dividend growth rates of anywhere say from 10% to 12%, well north of inflation, that has a nice compounding effect," he said. What makes these dividend-paying stocks appealing is that free cash flow is expected to grow roughly 7% over the next five to six years, he said. Instead, investors should focus on companies that have free cash flow, a strong balance sheet and are competitively positioned, he said. Within dividend-paying names, Czaicki sees three specific areas of opportunity: energy transition and security, supply chain security, and national defense and cybersecurity.
Persons: Walt Czaicki, Czaicki, They're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Tech, Income
The third quarter starts on Monday with corporate earnings trends largely intact, but showing early signs of trouble in tech land. The good news: for the big-cap tech companies that are truly dominating the market ( Apple , Microsoft , Alphabet , Nvidia , etc.) Still no recession, in the economy or in earnings So far, we have a deceleration in big-cap tech earnings and clear signs the consumer wants lower prices. Earnings trends for tech may still be rising (even if it is decelerating), but the rest of the market is generally flattish on earnings. Earnings: rising Positive Tech earnings: rising but decelerating Negative Job growth: strong but moderating Positive Interest rates: moderating Positive Inflation: moderating Positive Consumer: increasingly cautious Negative
Persons: Jensen, Nick Raich, it's, Raich, Lori Calvasina, We've, I've, you've, Levi Strauss, General Mills, Tim Wentworth, Taco Bell, Mills Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Big, Meta, Jensen Huang's, Scout, U.S, Equity, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC, Nike, Walgreens, Micron, FedEx, General, . Companies, Southwest Airlines, Pool Corp, Urban Outfitters, Yum Brands
"It's the only complete adult Pleistocene wolf that's ever been found, so that in itself is really remarkable and completely unique," he added. AdvertisementThe wolf's stomach may hold its last meal and much moreScientists are investigating the wolf's stomach for signs of its last meal and ancient microbes. This discovery is just part of a larger collaboration to study other ancient animals, including fossil hares, a horse, and a bear. The researchers previously studied a wolf head from the Pleistocene era and have another wolf fossil awaiting dissection. Any ancient viruses or bacteria in the guts of the Yakutia wolf could help researchers better understand the microbes hiding inside permafrost creatures.
Persons: , Robert Losey, wasn't, Losey, Jean, Michel Claverie, Claverie Organizations: Service, Eastern Federal University, Business, University of Alberta, Institute of Experimental Medicine, Eastern, CNN Locations: Yakutia, Russia, North, Yakutsk, Yukon
"The stock price has lagged but we don't see any other catalysts medium term, hence we are moving to the sidelines." Micron shares were down 5% in the premarket. The analyst reiterated a buy rating on Micron stock with a $175 per share price target, implying nearly 23% upside from Wednesday's $142.36 close. He raised his price target to $158 per share price from $138, calling for 11% upside. Arya maintained a buy rating on Micron stock with a $170 per share price target, or about 19% upside moving forward.
Persons: Vivek Juneja, — Brian Evans, TD Cowen, Cowen, John Blackledge, Keefe, David Konrad, Brian Evans, Christopher Danely, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Hari, Vivek Arya, Arya, Caio Ribeiro, Ribeiro, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Micron Technology, Bank of America, Petrobras, JPMorgan downgrades U.S, Bancorp, JPMorgan, U.S . Bancorp, New York Mellon, Bank of New, Bank of New York Mellon, BK, Mellon, Micron, MU, Citi Locations: Brazil, U.S, Bank of New York, CY2025
Since its inconclusive 2006 war with the Lebanese militant group, Israel has been planning for a re-match. During the 2006 war, in the experience of this correspondent, it was rare to encounter Hezbollah fighters. In the event of war, full-scale war, both sides will be able to inflict significant pain on the other. In the entire 34-day war of 2006 Hezbollah is estimated to have fired around 4,000 rockets – a daily average of 117. At 6 a.m. on July 13, 2006 – less than 24 hours after the start of the war – Israeli warplanes bombed and knocked out Beirut’s Rafic Hariri International Airport.
Persons: CNN —, Benny Gantz, Hassan Nasrallah, – Nasrallah, Avihu Shapira, Gantz, Beirut’s Rafic, , Israel, Iran’s, Qais Al, Ahl Al, Haq, Lebanon “ Organizations: CNN, Reichman University, Israel, Getty, Beirut’s Rafic Hariri International Airport, Tel Aviv’s Ben Gurion International, Washington Locations: Lebanon, Herzliya, Israel, Lebanese, Haifa, Syria, Gaza, Iraq, Iran, It’s, Israel’s, Yemen, Red, Jordan, America, Tehran, Damascus, Hormuz, Persian, Germany, Sweden, Kuwait, Netherlands
Investors should consider using the pullback in Micron Technology to snatch up shares, according to several Wall Street analysts. His $175 price target implies upside of more than 22% from Wednesday's close. Goldman Sachs analyst Toshiya Hari also viewed the drop as a buying opportunity, citing expectations for growth in AI compute and high-bandwidth memory market share gains. Hari has a price target of $158, signaling 11% upside over the next 12 months. MU 1D mountain Micron shares fall on in-line guidance Wells Fargo's Aaron Rakers reiterated his overweight rating and $190 price target, implying more than 33% upside.
Persons: Christopher Danely, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Hari, Harlan Sur, Bernstein, Mark Li, Timothy Arcuri, Wells Fargo's Aaron Rakers, Vivek Arya Organizations: Micron Technology, MU, Micron, UBS, Bank of Locations: Wednesday's, CY25, ramping HBM
CNN —President Joe Biden and his predecessor, Donald Trump, are set to make history on CNN Thursday night as they meet for their first 2024 debate. Thursday’s debate will be the earliest in the election cycle that a presidential debate featuring the major parties’ nominees has taken place in modern history. That’s why Trump’s advisers and allies have urged the former president to focus on issues like the economy, crime and inflation as he debates Biden. The Biden campaign knows all this, of course, so it will be interesting – and instructive – to hear his message and analyze where it’s being targeted. The Trump campaign distanced itself, in part, from the plan, noting that the advisers who wrote it are not on the payroll.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, It’ll, Biden —, , Trump, Hunter, Jake Tapper, Dana, insurrectionists, Biden, parry, Wade, Roe, , CNN’s Erin Burnett, won’t Biden, ” Biden, , Lincoln, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, Putin, ” He’s Organizations: CNN, United States, Trump, Capitol, GOP, Biden, NATO, Reuters, Kyiv, Republicans, UFC Locations: New York, Georgia’s, Atlanta, Washington , Florida, Georgia, Russia, Israel, Gaza, Ukraine, Moscow, Kyiv, Western Europe, United States
CNN —A lone diver first laid eyes on the ancient Kyrenia shipwreck off the north coast of Cyprus nearly 60 years ago. The authors of a new study dated almonds found aboard the Kyrenia ship to find a new estimated range of years for when the ancient vessel's last voyage took place. Dating a Hellenistic-era shipTwo main obstacles stood in the way of achieving a high-precision age estimate for the Kyrenia shipwreck, according to Manning. The Kyrenia ship's hull is seen shortly after it was raised from the seabed and reassembled. Kyrenia Ship Excavation“Part of the value of this story is about process.
Persons: CNN —, , Andreas Cariolou, Michael Katzev, , , Sturt Manning, Manning, ” Manning, you’ve, it’s, Mark Lawall, Lawall, ” Lawall Organizations: CNN, Cornell University, Northern Hemisphere, University of Manitoba Locations: Kyrenia, Cyprus, New York, Winnipeg
Boeing said it had previously investigated Cuevas’ allegations and they did not pose a safety problem. Cuevas said he filed a complaint with Boeing’s ethics hotline, reporting to management that he believed Spirit was hiding the issues from Boeing. He also alleges that Boeing opened an investigation into Cuevas’ concerns in October 2023, alerting Spirit management to the complaints. A separate report found “gaps” in Boeing’s safety culture, including a disconnect between management and employees, and fears among employees about retaliation for reporting safety concerns. Calhoun said Boeing is “far from perfect,” and he acknowledged that the company will not easily regain the public’s trust.
Persons: CNN —, ” Richard Cuevas, Spirit Aerosystems, Cuevas, , Aerosystems, Strom, ” Cuevas, “ we’ve, Spirit, Sam Salehpour, Dave Calhoun, Calhoun Organizations: CNN, Boeing, Federal Aviation Administration, FAA, US Department of Justice Locations: Everett, Washington
Risk sentiment was also capped as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials kept near-term U.S. rate cut expectations in check in a boost to the dollar. The comments along with data showing a stable housing market kept expectations in check over when and by how much the Fed will cut rates. Markets are pricing in 47 basis points of easing this year, with a rate cut in September pegged at 66% probability, CME FedWatch tool showed. In the currency market, the dollar index , which measures the U.S. unit against six peers, was steady at 105.64, while the euro was at $1.0715. The yen touched a 34-year low of 160.245 per dollar on April 29, prompting Tokyo to spend roughly 9.8 trillion in late April and early May to support the currency.
Persons: Androniki, Lisa Cook, Cook, Michelle Bowman, Selena Ling, OCBC, OCBC's Ling, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, . Federal, Reuters, Bank of Japan's, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, Pacific
Antelopes, hundreds of thousands of them, are crossing the savannas of South Sudan. But a report published today estimates that South Sudan is home to the largest known migration of land mammals on Earth. South Sudan, a country in central Africa, has a varied landscape, from rainforests to lush savannas and swamplands fed by the Nile River (pictured). Marcus Westberg He suspects that the migration’s survival and growth is likely to be linked to the decades of war South Sudan has suffered. South Sudan gained independence from Sudan in 2011 after decades of civil war.
Persons: Marcus Westberg, Mike Fay, , Steve Boyes, South Sudan Fay, He’s, “ It’s, Jigar, Fay, ” Fay, , you’ve, We’ve, “ We’ve, Boyes, Salva Kiir Mayardit Organizations: CNN, Initiative, African Parks, African Parks Network, Parks Network, United Nations, Parks, Rolex, Ministry of Wildlife Locations: South Sudan, Sudan, Africa, African, Ethiopia, South Sudan’s, Juba, , Tanzania
How the Midwest Floods Nearly Took Out a Century-Old Dam
  + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( Mitch Smith | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
The Rapidan Dam, a feature of the southern Minnesota landscape for more than a century, was “in imminent failure condition.”“We do not know if it will totally fail or if it will remain in place,” officials said on Monday as dead trees and other debris piled up at the dam and floods overwhelmed the Upper Midwest. At one point, a support structure alongside the dam partly failed and gushing waters carved out a nearby cliff. Video footage showed a nearby building collapsing on itself and being sucked into the river. But by Tuesday, the main part of the dam was intact, and water flows were beginning to slow. “The Rapidan Dam, we think, is going to continue to hold up,” Bob Jacobson, the commissioner of the Minnesota Department of Public Safety, said late Tuesday afternoon after state officials flew over the dam to survey the damage.
Persons: ” Bob Jacobson, Organizations: Minnesota Department of Public Locations: Minnesota, Midwest
Enjoy the splendor of chairs lined up behind three conjoined conference tables! Admire the care with which pens, stacks of paper and wee bottles of water have been laid like dinner settings! Warily consult the large clock on the upstage wall that offers the real time — at least at first. The Elevator Repair Service production, playing at Bard through July 14, somehow manages to reduce the novel’s more than 260,000 words to 2 hours and 40 minutes with much of its humor, pathos and bawdiness intact. It’s not the complete text, of course; for that you must spend 24 hours at a Bloomsday marathon, during which even the readers may fall asleep.
Persons: College’s, Ulysses ” Organizations: College’s Fisher, Repair, Bard
Omar Al-qattaa | Afp | Getty ImagesIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu signaled that the "intense" phase of fighting in the war-torn Gaza enclosure is close to ending, while stressing the broader war against Hamas wages on. "After the intense phase is finished, we will have the possibility to move part of the forces north. And secondly, to bring our [evacuated] residents home," Netanyahu said, according to a Reuters translation. Thousands of Israeli and Lebanese civilians have been displaced from their border-facing settlements amid fire exchanged since the October start of the Jewish state's war campaign against Palestinian militant group Hamas in the Gaza Strip. watch nowAsked when the intense stage of combat against Hamas will finalize, Netanyahu on Sunday said, "Very soon," according to a Google translation of the Channel 14 report.
Persons: Omar Al, Benjamin Netanyahu, Netanyahu, Israel Katz, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, Amos Hochstein, Annalena Baerbock Organizations: Afp, Getty, Channel, Palestinian, Hamas, Israeli Defense Forces, Lebanese, Sunday, Palestinian Authority, West Bank, Israel, Israeli Foreign, German, Monday, Reuters Locations: al, Gaza City, Israel, Palestinian, qattaa, Gaza, Lebanon, Iran, Rafah
CNN —Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Sunday that the “intense phase of the war with Hamas (in Gaza) is about to end,” and that the military’s focus could then shift to Israel’s northern border with Lebanon. “It doesn’t mean that the war is going to end, but the war in its current stage is going to end in Rafah. Netanyahu was also asked in the interview if his solution to ending the conflict with Hezbollah was via agreement or war. Our terms are not ending the war, leaving Gaza, and leaving Hamas intact. We need to eliminate them.”Israel launched its war in Gaza following the Hamas attacks of October 7, when militants killed about 1,200 people and took more than 250 hostages.
Persons: Benjamin Netanyahu, ” Netanyahu, “ I’m, Netanyahu, , ” Israel Organizations: CNN, Israeli, Sunday, Hamas, Channel, Television Locations: Gaza, Lebanon, Rafah, , Iran, Israel
Editor’s note: A version of this story appeared in CNN’s Wonder Theory science newsletter. The Triceratops fossil emerged first as it eroded from the rock of the Hell Creek Formation in 2006. Across the universeAn artist's illustration shows a supermassive black hole as it wakes up at the center of a faraway galaxy. M. Kornmesser/ESOAstronomers are watching a supermassive black hole awakening in the middle of a distant galaxy for the first time. Sign up here to receive in your inbox the next edition of Wonder Theory, brought to you by CNN Space and Science writers Ashley Strickland and Katie Hunt.
Persons: dino, rex, Mark Eatman, , Eatman, Sergey Krasovskiy, Lokiceratops rangiformis, Lokiceratops, Butch Wilmore, Suni Williams, won’t, Stephen Hawking, Robert Erwan Fordyce, Benjamin Kear, Martin Bernetti, Fernando Trujillo, Ashley Strickland, Katie Hunt Organizations: CNN, North Carolina Museum of Natural Sciences, NASA, International Space Station, Boeing, ESO, University of Otago, Southern Hemisphere, Uppsala University’s Museum, Evolution, Getty, CNN Space, Science Locations: what’s, Montana, Raleigh, what's, Maribo, Denmark, British, New Zealand, Pangea, Uppsala, Sweden, Nui, Chile, AFP, Easter, Rapa, Colombian
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThere are two major similarities between today's stock market environment and the dot-com bubble era, says RIA Advisors CIO Lance Roberts. RIA Advisors/AccentureAnd two, there is a small group of firms leading the overall stock market rally, just as it was in 2000. He's a bit more optimistic this time around because of the robust earnings performance fueling the few stocks leading the market. Advertisement"We are again experiencing another of these speculative 'booms,' as anything related to artificial intelligence grips investors' imaginations," Roberts said.
Persons: , Lance Roberts, Roberts, Jonathan Golub Organizations: Service, RIA, Business, Accenture, Nvidia, UBS, Investors, Federal Reserve
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