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Read previewPersistent inflation and a full-blown recession are still firmly on the table, two Wall Street titans have warned. Jamie Dimon told CNBC on Thursday that sticky inflation is more likely than many people think. Dimon said the "worst outcome" would be stagflation — a painful combination of elevated inflation, higher rates, and a recession that would hit consumers and pull down corporate profits. No cuts and a real slowdownDavid Solomon struck a similar tone at a Boston College event on Wednesday, Bloomberg reported. Solomon also said in March that he was less certain of a soft landing than the market consensus.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, Dimon, David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, Solomon Organizations: Service, Wall, CNBC, JPMorgan, Business, Federal Reserve, Boston, Bloomberg
"It's very early days in generative AI," said Jassy, who succeeded Jeff Bezos as CEO in 2021. Davidson, told CNBC that Amazon was "caught flat-footed" by the generative AI boom. During a Q&A session on Wednesday, Jassy was asked twice about the status of Amazon's generative AI efforts. He said the company is "seeing a lot of momentum" in generative AI within AWS to where it's now a multibillion-dollar business based on annualized revenue. Amazon has previously said it intends to use generative AI to make Alexa more conversational.
Persons: Noah Berger, Andy Jassy, OpenAI's ChatGPT, Adam Selipsky, Jassy, Jeff Bezos, Matt Garman, Gil Luria, Davidson, Luria, Bezos, Selipsky, Casey McGee, McGee, Anthropic, Dario Amodei, OpenAI, it's, Garman, Amazon, wasn't, Dilip Kumar, Kumar, Swami Sivasubramanian, Jamie Meyers, Meyers, Matt, Jordan Novet, Kate Rooney Organizations: Web Services, Getty, Amazon, Microsoft, Google, D.A, CNBC, Amazon Web, Alexa, AWS, Nvidia, ChatGPT, Accenture, Toyota, Nasdaq, Investments Locations: Las Vegas, Vegas, Bezos, Anthropic
Sales of homes priced below $100,000 fell 7.1% year over year, while sales of those priced over $1 million jumped 40%. The median price of an existing home sold in April was $407,600, an increase of 5.7% year over year. The median price in the Northeast was $458,500, up 8.5% year over year. The median price in the West was $629,600, up 9.3% from April 2023. Correction: The supply of homes priced at more than $1 million was up 34% year over year.
Persons: Lawrence Yun, Yun Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Realtors Locations: Issaquah Highlands, Issaquah , Washington, US, Midwest, West
Nvidia's Hopper chips include the H100, which was announced in 2022 and faced severe supply shortages last year as the AI gold rush intensified. Tuesday's AWS news represents a pushout in demand for Nvidia chips, not a loss of it. That would be the so-called "digestion" phase for AI chips that Wall Street has been speculating about since last year. If anything, AWS deciding to wait for the more-powerful Blackwell chips could mean the digestion phase is further out on the horizon than initially thought. Unlike last year, when Nvidia's chips were in such short supply, there are now rival chips out there, such as AMD's MI300X, which is angling for a corner of the inferencing market .
Persons: you've, it's, Jim Cramer, Hopper, Blackwell, Nvidia's Hopper, There's, Grace Hopper Superchip, Kimberly Powell, Powell, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Jensen Huang, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Nvidia, Blackwell, Amazon Web Services, CNBC, NVIDIA, AWS, Club, SAP Center Locations: Hopper, Ceiba, San Jose , California
Related storiesDimon warned against dismissing inflation and elevated interest rates as temporary headwinds. "That's a different world for real estate. It's a different world for assets. It's a different world for private credit. In his shareholder letter this year, he called out market complacency toward the threats of inflation, interest rates, and recession.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, largesse, I'm, Dimon, Warren Buffett, there's, It's Organizations: Service, AlphaSense, Business, JPMorgan, Wall Locations: Ukraine, Gaza, Russia, China, It's
The era of hiding out in cash is coming to an end, according to UBS. While investors have been earning yields of more than 5% on instruments like money market funds and certificates of deposit, those rates aren't expected to stick around much longer. "We believe investors should limit their overall cash balances as falling interest rates this year and beyond will diminish returns on cash," Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management, wrote in a note Monday. Investors flooded into money market funds as the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 2022. UBS also moved out on the curve on TIPS earlier this month after initially buying 5-year inflation-protected securities in August.
Persons: Marcelli, Leslie Falconio, Falconio Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Investors, Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, AAA, AAA CMBS Locations: UBS Americas
"I think the iPhone next generation has to incorporate far more AI than it does now," Jim said on Monday. The Club's belief is that doing so will prompt iPhone users to upgrade to the newer model, helping reignite topline growth for Apple following a prolonged period of sluggishness. The majority of Apple's installed base of more than 2.2 billion devices is iPhones, Melius said in its note Monday. AAPL YTD mountain Apple (AAPL) year-to-date performance AI can boost more than just iPhone sales, according to Melius. In the three months ended March 30, the iPhone 15 and iPhone 15 Pro Max held the No.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Melius, Max, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Melius Research, Apple, Conference, Cupertino, Reuters, Huawei, CNBC, Citizens, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: China, Melius, India, Shanghai
Bearing that in mind, here are three attractive dividend stocks, according to Wall Street's top pros on TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance. On May 1, the company announced its first-quarter results and declared a quarterly dividend of 48 cents per share, payable on June 28. Following the results, RBC Capital analyst Kenneth Lee reaffirmed a buy rating on ARCC stock with a price target of $22. The company recently announced its first-quarter results and declared a quarterly distribution of $0.405 per unit. Overall, based on the annualized dividend amount of $3.08 per share, the stock's dividend yield stands at 5.6%.
Persons: Wall, Capital, Kenneth Lee, Lee, TipRanks, Devin Dodge, Dodge, Income's, Brad Heffern, Heffern Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal Reserve, Ares, RBC Capital, Ares Credit, Brookfield Infrastructure Partners, Brookfield Infrastructure, BMO Capital, Triton, Dodge, Brookfield Locations: New York City, Asia, Pacific, North America, Europe, U.S, TipRanks
Rachel Wisniewski | ReutersAmericans are kicking the can down the road on some more-costly, traditionally financed purchases as elevated inflation and interest rates bite. "As a result, consumers continue to scrutinize their spending and make near-term decisions based primarily on need, price and perceived value. But those options have fallen out of favor as interest rates rose. He also cited increased interest rates as another weight on their shoulders. Lofty interest rates have also hampered housing improvement efforts for those staying put, according to Home Depot .
Persons: Rachel Wisniewski, Joe, Shelly Ibach, Ibach, FactSet, Mark Mathews, Platt, J, Mitchell Dolloff, Dow Jones, it's, Mathews, Enphase, Badri Kothandaraman, Marc Bitzer, Patrick T, bode, Robert Ohmes, Richard McPhail, It's, McPhail Organizations: Reuters, Reserve, Prosper, National Retail Federation, San Francisco Fed, New York Fed, Management, Commerce Department, Consumers, Whirlpool, Fallon, Bloomberg, Getty, Bank of America, CNBC Locations: Gilbertsville , Pennsylvania, Minneapolis, U.S, California, Torrance , Calif, Minnesota
It aligned with the life-changing money advice he received from a boss in his early 20s. The stock market: from tech stocks to low-cost index fundsCooper's investment strategy has evolved over the years. AdvertisementTo lower his risk, "I am in the process of transitioning my portfolio to mostly low-cost index funds, which are very popular among the FI community." "They're all paid off and bring in about $65,000 a year in rent," he said, adding that they played an important role in his early retirement. Advertisement"I think the easier route is to invest in low-cost index funds," he said, noting that the playbook is much simpler.
Persons: , Eric Cooper, I'd, Cooper, Cooper's, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Roth IRA, FI Locations: Louisville, Egypt
Dollar sags as slower U.S. inflation boosts rate cut expectations
  + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar skidded to multi-month lows on Thursday after U.S. core inflation hit its slowest in three years and retail sales turned flat, which pulled forward expectations for rate cuts in the world's biggest economy. The dollar skidded to multi-month lows on Thursday after U.S. core inflation hit its slowest in three years and retail sales turned flat, which pulled forward expectations for rate cuts in the world's biggest economy. Stocks and other risk-sensitive assets such as the Australian dollar led gains in the wake of the data release. The New Zealand dollar hit a two-month high at $0.6131. Softer-than-expected retail sales figures, which were flat last month instead of the 0.4% gain that economists had forecast, reinforced the newfound confidence in rate cuts.
Persons: Sterling, Bart Wakabayashi, China's, Bitcoin Organizations: Australian, New Zealand, U.S, State, European Central Bank Locations: Asia, Tokyo, Treasuries
Japan’s economy contracts in first quarter
  + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
Tokyo Reuters —Japan’s economy contracted in the first quarter, squeezed by weaker consumption and external demand and throwing a fresh challenge to policymakers as the central bank looks to lift interest rates away from near-zero levels. The reading translates into a quarterly contraction of 0.5%, versus a 0.4% decline expected by economists. “Japan’s economy hit the bottom in the first quarter,” said Yoshimasa Maruyama, chief market economist at SMBC Nikko Securities. “The economy will certainly rebound this quarter thanks to rising wages although uncertainty remains on service consumption.”Capital spending, a key driver of private demand, fell 0.8% in the first quarter, versus an expected decline of 0.7%, despite hefty corporate earnings. External demand, or exports minus imports, knocked 0.3 of a percentage point off first quarter GDP estimates.
Persons: Downwardly, , Yoshimasa Maruyama Organizations: Tokyo Reuters, Nikko Securities, , Daihatsu, Bank of Japan Locations: Tokyo, , Noto, Toyota’s
He previously took home the title of Morningstar fixed-income manager of the year in 2016. Generating long-term outperformance The largest among the many funds O'Neil co-manages is the Fidelity Total Bond Fund (FTBFX), which has $35.8 billion in assets and a 5.32% 30-day SEC yield. From December 2004 through the end of March 2024, Fidelity Total Bond Fund's 3.7% annualized gain topped the typical intermediate core-plus bond Morningstar Category fund's 3.3% and the 3.1% of its benchmark, the Bloomberg U.S. The 'secret sauce' The fixed-income team also benefits from teaming up with equity analysts when they talk to corporate executives, public agencies and government issuers. "If you're a buyer of nominal yields, you're finding the market very attractive.
Persons: Fidelity's Ford O'Neil, O'Neil, O'Neil —, Morningstar, Ford …, Dan Culloton, Morningstar's Culloton, FTBFX, it's Organizations: Fidelity, Harvard University, One, CNBC, Harvard, Bond Fund, SEC, Bloomberg U.S, Total Bond, Bond, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury Locations: Wharton, U.S
Ramp: 2024 CNBC Disruptor 50
  + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Cnbc.Com Staff | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
When the economic outlook is uncertain, companies keep a closer eye on expenses. Ramp is among the increasing number of expense management software offerings available to companies big and small. Companies save an average of 5% a year on expenses. The company passed $300 million in annualized revenue in 2023 and grew transaction volume sixfold, surpassing $10 billion in accounts payable volume. At a time when many other startups are finding it more challenging to raise capital, Ramp raised $300 million last August from existing investors, including Thrive Capital, Sands Capital and General Catalyst.
Persons: Catalyst Organizations: Companies, Sands Capital
Typically, price increases are a slow-moving process, so it is rare to see core inflation accelerate this much this quickly. The Survey of Professional Forecasters has found longer-run expectations for inflation have leveled out at 2% — the Fed's target. These one-offs have had an outsize impact on the overall inflation picture. Ahead of 2024, the contribution from acyclical components to core inflation was essentially zero. The strong growth in private demand suggests that second-quarter GDP could be even more robust.
Persons: I've Organizations: America, Federal Reserve, PCE, Atlanta Fed Locations: Real
How I think about Jim Simons' legacy, and a trade on one of the most successful retailers, Costco, follows. First, a contrarian view in Costco: Costco (COST) is one of the best performing retailers over the past year. Last week, Costco released their four-week retail sales results for the period between Monday, April 8th and Sunday, May 5th. There is only one thing I don't like about Costco, the price. The weak form suggests past market prices, which are generally observable, are fully reflected in stock prices.
Persons: Jim Simons, that's, Jim, James Surowiecki, Francis Galton, Eugene Fama Organizations: Costco, Fund Locations: Costco, U.S, New York, Surowiecki
In today's big story, we're looking at the people preparing for the collapse of the financial system . The big storyPreparing for the worstAdobe; Chelsea Jia Feng/BIOpinions fluctuate on the economy, but one group has a decidedly strong take. In the subreddit r/economiccollapse, users are preparing for a Soviet Union-type fall of the US economy , writes Business Insider's Jennifer Sor. Further down the economic totem pole, ALICEs (asset limited, income constrained, employed) are struggling to make ends meet . 3 things in techAlex Wong/Getty Images, STR / Contributor/Getty Images, Stephane De Sakutin/Contributor/Getty Images, Abanti Chowdhury/BIHow Mark Zuckerberg turned against the news.
Persons: , Chelsea Jia Feng, Jennifer Sor, Jennifer, aren't, Tyler, there's, Neil Dutta, Jim Simons, annualized, Alex Wong, Stephane De Sakutin, Abanti Chowdhury, Mark Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg, Rupert Murdoch, Sam Altman, Alyssa Powell, Rick Doblin, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Grace Lett Organizations: Service, Business, Chelsea, Macro, Renaissance Technologies, Big Tech, Apple, FDA, FOX Locations: Soviet Union, China, Washington, Beijing, New York, London, Chicago
The substantial rise in Nvidia's share price has, however, has raised questions about whether those not already invested should buy the stock now, or wait to see if its price drops. Buy Nvidia Trent Masters, portfolio manager at the Sydney-based Alphinity Investment Management, has a buy recommendation on Nvidia, even as he acknowledges that it is "hard to buy a stock that has already gone up a lot." Acknowledging that Nvidia is a "great company," that is effectively operating a "monopoly" in the AI chipmaker segment, he has been reducing his holdings in the stock "Nvidia is a company that ran too far too fast. For instance, he is looking at an annualized revenue growth rate of near 50% over the next five years to justify the stock price. Despite reducing his position in the stock, Coons remains cautiously optimistic on Nvidia.
Persons: It's, We've, we've, Nvidia Adam Coons, Coons, " Coons Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC, Nvidia Trent Masters, Alphinity Investment Management, Devices, Winthop Investment Management Locations: Sydney, U.S
The gauge is shown below in green and red alongside S&P 500 price action in blue. Most strategists at major Wall Street banks, meanwhile, generally see the S&P 500 staying above 5,000 through 2024. And as the stock market ground mostly higher, he persisted with his doomsday calls. He predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 26% over the past year.
Persons: Jeremy Grantham, John Hussman, he's, Hussman, , it's, Warren Buffett, there's, David Rosenberg Organizations: Hussman Investment Trust, Business, CPS, Federal Reserve, Rosenberg Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Dynamics, bullish
Money market funds' siren song has become a little louder: With the timing of Federal Reserve rate cuts shaky, yields on cash are still hot – for now. Here's how to decide where and when to redeploy some of your idle cash into fixed income. Taxes are also a key consideration as you build out your fixed income sleeve. Interest income from Treasurys, meanwhile, is subject to federal income tax but exempt from state and local taxes. A gradual entry toward fixed income You don't have to build out your fixed income allocation in one day.
Persons: Rob Williams, Charles Schwab, Ashton Lawrence, Lawrence, Williams Organizations: Mariner Wealth Advisors, Mutual Locations: Greenville , South Carolina, Treasurys, New York , New Jersey, California
The CEO of Applebee's owner, Dine Brands, told CNBC that the chain offers a better value proposition than its fast-food rivals. Applebee's diners are buying cheaper items and visiting less often. But even if it is winning over some fast-food customers, Applebee's sales are still falling. Applebee's diners are cutting back, tooBut casual dining chains have been raising their prices, too, because of wage and food inflation. Have you switched from fast food to casual dining chains like Applebee's, Chili's, and Olive Garden?
Persons: they're, , John Peyton, Bacon Burger, Applebee's, Burger, Peyton, It's, That's Organizations: Dine Brands, CNBC, Service, Dine Locations: Applebee's, Olive
Read previewOpenAI rival Cohere has unveiled an updated AI model it says is more useful and cheaper to run than GPT-4. The AI startup says it is rolling out the ability to fine-tune its Command R AI model, allowing it to outperform larger models like GPT-4 in some use cases while costing up to fifteen times less to operate. Similarly, when analyzing financial data Command R was 6.2% more accurate than GPT-4 and 5.3% more accurate than Claude. AdvertisementCohere said that as Command R, which initially launched in March, is significantly smaller than the likes of GPT-4, it costs much less to run. Related storiesFine-tuning on the Command R model is available on Cohere's platform from Thursday, with availability on other platforms coming in the near future.
Persons: , Cohere, Nick Frosst, Claude Opus, Claude, Mark Zuckerberg, Sam Altman, Altman, they're, Frosst, It's, Emad Mostaque, Mustafa Suleyman, We're Organizations: Service, Business, Amazon, GPT, Command, Meta, Intelligence, Stanford University, Cohere, Big Tech, Stability, Microsoft Locations: GPT, Toronto
Goldman Sachs says Sunrun shares are poised for a big increase after being on a downward trend all year. "RUN continues to expect a 1Q24 trough with an inflection in 2H24," Goldman Sachs analyst Brian Lee wrote in a note on Thursday. Goldman reiterated its buy rating on the shares and $18 price target, implying more than 50% upside from Wednesday's closing price. Sunrun shares are down about 42% for the year. RUN YTD mountain Sunrun shares are down 41% in 2024 — CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed reporting.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Brian Lee, Goldman, , Michael Bloom
JPMorgan said this regional bank is so appealing that it would have attracted attention from the late Charlie Munger. "When we think of the late, great Charlie Munger and his mantra to 'buy wonderful businesses at fair prices,' the bank that fits this bill in our view is Cullen Frost," the firm's bank analyst Steven Alexopoulos said in a note. However, JPMorgan said the bank's "strong organic growth story" remained fully intact. JPMorgan said investors are now able to buy the shares at 13.1 times forward earnings, compared to a 16X historical average. The bank maintained its overweight rating and has a 12-month price target of $140 per share, which would translate into 32% upside from Tuesday's close of $105.62.
Persons: Charlie Munger, Cullen Frost, Steven Alexopoulos, Munger, Buffett, Cullen, Frost, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Berkshire Hathaway's, CFR, Frost Bankers Locations: San Antonio , Texas
Disney Why we own it: We value Disney for its best-in-class experiential entertainment Parks business, which has proven to have immense pricing power. In the second quarter, the combined business — Disney+, India's Disney+ Hotstar, Hulu and ESPN+ — saw losses of $18 million, far better than the $659 million loss in the year-ago period. DTC profitability benefited from Disney+ core subscriber growth, higher retail subscription prices, increased advertising revenue on the back of higher impressions, and lower distribution costs. Clearly, Disney still has a big opportunity in sports as they execute on their DTC streaming strategy for ESPN. The atmosphere at the Disney Bundle Celebrating National Streaming Day at The Row in Los Angeles on May 19, 2022.
Persons: , Nelson Peltz, wouldn't, Hugh Johnston, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Presley Ann Organizations: Club, Revenue, LSEG, Disney, Parks, ESPN, Comcast, Netflix, Warner Bros Discovery, Paramount Global, CNBC, seasonality, Entertainment, Hulu, Hulu Live, Sports ESPN, College Football, National Football League, Walt Disney World, Disney Cruise, Disneyland, Hong Kong, Getty Locations: Hulu, India, Florida, California, Hong, Los Angeles
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