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Election bets were approved legally just weeks ago, as the 2024 race headed into its home sprint. The ongoing legal wrangling could still lead to a shutdown of U.S. election betting markets, but not until after the 2024 vote. The CFTC permits only U.S. residents to use the newly opened election betting markets, meaning many bettors on the platforms are also potential voters. Nonetheless, Adam Cochran, founder of venture capital fund Cinneamhain Ventures, says he worries about how voters perceive election betting odds. Mansour acknowledged it’s a “fair concern” that the general public might mistakenly see betting odds as the size of a candidate’s lead.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, ” Robinhood, Rostin Behnam, Kalshi, John Aristotle Phillips, Phillips, , multibillionaire Trump, Elon Musk, , ” Harris, Polymarket, bettors, Trump, Harris, Musk, Tarek Mansour, ” Mansour, Adam Cochran, ” Cochran, Mansour, it’s, There’s Organizations: Interactive, Futures Trading Commission, Republican, Democratic, Overseas, Victoria University of Wellington, NBC, Trump, Street Journal, Cinneamhain Ventures Locations: U.S, New Zealand, America
CNN —Talented though they may be, monkeys will never type out the complete works of William Shakespeare, or even a short book, a new study suggests. The Infinite Monkey Theorem is a famous thought experiment that states that a monkey pressing random keys on a typewriter would eventually reproduce the works of the Bard if given an infinite amount of time and/or if there were an infinite number of monkeys. However, in the study published in the peer-reviewed journal Franklin Open, two mathematicians from Australia’s University of Technology Sydney have rejected this theorem as “misleading” within the confines of our finite universe. They challenged it by looking at the Finite Monkeys Theorem, in which there is a finite amount of time and a finite number of monkeys. “By the time you’re at the scale of a full book, you’re billions of billions of times less likely,” he continued.
Persons: William Shakespeare, Bard, Stephen Woodcock, , Woodcock, Jay Falletta, George, ” Woodcock, Chris Banerji, Alan Turing, Banerji, ’ ”, Bard ‘ Organizations: CNN, Franklin, Australia’s University of Technology Sydney, University of Technology, Alan, Locations: University of Technology Sydney, London
Gold little changed ahead of U.S. payrolls data
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Twenty kilogram gold and silver bricks sit at the ABC Refinery smelter in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, on Thursday, July 2, 2020. Gold traded little changed on Friday as investors refrained from taking big positions ahead of the U.S. payrolls data that could provide further clues about the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook. Spot gold was flat at $2,746.09 per ounce, as of 0235 GMT. Gold prices gained more than 4% in October amid safe-haven flows spurred by the Middle East tensions and U.S. election uncertainty. Zero-yield gold thrives in a low interest rate environment.
Persons: Gold, Edward Meir, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, nonfarm, Meir Organizations: ABC Refinery, Democratic, Republican, Reuters, Traders Locations: Sydney , New South Wales, Australia
CNN —Election polls can’t foretell who will win the presidential election. But throughout the year, polling data has helped to capture the contours of the 2024 race, with several findings that fall well outside the margin of error. While the results of issue polls can sometimes vary based on framing, some results have been remarkably robust. Here are more findings from the polls about this year’s election:Which issues matter to which voters? How Trump and Harris supporters differ in their visions for AmericaPartisan divides on the issues run further than priorities.
Persons: can’t foretell, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, they’ll, ” Patrick Murray, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Harris, Roe, Wade, Trump, ” Harris, ” Trump, , they’re Organizations: CNN, Monmouth University, Trump, Gallup, Republican, Democrats, Democratic, Partisan, Pew Research Center Locations: , America, Trump
Following Friday's trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 30 shares of BLK, increasing its weighting to 0.85% from 0.5%. Our CNBC Investing Club Reporter Morgan Chittum took a look at a few catalysts on the horizon that can keep BlackRock's earnings momentum going. Elsewhere, BlackRock's GIP deal also shows investors that the firm "got back on the front foot" in private markets growth, Evercore ISI said in a recent note. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Morgan Chittum, Larry Fink, Fink, Biden, there's, Sudhir Nair, BlackRock's, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: BlackRock, BLK, Devices, CNBC Investing, Catalyst, Global Infrastructure Partners, Biden Administration, Club, Microsoft, Preqin, Money, Federal Reserve, Boeing, CNBC Locations: BlackRock, U.S, Florida, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Top Chinese research institutions linked to the People's Liberation Army have used Meta's publicly available Llama model to develop an AI tool for potential military applications, according to academic papers and analysts. Top Chinese research institutions linked to the People's Liberation Army have used Meta's publicly available Llama model to develop an AI tool for potential military applications, according to academic papers and analysts. It was found to outperform some other AI models that were roughly 90% as capable as OpenAI's powerful ChatGPT-4. The researchers didn't elaborate on how they defined performance or specify whether the AI model had been put into service. Meta has embraced the open release of many of its AI models, including Llama.
Persons: Army's, Meta META.O, ChatBIT, Sunny Cheung, Meta Organizations: People's Liberation Army, Reuters, PLA, Academy of Military Science, Meta, Jamestown Foundation Locations: China, U.S
Shifting to a skills-first hiring approach diversifies talent pools and improves job matching, helping find the best candidates for the job. AI tools like Indeed Smart Sourcing can help put the focus on candidates' skills to streamline sourcing and reduce hiring time. Amid rapid technological advancement across industries, employers' hiring needs are changing, requiring them to bring the right talent on board quickly. The skills-first hiring approach can also ultimately help employers reduce both the time and costs associated with hiring, especially when supported by AI. As hiring needs continue to evolve, making the hiring process easier with AI helps companies better plan and staff for the future.
Persons: Donal McMahon, Chris Hyams Organizations: Employers, Harvard, Insider Studios
Companies beat expectations, with some boosted by large cloud growth. AdvertisementThe tech giants Meta, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft reported earnings this week, and investors were laser-focused on the results of AI investments. Cloud is kingMicrosoft, Alphabet, and Amazon saw significant growth in their cloud businesses, fueled by increased demand. Jeremy Goldman, EMARKETER's senior director of briefings, told BI that Microsoft's cloud business had decelerated from the "breakneck pace" of previous quarters. Related storiesWhile Google reported stronger cloud growth, Microsoft still leads it in cloud market share, and both are behind Amazon Web Services.
Persons: , Kate Leaman, Jeremy Goldman, EMARKETER's, Amy Hood, Dan Romanoff, Andy Jassy, Tracy Woo, Forrester, AWS's, Jassy, Rufus, Sundar Pichai, Pichai, Mark Zuckerberg, Hood, Michael Field, Jaejune Kim, Lisa Su, we've Organizations: Apple, Companies, Service, Microsoft, Amazon, Morningstar, Google, Amazon Web, Amazon Web Services, Investment, Big Tech, Bank of America Securities, Meta, Nvidia, SK Hynix, Samsung, AMD, Services
But the true implications for investors monitoring the election may lie in which party controls Congress, rather than who will sit in the White House. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 The importance of whichever party controls Congress was highlighted by Trump's recent trips outside battleground states such as New Mexico , a state that hasn't voted for a GOP presidential nominee in roughly 20 years. On the other hand, Evercore ISI's Emanuel expects a Harris victory, with a Democratic sweep of Congress, could result in the S & P 500 falling to roughly 5,700. The S & P 500 slid 1%, while the Nasdaq dipped 0.5%. Earnings season continues with about 100 S & P 500 companies confirmed to report.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson, I'm, Abuhoff Jacobson, hasn't, Brian Burrell, Jay Hatfield, Harris, Hatfield, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI's Emanuel, Jerome Powell's, Ralph Lauren, Warner, Alex Harring Organizations: NBC, Congress, House, Democratic, Republican, Hartford Investments, GOP, Thornburg Investment Management, Infrastructure Capital Advisors, Senate, Wednesday, Regional Banking, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, National, Marriott International, Diamondback Energy, Wynn Resorts, Palantir Technologies, NXP Semiconductors, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Petroleum, Brands, Technology, Computer, CVS, Howmet Aerospace, Gilead Sciences, Labor, Consumer, Moderna, Molson Coors Beverage, Halliburton, Hershey Co, Warner Bros, Expedia, Akamai Technologies, Paramount Locations: New Mexico, Albuquerque, Santa Fe , New Mexico, Hartford, Albemarle, Qualcomm, Michigan
The S & P 500 fell 1% in October, snapping a five-month advance. Now, Wall Street is coming into what has historically proven a strong month for stocks — which could push stocks to new heights. A CNBC analysis of FactSet data showed November has been the second-strongest month for the S & P 500 going back 10 years. Going back 20 years, the S & P 500 averages a 2.2% increase in November. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, analysts reacted to the latest quarterly earnings reports from megacaps Apple and Amazon .
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Michael Ng, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, CNBC, U.S, NBC, Apple Locations: U.S
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Jim Cramer said the potential rate cuts next week and possibly again in December provide a "bullish backdrop" for the overall market, favoring many of our stocks that benefit from lower rates. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, we're, Jim, Stocks, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, BlackRock, Web Services, Chevron, Exxon, Intel, AMD Locations: Thursday's, oversold, Europe, Ukraine
As a former acting U.S. trade representative who also served on the National Security Council, I’ve engaged in international economic policymaking firsthand. Trump’s main economic idea is to indiscriminately impose tariffs on U.S. trading partners, but it is American importers, exporters and consumers who will pay the price. When Trump last levied tariffs, the EU, Canada, China and other trading partners imposed their own tariffs in retaliation. While President Joe Biden left most of Trump’s tariffs against China in place, he managed to negotiate agreements that led to the easing of many retaliatory measures. As president, Harris would lead an economy that helps everyone, not just those at the very top.
Persons: you’re, it’s, you’ve, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, I’ve, Harris, Shawn Fain, , ” Harris, Harris ’, Trump, Smoot, Hawley, Mitch McConnell, “ I’m, Trump’s, Davidson, Joe Biden, Biden Organizations: National Security Council, United Auto Workers, Democratic Party, Republican, Foundation, European Union, Pennsylvania Farm Bureau, , Harley, EU Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, America, China, U.S, EU, Canada
New York CNN —The last three years have upended everything about the way we expect the economy to work. But the pandemic-era inflationary period played out unlike any other in history, and wealthy people made out like bandits. And that may be because the only real inflation we’ve seen in decades was a multi-year profit bonanza for them. And that has provided a permission structure for some wealthy Trump supporters to shrug their shoulders at his inflationary economic agenda. But it won’t be the same flavor of profit-driven inflation we’ve seen over the past three years.
Persons: CNN Business ’, That’s, Donald Trump’s, “ It’s, , Kent Smetters, , we’ve, ” It’s, He’s, Harris, Josh Bivens, Bivens, ” Bivens Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Wall, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, Trump, Wall Street Journal Locations: New York, Ukraine
Foruteen of the analysts covering Zillow rate it either a strong buy or buy, while 11 view it as a hold. The average price target represents potential 7% upside. The majority of analysts are bullish on platform, while the average price target implies 33% upside. Analyst Kirk Materne's $610 price target is roughly 9% higher than where HubSpot stock is currently trading. Analysts are overwhelmingly bullish on HubSpot, with the average price target representing a potential 11% gain.
Persons: Zillow, Foruteen, Wedbush, Jay McCanless, McCanless, Pinterest, Justin Post, HubSpot, Kirk Materne's Organizations: CNBC Pro, Investment, Bank of America, ISI, Software Locations: outperforming, Zillow
Armie Hammer is attempting a career comeback after women accused him of sexual abuse. PR experts said Hammer needs to prove that he's changed to win over the public. AdvertisementArmie Hammer, the actor whose career suddenly ended after several women accused him of sexual and emotional abuse, is trying to make a comeback. PR experts say Hammer's podcast could help him rebuild a fan base, but it will take timeArmie Hammer at the 2018 Oscars. The experts agreed that it will take some time for Hammer to build a new fanbase.
Persons: Armie Hammer, Hammer, , Armie, Hammer —, Johnny Depp, Chris Brown, John Phillips, Louis CK, Mel Gibson, Amber Heard, Kayley Cornelius, Depp, Brown, there's, Cornelius, shouldn't, Neilson Barnard, Lauren Beeching, he's, Beeching, it's, Mayah Riaz, Riaz Organizations: Service, Air Mail, Los Angeles Police Department, Getty, Hollywood, Social Network Locations: Hollywood, Manchester, London
It comes as Lebanon’s prime minister says that a ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel could be imminent. In Gaza, he said, “if we take out the northern Gaza Brigade commander, it’s another collapse…. Amir Cohen/ReutersIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has repeatedly pledged “absolute victory.” His defense minister and longtime political tormentor Yoav Gallant has bristled at that goal. That’s a far cry from the existing, maximalist war aim of eliminating Hamas’ military and governance capabilities. A spokesperson for the prime minister declined to comment.
Persons: , ” Herzi Halevi, Staff Herzi Halevi, Amir Cohen, Benjamin Netanyahu, , Yoav Gallant, ” Gallant, Najib Mikati, Amos Hochstein, Israel, Hassan Nasrallah, Mikati, Ariel Hermoni, Gallant, , Netanyahu Organizations: Jerusalem CNN, Israel Defense Forces ’, , General Staff, Hezbollah, Gaza, Staff, Reuters, CNN, Defense, State Locations: Jerusalem, Lebanon, Gaza, Israel, there’s, Reuters Israeli, we’re, Iran, Qatar
OpenAI will enhance ChatGPT with a new search feature for real-time web answers. ChatGPT's search tool challenges Google's search dominance. OpenAI is taking on the tech giant by offering a search tool that can process conversational questions and keep track of context. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said in an X post that using ChatGPT search has "probably doubled my usage over the past few weeks." Instead of pulling up the nearest restaurants, OpenAI said ChatGPT can make recommendations with its search feature and answer follow-up questions.
Persons: Sam Altman, , OpenAI, would've, — Sam Altman, Altman, ChatGPT Organizations: Service, Google Locations: chatgpt
SpaceX workers got stuck on a barge with a spaceship full of toxic fuel in 2010, a new book reports. After the Dragon spaceship's first flight, a SpaceX crew retrieved it from the ocean. A Dragon spaceship approaches the International Space Station with astronauts on board in 2021. That's why SpaceX workers immediately checked for leaks, according to the book. The Dragon spaceship went on to become a staple of NASA's programming, transporting supplies and astronaut crews to and from the International Space Station.
Persons: , Eric Berger, Elon Musk, Berger, Musk, Kevin Mock, Keegan Barber, Mock, Roger Carlson, Berger's, It's Organizations: SpaceX, Service, NASA, Ars Technica, International, International Space
One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield was less than one basis point higher at 4.27%. The 2-year Treasury note yield added one basis point to 4.16%. U.S. Treasury bond yields rose as traders reviewed the gross domestic product reading for the third quarter and looked ahead to key inflation data out later in the session. A report on weekly jobless claims and the third-quarter reading on the employment cost index are also scheduled for release on Thursday.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal, Traders, Fed Locations: U.S
Amazon's AI services are rapidly growing, with significant demand for AWS's AI chips. AdvertisementJust when you thought Big Tech executives couldn't get more bullish on AI, Amazon CEO Andy Jassy upped the ante on Thursday. Amazon has launched a number of new AI services in recent years, including Bedrock, an AI development tool, the Rufus shopping agent, and homegrown AI chips called Inferentia and Trainium. Amazon's AI business is "growing three times faster at its stage of evolution than AWS did itself," he added. AdvertisementCustomers are realizing that AI model training and inference "could get costly" and AWS's AI chips can be "very compelling" in terms of its price, the CEO explained.
Persons: Jassy, , couldn't, Andy Jassy, We've, unravels ChatGPT, Rufus Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Amazon, Services Locations: capex
BlackRock's iShares is trying to appeal to investors who want to diversify beyond from the so-called Magnificent Seven. The firm launched the iShares Top 20 U.S. Stocks ETF (TOPT) this month. It doesn't just hold the Magnificent Seven — Apple , Amazon , Meta , Alphabet , Microsoft , Nvidia and Tesla . It's made up of the 20 largest U.S. stocks by market capitalization. Aguirre, the firm's head of U.S. iShares product, noted the ETF's mission is to deliver an easy and accessible way to tap into the innovation of megacaps – "whether that be in the tech-heavy Nasdaq space or, more broadly, within the S&P [500]."
Persons: iShares, It's, BlackRock's Rachel Aguirre, CNBC's, Aguirre Organizations: Stocks, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla
It was is the first major release from Microsoft's new consumer AI org, under Mustafa Suleyman. It was the first major product release from Mustafa Suleyman's new Microsoft AI group, and it's had a mixed reception so far. AdvertisementHigh expectationsMicrosoft hired Suleyman in March to oversee consumer AI products such as the Bing search engine and the Copilot AI chatbot . For instance, Suleyman's consumer Copilot app is separate from an AI Copilot tool that Microsoft offers as part of its M365 suite of business software. User feedbackIn the public App Store reviews, users complained about several specific issues that have arisen since the consumer AI Copilot app was updated Oct. 1.
Persons: Mustafa Suleyman, , Mustafa Suleyman's, it's, Suleyman, Susanne Franz, Divya Kumar, Kumar Organizations: Microsoft, Service, Business, Copilot
Amazon said revenue in its cloud unit increased 19% in third quarter, just missing analyst estimates. AWS leads the cloud infrastructure market over Google and Microsoft and is an important source of profit for Amazon. On Tuesday Alphabet said revenue from Google Cloud, which includes cloud applications as well as infrastructure, totaled $11.35 billion, up 35%. Microsoft said Wednesday that revenue from Azure and other cloud services grew 33%. Google Cloud reported an operating margin of 17%.
Persons: Matt Garman, Oracle, Garman, Databricks, Naveen Rao Organizations: Amazon Web Services, Tech, Amazon, Revenue, Google, Microsoft, AWS, CNBC, TechCrunch Locations: Laguna Beach , California
Agents might be emboldened to share listings among private networks of in-the-know brokers rather than market them to everyone. And if the goal is a transparent market that prioritizes consumers, the clear-cooperation policy is a flawed tool. Redfin estimated that in the second quarter of 2019, about 1.7% of listings, or some 18,000 homes, were likely pocketed. In a hot market, it's easier for brokers to market a home off the databases and still get it sold. What has changed since the rule went into effect is brokerages' eagerness to control access to home listings.
Persons: Smart, , they'll, Brian Boero, Goliath, Davids, MLSes, doesn't, weren't, Joe Schmo, Saul Klein, Howard Hanna's, Howard Hanna IV, Robert Reffkin, Mauricio Umansky, Redfin, Glenn Kelman, Kelman, haven't, Victor Lund, There's, Buckle Organizations: MLS, National Association of Realtors, NAR, Coldwell, Network, San Diego, Compass, Service, of Justice
On one level, Trump’s comment shows how his false election fraud claims have entered the outer realms of absurdity. The election fraud claims that Trump most notably supercharged in 2020 to salve his humiliation at losing to Joe Biden are already at high intensity this year. After laying out the darkest closing argument in modern American history, Trump is now increasingly turning to poisoning public confidence in the election. Gore conceded that election, thereby guaranteeing an uncontested transfer of presidential power — a step Trump refused to take four years ago. Just 30% of registered voters think Trump would accept the results of the election and concede if he loses, while 73% say that Harris would accept an election loss.
Persons: Donald Trump, he’d, Trump, he’s, Joe Biden, , , we’d, Kamala Harris, Harris, Andy Harris, Hurricane Helene, Glenn Youngkin, Elon Musk, bellicose, Brendan McDermid, Al Gore, George W . Bush, Gore, Stacey Abrams, Republican Brian Kemp, CNN’s Danny Freeman, ” Trump, Josh Shapiro, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, “ Donald Trump, Jonathan Drake, Gabriel Sterling, Georgia, ” Sterling, CNN’s Jake Tapper Organizations: CNN, Republican, New, Democratic, GOP, Republican National Committee, Maryland Republican, , Trump, Republicans, Representatives, Virginia Gov, Albuquerque International, Reuters, Texas Gov, US, Georgia, Pennsylvania, stoke Locations: California, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Hurricane, United States, Albuquerque , New Mexico, Florida, Lancaster County, York County, Marion , North Carolina, Georgia
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