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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStockton: The S&P 500 is in a decisive breakdown below the summertime lowsFairlead Strategies founder Katie Stockton discusses whether the markets will retest the June lows, why commodities continue to offer some opportunities, and reveals her biggest short position right now.
If the stock market is going to follow its historic pattern during a midterm election year, it would be bottoming just around now. "Typically, it's after Oct. 9 that you start to see some better performance," said Ari Wald, technical analyst at Oppenheimer. The analyst said that date was the average day the market bottomed in the last eight mid-term election years, going back to 1990. "Investors should moderate their expectations for US equity valuations; history shows these contract during periods of high volatility." "Generally our view is that the rate market is trading more off Fed policy and the Fed's commitment to fight inflation rather than the actual threat of inflation.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCNBC Pro Talks: Chart analyst Katie Stockton on finding winning stocks in a losing marketFairlead Strategies founder and chart analyst Katie Stockton shares what she is seeing on the technical side of the market. She also goes in-depth on the stocks she sees leading the way either up or down.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFairlead Strategies founder Katie Stockton offers her playbook for a market bounceKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss what investors should be looking for in a meaningful market bounce.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIf Apple shares break down, that could create a 'waterfall effect,' says Katie StocktonKatie Stockton, founder and managing partner at Fairlead Strategies, joins CNBC's 'Squawk Box' to explain why investors should keep their eye on shares of Apple as stocks slide ahead of the open.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Fairlead Strategies' Katie StocktonKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss what S&P 500 targets, clues Stockton is looking for that momentum is sustainable and more.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailToday is showing a short-term oversold reading, says Fairlead Strategies' StocktonKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss what we're targeting on the S&P 500, the clues Stockton is looking for that momentum is sustainable and more.
As of yesterday, the federal funds rate is now in a range of 3.0% to 3.25% after a third consecutive 75-basis-point rate hike and the fifth increase of the year. But should the unemployment rate rise and company earnings fall enough to kick off a deep recession, a markets-friendly central bank could emerge over the next year, according to Kolanovic. In his view, a Fed pivot won't materialize until the unemployment rate gets closer to 5%. How does the Fed's third outsized rate hike impact your outlook for the economy and for your portfolio? US stock futures struggled for direction early Thursday, as the odds of a soft economic landing dwindled following the Fed's rate hike Wednesday.
The crypto bear market is likely to continue if bitcoin confirms its recent breakdown below $20,000, according to Fairlead Strategies. "Negative long-term momentum is growing per the monthly MACD histogram, allowing long-term oversold conditions to be absorbed. "Short-term momentum has shifted negative per a new daily MACD 'sell' signal, increasing risk as long-term support is tested." Another bad sign for the crypto market as a whole is the fact that bitcoin is once again outperforming ether on a relative basis since early September. Until then, expect the crypto bear market to continue.
The 10-year US Treasury yield surged to its highest level since 2011 on Monday, hitting a high of 3.51%. Monday's surge in Treasury yields came a day ahead of the Fed's upcoming rate hike decision. The 10-year yield hit a high of 3.51%, rising as much as 6 basis points before paring some of its gains for the day. Not since April 2011 has the 10-year yield traded above 3.50%. A similar upward trajectory is likely for the 10-year Treasury yield, according to Fairlead Strategies founder Katie Stockton.
Stocks inched higher Monday after a volatile session to open the week. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly touched 3.51% Monday, notching the highest mark in 11 years. Investors are bracing for a third jumbo rate hike this week as Fed officials convene for their two-day meeting starting Tuesday. The major indexes each flipped between gains and losses throughout the week's opening session as investors brace for a third outsized rate hike from the central bank. Here's where US indexes stood after the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Monday:Here's what else to know:
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