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ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over one basis point to 4.4926%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last one basis point lower to 4.8830%. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Monday as investors awaited fresh economic data, including key jobs data, slated for the week. Investors looked to key economic data that could provide fresh hints about the state of the economy and the monetary policy path. Including food and energy costs, the PCE increased 0.3% from the previous month and 2.7% on an annual basis, as expected.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, European Central Bank, Traders, Fed, Investors, PCE Locations: U.S
In this way, the nonfarm payroll report also offers clues on the near-term path of inflation. As always, payroll processing firm ADP will release its May private-sector jobs report before the government's nonfarm payroll report. On Tuesday, we'll get the latest JOLTS data, shorthand for the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey conducted by the Labor Department. Earnings A few noteworthy earnings reports set for next week include CrowdStrike and Hewlett Packard Enterprise after the close on Tuesday. A report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed the US economy added 311,000 jobs in February.
Persons: industrials, Eaton, Locker, Salesforce, we've, FactSet, Dow Jones, we'll, Ferguson, OLLI, Campbell Soup, Brown, Forman, LULU, JM Smucker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Joe Raedle Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Federal, Energy, Coterra Energy, Palo Alto Networks, Broadcom, Microsoft, Costco, Labor, Labor Department, Institute for Supply, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Body, Donaldson Company, DCI, Brands, Natural Foods, THOR Industries, ABM Industries, Vail Resorts, MTN, NGL Energy, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Getty Locations: Chicago, Palo, U.S, Bath, Toro, Miami , Florida
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Friday told investors what to pay attention to next week on Wall Street, highlighting the nonfarm payroll report and earnings from GitlLab and CrowdStrike . Cramer said he's waiting to see how the company will perform because some in the enterprise software sector see issues with sales. Tuesday brings quarterly results from CrowdStrike, and Cramer said this cybersecurity company has been doing better than many of its peers. Friday brings perhaps the most important event of the week, according to Cramer, the Labor Department's nonfarm payroll report. Cramer said the Federal Reserve won't be inclined to cut rates until the unemployment rate reaches 4%.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, he's, Hewlett Packard, Ferguson, PVH, Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger, Ralph Lauren, Campbell Soup, Jack Daniels, Brown, Forman, Lululemon, JM Smucker, Smucker Organizations: Dell, athleisure, Labor
Nvidia is the key to how stocks will perform in the next few months as investors head into a seasonally weak period for markets, with the macroeconomic picture once again a center of attention. Stocks capped a winning month in May after a strong earnings season and signs of easing inflation buoyed investor optimism. .VIX YTD mountain CBOE Volatility Index In fact, the CBOE Volatility Index, known as Wall Street's fear gauge, is currently at 14. The broad market index was last around 5,220. Traders will have to rely on macroeconomic data for the next several weeks, including the May jobs report that's on deck next Friday.
Persons: Stocks, what's, Olivier Sarfati, Sarfati, Jensen Huang's, Josh Brown, Jonathan Krinsky, Jeff deGraff, CNBC's, deGraff, Rob Ginsberg, JC O'Hara, Roth, Dow Jones, Thomas Urano, Jobs, Cook Organizations: Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Ritholtz Wealth, Semiconductors, VanEck Semiconductor, Macro, Wolfe Research, Advisory, PMI, Manufacturing, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Body, Services PMI, Labor, Girls Global, University of, District of Columbia, Consumer Credit Locations: Smucker, Washington
"I expect that inflation will move back down on a monthly basis to levels that were more like the lower readings we were having last year," he told attendees at a banking conference. So we're just going to have to see where the inflation data fall out." The index, a proxy for wholesale prices, accelerated 2.2% on an annual basis, the highest reading in a year. "This will be the most important read of the month [excluding nonfarm payrolls] as inflation continues to defy expectations," said Dan North, senior economist at Allianz Trade North America. Even if the report comes in around consensus expectations, it will be "inadequate progress for the Fed to consider a cut until September," he added.
Persons: Frederic J, Brown, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, we're, Dan North Organizations: AFP, Getty, Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Allianz Trade North, Fed Locations: Rosemead , California, Amsterdam, Allianz Trade North America
Weekly jobless claims jump to 231,000, the highest since August
  + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Initial filings for unemployment benefits hit their highest level since late August 2023 in a potential sign that an otherwise robust labor market is changing. Also, job openings have been declining amid expectations that the labor market is likely to slow through the year. The four-week moving average of claims, which helps smooth out weekly volatility in numbers, increased to 215,000, up 4,750 from the previous week. "One week does not a trend make, but we can no longer be sure that calm seas lie ahead for the US economy if today's weekly jobless claims are any indication." Markets reacted little to the jobless claims release, with stock market futures slightly negative and Treasury yields mixed.
Persons: Dow Jones, Christopher Rupkey, Robert Frick Organizations: Labor Department, Navy Federal Credit Union Locations: New York
Treasury yields fall as investors consider Fed policy path
  + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The 2-year Treasury yield was last over one basis point lower to 4.8095%. U.S. Treasury yields declined on Tuesday as investors considered the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy following the latest economic data and remarks from central bank officials. In recent weeks, expectations have moved toward there being fewer rate cuts in 2024 than previously expected, or even none. Barkin's comments came after a weaker-than-expected April jobs report released at the end of last week had buoyed hopes about rate cuts. More Fed policymakers are slated to make remarks throughout the week, which investors will be watching closely for additional hints about the policy outlook.
Persons: Tom Barkin Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Investors, Richmond Federal, Fed
The US economy may already be mired in recession, Danielle DiMartino Booth told Bloomberg TV. Downside labor revisions and rising job losses indicate a downturn has hit, the QI Research CEO said. AdvertisementThe US is already mired in recessionary downturn, and rising job losses prove it, veteran forecaster Danielle DiMartino Booth told Bloomberg TV. AdvertisementBy that standard, the rule was triggered in October of last year, according to recently published labor revisions through the third quarter of 2023, indicating job losses of 192,000. Other analysts have also projected rising recession risk, hand-in-hand with a labor market fallout.
Persons: Danielle DiMartino Booth, , there's, it's, Booth, Goldman Sachs, payrolls, David Rosenberg Organizations: Bloomberg TV, Downside, QI, Service, Bloomberg, Fox Business
LONDON — European markets are set to advance Monday as traders continue to assess the possibility of rate cuts after softer-than-expected U.S. jobs data. The French CAC 40 was set to open 50 points higher at 8,239 points, German DAX was expected to jump 60 points to 18,050. Friday's U.S. nonfarm payrolls report showed 175,000 jobs were added in April, below the 240,000 jobs expected by economists surveyed by Dow Jones. The unemployment rate edged up to 3.9% from 3.8% in the prior month, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Wage figures also came in lower than expected, an encouraging sign for inflation.
Persons: DAX, nonfarm, Dow Jones Organizations: CAC, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., April 25, 2024. U.S. stock futures flickered near the flatline Monday evening after the Dow Jones Industrial Average wrapped its fourth positive day in a row. Dow futures inched higher by just 8 points, or 0.02%. S&P 500 futures ticked up 0.01%, while Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.03%. Investors carried over their bullish market sentiment from Friday, when the latest nonfarm payrolls data showed that job growth came in below expectations in April and unemployment ticked higher.
Persons: Rob Haworth, Haworth, Johnson Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, U.S . Bank, Disney, UBS, Johnson Locations: New York City, U.S, Swiss
The latest macro data is sending mixed signals, reflecting both a "no landing" and a "soft landing," Morgan Stanley said. The bank recommends defensive sectors, including consumer staples, to navigate volatility. AdvertisementInvestors should ramp up investments in defensive stock sectors like consumer staples and utilities as the latest data sends mixed signals about the economy, Morgan Stanley says. Based on this rationale, Wilson suggests opting for robust cyclical names in a no-landing scenario and premium growth stocks in a soft landing. It also provides some more defensiveness to portfolios as a hedge amid uncertain/unpredictable macro data," they said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, , Michael Wilson, Wilson, nonfarm, Staples, Jerome Powell Organizations: Service, Conference, Reserve Locations: today's
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 66 points, or around 0.2%. Last week, the Dow and Nasdaq gained 1.1% and 1.4% each, while the S&P 500 gained 0.5%. But the April jobs report helps clear a path to that destination," said Comerica Bank chief economist Bill Adams. While the peak of the first-quarter earnings season has passed, investors are still watching key companies set to report this week, including Dow member Disney on Tuesday and Uber on Wednesday. On the economic front, Richmond Fed president Tom Barkin and New York Fed president John Williams are both scheduled to speak on Monday.
Persons: Dow, Bill Adams, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Uber, Emmanuel Cau, Tom Barkin, John Williams Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, U.S ., Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Traders, Comerica Bank, Apple, Disney, Barclays, Richmond Fed, New York Fed Locations: New York City, U.S, U.S . U.S
With the Fed, Apple earnings and the jobs report passing with flying colors this week, the runway to more gains looks a lot less cluttered. This past week was chock full of Club earnings: 12 portfolio companies, including Apple , delivered results. Analysts expect Wynn's earnings per share of $1.27 versus 29 cents a year ago when China was not fully back from Covid. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jerome Powell, we're, Jim Cramer, Jim, Apple, Eli Lilly, Estee Lauder, Stanley Black, Decker, Bausch, FactSet, It's, Bob Iger, Iger, Nelson Peltz, We're, Krystal, Berkshire Hathaway, Tyson, Jones Lang, Walt, Ferrari N.V, WK Kellogg, Wynn, Vishay, CRON, MARA, RICK, Ginkgo, Jim Cramer's, David Paul Morris Organizations: Federal Reserve, Apple, GE Healthcare, DuPont, Linde, Bausch Health, Coterra Energy, Club, Disney, Wynn Resorts, CNBC, Revenue, Vegas Sands, Cotai, Boston, Airlines, Krystal Biotech, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Axsome Therapeutics, Tyson Foods, TSN, Bowlero Corp, CNA Financial Corp, CNA, Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated, Technologies, Realty Income Corp, Lab, Teradata Corp, Technology, FMC Corporation, FMC, Paymentus Holdings, Shockwave, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, Simon Property Group, Sterling Construction Company, Apple Hospitality, Boise Cascade Corporation, BellRing Brands, Coty, COTY, Fidelity National Information Services Inc, Vornado Realty, Walt Disney Co, Holdings, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Nikola Corporation, BP, Rockwell Automation, MarketAxess Holdings, Jumia Technologies, GEO Group, Builders FirstSource Inc, Duke Energy Corp, WYNN, Rivian Automotive, Arista Networks, Occidental Petroleum Corp, Astera Labs, Bros, Flywire Corporation, B2Gold Corp, Kinross Gold Corp, Virgin Galactic Holdings, iRobot Corp, Electronic Arts Inc, McKesson Corp, ACM Research, Avadel Pharmaceuticals, Toyota Motor Corp, Emerson Electric Co, Perion, Editas, Brink's Company, Sinclair Corporation, New Fortress Energy, Starwood Property Trust, Animal Health, ELAN, Farms, IM Cannabis Corp, Fox Corporation, Formula One, Icahn Enterprises, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Arm Holdings plc, ARM, AMC Entertainment Holdings, Trade, AppLovin Corporation, Sciences Corp, SolarEdge Technologies, Roblox Corporation, GigaCloud Technology Inc, Warner Bros ., Properties Trust, Growers, Constellation Energy Group, Cronos, Fiverr, Solar Inc, EPAM Systems, Cedar Fair Entertainment, Digital Holdings, RCI Hospitality Holdings, Akamai Technologies, Semiconductor, Insulet Corp, NuScale Power Corporation, Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Bloom Energy Corporation, Construction, AMC Networks, CRH Public Ltd . Company, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Allen, Co . Media, Technology Conference, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: China, Eaton, Amazon, Covid, Macao, Vegas, Sun Valley , Idaho
Elsewhere, the dollar lost ground against most of its peers and was headed for its worst week in nearly two months, in part due to the sharp rise in the yen this week. The euro ticked up 0.05% to last trade at $1.0730, and was eyeing a weekly gain of 0.35%. "Recent Fed speech has acknowledged the lack of progress on inflation and the desire to maintain the current level of policy rates for longer. Down Under, the Australian dollar edged 0.07% higher to $0.6570, and was on track to gain nearly 0.6% for the week. The New Zealand dollar tacked on a marginal 0.03% to $0.5963, and was eyeing a 0.4% weekly gain.
Persons: Tokyo's, Vishnu Varathan, Jerome Powell, Sterling steadied, Tai Hui Organizations: Traders, Bank of Japan, Ministry of Finance, Mizuho Bank, Federal, Fed, Morgan Asset Management, New Zealand Locations: Asia, tenterhooks, Tokyo, Japan
Treasury yields inch higher ahead of April jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by more than one basis point to 4.5814%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last over one basis point higher to 4.8891%. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher on Friday as investors awaited key labor market data that could provide hints about the state of the economy. Investors looked ahead to the April jobs report, which investors will be scanning for clues about whether the labor market is easing or remaining resilient.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, Federal Reserve
The US unemployment rate remained low in April, but it ticked up. AdvertisementIn the US, the unemployment rate increased from March to April. Plus, job growth in April slowed down a lot, a new labor market report on Friday showed. This job growth for the US was way below the forecast of 238,000 and the first time the initial print has come in below expectations since last October. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Nonfarm, Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business
A gong inside the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. China Vanke's subsidiary Onewo and EV maker Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology began trading on the Hong Kong market on Thursday. Asia-Pacific markets rose on Friday, tracking Wall Street gains ahead of key U.S. employment data. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect to see 240,000 job gains in the U.S. April nonfarm payrolls report due Friday at 0830a.m. Stock markets in Japan and mainland China were shut for public holidays.
Persons: Dow Jones, nonfarm Organizations: Hong Kong Stock Exchange, China Vanke's, Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology, Apple, Investors, U.S . Federal Reserve, Stock, U.S Locations: China, Hong Kong, Asia, Pacific, U.S, 0830a.m, Taiwan, South Korea, South, Japan
Signage at a job fair at Brunswick Community College in Bolivia, North Carolina, US, on Thursday, April 11, 2024. The U.S. economy added fewer jobs than expected in April while the unemployment rate rose, reversing a trend of robust job growth that had kept the Federal Reserve cautious as it looks for signals on when it can start cutting interest rates. The unemployment rate ticked higher to 3.9% against expectations it would hold steady at 3.8%. Average hourly earnings rose 0.2% from the previous month and 3.9% from a year ago, both below consensus estimates and an encouraging sign for inflation. The jobless rate tied for the highest level since January 2022.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Brunswick Community College, Reserve, Dow Locations: Bolivia , North Carolina, U.S
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Jim Cramer suggested some of Apple's AI commentary Thursday night could be a factor in the Google parent's stock move. We continue to believe the market is underappreciating Coterra's ability to pullback production in natural gas in favor of oil. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, That's, Jim, Tom Jorden, Jorden, Nelson Peltz, Peltz, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Apple, Conference, Nasdaq, Google, Federal Reserve, Institute for Supply, Coterra Energy, Diamondback Energy, Cinco, Cinco de Mayo, Constellation Brands, Corona, Modelo, Disney, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, Cinco de
Oil steadies, heads for weekly drop on U.S. economy worries
  + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Oil prices edged up in early trade on Friday on the prospect of OPEC+ continuing output cuts, but the crude benchmarks were headed for weekly losses on U.S. economic uncertainty and limited crude supply disruptions caused by the Israel-Hamas war. Brent headed for a 6.3% weekly decline, while and WTI moved towards a loss of 5.6% on the week. The market is now looking towards U.S. economic data and indicators of future crude supply from the world's top producer. Higher rates typically weigh on the economy and that can reduce oil demand. Also on Friday, energy services firm Baker Hughes is due to release its weekly count of oil and gas rigs, an indicator of future crude output.
Persons: Brent, WTI, Baker Hughes Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Locations: Israel, U.S, Russia
US stocks rose Thursday after the Fed meeting and as investors eyed Apple earnings. Expectations heading into Apple earnings are mixed, with analysts seeing a tough period for the iPhone maker. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stocks rose Thursday morning following Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting and as traders geared up for Apple earnings after the closing bell. Expectations are for the tech firm to report revenue of $90.33 billion and earnings per share $1.50.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Apple, Service, Reserve, Labor Department, Dow, Nasdaq
Here's what to expect from the April jobs report on Friday
  + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Allison Joyce | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesHiring likely continued at a brisk pace in April as investors look for any cracks in the labor market that could sway the Federal Reserve. If that top-line number is accurate, it actually would reflect a small step back from the average 276,000 jobs a month created so far in 2024. April's jobs market featured more strength in health care and leisure and hospitality, Glaser added. Beating expectationsIndeed, the labor market has been full of surprises this year, topping Wall Street estimates at a time when many economists expected hiring to have slowed down. "The Goldilocks scenario is an unemployment rate rise with a participation rate rise," Matus said.
Persons: Allison Joyce, Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Amy Glaser, resiliency, Glaser, we've, Drew Matus, Matus, Jerome Powell Organizations: Brunswick Community College, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, MetLife Investment Management, of Labor Locations: Bolivia , North Carolina
Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 212 points, or 0.55%. S&P 500 futures rose nearly 0.3%, while Nasdaq 100 futures advanced about 0.5%. In extended trading, Apple advanced more than 6% after it announced a $110 billion share repurchase and a top -and bottom-line beat. The S&P 500 popped 0.91%, while the Dow gained 0.85%. The S&P 500 is off by 0.7% week to date, while the Nasdaq is down nearly 0.6%.
Persons: Cloudflare, Dow, Jerome Powell, Sonu Varghese, payrolls, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Apple, Biotech Amgen, Dow, Carson Group Locations: New York City, U.S
Stocks closed higher on Thursday ahead of Apple earnings and the April jobs report. Bank of America's Savita Subramanian said the stock market has more room to run even without a rate cut. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementUS indexes closed higher on Thursday ahead of Apple's earnings and a key labor report set to be published Friday morning. Bank of America's US equity head, Savita Subramanian, has said the stock market has more room to run even without looser monetary policy.
Persons: America's Savita Subramanian, , Dow Jones, Veronica Clark, payrolls, Jerome Powell, Savita Subramanian Organizations: Apple, Bank, America's, Service, Nvidia, Microsoft, Dow, Citi, Bank of, Bloomberg, Nasdaq Locations: China
Private payrolls increased at a faster than expected pace in April, indicating there are still plenty of tailwinds for the U.S. labor market, according to ADP. Companies with 500 or more workers showed the biggest gain in hiring with 98,000. In recent months, ADP has consistently undershot the Labor Department's count, though the numbers were fairly close in March. The department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that private payrolls increased by 232,000 for the month versus ADP's 208,000. Friday's report is expected to show growth of 204,000 in total nonfarm payrolls for April, down from March's 303,000, according to the consensus Dow Jones estimate.
Persons: payrolls, Dow Jones, Nela Richardson Organizations: ADP, Labor, department's Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: March's
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