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New York CNN —LGBTQ dating app Grindr ended its remote work policies and forced employees to relocate. The CWA also said the return-to-work policy was retaliatory and in response to a union drive at the company. Just two weeks prior to Grindr’s policy change, a majority of employees filed to organize a union. “Rather than recognize the union, the company issued a new return-to-office policy requiring staff to relocate or quit,” the CWA said in a statement. Seventy-one percent of employers that are mandating their on-site work policy reported difficulty retaining workers, according to the survey.
Persons: Grindr, , , Andy Jassy, unaddressed Organizations: New, New York CNN, Communications Workers of America, CWA, Washington D.C, Grindr, National Labor Relations Board, Conference, Labor, Amazon, Meta, Business Locations: New York, — New York, Chicago, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Washington
A strong summer has given way to a volatile August, and September usually means trouble for stocks. And on Friday, we got a strong Payrolls report and a solid uptick in the ISM Manufacturing Index," Kron wrote. And while he noted that both Alphabet and Amazon announced strong earnings, it was Nvidia's earnings announcement that gripped investors. "Looking through this volatility, we find the market has rewarded investors that focus on stocks with earnings revision potential," Kron wrote. The 22 stocks below are the most differentiated buy recommendations among Goldman Sachs analysts right now.
Persons: Steven Kron, Goldman Sachs, Kron, NVDA, Macy's, there's Organizations: International, Labor, Federal Reserve, Consumer, Conference Board, Amazon, Visa, Wall Street
Forecasters believe that trend continued in August, estimating that the Labor Department’s monthly report on Friday will show the addition of 170,000 jobs. That would be a decrease from the 218,000-job average over the previous three months, and closer to the number needed to employ the approximately 140,000 people who enter the labor force each month. But analysts say the Federal Reserve’s push to cool rapid inflation by ratcheting up borrowing costs — and the impact on hiring — has a ways to go. Immigrants work at higher rates than the American-born population, in which labor force participation is declining as people age into retirement. Already, Americans are feeling the difference: In the Conference Board’s reading of consumer sentiment for August, the share of workers saying jobs were “hard to get” increased sharply, while the share saying jobs were “plentiful” fell.
Persons: , ’ ”, Stephen Juneau, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, “ There’s, we’ve Organizations: Labor, Bank of America Locations: American,
Labor Day weekend gas prices are near all-time highs
  + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
New York CNN —Drivers hitting the roads this Labor Day weekend will be greeted by historically high gas prices for this time of the year. The good news is that gas prices are still well below the peak set in June 2022. Psychologically important pricesIt’s worth noting that while gas prices are high for this point of the calendar, these figures aren’t adjusted for inflation. Still, consumers are very sensitive to increases in gas prices, in part because of how visible they are. In fact, the Conference Board blamed the recent uptick in gas prices for driving down consumer confidence in August.
Persons: , John LaForge, Andy Lipow, – can’t, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Drivers, Labor, CNN, AAA, Wells, Investment Institute, Biden, Lipow Oil Associates, US Energy Information Administration, Conference Board Locations: New York, Illinois, Washington , Arizona, California, Russia, Saudi Arabia
US private payrolls growth slows sharply in August - ADP
  + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
WASHINGTON, Aug 30 (Reuters) - U.S. private payrolls increased less than expected in August, the latest indication that the labor market was losing steam, though it remains tight. Private payrolls rose by 177,000 jobs last month, the ADP National Employment report showed on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast private employment would increase by 195,000. It has not been a reliable gauge in trying to predict the private payrolls count in the employment report. According to a Reuters survey of economists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to report that private payrolls increased by 150,000 jobs in August.
Persons: payrolls, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: ADP, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Conference Board, Stanford Digital Economy, Labor, of Labor Statistics, Thomson
Morning Bid: Cooler labor warms markets
  + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. Stubborn inflation readings from Europe on Wednesday and hesitation around this week's China market rebound suggested the coast was far from clear despite worldwide stock and bond market rally in the previous session. Ebbing consumer confidence in August reinforced the message of slowing activity, however, and The Conference Board's so-called labor market differential, derived from respondents' views on whether jobs are plentiful or hard to get, narrowed by almost six points to 26.2% - its lowest since April 2021. China's stock markets also stalled after a two-day rally, with U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo claiming on her three-day visit to the country that many U.S. firms now see China as "un-investable". But it seemed to draw a line under the stock market this week with a series of supports and the prospect of further cuts in lending, deposit and mortgage rates.
Persons: Mike Segar, Mike Dolan, St's, bitcoin, Gina Raimondo, Denmark's, Kristalina Georgieva, James, Brown, Forman, Louise Heavens Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Labor, Nasdaq, Securities, Exchange, U.S . Commerce, International Monetary Fund, Treasury, Cooper Companies Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Europe, China, Monday's U.S, Spain, Beijing, payrolls, Shanghai, CrowdStrike
A Wall Street sign is pictured outside the New York Stock Exchange in New York, October 28, 2013. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq touched their highest in over two weeks during the session after the Labor Department's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed the number of job openings stood at 8.827 million in July, falling for the third straight month and signaling easing labor market pressures. Interest rate futures signaled an 87% chance the Fed will keep rates steady at its September meeting and a 54% chance it will keep rates on hold through November, according the CME Group's FedWatch tool. "Investors are of the mindset that 'You know what, maybe interest rate hikes are indeed behind us. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 64.39 points, or 1.45%, to end at 4,497.70 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) gained 239.36 points, or 1.74%, to 13,943.37.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, Elliott, let's, Sam Stovall, Jerome Powell's, drugmaker, Shristi Achar, Noel Randewich, Shounak Dasgupta, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Tesla, Nvidia, U.S . Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Labor, CFRA Research, Dow Jones, Apple, Google, Elliott Investment Management, Verizon, Citi, PDD Holdings, Thomson Locations: New York, United States, U.S, Bengaluru, Oakland, Calif
The Labor Department's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed 2.3% of nonfarm payroll workers quit their jobs in July, down from a rate as high as 3% during the pandemic-driven "Great Resignation." The hiring rate last month hit its lowest point since April 2020. The JOLTS data for July "are moderating back to either pre-pandemic levels or levels that we have not seen in quite some time. Because the 401(k) data tends to capture higher-paying jobs, slowed hiring in that cohort could be particularly relevant to the Fed's inflation outlook. Data later this week will provide an updated view on inflation as well as for hiring and wages in August.
Persons: Fiona Greig, Greig, Christopher Waller, Beveridge, Oren Klachkin, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Labor, Reuters, Vanguard, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Conference, Fed, Nationwide, Thomson Locations: U.S, joblessness
A Wall Street sign is pictured outside the New York Stock Exchange in New York, October 28, 2013. Of the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, 11 rose, led by communication services (.SPLRCL), up 2.22%, followed by a 2.1% gain in information technology (.SPLRCT). The S&P 500 was up 1.30% at 4,491.03 points. Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&P 500 (.AD.SPX) by a 7.6-to-one ratio. The S&P 500 posted 17 new highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 43 new highs and 100 new lows.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, Elliott, let's, Sam Stovall, Jerome Powell's, drugmaker, Shristi Achar, Noel Randewich, Shounak Dasgupta, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nasdaq, Dow, Wall, Tesla, Nvidia, U.S . Federal Reserve, Labor, CFRA Research, Google, Elliott Investment Management, Dow Jones, Verizon, Citi, PDD Holdings, Thomson Locations: New York, United States, Bengaluru, Oakland, Calif
That was reinforced by a survey from the Conference Board showing consumers' perceptions of the labor market cooled in August. Nevertheless, labor market conditions remain tight, with 1.51 job openings for every unemployed person in July, compared to 1.54 in June. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 9.465 million job openings. State and local government education job openings declined by 62,000 and there were 27,000 fewer federal government vacancies. Reuters GraphicsDeclining job openings are likely to be mirrored by slower job growth in August.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Conrad DeQuadros, payrolls, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Jeffrey Roach, Christopher Rupkey, Scott Anderson, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor, Survey, Labor Department, Board, Brean, Reuters, Midwest, Reuters Graphics, LPL Financial, Treasury, Fed, Companies, Bank of, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Northeast, West, Wyoming, Charlotte , North Carolina, Stocks, San Francisco
A Wall Street sign is pictured outside the New York Stock Exchange in New York, October 28, 2013. The Labor Department's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), showed the number of job openings stood at 8.827 million in July, falling for the third straight month and signaling easing labor market pressures. The S&P 500 communication services sector (.SPLRCL) rose 2.6%, while consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) and technology (.SPLRCT) stocks gained 1.9% each. The non-farm payrolls report on Friday will offer investors more clarity about the state of the labor market. Reporting by Shristi Achar A and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, Elliott, Hogan, Jerome Powell's, drugmaker, decliners, Shristi Achar, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S . Federal Reserve, Labor, Conference Board, Riley, Microsoft, Nvidia, Google, Elliott Investment Management, Dow Jones, Verizon, Citi, PDD Holdings, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York, United States, Bengaluru
US consumer confidence dropped more than expected in August, the Conference Board said. These three charts show how Americans are feeling about the economy. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. The Conference Board reported Tuesday that its consumer confidence gauge fell to 106.1 in August, below Bloomberg estimates and a fresh three-month low. The chart below shows that an increasing share of respondents said they feel "bad" about their current situation, while those who said they feel "good" decreased.
Persons: Dana Peterson, Peterson Organizations: Conference Board, Service, Board, Bloomberg, Conference, Consumers, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Wall, Silicon
Forecasters polled by Bloomberg have slashed their growth outlook for China. The country is battling deflation, soaring youth unemployment, and a property-market crisis. Policymakers cut stamp duty taxes Monday – but are yet to roll out a "big bang" economic fix. China's economy expanded 6.3% over the second quarter of 2023, falling well short of forecasters' expectations, while the country is also battling deflation, record youth unemployment, and a severe real-estate crisis. "As its economy continues facing downward pressures, its growth momentum might slow down further, in turn exacerbating the already significant pressures that the global economy is facing."
Persons: They're, Joe Biden, Alfredo Montufar, Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, China Center, Conference Board Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, Beijing
At 1:05 pm ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury fell 10 basis points to 4.112%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last trading at 4.88% after falling by 17 basis points. The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index came in at 106.1. The Conference Board also said average inflation expectations for the next 12 months increased, pressuring overall confidence, while the short-term outlook for income, business and labor market conditions declined. Speaking at the central bank's annual Jackson Hole symposium, Powell said that while inflation has fallen, it remains too high.
Persons: Dow Jones, Dana Peterson, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Treasury, Board, Conference Board, Traders, Federal Locations: New York City, Jackson
Americans are getting a little worried about inflation
  + stars: | 2023-08-29 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
Washington, DC CNN —Americans felt more pessimistic about the economy in August, following two straight months of growing confidence. That would make it extremely hard for the Fed to bring inflation back down to 2%. Consumer attitudes are sometimes a bellwether for spending, which is mainly what economists focus on since consumer spending accounts for about two-thirds of economic output. That’s because the US economy’s strength might not be consistent with 2% inflation, the Fed’s inflation goal. But both the economy and job market also remain on strong footing, and that’s helping to keep inflation elevated.
Persons: , Dana Peterson, , Jerome Powell Organizations: DC CNN, Conference Board, Labor, University of, Federal Reserve, Fed, Street, Kansas City, Atlanta Fed, Commerce Department Locations: Washington
That was reinforced by a survey from the Conference Board showing consumers' perceptions of the labor market cooling in August. Nevertheless, labor market conditions remain tight, with 1.5 job openings for every unemployed person in July. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 9.465 million job openings in July. The decrease was led by the professional and business services sector, where job openings dropped 198,000. The quits rate, viewed as a measure of labor market confidence, fell to 2.3% from 2.4% in June.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Conrad DeQuadros, Jerome Powell, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor, Survey, Labor Department, Board, Brean, Reuters, Treasury, Fed, Companies, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York
Investors and economists are bullish that consumer spending, the US economy’s main engine, won’t deteriorate too much, which should help stocks avoid a massive sell-off this year. The US Labor Department releases July figures on job openings, quits, hires and layoffs. The US Commerce Department releases July data on household spending, income and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. The US Labor Department reports the number of new applications for jobless benefits in the week ended Aug. 26. Friday: The US Labor Department releases August figures on the labor market, including monthly payroll gains, wage growth, and the unemployment rate.
Persons: “ We’re, we’ve, ” Matthew Palazzolo, we’re, We’re, ” Palazzolo, pare, It’s, Biden, Jerome Powell, Sinead Colton Grant, Anna Cooban Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal Reserve, US, Bernstein Private Wealth Management, CNN, Nvidia, Research, Fed, Kansas City, San Francisco Fed, Mellon, International Monetary Fund, Global, US Labor Department, Board, US Commerce Department, National Association of Realtors, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, P Global, Institute for Supply Management Locations: Washington, Wells Fargo, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, American, Germany, Europe, Berlin
They likened the current environment to the dot-com bubble around 2000. Cole told Insider he thinks the S&P 500 will lose at least 30% of its value in the years ahead. "This financial euphoria episode has gone to a sustained high that makes the dot-com bubble look like small change," he wrote in the August 22 letter. Smead is the founder of Smead Capital Management and comanages the Smead Value Fund (SMVLX) with his son, Cole. Don't take that to mean the S&P 500 will deliver low returns every year until 2033.
Persons: Cole Smead, Cole, Bill Smead, Smead, Russell, Akin Oyedele, It's, Manias, Bill, Dubravko Lakos, Lakos Organizations: Smead Capital Management, Yahoo Finance, it's, Netflix, Visa, Mastercard, Paypal, Smead, Federal, JPMorgan, CNBC, Conference
And, similar to the crisis that ultimately toppled Lehman Brothers in 2008, much of China's troubles are rooted in its property sector. China's property crisisFront and center for any comparison between today's China and the US in 2008 is the real estate market. "The boom that characterized the property sector of the last decade is over," he said. AdvertisementAdvertisementStill, given the scale of China's property market, policymakers may need to step in with fiscal stimulus to avoid catastrophe. "Rather, it'll be a slow-moving, structural economic crisis that could last for years.
Persons: hasn't, Lehman, Xi Jinping, Alfredo Montufar, William Hurst, Hurst, it's, Helu, Evergrande, Nicholas Spiro, Spiro Organizations: Service, Lehman Brothers, People's Bank of, China Center, Conference Board, Citi, Zhongrong, University of Cambridge, Country Garden Holdings, Lauressa Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, People's Bank of China, Japan, Beijing
That model is starting to show its weaknesses, however, as it's created a lopsided economy with too much supply and soft demand. "Stimulus functions on the supply side, and on the demand side you need structural reforms. Everything appears to be boiling over all at once, but China's problems have been years in the making. Confidence crisisThese issues have manifested most clearly in the real estate market, which now faces a glut of inventory thanks to years of overbuilding. "There could be a real rapid decline in real estate prices that would hurt a lot of people's livelihoods."
Persons: it's, William Hurst, hasn't, Hurst, that's, Alfredo Montufar Organizations: Service, University of Cambridge, New York Times, Conference Board, Garden Holdings, Conference Board's China Center Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, Beijing, Cambridge
Minneapolis CNN —Americans’ attitudes toward the US economy appear to be growing more tepid. The University of Michigan’s closely watched consumer sentiment index measured 69.5 in August, down slightly from July. “Consumers perceive that the rapid improvements in the economy from the past three months have moderated, particularly with inflation, and they are tentative about the outlook ahead,” Joanne Hsu, director of the university’s Surveys of Consumers, said in a statement. Inflation expectations for the year ahead ticked down to 3.3% from 3.4% in July, showing “remarkable stability” but still trending higher than pre-pandemic expectations, which ranged in the 2.3% to 3% range. Inflation expectations are crucial data points for the Federal Reserve.
Persons: ” Joanne Hsu, Hsu, ” Hsu, Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, University of Michigan’s, Consumers, Federal Reserve Locations: Minneapolis, Michigan
He called the U.S. central bank's misreading of the issue "a major failure" that can mar analysis of where the economy stands. Since 2016, policies from the vastly different Trump and Biden administrations have combined in a sort of accidental complementarity to keep both job and economic growth above the Fed's estimate of potential. Median Fed policymaker projections of potential U.S. economic growth have slid from a level around 2.5% a decade ago to 1.8% as of June 2023, when the last projections were issued. Under pressure from colleagues to raise interest rates as the economy accelerated, Greenspan resisted and accommodated the expansion instead of fighting it. But it could help economic growth continue even as prices cool, another prop for the "soft landing" the Fed hopes to engineer and possible evidence of rising potential.
Persons: John Williams, Joe Biden, Adam Posen, Donald Trump, Trump's, Biden, Dana Peterson, Peterson, Jerome Powell, Board's Peterson, Alan Greenspan's, Greenspan, Jackson, John Fernald, Huiyu Li, Michael Feroli, Antulio Bomfim, Powell, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Fed, San Francisco, Fed, Reuters, BlackRock, Bank of England, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Trump, Biden, Conference Board, Jackson, San Francisco Fed, JPMorgan, Trust Asset Management, Thomson Locations: U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Washington
Yields on 10-year Treasury yields have surged well above 4%. With both stock valuations and interest rates high, stock prices could continue to fall. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes surged to 15-year highs this week, surpassing 4.3% for the first time since late 2007. This has put a damper on what was a 20% rally for the S&P 500 from January to the end of July. The median S&P 500 year-end price target among major Wall Street strategists is 4,300, just below the index's current price around 4,370.
Persons: Stocks, Adam Turnquist, Treasurys, It's, John Lynch, they've, Tom Essaye, Lynch, Turnquist, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Greg Boutle, Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston, Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz Organizations: Treasury, LPL, Bank of America, Comerica Wealth, Wall Street, Rosenberg Research, RBC, BNP
China's economy is facing headwinds ranging from an unstable property market to weak consumer demand. Experts told Insider that a worsening scenario in China bodes poorly for global markets and other economies like the US. "As its economy continues facing downward pressures, its growth momentum might slow down further, in turn exacerbating the already significant pressures that the global economy is facing." One way this is already being felt is in the softening of Chinese demand, which has led to a sharp drop in trade. And as the housing crisis deepens, it will become harder to China to right the ship, creating a lasting drag on future global growth.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Evergrande, Alfredo Montufar, Helu, Keith Hartley, Hartley, Noah Sheidlower, Dexter Roberts, David Roche, they're, Roche Organizations: Service, Privacy, China, Country Garden Holdings, China Center, Conference Board, Federal Reserve, Atlantic Council, Housing, Independent, CNBC Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, U.S
US leading indicator falls further in July
  + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
People walk on the corner of 34th street and 8th avenue outside Pennsylvania Station in New York City, U.S., June 16, 2023. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Aug 17 (Reuters) - A gauge of future U.S. economic activity dropped for the 16th straight month in July, though the pace of decline slowed from earlier in the year, a survey showed on Thursday. The Conference Board said its Leading Economic Index fell 0.4% last month after declining 0.7% in June. "The leading index continues to suggest that economic activity is likely to decelerate and descend into mild contraction in the months ahead," said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, at The Conference Board. Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Chizu NomiyamaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Shannon Stapleton, Justyna, Monica, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Board, The Conference Board, Conference Board, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
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