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A screen displays the Nikkei 225 Stock Average figure on the trading floor at the Nomura Securities Co. headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, on Jan. 11, 2024. SINGAPORE — Asia-Pacific markets opened higher Wednesday after Wall Street surged overnight ahead of the U.S. presidential election results. Japan's Nikkei 225 opened up 0.7%, while the Topix gained 0.4%. The Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting minutes will be released later in the day, which could give insights on where the members stand on the bank's policy path. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.7% higher.
Persons: Kospi Organizations: Nomura Securities Co, U.S, Nikkei, People's Congress Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE — Asia, Pacific
During his first term, Trump imposed tariffs on key industries in both Europe and China. AdvertisementThis time around, analysts told BI that Trump's policies could have a particular impact on Europe. Related storiesEurope is particularly vulnerable to Trump's aggressive trade policies for two main reasons, said Nigel Green, CEO of financial advisory firm deVere Group. AdvertisementDonald Trump met European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen at the World Economic Forum in Davos in 2020. Steven Kennedy, the most senior civil servant in Australia's Treasury department, said Wednesday he expected Trump's tariffs to impact the country's economy.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, , Donald Trump, Bilal Hafeez, Nigel Green, Green, Morningstar, Trump's, Michael Brown, Ursula von der Leyen, JIM WATSON, Steven Kennedy, Kennedy, Fitch, Latinvex Organizations: Service, European Union, Macro, Economic, of Chicago, Street Journal, deVere, Pharmaceuticals, Morningstar DBRS, Trump, stoke, European, Getty, European Commission, Treasury, News.com.au Locations: Europe, China, Ukraine, Davos, Australasia, Latin America, America, Mexico
It is currently 5% off its all-time high, after trading near it last week. Stocks tied to the price of the cryptocurrency got a boost in earlier trading during regular stock market hours. Investors are expecting bitcoin trading to be choppy until a clear winner is declared. "Expect bitcoin – and crypto more broadly – to be choppy in the days ahead … until we have definitive election results." "For now, everyone we've spoken to is keeping their powder dry," said James Davies, CEO at crypto futures and options trading platform Crypto Valley Exchange.
Persons: bitcoin, Stocks, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Ryan Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Harris, Julio Moreno, James Davies, I've Organizations: U.S, Metrics, Investors, Bitwise Asset Management, Trump, Federal
S&P 500 futures ticked up 0.1% and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat. Goldman Sachs predicts that a Trump win and Republican sweep of Congress would spark a 3% pop in the S&P 500. Even a Trump win and a divided Congress would cause about a 1.5% gain, the bank predicts. On the other hand, a Harris win with a divided Congress would cause a 1.5% drop in the S&P 500, the bank told its clients. The stock market staged a broad rally Tuesday before the election results were in with the S&P 500 gaining 1.2%, bringing the benchmark's 2024 gains to more than 21%.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Goldman Sachs, Harris, Trump, Jason Trennert, Dow Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, America, Investors, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Traders Locations: Kentucky, Indiana
Asia-Pacific markets are set to trade mixed on Tuesday as investors prepared for the U.S. presidential election and a possible interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve later this week. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index futures were at 20,658, slightly higher than the HSI's last close of 20,567.52. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 slid 0.32% as traders keep an eye on the upcoming central bank rate decision. Analysts at HSBC and the Commonwealth Bank of Australia expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to leave the cash rate unchanged. South Korea's consumer inflation in October rose 1.3% from a year ago, slightly cooler than Reuters' expectations of 1.4%.
Persons: Australia's Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Nikkei, HSBC, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of Australia Locations: Asia, Pacific, Chicago, Osaka
Bitcoin, an asset tied to a Trump victory given the candidates courtship of the industry, soared to a record $75,000 . Heading into the election, investors and analysts pointed to several stocks and sectors that could benefit from a Trump win. Here's a roundup of some of those: Steel stocks If Trump regains the presidency, JPMorgan expects steel stocks to outperform . Related stocks that could outperform under a Trump victory include Nucor , Cleveland-Cliffs , Kaiser Aluminum and MP Materials , according to Peterson. Supporters of Trump have also used the stock as a way to invest in a Trump victory.
Persons: Donald Trump ., Trump, Kamala Harris, Here's, Bill Peterson, Peterson, UBS's, Goldman Sachs, Strategas, Lazard, Wolfe, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Marion Laboure, bitcoin, Nic Puckrin, David Zerzos, Zerzos, Marcelli, Seth Seifman, Russell, Joe Biden, IWM, , Halliburton, Trump's, ULTA, Michael Bloom, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Pia Singh Organizations: U.S, NBC, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Trump, JPMorgan, Aluminum, Financials Bank of America, of America, UBS's Trump, UBS, Swiss, Citigroup, Citizens, Wolfe Research, GOP, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, ISI, Deutsche Bank, Investors, Jefferies, Military, Strategas, Gas Energy, Evercore ISI, Exxon Mobil, Halliburton, Companies Locations: Nucor, Cleveland, U.S, China, U.S . Southern
The social media ads have flooded platforms including Facebook, Instagram and X. One advertisement — viewed more than 900,000 times on Facebook and Instagram since Oct. 28 — depicts Trump winning in the Polymarket odds, according to the Meta Ad Library. A separate sponsored campaign from the right-wing social media personality Shaneyy Richh included nine advertisements promoting Polymarket forecasts. Based on user bets, Polymarket says Trump’s odds of winning are roughly 65.5% and Harris’s odds of winning are 34.5% as of Oct. 31. The company has also used social media to promote election betting, spending over $140,000 on Meta ads, according to the company's ad library.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Kamala Harris, isn’t, Shayne Coplan, Trump, Harris, Shaneyy Richh, pollsters, , Elon, Polymarket, “ Trump, ” Claudio Vallejo, They’re, , ” Polymarket, Coplan, we’ve, I’ve, ” Trump, “ Polymarket, that’s, Musk, ” John Fortier, “ It’s, you’re, Fortier, “ I’m Organizations: , Facebook, Trump, Meta Ad, , Polymarket, United, Commodity, U.S, NBC, American Enterprise Institute Locations: California , New York, Texas, United States, U.S, Michigan
.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD It's because the economy and earnings remain resilient. That is the main reason the S & P 500 is less than 2% from its historic high. Third quarter earnings for the S & P 500 are up 8.4%, well above the 6.0% estimated at the start of October. It's fourth quarter earnings that matter Remember, the most important thing to watch is the trend and whether it is accelerating or decelerating. The S & P 500 is up 50% in those two years.
Persons: There's, Tom Lee, Phil Mackintosh, Mackintosh, John Butters, Scott Chronert, Alec Young, MapSignals.com, Young, We're Organizations: Tech, Nasdaq, Democrat, Republican, Citigroup Locations: backwardation
Oil prices rise by over $1 on OPEC+ output hike delay
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
A pumpjack pumps oil in the Inglewood Oil Field as seen from the Kenneth Hahn State Recreation Area on July 13, 2022 in Los Angeles, California. Oil prices rose by more than $1 in early trading on Monday after OPEC+ said on Sunday it would delay a planned December output hike by one month. Brent futures rose by $1.14 per barrel, or 1.56%, to $74.24 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude also rose by $1.14 a barrel, or 1.64%, to $70.63. OPEC+, which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia and other allies, was due to increase output by 180,000 barrels per day in December.
Persons: Kenneth Hahn, Brent Organizations: Inglewood Oil, Recreation Area, . West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum Locations: Inglewood, Los Angeles , California, Russia
Uncertainty is the key theme for markets on the eve of Election Day, but fixed income investors say there are a few opportunities to snap up solid yield even as the market holds its breath. "We are constructive on fixed income as a whole, despite these uncertainties, and we're stressing to investors that yields are really quite attractive – and the income generation we can get from fixed income right now is quite powerful," Persson added. On the municipal bond side, offerings include the iShares National Muni Bond ETF (MUB) , which has a 30-day SEC yield of 3.35%. Vanguard also has its Tax-Exempt Bond ETF (VTEB) , with a 30-day SEC yield of 3.4%. The iShares MBS ETF (MBB) has a 30-day SEC yield of 4.01% and a net expense ratio of 0.04%.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Andrew Szczurowski, Eaton, Anders Persson, Persson, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Baird Organizations: NBC News, Income, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Federal, Treasury, Muni Bond ETF, SEC, Vanguard, Bond, SPDR, MBS, Fidelity Intermediate Bond Fund, Bond Fund Locations: Washington, Nuveen
Market analysts predicted choppy trading and sharp swings going into the US presidential election. AdvertisementMarket analysts are braced for volatility ahead of Tuesday's presidential election as traders shuffled their bets on a Donald Trump or Kamala Harris victory. The drivers of market performance — economic growth, corporate earnings, and innovation — ultimately outshine the impact of political changes. The Trump trade is a stronger dollar, weaker bonds/ higher bond yields and stronger crypto. With one day left of this campaign, the dollar is falling, and the dollar index is at a two-week low.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, , who'll, Naeem Aslam, Joshua Mahony, Harris, Hal Cook, Hargreaves, Kathleen Brooks, Trump Organizations: Service, Republican, Democratic, Federal Reserve, Zaye, Trump, FX Locations: Iowa, United States
Stock futures were little changed in overnight trading ahead of Tuesday's high-stakes U.S. presidential electionFutures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 20 points. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures inched about 0.1% higher. The latest poll from NBC News suggests the race is "neck and neck" between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. The results could heavily affect where stocks end the year, but investors may want to brace for some near-term choppiness. Traders are pricing in 98% odds of a quarter-point cut following September's half-point reduction, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Stocks, Dow, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Adam Parker, Jerome Powell Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, NXP, U.S, Treasury, NBC News, Congress, Republicans, CNBC, Super Micro, Yum Brands
Investors expect Beijing to announce details on fiscal support Friday. He expects Trump has a greater chance of winning, which he said would increase downward pressure on the Chinese yuan versus the U.S. dollar. While the People's Bank of China has cut interest rates, the Ministry of Finance has yet to release details on widely anticipated fiscal stimulus. China is considering more than 10 trillion yuan in debt issuance over a few years, Reuters reported Tuesday, citing sources. Whether it is 10 trillion yuan over three to five years, or 2 trillion yuan in one year, the average is about 2 trillion yuan in support a year, she pointed out.
Persons: Aly Song, That's, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Ting Lu, Biden, Zhu Bin, Zhu, Trump, Liqian Ren, Ren, Xi Jinping, Lan Fo'an, Zong Liang, WisdomTree's Ren Organizations: Reuters, U.S, Investors, National People's, Trump, Nomura, Nanhua, CNBC, U.S ., WisdomTree, People's Bank of, Ministry of Finance, Finance, Bank of China Locations: Yiwu, Zhejiang province, China, Reuters BEIJING, Beijing, U.S, United, People's Bank of China
The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0876 but faces resistance around $1.0905, while the dollar dipped 0.3% on the yen to 152.45 yen . Analysts believe Trump's policies on immigration, tax cuts and tariffs would put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the dollar, while Harris was seen as the continuity candidate. "A Harris win and a split Congress would likely result in 'Trump trades' quickly reversed and priced out," he added. Uncertainty over the outcome is one reason markets assume the Federal Reserve will choose to cut rates by a standard 25 basis points on Thursday, rather than repeat its outsized half-point easing. Futures imply a 99% chance of a quarter-point cut to 4.50%-4.75%, and an 83% probability of a similar-sized move in December.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, Chris Weston, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Dealers, Trump, Reserve, of England, Norges Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, Labor, China's National People's Congress, Reuters Locations: Asia, United States, Iowa, Treasuries, gilts, Beijing
European markets are expected to start the week on a mostly positive note Monday, with all eyes on Tuesday's presidential election in the U.S. Earnings are set to come from BioNTech and Ryanair and data releases include European manufacturing purchasing managers' index data. Global market aftershocks may hinge heavily on which party takes control of Congress as a result of the vote. If control of the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate is divided, it would likely mean a maintaining of the status quo. Asia-Pacific markets rose Monday, while U.S. stock futures were mixed in overnight trading Sunday.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: U.S, France's CAC, IG, Ryanair, NBC, Global, U.S . House, Republican, Democratic Locations: BioNTech, Asia, Pacific
The Summary FEMA and NOAA have become politicized as the frequency and severity of natural disasters have increased. With the neck-and-neck 2024 election just days away, the futures of the federal agencies responsible for weather forecasting, climate change research and disaster recovery hang in the balance. And with it, they’ve become a target for some conservatives who are skeptical of climate change and want to slash government budgets. “Climate change is a very unique problem in that, like most environmental problems, it doesn’t respect our political boundaries and it doesn’t respect our state boundaries,” he said. “We need centralized federal agencies to respond to climate change, agencies that can handle big, significant, multistate disasters at the appropriate scale.”
Persons: they’ve, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Trump, , Craig Fugate, Obama, It’s, , Helene, Milton . Trump, Jared Moskowitz, Ron DeSantis, Hurricane Michael, ” Moskowitz, Rick Scott, Milton, Hurricane Milton, Pete Beach, Tristan Wheelock, Fugate, ” Matthew Sanders, ” Sanders, Matthew Burgess, ” Burgess, DeNa Carlis, Sanders Organizations: FEMA, NOAA, Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Heritage Foundation, Trump, NBC, National Weather Service, Emergency Management, Gov, North, Hurricane, Bloomberg, Getty, Environmental, Stanford University, College of Business, University of Wyoming, , NWS Locations: United States, Milton, U.S, Florida, , North Carolina, St, Pete Beach , FL
One bit of clarity they’re sure to get: The Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate decision, due to be announced Thursday. The Fed lowered borrowing costs in September for the first time in more than four years while signaling additional rate cuts. But a slew of economic figures have been released since the decision, which is important because the Fed’s decision are guided by what those figures show. Investors are betting with near certainty that the Fed will deliver a quarter-point cut, according to futures. Lower rates could entice home buyers to come off the sidelines, and for businesses it could continue plans that have “baked in” lower rates.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Jerome Powell’s, America’s, Harris, Harris ’, ” “, Lawrence Yun, ” Yun, they’re, It’s Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, Fed, The Wall Street, US, Trump, Federal Reserve, Duke University, Institute for Supply, National Association of Realtors
Stock futures dipped in overnight trading Sunday as investors geared up for the highly-anticipated U.S. presidential election. S&P 500 futures and Nasdsq-100 futures edged lower. Stocks are coming off a strong start to November, with Amazon and big technology stocks boosting the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500- 0.8% and 0.4%, respectively. Along with the election, Wall Street is bracing for the latest rate decision from the Federal Reserve. Earnings seasons presses on with about a fifth of the S&P 500 slated to report in the coming week.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, CFRA Research's Sam Stovall, CNBC's, We've, Jerome Powell, Sarah Min Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Amazon, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, NBC, U.S . House, Republican, Democratic, Federal Reserve, Traders, Micro, Moderna, CVS Health, Qualcomm, Wynn Resorts
Octavio Jones | ReutersExecutives at America's largest companies are talking publicly with investors about the presidential election more so than in recent cycles. The word "election" came up on 100 earnings calls of S&P 500 -listed firms between Sept. 15 and Oct. 31, according to FactSet. The U.S. presidential election is Tuesday Nov. 5. 'Prudent' clientsMultiple companies cited a feeling of unpredictability tied to the presidential race among consumers and business clients. To be sure, some of the "election" mentions this year were tied to unrelated events like enrollment periods for health care.
Persons: Blythe Andrews , Jr, Octavio Jones, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Richard Tobin, FactSet, John Butters, Harris, Trump, Harry Lawton, Hurricanes Helene, Andrew Watterson, Michael Bayley, Gary Hershorn, Stanley Black, Decker, Donald Allan, Decker's Allan, William Grogan, Jon Vander Ark, Eric Ashleman, hasn't, Nonfarm payrolls, Equifax, Mark Begor, Stephen Squeri, we've, Mark Parrell Organizations: Public, Reuters, America's, CNBC, U.S, Dover, Tractor Supply, Hurricanes, Southwest Airlines, Royal, Hollywood International Airport, Corbis, Republican, Republic, Boeing, Tyler Technologies, American Express, Equity Locations: Tampa , Florida, U.S, Milton, Royal Caribbean, Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale , Florida, America, China
Election bets were approved legally just weeks ago, as the 2024 race headed into its home sprint. The ongoing legal wrangling could still lead to a shutdown of U.S. election betting markets, but not until after the 2024 vote. The CFTC permits only U.S. residents to use the newly opened election betting markets, meaning many bettors on the platforms are also potential voters. Nonetheless, Adam Cochran, founder of venture capital fund Cinneamhain Ventures, says he worries about how voters perceive election betting odds. Mansour acknowledged it’s a “fair concern” that the general public might mistakenly see betting odds as the size of a candidate’s lead.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, ” Robinhood, Rostin Behnam, Kalshi, John Aristotle Phillips, Phillips, , multibillionaire Trump, Elon Musk, , ” Harris, Polymarket, bettors, Trump, Harris, Musk, Tarek Mansour, ” Mansour, Adam Cochran, ” Cochran, Mansour, it’s, There’s Organizations: Interactive, Futures Trading Commission, Republican, Democratic, Overseas, Victoria University of Wellington, NBC, Trump, Street Journal, Cinneamhain Ventures Locations: U.S, New Zealand, America
SHANGHAI, CHINA - MARCH 01: Skyscrapers stand at the Pudong Lujiazui Financial District on March 1, 2022 in Shanghai, China. Asia-Pacific markets were set to open mixed Friday, after Wall Street benchmarks the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 suffered their worst day in nearly two months on downbeat Microsoft earnings forecast and Meta results. Traders await a slate of economic data from the region, including third-quarter producer prices index reading from Australia and Caixin China manufacturing purchasing managers' index for October. Japan's Nikkei 225 appeared set for a softer open, with the futures contract in Chicago at 38,470 and their counterpart in Osaka at 38,370 against the index's last close of 39,081.25. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 20,432, pointing to a rebound from its last close at 20,317.33.
Persons: Australia's Organizations: Pudong Lujiazui Financial, Nasdaq, Traders, Japan's Nikkei Locations: SHANGHAI, CHINA, Shanghai, China, Asia, Pacific, Australia, Chicago, Osaka
The monthly jobs report is typically closely-watched watched by traders and creates a reaction in the market. To be sure, storms in the Southeast and the Boeing labor strike were cited as downward pressures on the labor market. To Elizundia's point, fed funds futures are now pricing in 99.9% odds the central bank cuts rates by 25 basis points next week, and an 83.6% chance it lowers borrowing costs by another quarter-point percentage in December. There was no Fed meeting in October. "And yet, a deeper ponder of the numbers suggests that, beneath all the noise and disruption, is a fundamentally slowing labor market.
Persons: , Dow jones, Elizundia, Seema Shah, Shah, Stocks Organizations: Dow, Boeing, Fed, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, U.S Locations: U.S
Oil prices extended gains on Friday, climbing more than $1 a barrel to pare weekly losses, as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East rose following reports that Iran was preparing a retaliatory strike on Israel from Iraq in the coming days. Brent crude futures , which have rolled to the January contract, climbed $1.31, or 1.80%, to $74.12 a barrel by 0128 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose $1.35, or 1.95%, to $70.61 a barrel after settling up 0.95% in the previous session. Oil prices were also supported by expectations that OPEC+ could delay December's planned increase to oil production by a month or more, four sources close to the matter told Reuters on Wednesday, citing concern about soft oil demand and rising supply. The world's largest oil producer pumped a monthly record high of 13.4 million barrels per day in August, EIA said.
Persons: Axios, Monday's, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, U.S, Reuters, NPC, Energy Information Administration, EIA Locations: pare, Iran, Israel, Iraq, Sydney, Middle, U.S, China
The S & P 500 fell 1% in October, snapping a five-month advance. Now, Wall Street is coming into what has historically proven a strong month for stocks — which could push stocks to new heights. A CNBC analysis of FactSet data showed November has been the second-strongest month for the S & P 500 going back 10 years. Going back 20 years, the S & P 500 averages a 2.2% increase in November. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, analysts reacted to the latest quarterly earnings reports from megacaps Apple and Amazon .
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Michael Ng, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, CNBC, U.S, NBC, Apple Locations: U.S
Market Navigator: Tracking the crude oil trade
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket Navigator: Tracking the crude oil tradePhil Streible, Blue Line Futures chief market strategist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss whether it's time to get back into crude oil or not.
Persons: Phil Streible Organizations: Blue Line Futures
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