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UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves makes a speech during the Labour Party Conference that is held at the ACC Liverpool Convention Center in Liverpool, UK on September 23, 2024. LONDON — U.K. Finance Minister Rachel Reeves will deliver the government's hotly awaited debut budget on Wednesday, putting to bed weeks of uncertainty over potential tax hikes and spending cuts. Reports suggest that the Treasury could target public sector net financial liabilities (PSNFL) in the U.K.'s measure of debt, rather than public sector net debt. The PSNFL measure takes in a wider account of the government's balance sheet, including financial assets and liabilities, than public sector net debt. In a note Friday, Goldman Sachs estimated that the changes could increase the government's fiscal headroom by around £50 billion ($65 billion).
Persons: Rachel Reeves, — Labour's, , Keir Starmer, Reeves, Goldman Sachs, Goldman sachs Organizations: Labour Party Conference, ACC Liverpool Convention Center, LONDON, Finance, Sky News, Financial Times, Treasury Locations: Liverpool
China's industrial profits in September dropped at its fastest pace since the pandemic, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed, as the country tussles with an economy plagued by slow growth, lack of demand and a property crisis. After a 17.8% fall in August, industrial profits declined 27.1% in September from a year ago, marking the steepest plunge since March 2020, when it dropped by 34.9%, according to data kept by Wind Information. In the first nine months, industrial profits fell by 3.5% from a year ago. NBS statistician Yu Weining said "insufficient demand and a sharp decline in producer prices" weighed down the profitability of industrial firms. Gary Ng, senior economist at Natixis, said in an email to CNBC that "the weakness of industrial profits indicates China's greater need for demand-side policies."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Hui Shan, Yu Weining, Gary Ng Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, Information, People's, CNBC, Reuters, PMI Locations: Jiangxi Province, Shanghai, China, Beijing
In today's big story, the first of our five-part refresher series on the potential impact Donald Trump and Kamala Harris presidencies could have on US consumers. Business Insider's Matthew Fox detailed how Wall Street sees former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris affecting the investment landscape if they win the White House. One of the biggest areas where Harris and Trump differ is their proposed tax policies, which are believed to have big impacts on stocks. AdvertisementTrump's universal tariffs proposal is also viewed as having a big impact. It's a big week for Apple.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Matthew Fox, Harris, Trump, it's, Alyssa Powell, Joe Biden, Steve Sosnick, Neil Dutta, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Rebecca Zisser, Elon Musk, James Yates, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Grace Lett, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Getty, BI, White, Bank of America, Interactive Brokers, JPMorgan, Twitter, Elon, Apple, Apple Intelligence, iOS, Venture, Ford Motors, MLB, LA Dodgers, New York Yankees, Forbes Locations: It's, New York, London, Chicago
Boeing is looking for a $19 billion boost
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Aditi Bharade | Pete Syme | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Boeing is looking to raise nearly $19 billion to combat its lack of cash. It comes after Boeing reported a net loss of $6.1 billion in the third quarter. AdvertisementBoeing needs cash, and it's trying to raise almost $19 billion as the company looks to boost its liquidity. The planemaker announced Monday that it is offering 90 million common shares and about $5 billion of depositary shares for sale. Last Wednesday, Boeing reported a net loss of $6.1 billion in its third-quarter earnings.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Max, Dave Calhoun, Ron Epstein Organizations: Boeing, Alaska Airlines, Service, planemaker, Bank of America, Citibank, JPMorgan Chase, Alaska Airlines Boeing
Morgan Stanley initiates FrontView REIT as overweight Morgan Stanley said the commercial real estate investment trust company is well positioned. " Morgan Stanley downgrades Global Foundries to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees rising competition for the semis company. " Morgan Stanley upgrades Nutanix to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said the cloud computing software company is well positioned. " Morgan Stanley downgrades Ciena to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees a more balanced risk/reward for the networking and systems software company. Wedbush adds Roblox to the best ideas list The firm said it sees robust revenue growth ahead.
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald, Morgan Stanley, FrontView, Baird, AAON, Canaccord, Tesla, Jefferies, NTNX, Wells, Raymond James downgrades, Wolfe, DOV, Morgan Stanley downgrades Ciena, Piper Sandler, Bowlero, Piper, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, it's bullish, Marcellus, Bernstein, SARO, Stifel downgrades, Oppenheimer, Monness Crespi Hardt, Coinbase, Stifel, it's Organizations: Nvidia, Broadcom, MU, JPMorgan, Apple, Dell, Cisco, Spotify, Honeywell, Walmart, " Bank of America, Antero Resources, Bank of America, Macquarie, China EV, Stifel downgrades Colgate, Palmolive, Colgate, Commerce, ~$ Locations: AVGO, 1H25, Dover, Appalachia, Utica, West Virginia
This is a trader's market, says Goldman Sachs' Tony Pasquariello
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThis is a trader's market, says Goldman Sachs' Tony PasquarielloTony Pasquariello, Goldman Sachs global head of hedge fund coverage, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss his stock outlook and the bull rally's risk-reward setup.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Tony Pasquariello Tony Pasquariello
Monday Ford Motor is set to report earnings after the bell, followed by a conference call at 5 p.m. What history shows: Bespoke Investment Group data shows Ford beats earnings expectations 68% of the time. What to watch: Meta is in a good spot heading into this week's report, according to Bernstein's Mark Shmulik. Microsoft is set to report earnings after the close, with a conference call on deck for 5:30 p.m. Amazon is set to report earnings after the market close, with a conference call at 5 p.m.
Persons: Edison Yu, Yu, BioNTech, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Hari, LSEG, Bernstein's Mark Shmulik, Morgan Stanley's Keith Weiss, AAPL, KeyBanc, Justin Post Organizations: Apple, Ford Motor . Pharmaceutical, Pfizer, Corporate America, Monday Ford, LSEG, Ford, AMD, Cloud Service, Google, Microsoft, Windows, CNBC, Management, Amazon Web Services, Bank of America, Amazon Locations: Temu, .
The Dodgers and Yankees will face off in the MLB 2024 World Series. AdvertisementWhen the Dodgers and Yankees take the field to battle it out for the 120th World Series championship, the players won't be the only ones with trophies on the line. The financier is worth $6 billion, according to Forbes. Now, the team is owned by George's kids, Hank Steinbrenner, Jessica Steinbrenner, Hal Steinbrenner, and Jennifer Steinbrenner Swindal. Related storiesThe bulk of the Steinbrenners' fortune is tied up in the Yankees, which is MLB's most valuable franchise, worth $7.93 billion, according to Sportico.
Persons: Mark Walter, Steinbrenner, , Walter, Magic Johnson, Stan Kasten, I'm, Johnson, George Steinbrenner, Hank Steinbrenner, Jessica Steinbrenner, Hal Steinbrenner, Jennifer Steinbrenner Swindal, Forbes, I've, Marc Lasry, Sportico, Banks, Goldman Sachs, Ivo Voynov Organizations: Dodgers, Yankees, Sports, Service, Guggenheim Partners, Forbes, Atlanta Braves, Los Angeles, MLB, Los Angeles Times, CBS, franchise's YES, Major League Soccer's New, Major League Soccer's New York City FC, Legends Hospitality, Italian soccer, AC Milan, Professional, Yankee, Milwaukee Bucks, Citi Private Bank Locations: Major League Soccer's New York, Italian
John Hussman warns of poor S&P 500 returns over the next 12 years. Current expectations have the S&P 500 underperforming Treasurys by 9.9% annually over the next 12 years. But valuations are causing skepticism about future market returns among others on Wall Street, even if not to the same degree. Related storiesEarlier this week, Goldman Sachs forecast that the S&P 500 would average 3% annual returns over the next decade. His Strategic Growth Fund is down about 55% since December 2010 and has fallen 16% in the past 12 months.
Persons: John Hussman, , you'll, you'd, Hussman, Hussman's, it's, Goldman Sachs, It's Organizations: Treasurys, Service, Hussman Investment Trust
And how should investors be thinking about future equity returns as the bull market enters its third year riding stellar multi-year performance and facing demanding valuations? So, expansionary policies that would quicken the economy's metabolism and produce more inflation was exactly what the market craved then – but now? Right now, the S & P 500 is up 42% from 18 months ago and fetches 22-times expected earnings. No reliable augurs of a coming bear market are in evidence: S & P up 10 of 11 months, making a new high in September, credit spreads resolutely narrow, all point to an upside bias over a span of months, at least. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD Which leaves the question of just how much upside, if any, a bull should reasonably expect from here.
Persons: Warren Pies, Pat Tschosik, Ned Davis, Donald Trump, payrolls, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, 3Fourteen Research, Trump, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Dow, Leuthold, quicken, Wall Locations: U.S, China, Wells
CFO turnover hit 8.9% globally during the period, surpassing levels in 2022 and 2023. A global pandemic, increased geopolitical tensions overseas, supply chain disruptions and recession concerns have made the CFO role even harder. Jim Cramer also has pounded the table of the importance of the CFO role, arguing that "a good CFO can give you a feeling of a Good Housekeeping seal of approval." Moving forward, it's unclear whether CFO turnover will continue to pickup. "If a CFO immediately resigns intra quarter, what companies will do sometimes is reaffirm their guidance to ease investor concerns.
Persons: Zachary Kirkhorn, Deepak Ahuja, Russell Reynolds, CFOs, Steve Gallucci, , they've, Goldman Sachs, David Viniar, Josh Crist, Crist, Raymond James, Paul Shoukry, Jim Cramer, Amy Hood, Hood, we've …, Costco's Richard Galanti, Eli Lilly, Anat Ashkenazi, Ashkenazi, Ruth Porat, Apple, Luca Maestri, Amy Weaver, Mike Stepniak, Jeff Marks, Marks, It's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: Wall Street, Deloitte's Global, CNBC, Fortune, Goldman, Bloomberg News, Kolder, Microsoft, Honeywell, Federal, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Istock, Getty
Here's how the process could work and what Wall Street bankers stand to gain. AdvertisementAs third-quarter earnings demonstrated, Wall Street dealmaking appears to be bouncing back after three years of lackluster activity. Spokespersons for both Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley declined to comment or confirm their reported participation in the project. The two investment bankers – neither of whom are affiliated with Goldman, Morgan Stanley, OpenAI, or Microsoft — requested anonymity to preserve industry relationships. Largely speaking, however, Wall Street is poised to win, Roberts said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, , OpenAI, , Morgan Stanley's, PwC, Michael Roberts, Morgan, Roberts, Wharton, dealmaker, Sam Altman, Altman, Elon Musk, Reed Alexander Organizations: Service, Wall Street Journal, Microsoft, The, BI, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Goldman, Wall Street, Wharton, dealmakers, Apple, Tesla Locations: San Francisco, Silicon Valley
Some guests at Saudi Arabia's annual investment conference will have the chance to visit part of Neom. A group of visitors will be taken to Sindalah, an island retreat in the Red Sea, Bloomberg reports. AdvertisementAs guests descend upon Saudi Arabia for a major annual investment conference, some will have the opportunity to see the country's futuristic megacity, Neom, firsthand. Days before the conference begins, a select group of guests has been invited to visit Sindalah Island, per Bloomberg. Sindalah is a luxury island complex in the Red Sea off Saudi Arabia's west coast designed as a "unique escape" for visitors to Neom.
Persons: Neom, , BlackRock's Larry Fink, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Citigroup's Jane Fraser, Julia Hoggett, Ken Griffin, Sindalah, Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Malcolm Aw Organizations: Saudi, Bloomberg, Service, Investment Initiative, London Stock, Solar, Business Locations: Neom, Red, Saudi, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh, Sindalah
The lack of uniformity allows both firms and employees to present themselves in the best light. This lack of uniformity and the relentless war for talent has firms and employees alike taking advantage of the ambiguity. Rokos has two dozen employees with the title "investment officer" in their LinkedIn profiles. At Coatue, executives sign off on what employees put as their title on LinkedIn, people familiar with the firm's operations said. Members of Tiger Global's front-office team use "investor" as their title on LinkedIn instead of a more specific role.
Persons: , David Einhorn's, James Fishback, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Ken Griffin, Gerald Beeson, Sjoerd, Google's Paul Darrah, Jose Gamez, Rokos, Chris Rokos, Paul Enright, Townie Wells, Enright, Jain, Tiger, Marshall Wace, D.E, Shaw, allocators, Elliott, Don Steinbrugge, Steinbrugge Organizations: Service, Goldman, Bloomberg, Business, Industry, Citadel, Citadel Securities, Jain, Townie, Viking Global, Sigma, Fund, Talent, Agecroft Partners Locations: Greenlight, Miami, Palm Beach, London, Wells, Coatue
Investors will contend with earnings results from five of the Magnificent Seven companies next week. .SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 "I sort of refer to this period that we're in right now as like a strange brew," said Mark Malek, investment chief at Siebert. On Friday, the Nasdaq Composite hit an all-time high , but the S & P 500 snapped a six-week win streak. In fact, the high concentration of the mega-cap leaders in the S & P 500 spurred Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this month to release a dim long-term forecast for the overall market. HSBC head of equity strategy Nicole Inui upped her S & P 500 year-end target to 5,900.
Persons: Mark Malek, Siebert, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Siebert's Malek, they've, Nicole Inui, Inui, D.R Horton, Price, Eli Lilly, Lauder Organizations: Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Big Tech, HSBC, FactSet, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, Ford, Semiconductor, Caesars Entertainment, Devices, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean Group, PayPal, ADP, Kraft Heinz, Caterpillar, GE Healthcare Technologies, Holdings, ECI Civilian Workers, PCE, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, Cruise Line Holdings, Uber Technologies, Lauder Companies, Mastercard, Generac, Jobs, PMI, Manufacturing, Exxon Mobil Locations: U.S, Chicago
The final pre-election edition of the closely watched monthly jobs report is set to be published Nov. 1, four days ahead of Election Day. All eyes are now on a handful of states expected to see razor-thin vote margins, likely to be determined by a small but crucial pool of persuadable voters. The exact impact on the jobs report is unclear. The strike, which kicked off in September, has coincided with layoff notices sent to 17,000 workers in Boeing's commercial aviation division. While the Keystone State's unemployment rate climbed by a tenth of a percentage point compared with the September 2023 figure, its latest reading, at 3.4%, marked two straight years below 4%.
Persons: Milton —, Boeing machinists, Goldman Sachs, , Goldman, Helene, Trump Organizations: Boeing, of Labor Statistics, Nomura Holdings, Nomura, BLS, Electoral College, Keystone, Democratic, Republican Locations: U.S, Milton, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania
The creator economy is dominated by Big Tech, but a new set of startups is finding ways to break in. From influencer marketing to AI tech, here are 13 startups to watch in 2024, according to investors. AdvertisementGoldman Sachs estimated the creator economy could hit $480 billion annually by 2027, driven largely by influencer marketing and advertising revenue. Creator startups that build with artificial-intelligence tech, such as Delphi and Merse, have also become a focus among investors. Here are those 13 creator startups to watch in 2024, listed in alphabetical order:
Persons: , Alejandro Oropeza, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Big Tech, Business, Service, Google, Venture, Delphi
Bond market investors are having trouble figuring out an economy that looks good from 30,000 feet, but less so closer to the ground. Whether it's payrolls, gross domestic product or retail sales, or a host of other measures, growth looks solid, at the very least. On Wall Street, the general view was of concern: The Beige Book "showed no material improvement in a generally bleak outlook," Citigroup economist Andrew Hollenhorst wrote. However, if growth deteriorates, as the Beige Book indicates it has, that likely would push the Fed towards more reductions. "Despite recent stronger-than-expected data on U.S. employment, retail sales, and consumer inflation, the Fed's latest Beige Book signals a still weakening economy."
Persons: it's, Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Goldman, Andrew Hollenhorst, Kathy Bostjancic, Peter Boockvar, Jerome Powell, Nicholas Colas Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Fed, Citigroup, Nationwide, Bleakley Financial, DataTrek
Jensen Huang says AI can enhance jobs — but won't replace humans entirely. AI could perform parts of some jobs up to 1,000 times better but not replace entire roles, he said. AdvertisementNvidia CEO Jensen Huang anticipates AI will do parts of some jobs 1,000 times better — but it will never replace the actual humans doing those roles. "Depending on the jobs we do, it could do 20% of our jobs 1000 times better. He previously said that he wanted Nvidia to be a company with "100 million AI assistants."
Persons: Jensen Huang, , Huang, Kweilin, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Nvidia, Service, McKinsey Locations: Mumbai, India
Against this backdrop, Wolfe Research released a basket of stocks that might be impaired under a Trump presidency. These companies would be at risk either under a 10% universal duty or 60% China tariffs. Beauty and cosmetics manufacturer Estée Lauder , down about 40% this year, could also face repercussions under a Trump win. Analyst Angel Castillo's revised price target of $332, down from $349, is approximately 14% lower than where shares closed on Wednesday. Other than these stocks sensitive to tariffs, Wolfe Research also suggested a few other ways to play the election.
Persons: Donald Trump, Wolfe, Trump, Estée Lauder, Rambourg, Morgan Stanley, Angel, Goldman Sachs, Patterson, Kamala Harris, Wolfe's Organizations: Republican, Wolfe Research, Democratic, Eagle Outfitters, Eagle, Bank of America, Trump, HSBC, Caterpillar, UTI Energy, NextEra Energy, Centene, AES Corp Locations: China, Greater China
Nvidia's much-anticipated Blackwell AI chip appears to be back on track. CEO Jensen Huang said Nvidia had fixed a design flaw with the chip with the help of Taiwanese tech firm TSMC, per Reuters. AdvertisementNvidia seems to have fixed a design flaw in its next-gen AI chip, thanks to a little help from TSMC. "We had a design flaw in Blackwell. It was functional, but the design flaw caused the yield to be low.
Persons: Blackwell, Jensen Huang, , Morgan Stanley, Huang, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Nvidia, Meta, Google, Service, Reuters, Blackwell, TSMC Locations: TSMC
TSLA YTD mountain Tesla stock in 2024. Jonas reiterated his overweight rating on Tesla stock, and his price target implies 45% upside. Wells Fargo, $125 per share price target Wells Fargo isn't a buyer after the strong results, citing high valuations. His neutral rating and $250 per share price target implies roughly 17% upside ahead. Barclays, $220 per share price target Barclays had positive takeaways from the report but reaffirmed that questions remain around Tesla's artificial intelligence and full self driving initiatives.
Persons: Elon Musk, Tesla, they're, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Jonas, Wells, Colin Langan, Langan, Goldman Sachs, Mark Delaney, Delaney, Dan Levy, Levy, John Murphy, Murphy Organizations: FactSet, Tesla, Barclays, Bank of America Locations: Texas, California, Shanghai
Morgan Stanley is expanding the use of OpenAI-powered, generative artificial intelligence tools to its vaunted investment banking and trading division, CNBC has learned. It’s most in-demand among salespeople and other client-facing staff who often field questions from hedge funds or other institutional investors, said Huberty. Productivity boostIn a recent demonstration, the GPT-4 based chatbot was able to summarize Morgan Stanley’s position on matters from copper to Nvidia to the finer points of standing up a data center, understanding industry-specific jargon and providing charts and links to source material. The tool is embedded within workers’ browsers as well as Microsoft Teams and Outlook programs to make it readily available. Understandably, Huberty says she is often asked if AI could ultimately replace the analysts who are creating the reams of research published under Morgan Stanley’s banner.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Katy Huberty, Morgan, ” Huberty, Wall, Pierre Buhler, ” Buhler, ” It’s, Goldman Sachs, Huberty, that’s, , chatbot, Morgan Stanley’s, Organizations: CNBC, JPMorgan Chase, SSA, Co, JPMorgan, Employees, Productivity, Nvidia, Microsoft Locations: San Francisco
However, real estate — specifically the commercial side — may be poised to take off. "This is absolutely the largest generational opportunity to invest in real estate in a long time," Issar said at the conference. "This is a time for investors to step in, move into attractive pricing, move into asset classes like non-core real estate." Investors can bet on a commercial real estate rebound by working with JPMAM's team, or on their own through publicly traded real estate investment trusts (REITs). "That is the modernization of the new direct real estate that is going to be really attractive for investors in the future."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Goldman Sachs Goldman Sachs, they're, That's, David Kelly, what's, JPMAM, Kelly, David Lebovitz, Monica Issar, Issar Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management, Service, Asset Management, Management, JPMorgan Private
Apple CEO Tim Cook introduces the Apple Card during a launch event at the Apple headquarters in Cupertino, California, on March 25, 2019. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau ordered Apple and Goldman Sachs on Wednesday to pay more than $89 million for mishandling consumer disputes related to Apple Card transactions. Goldman Sachs was ordered to pay a $45 million civil penalty and $19.8 million in redress, while Apple was fined $25 million. "Apple and Goldman Sachs illegally sidestepped their legal obligations for Apple Card borrowers. Apple Card was first launched in 2019 as a credit card alternative, hinged on Apple Pay, the company's mobile payment and digital wallet service.
Persons: Tim Cook, Goldman Sachs, Apple, Rohit Chopra, Nick Carcaterra, , Hugh Son, Steve Kovach Organizations: Apple, Consumer Financial Protection, Apple Card, Big Tech, CNBC Locations: Cupertino , California
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