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☆ An S&P 500 10% correction is likely this summer, says Piper Sandler
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"However, the longer these warning lights flash, the more painful the repair bill (market correction) will be," Johnson said. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Stocks have surged this year largely due to the outperformance of artificial intelligence mega-cap technology companies such as Nvidia. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are higher this year by roughly 15% and 18%, respectively. Just last week, the S & P 500 breached 5,500 for the first time. Johnson anticipates the S & P 500 will end the year at 5,050, or 7% lowerthan where it closed Tuesday.

Persons: Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Johnson Organizations: Nvidia, Nasdaq Locations: Tuesday's

☆ Fundstrat's Tom Lee is about to raise his year-end forecast for the S&P 500
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Fundstrat's Tom Lee, who's been correctly nailing the stock market for the past few years, hinted that he was about to hike his year-end S & P 500 target even with the benchmark at record highs. Lee's 5,800 call would represent another 6% gain for the S & P 500 from current levels. Lee believes a strong force that could help lift the market is the $6 trillion in cash that's in money market funds. Lee would join a host of others on Wall Street who have recently raised their S & P 500 targets. On June 14, Goldman Sachs increased its price target on the S & P to 5,600.

Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, who's, Fundstrat, Lee, Goldman Sachs, Bloomberg Organizations: Bloomberg, Wall, ISI, CNBC Market, Citigroup

☆ Here's the '800-pound gorilla' that has a top global strategist at Wells Fargo worried about a major market pullback — and 5 investments that can survive as AI hype goes overboard
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-23 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Scott Wren, a senior global market strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, recently noted that market breadth is abnormally narrow. He found that the five best performers in the S&P 500 accounted for nearly three-fifths of its exceptional 10.6% year-to-date gain through May 31. That fate will soon apply to the S&P 500, Wren warned. Such a sell-off would take the S&P 500 below 5,000 for the first time since April. "And it's tough to be patient when the S&P 500 set a bunch of all-time high records."

Persons: —, Scott Wren, Wren, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, who's, it's, we've, they've, they're, we're, Goldman Sachs, There's, He's Organizations: Service, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Business, Interactive Brokers, Wells Fargo Investment, Nvidia, Investors Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Fundstrat's Tom Lee keeps making bold stock calls — and nailing them
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-22 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

For example, a call that the S & P 500 would rise 100 points on a positive consumer price index print came true last year. That's true so far, with the S & P 500 jumping 4.8% in May after finishing April down 4.2%. As equities struggled, (the S & P 500 fell almost 20% in 2022), Lee felt like the risk of inflation was being mispriced. Because of that, he foresaw a rebound in 2023, a year that sent the S & P 500 more than 24% higher. "There was a pretty widely-held view that the Fed had to crash the economy in order to contain inflation," Lee said.

Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, it's, that's, Lee doesn't, Russell, hiccups, Salomon Smith Barney Organizations: Fundstrat, CNBC Pro, Wharton School, selloff, Apple, Netflix, Nasdaq, JPMorgan

☆ Wall Street is set to wrap up a strong first half with a key inflation report on deck
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

With stocks set to close out a strong first half of 2024, investors have just one more key inflation hurdle to clear in the week ahead: May's personal expenditure report. Next week's personal consumption expenditure data, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, could show whether that overall picture is intact. May's consumer price index, for example, showed no increase from the prior month. Last month's producer price index , a measure of wholesale prices, unexpectedly dropped from the previous reading. Pending Home Sales Index (May) 11 a.m. Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index (June) Earnings: Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance , McCormick & Co. Friday June 28 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Stocks, Terry Sandven, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Scott Chronert, Brian Leonard, Leonard, Bank's Sandven, Sandven, Mills Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, U.S, Bank Asset Management, Federal, PCE, Bank of America Securities, Wall, Keeley, Advisors, FedEx, Dow, Nasdaq, Dallas Fed, Chicago, Richmond Fed, Carnival, New, Micron Technology, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance, McCormick, Chicago PMI Locations: . Kansas, Chicago, Michigan

☆ Bitcoin's recent weakness signals an imminent S&P 500 correction, according to Stifel
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bitcoin's recent weakness could be signaling an upcoming correction in stocks, according to Stifel's chief equity analyst Barry Bannister. On Thursday, the S & P 500 briefly touched 5,500 for the first time after notching its most recent record close earlier in the week. "Weakening bitcoin … signals an imminent S & P 500 summer correction and consolidation phase," he said. "With the S & P 500 now at the very high end (2 sigma) of bitcoin post-peak cycle overlays since 2011, we have yet another strong signal that an imminent S & P 500 correction is possible." "Past bubbles since the 19th century indicate the S & P 500 could well rise to ~6,000 at year-end 2024 and then round trip to near where 2024 began five quarters later, by ~1Q26 (S & P 500 ~4,800)."

Persons: Barry Bannister, Bitcoin, Bannister, CNBC's, it's, Stifel Organizations: Nvidia, Nasdaq

☆ S&P 500 to break above 5,700 in the second half of 2024, Ned Davis Research says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Historical post-election market gains could lead the S & P 500 even higher by the end of the year, according to Ned Davis Research. Ed Clissold, chief U.S. strategist raised his year-end S & P 500 target to 5,725 from 4,900 . Although Ned Davis Research isn't included in CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey , when comparing the price targets across various Wall Street names, the firm has the second-highest forecast for the broad market index. The S & P 500's 14.5% year-to-date gains have largely come from high-flying technology names such as Nvidia and Meta Platforms. The S & P 500's equal-weighted version, however, is up just 4% in 2024.

Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Clissold Organizations: Ned Davis Research, CNBC Pro's, Survey, Federal Reserve, White, Nvidia, Meta Locations: U.S

☆ Ron Insana: Never mind the narrow leadership. This is a powerful bull market
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

There has been a fair amount of nervous chatter lately about the state of the stock market. As of Thursday's close, the S & P 500 was up about 15% in 2024, while the Nasdaq Composite was just shy of 19%. Companies like Microsoft , Cisco Systems and Intel were among the biggest gainers in the S & P 500. Further, the S & P 500 Equal Weighted Index , with a roughly 4% gain in 2024, is far underperforming its capital-weighted counterpart. .SPXEW .SPX YTD line The S & P 500 Equal Weighted Index vs. the S & P 500 in 2024 Having said that, in years past, these types of divergences would worry me to the point of distraction.

Persons: it's, Bubbles, It's, rebalancing, Ron Insana Organizations: Nasdaq, Microsoft, Cisco Systems, Intel, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, CNBC Locations: U.S

That's pushed tech heavyweights and Club names such as Apple , Nvidia , Microsoft and Broadcom higher and the S & P 500 to record highs along with them. The market-cap weighted S & P 500, which we report on all time, has gained more than 4% since May 30. But, a version of the index that assigns each company the same influence, known as the S & P 500 Equal-Weight , has advanced only around 1%. The divergence helps explain why our trusted momentum indicator, the S & P Short Range Oscillator , has been closer to oversold territory than overbought during the run higher. Recent years haven't been so kind to them, with the stock underperforming the S & P 500 considerably over the past three years.

Persons: That's, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Banks, Abbott, We've, Lingo, Stanley Black, Decker, DuPont, DuPont —, Ed Breen, Lori Koch, Vimal Kapur, Jim Cramer, Darius Adamczyk, haven't, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Johannes Eisele Organizations: Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Broadcom, Wall Street, Federal, Abbott, Abbott Labs, Mizuho Securities, DuPont, Honeywell, Systems, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Wall, Afp, Getty Locations: Dover, Wells Fargo, Missouri, Abbott's, U.S, Decker, New York City

☆ There are 5 reasons any dip in Nvidia stock will be short-lived - and investors should use a decline as a buying opportunity
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Nvidia stock still offers a compelling valuation even after its 170% rally this year, BofA says. There are five reasons investors should view any decline in Nvidia stock as a buying opportunity. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . These are the five reasons Arya is staying bullish on the stock. Arya reiterated his "Buy" rating on Nvidia stock and $150 price target, representing upside of 12% from current levels.

Persons: BofA, —, Vivek Arya, Arya, Rosenblatt Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Bank of America, Blackwell Locations: CQ2

☆ Investors are the most bullish since November 2021, a widely followed survey shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors are the most bullish they've been since November 2021, according to the global fund manager survey (FMS) released Tuesday from Bank of America Securities. Halfway through 2024, the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite are each at records , on Monday closing once again at all-time highs. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2024. In November 2021 — the last time Wall Street was this bullish — the S & P 500 capped off a strong year, advancing more than 26%. 1 risk on investors' minds (according to 32% of investors, down from 41% in May), followed by geopolitics (22%, up from 18%), and the U.S. presidential election (16%, up from 9%).

Persons: they've, Michael Hartnett Organizations: Investors, Bank of America Securities, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, U.S, CNBC

☆ Citi raises S&P 500 year-end forecast, third firm to do so in recent days
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Ongoing earnings strength for the "Magnificent Seven" will continue to lead the S & P 500 higher, according to Citi. Scott Chronert, the bank's head of U.S. equity strategy, increased his year-end S & P 500 target to 5,600 from 5,100. Goldman Sachs also increased its price target on the S & P 500 to 5,600 on Friday, while Evercore ISI raised its forecast to 6,000 — the highest on the Street. The S & P 500 is up more than 14% in 2024. Rather, a S & P 500 index target needs to account for related influences."

Persons: Scott Chronert, Goldman Sachs, Chronert Organizations: Citi, CNBC Market, Survey, Nvidia

☆ Evercore ISI raises S&P 500 year-end forecast to 6,000, highest on Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The firm raised its year-end target for the S & P 500 to 6,000 from 4,750. The new price target also now marks the highest on Wall Street, the CNBC Market Strategist Survey shows. Emanuel also pointed to the artificial intelligence-driven rally as another factor that could blow the S & P past its old target. Enthusiasm over AI has pushed the S & P 500 to record levels this year, with the S & P 500 blowing by Emanuel's previous year-end target. Emanuel added that the 7,000 level for the S & P 500 is achievable by the end of 2025.

Persons: Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, Emanuel's Organizations: ISI, CNBC Market, Survey, Nvidia

☆ Goldman gives its four scenarios for year-end, from a megacap super rally to a recession-driven decline
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 is higher by 14% already this year, having topped 5,400 for the first time, already blowing past the year-end forecasts of many strategists. In its revised forecast, Goldman Sachs anticipates the S & P 500 still has further to climb. It would mean a 13% fall for the S & P 500, back down to 4,700. Megacap exceptionalism If AI stocks continue to outperform, defying expectations, stocks could see a huge megacap tech rally between now and year's end. In this scenario, investors can expect the S & P 500 to close out the year at 6,300, a gain of about 16%.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David J, Kostin, Goldman, Nvidia — Organizations: Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Federal Reserve

☆ AI hype is supportive of stock valuations, but cracks are emerging elsewhere, warns Schwab's Sonders
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

But while fundamental factors around these names are supportive of their multiples, the market isn't in the all-clear zone, according to Charles Schwab chief investment strategist Liz Ann Sonders. "AI and its enthusiasm — I think that's very legitimate," Sonders told CNBC's " Squawk on the Street " on Monday. "At this stage in the game, the trajectory of earnings, you could argue, is supportive of valuations." In contrast to the dot-com bubble, the current AI rally has much stronger fundamental factors correlated to momentum, Sonders said. "You're looking at the party of stocks and what they're doing, or just what the index is doing courtesy of a very small number of stocks," Sonders said.

Persons: Charles Schwab, Liz Ann Sonders, Sonders, CNBC's, brining Organizations: Nvidia

☆ Goldman raises S&P 500 year-end forecast, citing strong earnings growth
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Goldman Sachs sees upside for the S & P 500 for the rest of this year as corporate earnings strengthen. Chief U.S. Equity Strategist David Kostin hiked his year-end S & P 500 price target by 400 points, or about 7.7%, to 5,600. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 index in 2024. That's 11.6% off where the S & P 500 wrapped up last week. The S & P 500 has climbed nearly 14% since the start of 2024.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Godman, Kostin, Goldman Organizations: Chief U.S, Equity, Microsoft, Nvidia, Wall, CNBC

☆ The unloved stock market rally: Why so many investors find it hard to embrace this run to records
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The S & P 500 has made an all-time high on nearly thirty days this year, four of them this past week. The main S & P is up more than 3% in the second quarter while its median stock is off 5% quarter to date. .SPX mountain 2024-03-29 S & P 500 quarter to date The S & P 500 has added $5.5 trillion in market capitalization in 2024, with roughly half kicked in by the Big Three. Wall Street strategists as a group project no upside for the S & P 500 in the second half , their average and median targets both below Friday's closing level. The weekly American Association of Individual Investors survey shows the spread between bulls and bears narrowing lately even with the S & P grinding higher.

Persons: we've, FANG, That's, It's, Jerome Powell's, Chris Verrone, I've Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Investment, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Citi U.S, CPI, Fed, American Association of

☆ UBS global strategist Garthwaite says European stocks are set to outperform U.S.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

It may be time for U.S. stocks to underperform their European counterparts, according to UBS global equity strategist Andrew Garthwaite. First, UBS thinks the global economy has reached a point that would make American companies more vulnerable. "The US outperformed as US GDP growth was revised up sharply relative to non-US GDP growth (especially European GDP). .SPX .STOXX YTD mountain SPX vs STOXX 600 UBS also listed the U.S. fiscal policy as a risk factor. "This hence carries with it one of the following: i) a US bond spread risk; or ii) a relative growth risk."

Persons: Andrew Garthwaite, Garthwaite Organizations: UBS, U.S Locations: U.S, underperform

☆ Investors wonder if tech can keep lifting S&P 500 to new records this summer as some cracks emerge
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Wall Street is wondering whether the tech rally that's pushed the S & P 500 through record after record this year can continue, even as some cracks emerge in the market outlook. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 near record highs A peek inside the major indexes also reveals a similar pattern. Information technology is the best-performing sector in the S & P 500 this week, gaining 6.2%. As it is, the S & P 500 is already above 5,400, having advanced more than 13% this year. Winners and losers market David Miller, investment chief at Catalyst Funds, also said the S & P 500 could end 2024 with a 17% or 18% gain.

Persons: Jeff Klingelhofer, it's, Klingelhofer, Brian Nick, Nick, Dave Sekera, Dave Donabedian, Donabedian, David Miller, Miller Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Apple, Thornburg Investment Management, CNBC, Macro, Federal Reserve, Morningstar, CIBC Private Wealth, Catalyst Funds, Microsoft, Google, Visa, MasterCard, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Novo Nordisk, TransDigm, Index, Retail, Manufacturing, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Kroger, Darden, PMI Locations: U.S, NAHB

☆ UBS says S&P 500 could rally past its bullish target because of falling inflation and rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The S & P 500 could surpass 5,600 if cooling inflation leads to rate cuts, according to UBS. Strategist Jonathan Golub said that even his target, which was set in late May, could get left behind on a market rally this year. .SPX YTD mountain .SPX YTD While the number of anticipated interest rate cuts in 2024 has jumped around, three to four are now expected over the next 12 months, Golub noted. (For comparison, the average analyst anticipates the S & P 500 closing the year at 5,220.) He initially expected the S & P 500 to finish the year at 4,850, which is approximately 15% lower than his current estimate.

Persons: Jonathan Golub, Golub, BMO's Brian Belski Organizations: UBS, Wall, CNBC

☆ Trading CPI: How stocks may react to latest inflation report, according to JPMorgan traders
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

.SPX YTD mountain SPX year to date Here's what they expect, based on six scenarios: 40% chance: CPI rises 0.3%-0.35%: This is the most likely outcome, according to JPMorgan. Under this scenario, the S & P 500 could fall as much as 0.75% and gain as much as 0.75%. The S & P 500 would pull back between 1% and 1.25% under this scenario. 12.5% chance: CPI rises between 0.2% and 0.25%: The S & P 500 would jump 1.25% to 1.75% as September rate cut expectations surge, JPMorgan traders said. "Given the acceleration higher in inflation, rate cut bets for 2024 would evaporate and we will see the return of views of a rate hike."

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, CPI, JPMorgan Locations: U.S

☆ JPMorgan's equity strategist says stocks are ignoring 'abundant' risks, sees maybe one Fed cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The outlook for stocks looks dour as the chances of Federal Reserve rate cuts decrease and risks abound, according to JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic. Indeed, the S & P 500 initially ripped higher on Friday after the data was released but closed along the flatline for the day. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD Against this backdrop, the strategist reiterated his "defensive tilt," staying overweight commodities and cash and being underweight stocks. JPMorgan is the most bearish firm out of all those surveyed by CNBC PRO with an S & P 500 target of 4,200. The S & P 500 closed Monday at 5,360.79.

Persons: JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Dow Jones, Kolanovic Organizations: Equity, Labor Department, Dow, Investors, JPMorgan, CNBC PRO Locations: U.S

☆ A successful Alzheimer's drug will help Eli Lilly join the $1 trillion club
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Eli Lilly became the most valuable health-care company in the world on the back of its blockbuster diabetes and obesity drugs. The billions of dollars in Eli Lilly is investing in manufacturing capacity support the idea that the long-term opportunity is immense. Adding Eli Lilly to the market could help address some of the obstacles that limited Leqembi's sales early on. Eli Lilly, which has spent billions in search of a successful Alzheimer's treatment , had hoped for donanemab to be approved by now. A sign with the company logo sits outside of the headquarters campus of Eli Lilly and Company on March 17, 2024 in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Persons: Eli Lilly, donanemab, Eli Lilly's, Donanemab, Leqembi —, Biogen, —, Jim Cramer's, Ken Langone, Morgan Stanley, Cantor Fitzgerald, Leqembi, Jim Cramer, Jim, Scott Olson Organizations: Food and Drug Administration, FactSet, Novo Nordisk, FDA, GE Healthcare, CNBC, Company, Getty Locations: GLP, Indianapolis , Indiana

☆ How Costco is expanding e-commerce on 3 fronts and what's next for the record-high stock
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Everybody, including Costco, is chasing Amazon, which accounts for 45% of all U.S. e-commerce sales, according to JPMorgan in a research note Monday. While unlikely to compete at the level of Amazon or Walmart online in the near future, Costco could carve out a lucrative e-commerce lane with its loyal, value-orientated customers. Engaged members want to spend more online at Costco "given the value/quality and cash back," the analysts added. Costco has an "incredible opportunity to better target customers and leverage its rich database of perfect data and is still in its early innings" of e-commerce, JPMorgan said. Adding to the e-commerce story, JPMorgan cited the Costco Logistics network, which has amped up "e-commerce fulfillment of bulky items."

Persons: Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, Gary Millerchip, Instacart, Jim Cramer's, Jim, John Keeble Organizations: Costco, JPMorgan, Walmart, Amazon, Target, Kroger, Costco Logistics, Logistics, CNBC, Lakeside, Getty Locations: Grays, United Kingdom

☆ An options strategy on Oracle ahead of earnings that generates income
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-07 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Oracle (ORCL) , one of the top three largest U.S. based software companies, report earnings next week on June 11. I want to utilize an options strategy to create income and capitalize on ORCL moving higher. Per YCharts, the S & P Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment index has soared 57% this year, while the S & P Software and Services index is up just 2.2%. ORCL .SPX YTD mountain Oracle vs. the S & P 500 YTD Technically, Oracle is revealing strength as it sits above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. DISCLOSURES: (Long Oracle and this options spread) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY .

Persons: Per Organizations: Oracle, U.S, Semiconductors, P Software, Labor, & $

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