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☆ India finance minister: RBI will take action as required to keep inflation within expected limits
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

Feb 20 (Reuters) - The Reserve Bank of India will take necessary steps to manage inflation within "expected limits,' Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said on Monday. "In emerging markets, the situation is unique to each of the countries. In that I think, RBI is watching the Indian economy and taking a call as and when it is required," Sitharaman said. Sitharaman was speaking in a post budget industry event in Jaipur. Reporting by Nikunj Ohri; Editing by Kim CoghillOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Indian tycoon Gautam Adani dismisses market volatility as 'temporary'
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-15 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Art school teacher Sagar Kambli gives final touches to a painting of Indian businessman Gautam Adani (L) highlighting the ongoing crisis of the Adani group in Mumbai on February 3, 2023. Indranil Mukherjee | Afp | Getty ImagesIndian billionaire Gautam Adani has downplayed the recent market volatility of Adani Group's shares as "temporary." The Adani Group has denied those accusations, and said it was a "calculated attack on India." Adani flagship earningsOn Tuesday, Adani Enterprises reported a profit after tax of nearly $100 million for the October to December quarter. Shares of Adani Enterprises last traded about 3% higher Wednesday on National Stock Exchange of India.

☆ INDIA RUPEE Dollar pullback ahead of U.S. inflation data to lift rupee at open
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-14 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, Feb 14 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee was poised to open higher against the U.S. dollar, tracking a broad pullback on the currency in the lead-up to key U.S. inflation data due later on Tuesday. The non-deliverable forward market indicated an opening of around 82.60 for the rupee compared with 82.7175 in the previous session. Intraday position takers were not likely to chase the USD/INR pair lower at open, a spot trader at a Mumbai-based bank said. The overnight risk of the U.S. data and India's surprise on inflation would mean little follow-through after the open, he added. Asian currencies were mostly higher ahead of data that is expected to show that U.S. inflation had eased.

☆ Indian shares set to rise ahead of U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

BENGALURU, Feb 14 (Reuters) - Indian shares are set to open higher on Tuesday, tracking the gains in global equities ahead of U.S. inflation data due later in the day, with a rise in domestic retail inflation in January above the Reserve Bank of India's upper threshold likely capping the move up. Wall Street equities closed higher on Monday, as investors expected consumer price index (CPI) data for January to ease. STOCKS TO WATCH** FSN E-Commerce Ventures (FSNE.NS): Co posts slide in consolidated net profit in Q3 on high expenses. ** Zee Entertainment (ZEE.NS): Co reports fall in consolidated net profit in third quarter on slide in ad spends and rise in costs. ** Steel Authority of India (SAIL.NS): Co reports fall in consolidated net profit in Q3** Power Finance Corporation (PWFC.NS): Co reports rise in consolidated net profit in Q3.

India's annual retail inflation rate (INCPIY=ECI) rose to 6.52% in January from 5.72% in December, government data showed on Monday. January's retail inflation was above the Reserve Bank of India's upper targeted limit of 6% for the first time since October and much higher than the 5.9% estimate, according to a Reuters poll of 44 analysts. Food price inflation, which accounts for nearly 40% of the consumer price index (CPI) basket, rose to 5.94% in January from 4.19% in December. STICKY CORE INFLATIONIndia's core inflation in January was nearly flat at 6.09% to 6.10% from last month, according to two economists. "We expect core inflation to remain elevated in Feb-March given the ongoing pass-through of higher input costs by producers," said Aditi Nayar, chief economist at ICRA.

MUMBAI, Feb 13 (Reuters) - Indian government bond yields are expected to trend higher this week, as sentiment stays bearish, but debt as well as the local currency will track U.S. and India inflation data. India's headline retail inflation print is due on Monday, followed by U.S. retail inflation on Tuesday. Bond yields jumped after the RBI highlighted core inflation concerns, keeping the door open for another hike. The rupee will take its cues from the U.S. inflation print and its impact on the dollar index, a trader with a private bank said. For the week, the currency could move between 82.10 and 82.80 unless the U.S. inflation data is a big surprise, dealers said.

☆ G20 exploring cryptocurrency regulation, India's finance minister says
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-11 | by ( Nikunj Ohri | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Feb 11 (Reuters) - The Group of 20 (G20) big economies is exploring whether the group could collectively regulate cryptocurrencies, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said on Saturday. Given the sophisticated technologies involved with these virtual assets, countries must discuss whether a given regulation is needed, said Sitharaman, whose country is this year's G20 president. Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government has for several years debated drafting a law to regulate or even ban cryptocurrencies but has not made a final decision. India will host G20 finance ministers and central bank governors this month. The Reserve Bank of India has said that cryptocurrencies should be banned as they are akin to a Ponzi scheme.

☆ Bullish bets on Asian FX ease as Fed rate-hike concerns weigh - Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-09 | by ( Himanshi Akhand | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Long positions on the South Korean won , the Singapore dollar and the Indonesian rupiah eased, while market participants turned bearish on the Indian rupee , according to a fortnightly poll of 10 respondents. The dollar is currently hovering near a one-month high after blockbuster U.S. jobs data last Friday boost expectations that the Fed may continue to hike rates to tame inflation. Investors also scaled back long bets on China's yuan , to a near one-month low, the Malaysian ringgit as well as Asia's best-performing currency this year, the Thai baht . Meanwhile, investors turned slightly bearish on the Indian rupee as concerns over a rout in local equities filtered into money markets. The poll uses estimates of net long or short positions on a scale of minus 3 to plus 3.

The central bank said that its policy stance remains focused on the withdrawal of accommodation, with four out of six members voting in favour of that position. Reuters GraphicsThe monetary policy committee (MPC), comprising three members from the central bank and three external members, raised the key lending rate or the repo rate (INREPO=ECI) to 6.50% in a split decision. We have to remain unwavering in our commitment to bring down CPI headline inflation," RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said, while announcing the committee’s decision. In a poll conducted ahead of the federal budget on Feb. 1, more than three-quarters of economists, 40 of 52, had expected the RBI to raise the repo rate by 25 bps. Das said that the inflation-adjusted, real interest rate remains below the pre-pandemic levels and liquidity remains surplus, even though it is lower than during the pandemic.

☆ Morning Bid: Powell confesses 'This time it's different'
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Any fear of a radical Fed rethink on the back of the jobs numbers seemed wide of the mark. "This cycle is different from other cycles...it has just confounded all sorts of attempts to predict," Powell admitted. And many think last week's jobs report should similarly be treated with care. They included a minimum tax for billionaires and a quadrupling of the tax on corporate stock buybacks. Brands, Eaton Corp, etcUS terminal rateReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsBy Mike Dolan, Editing by Raissa Kasolowsky <a href="mailto:mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com" target="_blank">mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com</a>.

☆ Indian shares rise ahead of RBI policy decision
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Market participants will focus on the RBI's commentary on the future trajectory of rate hikes, liquidity, the country's economic outlook and whether the central bank changes its stance from "withdrawal of accommodation" to "neutral." The RBI had raised key lending rate by 35 basis points in December, after three straight 50 bps hikes, and had said its fight against inflation was not over yet. Fed's Powell said on Tuesday disinflation has started and that he expects significant declines in inflation this year, raising hopes of less aggressive rate hikes in the future. Wall Street closed higher overnight, while MSCI's gauge of the broader index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was up 0.75%. Reporting by Rama Venkat in Bengaluru; Editing by Dhanya Ann Thoppil and Eileen SorengOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Rupee eyes RBI policy decision, weighs Powell's comments
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-08 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, Feb 8 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open little changed to the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, with traders weighing comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and awaiting the Reserve Bank of India's policy decision. The non-deliverable forwards indicate an opening of 82.68-82.74 for the rupee , compared with 82.70 in the previous session. We doubt RBI will have a major impact on the rupee, a trader at a Mumbai based bank said. Some market participants had expected Powell to adopt a more hawkish stance after the jobs report blew past expectations. Powell was "not materially more hawkish" than he was after the recent Fed decision, ING Bank said in a note.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell has spoken and luckily for bulls and bears, there was something for everyone, so where Asian markets go on Wednesday is something a coin flip. With an expected interest rate rise in India taking center stage regionally, investors in Asia will be digesting the mixed U.S. picture that saw stocks rise but the dollar and Treasuries ease lower on Tuesday. But he also said "it will take some time" to get the inflation genie back in the 2% bottle. The Reserve Bank of India is likely to raise its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 6.50%, which most economists reckon will be the last of the hiking cycle. With the rupee within a whisker of October's record low, however, traders will be on RBI intervention alert.

BENGALURU, Feb 7 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee, one of the worst-performing Asian currencies last year, is forecast to strengthen very little in coming months and still trade above the 80 per dollar mark a year from now, a Reuters poll of foreign exchange strategists found. The risk, however, is if U.S. inflation does not fall as much as markets are hoping it does in coming months. Even if it's marginally higher than what the market is currently expecting ... that could lead to a brief dollar rally and pressure the rupee." The latest Reuters poll of 43 foreign exchange analysts, taken after the Feb. 1 budget, showed the rupee strengthening just over 1% to 81.75 per dollar in the next six months. (For other stories from the February Reuters foreign exchange poll:)Reporting by Devayani Sathyan and Anant Chandak; Polling by Madhumita Gokhale and Veronica Khongwir; Editing by Hari Kishan, Ross FinleyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Indian banks' exposure to Adani group "insufficient" to pose credit risk - Fitch
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

MUMBAI, Feb 7 (Reuters) - The exposure of Indian banks to the embattled Adani Group is "insufficient in itself" to present a substantial risk to the credit profiles of these lenders, Fitch Ratings said in a note on Tuesday. Fitch estimated that loans to all Adani group entities generally account for 0.8%-1.2% of total lending for Indian banks rated by the agency, equivalent to 7%-13% of total equity. SBI's total exposure was 0.9% of its total loan book, or around 270 billion rupees, Chairman Dinesh Kumar Khara has said. Additionally, most of the bank's exposure to the Adani Group was secured by completed and cash-generating assets while the rest of the exposure was to on-schedule, under-construction projects, said CreditSights. Fitch, however, cautioned that Indian state banks could face pressure to provide refinancing for Adani entities if foreign banks scale back their exposure or investor appetite for the group's debt weakens in global markets.

☆ Indian shares set for muted start on rate fears, Adani uncertainty
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Analysts said that the selloff in Adani stocks has created panic in Indian markets. Ratings agency Moody's warned that the tumble in Adani group stocks could hit the conglomerate's ability to raise capital. STOCKS TO WATCHState Bank of India (SBI.NS): India's largest lender reports a rise in net profit in the third quarter. read moreITC (ITC.NS): Co reports a higher-than-expected rise in net profit in December-quarter on strong cigarette sales and steady demand for packaged foods. read moreMarico (MRCO.NS): Co reports higher-than-expected rise in net profit in Q3 on higher demand for cooking products and hair oil.

☆ Adani crisis: Billionaire scrambles to reassure creditors as market rout enters third week
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-06 | by ( Diksha Madhok | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The loans were backed by shares in Adani Ports, Adani Green Energy and Adani Transmission, which have collapsed in value. While the Adani Group has vehemently denied the allegation made by Hindenburg Resarch as “baseless” and “malicious,” investors remain unconvinced. Adani companies will be reporting quarterly results this week. Moody’s said Friday that the plunge in the shares of Adani companies was likely to reduce the group’s ability to raise capital. Another agency, S&P, cut the outlook for its ratings on two companies, Adani Ports and Adani Electricity, to negative from stable, citing the risk of higher funding costs or reduced access to capital.

☆ Adani rout deepens despite soothing words from India's government and billionaires
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-06 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Indranil Mukherjee | Afp | Getty ImagesShares of most Adani Group companies fell further on Monday, continuing to drop as a feud between the conglomerate and short-seller firm Hindenburg deepened. Adani Green Energy , Adani Power and Adani Total Gas fell 5% each. The Sensex is the benchmark index of the BSE — formerly the Bombay Stock Exchange — and the Nifty 50 is the flagship index of the National Stock Exchange of India. Gautam Adani, chairman of Adani Group, speaks during the Forbes CEO Summit in Singapore, on Tuesday, Sept. 27, 2022. Adani Power is included on the long-term list, while Adani Enterprises, Adani Green Energy, Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone, Adani Transmission and Adani Total Gas are on the short-term list.

☆ Gautam Adani lost half his wealth in a flash. Here’s what happened
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-04 | by ( Julia Horowitz | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

While the Adani Group has condemned the report as “baseless” and “malicious,” investor questions about its claims linger, and the fallout is growing. Gautam Adani is a 60-year-old tycoon who founded the Adani Group more than 30 years ago. The firm said it had taken a short position in Adani Group companies, meaning it would benefit from a drop in their value. Stocks of most Adani Group companies slumped again on Friday. Indian banks that hold Adani Group assets could also be affected if the value of those holdings continues to drop.

☆ Take Five: The Bottom Line
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Australia and India's central banks are navigating the shifting sands of data and markets are digesting what the world's top central banks have to offer. The question is what impact this will have on bonds and stocks markets after a stellar January? Reuters Graphics4/ RUN RALLY, RUNIt was a stellar start to 2023 for markets - stocks and government bonds enjoyed one of the best Januaries on record, fuelled by optimism that the worst is over. That's not good for a central bank, nor is the idea that their communication is ineffective. Policy rate hikes and cuts by central banks overseeing the 10 most traded currencies.

☆ Indian shares set to rise on easing inflation concerns; Adani stocks in focus
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

BENGALURU, Feb 3 (Reuters) - Indian shares are set to open higher on Friday, as global central banks hinted at inflation easing, spurring optimism that the rate hike cycle may be near an end, while the ongoing rout in Adani group stock could cap gains. After the U.S. Federal Reserve acknowledged in its monetary policy decision on Wednesday that the disinflationary process may have begun, the European Central Bank and the Bank of England followed suit on Thursday. Analysts said that the selloff in Adani stocks has created panic in Indian markets. Foreign institutional investors sold 30.64 bln rupees ($373.23 million) worth of shares on a net basis on Thursday while domestic institutional investors purchased 23.71 bln rupees worth of shares, official data showed. ($1 = 82.0940 Indian rupees)Reporting by Bharath Rajeswaran in Bengaluru; Editing by Janane VenkatramanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ India cenbank asks country's banks for details of exposure to Adani group - sources
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-02 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

NEW DELHI/MUMBAI, Feb 2 (Reuters) - India's central bank has asked local banks for details of their exposure to the Adani group of companies, government and banking sources said on Thursday. The Reserve Bank of India did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The sources were speaking to Reuters and declined to be named because they were not authorised to speak to the media. Shares in Adani group of companies plunged on Thursday after the tycoon Gautam Adani-led conglomerate shelved a $2.5 billion share sale amid a turbulent market, citing the need to insulate investors from potential losses. Reporting by Aftab Ahmed and Nupur Anand, writing by Sudipto Ganguly; editing by Miral FahmyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

India's finance minister will present the annual budget to parliament on Wednesday. Bloomberg | Getty ImagesIndia's finance minister will present the annual budget to parliament on Wednesday. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will announce the final full-year budget before the next general elections in 2024. Analysts expect the government to focus on continued fiscal consolidation for this year's budget, despite challenges. Nirmala Sitharaman, India's finance minister, speaks during a news conference at the National Media Center in New Delhi, India, on Monday, Nov. 15, 2021.

☆ RBI to hike repo rate by 25 bps in Feb, ending tightening cycle: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-30 | by ( Devayani Sathyan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Like many other major central banks, the RBI is expected to then pause, waiting for inflation to fall before considering a shift toward a stimulative stance as Asia's third-largest economy slows. More than three-quarters of economists, 40 of 52, expected the RBI to raise its key repo rate (INREPO=ECI) by 25 basis points to 6.50%, according to a Jan. 13-27 Reuters poll. "They (the RBI) need to pause at some point to see what exactly is the impact of the previous monetary tightening overall on growth and inflation. That is why I believe it is not premature for them to pause after 6.50%," said Upasna Bhardwaj, chief economist at Kotak Mahindra Bank. A deteriorating global economic outlook also suggests downgrades to India's outlook are likely in coming months.

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