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Stubbornly high inflation could push the Federal Reserve into a more cautious stance this year regarding interest rate cuts, the central bank's former vice chair said Friday. "If the Fed were targeting CPI right now, we wouldn't even be discussing rate cuts," Clarida said. A Chicago Fed measure of financial conditions is at its loosest since January 2022. "What I think is going on here is a delicate balance that [Powell is] trying to navigate," Clarida said. "Financial conditions will very naturally start to ease when they get the sense the Fed is done and [will start] cutting.
Persons: Richard Clarida, Jerome Powell, Clarida, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Market, Fed, Commerce Locations: Atlanta
Former Fed economist on the election's impact on rate cuts
  + stars: | 2024-03-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed economist on the election's impact on rate cutsVincent Reinhart, Dreyfus and Mellon chief economist and former Fed economist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss why investors shouldn't expect the Fed to start easing rates, whether the Federal Reserve would ease in June to avoid easing around the election, and more.
Persons: Vincent Reinhart, Dreyfus Organizations: Former, Mellon, Fed, Federal
New York CNN —Former President Donald Trump doesn’t have the cash he needs to stop the state of New York from potentially seizing his assets. In a court filing Monday, Trump’s lawyers laid out the stark economic reality facing the leading Republican candidate for president. Trump’s lawyers, for their part, say the ruling is unprecedented and underwriters don’t write checks that big — even to billionaires. What could happen to Trump’s properties? James has made it clear she won’t hesitate to go after Trump’s properties if he doesn’t come up with the cash.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Donald Trump doesn’t, Arthur Engoron, Trump, Letitia James, underwriters don’t, James, , , Temidayo Aganga, Williams, Selendy Gay, Judge Engoron, Jean Carroll, Banks, ” Aganga, they’re, who’d, Mitchell Epner, Rottenberg Lipman Rich, underwriters Trump, Engoron, ” Epner, Tish James Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Republican, Trump, New York, underwriters, ABC, ABC News, Financial, Trump Organization, , Forbes Locations: New York, York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRoger Ferguson: Taking my expectation down to two rate cuts this yearFormer Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson joins 'Squawk Box' to preview this week's Fed meeting, what to expect from Fed Chair Powell's commentary, interest rate outlook and more.
Persons: Roger Ferguson Organizations: Federal, Fed
It’s Biden’s campaign aides who have been surprised how much that’s true. A running mate litmus testBiden aides say January 6 and the footage from it will be a central feature of their advertising campaigns, the convention and beyond. Trump, for his part, keeps talking about it and his aides aren’t really trying to stop him. About 56 percent of independent voters continue to believe Trump was largely responsible for it, virtually unchanged during that stretch. But Biden aides say that’s a big part of why the images and memories of January 6 itself are so important.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, It’s, , Mike Donilon, , We’re, , Kamala Harris, CNN —, reverberating, Biden, Jan, litmus, aren’t, Mike Pence, Elise Stefanik, Ohio Sen, J.D, Vance, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Ben Carson, Doug Burgum, Pence, Scott, Burgum, ’ Biden, didn’t, it’s, ” Donilon, there’s, Mike Johnson, Barry Loudermilk, That’s, Loudermilk, Matt Gaetz, Tim Burchett, Jeff Van Drew, insurrectionists, they’ll, Harris, Matt Barreto –, , Barreto, ” Barreto, ” Biden, Kari Lake’s, denialism, Chris DeLuzio, , ” DeLuzio, ” Will Rollins, Ken Calvert —, ” Rollins, Annie Grayer, Ariel Edwards, Levy Organizations: CNN, Capitol, Democratic, Biden, Trump, South, North Dakota Gov, Republicans, Trump voters, Washington Post, University of Maryland, White, Congressional Republicans, GOP, Republican, House Republican Conference, , Trump Republicans, Democratic National Committee, , Democrat, Southern Californians, GOP Rep Locations: Wilmington, New York, Ohio, South Carolina, America, Charlottesville, Valley Forge, Georgia, Florida, Tennessee, New Jersey, Ukraine, Israel, U.S, Arizona, Pennsylvania
CNN —Hunter Biden won’t be returning to the spotlight next week as the House Oversight Committee had hoped. The problem with the Hunter Biden investigation, though, is not its potential reliance on the word of a compromised informant. And in that sense, Hunter Biden shares something in common with an unlikely person: Trump, at least with respect to his criminal case in New York. Much like the gun charge against Hunter Biden, the tax indictment has left many former federal white-collar prosecutors like me scratching their heads. That doesn’t mean that Trump or Hunter Biden are innocent; indeed, the former has more serious cases to contend with.
Persons: Andrey Spektor, Bryan Cave Leighton Paisner, CNN — Hunter Biden won’t, James Comer’s, Joe Biden, Andrey Spektor Bryan Cave Leighton, Hunter, Alexander Smirnov, Biden, you’ve, Smirnov, Hunter Biden, , Donald Trump –, that’s, Trump, Hunter Biden’s Organizations: CNN, Republicans, Biden, Republican, Department of Justice Tax, IRS, DOJ’s Locations: New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe national security concerns are 'severe,' former policy director says of TikTok in the U.S.David Balto, former Federal Trade Commission policy director, says TikTok "has done the incredible" in bringing Republicans and Democrats together in a "dramatically divisive" Congress.
Persons: TikTok, David Balto Organizations: Federal Trade Commission, Republicans Locations: U.S
The White House reportedly plans to follow tradition and authorize national security briefings for Trump after he officially becomes his party’s nominee at the Republican National Convention in July. Serious financial need is a top reason for denial of clearances for federal government positions requiring access to classified national security information, due to vulnerability to bribery or coercion. Given the risks posed by Trump’s access to national security intelligence, we must ask whether Biden’s asymmetrical belief in sticking to political norms is an Achilles heel. In opting to provide intelligence briefings to candidate Trump, they are likely to impose conditions on the briefings for security reasons. In granting intelligence briefings to his rival, he clearly reasoned that preserving a nonpartisan tradition was the wisest decision at this difficult moment in the nation’s history.
Persons: Frederick D, Baron, Dennis Aftergut, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Frederick Baron, Cooley, Biden, Trump, Jamie Raskin, Robert Hur’s, Jack Smith, Raskin, , Putin, , Steve Benen, John Bolton, Obama, John Brennan, Adam Schiff, Organizations: of National Security, Department of Justice, Intelligence, Defending American Democracy, CNN, Trump, White, Republican National Convention, Sensible, Southern District of, Maryland, Foreign Relations, Helsinki Trump, NATO, MSNBC, Mar, National Security Council, National Security, CIA, House Intelligence, Thursday’s State, Union Locations: Southern District, Southern District of Florida, Russia, Helsinki, , New York, Thursday’s
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But the witness' public recall of his role in the saga could cause complications in special counsel Jack Smith's case against Trump, a legal expert told Business Insider. AdvertisementButler's decision to come forward with his name is also surprising given Trump's fierce fan base, Rahmani said. Butler told CNN on Monday he considered going public for months as he watched developments in the case. US District Judge Aileen Cannon is set to hear arguments on two of Trump's motions to dismiss the case on Thursday.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Jack Smith's, Brian Butler, Jack Smith, Trump, Walt Nauta, Carlos de Oliveira, Butler, Neama, Rahmani, de Oliviera, Smith, Aileen Cannon Organizations: Service, CNN, Trump, Business, Mar, Department, West, Trial, US Locations: Florida
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe broad movement in interest rates is what matters for the economy, says former Fed vice chairAlan Blinder, former Federal Reserve vice chairman and Princeton University professor, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Jerome Powell's testimony on Capitol Hill, how the Federal Reserve will know when it's time to cut rates, and more.
Persons: Alan Blinder, Steve Liesman, Jerome Powell's Organizations: Fed, Federal Reserve, Princeton University, Capitol
Fed Chair Jerome Powell has a chance to provide more insight when he testifies before Congress on Wednesday and Thursday. Those reports pushed back market bets on when the Fed will start cutting interest rates. Investors will closely listen for any hints from Powell about what the Fed is looking for, data-wise, before it begins to lower interest rates. Powell will also be asked about the economic pain Americans are feeling as a result of elevated inflation and interest rates. When interest rates fall, holding income-paying assets (like bonds) becomes less appealing than owning the precious metal.
Persons: Jerome Powell, there’s, , Powell, , Emanuel Cleaver, Dave Sekera, Claudia Sahm, ” Powell, Krystal Hur, Samantha Murphy Kelly, , ” Mengmeng Zhang Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal, Investors, Missouri Democrat, Politico, Morningstar, Morningstar . New York Community Bank, Fitch, Moody’s Investors Service, Federal Reserve, Costco, Apple, Counterpoint Research, Huawei, Counterpoint Locations: New York, Missouri, Morningstar ., China
DA Fani Willis' credibility has been damaged following a misconduct hearing, legal experts said. Willis' 'credibility is shot'Legal experts have long said that the hearing, and the relationship between Willis and Wade, doesn't look good for Willis. Rahmani said the distraction of it all is enough that Willis should recuse herself from the Trump case. On trips they took together, Willis and Wade testified that Willis paid Wade back for her portion in cash. Ms. Yeager heard District Attorney Willis tell Mr. Bradley: 'They are coming after us.
Persons: Fani Willis, Willis, Donald Trump, , Trump, Wade, it's, Rahmani, Ashleigh Merchant, Trump codefendant Mike Roman, Nathan Wade, Wade —, Daysha Young, Andrew Evans, Alex Slitz, doesn't, Sarah Krissoff, Cozen O'Connor, Krissoff, Scott McAfee, McAfee, Terrence Bradley, Merchant, Bradley, Manny Arora, Cindi Lee Yeager, Cobb County , Georgia —, Trump codefendant David Shafer, Yeager, John Bazemore, Elijah Nouvelage, Mr, Trump codefendant Cathleen Latham, Arora —, Kenneth Chesebro, Arora, Adam Abbate, Abbate Organizations: Service, Fulton, West, Trial, Trump codefendant, Trump, codefendants, Merchant, Wade, Business, USA, Network, Reuters, District Attorney, AP, Washington Post Locations: Georgia, Fulton County, California, Atlanta, Manhattan, Fulton, Cobb County , Georgia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPowell will reinforce the "no rush to cut rates" message on Capitol Hill, says Roger FergusonRoger Ferguson, Former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman and Former TIAA CEO, discusses his expectations for Jay Powell's testimony on Capitol Hill.
Persons: Powell, Roger Ferguson Roger Ferguson, Jay Powell's Organizations: Federal, Capitol
Mark Harris has won the Republican nomination for a U.S. House seat in North Carolina, giving the pastor a second chance to go to Washington after a 2018 absentee ballot scandal. Harris will face Democrat Justin Dues in November in a district running from Charlotte east to Lumberton that was drawn to heavily favor Republicans. While the investigation led to charges against several people and some convictions, Harris wasn’t charged, cooperated with investigators and called for a new election. Harris did not run again, however, and the seat was won by Republican U.S. Rep. Dan Bishop. In addition, Republicans Bishop and U.S. Rep. Patrick McHenry decided not to run again, opening their Republican-dominated districts to new representation.
Persons: Mark Harris, Harris, Allan Baucom, Justin, Harris wasn’t, Dan Bishop, Bishop, , Kelly Daughtry, Brad Knott, Daughtry, Addison McDowell, Mark Walker, Patrick McHenry Organizations: Republican, U.S, Union, U.S . House, State Board, Republican U.S . Rep, Blue Shield, U.S . Rep, Democratic, Republicans, Assembly, Republicans Bishop Locations: North Carolina, Washington, state's, Union County, Charlotte, Lumberton, District, Smithfield, Raleigh, 6th, North Carolina's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed governor Jeremy Stein: The Fed's 2% inflation target 'may be challenging'Jeremy Stein, former Federal Reserve governor and Harvard University economics professor, joins 'The Exchange' with CNBC's Steve Liesman to discuss the likelihood of reaching 2.0% inflation in the near future, whether the current economy could return to its past data as the norm, and more.
Persons: Jeremy Stein, Steve Liesman Organizations: Former, Federal Reserve, Harvard University
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Governor Randy Kroszner: Don't expect a June rate cut to be 'baked in the cake'Randy Kroszner, University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business professor of economics and former Federal Reserve Governor, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the January personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data, the impact on the Fed's rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Randy Kroszner Organizations: Former, University, Chicago’s Booth School, Business, Federal Reserve
The Supreme Court agreed to hear Trump's immunity claims around charges of election subversion. Trump stands to benefit from SCOTUS hearing because it could delay his trial, legal experts say. Special counsel Jack Smith's federal case against Trump cannot proceed until the Supreme Court makes its decision, which could take months. AdvertisementKalir, who is pretty confident the court will not grant Trump immunity, said it largely comes down to how merit-less the legal argument in favor of absolute immunity is. Krissoff added that the Supreme Court is likely to issue as narrow a ruling as possible.
Persons: Trump, SCOTUS, , Donald Trump's, Jack Smith's, Trump's, Scott Lemieux, Kenneth White, White, Justin Crowe, Crowe, Sarah Krissoff, Krissoff, Doron Kalir, Kalir, Smith, Jack Smith, Carolyn Shapiro, Rather, hasn't Organizations: Service, Wednesday, Trump, University of Washington, Williams College, Justice Department, Cleveland State University College of Law, Chicago, Kent's Institute Locations: New York, Washington ,, United States
Former Fed president Thomas Hoenig said he'd be surprised if officials deliver three rate cuts in 2024. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Hoenig also said that a preemptive rate cut to curb a potential recession wouldn't be the right move, even in the face of regional bank stress and commercial real estate turmoil. The recent rise in inflation has flipped the script on earlier predictions of rate cuts coming as early as March. Optimistic market forecasters are placing the first rate cut sometime in the middle of this year, while others say the Fed may not cut until well into the second half or even keep rates high through all of 2024.
Persons: Thomas Hoenig, he'd, , Hoenig, Jerome Powell Organizations: Service, Reserve, Kansas City Fed, Fed, Federal, Market Locations: Kansas
Under federal sentencing guidelines, he could face a maximum of 110 years. In the memo, Bankman-Fried’s lawyer, Marc Mukasey, asks the judge overseeing the case to reject the pre-sentencing report prepared by the Probation Department, which recommends a 100-year sentence. Considering Bankman-Fried’s “charitable works and demonstrated commitment to others” Mukasey recommends a prison sentence between five and six-and-a-half years. The judge overseeing the case, Lewis Kaplan of the Southern District of New York, will weigh several factors in deciding Bankman-Fried’s sentence, including arguments from prosecutors, defense counsel and the recommendations from the Probation Department. Typically, in white-collar crimes, the bigger the financial loss, the longer the sentence.
Persons: Sam Bankman, Fried, Marc Mukasey, , , ” Mukasey, , Mukasey, FTX, Lewis Kaplan, Jordan Estes, Kramer Levin, Estes Organizations: New, New York CNN, Probation Department, Southern, of, Department, , US Attorney’s, Southern District Locations: New York, Manhattan, FTX, Brooklyn, of New York
Read previewWhen the chief executive of cryptocurrency startup Anchorage Digital posted a message in the company's "announcements" Slack channel in late November about an executive's departure, employees started buzzing. Just over a year after it received the charter, the OCC issued a consent order against Anchorage in April 2022. Regulators are aggressively scrutinizing crypto players and prioritizing monitoring crypto compliance. Regulators' viewThe OCC is now led by Michael Hsu, the former Federal Reserve regulator and self-described crypto skeptic who has viewed crypto companies' regulatory compliance in some areas as inadequate. A crypto bank would face risks in safeguarding digital assets in its custody, maintaining appropriate hedges in crypto-lending, and adhering to capital requirements specific to crypto assets, said Kim, who studies crypto and blockchain technology.
Persons: , Georgia Quinn, Nathan McCauley's, McCauley, Goldman Sachs, Andreessen Horowitz, Quinn, Brian Brooks, CoinDesk, Oliver Wyman, FTI, Brooks, Michael Hsu, Hsu, Evelyn Hockstein, Mark duBose, Seoyoung Kim, University's, Kim, Diogo Mónica, Axel Springer, Mark McCombe, Max Levchin, BNY, Seyfarth Shaw, Ellenoff Grossman, it's Organizations: Service, Anchorage, Business, Citadel Securities, Apollo Global Management, Visa, OCC, Regulators, Securities, Exchange, IBM, KPMG, Anchorage Digital Bank National Association, Federal Reserve, Reuters, Business Insider, Santander Bank, University's Leavey School of Business, KKR, BlackRock, BNY Mellon Locations: Anchorage, United States, Santa, San Francisco, Portugal
CNN —When special counsel Jack Smith asked the Supreme Court to reject former President Donald Trump’s immunity claims there was an unmistakable hue of urgency to the request. It could grant Trump’s request and then hold arguments and decide the merits of the immunity issue – perhaps on an expedited basis. The Supreme Court can move quickly, at least by judicial branch standards. George Walker IV/APThe Supreme Court denied that request, allowing the appeals court to review the case first. US Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor participates in a conversation with University of California Berkeley Law Dean Erwin Chemerinsky on Monday, January 29.
Persons: Jack Smith, Donald Trump’s, Smith, Trump, , Steve Vladeck, Tanya Chutkan, Chutkan, ” Smith, Donald Trump, George Walker IV, Randall Eliason, , ” Eliason, Sonia Sotomayor, Amy Coney Barrett, we’re, ” Barrett, ” Sotomayor, Barack Obama, don’t, Trump’s, Vladeck, Biden, University of California Berkeley Law Dean Erwin Chemerinsky Organizations: CNN, University of Texas School of Law, DC, Appeals, National Religious Broadcasters, Gaylord, Supreme, DC Circuit, George Washington University, National Governors Association, Trump, Democratic, Boy Scouts of America, Boy Scouts, Boy Scouts of, Department of Homeland Security, University of California Berkeley Law, Capitol Locations: Mexico, Boy Scouts of America, Texas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRoger Ferguson: I'm very much in the 'cautious, no rush to cut' campFormer Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's rate path decision, inflation outlook, and more.
Persons: Roger Ferguson Organizations: Federal
Practically, Engoron’s decision will impose severe financial and personal strain on Trump as he’s emerging as the almost certain Republican presidential nominee. “He’s already said he’s going to spend most of this year in a courtroom, not on a campaign trail. Flouted rules, new realities and a busted legal strategyTrump’s belief that the rules are for others defines his business and political life. Yet this refusal to ever admit defeat also appears to be leading Trump into dangerous legal territory. His flawed philosophy that in business and life, it’s all about closing one more deal, means that even crushing defeats like the 2020 election and his fraud trial cannot change him.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, Arthur Engoron’s, , Joe Biden, , Biden, ” Trump, Jean Carroll, Engoron, It’s, Elise Stefanik, Nikki Haley, ” Haley, “ He’s, ” Friday’s, Tom Suozzi’s, marveled, , Donald Trump, Letitia James, wouldn’t, Michael D’Antonio, “ Trump, Neama Rahmani, I’ve Organizations: CNN, Trump, DOJ, Trump Organization, Republican, East Coast, South, GOP House, New York, West Locations: New York, Manhattan, Florida, York, United States, he’s, South Carolina, Washington, Georgia, American
The Trump Organization, Trump, and lieutenants face a $364 million judgment in a civil fraud case. But several factors, including the extent of Trump's fraud, could make him an outlier. "If allowed to stand, this ruling will only further expedite the continuing exodus of companies from New York," the Trump Organization spokesperson said. It's also worth noting the exceptional circumstances that led to the investigation into the Trump Organization. While running for attorney general in 2018, James promised to aggressively investigate Trump's business dealings.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Arthur Engoron, Trump, Allen Weisselberg, Letitia James, Eric, Don Jr, James, Rahmani, Engoron, Bernard Madoff, It's, Alexandra Ocasio, Cortez, Michael Cohen, Cohen, affirmatively Organizations: Trump Organization, Trump, Service, New, New York, West, Trial, Trump University Locations: New York, York, New Jersey
Citing a filing from Wade's divorce proceedings, attorneys for the defendants alleged that Wade and Willis had an improper relationship. A witness for the defense attorneys alleged Thursday that Willis and Wade's relationship began in 2019. Nathan Wade, the Georgia prosecutor who admitted to a relationship with his colleague, Fulton County DA Fani Willis, in court. Fulton County DA Fani Willis testifies at a hearing Feb. 15 in Atlanta on her relationship with Special Prosecutor Nathan Wade. Most experts were skeptical that the evidence presented Thursday would lead to Willis or Wade being dismissed from the case.
Persons: , Fani Willis, Nathan Wade, Donald Trump, Scott McAfee, Willis, Wade, pugnacious, Mike Roman, Trump, Stephen Gillers, McCaffee, I've, It's, Gillers, Norman Eisen, Trump's, DA Willis, Eisen, Sarah Krissoff, Krissoff, Mark Bederow, wasn't, Bederow, Neama, Cash, Rahmani, Pool Willis, I'm Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, Fulton, New York University, YouTube, Willis Locations: ATLANTA , Georgia, Fulton County, Georgia, Atlanta, New York, Manhattan, California
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