Top related persons:
Top related locs:
Top related orgs:

Search resuls for: "pent"


25 mentions found


China Daily via REUTERS Acquire Licensing RightsSummary Global growth forecast unchanged at 3.0% in 2023Inflation dropping but 'not quite there yet'-IMF chief economistIMF raises U.S. forecast, cuts outlook for China, euro areaMARRAKECH, Morocco, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its growth forecasts for China and the euro zone and said overall global growth remained low and uneven despite what it called the "remarkable strength" of the U.S. economy. In its latest World Economic Outlook, the IMF left its forecast for global real GDP growth in 2023 unchanged at 3.0% but cut its 2024 forecast to 2.9% from its July forecast of 3.0%. Even in 2028, the IMF is projecting global growth of just 3.1%. You put all these things together and you have a slowdown in medium-term growth," Gourinchas told Reuters. If the real estate crisis deepened, China's growth could be lowered by as much as 1.6% percentage point, which in turn would knock 0.6 percentage points off global growth, Gourinchas said.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Gourinchas, It's, it's, Andrea Shalal, Andrea Ricci, Catherine Evans Organizations: REUTERS Acquire, IMF, Monetary Fund, World Bank, Reuters, Research, Labor, U.S, autoworkers, Thomson Locations: Jinhua, Zhejiang province, China, MARRAKECH, Morocco, U.S, COVID, Ukraine, Israel, Marrakech, United States, Japan
China's Golden Week: expected consumption boom disappoints
  + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
Hong Kong CNN —China has concluded its Golden Week holiday on a muted note, with key travel and spending data showing weaker-than-expected recovery in consumption amid a wider economic slump. Before the holiday, the ministry had expected domestic travel to hit 896 million trips, and tourism spending to reach 782.5 billion yuan ($107 billion). According to the National Immigration Administration, on average 1.48 million people crossed the border every day during the Golden Week holiday. Weakness at the box officeChina’s box office hit multi-year lows during the holiday week. A recovery in domestic consumption not related to the Golden Week also fell short of expectations.
Persons: ” Goldman Sachs, Tesla, BYD Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Ministry of Culture, Tourism, National Immigration Administration, Shenyang North Railway, Stringer, Getty, Citi, Entertainment, Tencent, China Passenger Car Association Sunday, CNN, EV Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, China's, Liaoning, AFP, Tourism
Most of the people participating in the trend are in their 20s, citing various reasons for quitting ranging from low wages to burnout. LiangAccording to China’s LinkedIn equivalent Maimai, out of 1,554 employees across various sectors surveyed from January through October 2022, 28% resigned that year. A similar movement, dubbed the Great Resignation, had taken off in the United States, with almost 50 million people quitting their jobs in two years. Despite the proliferation of higher education degrees, China’s economy doesn’t currently require as many high-skilled workers and it takes time to transform the economic structure, she said. The resignation trend could affect fertility, but it’s not yet clear how, she said.
Persons: Hong Kong CNN —, Liang, , , Nancy Qian, they’ve, Jade Gao, Qian, ” Qian, Yao Lu, Veyron Mai, ” Lu, Young Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, CNN, ” CNN, Northwestern University’s Kellogg School of Management, Getty, Ministry of Education, Columbia University, University Locations: China, Hong Kong, China’s Zhejiang, United States, West, Beijing, AFP, Yibin, Foshan, Taizhou
The US housing market is showing parallels to the 1980s, when mortgage rates doubled. Here's what this could mean for the housing market today, according to Bank of America. AdvertisementAdvertisementThere are striking parallels between today's housing market and the housing market of the 1980s, according to Bank of America. AdvertisementAdvertisement"Persistently high mortgage rates should make the decision of purchasing a home more challenging in the near term. There are other similarities between today's housing market and that of the 1980s, the bank added.
Persons: , BofA Organizations: Bank of America, Service
NEW DELHI (AP) — South Asia is expected to grow by 5.8% this year, making it the fastest-growing region in the world even as the pace remains below pre-pandemic levels, the World Bank said on Tuesday. At almost 6% this year, the region is growing faster than all other emerging markets, said Franziska Ohnsorge, the organization's chief economist for South Asia. “While high inflation and interest rates have bogged down many emerging markets, South Asia seems to be forging ahead,” the World Bank noted in its report. Per capita incomes in South Asia are around $2,000 — one-fifth of the level in East Asia and the Pacific region. Ohnsorge said that governments in South Asia could improve fiscal conditions by seizing on opportunities for energy transition, which could create jobs, reduce reliance on energy imports and cut pollution levels.
Persons: Franziska Ohnsorge, ” Ohnsorge, Ohnsorge Organizations: DELHI, World Bank, IMF, Bank Locations: South Asia, Asia, East Asia, India, Maldives, Nepal, Sri Lanka, South
Bank of America predicts people will continue to spend big on live entertainment. AdvertisementAdvertisementMaybe the epic summer of Taylor Swift, Beyoncé, and "Barbenheimer" was just the beginning and not just a one-off outlier. On the surface, this contradicts some earlier warnings that while entertainment spending did prop up the economy, it would be fleeting. Bank of America did warn in its report that there is some risk in betting on "funflation" to continue. But if Bank of America's predictions are correct, the economy may feel the effects of entertainment spending despite the diminished sparkle of the performers.
Persons: Taylor Swift, , Beyoncé, Kevin Mazur, Grace Smith, Swift Organizations: of America, Service, Bank of America, Force, Bloomberg, MediaNews, Denver, Getty, Bloomberg Economics Locations: Stockholm, Denver, Swift
DETROIT (AP) — Automakers posted big increases in new vehicle sales during the summer, despite high prices, rising interest rates and even a limited strike against Detroit companies. Industry sales rose 16.3% from July through September as consumer demand stayed strong, even given an average new vehicle loan rate of 7.4% and an average vehicle price of more than $45,500. Vehicle supplies also continued to recover from shortages of computer chips and other parts that began during the pandemic and are finally abating. General Motors posted a 21.2% increase, while Toyota sales rose 12.2%. Kia sales rose 13.8%.
Persons: , Ivan Drury, Drury, General Motors, Power, Ford Organizations: DETROIT, Detroit, Industry, Federal Reserve, General, Toyota, Honda, Nissan, Hyundai, Kia, Ford, Analysts, United Auto Workers, General Motors, Stellantis Locations: U.S
New York CNN —US new car sales soared in the third quarter, despite the combination of a strike at General Motors, Ford and Stellantis, high prices and rising interest rates. “New-vehicle sales have remained somewhat consistent as pent-up demand keeps sales afloat despite economic challenges,” said Jessica Caldwell, Edmunds’ head of insights. “However, the landscape can change dramatically, and quickly, if the strike continues.”Rising ratesAnother factor that could slow sales at all automakers is rising interest rates, which is raising the average car payment to record levels. It’s the highest average interest rates for both types of loans since the start of the Great Recession and financial crisis of 2007. “Spiked interest rates remain the biggest impediment to affordability in both the new and used car markets today,” said Caldwell.
Persons: that’s, , Ivan Drury, Edmunds, , ” Ford, Jessica Caldwell, Ford Bronco, Caldwell Organizations: New, New York CNN, General Motors, Ford, GM, Jeep, Dodge, Chrysler, Edmunds ., Toyota, Lexus, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford Explorer, Lincoln Aviator, Traverse, Buick Enclave, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, Edmunds, Ford Chicago
But that may change after the United Auto Workers (UAW) union launched unprecedented, coordinated strikes against GM, Ford (F.N) and Stellantis (STLAM.MI) last month. "The production disruptions caused by the strike will have ramifications for potential sales levels moving through the fourth quarter," S&P Global Mobility said in a note. The automakers haven't disclosed a financial hit from the strikes so far and September sales are likely to be unscathed given the inventory built up in anticipation of the strike. U.S. new vehicle sales likely rose 17% to 3,941,700 units, whereas, the September seasonally adjusted annualized rate is expected to be 15.4 million units, consultants J.D. Automakers are expected to report quarterly sales in the coming days.
Persons: Carlos Barria, autoworkers, haven't, J.D, GlobalData, Shivansh, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: REUTERS, General Motors, Toyota, United Auto Workers, UAW, GM, Ford, P Global Mobility, Detroit Three, Detroit, Thomson Locations: Port of Richmond, San Francisco , California, Edmunds, Bengaluru
New reports show that, after years of inflation and rising travel costs, travelers may finally be curtailing their travel plans. Interest to travel also fell in Canada and Russia (-4 percentage points each), the survey showed. Source: Morning ConsultAs to whether this suggests pent-up demand is ending: "Yes, our data suggests that is so," said Lindsey Roeschke, travel and hospitality analyst at Morning Consult. "We are sticking with our call that the U.S. will enter recession around the turn of the year," the report states. Intentions to visit North America fell 23 percentage points from 2022 — far eclipsing a drop in interest from South Korea (12 percentage points) and Japan (9 percentage points).
Persons: Lindsey Roeschke Organizations: Travel, Morning, Oxford Economics, Oxford, U.S Locations: Europe, France, Germany, Canada, Russia, North American, Asia, Pacific, Malaysia, United States, U.S, China, Hong Kong, Macao, North America, South Korea, Japan
That could change on Wednesday when she becomes one of 75,000 workers who participate in the nation’s largest health care strike in history. During the Great Resignation in 2021-22, more than 5 million people left their health care jobs across the country. “Kaiser Permanente is not immune from these challenges.”While Kaiser admits to the difficult challenge of filling health care jobs, the stress to its current workers has contributed to increased labor tension in the health care industry. The increased number of health care strikes have happened despite health care workers making up only about 9% of private sector union members nationwide. “But for health care workers, it is different.
Persons: New York CNN — Savonnda Blaylock, she’s, Blaylock, we’re, , , Kaiser, We’ve, ” Kaiser, “ Kaiser Permanente, John August, Naniaka Camara, Camara, ” Camara, Bob Muehlenkamp, Muehlenkamp, Sal Rosselli, ” Rosselli, ECRI, there’s, Marcus Schabacker, ” Schabacker Organizations: New, New York CNN, Kaiser Permanente, Management, of Labor Statistics, Cornell University’s School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Kaiser, Montefiore Hospital, CNN, National Union of Healthcare Workers Locations: New York, California, Kaiser, California , Oregon, Washington , Colorado, Virginia, Washington, “ Kaiser, New York City, Bronx, York
The US economy showed signs of a soft landing this summer. In September, the Federal Reserve buoyed those hopes by keeping interest rates unchanged for the first time since the first quarter of 2022. At the start of the rate increase, many borrowers, such as existing homeowners, had low mortgage interest rates locked in. As the economist David Rosenberg says, it typically takes six months for a recession to hit the economy after interest rates increase by this much. AdvertisementAdvertisementAnd while Powell said a soft landing is "possible," he also warned that it could be decided by factors "outside our control."
Persons: , Taylor, Oppenheimer, Morgan, David Rosenberg, Eric Thayer, Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, National Association of Business Economics, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Costco, Bloomberg, Gas Locations: Monterey Park , California
Used cars are still expensive, like they've been for years. Slow car production from 2020-2022 slammed the supply of lightly used cars in 2023, a study shows. AdvertisementAdvertisementRidiculously high used car prices are lingering like the last guest at the dinner party. During the pandemic, used cars got incredibly expensive for a couple of reasons. "There's really no factor contributing for used car prices to go down," Brauer said.
Persons: they've, , iSeeCars, that's, that'll, Karl Brauer, Brauer, There's Organizations: Service, Toyota, Honda
The Carnival cruise ship Sunrise is seen docked at Miami Port, in Miami, Florida, U.S., June 18, 2022. Unlike other major cruise operators, Carnival does not hedge against volatility in oil prices. The company was "not thinking" about fuel hedging at this point, CFO David Bernstein told Reuters in an interview. Instead, to reduce the fuel burn, Carnival was looking at fuel optimization technologies and enhancing itineraries, Bernstein added. CRUISE DEMAND THRIVESCruise operators have benefited from pent-up travel demand following the pandemic and travelers looking for better vacation deals.
Persons: Marco Bello, Morningstar, Jaime Katz, David Bernstein, Bernstein, Alex Brignall, Joshua Weinstein, Carnival, Juveria Tabassum, Devika Syamnath, Shweta Agarwal Organizations: Miami Port, Rivals, Cruise Lines, Royal, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Miami , Florida, U.S, Royal Caribbean, Atlantic
During the third quarter, U.S. dealmaking contributed to a larger-than-usual share of global activity and offset a decline in volumes in Europe and Asia Pacific, accounting for about half of global volumes. Deal volumes in Europe and Asia Pacific fell 31% and 9%, respectively. To date, private equity deal volumes have slumped 48% to $313.73 billion, compared to the same period last year. Deal activity driven by activist shareholders was muted as several big-name activists reached settlements with corporate boardrooms. Dealmaking in technology, which typically accounts for the largest share of deal volumes, has fallen 51% so far this year.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, dealmaking, We're, Melissa Sawyer, Sullivan, Cromwell, dealmakers, headwinds, Tony Kim, Roark Capital's, , Andre Kelleners, Goldman Sachs, Naveen Nataraj, Kappa, WestRock, it’s, Rob Kindler, Weiss, Garrison, it'll, Anton Sahazizian, Anirban Sen, Timothy Gardner Organizations: REUTERS, Cromwell LLP, Asia Pacific, Investment, U.S . Steel, Centerview Partners, U.S . Investment, Evercore Inc, Cisco, Splunk Inc, Fidelity National Information Services, Reuters, Paul, Moelis, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, Europe, Asia, Cleveland, Rifkind, Wharton, New York, London
A Boeing 777x is displayed during the International Paris Air Show at the ParisLe Bourget Airport, on June 20, 2023. Calhoun said order books and demand for proposals to meet that demand are "as robust as [he's] ever seen in his career." Boeing CEO Dave Calhoun is optimistic about the recovery of travel demand, which he said is stronger than he expected. In May, the World Travel & Tourism Council had forecast that the global travel and tourism sector will not reach full recovery this year. And even if that was the case, it would not be the "worst thing," given travel demand.
Persons: Calhoun, CNBC's, Dave Calhoun, I'm Organizations: Boeing, International Paris Air, Airbus, Tourism Council Locations: ParisLe, China
The Carnival cruise ship Sunrise is seen docked at Miami Port, in Miami, Florida, U.S., June 18, 2022. Unlike other major cruise operators, Carnival does not hedge against volatility in oil prices. Cruise operators, therefore, have a lot of room to hike prices and still stay cheaper than land vacations. Carnival posted third-quarter profit of $1.07 billion, or 79 cents per share, compared with a loss of $770 million, or 65 cents per share, a year earlier. Carnival now expects annual loss per share between 12 cents and 4 cents, compared with its previous forecast for a loss between 20 cents and 8 cents.
Persons: Marco Bello, Juveria Tabassum, Devika Organizations: Miami Port, Cruise Lines, Royal, Redbrun, Cruise, Thomson Locations: Miami , Florida, U.S, Royal Caribbean
The US consumer is starting to crack
  + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Cork Gaines | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
AdvertisementAdvertisementEven as interest rates skyrocketed over the past 18 months, a good job market and strong consumer spending kept the US economy moving. However, there are growing signs that the strength of the US consumer is starting to crack. Earlier this month, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, as expected. At the start of the rate increase, borrowers, like existing homeowners, had low mortgage interest rates locked in. Even dollar stores are starting to feel the pressure of more measured spending after initially benefitting from inflation as wealthier people looked for more value.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, It'll, Jerome Powell, Powell, David Rosenberg Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, United Auto Workers, National Association of Business Economics, Bank of America, Conference Board, JPMorgan, Bloomberg, Costco Locations: Michigan
CNN —The second 2024 Republican presidential primary debate ended just as it began: with former President Donald Trump – who hasn’t yet appeared alongside his rivals onstage – as the party’s dominant front-runner. “Tonight’s GOP debate was as boring and inconsequential as the first debate, and nothing that was said will change the dynamics of the primary contest,” Trump campaign senior adviser Chris LaCivita said in a statement. DeSantis, Pence duck health care questions while Haley pouncesDespite the efforts of moderators to pin them down, DeSantis and Pence struggled to respond when challenged on their respective records on health care. A messy first hourThe first hour of the second GOP primary debate was beset by interruptions, crosstalk and protracted squabbles between the candidates and moderators over speaking time. Further complicating the matter, some of the highest polling candidates – DeSantis and Haley – were among those least willing to dive into the muck during the first hour.
Persons: Donald Trump –, , Ronald Reagan, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, , Ron DeSantis, Chris Christie, “ Donald Duck ”, Joe Biden, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Biden, Mike Pence, Doug Burgum, Trump, DeSantis, Christie, He’s, ” Christie, , ” Trump, Chris LaCivita, Ramaswamy, Scott, Hunter Biden, Pence, “ I’m, Vivek, Haley pounces, Dana Perino, Fox’s Stuart Varney, Varney, ” DeSantis, Haley, ” Haley, – DeSantis, Haley –, Donald Trump Organizations: CNN, GOP, Wednesday, Ronald Reagan Presidential, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, Former New Jersey Gov, Trump, South, ” North Dakota Gov, Fox Business Network, Univision, Chinese Communist Party, , , South Carolina Gov, Fox, Republicans, Florida, DeSantis, PAC Locations: California, Florida, South Carolina, Michigan, , Wednesday’s, China, , South, Milwaukee
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInterest rates may not go up, but they have stopped going down, says Ariel's Charlie BobrinskoyCharlie Bobrinskoy, head of investment group at Ariel Investments, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss why value stocks will outperform the market after the Fed stops raising rates, pent-up demand for cars amid the UAW strike, the news saga surrounding Sphere Entertainment's opening.
Persons: Charlie Bobrinskoy Charlie Bobrinskoy Organizations: Ariel Investments, Fed, UAW
Asian shares were mixed on Friday after another slump on Wall Street driven by expectations that U.S. interest rates will stay high well into next year. Political Cartoons View All 1173 ImagesTokyo's Nikkei 225 fell 0.2% to 32,501.59. Why chance their big swings when Treasurys are paying higher interest. That in turn could give the Fed more reason to keep rates higher for longer. Manufacturing and the housing industry have felt the sting of higher interest rates in particular and have struggled more than the broad job market.
Persons: Hang Seng, Sensex, Australia's, Telsa, Splunk Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Nvidia, Cisco Systems, Cisco, Wall Street, FedEx, Treasury, Manufacturing, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, U.S Locations: Hong Kong, Shanghai, Tokyo, Seoul, Sydney, Hong, Wall, U.S
[1/2] Wipro Ltd logo is seen displayed in this illustration taken, April 10, 2023. Dalal will be replaced by Aparna Iyer, also a 20-year veteran who was most recently senior vice president and CFO of Wipro's cloud services unit, the company said. While Iyer will take over as CFO on Sept. 22, Dalal will stay on until Nov. 30, Wipro said. Dalal, who became CFO in 2015, and CEO Thierry Delaporte guided Wipro through the pandemic years as demand for digital services boomed. Delaporte said in a statement that Iyer has been integral to Wipro's finance transformation over the last few years.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jatin Dalal, Aparna Iyer, Iyer, Dalal, Thierry Delaporte, Goldman Sachs, Delaporte, Ashish Chandra, Savio D'Souza Organizations: Wipro, REUTERS, Rights, Indian IT, Thomson Locations: Indian, Bengaluru
A lackluster economic backdrop in China shouldn't keep Wall Street from buying opportunities in the world's second-largest economy, some investors say. Consumer growth bets Kirby named Yum China as one quality stock idea. He also expects Yum China could still benefit from a rebound in consumer spending in China. It's a spending category the fund manager doesn't expect will suffer from any weakness in the macro backdrop. Yum China is higher this year by more than 4%.
Persons: Ben Kirby, Kirby, Duke, It's, James Donald, Thornburg's Kirby Organizations: Thornburg Investment Management, KFC, Technology, doesn't, Lazard Investment, Lenovo Locations: China, Beijing, Botox, U.S
[1/4] Couples prepare to get their photo taken during a wedding photography shoot on a street, in Shanghai, China September 6, 2023. "The traditional Chinese wedding industry is probably in for tough times." "People are more inclined to go for a simple and niche wedding," said Chen, adding that a decade ago, it was common for couples to spend millions of yuan. 'NICHE, NICHE, NICHE'The economic downturn has hit the middle class, and the youth, the hardest, resulting in high jobless rates and low household spending. Our strategy has been to stay niche, niche, niche," said Wang.
Persons: Aly, Yuan Jialiang, Ben Cavender, Frank Chen, Chen Feng, Chen, Chow Tai Fook, It's, Xueyi, Jewel Wang, Vera Wang, Wang, Oscar de la, Carolina Herrera, Casey Hall, Xihao Jiang, Farah, Marius Zaharia Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, China Market Research, Daxue Consulting, COVID, Jewellery, HK, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, Rights SHANGHAI, HONG KONG, Xi'an, Hong Kong
Halfway through 2023, mortgage rates are still elevated compared to the last decade. It's not likely that interest rates will come down this year; Selma Hepp, the chief economist at CoreLogic, expects the year to end with mortgage rates at 6.7%. That's up from her forecast in April that saw the year ending with mortgage rates near 5.8%. "And I think with lower mortgage rates, we will see a lot of pent-up demand coming in." This year, appreciation has largely been a function of low inventory, though elevated mortgage rates are helping to mute that increase.
Persons: It's, Selma Hepp, Hepp Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury
Total: 25