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China is considering a fresh $1.4 trillion stimulus, Reuters reported. The package could be approved next week and would increase in size if Trump wins the election. The large fiscal stimulus would be increased if Republican nominee and former President Donald Trump wins the US election, the report says. The remaining 4 trillion yuan would be raised by local government bonds and put toward idle land and property purchases, the sources told Reuters. AdvertisementIf Trump is elected, the stimulus package could be higher due to the economic challenges Trump's policies would pose for China, the sources told Reuters.
Persons: Trump's, , Donald Trump, Trump, he's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Reuters, Trump, Service, Republican, National People's Congress, China, Wall Locations: China, Beijing
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says the Fed will cut rates just once more this year. The market sees two more 25 basis point cuts before the end of the year. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve will disappoint markets by cutting interest rates just one more time in 2024, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said. Fink said the Fed will likely cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the end of the year amid a rise in global inflation. The central bank kicked off its easing cycle with a jumbo 50 basis point cut last month.
Persons: Larry Fink, , Fink, " Fink, we're, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: BlackRock, Fed, Service, Reserve, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs Act, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, CNBC Locations: Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSeeing some modest upside risk to oil prices from here, says Goldman Sachs' Daan StruyvenDaan Struyven, Goldman Sachs head of global commodities research, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the recent oil price trends, impact of geopolitical risks, and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Daan, Daan Struyven
U.S. crude oil rose more than 1% on Tuesday, one day after posting the worst daily loss in two years. Energy traders were relieved Monday after Israel's long-anticipated retaliatory strikes on Iran last Friday spared the Islamic Republic's oil and nuclear facilities. The benchmark U.S. crude oil contract sold off more than 6%, or $4.40, to $67.38 per barrel. Here are Tuesday's energy prices:Goldman Sachs expects the price of Brent to recover to $77 per barrel in the fourth quarter even without any oil supply disruptions in the Middle East. Demand is soft in China, U.S. production is robust and OPEC+ has plans to bring crude back to the market in December.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Daan Struyven, CNBC's, Struyven, Brent Organizations: Energy, U.S . Strategic Petroleum Reserve Locations: Iran, U.S, China
The U.S. Federal Reserve won't cut interest rates as much as markets expect because "embedded inflation" is too high, Blackrock CEO Larry Fink said Tuesday, speaking at a CEO-studded panel in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The Biden administration's legislation, such as the Inflation Reduction Act and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, have pushed those efforts forward. "Today, I think we have governmental policies that are embedded inflationary, and, with that being said, we're not gonna see interest rates as low as people are forecasting," Fink said. The Fed cut its benchmark rate by 50 basis points in September, signaling a turning point in its management of the U.S. economy and in its outlook for inflation. In late-September reports, strategists at J.P. Morgan and Fitch Ratings predicted two additional interest rate cuts by the end of 2024, and expect such reductions to continue into 2025.
Persons: Andrew Ross Sorkin, Larry Fink, Saudi Arabia . Fink, " Fink, onshoring, we're, Fink, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Carlyle, Morgan Stanley Organizations: BlackRock, New York Times DealBook, Jazz, Lincoln Center, U.S . Federal, Blackrock, Saudi, Future Investment Initiative, Biden, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Fed, Fitch, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Standard Chartered Locations: New York City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, China, U.S
Wall Street is in the thick of earnings season, and some companies that have already reported could outperform going forward, Wolfe Research found. Following the bank's latest earnings report on Oct. 15, Wells Fargo reiterated its overweight rating on shares of Goldman Sachs. Shares rallied nearly 18% on Thursday after the health-care company posted earnings and revenue beats. Molina Healthcare earned an adjusted $6.01 per share, while the LSEG consensus estimate called for $5.81 in earnings per share. ServiceNow shares are up more than 35% year to date.
Persons: Wolfe, we're, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Mike Mayo, Molina, ServiceNow, Brad Sills Organizations: Wolfe Research, U.S, Molina Healthcare, . Software, Bank of America
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Tuesday: Evercore ISI reiterates Amazon as overweight Evercore says it's sticking with the stock ahead of earnings later this week. Evercore ISI reiterates Uber as overweight Evercore says it's bullish on Uber heading into earnings on Thursday. Janney upgrades First Solar to buy from neutral Janney says the solar company is attractive ahead of earnings on Tuesday afternoon. " Evercore ISI reiterates Meta as overweight Evercore says it's sticking with Meta ahead of earnings on Wednesday. Barclays reiterates Tesla as equal weight Barclays raised its price target on the stock to $235 per share from $220.
Persons: Evercore, Uber, it's bullish, Janney, Goldman Sachs, Ford, Goldman, Wells, Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Bernstein, TD Cowen, Cowen, it's, Mizuho, Stephens, ROA, Guggenheim, HOOD, we've Organizations: Ford, CTV, APP, Citi, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Barclays, Walmart, Mizuho, Netflix, Guggenheim, Six Flags Entertainment Locations: Mexican, Brazil, Mexico, China, U.S
Mortgage rates will remain above 6% throughout 2025, Goldman Sachs said. In the bank's 2025 Housing Outlook, the analysts forecast mortgage rates will remain elevated, even as the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. They expect mortgage rates to stay above 6% next year and end 2025 at 6.1%. "Our strategists expect mortgage rates to remain elevated for the foreseeable future," the analysts, led by Jan Hatzius, said in a Monday note. AdvertisementThey pointed to a variety of technical factors, including lower rates volatility and a rebound in demand for mortgage-backed securities that will help close the gap between risk-free rates and mortgage rates.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Freddie Mac, Jan Hatzius Organizations: Analysts, Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury
The CEOs of Southwest Airlines and American Airlines both want Boeing to deliver planes on time. "Boeing has been a great partner for the whole 53 years of Southwest Airlines, but we need Boeing to be strong. Southwest's fleet consists of 228 Boeing 737 Max 8s, 381 Boeing 737-800s, and 207 Boeing 737-700s, according to aviation website FlightRadar24. Southwest reported earlier this year that it expected to receive around 20 Boeing 737 Max 8. The manufacturer announced on Monday that it is offering 90 million common shares and about $5 billion worth of depositary shares for sale.
Persons: , Bob Jordan, Robert Isom, Jordan, it's, Isom, they're, We've, he's, Kelly Ortberg, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, Boeing, Service, Southwest, Yahoo Finance, Max, CNBC, Alaska Airlines, SEC, Bank of America, Citibank, JPMorgan, Business
AdvertisementWall Street bankers tasked with helping companies raise money through sales of stock just got an early Christmas present. The sale ended up raising nearly $21 billion, marking one of the largest deals for US equity-capital-markets bankers in history. Thanks to the Boeing capital raise, he now predicts ECM bonus increases of 30%, he said. 'A rising tide lifts all boats,' comp expert saysThe ultimate size of Boeing's capital raise puts it in league with some of the largest raises ever, according to global equity capital raise data provided by LSEG. But, based on Johnson's forecast, it seems those involved in the Boeing capital raise may find themselves flying highest on bonus day.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , bookrunners Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Alan Johnson, Johnson, Semafor, Thoma Bravo, It's, they've Organizations: Boeing, PJT Partners, RBC Capital Markets, Service, Monday, Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Wall, Johnson Associates, LSEG, Petrobras, Lloyds, Nasdaq Locations: Brazilian, British
Boeing is looking for a $19 billion boost
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Aditi Bharade | Pete Syme | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Boeing is looking to raise nearly $19 billion to combat its lack of cash. It comes after Boeing reported a net loss of $6.1 billion in the third quarter. AdvertisementBoeing needs cash, and it's trying to raise almost $19 billion as the company looks to boost its liquidity. The planemaker announced Monday that it is offering 90 million common shares and about $5 billion of depositary shares for sale. Last Wednesday, Boeing reported a net loss of $6.1 billion in its third-quarter earnings.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Max, Dave Calhoun, Ron Epstein Organizations: Boeing, Alaska Airlines, Service, planemaker, Bank of America, Citibank, JPMorgan Chase, Alaska Airlines Boeing
Morgan Stanley initiates FrontView REIT as overweight Morgan Stanley said the commercial real estate investment trust company is well positioned. " Morgan Stanley downgrades Global Foundries to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees rising competition for the semis company. " Morgan Stanley upgrades Nutanix to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said the cloud computing software company is well positioned. " Morgan Stanley downgrades Ciena to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees a more balanced risk/reward for the networking and systems software company. Wedbush adds Roblox to the best ideas list The firm said it sees robust revenue growth ahead.
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald, Morgan Stanley, FrontView, Baird, AAON, Canaccord, Tesla, Jefferies, NTNX, Wells, Raymond James downgrades, Wolfe, DOV, Morgan Stanley downgrades Ciena, Piper Sandler, Bowlero, Piper, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, it's bullish, Marcellus, Bernstein, SARO, Stifel downgrades, Oppenheimer, Monness Crespi Hardt, Coinbase, Stifel, it's Organizations: Nvidia, Broadcom, MU, JPMorgan, Apple, Dell, Cisco, Spotify, Honeywell, Walmart, " Bank of America, Antero Resources, Bank of America, Macquarie, China EV, Stifel downgrades Colgate, Palmolive, Colgate, Commerce, ~$ Locations: AVGO, 1H25, Dover, Appalachia, Utica, West Virginia
This is a trader's market, says Goldman Sachs' Tony Pasquariello
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThis is a trader's market, says Goldman Sachs' Tony PasquarielloTony Pasquariello, Goldman Sachs global head of hedge fund coverage, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss his stock outlook and the bull rally's risk-reward setup.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Tony Pasquariello Tony Pasquariello
China's industrial profits in September dropped at its fastest pace since the pandemic, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed, as the country tussles with an economy plagued by slow growth, lack of demand and a property crisis. After a 17.8% fall in August, industrial profits declined 27.1% in September from a year ago, marking the steepest plunge since March 2020, when it dropped by 34.9%, according to data kept by Wind Information. In the first nine months, industrial profits fell by 3.5% from a year ago. NBS statistician Yu Weining said "insufficient demand and a sharp decline in producer prices" weighed down the profitability of industrial firms. Gary Ng, senior economist at Natixis, said in an email to CNBC that "the weakness of industrial profits indicates China's greater need for demand-side policies."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Hui Shan, Yu Weining, Gary Ng Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, Information, People's, CNBC, Reuters, PMI Locations: Jiangxi Province, Shanghai, China, Beijing
In today's big story, the first of our five-part refresher series on the potential impact Donald Trump and Kamala Harris presidencies could have on US consumers. Business Insider's Matthew Fox detailed how Wall Street sees former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris affecting the investment landscape if they win the White House. One of the biggest areas where Harris and Trump differ is their proposed tax policies, which are believed to have big impacts on stocks. AdvertisementTrump's universal tariffs proposal is also viewed as having a big impact. It's a big week for Apple.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Matthew Fox, Harris, Trump, it's, Alyssa Powell, Joe Biden, Steve Sosnick, Neil Dutta, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Rebecca Zisser, Elon Musk, James Yates, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Grace Lett, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Getty, BI, White, Bank of America, Interactive Brokers, JPMorgan, Twitter, Elon, Apple, Apple Intelligence, iOS, Venture, Ford Motors, MLB, LA Dodgers, New York Yankees, Forbes Locations: It's, New York, London, Chicago
UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves makes a speech during the Labour Party Conference that is held at the ACC Liverpool Convention Center in Liverpool, UK on September 23, 2024. LONDON — U.K. Finance Minister Rachel Reeves will deliver the government's hotly awaited debut budget on Wednesday, putting to bed weeks of uncertainty over potential tax hikes and spending cuts. Reports suggest that the Treasury could target public sector net financial liabilities (PSNFL) in the U.K.'s measure of debt, rather than public sector net debt. The PSNFL measure takes in a wider account of the government's balance sheet, including financial assets and liabilities, than public sector net debt. In a note Friday, Goldman Sachs estimated that the changes could increase the government's fiscal headroom by around £50 billion ($65 billion).
Persons: Rachel Reeves, — Labour's, , Keir Starmer, Reeves, Goldman Sachs, Goldman sachs Organizations: Labour Party Conference, ACC Liverpool Convention Center, LONDON, Finance, Sky News, Financial Times, Treasury Locations: Liverpool
Mike Huckabee's lawsuit over his bogus CBD gummies ads on Facebook is an exception. In May, Huckabee, a Baptist minister and staunch conservative, discovered his manipulated image had been used for months in Facebook ads for CBD gummies. A false Facebook ad, since taken down, in which former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee "endorses" CBD gummies. Mike Huckabee can't remember the precise moment in May when he realized his doppelganger was selling CBD gummies. Meta is due to file additional papers supporting its motion to dismiss the Huckabee lawsuit on Monday.
Persons: Mike Huckabee's, , Oprah Winfrey, Taylor Smith, Donald Trump, Tom Hanks shilled, Tom Hanks, Jennifer Aniston, Mike Huckabee, Huckabee, Meta, Eric Goldman, Scott Poynter, Andrew Forrest, Forrest's, P, Casey Pitts, Forrest, Poynter, Goldman, Anderson, Nylah Anderson, TikTok, Fortin, he'd Organizations: Facebook, Meta, Service, Arkansas Gov, Huckabee, Baptist, Communications, Business, Santa Clara University, Arkansas, Trinity Broadcasting Network, Fox, Trinity Broadcasting, BI Locations: Arkansas, American, Delaware, California, Pennsylvania
Monday Ford Motor is set to report earnings after the bell, followed by a conference call at 5 p.m. What history shows: Bespoke Investment Group data shows Ford beats earnings expectations 68% of the time. What to watch: Meta is in a good spot heading into this week's report, according to Bernstein's Mark Shmulik. Microsoft is set to report earnings after the close, with a conference call on deck for 5:30 p.m. Amazon is set to report earnings after the market close, with a conference call at 5 p.m.
Persons: Edison Yu, Yu, BioNTech, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Hari, LSEG, Bernstein's Mark Shmulik, Morgan Stanley's Keith Weiss, AAPL, KeyBanc, Justin Post Organizations: Apple, Ford Motor . Pharmaceutical, Pfizer, Corporate America, Monday Ford, LSEG, Ford, AMD, Cloud Service, Google, Microsoft, Windows, CNBC, Management, Amazon Web Services, Bank of America, Amazon Locations: Temu, .
And how should investors be thinking about future equity returns as the bull market enters its third year riding stellar multi-year performance and facing demanding valuations? So, expansionary policies that would quicken the economy's metabolism and produce more inflation was exactly what the market craved then – but now? Right now, the S & P 500 is up 42% from 18 months ago and fetches 22-times expected earnings. No reliable augurs of a coming bear market are in evidence: S & P up 10 of 11 months, making a new high in September, credit spreads resolutely narrow, all point to an upside bias over a span of months, at least. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD Which leaves the question of just how much upside, if any, a bull should reasonably expect from here.
Persons: Warren Pies, Pat Tschosik, Ned Davis, Donald Trump, payrolls, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, 3Fourteen Research, Trump, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Dow, Leuthold, quicken, Wall Locations: U.S, China, Wells
CFO turnover hit 8.9% globally during the period, surpassing levels in 2022 and 2023. A global pandemic, increased geopolitical tensions overseas, supply chain disruptions and recession concerns have made the CFO role even harder. Jim Cramer also has pounded the table of the importance of the CFO role, arguing that "a good CFO can give you a feeling of a Good Housekeeping seal of approval." Moving forward, it's unclear whether CFO turnover will continue to pickup. "If a CFO immediately resigns intra quarter, what companies will do sometimes is reaffirm their guidance to ease investor concerns.
Persons: Zachary Kirkhorn, Deepak Ahuja, Russell Reynolds, CFOs, Steve Gallucci, , they've, Goldman Sachs, David Viniar, Josh Crist, Crist, Raymond James, Paul Shoukry, Jim Cramer, Amy Hood, Hood, we've …, Costco's Richard Galanti, Eli Lilly, Anat Ashkenazi, Ashkenazi, Ruth Porat, Apple, Luca Maestri, Amy Weaver, Mike Stepniak, Jeff Marks, Marks, It's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: Wall Street, Deloitte's Global, CNBC, Fortune, Goldman, Bloomberg News, Kolder, Microsoft, Honeywell, Federal, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Istock, Getty
John Hussman warns of poor S&P 500 returns over the next 12 years. Current expectations have the S&P 500 underperforming Treasurys by 9.9% annually over the next 12 years. But valuations are causing skepticism about future market returns among others on Wall Street, even if not to the same degree. Related storiesEarlier this week, Goldman Sachs forecast that the S&P 500 would average 3% annual returns over the next decade. His Strategic Growth Fund is down about 55% since December 2010 and has fallen 16% in the past 12 months.
Persons: John Hussman, , you'll, you'd, Hussman, Hussman's, it's, Goldman Sachs, It's Organizations: Treasurys, Service, Hussman Investment Trust
The Dodgers and Yankees will face off in the MLB 2024 World Series. AdvertisementWhen the Dodgers and Yankees take the field to battle it out for the 120th World Series championship, the players won't be the only ones with trophies on the line. The financier is worth $6 billion, according to Forbes. Now, the team is owned by George's kids, Hank Steinbrenner, Jessica Steinbrenner, Hal Steinbrenner, and Jennifer Steinbrenner Swindal. Related storiesThe bulk of the Steinbrenners' fortune is tied up in the Yankees, which is MLB's most valuable franchise, worth $7.93 billion, according to Sportico.
Persons: Mark Walter, Steinbrenner, , Walter, Magic Johnson, Stan Kasten, I'm, Johnson, George Steinbrenner, Hank Steinbrenner, Jessica Steinbrenner, Hal Steinbrenner, Jennifer Steinbrenner Swindal, Forbes, I've, Marc Lasry, Sportico, Banks, Goldman Sachs, Ivo Voynov Organizations: Dodgers, Yankees, Sports, Service, Guggenheim Partners, Forbes, Atlanta Braves, Los Angeles, MLB, Los Angeles Times, CBS, franchise's YES, Major League Soccer's New, Major League Soccer's New York City FC, Legends Hospitality, Italian soccer, AC Milan, Professional, Yankee, Milwaukee Bucks, Citi Private Bank Locations: Major League Soccer's New York, Italian
Some guests at Saudi Arabia's annual investment conference will have the chance to visit part of Neom. A group of visitors will be taken to Sindalah, an island retreat in the Red Sea, Bloomberg reports. AdvertisementAs guests descend upon Saudi Arabia for a major annual investment conference, some will have the opportunity to see the country's futuristic megacity, Neom, firsthand. Days before the conference begins, a select group of guests has been invited to visit Sindalah Island, per Bloomberg. Sindalah is a luxury island complex in the Red Sea off Saudi Arabia's west coast designed as a "unique escape" for visitors to Neom.
Persons: Neom, , BlackRock's Larry Fink, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Citigroup's Jane Fraser, Julia Hoggett, Ken Griffin, Sindalah, Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Malcolm Aw Organizations: Saudi, Bloomberg, Service, Investment Initiative, London Stock, Solar, Business Locations: Neom, Red, Saudi, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh, Sindalah
Here's how the process could work and what Wall Street bankers stand to gain. AdvertisementAs third-quarter earnings demonstrated, Wall Street dealmaking appears to be bouncing back after three years of lackluster activity. Spokespersons for both Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley declined to comment or confirm their reported participation in the project. The two investment bankers – neither of whom are affiliated with Goldman, Morgan Stanley, OpenAI, or Microsoft — requested anonymity to preserve industry relationships. Largely speaking, however, Wall Street is poised to win, Roberts said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, , OpenAI, , Morgan Stanley's, PwC, Michael Roberts, Morgan, Roberts, Wharton, dealmaker, Sam Altman, Altman, Elon Musk, Reed Alexander Organizations: Service, Wall Street Journal, Microsoft, The, BI, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Goldman, Wall Street, Wharton, dealmakers, Apple, Tesla Locations: San Francisco, Silicon Valley
The lack of uniformity allows both firms and employees to present themselves in the best light. This lack of uniformity and the relentless war for talent has firms and employees alike taking advantage of the ambiguity. Rokos has two dozen employees with the title "investment officer" in their LinkedIn profiles. At Coatue, executives sign off on what employees put as their title on LinkedIn, people familiar with the firm's operations said. Members of Tiger Global's front-office team use "investor" as their title on LinkedIn instead of a more specific role.
Persons: , David Einhorn's, James Fishback, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Ken Griffin, Gerald Beeson, Sjoerd, Google's Paul Darrah, Jose Gamez, Rokos, Chris Rokos, Paul Enright, Townie Wells, Enright, Jain, Tiger, Marshall Wace, D.E, Shaw, allocators, Elliott, Don Steinbrugge, Steinbrugge Organizations: Service, Goldman, Bloomberg, Business, Industry, Citadel, Citadel Securities, Jain, Townie, Viking Global, Sigma, Fund, Talent, Agecroft Partners Locations: Greenlight, Miami, Palm Beach, London, Wells, Coatue
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