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☆ Treasury yields little changed ahead of key jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.6934% after rising by less than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields held steady on Friday as markets reopened after the July 4 holiday and investors awaited the latest nonfarm payroll data. Key economic data is expected in form of the June jobs report on Friday. The report is expected to show that nonfarm payrolls added 200,000 jobs in June, according to economists polled by Dow Jones. Many investors are hoping that Friday's jobs data will indicate that the labor market and economy are cooling, as this could support the case for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.

Persons: payrolls, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, ADP, Federal Reserve

☆ Inflation will be in focus in the week ahead as stocks attempt to sustain all-time highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Some key inflation readings in the week ahead could bolster the case for a September interest rate cut, as investors deliberate how long stocks can sustain their rally to record highs. After a rocky start to the year, a recently improving inflation picture has investors hopeful the Federal Reserve could soon start to lower rates. Stubborn inflation patches The June consumer price index is expected to show a slight improvement in the headline number. In May, for example, shelter inflation rose 0.4% on the month and 5.4% on the year, while other key items declined. Monday, July 8 3 p.m. Consumer Credit (May) Tuesday, July 9 6 a.m. NFIB Small Business Index (June) Wednesday, July 10 10 a.m. Wholesale Inventories final (May) Thursday, July 11 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (June) 8:30 a.m.

Persons: nonfarm payrolls, Mark Malek, FactSet, there's, Ross Mayfield, Baird, Mayfield, David Kelly, CNBC's, Wells, Price, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CPI, PPI, FactSet, University of Michigan, Asset Management, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, Consumer Credit, Treasury Budget, Air Lines, Conagra, JPMorgan, Bank of New York Mellon Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Michigan, Fastenal

☆ The US economy added more jobs than expected last month as unemployment surprisingly rose
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The US economy added 206,000 jobs in June, more than the forecast of 191,000. The unemployment rate rose from 4.0% in May to 4.1% in June. Data released earlier this week showed job openings rose slightly from 7.9 million in April to 8.1 million in May. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose from 4.0% in May to 4.1% in June. According to the forecast noted on Investing.com, the US economy was expected to add 191,000 nonfarm payrolls in June.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, payrolls, Bureau of Labor Statistics

☆ Yen drops to 38-year low, U.S. dollar slumps after weak data
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

A report indicating that the U.S. services sector contracted last month and factory orders fell also weighed on the dollar. The dollar was last up 0.1% at 161.64, after earlier falling to a session low below 161 following weak U.S. data. The yen also hit an all-time low of 174.48 against the euro . The euro rose to a three-week high against the dollar, and was last up 0.3% at $1.0781. Further pressuring the dollar was a weak U.S. services report from the Institute for Supply Management.

Persons: Sterling, Helen, —, Shunichi Suzuki, Jonas Goltermann, nonfarm Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, Monex USA, U.S, Finance, ADP, Reuters, Capital Economics, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Fed Locations: United States, Washington ., U.S

☆ Gold inches up after weak data fuels U.S. rate cut bets
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Gold prices drifted higher on Thursday after softer-than-expected U.S. economic data fueled hopes that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates as soon as September. Spot gold was up 0.3% at $2,362.10 per ounce, as of 0200 GMT after hitting a near two-week high in the previous session. U.S. economic data on Wednesday, including a weak services and ADP employment reports, showed a slowing economy. "A softer-than-expected ISM services report was the gift that Fed doves have been waiting for ahead of a NFP. Markets are now pricing in a 74% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates at its September meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Persons: Matt Simpson Organizations: Federal, Traders, NFP, U.S Locations: U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Tesla powers S&P 500, Nasdaq to record highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Record highsThe S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite closed at record highs in a shortened session ahead of the July 4 Independence Day holiday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell as the latest economic data indicated the jobs market was cooling. Despite some officials advocating for potential rate hikes, the Federal Open Market Committee ultimately decided to hold rates steady. [PRO] Tesla bull caseWedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his Tesla price target to $300 from $275, with a bull case of $400 by 2025.

Persons: Nela Richardson, Elliott Management's, Elliott, Bob Jordan, Gary Kelly, JPMorgan's Kolanovic, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Dubravko, Dan Ives Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Federal, Market Committee, ADP, Southwest Airlines Locations: U.S

☆ Friday's jobs report expected to show slowing payroll gains as concern rises about broader economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Payroll gains so far in 2024 have totaled 1.24 million, down about 50,000 a month below the same period a year ago. "Specifically, I'm thinking more about the unemployment rate, which has been slowly trending up." Under normal circumstances, a 4% unemployment rate would be cause for celebration, not concern. The May rate was 0.5 percentage point above its 12-month low of 3.5% in July 2023, potentially triggering a recession indicator called the Sahm Rule. The rule has shown consistently that whenever the unemployment rate on a three-month average eclipses its 12-month low by half a percentage point, the economy is in recession.

Persons: nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Nick Bunker, it's

☆ Oil prices slip after data points to cooling U.S. economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Oil prices fell in early trade on Thursday after U.S. employment and business activity data came in weaker than expected, in signs the economy may be cooling in the world's top oil consuming nation. Separately, the ADP Employment report showed private payrolls increased by 150,000 jobs in June, below a consensus predicting an increase of 160,000, and after rising by 157,000 in May. However, weaker economic data may add to the Federal Reserve's arguments to start cutting rates, analysts said, a move that would be supportive for the oil markets as lower rates could boost demand. "The direction of recent data conforms to the Fed's easing bias," ANZ Research analysts said in a note. "A slowdown in growth momentum will support disinflationary impulses in coming months, paving the way for the Fed to cut rates."

Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, ADP, ISM, ANZ Research, Fed Locations: United States

☆ Private payrolls grew by just 150,000 in June, less than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Private payroll growth edged lower in June, according to a report Wednesday from ADP that indicates a potential slowdown in the U.S. labor market. Companies added 150,000 jobs for the month, below the upwardly revised 157,000 in May and the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 160,000. The sector added 63,000 jobs, easily the biggest gain among the categories that payrolls processing firm ADP measures. ADP's report serves as a precursor to the more closely watched nonfarm payrolls count that the Labor Department will release Friday. For May, the BLS reported that private payrolls rose by 229,000, or 72,000 more than ADP's estimate.

Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson, Job switchers Organizations: Companies, Labor Department, ADP, of Labor, BLS Locations: U.S

☆ Gold at near 2-week high as soft U.S. data lifts Fed rate-cut bets
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices were flat on Wednesday as investors awaited minutes of the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting for fresh cues on when the U.S. central bank will start cutting interest rates. Gold prices rose more than 1% to a near two-week high on Wednesday, driven by increased bets for a September interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve after recent U.S. data suggested that the labor market was softening. "Bulls are trying to get ahead of what many believe will finally be a weak payrolls report on Friday," he added. [USD/The market now sees a 68% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates in September as well as another cut in December. Elsewhere, spot silver rose 3.4% to $30.52 per ounce, platinum gained 1.8% to $1,008.50 and palladium climbed 2.7% to $1,049.

Persons: Tai Wong Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bulls Locations: U.S, New York

☆ Treasury yield little changed ahead of key economic data, Fed meeting minutes
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by less than one basis point to 4.4375%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.7538% after rising by over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields held steady on Wednesday as investors looked ahead to key data and digested remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Recent inflation readings indicated that "we are getting back on the disinflationary path," he said. The figures could be a further hint about whether the economy is cooling, and therefore what the path ahead for interest rates could look like.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Fed

☆ Stock market today: US stocks edge up as traders mull cooler private payroll data
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks were slightly higher on Wednesday after the latest private payroll report. Private payrolls rose 150,000 jobs last month, fewer than expected. Markets are looking ahead to the June nonfarm payroll report as the next key data point. AdvertisementUS stocks ticked higher on Wednesday as traders took in softer-than-expected jobs data. ADP data showed private payrolls grew just 150,000 last month, less than the 160,000 jobs economists expected.

Persons: payrolls, —, Nela Richardson Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, ADP, Federal Reserve, Independence

☆ Investors just got an inflation wakeup call. Will they answer?
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-02 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —Inflation rates in Canada, the EU and Australia have popped higher in recent months. But that disconnect appears to be fading as inflation rates in the US continue to ease. The US also had a recent scare as inflation rates ticked higher. But after a year of the Fed holding interest rates steady at a 23-year high, inflation rates in the United States are once again declining. High inflation readings around the globe are concerning investors, José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers, told CNN.

Persons: ”, Brent Schutte, Schutte, José Torres, Torres, payrolls, Chewy, Keith Gill, Krystal Hur, Gill, Ryan Cohen, Jordan Valinsky, CSSE Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, EU, Federal, Federal Reserve, Bank of Canada, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Interactive Brokers, CNN, Investors, Bank for International, BIS, Securities, Exchange, GameStop, Soul Entertainment, BBC, Sony Pictures, Walmart, Walgreens, Apollo Global Management, Sony, Netflix Locations: New York, Canada, Australia, United States, Europe, Redbox

☆ Stock futures are little changed after S&P 500 closes above 5,500 level: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-02 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on June 24, 2024. During Tuesday's main trading session, the broad market index rose 0.62% to close above 5,500 for the first time. U.S. stock futures traded near the flatline Wednesday morning after the S&P 500 closed above 5,500 for the first time. As the S&P 500 continues to climb, concern is growing across Wall Street that the narrow leadership of the rally is not sustainable for much longer. The New York Stock Exchange closes early at 1 p.m.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Scott Chronert, Chronert Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow, Paramount Global, Wall Street, The New York Times, Skydance Media, Federal Reserve, Citi Research, P Global U.S, Services, ISM, The New York Stock Exchange, Independence Locations: U.S

☆ 10-year Treasury yield climbs as investors look to data in week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than two basis points higher to 4.7453%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Monday as investors awaited key economic data due this week and digested the latest inflation insights. Investors considered the latest economic data and looked ahead to insights from the labor market expected this week. Further insights about the state of the economy are expected this week, when a series of labor market data is due. Should the numbers indicate an easing of the labor market, hopes for interest rate cuts could be boosted.

Persons: Dow Jones, ADP's Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, Federal Reserve

☆ Jobs and beer: 3 labor reports and an earnings release are the big events next week
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-29 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The U.S. stock market will be closed Thursday for the Fourth of July holiday. Economic data The main event is Friday's June nonfarm payrolls report, which is among the most important monthly data releases for investors. The ADP report isn't as market moving as the nonfarm payrolls report, but expect investors to use to game the nonfarm payrolls report out later in the week. The June ISM Services report on Wednesday also will shed light on services in the U.S. economy. ET: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust is long STZ.

Persons: Dow, we're, Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Democrats —, Thursday's, —, we'll, nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Payrolls, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael Nagle Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Walgreens, Nike, Republicans, Democrats, Energy, Utilities, Constellation Brands, Labor, Corona, Cinco, Industrial, Markets, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S

☆ A labor slowdown could ruin America's soft-landing hopes and cause a 10% stock correction, Morgan Stanley CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A weakening jobs market could trigger a 10% stock correction, says Morgan Stanley CIO Mike Wilson. He told Bloomberg that if non-farm payrolls fall under 100,000, it could break the soft-landing narrative. AdvertisementThe job market could make or break stocks, with any sudden weakness possibly triggering a meaningful correction, Morgan Stanley CIO Mike Wilson told Bloomberg TV. Mike Wilson said. For this reason, current market highs make sense, he told Bloomberg, as investors load in on quality on growth trades.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson, — Organizations: Bloomberg, Treasury, Service, Federal Reserve

☆ The Fed's first rate cut could come next month if the labor market slows
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in July to prevent a recession. Markets are only pricing in a 10% chance of an interest rate cut in July, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. AdvertisementMarkets may think it's a long-shot, but the Federal Reserve could make its first interest rate cut in July as recessionary cracks start to form in the economy. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are only pricing in a 10% chance of an interest rate cut at the July policy meeting, with most market participants expecting the first interest rate cut to happen in either September of November. And with recent data showing cracks forming in the housing and labor markets, that means a rate cut will happen sooner than most expect.

Persons: —, Steven Blitz, Jerome Powell, Powell, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, GlobalData, Fed

☆ The job market has 3 weak spots that could bring steeper Fed rate cuts, Goldman Sachs says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Comparing today's job market to previous years when the Fed cut rates also shows some cause for concern. AdvertisementIf the job market continues to weaken, that makes a greater case for the Fed to cut rates, the bank said. Related storiesHere are three areas of labor market weakness that could mean more downside for interest rates:1. Employment is also falling among workers aged 16-24, the "most volatile" cohort of the job market, strategists added. Just 10%-15% of new labor market entrants are finding a job, according to Goldman's analysis of labor market data.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Labor, Fed, Department of Labor, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, of Labor Statistics, Goldman, Industries, Labor Department Locations: ManpowerGroup

☆ Fed meeting and inflation report both hit Wednesday, and the impact could be huge
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Jerome Powell, Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, speaks during the conference celebrating the Centennial of the Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington D.C., United States on November 08, 2023. None of those numbers are dramatically different from the April readings, and still show inflation running well above the Fed's 2% target. Central bankers prefer the Commerce Department's measure of personal consumption expenditures prices, a broader measure that also accounts for changes in consumer behavior. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is scheduled to release the CPI report at 8:30 a.m. The Fed meeting

Persons: Jerome Powell, Celal Gunes, Jonathan Pingle, Pingle, tinker, Jack Janasiewicz, —, Janasiewicz Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, of Research, Statistics, Governors, Federal, System, Washington D.C, Getty, Anadolu, Federal Reserve, UBS, CPI, Investment, Labor Statistics Locations: Washington, United States, Anadolu

☆ Gold slips as markets eye outcome of Fed meet, CPI data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

India is one of the largest markets for gold as the precious metal plays an important role in the country's culture. Gold prices fell on Tuesday with investors awaiting key U.S. inflation data and the outcome of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting for details of the central bank's plans to cut interest rates against its inflation target. And that could see gold take another dent or two amid rising yields and the U.S. dollar," said City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson. The May consumer price index inflation report due on Wednesday will be the next major data point along with the Fed concluding their two-day meeting on the same day. "The fact that we'll see inflation data just hours ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision means we might see a last-minute panic and elevated levels of volatility should inflation come in hot," Simpson said.

Persons: Matt Simpson, Simpson Organizations: U.S ., Index Locations: India

☆ Oil slips on dollar's strength from U.S. jobs data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Oil wells are seen at an oil facility by the Highway 5 near Bakersfield in California, U.S. on Nov. 27, 2022. Oil prices nudged lower for a second straight session on Monday, weighed down by a firmer dollar as expectations of interest rate cuts were pushed out further following strong U.S. jobs data on Friday. On Friday, data showed the U.S. added more jobs than expected last month, leading investors to trim expectations for rate cuts and causing the dollar to rally. In the U.S., Washington stepped up purchasing of crude oil to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve after prices fell. Last week, U.S. energy firms cut the number of oil and natural gas rigs operating to the lowest since January 2022, energy services firm Baker Hughes said on Friday.

Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Le, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, Brent, WTI, FGE, Washington, Baker Hughes, Hayan Abdel, Ghani Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, greenback, European Union, IG, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Organization of, Petroleum, bbl, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Iraq's Oil Locations: Bakersfield, California, U.S, European, Sydney, OPEC, Kurdistan, Iraq, Turkey

☆ Treasury yields rise as investors look to Fed meeting, inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than two basis points higher to 4.8909%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Monday as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and key inflation data due this week. Due this week are the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision and policy guidance, as well as fresh key economic data, including inflation data. The Fed is due to meet Tuesday and Wednesday, and is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged at the conclusion of its meeting. Policymakers have repeatedly said that they are looking for more data evidence to be sure that inflation is easing sustainably toward the 2% target before making interest rate cuts.

Persons: downwardly Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal

☆ Euro slips to one-month low as Macron calls French election
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

It was last down 0.24% at $1.0776 as investors weighed the implications of renewed political uncertainty in the euro zone's second-biggest economy in a key election year. "But the exchange rate is still more likely to be influenced by this week's U.S. inflation data and FOMC meeting." The jobs data led traders to once again shift their expectations of when the Fed will cut rates and by how much. Markets are now pricing in 36 basis points of cuts this year compared to nearly 50 bps — or at least two cuts — before the jobs data. U.S. inflation data is also due on Wednesday.

Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Macron, Mansoor Mohi, Uddin, Ryan Brandham, Jerome Powell, Marc Chandler, Sterling Organizations: European Union, Federal Reserve, Bank Of Singapore, European Central Bank, Reuters, North America, Validus Risk, Bannockburn Global, The Bank of Japan Locations: European, Asia, France's, U.S, ., Bannockburn, New York

☆ With congestion pricing stop, New York City enters new era of economic gridlock
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

Alexander Spatari | Moment | Getty ImagesAs U.S. cities continue their recovery from the pandemic and inflation, New York City was expected to provide a key national test for the economic value of congestion pricing. A cost of living crisis, preparing for climate challenges, and aging infrastructure, including public transportation, all made the congestion pricing plan make sense to many. Her group also has supported a congestion pricing plan for two decades. The long, and often losing, history of congestion pricing The battle over congestion pricing in New York City has a much longer history than you may think. In 2007, then-New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg made the case for congestion pricing, but couldn't get enough support in the state's capital.

Persons: Alexander Spatari, United States —, Kathy Hochul, Hochul, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, —, Kathryn S, Wylde, Josh Gottheimer, William Vickrey, Michael Bloomberg, Andrew Cuomo, Cuomo, that's, Gottheimer Organizations: Metropolitan Transportation Authority, MTA, New, Business District, Gallup, JPMorgan, New York's Department of Transportation, Partnership, Community Service Society, MTA Traffic, Regional Plan Association, Jersey Transit, New York City, New York Times, New York, Buffalo . Rep, Buffalo Bills Locations: New York City, United States, Covid, Manhattan, New York, New Jersey, New Jersey's Sussex County, Jersey, Connecticut, Long Island, Southeastern New York, New, Buffalo

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