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☆ 4 things making it harder for Janet Yellen to repair the US-China relationship
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

The global economy stands to gain if Washington and Beijing can mend fences, but analysts say this appears unlikely. Here are four things likely to make it harder for Yellen to repair US-China ties, and one thing keeping the relationship going. Sequoia’s executives said in a statement that it has become “increasingly complex” to run a decentralized global investment business. On Wednesday, US pharmaceutical firm Moderna (MRNA)signed a deal to make its first major investment in China. “Both sides are ramping up commercial restrictions in the name of national security and national interests,” she said.

Persons: Janet Yellen, China, ” Wei Jianguo, ”, Anna Ashton, Biden, Beijing’s, Wei, Capvision, Xi Jinping’s, “, Li Qiang, Xi, Alex Capri, ” Ashton, —, Jennifer Hansler, Wayne Chang, Bryan Mena Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Eurasia Group, Micron Technology, China Daily, Analysts, China, Capvision, Bain & Company, Group, Forrester Research, Ontario, Republicans, Hawks, Shanghai Cooperation Organization, Xinhua, US Commerce Department, “, National University of Singapore Business School, Moderna Locations: Hong Kong, Beijing, United States, China, Chinese, Washington, Japan, Europe, Shanghai, New York, decouple, Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, Taiwan, Tianjin

☆ Premarket stocks: Does the Fed have the labor market all wrong?
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —The labor market just won’t quit, but this could be another case of “good news is bad news” for the Federal Reserve. But while job growth is a sign of a healthy economy, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that he wants to see more slack in the labor market in order to bring inflation down. But in April, the unemployment rate reached 3.4%, with the 12-month average of unemployment reaching a record low of 3.6%. Plus, the mass retirement of baby boomers, slowing of immigration rates and long-term health impacts of Covid have also permanently altered the labor market. Why it matters: These changes have led many economists to say that the labor market doesn’t matter anymore, said Kathryn Rooney Vera, chief market strategist at StoneX.

Persons: won’t, Jerome Powell, ”, Joe Brusuelas, Kathryn Rooney Vera, boomer, we’ve, “, Vera, Sam Stovall, Bryan Mena, Stovall, Jordan Valinsky Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Gross, RSM, Labor, Fed Fed, CFRA Research, Federal, CNN, Handil Holdings Locations: New York, “

☆ There was an intense debate at the Fed over pausing rate hikes, minutes show
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Washington, DC CNN —Fed officials vigorously debated whether to hike rates again or hold them steady, according to minutes from the most recent meeting, released Wednesday. The Fed held its key federal funds rate steady at a range of 5-5.25%, snapping a streak of 10 consecutive rate hikes since the Fed began lifting rates in March 2022. The Fed wants to see the labor market, which include monthly job and wage gains, slow to a pace that’s consistent with 2% inflation. Job openings are down from their record high last year and the rate of quitting has slowed to near pre-pandemic levels. Consumer spending has cooled in the past several months, according to figures from the Commerce Department.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ”, Quincy Krosby, Powell, “, Joe Biden’s Organizations: DC CNN — Fed, Fed, LPL, Commerce Department Locations: Washington, April’s

CNN —Wall Street bankers, investors and economists have for months waffled over whether a US recession is coming. But for some Americans, the unforgiving economic pain typical during recession has already set in. Consumer spending accounts for about two-thirds of economic output, so if more Americans are forced to cut back because they were laid off, that might throw the US economy into a recession. Bank of America Chief Executive Brian Moynihan told CNN last week that he expects a mild recession early next year, rather than the late 2022 recession many have predicted. That means that laid-off Americans were often able to find a new job quickly due to a hot job market.

Persons: Al Brown, Brown, it’s, ” Brown, That’s, Allison Joyce, haven’t, Nina McCollum, hasn’t, She’s, ” McCollum, ”, Thomas Simons, ” Simons, Eva Marie Uzcategui, —, Timothy A, Clary, Brian Moynihan, frustrates McCollum, Regina Walton, Walton, she’s, “ It’s, I’ve, ” Walton, “, I’m, Richard Murray, Murray, he’s, you’re Organizations: CNN, Wall, Flyers, New, New Hanover NCWorks, Workforce, Bloomberg, Getty, Investors, Jefferies, National Bureau of Economic Research, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Bank of America, San Francisco Bay Area, Companies, Consolidated Omnibus Budget, Cascade Locations: Concord , North Carolina, America, New Hanover, Wilmington , North Carolina, Cleveland , Ohio, Miami , Florida, AFP, San Francisco Bay, “, Boston

☆ Americans are growing optimistic about inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Washington, DC CNN —With inflation continuing to slow, US consumers are taking notice — and they’re feeling more optimistic. That was due to inflation’s steady retreat in recent months and consumers feeling more cheery about the economy’s future. Consumers’ economic outlook for the year ahead jumped 28% over last month. More action from the Fed is centered on core inflation remaining stubbornly high and not decelerating as fast as the headline number. The optimism reflected in the survey means US consumers have faith that inflation will eventually slow to a sustainable level, which the Fed defines as 2% inflation.

Persons: ”, Joanne Hsu, Brian Moynihan, Joe Biden’s, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: DC CNN, University of Michigan, Consumers, Commerce Department, Federal, Bank of America, CNN, European Central Bank, Market Committee, Fed Locations: Washington, April’s, ”

☆ US economic growth expanded much faster in the first quarter than previously estimated
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Washington, DC CNN —The US economy expanded at a much faster pace in the first three months of the year than previously estimated, the Commerce Department reported on Thursday. Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic output, rose by an annualized rate of 2% in the first quarter, up from the second estimate of 1.3%. Consumer spending accounts for about two-thirds of economic output and the latest estimate incorporated data from the Commerce Department’s Quarterly Services Survey. The revised trade flows contributed positively to GDP, with exports rising more than previously estimated while imports were revised down. And consumers might spend a bit more as the still try to recoup lost time or secure purchases they previously weren’t able to.

Persons: —, ”, Gregory Daco, Ernst & Young, “, Jerome Powell, Bill Adams Organizations: DC CNN, Commerce Department, Gross, Commerce Department’s Quarterly Services Survey, Ernst &, Fed, “ Consumers, Comerica Bank, CNN Locations: Washington

☆ The Fed is secretly stress testing the US economy against nightmare scenarios
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

When asked how the Fed plans for the worst case scenarios on the geopolitical front, he first responded in Fedspeak. At every Fed policy meeting, he said, “our staff works up six or seven or eight alternative simulations,” he said. The market impact: The policy scenarios considered by the Fed are quite sensitive. That’s likely why when Powell was asked about the scenarios the Fed had most recently considered, he stayed mum. They’re posting elaborate TikToks where they pretend that the McDonald’s Grimace shake has killed them, of course.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell didn’t, ”, they’re, Joe Brusuelas, Stacey Tevlin, Ben Bernanke, Philippa Dunne, “, Danielle DiMartino Booth, That’s, Powell, “ I’m, Joe Biden, Biden, “ Bidenomics, Elisabeth Buchwald, Bryan Mena, Read, McDonald’s, Scottie Andrew, Grimace’s, Ronald McDonald, Andrews, it’s, Matthew Prince, “ It’s Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal, European Central Bank, Federal, RSM, “, Fed, Bloomberg, TLR, QI Research, Federal Reserve, Chapman University, CNN Locations: New York, Portugal, Fedspeak, China, Chicago, America, California, ”

☆ Fed Chair Powell: Not ruling out back-to-back rate hikes
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Washington, DC CNN —Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell doubled down Wednesday on the hawkish view that the central bank isn’t done tamping down inflation, and could even implement consecutive rate hikes at its upcoming monetary policy meetings. An often-cited paper by former Fed chair Ben Bernanke argued that the labor market has had a minor, but persistent, impact on inflation that can only be remedied by the economy slowing further. That makes a case for more rate hikes. The labor market has held remarkably steady in recent months, routinely bucking expectations. Employers added a robust 339,000 jobs in May, while the unemployment rate ticked up to a still-low 3.7% that month.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Powell, haven’t, Powell, Ben Bernanke Organizations: DC CNN — Federal, European Central Bank Locations: Washington, Sintra , Portugal

And while Biden’s growing list of Republican challengers differ on many issues, when it comes to the economy, they’re in agreement that Biden failed. In addition, a tight labor market has left many small businesses with ongoing hiring difficulties. Here’s what Biden can take credit for – and what he can’t. In other aspects, the labor market certainly had a boost from Biden’s fiscal policies. Since then, the American workforce has consistently outpaced the pre-pandemic workforce.

Persons: Joe Biden, “, ” Biden, Biden, Jerome Powell, ”, Ben Bernanke, Olivier Blanchard, It’s, it’s, let’s, That’s Organizations: DC CNN, Wednesday, Federal Reserve, –, Congress, American, Manufacturers, Treasury Department, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Republicans, Fed, International Monetary Fund, Brookings Institution, Biden, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Washington, Chicago, American, United States, Ukraine, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

☆ Billionaire killed in race car crash
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-26 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Washington, DC CNN —James Crown, a billionaire businessman who held several leadership roles including board member of JPMorgan Chase, died Sunday in a racing accident in Colorado. Crown, who also turned 70 on Sunday, died in the single-vehicle crash after colliding with an impact barrier at Aspen Motorsports Park in Woody Creek, Colorado, The Colorado Sun reported. Among his many roles, Crown was chairman and CEO of his family business, the investment firm Henry Crown and Company. In addition to serving on the JPMorgan board, he was also a board director at General Dynamics. “We extend our deepest condolences to Jim’s family and loved ones during this incredibly difficult time,” Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, said in a statement.

Persons: James Crown, JPMorgan Chase, Crown, Henry Crown, Jim’s, ” Jamie Dimon, Jim, ”, Jim Crown, Barack Obama Organizations: DC CNN, JPMorgan, Colorado . Crown, Aspen Motorsports, The Colorado Sun, Henry Crown and Company, General Dynamics, JPMorgan Chase, ”, Aspen Skiing Co, Aspen Institute, Museum of Science and Industry, Civic Committee, University of Chicago, Crown, President’s Intelligence, Local, Pitkin County Coroner’s, Forbes Locations: Washington, Colorado, Woody Creek , Colorado, The, Chicago, Pitkin County

☆ Economists weigh in on Mike Pence suggestion to eliminate the Fed’s employment mandate
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-26 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Mike Pence, who served as Donald Trump’s vice president and is vying to helm the White House, is campaigning on eliminating the Fed’s employment mandate. And what would change if the employment mandate is done away with, if anything? Lawmakers on Capitol Hill, with the sitting president’s approval, can simply amend the Federal Reserve Act to eliminate the employment mandate or even add another one. In CNN’s town hall with Pence earlier this month, the former vice president again floated the idea of eliminating the employment mandate. It seems clear that Democrats would take issue with any attempts to rid the Fed of its employment mandate.

Persons: Mike Pence, Donald Trump’s, Jerome Powell’s, Jimmy Carter, Powell, ”, Peter Ireland, Laurence Meyer, ” Adriana Kugler, Joe Biden, “, ” Meyer, Ben Bernanke, Pence, we’ve, ” Pence, Maxine Waters Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, CNN, Reserve, Boston College, Relief, Economic Security, Fed’s, of Governors, Committee, Lawmakers, Capitol, ”, Financial Locations: Washington, Ireland, CNN’s

☆ Fed Chair Powell is heading to Capitol Hill. Here’s what to expect
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Washington, DC CNN —Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testifies before congressional lawmakers this week, starting Wednesday morning with the House Financial Services Committee — just one week after the central bank paused its most aggressive rate-hiking campaign in decades. Indeed, just days after the decision, two Fed officials called for more increases, citing persistent inflationary pressures. Powell will try to quell Democrats’ concerns over the Fed inducing more job losses than necessary and reassure Republicans that the central bank remains committed to fighting inflation. Financial markets see a roughly 77% chance the Fed will hike rates by another quarter point in July, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. The Fed has already published Powell’s semiannual report to Congress, which includes mostly what Powell and the post-meeting statement communicated earlier this month.

Persons: Jerome Powell, “ Powell’s, ”, José Torres, “ Powell, Christopher Waller, Thomas Barkin, Biden, Brendan Boyle, Powell, Mike Pence, Madhavi Bokil Organizations: DC CNN — Federal, House Financial, Fed, Interactive Brokers, Richmond Fed, ”, Pennsylvania Democrat, Republicans, US, Moody’s Investors, Moody’s Investors Service Locations: Washington, Pennsylvania

☆ Consumers feel better/worse about inflation, economy's direction
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-16 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Washington, DC CNN —Americans are feeling upbeat about inflation and the economy, according to the University of Michigan’s latest consumer survey released Friday. Consumers’ inflation expectations for the year ahead retreated for the second straight month, declining to 3.3% early this month from 4.2% in May. That’s good news for the Federal Reserve, which closely watches sentiment surveys to gauge the expectations consumers and businesses have for price hikes. “The sharp drop of short-term consumer inflation expectations points to another slowdown in the June CPI report, which will be out before the Fed’s next decision,” wrote Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank, in an analyst note. However, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in his news conference this week that inflation expectations remain in check.

Persons: ”, Bill Adams, Jerome Powell, That’s, Christopher Waller Organizations: DC CNN, University of Michigan’s, Federal Reserve, Comerica Bank, Federal Reserve Bank of New, National Federation of Independent Business, Federal Locations: Washington, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Norway

☆ Just days after pausing rate hikes, Fed official calls for more increases
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-16 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Washington, DC CNN —The dust has barely settled on the Federal Reserve’s decision to pause its aggressive rate-hiking campaign — but in public appearances Friday, central bank officials have a clear message: Keep hiking. In one of the first speeches, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said Friday that additional rate increases are necessary to bring inflation down to the central bank’s 2% target. The Fed’s decision to restart hikes depends on what data show in the coming weeks and months. It is the job of bank leaders to deal with interest rate risk and nearly all bank leaders have done exactly that,” Waller said. A representative of the event said the conference wasn’t being recorded and that only registrants who paid a fee were able to attend.

Persons: Christopher Waller, ” Waller, ”, Gregory Daco, Ernst & Young, ” Powell, Waller, “, Michael Gapen, Gapen, they’re, Louis President James Bullard, Thomas Barkin Organizations: DC CNN, Federal, Norges Bank, International Monetary Fund, Ernst &, Bank, BofA Global Research, CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, Maryland Government Finance, Association Locations: Washington, Oslo, Norway, ”

☆ US retail sales rose in May
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Retail sales at stores, online and in restaurants grew 0.3% in May from April, the Commerce Department reported on Thursday. Retail sales data is adjusted for seasonality but not for inflation. Excluding sales at gasoline stations, retail spending increased by a faster clip of 0.6%. From a year ago, overall retail sales rose 1.6% in May. Impact of the labor marketWhile retail sales held up in May, spending has erred on the weaker side after a big jump in January.

Persons: Brian Field, ”, Joshua Shapiro, Maria Fiorini Ramirez, Jerome Powell, Thomas Simons, Deborah Weinswig Organizations: DC CNN, Commerce Department, Sensormatic Solutions, CNN, Federal Reserve, Jefferies, “, Coresight Locations: Washington

☆ Company execs used to trumpet their diversity and climate efforts. Now not so much
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Just 74 members of the S&P 500 even mentioned “ESG” in their first quarter earnings calls, according to new FactSet data. ESG funds have also lost popularity with investors. Total assets under management in ESG funds fell by about $163.2 billion globally during the first quarter of 2023 from the year before, according to data provider Lipper. The Congressman asked whether the company’s diversity initiatives were “directing resources away from the important things like greasing wheel bearings?”Companies “see that certain terms have become lightning rod terms. “You can say you’re increasing diversity initiatives just for the optics, but without data to back it up, you’ll eventually get called out by stakeholders,” he said.

Persons: New York CNN —, George Floyd, “, “ ESG, It’s, —, Lipper, What’s, Bud Light, influencer Dylan Mulvaney, Mike Collins of, ”, Douglas Chia, Chia, they’re, ” It’s, David Duffy, they’ll, you’ll, ’, Powell, Bryan Mena, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Dow, Stocks, Beyoncé, Anna Cooban, Michael Grahn, ” Grahn, Bruce Springsteen, Grahn, that’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, InBev, Silicon Valley, Norfolk Southern, Conference Board’s ESG, . Firms, Securities and Exchange Commission, Federal Reserve, KPMG, Corporate Governance Institute, “, Nasdaq, Danske Bank, Reuters, CNN Locations: New York, Ukraine, United States, America, Silicon, Mike Collins of Georgia, East Palestine , Ohio, Denmark, Stockholm, Sweden, Swedish, Gothenburg

☆ Fed meeting June 2023: The Fed holds rates steady, pausing its rate-hiking campaign
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

The vote to skip a rate increase this meeting was unanimous. “Holding the target range steady at this meeting allows the Committee to assess additional information and its implications for monetary policy,” the statement said. Future policy moves depend on what economic indicators show in the coming weeks and months, including the resilient job market. Most officials in the Federal Open Market Committee, which sets monetary policy, expect the unemployment rate to rise to a range of 4-4.1% this year. “Tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh on economic activity, hiring and inflation,” according to the statement.

Persons: Banks Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, “, Market Committee, ” Locations: Washington

☆ Growing number of small businesses worry about inflation and the economy’s future
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Washington CNN —A greater number of small businesses are worried about inflation and future business conditions, according to a survey released Tuesday by the National Federation of Independent Business. The Fed keeps a close eye on inflation expectations to know whether or not US consumers have become used to a certain level of inflation. “Overall, small business owners are expressing concerns for future business conditions,” Bill Dunkelberg, NFIB’s chief economist, said in a release. The share of small business owners expecting better business conditions in the future declined in May while the share reporting that inflation “was their single most important problem in operating their business” increased. Officials are confident that inflation expectations remain in check.

Persons: “, Bill Dunkelberg, it’s, ”, Jerome Powell Organizations: Washington CNN, National Federation of Independent Business, Federal, Fed, Labor Statistics, Index, Employers, Market Committee

☆ Global manufacturing is sputtering
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-11 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

S&P Global data showed that the US manufacturing sector fell into contraction territory in May. Business conditions in China’s manufacturing industry, the largest in the world, improved in May, according to the Caixin manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index. Globally, manufacturers’ optimism fell to its lowest level since December, according to the JPMorgan Global Manufacturing PMI. The possibility of China reinvigorating global economic growth is slipping. That could eventually lead to global manufacturers trimming their workforces if demand for goods continues to weaken and their backlogs shrink further.

Persons: ”, Ariane Curtis, “ We’ve, Tom Garretson, Jerome Powell, hasn’t, won’t bode, Liu Young, Monish Patolawala Organizations: DC CNN — Manufacturers, Factories, P, Institute for Supply Management, Commerce Department, JPMorgan Global Manufacturing PMI, Capital Economics, International Monetary Fund, RBC Wealth Management, Credit Suisse, UBS, The Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Fed, Apple, 3M, National Association of Manufacturers Locations: Washington, United States, Ireland, China, Europe, Germany, Europe’s

☆ US venture capital titan Sequoia to split off China business amid tension with Beijing
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Washington, DC CNN —Venture capital titan Sequoia is splitting its business into three independent partnerships, each with separate brands. Sequoia Capital executives briefed investors Tuesday about the plans, which are expected to be completed by March 2024. The firm’s operations in Europe and the United States will retain the current name, Sequoia Capital. Its Chinese unit, Sequoia China, will use its current Chinese name, HongShan. The company’s business operations in India and Southeast Asia will be spun off into a partnership named Peak XV Partners.

Persons: hyping, Roelof Botha, Neil Shen, Shailendra Singh, Biden, TikTok Organizations: DC CNN — Venture, Sequoia Capital, XV Partners, Apple, Sequoia, Republicans, US, Street Journal Locations: Washington, China, Beijing, Europe, United States, Sequoia China, India, Southeast Asia, Montana

☆ With these many jobs, do we no longer have to worry about a recession?
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-03 | by ( Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

But for every recession alarm bell, the continued strength in the labor market seems to be an answer to those worries. “I think even in a recession environment, we’re going to have a relatively strong job market. “It’s still possible that the case of avoiding a recession is, in my view, more likely than that of having a recession. Jobs market still hot, but coolingThat’s not to say that the jobs market hasn’t slowed down. Powell said he’s not particularly worried about the cooling of the labor market over the last year.

Persons: That’s, ”, Jamie Cox, they’re, Mark Zandi, “, I’ve, we’ve, Dave Gilbertson, Jerome Powell, “ We’ve, ” Powell, It’s, Julia Pollock, Powell, he’s, —, ZipRecruiter’s Pollock, – CNN’s Bryan Mena Organizations: New, New York CNN, Labor Department, Costco, Federal Reserve, Harris Financial Group, Moody’s Analytics, Target, Labor Locations: New York

☆ The job market held up in May. But the Fed may have already decided to pause
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Washington, DC CNN —The US labor market picked up momentum in May, once again defying expectations of a slowdown. Many economists, including those at the Fed, still expect a recession later in the year. The labor market and signs of future disinflationThe May jobs report mostly showed that the labor market held up. Some top economists have argued that the strong labor market has had a minor, albeit growing, impact on inflation. Hawkish Fed officials still think the Fed’s job isn’t done.

Persons: That’s, Joe Biden’s, ”, Philip Jefferson, Patrick Harker, “, ” Harker, It’s, ” Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter’s, you’ve, you’d, Dave Gilbertson, hasn’t, Ben Bernanke, ” Jack Macdowell, Louis President James Bullard, Bullard, Louis Fed’s, Louis, Jerome Powell, there’s, Ian Shepherdson, Eugenio Alemán, Raymond James Organizations: DC CNN, Federal, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, National Association for Business Economics, CNN, Employers, of Labor Statistics, BLS, UKG, The Palisades Group, Hawkish Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Louis Fed, Pantheon Locations: Washington, Washington ,

☆ Debt ceiling deal won’t have much impact on the US economy, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The US economy is the world’s largest, so the relatively modest effects on growth could be good news for investors who feared the debt ceiling crisis could have posed a greater and more widespread drag. Here’s what’s in the proposed deal and how it would show up in the broader economy. What’s in the debt ceiling dealThe deal would suspend the federal government’s $31.4 trillion debt limit through January 2025. The debt deal and GDPEconomists at Goldman Sachs expect the deal to reduce federal spending by as much as 0.2% of gross domestic product per year over the two years of the deal, compared with their baseline estimate. “Getting this uncertainty out of the way for markets and decision makers has a real impact,” said Mike Skordeles, head of US economics at Truist Advisory Services.

Persons: Joe Biden, Mark Zandi, Biden, Goldman Sachs, ” Goldman Sachs, Ian Shepherdson, Gregory Daco, ”, Mike Skordeles, Zandi, ” Michael Reynolds Organizations: DC CNN, House Republicans, Moody’s, CNN, Internal Revenue Service, Congressional, Pantheon, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Truist Advisory Services, Investment, “ Locations: Washington, West Virginia

☆ Premarket stocks: Will the debt ceiling debate finish the Fed's inflation fight?
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-24 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

New York CNN —Over the last 14 months, the Federal Reserve has taken a deliberate and economically painful approach to combating elevated inflation rates through interest rate hikes. The regional banking crisis and a possible debt-ceiling induced default on US debt could change all of that. What’s happening: There are two policy options that the Fed can use to address elevated inflation. For the first quarter, Lowe’s said overall sales fell 5.5% to $22.3 billion. Home Depot missed on first quarter sales and lowered its outlook for the year after customers slowed their spending.

Persons: shouldn’t, ”, Laurence Ball, Edward Boehne, Jerome Powell, Ben Bernanke, Powell, Ball, there’s, Austan Goolsbee, “, Julian Brigden, Bernanke, ” Bernanke, Olivier Blanchard, Bryan Mena, Blanchard, David Goldman, Parija, Lowe’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Johns Hopkins University, ” Former Philadelphia Fed, Fed, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Yahoo Finance, Partners, International Monetary Fund, Brookings Institution, Target, Walmart, Home Depot Locations: New York, ”, Washington ,, America, California

☆ Former Fed Chair Bernanke argues economy must slow further to bring down inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-23 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Inflation has cooled in the past several months, according to the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge and the Consumer Price Index, though some Fed officials have said that it’s not cooling fast enough. Indeed, the labor market remains on strong footing. “Overheating in the labor market has played a minor role but an increasing one over time. Overall inflation crept up throughout that year, then the Fed began to raise interest rates in March 2022 from near zero. Despite the failures of three regional banks since March, the Fed still raised interest rates two more times during that period.

Persons: Ben Bernanke, ” Bernanke, Olivier Blanchard, Blanchard, they’re, Mary Daly, ” Daly, isn’t Organizations: DC CNN, Former Federal, Fed, International Monetary Fund, Brookings Institution, Federal Reserve Bank of San Locations: Washington, Washington ,, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

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