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(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. Worldwide Exchange Word of the Day: Earnings Stephanie Link of Hightower believes Q3 earnings will be better than LSEG estimates of a 5% increase year over year; seeing potential for an 8-10% increase. "This gives it some room to outperform in the final quarter," Baruch said on Worldwide Exchange. (This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers.
Persons: Stephanie Link, Hightower, Bill Baruch, Baruch, Wells Fargo Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Blue, Wolfe Research, Dow Transports, Dow Jones Transportation, Citi, Logistics
Wild swings in mortgage rates discouraged almost everyone from venturing out into the market. As I wrote earlier this year, a gummed-up housing market — the Ice Age I was talking about — is good for nobody. When mortgage rates hit multidecade lows during the pandemic, millions of people were able to snag or refinance their way into cheaper monthly costs. That'd be within spitting distance of what the experts at John Burns Research and Consulting, a housing-research firm, call the "magic mortgage rate." In other words, trying to predict mortgage rates — and buying or selling a home accordingly — is a fool's errand.
Persons: Green, that's, Skylar Olsen, everyone's, it's, there's, Fannie Mae, John Burns, they'd, Ralph McLaughlin, Olsen, Lawrence Yun, Altos, Mike Simonsen, Chen Zhao, Zhao, We're, Mark Palim, Palim Organizations: Federal Housing Finance Agency, Federal Reserve, John, John Burns Research, Consulting, National Association of Realtors, Altos Research, Builders, Sun Locations: Sun Belt, Midwest
Last month, the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates by a half point – the first time the central bank cut rates since 2020. Since the Sept. 18 meeting, the market has moved even higher, with all three major averages gaining between 1% and 3%. The bank noted that several of the companies in the screen have lagged the cyclical recovery, making the stocks likely to benefit from the market's ongoing rotation. JPMorgan rates Alaska Air overweight. Wall Street is rather bullish on the name, as 10 of the 14 analysts covering the stock have a buy or strong buy rating.
Persons: Dubravko, Bujas, E.l.f, Tarang Amin, CNBC's, Brian Niccol, Elliott Hill Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, Federal, Fed, Alaska Air, Hawaiian Airlines, U.S . Department, Starbucks, Nike
Meanwhile, Jefferies began coverage of Reddit with a buy rating and a price target of $90. Champine said the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates was a driving force for the price target changes. Analyst William Kerr initiated coverage of the pet ecommerce retailer with a buy rating and $38 price target. RBLX YTD mountain RBLX in 2024 — Alex Harring 5:50 a.m.: Citi says UPS is a buy Buy the dip on UPS shares, according to Citi. Analyst Ariel Rosa initiated the delivery giant with a buy rating and a price target of $162.
Persons: Jefferies, Laura Champine, Champine, Helene, Milton, Lowe's, — Alex Harring, Piper Sandler downgrades Blackstone Piper Sandler, Crispin Love, Love, Blackstone, Morgan Stanley, Sanjit Singh, Singh, Alex Harring, TD Cowen, William Kerr, Kerr, Benjamin Soff, Soff, Ken Gawrelski, Gawrelski, Roblox, Ariel Rosa, Rosa, — Fred Imbert, John Colantuoni, Colantuoni, EBITDA Organizations: CNBC, Wednesday, Citi, UPS, Capital, Federal Reserve, Blackstone, Industry, Deutsche Bank, New York Times, Amazon Logistics, Walmart Locations: Wells, China, Tuesday's
Reddit — Shares rose more than 2% after Jefferies initiated research coverage with a buy rating and a Sreet-high price target. Rio Tinto , Arcadium Lithium — The two minerals stocks moved in opposite directions after the companies announced a deal for Rio Tinto to buy Arcadium for $5.85 per share. Shares of Rio Tinto dipped 1.2%, while shares of Arcadium surged 30%. GitLab — Shares rose 5% after Morgan Stanley initiated research coverage of the software stock with an overweight rating . Chewy — Shares rose nearly 2% after TD Cowen initiated research coverage of the pet products retailer with a buy rating.
Persons: Jefferies, Blackstone — Piper Sandler, Morgan Stanley, Sanjit Singh, Nio, TD Cowen, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Lisa Han, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Hakyung Kim Organizations: Boeing, Department, Rio Tinto, Federal, Cruise, Citigroup, Citi Locations: Rio, Arcadium, Nio —
As the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, investors should review their bond portfolio, which could see a boost from dovish Fed policy. However, the Fed policy shift could be good for parts of the bond market, experts say. Typically, bond prices and market interest rates move in opposite directions. "This is a fantastic time to revisit bonds again," said certified financial planner Scott Ward, senior vice president of Compound Planning in Birmingham, Alabama. While it may be tempting to cling to cash, it will become "less attractive, less productive as interest rates fall," Ward said.
Persons: Scott Ward, Ward Organizations: Federal Reserve, dovish Fed, Finance, SEC, Fed Locations: Birmingham , Alabama
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Both West Texas Intermediate and Brent futures retreated 4.63% during U.S. trading hours Tuesday, halting the red-hot rally oil prices have experienced the past week. The central bank's likely to make another half-point cut in November, Paul Bloxham, HSBC's chief economist for Australia and New Zealand, told CNBC. On the back of such turbulence, CNBC Pro asks two strategists whether now's the time to invest in China.
Persons: It's, Paul Bloxham, HSBC's Organizations: Central, CNBC, Technology, Nasdaq, Google, U.S . Department of Justice, U.S, The New York Times, West Texas Intermediate, Brent, Reserve Bank of New, CSI, CNBC Pro Locations: New York, United States, Jerusalem, Israel, Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Australia, New Zealand, China
US stocks traded mixed as investors looked ahead to the central bank's meeting minutes. Traders are anticipating a quarter-point rate cut in November. Monetary policy is in focus after an unexpectedly hot job report in September, fueling doubt over whether the Fed will issue another jumbo rate cut this year. "The tone of the Fed minutes should not change expectations of further rate cuts—the Fed is still scrambling to catch up with inflation slowing in the US, and started cutting rates late. AdvertisementAccording to Pantheon Macroeconomics, the Fed is more likely to begin cutting rates in 25-basis-point increments rather than issuing another 50-basis-point rate cut.
Persons: , Paul Donovan Organizations: Service, Reserve, UBS Global Wealth Management, Pantheon, Fed, US Department of Justice
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBNZ likely to cut rates by another 50 basis points at its next meeting: HSBC economistPaul Bloxham, chief economist for Australia and New Zealand and global commodities at HSBC, says the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is likely to cut rates further in 2025, reaching a policy rate of 3.25% by end-2025 or 3% by early 2026.
Persons: Paul Bloxham Organizations: HSBC, Reserve Bank of New Locations: Australia, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIndia's central bank is likely to pivot toward lower rates in the next few months, economist saysKrishna Bhimavarapu, Asia-Pacific economist at State Street Global Advisors, discusses the outlook for the Reserve Bank of India's approach to interest rates, saying it's in a "sweet spot."
Persons: Krishna Bhimavarapu Organizations: State Street Global Advisors, Reserve Bank of Locations: Asia, Pacific
New York CNN —Hopes for avoiding a recession are growing on Wall Street. Now, investors are looking to the upcoming earnings season for clues about the US economy’s health. The earnings season begins in earnest Friday with quarterly updates from big banks including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and BlackRock. Wall Street will also parse the September Consumer Price Index report and wholesale inflation figures due later this week. Wall Street will also eye developments from the tech companies whose mammoth stock returns have helped power this year’s bull market.
Persons: Motors, , , Sarah Henry, Wells, Mark Malek, Siebert, Dave Sekera Organizations: New, New York CNN, Economic, PepsiCo, Conagra Brands, Logan Capital, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, Tech, , FactSet, Apple, Nvidia, Communication, Morningstar Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, BlackRock
But right now, borrowers should expect mortgage rates to remain near their current levels for the rest of 2024. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 6.20%, according to Zillow data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed is expected to cut rates soon, mortgage rates have trended down.
Persons: Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: Chevron, Government
A security guard stands in the main entrance to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand located in central Wellington, New Zealand, July 3, 2017. New Zealand's central bank has slashed its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points after its monetary policy meeting, marking a second straight cut to its benchmark interest rate. The cut brings the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rate to 4.75% from 5.25%. The central bank said at the time that the pace of further easing will depend on how confident it is about a low inflation environment. New Zealand's annual inflation rate hit 7.3% in the June quarter 2022, its highest level in over three decades.
Organizations: Reserve Bank of New, Reuters Locations: Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Wellington , New Zealand, New
As investors consider whether — and how — to invest in China, two experts share their views on the market right now. "We believe the scale and focus of these measures, particularly the targeted liquidity injection, address the critical issue of insufficient domestic capital flows into China's stock market. 'China is no longer cheap' Lorraine Tan, director of Asia's equity research at Morningstar, is more cautious looking ahead. "At this point in time, China markets are no longer cheap. Stocks on her radar include "higher quality, moaty names," such as fast-food restaurant chain Yum China Holdings and property developer China Resources Land .
Persons: Jingwei Chen, , Europe —, Chen, Lorraine Tan, Tan, Stocks, — CNBC's Lim Hui Jie Organizations: National, Reform Commission, CSI, Wall, Wrise Private Singapore, CNBC Pro, Companies, BYD, Tencent Holdings, Morningstar, China Holdings, China Resources Locations: China, Asia, East, Europe, Hong Kong
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading in New York City. U.S. stock futures were little changed Wednesday night as investors looked ahead to the release of September's consumer price index report. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded near the flatline. Fed funds futures trading data suggests a roughly 70% likelihood of a quarter-point cut, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Economists polled by Dow Jones see core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rising by 0.2%.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Stephanie Roth Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Wolfe Research, Delta Air Lines Locations: New York City . U.S
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept its key interest rate unchanged on Wednesday, as widely expected, but tweaked its policy stance to "neutral," opening the door for rate cuts amid early signs of a growth slowdown in the economy. The Monetary Policy Committee, which consists of three RBI and three external members, kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.50% for a tenth straight policy meeting. The committee, however, changed its policy stance to "neutral" from "withdrawal of accommodation." The MPC last changed rates in February 2023, when the policy rate was raised to 6.50%. India's overall growth slowed to 6.7% in the June quarter.
Organizations: Bank of, Global, Reserve Bank of India, Monetary, Committee, Reuters, MPC, PMI Locations: Bank of India, Mumbai, India
For Selva, leading the Transformation is unlike any test he has faced in his three-decade career at Citi. To do so, he has to solve for Citi's decades of underinvestment in its infrastructure, which affects every business line of the bank. Under Selva, Citi was the No. Related stories"The challenge with the Transformation role is you are accountable yet not responsible," the managing director in the Transformation said. Courtesy of CitiBringing in Ryan, the bank's head of technology and business enablement, to help the bank catch up makes sense.
Persons: Jane Fraser, Anand Selva, Selva, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, We've, Fraser, Gonzalo Luchetti, Luchetti, Kathleen Martin, Martin, Mike Mayo, Tim Ryan, Mayo, Vernon Yuen, Adora Tidalgo, Anand, Jim O'Donnell, Win McNamee, Andy Sieg, Tidalgo, Phil Waxelbaum, Jeffrey Warren, Ryan, Warren, Ashutosh Nawani, Japan Mehta, Mehta, Nawani, Tom Williams, Timothy Coffey, Janney Montgomery Scott, they've, Stephen Biggar Organizations: Citigroup, Citi, Federal Reserve, Currency, OCC, Business, underperformance, BI, Citi ., Coimbatore Institute of Technology, Madurai Kamaraj University, Asia Pacific, divesting, Employees, Merrill Wealth Management, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Russell Reynolds Associates, Securities, Exchange Commission, Bloomberg, Getty, Argus Research Locations: Selva, Chennai, India, Asia, who's, Wells, Madurai, Coimbatore, China, Singapore, New York, Fraser, Europe, Ryan
A Trump win would pose risks to economic growth and inflation in Europe, ECB member Joachim Nagel says. Officials in Europe, for their part, are warily eyeing what a Donald Trump win would mean. Nagel's comments come just weeks before the US presidential election and follow previous warnings from ECB members about the potential impact of a Trump win. AdvertisementBack in January, ECB president Christine Lagarde said a Trump win is "clearly a threat" to Europe considering the policies he implemented during his first term in office. She pointed to Trump's tariffs, commitment to NATO, and climate change policies, which she said were misaligned with European interests.
Persons: Joachim Nagel, Nagel, , Donald Trump, Trump, he'd, " Nagel, there's, it's, Harris, Kamala Harris, Christine Lagarde Organizations: Trump, Service, European Central Bank Governing, Tuesday, Bloomberg, Federal, NATO Locations: Europe, Germany, Berlin, Italy, EU
In today's big story, we got our first interest-rate cut, but it doesn't feel like it for many consumers . We finally got an interest-rate cut, but borrowing costs are still high. First off, last month's interest-rate cut wasn't going to provide immediate relief. Yes, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has gone up 47 basis points since the Fed cut rates , writes BI's Matthew Fox. So the Fed cut rates but borrowing costs went up?
Persons: , Milton, Alyssa Powell, isn't materializing, Jennifer Sor, Let's, BI's Matthew Fox, I'm, It's, BI's James Rodriguez, who's, Warren Faidley, Hurricane Milton, Hindenburg, Chelsea Jia Feng, Vinod Khosla, OpenAI, Mark Zuckerbergs, Gen Zers, haven't, Rebecca Zisser, Elon Musk's, Tesla, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Gas, Hindenburg, Tech, DOJ, Google, Walt Disney World, Hurricane Milton, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, Hurricane, Energy, Futures, Bank of America, Disney Locations: Florida, Warren, Tampa, Chelsea, Robotaxi, Hurricane, New York, London
A law professor said the ruling shows how antitrust law is used against Big Tech companies. Management and law experts told Business Insider the ruling highlights how antitrust law is being used against Big Tech companies — and could cost Google billions of dollars in lost revenue. Historically, he said, liberal judges tended to favor antitrust law more than conservative ones. When Epic Games' case against Apple was similarly appealed, the Supreme Court denied requests to hear it, leaving Apple with its partial victory. AdvertisementRepresentatives for Epic Games directed Business Insider to a public thread about the Google ruling, posted on X by the company's CEO, Tim Sweeney.
Persons: , James Donato's, Peter Cohan, Cohan, Apple, Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers, Eric Chaffee, Chaffee, Alden Abbott, Abbott, Tim Sweeney, Sweeney Organizations: Google, Apple, Big Tech, Service, Management, Epic Games, Northern, Northern District of, Babson College, Case Western Reserve University School of Law, Epic, DOJ, Business, Mercatus Center Locations: California, Northern District, Northern District of California, United States
4 trends to watch this bank earnings season
  + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Kaja Whitehouse | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
Expect lots of questions about how lower rates will affect business going forward. JPMorgan and Wells Fargo will kick off earnings on Friday, followed by Goldman Sachs, Citi, and Bank of America on Tuesday. Related storiesHere are the top four things to look for this bank earnings season. AdvertisementGoldman Sachs CEO David Solomon described a "more challenging macro environment, particularly in the month of August," and said the bank's trading business was "trending down close to 10%." In good news, the compensation expert Johnson Associates sees bonuses up this year across the board, an analysis that's reflected in part of Wall Street's earnings results so far this year.
Persons: Wells Fargo, , Daniel Pinto, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, What's, David Solomon, Solomon, Pinto, Banks, Johnson Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, Citi, Bank of America, Investment, LSEG, Renaissance, Barclays Financial Services Conference, Lending, Fed, Wall, Barclays
With oil prices sliding and China's market giving back more of its recent gains, U.S. stocks have been free to rally. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, it's, Morgan Stanley, Vimal Kapur, Kapur, Wedbush, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Federal, Fed, CME Fed Watch, Honeywell, Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, Bank of America, Oracle, Microsoft, ZT Systems, PPI, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells Fargo, Turin
"A few participants also added that a 25 basis point move could signal a more predictable path of policy normalization." Since the meeting, economic indicators have showed that the labor market is perhaps stronger than officials favoring the 50 basis point move had expected. The minutes noted that the vote to approve the 50 basis point cut came "in light of the progress on inflation and the balance of risks" against the labor market. Though the document was more detailed about the debate over whether to approve the 25 basis point cut, there was not as much information about why voters supported the larger move. Since the Fed meeting, both the 10- and 2-year Treasury yields have surged about 40 basis points.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, nonfarm, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal, Market, Treasury Locations: WASHINGTON
10-year Treasury yield shifts lower but hovers above 4%
  + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
U.S. Treasury yields shifted slightly lower Wednesday, days after the rate on the 10-year note hit its highest level in more than two months. The 10-year Treasury yield's jump to 4% on Monday came after last week's stronger labor market readings, and follows on from the Federal Reserve's rate cut last month. The 10-year Treasury yield was 2 basis points lower at 4.013% Wednesday morning. The 2-year Treasury slipped over 2 basis points to 3.952%. One basis point equals 0.01%.
Persons: yield's Organizations: Treasury
The dollar clung to seven-week highs against major currencies on Tuesday as investors ponder the outlook for U.S. rates after a strong jobs report last week dashed bets for large rate cuts, while escalating tensions in Middle East dented risk sentiment. Traders have drastically shifted their monetary easing expectations from the Federal Reserve this year. That has kept the dollar on the front foot and surging to a multi-week high against the euro, sterling and the yen. The New Zealand dollar was 0.3% higher at $0.6144 ahead of the monetary policy decision on Wednesday. A majority of economists in a Reuters poll last week said the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut interest rate by 50 basis points.
Persons: Kieran Williams, Louis, Alberto Musalem, Shigeru Ishiba Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asia FX, InTouch, Reserve Bank of St, Treasury, Bank of, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: Middle East, Asia, China, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
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