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In one sense, you could say that Wednesday’s decision by the Federal Reserve to cut rates was of minimal importance. The interest rate the Fed more or less directly controls — the federal funds rate — is the rate at which banks lend one another money overnight. For one thing, Fed rate changes tend to percolate into longer-term interest rates that really do matter for the economy. For example, the series of rate hikes the Fed undertook in 2022 and 2023 drove 30-year fixed mortgage interest rates up to almost 8 percent from about 3 percent. Most of their decisions are based on the same data about unemployment, inflation and so on available to anyone with an internet connection.
Persons: Jerome Powell, don’t Organizations: Federal Reserve
The consensus view is that lower rates will stave off a recession by stimulating economic growth through lower borrowing costs. The hidden danger of a double cutHowever, David Kelly of JPMorgan Asset Management warned that lower rates aren't an economic panacea. In fact, the chief global strategist thinks these cuts could, paradoxically, cause the economy to slow in the near term. Advertisement"The important thing to recognize is that cutting interest rates at the start doesn't stimulate the economy at all," Kelly said on CNBC. "There is a J-curve effect; it actually slows the economy because people begin to anticipate those lower rates, so they want to wait for lower rates."
Persons: , Jim Caron, Claudia Sahm, Jerome Powell, Sahm, Ronald Temple, Kevin Philip of, David Kelly, Kelly, what's, you've, Kelly isn't, it's, they've Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Fed, Dow Jones, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, CNBC, New Century Advisors, Lazard, Kevin Philip of Bel Air Investment Advisors, JPMorgan Asset Management
New York CNN —Stocks jumped Thursday morning as investors cheered the Federal Reserve’s eye-popping half-point interest rate cut. Tech stocks surged: Nvidia shares popped 4.8%, Tesla shares gained 5.4%, Meta Platforms shares rose 3.5% and Apple shares climbed 3.5%. The Fed on Wednesday cut rates by half a point, marking its first rate cut since the onset of the Covid pandemic and bringing rates down from a 23-year high. A large rate cut can be a double-edged sword for the economy. The Fed faced pressure to cut rates in July but held steady instead.
Persons: New York CNN — Stocks, Tesla, Jerome Powell, , Ronald Temple, Powell Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Apple, Fed, Lazard Locations: New York, August’s
That rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield, a key lending benchmark for everything from mortgages to corporate debt. "The reaction within Treasury markets was most telling yesterday," Reinking said. AdvertisementHowever, it also means the 10-year Treasury is moving higher since the decision. The 10-year Treasury yield is a lending benchmark for everything from home loans to corporate debt. "That's positive for the economy, and in that case yields should be higher.
Persons: , Michael Reinking, Reinking, Freddie Mac, Inki Cho, Sonu Varghese, Carson, Jerome Powell's, Varghese Organizations: Service, Federal, Treasury, Business, New York Stock Exchange, Fed
In the spirit of ESPN's Monday Night Countdown, a word to Federal Reserve Chairman, Jay Powell ... "C'Mon Man!" While the markets have rebounded nicely on Thursday, it seems to me that Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell unnecessarily complicated the outlook for interest rate policy on Wednesday by saying the Fed will decide, meeting by meeting, what to do next. Meanwhile, long-term interest rates, after having fallen for weeks in anticipation of a half-point cut, which the Fed delivered, have actually moved up a bit. I'm not entirely certain but I suspect it's the lack of clear direction on future rate policy that is the culprit. In those days, the Fed was loathe to discuss its actions publicly and only signaled to markets what it had done with respect to interest rate policy a considerable time after the action was undertaken.
Persons: Jay Powell, Powell, Paul Volcker Organizations: Federal, Fed Locations: China
Gold holds ground after Fed's oversized rate cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices held steady on Thursday after hitting a record high in the previous session, after the U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a super-sized interest rate cut. Spot gold was little changed at $2,562.85 per ounce, as of 0319 GMT after scaling a record high of $2,599.92 on Wednesday. Powell, however, said the economy remained strong, with many job market indicators like unemployment claims and even the current 4.2% unemployment rate not at worrying levels. Zero-yield bullion tends to be a preferred investment in a lower interest rate environment and during geopolitical turmoil.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's Organizations: Aurum, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Asia, Traders Locations: ., Lebanon
Indexes rallied to record highs as investors cheered Wednesday's rate cut from the Fed. Jobless claims reinforced the Fed's message of a strong labor market, with last weeks's claims down 12,000. AdvertisementMajor stock indexes surged to record highs on Thursday, a day after a jumbo rate cut from the Federal Reserve. On Wednesday, the Fed cut interest rates for the first time in four years, slashing its benchmark rate by 50 basis points. The Fed's dot plot shows the central bank will likely cut another 50 basis points this year and 100 basis points next year.
Persons: , Dan Ives, Ives, Jerome Powell, Powell, Richard Bernstein Organizations: Fed . Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Service, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Broadcom, ASML, Labor Department, Treasury, Fed, Trump Media Locations: Here's
Indexes rallied Thursday as investors continue to digest Wednesday's jumbo rate cut from the Fed. The Fed cut rates by 50 basis points in its first rate cut in over four years. AdvertisementUS stocks soared on Thursday in a late reaction to the Federal Reserve's jumbo interest rate cut. On Wednesday, the Fed issued its first interest rate cut since 2020, cutting its benchmark rate by 50 basis points. Bank of America analysts said after the meeting that they see 75 basis points of cuts in the fourth quarter and 125 basis points next year.
Persons: , Jerome Powell's, Dow, today's 50bp, Goldman Sachs, Powell, Gen Z's Organizations: Fed, Service, Federal, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Labor Department, SEC
At its much-anticipated meeting Wednesday, the Fed approved a half percentage point, or 50 basis point, cut to its benchmark funds rate that ran counter to the 25 basis point move that many Wall Street economists and strategists had been expecting. The benchmark fed funds rate now stands at 4.75% to 5.00% after Wednesday's move. Futures market pricing Thursday suggested a 25 basis point move in November followed by a 50 basis point cut in December, according to the CME Group's FedWatch. A basis point equals 0.01%. "Ultimately what we found most important in what Powell said was also among the least surprising things he said: future decisions are going to depend on the data," Feroli wrote.
Persons: Michael Feroli, Feroli, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Fed, Street Locations: U.S
Dollar rebounds after Fed goes big on rate cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The U.S. dollar rose broadly on Thursday, recovering from an earlier tumble in the immediate aftermath of the Federal Reserve's outsized interest rate cut that had been largely priced in by markets. The U.S. dollar rose broadly on Thursday, recovering from an earlier tumble in the immediate aftermath of the Federal Reserve's outsized interest rate cut that had been largely priced in by markets. Fed policymakers on Wednesday projected the benchmark interest rate would fall by another half of a percentage point by the end of this year, a full percentage point next year and half of a percentage point in 2026, though they said the outlook that far into the future is necessarily uncertain. "So to expect an easing today because of what the Fed has done seems a little bit too hard to believe." Elsewhere, the Australian dollar edged up 0.05% against its U.S. counterpart to $0.6768, while the New Zealand dollar advanced 0.04% to $0.6210.
Persons: Jerome Powell, it's, Rodrigo Catril, , Eric Robertsen, Sterling, NAB's Organizations: U.S, Wednesday, Reuters, National Australia Bank, Bank of England, New Zealand Locations: U.S, Singapore
They received some relief on Wednesday when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points, which will lower mortgage costs. Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell said the "real issue" behind high prices in the U.S. housing market is a lack of supply, which isn't "something the Fed can really fix." With rates dropping, Powell also said that "more people are likely to start moving," which could boost home sales. Powell also said that shelter costs in the CPI tend to lag behind real-time prices, so the recent slowdown in home and rent prices prices isn't fully reflected yet. The best thing the Fed can do for U.S. households is get "inflation broadly down" and reduce the cost of borrowing by "normalizing" interest rates, Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, There's, Powell's, Powell, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, National Association of Realtors, Consumer, CNBC Locations: U.S
The Federal Reserve didn't hold back when it cut interest rates for the first time in more than four years. In a press conference after the announcement, Powell said he believes the economy is moving in the right direction. iStock; BISo what does this rate cut mean for … everything? Our colleagues at Personal Finance Insider have covered the eventual impacts the rate cut will have on various financial products. Let's start with mortgage rates, since that's an area people naturally think of when it comes to interest rates.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, you'll, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Finance Locations: New York, London
Anna Moneymaker | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. By contrast, the prevailing sentiment among experts was that a 25-point cut was more likely, according to a CNBC survey. And he was likely aware that a bigger-than-usual cut might connote that the Fed's worried about the economy. "I don't see anything in the economy right now that suggests that the likelihood of a recession, sorry, of a downturn, is elevated," Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker, Jerome Powell's, Powell, , Jeff Cox, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Washington , DC
Because the Fed is likely to cut rates further, mortgage rates should continue to drop this year. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 5.60% today, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates are right around 5%, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.
Persons: annonuncement, Jerome Powell, you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, They'll Organizations: Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron
On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee announced an interest-rate cut of 50 basis points, the first cut Americans have received in over four years. AdvertisementHe's argued in the past that the Fed would only cut rates close to the election to aid Democrats, which he reiterated leading up to the central bank's announcement. Trump sought to use his presidential power to appoint members to the Fed board who supported his unorthodox views of the central bank. Trump has flip-flopped his views on his most important appointment to the Fed: Powell. Trump's tepid support of Powell underlines just how mercurial he can be when it comes to the central bank.
Persons: , Donald Trump isn't, Jerome Powell, Trump, they're, He's, Powell, Judy Shelton, Shelton, Sen, Susan Collins, Herman Cain, Stephen Moore, Michelle Bowman, Christopher Waller, he's, reappoint Powell, Trump hasn't Organizations: Service, Federal, Market Committee, Democratic, Business, Federal Reserve, Street, Trump, Bloomberg, Fox, Fed, Governors, Maine Republican, Fed Board, Bloomberg News Locations: New York, Michigan, Maine
Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. By contrast, the prevailing sentiment among experts was that a 25-point cut was more likely, according to a CNBC survey. And he was likely aware that a bigger-than-usual cut might connote that the Fed's worried about the economy. "I don't see anything in the economy right now that suggests that the likelihood of a recession, sorry, of a downturn, is elevated," Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Jeff Cox, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Washington , DC
Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell (left) meets with President Joe Biden in the Oval Office on May 31, 2022. President Joe Biden on Thursday said he had "never once spoken" to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell while he was president. "The president was saying that he has not spoken to Chair Powell about interest rates," said Bernstein. Even in his 2022 Oval Office meeting with Powell, Biden stressed the importance of the Fed's independence in addressing inflation. Respect the Fed's independence," Biden said at the time.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Joe Biden, Janet Yellen, Biden, I've, Jared Bernstein, Powell, Bernstein, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Federal, Treasury, Economic, of Washington, of Washington , D.C, Fed, Republican, Federal Reserve, Street Journal, White Locations: of Washington ,
AI stocks surged after the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 soared nearly 3% on Thursday, while the underlying AI trade saw even bigger gains. Investors in the stock market's AI trade can thank Fed chairman Jerome Powell for Thursday's risk-on surge in tech, according to Wedbush analyst Dan Ives. AdvertisementIves said that while the AI trade has mainly been focused on Nvidia and Microsoft, other companies are starting to join in on the fun.
Persons: Dan Ives, , Jerome Powell, Ives Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Broadcom, Service, Federal Reserve, Investors, Big Tech, Microsoft, Oracle, Dell, IBM, APple Locations: Asia
Mortgage rates came down again last week, and with the expectation that they could fall further, mortgage demand suddenly jumped, especially for refinancing. The Federal Reserve is expected to make its first interest rate cut in four years on Wednesday, and while mortgage rates don’t follow the Fed exactly, they are influenced by policy. “The most important takeaway is that lower mortgage rates are not only not remotely guaranteed by [the] Fed rate cut. “Application activity was up significantly last week, as market expectations of a rate cut from the Fed pulled mortgage rates lower,” said Joel Kan, an economist with the Mortgage Bankers Association. “Homebuyers are seeing improving affordability conditions, sparked by lower rates and slower home-price growth.”
Persons: Jerome Powell’s, They’re, , Matthew Graham, Joel Kan, ” Kan, Organizations: Federal, Mortgage News, Mortgage, Labor, Fed, Association
The Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve building in Washington, DC, on June 25. Ting Shen/Bloomberg/Getty ImagesAfter all the hype that’s been brewing for over a year, you might think that once the Federal Reserve finally cuts interest rates the economy will look and feel completely different. Sure, the stock market could have some big swings the second the Fed releases its interest rate decision at 2 pm ET on Wednesday and when Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaks a half hour later. Mortgage rates and the interest rates Americans pay on a variety of loans will quickly drop as well. That’s because when the Fed lowers or raises rates, it takes a while for the full effect of those moves to be felt across the economy.
Persons: Ting Shen, there’s, Jerome Powell, Milton Friedman, Read Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Washington ,
Fed expected to cut key interest rateChair of the U.S. Federal Reserve Jerome Powell speaks at the U.S. Capitol in July. Bonnie Cash / Getty ImagesThe Federal Reserve is poised to cut its key interest rate for the first time since the onset of the Covid pandemic in 2020. But mixed signals from the economy have some Wall Street traders predicting it’s more likely that there will be a 0.5% cut. It’s for Prime members only, so you’ll have to sign up in time if you want to shop. And did you know that in addition to free shipping, members also get benefits like Prime Video and Grubhub+.
Persons: Sean “ Diddy ” Combs, Jerome Powell, Bonnie Cash, Hsu Ching, kuang, Cristiana Bársony, Arcidiacono, Gold, , , pagers, Sean ‘ Diddy ’ Combs, Combs, Mike Johnson, Trump, Donald Trump, Harris, Kamala Harris, Chuck Todd, Gisele Pelicot, Christophe Simon, I’m, don’t, Annie Hill, Elizabeth Robinson Organizations: U.S . Federal, U.S, Capitol, CNBC, Fed, Consulting, Prosecutors, of, National Association of Black Journalists, Republicans, NBC, Trump, Polaris, University of North Texas Health Science, The, Getty, Amazon Locations: Lebanon, Taiwan, Iran, Israel, Hungary, Southern, of New, Springfield , Ohio, Gaza, Ohio, San Diego, Mazan, France, AFP
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell: A 50 bps cut is 'a sign of our commitment not to get behind'Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell takes questions from reporters after announcing that the Central Bank has lowered interest rates by half a point, its first cut since 2020.
Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal, Central Bank
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Jim Cramer urged people to be patient once the Fed's decision arrives at 2 p.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Stocks, Jerome Powell's, Jim, Salesforce, Agentforce, Mark Benioff, Brian Niccol, General Mills, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Bank of America, Starbucks, VF Corp, Resmed, Marriott International, Alaska Air Locations: China
US indexes edged higher as investors waited for a likely interest rate cut from the Fed. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Wednesday as traders readied for what's likely to be the Federal Reserves's first rate cut in four years. "Though consensus is leaning toward a 50 basis point move, we look for the Fed to cut by 25 basis points today. AdvertisementFollowing the interest rate decision, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who will deliver prepared remarks during a press conference. "While the market has usually bounced immediately following the 2 PM rate decision, the sell-off usually starts at or near the end of Powell's post-FOMC press conference."
Persons: Jerome Powell's, , John Lynch, José Torres, Jerome Powell, Powell, shouldn't Organizations: Fed, Traders, Service, Federal, Comerica Wealth Management, Interactive, Deutsche Bank, Investment
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell: We don't need to see further loosening in the labor market to get inflation to 2%Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell takes questions from reporters after announcing that the Central Bank has lowered interest rates by half a point, its first cut since 2020.
Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell Organizations: Central Bank
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