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☆ Jensen Huang's Nvidia sure hopes the AI bubble doesn't burst anytime soon
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-22 | by ( Hasan Chowdhury | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

AdvertisementHowever, Nvidia's run faces one big risk: it depends on the generative AI boom lasting. Though tech giants, including Apple, Google, Meta, and Microsoft, now appear to have made generative AI their priority, there appears to be awareness of the technology's weaknesses. Google, for instance, was forced to apologize earlier this year after its generative AI image generator created historically incorrect images in response to user requests. For now, though, the industry seems intent on moving ahead with LLM-enabled generative AI. That should keep Nvidia in the race with Microsoft and Apple to a $4 trillion valuation.

Persons: —, Jensen Huang, they've, Dan Ives, Huang, Tim Cook, Yann LeCun Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Business, Meta, Google, Blackwell, Apple Intelligence, Financial Locations: Taipei

☆ A 28-year market vet shares 2 similarities between the dot-com bubble and today's stock market environment — and 4 threats to the AI trade that could spoil the rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-22 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThere are two major similarities between today's stock market environment and the dot-com bubble era, says RIA Advisors CIO Lance Roberts. RIA Advisors/AccentureAnd two, there is a small group of firms leading the overall stock market rally, just as it was in 2000. He's a bit more optimistic this time around because of the robust earnings performance fueling the few stocks leading the market. Advertisement"We are again experiencing another of these speculative 'booms,' as anything related to artificial intelligence grips investors' imaginations," Roberts said.

Persons: —, Lance Roberts, Roberts, Jonathan Golub Organizations: Service, RIA, Business, Accenture, Nvidia, UBS, Investors, Federal Reserve

☆ Ron Insana: Never mind the narrow leadership. This is a powerful bull market
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

There has been a fair amount of nervous chatter lately about the state of the stock market. As of Thursday's close, the S & P 500 was up about 15% in 2024, while the Nasdaq Composite was just shy of 19%. Companies like Microsoft , Cisco Systems and Intel were among the biggest gainers in the S & P 500. Further, the S & P 500 Equal Weighted Index , with a roughly 4% gain in 2024, is far underperforming its capital-weighted counterpart. .SPXEW .SPX YTD line The S & P 500 Equal Weighted Index vs. the S & P 500 in 2024 Having said that, in years past, these types of divergences would worry me to the point of distraction.

Persons: it's, Bubbles, It's, rebalancing, Ron Insana Organizations: Nasdaq, Microsoft, Cisco Systems, Intel, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ Oil prices slip as rate hike worries come into focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Working oil pumpjacks dot the landscape on oilfields on the outskirts of Taft, Kern County, California on Sept. 21, 2023. Crude oil futures slid in early trade on Friday on the prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates in Asia and the United States, while falling U.S. oil inventories kept prices from moving lower. Japan's core consumer prices last month gained 2.5% from a year earlier, data showed on Friday, growing from the previous month and keeping the country's central bank on track to raise interest rates higher in the coming months. U.S. data released on Thursday showed that the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell in the week ended June 14, with broader strength in the jobs market persisting. Higher interest rates typically weigh on economies and, in turn, on oil demand.

Persons: Bob Yawger Organizations: Brent, U.S . Federal, Energy Information Administration, EIA, Mizuho Locations: Taft, Kern County , California, Asia, United States, U.S, New York

☆ Satellite imagery may provide missing puzzle piece in Easter Island saga
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Katie Hunt | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —Hundreds of monumental stone heads dot the coastline of the remote Pacific island of Rapa Nui, or Easter Island. Terry HuntThe rock gardens had covered up to 21.1 square kilometers (8.1 square miles) and could have sustained up to 17,000 people, previous research suggested. Archaeologists have identified the remains of rock gardens on which islanders would have grown sweet potatoes and other crops. “This finding was the result of integrating new remotely sensed data, data not available when we did our original study.” He wasn’t involved in the new research. In fact, when Europeans first make contact with Rapa Nui people, they only report seeing maybe 3,000 or 4,000 people and report that people were in good spirits,” Davis said.

Persons: Jared Diamond, ”, Dylan Davis, Davis, School’s Lamont, Terry Hunt, ” Davis, Rapa, ” Ladefoged, wasn’t, Christopher Stevenson, ” Stevenson, Carl Lipo, What’s Organizations: CNN, Columbia, Observatory, New Zealand’s University of Auckland, School of, Studies, Virginia Commonwealth University Locations: Rapa Nui, Rapa, Chile, Pitcairn, Washington

☆ This is not the dot-com bubble and Nvidia's valuation is still 'compelling,' says Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bank of America warned against seeing Nvidia as a potential long-term pullback victim while cautioning that today's artificial intelligence boom is altogether different from the 1990s dot-com bubble. Nvidia briefly rallied 3.8% on Thursday, helping send the S & P 500 above 5,500 for the first time, only to later retreat as much as 3.8%. Additionally, Arya pointed to demand among cloud customers for Nvidia's new Blackwell AI accelerator systems. The analyst said on-premise enterprise and sovereign AI demand as well as software monetization is still in the "early stages." When all is said and done, Arya said that Nvidia's valuation is still "compelling."

Persons: Vivek Arya, Arya, Jensen Organizations: of America, Nvidia, Blackwell

☆ AI stock frenzy resembles dot-com bubble and may explode disastrously, experts warn
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Experts say the AI mania has shades of the dot-com and housing bubbles and could end painfully. AdvertisementExperts say the frenzy around AI stocks resembles the last two major market bubbles — and could end in disaster if investors get spooked. "This is the goofiest and likely most dangerous concentration of overvaluation I've seen in 34 years investing and throughout financial history," Bloomstran said. Some experts have compared Nvidia to Cisco, the network hardware company whose stock ballooned during the dot-com bubble before ultimately crashing. No one can predict if the AI craze will end with a devastating crash like the dot-com and housing bubbles, or usher in a new market regime led by Nvidia and its kin.

Persons: —, Nathan Burks, Adetokunbo Fadahunsi, Ann Marie Hibbert, Burks, Hibbert, Chris Bloomstran, Semper Augustus, I've, Bloomstran, John Chambers, Robert Galbraith, it's Organizations: Service, George Mason University, Big Tech, Nvidia, Microsoft, Cisco, REUTERS, Wall Street Journal Locations: West Virginia

☆ How Nvidia is now worth more than Apple
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

But these multigenerational brand names are now trailing behind Nvidia, suddenly the most-valuable public company in the world. With a market value of over $3 trillion, Nvidia is worth more than most countries’ entire economies. All that demand for Nvidia chips surely must’ve increased competition, right? All that means is demand for Nvidia chips isn’t going away any time soon but that competition will continue to grow more fierce. Before we know it, another company with a name most people can’t pronounce will be referred to as the next Nvidia.

Persons: New York CNN —, chipmaking, “, Jensen Huang, Huang, OpenAI, it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Apple, Microsoft, Google, Nvidia, Meta, IBM Locations: New York, Denny’s, Silicon Valley

☆ It takes a full year to bring one of Art Basel's most popular exhibits to life. Here's how it all comes together.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Monica Humphries | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Perhaps the most popular part of Art Basel is the Unlimited sector, famous for its large-scale works. He spends the week of Art Basel conversing with gallery representatives, discussing artists' works, and planting seeds for the next exhibit. Monica Humphries/Business InsiderOnce the hall's layout is finalized, walls and lights are built and placed. Finally, the galleries and artists arrive to install their projects about four days before Art Basel begins. A view of Art Basel's Unlimited hall.

Persons: —, Giovanni Carmine, Carmine, Lutz Bacher's, David Claerbout's, Monica Humphries, Keith Haring, Miles, Allan McCollum, Julio Le Parc's, Carmine's, Seba Calfuqueo, Keith Haring's, Sam Falls, Mario, Mario Ceroli's, Faith Ringgold's, Julio Le Parc, Christo Organizations: Service, Art Basel, Kunst Halle Sankt Gallen, Business, Basel, curating, FDR Locations: Switzerland, Swiss, Basel, Art, Paris, Miami, la, Harare, Zimbabwe

☆ Inside Paradromics, the Neuralink competitor hoping to commercialize brain implants before the end of the decade
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Maria Gomez De Sicart | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

We're fundamentally building a medical device to serve unmet needs. What that does is it allows us to connect to the brain and receive data from the brain. And so Paradromics can take the science and apply the right engineering to get us from research to medical device. I work on developing processes or selecting the materials that we would like to use to build our cortical module, which is the brain implant portion of our system. We see that the first million people to get brain computer interfaces are going to be getting them to treat severe medical conditions.

Persons: Matt Angle, Paradromics, They're, I'm, Kimiko Nakajima, we're Organizations: BCI

☆ There are 5 reasons any dip in Nvidia stock will be short-lived - and investors should use a decline as a buying opportunity
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Nvidia stock still offers a compelling valuation even after its 170% rally this year, BofA says. There are five reasons investors should view any decline in Nvidia stock as a buying opportunity. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . These are the five reasons Arya is staying bullish on the stock. Arya reiterated his "Buy" rating on Nvidia stock and $150 price target, representing upside of 12% from current levels.

Persons: BofA, —, Vivek Arya, Arya, Rosenblatt Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Bank of America, Blackwell Locations: CQ2

☆ Evercore ISI upgrades its S&P 500 outlook to the highest on Wall Street as it says the AI revolution is just getting started
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The firm raised its year-end S&P 500 target to 6,000 and said the index could hit 7,000 by 2025. Evercore strategist and managing director Julian Emanuel increased his year-end S&P 500 price target to a new high on Wall Street at 6,000 in a note on Sunday. Emanuel forecasts S&P 500 EPS growth of 8% and 5% in 2024 and 2025, respectively. The S&P 500 trading at 6,000 would imply a 25x trailing 12-month price-to-earnings multiple based on Emanuel's EPS estimate of $238 per share. AdvertisementIf the high valuation multiples persist, the S&P 500 could rise 31% to 7,000 by the end of 2025.

Persons: —, Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, it's, Tom Lee Organizations: ISI, Service

☆ Bank of America's clients are increasingly worried about a stock market peak. Here are 10 indicators to identify a top — and the best investing approach for when it unfolds.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

So that's what the bank did, listing 10 signals that they found to be most reliable, as well as the best investing approach for a market peak. The index has reached 110 within the six months preceding every market peak since July 1990, and in January 2024, it reached 111. ValuationElevated stock valuations are also telling of a market peak, but Bank of America's indicators relating to P/E ratios aren't currently triggered. A third macroeconomic indicator, Bank of America's Credit Stress Indicator (CSI), is not triggered. It often drops below 0.25 within six months of a market peak, but sits at 0.39.

Persons: —, Savita Subramanian, America quantifies Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, Conference, Bank of America Investor, Bank, America, The Conference Board, SSI, Wall Street, of America's, CSI Locations: today's

☆ AI hype is supportive of stock valuations, but cracks are emerging elsewhere, warns Schwab's Sonders
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

But while fundamental factors around these names are supportive of their multiples, the market isn't in the all-clear zone, according to Charles Schwab chief investment strategist Liz Ann Sonders. "AI and its enthusiasm — I think that's very legitimate," Sonders told CNBC's " Squawk on the Street " on Monday. "At this stage in the game, the trajectory of earnings, you could argue, is supportive of valuations." In contrast to the dot-com bubble, the current AI rally has much stronger fundamental factors correlated to momentum, Sonders said. "You're looking at the party of stocks and what they're doing, or just what the index is doing courtesy of a very small number of stocks," Sonders said.

Persons: Charles Schwab, Liz Ann Sonders, Sonders, CNBC's, brining Organizations: Nvidia

☆ Bryson DeChambeau’s secret to US Open success: Floating his golf balls in Epsom salt
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-16 | by ( Issy Ronald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —The best athletes break all sorts of new ground in pursuit of greatness, looking for that extra tiny percent that can propel them above their rivals. For Bryson DeChambeau that extra kick might be found in the most surprising of places – Epsom salt. After taking control of the US Open with a captivating third-round performance on Saturday, the American elaborated on his habit of salting his golf balls before playing, just another aspect of his analytical approach to the game which has earned him the nickname of “The Scientist.”“I put my golf balls in Epsom salt,” he told reporters. “Essentially we float golf balls in a solution to make sure the golf ball is not out of balance.”His manager, Connor, was in charge of salting the golf balls, DeChambeau explained, to find out “how much out of balance” they were. “There’s always going to be an error, especially when it’s a sphere and there’s dimples on the edges,” he added.

Persons: Bryson, “, ”, Connor, DeChambeau, “ There’s, dimples, ” Bryson DeChambeau, Gregory Shamus, LIV, Rory McIlroy, Matthieu Pavon, Patrick Cantlay Organizations: CNN Locations: Epsom

☆ Stocks are in a sweet spot but bears still fear a bubble is near bursting. Here's what 5 forecasters are saying about a potential crash.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-16 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Here's what five forecasters have to say about the latest rally — and why they think the stock market is headed for a fall. In 2009, he wrote a book predicting a stock market crash and ensuing economic depression, which he said could last for 10 years or more. The research firm is predicting the S&P 500 could see a steep correction following a rally to 6,500. Yet, that could end up being an excellent opportunity for investors who are diversified in other areas of the market, Bernstein said. AdvertisementTypically, there are eight warning signs of a market bubble forming, and six of them have already flashed, the bank said.

Persons: Stocks, —, haven't, Harry Dent Stocks, Harry Dent, Dent, John Higgins, Higgins, John Hussman, Hussman, Richard Bernstein, Bernstein Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Apple, Nvidia, Fox Business Network, Stocks, Capital Economics, John Hussman Elite, UBS

☆ Don't try to turn your passion into a job or pay for private school, says business guru Scott Galloway
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-16 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewAlmost nobody should try to turn their passion into a career, bet the farm on a single investment, expect to escape rejection in life — or pay for private school, says Scott Galloway. Galloway is a marketing professor at NYU Stern and a host of podcasts like "Pivot" and "The Prof G Show." Related stories"As you get older, you become really passionate about taking care of your kids," he said. "You become really passionate about doing wonderful things with your spouse, taking care of your parents, and your priorities change." Advertisement"All you need is one good mentor, a few good friends, one wonderful mate, one business that works," Galloway said.

Persons: —, Scott Galloway, NYU Stern, G, Galloway, I've, Kanye, Madeleine Albright, Stephen Hawking Organizations: Service, NYU, Business, Grace Locations: Scott Galloway . Galloway

☆ The unloved stock market rally: Why so many investors find it hard to embrace this run to records
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The S & P 500 has made an all-time high on nearly thirty days this year, four of them this past week. The main S & P is up more than 3% in the second quarter while its median stock is off 5% quarter to date. .SPX mountain 2024-03-29 S & P 500 quarter to date The S & P 500 has added $5.5 trillion in market capitalization in 2024, with roughly half kicked in by the Big Three. Wall Street strategists as a group project no upside for the S & P 500 in the second half , their average and median targets both below Friday's closing level. The weekly American Association of Individual Investors survey shows the spread between bulls and bears narrowing lately even with the S & P grinding higher.

Persons: we've, FANG, That's, It's, Jerome Powell's, Chris Verrone, I've Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Investment, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Citi U.S, CPI, Fed, American Association of

☆ A famed economist who called the 2008 recession shares 3 ways stocks resemble some of the biggest bubbles in history — and warns 2 'bona fide' recession signals showed up in May's jobs data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Investors are currently reveling in the 'better', as an ongoing eight-month melt-up once again pushed the S&P 500 to fresh highs this week. But sooner or later, the 'worse' will come, warns David Rosenberg, the founder of Rosenberg Research, who famously called the 2008 recession while working as Merrill Lynch's chief economist. AdvertisementAnother sign the market is out over its skis is the performance divergence between the market cap-weight and the equal-weighted S&P 500 indexes. On June 12, the Dow underperformed the S&P 500 by 0.94%, one of only 71 trading days since 1982 where that's happened, according to Rosenberg's technical analysis consultant, Walter Murphy. AdvertisementIn addition to concerning market technicals, fundamentals could also be in a troubling place in the form of labor market weakness, Rosenberg said.

Persons: —, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch's, Rosenberg, Bob Farrell, Walter Murphy, Murphy, — Rosenberg, it's, Louis Fed, Piper Sandler Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business, Tech, Dow Jones, Dow, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Federal Locations: lockstep

☆ Two Fed cuts this year still possible despite updated dot plot, fund manager says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTwo Fed cuts this year still possible despite updated dot plot, fund manager saysJamie Niven, senior fund manager at Candriam, talks about U.S. inflation data and the latest Federal Reserve interest rate projections.

Persons: Jamie Niven Organizations: Candriam

☆ Why the Fed's rate-cutting agenda could spark a recession, according to top economist Mohamed El Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewThe Federal Reserve's path of rate cuts could be what ends up causing a US recession, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian. Elevated interest rates could cut into economic activity and employment, Powell said at a press conference on Wednesday. At this point, the economy faces a bigger risk of recession than rampant inflation, El-Erian suggested. The recession outlook remains mixed, given the cocktail of tight financial conditions and resilient economic growth so far. According to New York Fed economists, the US has a 52% chance of slipping into recession by May next year.

Persons: —, Mohamed El, Erian, Powell Organizations: Service, Business, Fed, Yahoo Finance, San Francisco Fed, New York Fed, Consumer Locations: El

The markets and Fed diverge againThe bull market rally is continuing to run on Thursday. The S&P 500 is poised to set yet another record, as investors see inflation in retreat — even if Fed policymakers don’t quite see it that way. The gulf between investors and the central bank is widening again. That makes the Fed more hawkish than other central banks, especially those in Europe, that are expected to trim borrowing costs several times this year. He reiterated that inflation remained above the central bank’s 2 percent target and that U.S. households’ spending power had diminished over the past two years.

Persons: Jay Powell, ” Organizations: Fed Locations: Europe

☆ Currency market steadies ahead of U.S. inflation test, Fed decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Economists polled by Reuters expect headline consumer price inflation to ease to 0.1% from 0.3% last month, and core price inflation to remain steady on the month at 0.3%. Powell is likely to strike a relatively dovish tone at the press conference, however, given disappointing growth indicators since the last Fed meeting, Williams said. Japanese wholesale prices rose 2.4% in the year to May, Bank of Japan data showed on Wednesday, beating market forecasts for a 2% increase. The yen held steady at 157.16 per greenback after slipping to its lowest since June 3 at 157.40 the previous day. While Japan's central bank will likely discuss bond buying cuts to pre-empt yen selling pressure, dollar/volatility this week largely depend on Wednesday's U.S. CPI and Fed meeting, he added.

Persons: Jerome Powell's, Kieran Williams, Powell, Williams, Emmanuel Macron's, Sterling, Wei Liang Chang, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Consumer, Fed, Reuters, Asia FX, InTouch, Bank of Japan, Bank of, DBS, CPI Locations: Czech, U.S, Asia, Bank of Japan

☆ How to Read the Fed’s Projections Like a Pro
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to release both an interest-rate decision and a fresh set of economic projections on Wednesday, and Wall Street has been eagerly awaiting those revised estimates for clues on when interest rate cuts may begin. Officials are expected to leave rates unchanged in a range of 5.25 to 5.5 percent, where they have been since July 2023. The question now is when officials may begin to cut rates — and how much borrowing costs will actually move down. Investors will carefully parse the Fed’s fresh forecasts for hints. The dot plot, decodedWhen the central bank releases its Summary of Economic Projections each quarter, Fed watchers focus obsessively on one part in particular: the so-called dot plot.

Organizations: Federal Locations: Central

☆ CPI report: Inflation slowed in May, hinting at welcome relief for consumers
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Falling gas prices kept inflation in check following a 0.3% gain in April. “Adding to the good inflation news, core services inflation (excludes energy services) printed its mildest monthly increase since September 2021,” Kathy Bostjancic, Nationwide’s chief economist, wrote in a note issued Wednesday. On an annual basis, shelter inflation slowed a tenth of a percentage point to 5.4%, which is its lowest rate since April 2022. Still, those costs continue to run hot for consumers, with transportation services prices up 10.5% from a year ago and car insurance up 20.3%. Soft CPI boosts chances for Fed cutsThe CPI, which tracks average change in prices for a basket of goods and services common to consumers, is the most widely cited inflation metric.

Persons: ” Philip T, Powell, They’re, ” Kathy Bostjancic, Indiana University’s Powell, it’s, ” Sean Snaith, ” Preston Caldwell, Tool, “, ” Scott Anderson Organizations: CNN, Inflation, Federal, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Indiana Business Research Center, Indiana University Kelley School of Business, Federal Reserve, CPI, Transportation, University of Central, Soft, Fed, Morningstar, BMO Bank Locations: “, Indiana, University of Central Florida

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