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Japan market rally fails to mask Nomura’s woes
  + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
It also powered a near-fivefold increase in pre-tax earnings at the bank’s retail unit from the same period last year. Nomura’s own stock has also benefitted, though its 20% rise this year to a two-year high lags the broader market. And the rally did nothing to fix the abysmal underperformance at its mainstay wholesale division. Revenue at the unit that comprises the volatile investment banking and trading businesses fell 4% to 191 billion yen ($1.3 billion). They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Nomura, Morgan Stanley, Kentaro Okuda, Steve Cohen, Antony Currie, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, Revenue, Global, Twitter, Sequoia, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, India
EQT’s India IVF buyout hits on fertile themes
  + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
MUMBAI, Aug 1 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Private equity giant EQT (EQTAB.ST) is buying a majority stake in the country’s largest fertility clinic chain Indira IVF via its Asian unit BPEA EQT, valuing the firm at $1.1 billion. Indira IVF serves some of the 15% of Indian couples experiencing infertility, a problem on the rise in the world’s most populous country as people marry later and air pollution stifles the ability to conceive naturally. EQT’s deal also is another bet on the changing demands of the South Asian nation’s middle class. Thanks to the gradual maturing of the private equity business, both purchases come with the added benefit of the buyer taking control. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Indira, EQT’s, Shritama Bose, Steve Cohen, , Una Galani, Aditya Munjuluru Organizations: Reuters, Blackstone, HDFC, Twitter, Sequoia, Walmart, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, Temasek
Heineken’s pricing goof has a strategic spillover
  + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, July 31 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Dolf van den Brink has had a six-month-long happy hour. Heineken’s misstep occurred even though the company increased prices for its beers by an average of 13% from a year earlier. While consumer goods groups like Unilever (ULVR.L) managed to hike without losing much business, Heineken’s 6% hit to beer sales in the first half suggests van den Brink has not. In Vietnam, which analysts at Bernstein estimate accounts for nearly half of that region’s sales, Heineken admitted its pricing was mistimed. Van den Brink seems confident the worst is over for 2023, because all his price hikes have already happened.
Persons: van den Brink, misstep, Bernstein, Van den Brink, Yawen Chen, , George Hay, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, Heineken, Unilever, Walmart, BT boss’s, of Japan, Thomson Locations: Vietnam, United States
Sequoia picks the right moment to ditch deadwood
  + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The $85 billion venture firm downsized the commitments it expects its investors to make to vehicles targeting cryptocurrency and its own peers, the Wall Street Journal reported. With those investors, known as limited partners, now less pressed to flee private markets, it’s a smart time for Sequoia to help them shift into more promising opportunities. As last year's downturn tanked their public investments, LPs found themselves relatively overinvested in still-highly-valued private markets, forcing them to pull back from the likes of venture funds. As public markets recover – the S&P 500 Index (.SPX) is up almost 20% this year – this “denominator effect” is fading, a Capstone Partners survey suggests. And with LPs once again keen on private markets, they may be more likely to stick around, despite Sequoia’s self-admitted mistakes on investments like now-bankrupt FTX.
Persons: Sequoia’s, Anita Ramaswamy, , Jeffrey Goldfarb, Sharon Lam Organizations: YORK, Reuters, Wall Street Journal, Capstone Partners, Twitter, Walmart, BT boss’s, Thomson Locations: Sequoia
Even with alpha strikeout, Steve Cohen scores
  + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
NEW YORK, July 31 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Hedge fund mastermind Steve Cohen is best known for his savvy trades, but it doesn’t take an investing whizz to make money in baseball. His New York Mets are one of the worst teams in the league despite a record-setting $364 million payroll. Cohen bought full ownership of the club in 2020 for $2.4 billion and spent lavishly on the roster. Even so, the Mets are already worth $500 million more than Cohen paid, according to Forbes, a nice uplift for substandard performance. Dan Snyder just sold his woeful Washington Commanders for $6 billion; Snyder paid $800 million for the team and its stadium in 1999.
Persons: Steve Cohen, Cohen, Max Scherzer, Dan Snyder, Snyder, Michael Jordan, Jennifer Saba, , Jeffrey Goldfarb, Sharon Lam Organizations: YORK, Reuters, New York Mets, Mets, Forbes, SAC Capital Advisors, Charlotte Hornets, Twitter, Sequoia, Walmart, BT boss’s, Thomson
WARSAW, July 29 (Reuters) - A group of a hundred soldiers from the Russian Wagner group have moved closer to the Belarusian city of Grodno near the Polish border, Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki said on Saturday. Earlier this month, Poland began moving more than 1,000 troops to the east of the country amid rising concerns that the presence of Wagner fighters in Belarus could lead to increased tension on its border. Most likely they (the Wagner personnel) will be disguised as the Belarusian border guard and help illegal migrants get to the Polish territory (and) destabilise Poland," Morawiecki said at a press conference in Gliwice, western Poland. "They will most likely try to enter Poland pretending to be illegal migrants and this poses additional threats," Morawiecki said. The following day, some Wagner fighters arrived at the training ground of the 38th airborne assault brigade outside the city of Brest, just a few miles from the Polish border.
Persons: Russian Wagner, Mateusz Morawiecki, Wagner, Morawiecki, Anton Motolko, Russia's, Yevgeny Prigozhin, Vladimir Putin, Agnieszka Pikulicka, David Holmes Organizations: WARSAW, Warsaw Pact, NATO, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Russian, Belarusian, Grodno, Polish, Poland, Warsaw, U.S, Ukraine, Belarus, Gliwice, Lithuanian, Kaliningrad, Africa, Brest, Moscow, Russia
It was showtime at the youth swine exhibition, and the pig barn was bustling. The competitors, ages 3 to 21, were practicing their walks for the show ring and brushing pig bristles into place. As he slipped into one pen, a pig tried to nose its way out, then started nibbling his shoelaces. Bowman prefers not to enter the pens, he said, as he wiped gauze across the animal’s nose. He soon spotted a more appealing subject: a pig sticking its nose out from between the bars of its enclosure.
Persons: Andrew Bowman, Bowman, Organizations: showtime, Ohio State University Locations: New Lexington , Ohio, Wuhan, China
Ying Tang | NurPhoto | Getty ImagesThe Chinese economy could be facing a prolonged period of lower growth, a prospect which may have global ramifications after 45 years of rapid expansion and globalization. The ruling Chinese Communist Party has set a growth target of 5% for 2023, lower than usual and notably modest for a country that has averaged 9% annual GDP growth since opening up its economy in 1978. For the global economy, however, the most immediate spillover of a Chinese slowdown will likely come in commodities and the industrial cycle, as China reconfigures its economy to reduce its reliance on a property sector that has been "absorbing and driving commodity prices." "This shift from a complementary economy, where Beijing and Berlin kind of benefit from each other, to now being competitors is another big consequence of the structural slowdown," Green said. He noted that beyond the immediate loss of demand for commodities, China's reaction to its shifting economic sands will also have "second order impacts" for the global economy.
Persons: Ying Tang, Julian Evans, Pritchard, Evans, it's, Xi Jinping's, Rory Green, Green Organizations: Beijing, Communist Party, Capital Economics, Triple, TS Lombard, CNBC Locations: Suzhou, Shanghai, China, Asia, Beijing, Japan, Brazil, Australia, Germany, Berlin
The US dollar has been the world's reserve currency for decades, but its dominance is fading. US monetary policies, the strong USD, and structural shift in the global oil trade also contribute. Here are three other reasons countries around the world are attempting to line up plans to possibly move away from a dollar-dominated world. The arrangement was formalized in 1945 when the oil-giant country Saudi Arabia and the US reached a historic deal wherein Saudi Arabia would sell its oil to America only using the greenback. In return, Saudi Arabia would reinvest excess dollar reserves into US treasuries and companies.
Persons: Valéry Giscard d'Estaing, , Narendra Modi's, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, It's, Donald Trump, wasn't, Joe Biden, Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Jamal Khashoggi, Sarah Miller Organizations: Service, International Monetary Fund, Wilson, Reserve Bank of, Indian, Reuters, Allianz, Global, US, Washington Post, Energy Intelligence Locations: Russia, Wall, Silicon, Western, Ukraine, Washington, Brazil, Argentina, Bangladesh, India, France, Reserve Bank of India, China, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, America, Saudi
July 20 (Reuters) - China's frail growth could weigh on companies with exposure to the world's second-largest economy, including Apple (AAPL.O), big chipmakers and luxury retailers as they report quarterly results in the next few weeks. China accounted for 36% of NXP's revenue last year and half of Texas Instruments' revenue. Analysts estimate NXP reporting a 3.2% drop in quarterly revenue, with Texas Instruments' revenue tumbling 16%, which would be its steepest drop since 2009, according to Refinitiv. The specialty glass maker blamed "anticipated recession-level demand" for weak results in its previous quarterly report last April. Coffee maker Starbucks (SBUX.O) in May reported quarterly results that beat estimates, powered by recovering demand in China.
Persons: Ross Mayfield, Baird, Cartier, Richemont, Bernstein, Tesla, Jonathan Golub, hobble, David Klink, Noel Randewich, Chavi Mehta, Caroline Valetkovitch, Mimosa Spencer, David Gaffen, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Apple, U.S, Shanghai, ABB, HK, NXP Semiconductors, Texas, Texas Instruments, . Credit Suisse Chief, Equity, Corning Inc, Samsung Electronics, Huntington Private Bank, Reuters, Thomson Locations: China, U.S, Swiss, Asia, ., China . U.S, Washington, Beijing, Oakland , California, Bangalore, New York, Paris
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRejection rates on new loan applications have hit the highest since 2013, says KPMG's Diane SwonkDiane Swonk, chief economist at KPMG, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss increased rejection rates on new loans, the Fed's policy plan through November, and the spillover effects of ongoing labor strikes in America.
Persons: Diane Swonk Diane Swonk, Steve Liesman Organizations: KPMG Locations: America
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen concluded her trip to China on Sunday with an appeal for both nations to find 'a way to live together.' 'We believe that the world is big enough for both of our countries to thrive,' she said. We believe that the world is big enough for both of our countries to thrive," she said, according to a transcript of her speech on Sunday. John Kerry, the U.S. special envoy for climate change, is slated for a visit to China later this month, per Bloomberg. Despite Yellen's optimism, at least one analyst feels that relations between the US and China remain tenuous.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Yellen, Biden, Yellen's, Antony Blinken's, Xi Jinping, John Kerry, Vishnu Varathan Organizations: Service, US, of Commerce, Eurasia Group, Biden, U.S, Bloomberg, Mizuho Bank's Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, Mizuho Bank's Asia, Oceania
Palestinians inspect shops burnt and destroyed by Israeli forces in the middle of the Jenin refugee camp, during the storming of the camp near the city of Jenin, in the northern occupied West Bank. Thousands of people were evacuated from the Jenin refugee camp as one of Israel's biggest military operations in years moved to a second day on Tuesday and a suspected car-ramming attack in Tel Aviv underlined the risk of a spillover in violence. At least 10 people have been killed, Palestinian officials said. In Jenin, sporadic gunfire and explosions sounded near the refugee camp but parts of the city were quiet and life proceeded in relative normality. The status of the others was unclear, although Israeli officials said as far as they were aware, no civilians had been killed.
Persons: Tzachi Hanebi, Jihad Hassan Organizations: West Bank, National Security, Palestinian, Hospital, World Health Organization, Islamic Locations: Jenin, Tel Aviv, Israeli, Palestinian, Ramallah, Qabatia
A Columbia professor has issued a bleak outlook for commercial real estate in the US. Office values are plunging and threaten to cause an "urban doom loop," Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh said. If cities become more expensive and less appealing, people are likely to move out, cutting real estate values even more and causing a downward spiral, he said. Pension funds, real estate investment trusts (REITS), and other entities have invested significant sums in CRE, and the office segment specifically. "I do worry that there is potential for a spillover here, that we haven't seen the end of the banking crisis yet," Van Nieuwerburgh said.
Persons: Van Nieuwerburgh, , Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh Organizations: Service, Columbia Business School, Bank, Signature Bank Locations: Columbia, CRE, Silicon
The small South American country of Uruguay has already cut rates, by 25 basis points in April. Chile's central bank kept its key interest rate on hold at 11.25% last week, but said if recent positive trends continue, it could begin cutting the rate in the short term. Forecasts are pointing to a rate cut next month, said Cesar Guzman, macroeconomic analyst at Santiago-based Grupo Securities. Even there, however, the central bank opted to hold rates steady in June as monthly inflation slowed for the first time in half a year. "Colombia and Mexico will be the last ones to cut rates, possibly in the fourth quarter."
Persons: Joan Domene, Reuters Graphics Goldman Sachs, Alberto Ramos, Cesar Guzman, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Kimberley Sperrfechter, Andres Pardo, Marion Giraldo, Natalia Ramos, Fabian Cambero, Nelson Bocanegra, Anthony Esposito, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: MEXICO CITY, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, America, Oxford, Reuters Graphics, Grupo Securities, Reuters, Capital Economics, XP Investments, Thomson Locations: MEXICO, Chile, Brazil, Mexico, American, Uruguay, Santiago, COLOMBIA, America, Argentina, Colombia, Bogota
Prospective buyers are welcomed by real estate agents at an open house in West Hempstead, New York on April 18, 2021. It's been a tough market for U.S. homebuyers with a limited supply of properties driving up prices nationwide. But another factor may have contributed to rising home costs in certain markets — fraudulent claims from the Covid-era Paycheck Protection Program, or PPP, according to new research. "Fraud on this scale is enormously costly," said Sam Kruger, co-author and assistant professor of finance at the University of Texas at Austin. And previous research from the University of Texas at Austin team flagged $117.3 billion of the funds as "suspicious lending."
Persons: It's, Sam Kruger, Kruger Organizations: U.S, University of Texas, Finance, Austin Locations: West Hempstead , New York, Austin
WARSAW—U.S. Several governments said they were trading information and analysis in hastily arranged video meetings between allies. In Estonia and Latvia, officials were ramping up border deployments, preparing for any potential exodus of Russians or the possibility of chaos spilling over into the NATO countries. In Warsaw, Poland's prime minister, president and defense ministers met for emergency consultations, followed by discussions with their allies in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, officials said. “The course of events beyond our eastern border is monitored on an ongoing basis,” President Andrzej Duda tweeted Saturday.
Persons: Andrzej Duda Organizations: NATO, North Atlantic Treaty Organization Locations: WARSAW, U.S, Russia, Belarus, Estonia, Latvia, Warsaw, North
What you’ve got to do to get more money from wealth is just let your money go out there and make money on its own. darrick hamiltonYeah, the extent to which our tax code incentivizes wealth and capital growth, it centers on existing wealth and capital growth. $50,000 to the most wealth-poor person seems like a big number, but we need to put that number in context. In other words, wealth begets more wealth, and wealth builds upon itself. ezra kleinI think that’s a great place to end, so I’ll ask our final question.
Persons: ezra klein, we’ve, We’ve, Darrick Hamilton, Biden Sanders, Bernie Sanders, Cory Booker, Ayanna Pressley, darrick hamilton, hamilton, you’re, ezra klein There’s, you’ve, that’s, Thomas Piketty’s, it’s, there’s, ezra klein I’m, , ezra klein We’ve, Bill Gates, Elon, Ezra, Ira Katznelson, Crow, Bill, hasn’t, who’s, I’ve, they’re, ezra klein Let’s, darrick hamilton Naomi Zewde, wouldn’t, Let’s, darrick hamilton Ezra, darrick hamilton I’m, Arthur Lewis, Natalie Diaz, ” Natalie, ezra klein Darrick Hamilton Organizations: The New School, Biden, Task Force, Marshall, Black, Washington D.C, Federal Government, SEED, Oklahoma, Social, Social Security Locations: Hamilton, United States, Prosperity, America, Europe, Tulsa , Oklahoma, Connecticut, Washington, , hamilton
Citing reasons for his optimism, he said Asia is expected to deliver healthier growth rates while the West lags behind. Asia inflation 'not as intense'"We're definitely expecting growth in these two economies to be constrained by the fact that they have had this significant inflation problem," Ahya said in reference to the U.S. and Europe. The U.S. inflation rate has been holding well above the Fed's 2% annual target. Chetan Ahya Chief Asia Economist at Morgan StanleyChina's consumption 'on track'Another driver of Asia's growth is China's projected recovery in the second half of the year. "We're expecting China's recovery to broaden out in second half of this year," Ahya said.
Persons: Kazuhiro Nogi, Morgan Stanley, Chetan Ahya, Ahya, We're Organizations: Mount Fuji, Afp, Getty, Federal Reserve, Asia, Nurphoto, People's Bank of China Locations: U.S, Europe, Asia, India, Indonesia, Japan, Central, China, Jakarta
Does a recession in Europe hurt the US?
  + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
New York CNN —Slow consumer spending and sticky inflation have led to two consecutive quarters of economic contraction in the European Union. That means that the eurozone fell into a recession over the winter months, and growth this year is likely to be weak. If Europe sneezes, the economists ask, is it possible that the United States catches a cold? Akinci and Pesenti recently examined whether economic crises in Europe have affected the United States over the past thirty years. Strong employment and higher wages can mean higher inflation as companies pass on increased labor costs by raising the price of goods.
Persons: they’re, Ozge Akinci, Paolo Pesenti, , we’ll, We’ll, Janet Yellen, Emmanuel Macron, , Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, , Solomon, ” Solomon, haven’t, It’s, Alicia Wallace Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, European Union, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Organisation for Economic Co, US Federal Reserve, French, CNBC, Federal, CPI, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, United States, Europe, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Greece, France
The Fed's battle against inflation could have economic consequences well beyond US borders, according to a new World Bank report. Markets believe it is likely the Fed will pause interest rate hikes at its policy meeting next week. The central bank has raised interest rates 10 times in a little over a year, though inflation still remains above the 2% target. Hawkish tightening by the Fed can spillover to EMDEs, which could lead to higher domestic interest rates and currency depreciation exacerbating inflation. These findings come amid the World Bank's projection that the global economy is in a "precarious state" as rising interest rates decelerate consumer spending and business investment.
Persons: Organizations: Bank, Service, Committee, World Bank
Higher rates and overhangs from this year's banking crisis will drastically slow economic growth for the biggest global economies, the World Bank said Tuesday. U.S. GDP growth is expected to decelerate in 2024 to 0.8% as high interest rates further weigh on growth. The bank estimates overall global growth will decelerate to 2.1% in 2023, down from 3.1% in 2022. However, World Bank chief economist Indermit Gill said excluding China, growth in developing economies would be less than 3%. This marks "one of the weakest growth rates in the last five decades," Gill told reporters Tuesday.
Persons: Indermit Gill, Gill Organizations: World Bank Locations: Japan, U.S, China
The Mexican stock market is in rare form this year. The S & P/BM IPC index, the country's stock market benchmark, is up more than 9% in 2023. Given this backdrop, Goldman Sachs highlighted telecom giant Grupo Televisa as a stock that can outperform going forward. The stock has lagged the broader Mexican market, with U.S.-listed shares rising just 7% year to date. The company's U.S.-listed shares are up about 20% in 2023.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Vitor Tomita, Tomita, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S, The, Federal Reserve, Grupo Televisa, Televisa, Univision Locations: Mexico, The U.S, U.S, American, financials, 2H22
China new home prices, sales fall on soft demand in May
  + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
New home prices among 100 cities fell 0.01% month-on-month in May from 0.02% growth the previous month, according to survey data from the China Index Academy on Thursday. Home sales by value by property developers fell 18.8% from a month earlier, the independent real estate research firm said in a separate statement on Wednesday. "The real estate market was under greater adjustment pressure and homebuyers' sentiment continued to fall in May," said the firm. The property sector gained a boost from the lifting of tough COVID curbs in December, low mortgage interest rates and a slew of policy support measures. "These (bearish) property market data will likely further weigh on China-related assets in the next couple of weeks," said Nomura.
Persons: Nomura, Liangping Gao, Ryan Woo, Kim Coghill Organizations: China Index Academy, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China
How to Lower Deaths Among Women? Give Away Cash.
  + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Apoorva Mandavilli | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +3 min
The pandemic drove 97 million additional people into extreme poverty in 2020, according to a World Bank estimate, prompting more countries to start cash transfer programs. Direct cash transfers have been shown to improve school attendance, nutrition and use of health services. The new study is the first to examine the effect of cash transfers on death rates worldwide, the researchers said. The findings suggest that cash transfers may be helpful not just to women, but to families and entire communities. Cash transfers are often accompanied by improvements to health care services or other infrastructure that helps communities, he noted.
Persons: , Harsha Thirumurthy, Thirumurthy, Audrey Pettifor, Pettifor, ” Berk Organizations: University of Pennsylvania, University of North, Chapel Hill Locations: Saharan Africa, Africa, Asia, Pacific, America, Caribbean, U.S, University of North Carolina, South Africa
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