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Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates co-chairman and co-chief investment officer, speaks during the Skybridge Capital SALT New York 2021 conference. Brendan McDermid | ReutersAs the U.S. Federal Reserve implemented its first interest rate cut since the early Covid pandemic, billionaire investor Ray Dalio flagged that the U.S. economy still faces an "enormous amount of debt." The central bank's decision to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5%. On Wednesday, Dalio listed debt, money and the economic cycle as one of the top five forces influencing the global economy. The country's central bank only recently lifted interest rates in March this year.
Persons: Ray Dalio, Brendan McDermid, CNBC's, Dalio, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Bridgewater Associates, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal, U.S . Treasury Department Locations: U.S, Japan
The price of bitcoin was recently higher by 3.5% at $62,417.48, according to Coin Metrics, building on a rally underway before the central bank decision Wednesday. Stocks tied to the price of bitcoin climbed in early trading Thursday. MicroStrategy , widely used as a high beta play on the price of bitcoin, gained 5%. It isn't out of the woods yet, however, said Yuya Hasegawa, crypto market analyst at Japanese bitcoin exchange Bitbank. "Bitcoin has some time until the BOJ makes the decision and could extend its gain during Thursday's U.S. session.
Persons: bitcoin, Stocks, Yuya Hasegawa, Bitcoin Organizations: Metrics, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Bank of, Thursday's U.S
The Federal Reserve didn't hold back when it cut interest rates for the first time in more than four years. In a press conference after the announcement, Powell said he believes the economy is moving in the right direction. iStock; BISo what does this rate cut mean for … everything? Our colleagues at Personal Finance Insider have covered the eventual impacts the rate cut will have on various financial products. Let's start with mortgage rates, since that's an area people naturally think of when it comes to interest rates.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, you'll, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Finance Locations: New York, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe yen is going to rally against the U.S. dollar, strategist saysGareth Berry of Macquarie Group says "that rally is only halfway done … there's another half to go."
Persons: Gareth Berry Organizations: U.S ., Macquarie Group
This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Jason Redmond/AFP/Getty ImagesA good chunk of the executives Darius highlighted aren't involved in OpenAI's tech. Some of OpenAI's most high-profile executives are instead addressing legal challenges and lobbying regulators in the US and abroad. It's a nod to the fact OpenAI's biggest upcoming fights will take place in a courtroom as opposed to a computer screen. Luckily for you, Business Insider has identified the most famous book set in every state.
Persons: , Tyler Le, Sam Altman, Altman, he's, Darius Rafieyan, OpenAI, Darius, it's, Jason Redmond, aren't, It's, Justin Trudeau's, Somodevilla, Warren Buffett, David Einhorn, Chelsea Jia Feng, Amazon's, Natalie Ammari, Harris, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Harvey Weinstein, world's, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Apple, Getty, OpenAI, BMO Capital Markets, Healthcare, Amazon, Google, Trump, Facebook, Reading, Fed, The Locations: AFP, New York, London
Dollar catches footing ahead of Fed
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar steadied on Wednesday as stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales had traders slightly trimming bets that the U.S. easing cycle will begin with an outsized interest rate cut. The Federal Reserve is expected to make its first interest rate cut in more than four years at 1800 GMT, which will be followed by a news conference half an hour later. A rate cut is fully priced, with interest rate futures implying a 63% chance of a 50 basis point cut, after flirting with 70% a day earlier. Traders say the Fed's tone as well as the size of the rate cut will drive the next moves in the foreign exchange market. China's stock, bond and currency markets resume trade on Wednesday after the mid-autumn festival break, though it is a holiday on Wednesday in Hong Kong.
Persons: Nathan Swami, Swami Organizations: Federal, Traders, Citi, Australian, New Zealand, Sterling, Bank of, ANZ Bank Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Asia, U.S, Japan, Atlanta, Singapore, Hong Kong, Bank of England
What a Fed rate cut could mean for the world
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
watch nowThe U.S. Federal Reserve is on Wednesday heading for its first interest rate cut since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic — and despite the move being widely forecast, global investors are braced for impact. Global impactA key concern is the pressure interest rate differentials put on currencies. Oil and other commodities, usually priced in dollars, often receive a boost with a rate cut as a lower cost of borrowing can stimulate an economy and increase demand. "Interest rate cuts reduce the cost of borrowing in U.S. dollars, thereby creating easier liquidity conditions for companies around the world," Quilter Cheviot's Richard Carter continued via email. That includes whether the initial cut will reduce the Fed funds rate by 25 basis points or 50 basis points below its current 525 to 550 range.
Persons: , Richard Carter, Cheviot, Cheviot's Richard Carter Organizations: U.S . Federal, Turkish, U.S ., Fed, Federal, Equity Locations: U.S, Canada, Mexico, Switzerland, Sweden
Yen carry trade unwind is not done yet, says strategist
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailYen carry trade unwind is not done yet, says strategistFrancis Tan of CA Indosuez Wealth Management says the the yen is still undervalued versus the U.S. dollar, adding that he sees more room for further appreciation of the Japanese currency.
Persons: Francis Tan of Organizations: Francis Tan of CA Indosuez Wealth Management, U.S . Locations: Francis Tan of CA
He said a boost from the weak yen to exports has faded as the Japanese currency rebounded sharply in August. Total exports rose 5.6% year-on-year in August, up for a ninth straight month, data showed on Wednesday, well below a median market forecast for a 10% increase and following a 10.3% rise in July. Exports to the United States dipped 0.7%, the first monthly decline in nearly three years, as auto sales slumped 14.2%. Those to China, Japan's biggest trading partner, rose 5.2% in August from a year earlier. The value of imports grew 2.3% in August from a year earlier, versus a 13.4% increase expected by economists.
Persons: Takeshi Minami Organizations: Asahi, Co, Bloomberg, Getty, U.S, Norinchukin Research Locations: Hekinan, Aichi Prefecture, Japan, U.S, China, United States
Dollar pinned down by 50 bp Fed cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar traded near its lowest levels of the year on Tuesday, on the eve of the expected the start to a U.S. easing cycle that markets are betting may begin with an outsized rate cut. The euro rallied overnight to $1.1138 and traded around there early in the Asia session, not far from the year's high against the dollar of $1.1201. Fed funds futures rallied on Monday to push the chance of a 50 basis point rate cut to 67%, against 30% a week ago. "That's because the contrast between central bank outlooks will remain starkest between the Fed and the BoJ, for the time being." The U.S. dollar index weakened 0.4% overnight to 100.7, not far from its 2024 low made last month at 100.51.
Persons: Sterling — Organizations: Macquarie, Fed, Bank of, The Bank of England, New, U.S Locations: U.S, Asia, Tokyo, Bank of Japan, New Zealand
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapanese yen could trend towards 135 against the dollar on narrowing rate differentials: DBSChang Wei Liang of DBS Bank says the yen carry trade is largely over and any possible rate hike by the Bank of Japan could result further yen appreciation.
Persons: Wei Liang Organizations: DBS Bank, Bank of Japan
A Business Insider reporter found out by enlisting in the city's 'elite squad of anti-rat activists.' What's on deck:This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. In February 2023, it announced plans to require most office workers to show up in-person three days a week. And in the hyper competitive world of Big Tech, other tech giants might follow suit rather than risk getting bad-mouthed by rivals to their clients. How can insert Big Tech company really serve you best when its people are home half the time?
Persons: , RTO Nickilford, Maria Ivanova, Getty, Tyler Le, Andy Jassy, Slack, It's, Miranda Jones, Donald Trump, Trump, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Elon Musk, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Apple's, TikTok, Chris Williams, We're, Stephen Nedoroscik, Anna Delvey, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, New York, Business, Amazon, Big Tech, Employees, McKinsey, Trump Media, Vanguard, Anadolu, Getty, Elon, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, Apple, DOJ, Microsoft, Open, It's Locations: New, North America, New York, London
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Record close for DowThe S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose on Monday, with the Dow notching a record close. Next move for the BOJThe Bank of Japan won't be raising interest rates at its September meeting, according to a CNBC survey of 32 analysts. [PRO] "Golden age of fixed income"The U.S. Federal Reserve is poised to cut interest rates this week.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Biden, Rick Rieder Organizations: Trade Center, CNBC, Dow, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nikkei, U.S ., Midea Group, Hong Kong, Bank of Japan, Bank of India, Intel, U.S . Federal Locations: Manhattan, Jersey City , New Jersey, Asia, Pacific, Hong
Meanwhile, in today's newsletter, we're looking at how AWS is ramping up its sales team to pitch customers on AI . The big storySell, sell, sellAmazon; Getty Images; Alyssa Powell/BIWhen it comes to the AI revolution, building is only half the battle. AdvertisementAfter drawing scrutiny from investors about their massive investments in generative AI, tech companies are prioritizing getting returns on their big bets. Amazon; OpenAI; Microsoft; Getty Images; Chelsea Jia Feng/BIAWS' pressure to ramp up AI sales isn't just focused on ROI. And while these companies can't afford not to pitch their customers on AI tech, they also risk turning them off to the idea by selling them products that might not live up to expectations.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, Alyssa Powell, Insider's Eugene Kim, Eugene, Chelsea Jia Feng, it's, Anna Kim, Getty, Tyler Le, Martha Stewart, Al Capone, Morgan Stanley, Dre, Jeff Chiu, Larry Page's, Wayne Osborne, Elon, Grimes, Ryan Mac, Kate Conger unearths, Musk, Department's, We've, Kamala Harris, Biden, Booker, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, FBI, Business, Amazon Web Services, that's, AWS, Microsoft, Getty, Google, Sunshine, Twitter, Huber & Starke, Hollywood, Teamsters Locations: West Palm Beach , Florida, today's, Florida, hustles, New York, London
Currencies listless as markets waffle over Fed rate cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
A quarter-point reduction by the Fed as it kicks off its rate cuts is still seen as the slightly more likely outcome, but only marginally so. Futures price a total of 125 basis points in rate cuts in 2024. Investors are also looking to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision on Friday, when it is expected to keep its short-term policy rate target steady at 0.25%. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem meanwhile opened the door to stepping up the pace of interest rate cuts, the Financial Times reported on Sunday. The BoC, after keeping its key policy rate at 5%, a more than two-decade high, for a year, has trimmed it by a quarter point three times in a row since June.
Persons: Chris Weston, Fumio Kishida, Sanae Takaichi, Christine Lagarde, Philip R, Lane, Luis de Guindos Organizations: U.S, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Treasury, Fed, FedWatch, Bank of, Liberal Democratic Party, Sterling, European Central Bank, ECB, Bank of Canada, Financial Times, BoC Locations: Japan, Asia, China, South Korea
Ideally the Fed will cut rates by a half-point without triggering growth worries, Morgan Stanley says. According to new research from Morgan Stanley, that would be the best possible outcome for stocks. Ahead of the rate cut, Morgan Stanley suggested that investors increase exposure to two stock cohorts that have historically outperformed in similar environments: defensive and high-quality. Defensive stocks include sectors such as utilities and consumer staples — groups that are less reliant on macroeconomic conditions to perform well. Large caps also tend to outperform small caps both before and after the Fed's first rate cut.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, , Morgan, cyclicals, Wilson Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve
Insider Today: Fine-dining faux pas
  + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( Joi-Marie Mckenzie | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
Go to newsletter preferencesSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. On the agenda:This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Fitness industry consultant Pete McCall told Business Insider evidence shows "building muscle through strength training, as opposed to using cardio to manage weight, has a much greater effect on promoting longevity." A Business Insider reporter decided to test these habits for a week. More of this week's top reads:AdvertisementThe Insider Today team: Dan DeFrancesco, deputy editor and anchor, in New York City.
Persons: , Rebecca Zisser, Gabby Landsverk, Hilary Brueck, Pete McCall, Natalia Mehlman Petrzela, Mauro Maietta, Amr Bo Shanab, Wengen Ling, Bon appétit, Terri Peters, Taylor Swift, Kate Green, Kamala Harris, Swift, Natalie Ammari, Alex Garland's, Kirsten Dunst, Max, Dan DeFrancesco, Lisa Ryan, Amanda Yen, Grace Lett Organizations: Service, Business, Crunch Fitness, Hamptons, HBO, Apple, Apple Watch, tote Locations: ellipticals, Manhattan, Florida, America, New York City, New York, Chicago
Dollar weak as traders add to wagers of big rate cut from Fed
  + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
While the Fed is all but certain to cut rates next week, uncertainty around whether it will go with a 25 basis point cut or 50 basis points has kept investors on the edge and weighed on the dollar. Analysts pointed to media reports from the Financial Times and the Wall Street Journal suggesting the Fed's decision would be a close call as one of the reasons for traders adding to wagers of a big rate cut next week. Higher U.S. jobless claims data released on Thursday and the Wall Street Journal article on the Fed's rate cut dilemma revived bets on a jumbo cut at the September meeting, according to Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC. Besides the Fed, the Bank of England and Bank of Japan hold policy meetings next week. "Risks remain that inflation may not return to target as easily as everyone, including the Fed, seems to expect."
Persons: Christopher Wong, Christine Lagarde, Ryan Brandham, Naoki Tamura, Sterling, BoE Organizations: Federal Reserve, Financial Times, Wall, Traders, European Central Bank, Fed, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Validus Risk Locations: North America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman Sachs : U.S. dollar to remain king despite slower economic outlookGoldman Sachs’s Kamakshya Trivedi says there is no "viable challenger" to the U.S. dollar strength, and adds that he is cautious on the Japanese yen.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman Sachs’s Kamakshya Trivedi Organizations: U.S
While rage bait can be found across social media, its prominence on Threads is because of how the app promotes content. AdvertisementWith that in mind, there's often something in your behavior on social media that's leading the apps to send those posts your way. In the grand scheme of things, rage bait is not the worst thing on social media by a long shot . YouTube star MrBeast mastered social media algorithms to build a huge audience in no time. Here's what business students said , and here's what tech students said .
Persons: , Rebecca Zisser, Katie Notopoulos, Katie, it's, it'll, Samantha Lee, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon isn't, Solomon, Warren Buffett's, Kanu Gulati, she'd, Jensen Huang doesn't, Huang, Alberto E, Rodriguez, MrBeast, Jonah Peretti, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Twitter, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Occidental Petroleum, Khosla Ventures, Kanu Gulati Khosla Ventures, Nvidia, Warner Bros, HBO, Charter Locations: Taiwan, China, New York, London
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Hotter-than-expected core, againThe U.S. producer price index, which measures the prices producers receive before retailers sell goods and services to consumers, rose 0.2% in August, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. However, like the consumer price index, core PPI came in 10 basis points higher than expected. But investors are ignoring two big risks to the market, said a chief investment officer of a wealth management firm.
Persons: Hong, Dow Jones, Sheila Kahyaoglu, Safra Catz, Bond Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Nikkei, U.S ., Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, Boeing, Jefferies, Oracle, Amazon, Google, Microsoft Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S, Seattle, Oregon
In today's big story, this guy is ready to give up after applying to nearly 2,200 jobs . The big storyNot hiringKevin Cash Ben BoxerHow tough is the current job market? AdvertisementThe job market is in a weird spot these days. On paper — and maybe in another labor market — Kevin appears to be the perfect candidate. It's a tough reality check for employees who previously held all the power in the job market.
Persons: , Zer, Kevin Cash Ben Boxer, Kevin Cash, Tim Paradis, Kevin, it's, Forget, Tyler Le, we're, duMond, Chip Somodevilla, Alyssa Powell, Harris, Rebecca Zisser, Elon, Apple, Jensen, Goldman Sachs, David Soloman, Huang, Chelsea Jia Feng, Trump, Brian Niccol, We're, Niccol, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Mensa, BI Trump, Oppenheimer, Fed, Twitter, Nvidia, Kroger, London Locations: San Francisco, Austin, New York, London
Dollar firm as inflation data douse bets for big Fed rate cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar traded near a four-week high versus the euro on Thursday after signs of some stickiness in U.S. inflation reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would avoid a super-sized interest rate cut next week. The dollar traded near a four-week high versus the euro on Thursday after signs of some stickiness in U.S. inflation reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would avoid a super-sized interest rate cut next week. Meanwhile, a quarter-point rate reduction from the European Central Bank is widely expected later on Thursday, with investors anxious for hints on how soon the monetary authority will cut again. Early on Wednesday, Bank of Japan board member Junko Nakagawa reinforced the central bank's tightening bias by saying low real rates leave room for further rate hikes. As a result, traders essentially priced out the chances of a 50-basis point rate cut on Sept. 18, paring the odds to 15% versus 85% probability for a 25-bp reduction.
Persons: Junko Nakagawa, Naoki Tamura, Tony Sycamore Organizations: Federal, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, IG, ECB, Sterling, Swiss Locations: U.S
Markets were also cautious ahead of the first debate between U.S. presidential hopefuls Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, with the candidates neck-and-neck ahead of the November election. The dollar was down 0.2% at 142.18 yen as of 0009 GMT, heading back towards the recent low of 141.75 yen, a level previously not seen since Aug. 5. The euro was little changed at $1.1019, after sliding to $1.10155 overnight for the first time since Aug. 19. Sterling was flat at $1.3080, following its drop to $1.3049 in the prior session, the weakest since Aug. 21. The stakes are particularly high considering the debate between Trump and President Joe Biden ultimately spurred the incumbent to drop out of the race.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Sterling, , Kyle Rodda, Trump, Harris, Joe Biden Organizations: Federal Reserve, Capital.com, Republican, Democratic, Trump
CNBC Daily Open: Lower rates might hurt banks
  + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Tough environment for European companiesChina's environment for businesses is so thorny that European companies have grown discouraged with operating in the country, according to the EU Chamber of Commerce. If European companies were to invest in China further, Beijing must act on its pledges to improve the business conditions, the chamber's paper wrote. CNBC Pro looked for companies headquartered overseas, but listed in the U.S. – and may experience over 100% upside, according to analysts.
Persons: Morgan, Dow, First Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Taylor Swift, Harris, Cat Lady Organizations: Canary, CNBC, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, U.S ., Trump, EU Chamber of Commerce, Federal Reserve Locations: Wharf, London, United Kingdom, Asia, Pacific, fracking, China, Instagram, Beijing, U.S
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