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The foundation of Dow's work was based on the analysis of price trends, comparing swing highs and swing lows to define and track the trends over time. An initial look at the chart of Microsoft (MSFT) may suggest a consistent uptrend of higher highs and higher lows. And while this short-term uptrend is a valid observation, this also means Microsoft may be forming the dreaded "bear flag" pattern, which often precedes a major downdraft. A bear flag pattern occurs when you have an initial downtrend, in this case, the drop from $470 to $385 from early July to early August of this year. If MSFT would drop below $410 in the coming weeks, that would complete the bear flag pattern, and would also push the price back below the 200-day moving average.
Persons: Charles Dow, Downside, David Keller Organizations: Microsoft, MSFT, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Why do you think that's the case? Have you thought about how you're going to handle people saying that the election was fraudulent? Related storiesIt's not what gets talked a lot about, but that's actually what users experience. But there's going to be people who go, "What happened to so-and-so conspiracy theorist? I'd heard, and I think there's been some reporting out that you guys made an offer for that package.
Persons: We've, Neal Mohan, Mohan, , Snapchat, they're, we've, They're, it's, Donald Trump, that's, Rudy Giuliani, what's, I've, I'd, there's Organizations: Service, YouTube, Google, CNN, New York Times, Fox News, ABC, Elon Musk, Twitter, NBA, Warriors Locations: India
How to play the Fed decision using options on gold
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Gold is trading at all-time highs due to a combination of inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and expectations around monetary policy. Historically, gold tends to benefit from dovish monetary policies, especially when they signal prolonged low interest rates, which reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Gold has maintained its bullish momentum, trading near $2,600, and appears to be breaking into new all-time highs. Looking at the chart, gold has consistently made higher highs and higher lows, a sign of strong upward momentum. The trade To express a bullish to neutral view on gold going into the Fed announcement, consider selling a SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) Nov 1 $237.5/232.5 Put Vertical @ $2.02 Credit.
Persons: GLD Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Central
Traders instantly react to the data (sometimes wildly so), especially when the actual numbers are distinctly different than estimates. Thus, historically, XLU has been correlated with the direction of treasury bonds (which move in the opposite direction of bond yields). Here's a chart with XLU and the TLT 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, which we're using since it's the most widely traded treasury bond ETF. From 2022 through 2023, XLU and TLT moved in the same direction more often than not. Another reason is simply that investors are aggressively seeking yield producing instruments, with the understanding that bond yields were destined to fall.
Persons: XLU, That's, TLT, We're Organizations: Federal Reserve, PPI, Utilities, Treasury Bond ETF, Bollinger, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: XLU
Follow her on Instagram, Facebook and X.CNN —It’s a familiar struggle in many households: trying to pry kids’ phones away before bedtime. But the research indicates that kids using their phones once they are under the covers is a bad idea. Using phones in interactive ways under the covers — for things such as gaming and multitasking — was worse for kids’ sleep than using it more passively, for things such as watching movies. Instead, parents might consider taking kids’ phones away before bed and returning them in the morning. This new research is a reminder that there are commonsense ways to help kids avoid the major dangers of using their phones.
Persons: Kara Alaimo, CNN — It’s, , , Bradley Brosnan, Brosnan, it’s, It’s, Carrie Goldberg, Goldberg, who’ve Organizations: Fairleigh Dickinson University, Women, Press, Facebook, CNN, American Academy of Pediatrics, Pediatrics, University of Otago Locations: New Zealand, FaceTime, New York City
Are trampolines safe for kids? A doctor explains
  + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Katia Hetter | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
The American Academy of Pediatrics issued a statement in 2012 to strongly recommend against the use of recreational trampolines in kids. Jumpers on the same apparatus increases injury risk, especially for the smallest individuals, according to the AAP. The report also found that injuries from full-size trampolines had a six times higher risk of requiring surgery compared with injuries from mini-size trampolines. Stay close to your child and instruct them not to try dangerous maneuvers like flips. If our kids do go to a home that has trampolines, we try to steer them away from the trampoline.
Persons: pediatricians, Leana Wen, Wen Organizations: CNN, American Academy of Pediatrics, George Washington University, Care, AAP
Despite taking a beating in the latter part of August, most chip stocks have staged an impressive relief rally so far. Additionally, it's worth noting that the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is starting to curve downwards, signaling a loss of upward momentum. The trade The trade structure I am using here is called a "bear put spread". THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: AVGO Organizations: Broadcom, Investment, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
CNN —Ukrainian prosecutors have launched an investigation into an alleged Russian execution of a Ukrainian soldier found dead with a sword inscribed with “for Kursk” in his body, in an apparent act of revenge for Kyiv’s recent incursion into the Russian border region. His office later confirmed it had opened a criminal investigation into the alleged execution. “Footage of an alleged execution by sword of an unarmed Ukrainian serviceman with taped hands is spreading on the web,” he wrote on X. Thursday’s image comes as Russia is stepping up its efforts to expel Ukrainian forces from Kursk. The Kremlin has not commented on the alleged execution.
Persons: , Andriy Kostin, , ” Kostin, Benjamin Strick, Dmytro Lubinets, Kostin, Volodymyr Zelensky Organizations: CNN, Centre, Information Resilience, Geneva Convention Locations: Ukrainian, Kursk, Russian, Russia, Novohrodivka, Ukraine’s, Donetsk, Geneva, Moscow, Pokrovsk, Ukraine, Hrodivka
I wonder if this is collectively the same group that doubted the bull market when it was rallying on narrow breadth led by the Mag 7. Today we'll revisit Meta (META) , the second largest market cap name in the sector behind Alphabet. I currently hold a 7% target allocation in my Tactical Alpha Growth (TAG) portfolio and a 2% target allocation in my Strategic Income & Growth (SIG) portfolio at Inside Edge Capital. -Todd Gordon, Founder of Inside Edge Capital, LLC DISCLOSURES: ( Gordon owns META in his wealth management company Inside Edge Capital. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Elliott, I'm, Zuckerberg, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Netflix, Spotify, CNBC Pro, Alpha, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
“Coffee and caffeine consumption may play an important protective role in almost all phases of CM development,” Ke said. What researchers don’t knowThe methodology is strong and the results line up with existing data about caffeine and heart health, but there are still questions about the extent of the connection between caffeine and heart health, Marcus said. Because the study is observational, it can only show a connection between caffeine and heart health, he said. Other factors may actually be the cause of the improved heart health, he added. And contrary to popular wisdom, drinking caffeine in coffee is associated with experiencing a lower risk of abnormal heart rhythms, he added, pointing to his and others’ research.
Persons: Chaofu Ke, Cardiometabolic, ” Ke, Ke, Gregory Marcus, ” Marcus, Marcus, Organizations: CNN, Soochow University, Metabolism, University of California Locations: Suzhou, China, San Francisco
New York officials released Monday forensic sketches and informational flyers about a possible new victim in the Gilgo Beach serial killings case, in an effort to identify them and get new leads in the roughly 20-year-old homicide. The remains of the victim, referred to as “Asian Doe,” were found in 2011 near the bodies of at least 10 others near Long Island, New York’s Gilgo Beach. Long Island architect Rex Heuermann, 61, was arrested last year in connection with the Gilgo Beach serial killings. Heuermann was initially charged with killing three women — Megan Waterman, Amber Costello and Melissa Barthelemy — and dumping their bodies near Gilgo Beach. Authorities previously disclosed that “Asian Doe” was wearing women’s clothing, but did not provide further details.
Persons: , Ray Tierney, Doe, 5’3 ”, Tierney, ” Tierney, , Rex Heuermann, Heuermann, Megan Waterman, Amber Costello, Melissa Barthelemy —, — Maureen Brainard, Barnes, Jessica Taylor, Sandra Costilla —, Megan Waterman’s, “ We’re, Bill Blass, Shannan Gilbert Organizations: Attorney’s Office, Authorities, New York City Police Department, NBC Locations: York, Long Island, Suffolk County, Southern China, Gilgo Beach, Gilgo, Oak Beach
—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: AAPL, Headwind, — Katie Stockton Organizations: Apple, AAPL, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: AAPL
Gold is at a new record around $2,610 per ounce — more than ten times the low of just over $253 per ounce in 1999. @GC.1 ALL mountain Gold futures, long term Physical gold holders typically retain their assets through market fluctuations. The fundamental case A notable exception has been Saudi Arabia, which has historically acted as a liquidity source by buying gold when prices fell and selling as prices rose. In 2023, central banks purchased 1,037 metric tons of gold, with China buying nearly 225 tons, the largest amount since 1977. The trade As an alternative to buying gold directly, one could consider purchasing a longer-dated call option and selling a nearer-dated strangle to offset decay on the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) , which tracks the price of gold.
Persons: Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S, Saudi Arabia, China, Central
“The study also shows that food contact materials can contain mutagenic chemicals that harm our DNA, such as heavy metals,” Wagner said. Another chemical group in food packaging that has migrated into people is phthalates, the research revealed. “We’ve got, say, 60 years of research into the migration of chemicals into food from food processing and packaging equipment. “Given that there are (tens) of thousands of food contact chemicals, biomonitoring programs do not have the capacity to test for all chemicals we are potentially exposed to,” Wagner said. “However, there are also important gaps that need to be addressed as we undertake the work to strengthen our food chemical safety activities,” he said.
Persons: , Martin Wagner, Wagner, Jane Muncke, ” Muncke, Muncke, , ” Wagner, “ We’ve, It’s, there’s, Melanie Benesh, you’re, ” Benesh, GRAS, Jim Jones, Benesh Organizations: CNN, Norwegian University of Science, Technology, Food Packaging, Getty, American Chemistry Council, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, Medicine, US National Health, Canadian, Korean National Environmental Health Survey, National Health, Environmental, Food and Drug Administration, FDA, US, Committee, Energy Locations: Trondheim, Zurich, Switzerland, phthalates, PFAS, Europe, Biomonitoring California, United States
These activities provide her satisfaction and purpose in ways more fulfilling than work. She infused her love for arts and crafts into the rest of my family. Now, a new study by Keyes and fellow researchershas found that engaging in creative activities can significantly boost well-being by providing meaningful spaces for expression and achievement. Additional study is needed to examine the social aspects of creative activities, researchers said. Arts and crafts for public healthThe researchers suggested that arts and crafts could improve public health.
Persons: Pennsylvania CNN —, , Helen Keyes, Keyes, researchershas, , ” Keyes, Frank Clark, Clark, ” Clark Organizations: Pennsylvania CNN, Anglia Ruskin University, Public Health, UK’s Department for Culture , Media, Prisma Health Locations: Southampton, Pennsylvania, England
WASHINGTON — The Harris campaign is launching its largest effort yet to reach Latino voters, with new spending on Spanish-language radio and an organizing push around boxing matches and baseball games as National Hispanic Heritage Month kicks off this weekend. Vice President Kamala Harris will address the Congressional Hispanic Caucus Institute’s annual conference on Wednesday, according to a senior campaign official, and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz is expected to pitch Latino voters in swing states in the coming weeks. The Harris campaign is also planning to host gatherings around Mexican Independence Day on Monday, including voter contact events at churches. The Harris campaign is especially focused on reaching undecided Latino voters who may be persuaded by some of Trump’s economic message.
Persons: WASHINGTON, Harris, Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, Adriano Espaillat, Sen, Ben Ray Lujan, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, Canelo Alvarez, Edgar Berlanga, Donald Trump, Luchadora, Walz ”, Chuy Garcia, Chavez Rodriguez, ” Chavez Rodriguez, Trump, Xavier Becerra, Miguel Cardona, Walz ” WhatsApp, Trump’s, Matt Baretto Organizations: Hispanic Heritage, Congressional Hispanic, Minnesota Gov, NBC News, Detroit Tigers Hispanic Heritage, Health, Human Services, Trump, BSP Research, Democratic Locations: Arizona , Nevada, Pennsylvania, Las Vegas, Mobile, California, Michigan, Arizona, UnidosUS
The Federal Reserve has telegraphed the kickoff of their interest rate cutting campaign to begin next week. I believe a quarter-point interest rate cut is their first step but, a half-point interest rate cut (which has the ability to roil markets) has recently been floated strongly. The Nasdaq-100 dropped 6% last week and is now up nearly 5% this week, these are not normal market conditions. QQQ YTD mountain Invesco QQQ Trust, YTD The Cboe Volatility Index , yet elevated, is not showing current signs of panic. The trade The CME Fedwatch tool is narrowly favoring a 25 basis point interest rate cut but, it is oddly closer to a coin toss than it was last week.
Persons: pont, QQQ Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Nasdaq, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
AGI is a distance awayOpenAI's new o1 models make improvements in the ability of AI models to reason. AdvertisementIn some ways, the o1 models do enter OpenAI into a new paradigm. pic.twitter.com/niqRO9hhg1 — Noam Brown (@polynoamial) September 12, 2024Where previous AI models were bottlenecked by the data fed to them during the "pre-training" phase, Brown wrote, o1 models showed that "we can now scale inference". Related storiesJim Fan, a senior research scientist at Nvidia, noted that the technicalities underlying this are what have helped make this fundamental breakthrough of OpenAI's o1 models possible. Uncertainty hovers over how o1 models will perform more broadly.
Persons: , OpenAI, Sam Altman, Noam Brown, niqRO9hhg1 — Noam Brown, Brown, Jim Fan, Fan, Altman, Will Depue, — Sam Altman, Ethan Mollick, it's Organizations: Service, Business, o1, International, pretraining, Nvidia, OpenAI's o1, Wharton Locations: San Francisco
Before we get into the charts, it's important to discuss the process of choosing to write about TSLA this week. In other words, oftentimes, the most comprehensive method to locate constructive trade set-ups is reviewing a big list and taking note of the charts that look attractive. That's why I frequently intentionally do NOT look at the chart's stock symbol while going through a long list. I want the chart, and only the chart, to be the factor that influences my decision to potentially buy or sell it. Thus, seeing the above potential breakout attempt come to fruition would have a meaningful impact on its longer-term trend, too.
Persons: TSLA, That's, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Tesla, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
London CNN —OpenAI has unveiled a new artificial intelligence model that it says can “reason” and solve harder problems in science, coding and math than its predecessors. The model, the first in a series called OpenAI o1, was released Thursday as a preview, with the firm saying it expects regular updates and improvements. “We trained these models to spend more time thinking through problems before they respond, much like a person would,” the maker of ChatGPT said on its website. The new OpenAI model doesn’t yet have many of the features “that make ChatGPT useful,” the firm said, like browsing the web for information, and uploading files and images. In tests, OpenAI o1 performs similarly to PhD students on difficult benchmark tasks in physics, chemistry and biology, according to the company.
Persons: London CNN — OpenAI, , ChatGPT, OpenAI, Noam Brown, , Sam Altman, Ruth Porat, Dario Amodei Organizations: London CNN, White House, OpenAI, Google, CNN, OpenAI o1, International
WASHINGTON — Two brothers from Pennsylvania and New Jersey who allegedly assaulted a New York Times photographer and stole her camera after they stormed the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, were arrested by the FBI on Thursday. The men the FBI identified as the Walker brothers, as seen pointing at a New York Times photographer before her assault. “Grabbing my press pass, they saw that my ID said The New York Times and became really angry. Two men the FBI identified as the Walker brothers, seen on the right in face masks, after assaulting a New York Times photographer. Reached Thursday, Schaff referred NBC News to a New York Times spokesperson, who said the paper is grateful to authorities "for their persistence in pursuing justice in this case."
Persons: Philip Walker, David Walker, Walker, Erin Schaff, Schaff, Brian Mock, antifa, , , Nancy Pelosi’s, Danielle Rhoades Ha, sleuths, , Donald Trump, “ Trump, Trump, Jan Organizations: WASHINGTON, New York Times, U.S, Capitol, FBI, The New York Times, NBC, NBC News, U.S . Capitol, Boys, Trump, pitchfork Locations: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Upper Chichester , Pennsylvania, Delran , New Jersey, Trump
What’s more, when kids watched screens with their parents, the study found it didn’t help their language skills. Tulviste said the research team is planning a follow-up study to investigate patterns of screen use during the pandemic and the impact on kids’ language skills. But the negative impact on language development isn’t the only danger kids face when parents and guardians are on their phones, according to past research. The American Academy of Pediatrics offers advice on how to calm kids of different ages without screens on its website. Then, when they leave, I do my best to put my devices away and give my kids my full attention.
Persons: CNN —, , Jenny Radesky, don’t, , Tiia, Dr, Jaan Tulviste, Tulviste, Radesky, Lauren Tetenbaum, , Tetenbaum, — it’s, , it’s, Kara Alaimo Organizations: CNN, American Academy of Pediatrics, Excellence, Social Media, Mental, Estonia’s University of Tartu, University of Tartu, T’s, AAP, , Fairleigh Dickinson University, Women, Press, Facebook Locations: Westchester County , New York
Year to date, the S & P 500 machinery group is up only 8% versus the S & P 500 industrial sector, which is up 12%. The S & P 500 itself which is up 16%. We remain underweight industrials generally, and machinery stocks specifically. Here's S & P 500 machinery industry comprising 17 stocks with a total market capitalization of $764 billion: The 2-panel chart below depicts the S & P 500 machinery industry marking new highs the past 18 months, yet a series of lower relative highs to the market. Top Panel: S & P 500 Machinery Industry Group Bottom panel: Machinery's Relative Performance to the S & P 500 Index Caterpillar chart below... we're sellers here.
Persons: Here's, Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: Caterpillar, Machinery Industry, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S
The Technology Select Sector Index, which the ETF 'XLK ' tracks, is down about 9% since the all-time high on July 10. This is even though the technology sector earnings have experienced a compound annual growth rate 2.7% greater than the S & P 500. The chart below reflects the earnings growth of the Technology Sector vs. the S & P 500 over the past 20 years in a log scale. Not only has the technology sector grown earnings faster, but earnings growth has also been more stable. While technology stocks are down almost 9% from their all-time highs, those all-time highs also reflected all-time high valuations.
Persons: we've, it's Organizations: Technology, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
The company's innovation pipeline provide long-term growth potential, with the earnings event likely serving as a catalyst for further upside. With expected EPS growth of 14% and revenue growth of 11%, Adobe maintain its leadership in the software industry. To capitalize on the potential for an earnings-driven rally, we suggest using a "broken wing butterfly," which offers a high reward-to-risk ratio. Specifically, I suggest the ADBE Sep 20, 2024 $585/630/650 Call butterfly at $10.96 Debit. This strategy entails: • Buying the Sep 20 $585 Calls @ $18.80 • Selling the Sep 20 $630 Calls (2 contracts) @ $5.53 • Buying the Sep 20 $650 Calls @ $3.22 This butterfly strategy offers a maximum reward of $3,404 per contract while limiting risk to only $1,096 per contract.
Organizations: Adobe, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
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