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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Ironsides' Barry Knapp and JPM's Gabriela SantosBarry Knapp, managing partner and director of research at Ironsides Macroeconomics, and Gabriela Santos, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss bank failure, buying bonds, and the Fed's inflation approach going forward.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRaising rates further would be a monstrous decision by the Fed, says Ironsides' Barry KnappBarry Knapp, managing partner and director of research at Ironsides Macroeconomics, and Gabriela Santos, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss bank failure, buying bonds, and the Fed's inflation approach going forward.
JPMorgan Asset Management's CIO predicts more pain ahead for the banking sector and the economy. Turmoil at Credit Suisse is just the "tip of the iceberg," JPMorgan's Bob Michele told Bloomberg. I think this is the tip of the iceberg," Bob Michele said on Bloomberg TV Wednesday. Credit Suisse shares shed as much as 30% on Wednesday as waning investor confidence in the bank ws sparked by one of the bank's largest shareholders stating that it would not lend any further financial support. Shares of Credit Suisse endured their largest single-day selloff Wednesday.
SVB collapse could add to China stock investors' anxiety
  + stars: | 2023-03-12 | by ( Summer Zhen | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
SHANGHAI, March 12 (Reuters) - China stock investors, already disillusioned by Beijing's lower-than-expected economic growth target for the year, will be further disheartened by the shock collapse of U.S. lender SVB Financial Group, market participants said. The market mood could be damped further following Friday's sudden collapse of start-up focused lender SVB (SIVB.O), which stirred heated discussion over the weekend in China about its fallout. But many Chinese tech start-ups, especially those with dollar funding, have opened U.S. accounts at SVB. He is cautious about tech stocks that could be impacted by US-China frictions. Still, domestic A-shares will likely outperform offshore China stocks, which are more vulnerable to potential spillover from the SVB collapse, analysts say.
The JPMorgan Premium Equity ETF (JEPI) has a 12-month rolling dividend yield over 11%, and its 30-day SEC yield was just under that mark as of the end of February. The biggest funds in the market track indexes, like the S & P 500, and give investors market returns minus fees. But 2022 was a surprisingly good year for active managers , and active ETFs gained some share against their passive counterparts. The JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF (JPST) has also been popular this year, with $1 billion of inflows and a 30-day SEC yield above 4%. Among the firm's smaller active fixed income funds, the Core Plus Bond ETF (JCPB) has a roughly similar yield, while the Income ETF (JPIE) yields above 6%.
Data on Tuesday showed China's exports and imports both fell sharply in January-February, reflecting a slowdown in the global economy and weak domestic demand. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) fell 0.3%, although the index is up 2.9% so far this month. Beyond China, investor focus remains on the U.S. interest rate outlook and what Powell may say. The two-year yield , which rises with traders' expectations of higher Fed fund rates, touched 4.88% compared with a U.S. close of 4.894%. In early European trade, the pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures were up 0.12%, German DAX futures rose 0.11% at and FTSE futures were 0.23% higher.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was flat after U.S. stocks ended the previous session with mild gains. The two-year yield , which rises with traders' expectations of higher Fed fund rates, touched 4.8945% compared with a U.S. close of 4.894%. Australian shares (.AXJO) were 0.1% lower after being down 0.3% earlier in the session, while Japan's Nikkei stock index (.N225) rose 0.5%. "In the next couple of days the congressional testimony will be critical for markets. Investors have repriced what they think the Fed will do with interest rates in March and into the second quarter," said Tai Hui, JPMorgan Asset Management's chief Asian market strategist.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA no landing is not a steady state, the Fed will not tolerate inflation, says JPM's Gabriela SantosGabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss Asia investment strategies, regulatory struggles associated with China and Chinese consumers' luxury spending practices.
Land O'Lakes CEO Beth Ford told Time that allowing more immigration would help ease costs in the stretched industry. One food CEO is pointing to an untapped pool of people who could help businesses ease their labor shortage and lower prices for Americans: immigrants. To get some immigration reform," Beth Ford, the head of Land O'Lakes, a massive supplier of dairy goods, told Time's John Simons. It's a crisis out here in terms of labor availability." Amid labor shortage problems, Ford said that it's important to keep in mind that the demand for food is only growing.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHorizon Investments CIO: Might have a rockier path to disinflation than the market's pricingKelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management fixed income portfolio manager, and Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at Horizon Investments, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss last week's stock performance, how the inflation data changed the equation, and more.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket hasn't priced in a high terminal rate, says Wealth Enhancement Group's Nicole WebbVictoria Greene of G Squared Private Wealth, Meera Pandit of JPMorgan Asset Management, and Nicole Webb of Wealth Enhancement Group join 'Closing Bell' to discuss market forecast for 2023, market response to Fed rate policy, and opportunities in the bond market.
New York CNN —So much for that big stock market comeback this year. At one point in mid-January, the average of 30 blue chips was up nearly 4% in 2023. It’s harder to justify more expensive valuations for the market in an environment where higher interest rates will likely eat into profits. He speculated that if inflation doesn’t cool off soon, the Fed may need to keep raising rates all the way up to 6%. “If there is a recession, profits will likely fall sharply.”Still, Kelly is cautiously optimistic that 2024 and beyond will be better years for earnings, and therefore stocks.
Asia equities fall on fear of hawkish central bank hikes
  + stars: | 2023-02-22 | by ( Selena Li | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
"It concerns the market that central banks will have to hike rates a lot more to curb inflation," said Kerry Craig, JPMorgan Asset Management's global market strategist. New Zealand's central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to a more than 14-year high of 4.75% on Wednesday. read moreThe central bank said it expected to keep tightening further to ensure inflation returned to its target range over the medium term. Japan's Nikkei share index (.N225) fell 1.25% on Wednesday following a Tuesday PMI report showing the factory sector had contracted. The dollar index fell 0.077%, but analyst expect interest rate rises to lift the dollar, hurting emerging market equities, which benefited from a falling dollar.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market won't retest October lows, says Sanctuary Wealth's Mary Ann BartelsJack Caffrey, JPMorgan Asset Management equity portfolio manager, and Mary Ann Bartels, Sanctuary Wealth chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Bartels thoughts on equities, how to value stocks in 2023, and whether there were storm clouds in Home Depot's earnings report.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Sanctuary Wealth's Mary Ann Bartels and JPMorgan's Jack CaffreyJack Caffrey, JPMorgan Asset Management equity portfolio manager, and Mary Ann Bartels, Sanctuary Wealth chief investment strategist, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss Bartels' thoughts on equities, how to value stocks in 2023, and whether there were storm clouds in Home Depot's earnings report.
Watch CNBC's full interview with JPMorgan's Meera Pandit
  + stars: | 2023-02-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with JPMorgan's Meera PanditJPMorgan Asset Management's Meera Pandit joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss why she sees red flags ahead for stocks and believes the U.S. is headed for a recession.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe stock market is a little too optimistic about where we go from here, says JPM's Meera PanditJPMorgan Asset Management's Meera Pandit joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss why she sees red flags ahead for stocks and believes the U.S. is headed for a recession.
But a growing share of both Democrats and Republicans wants less immigration. This sentiment could be in response to the rise of migrants at the southern border in recent years. But a rising share of both Democrats and Republicans want the country to reduce immigration. After plummeting during 2020 due to the pandemic, the US Border Patrol reported a record-high nearly 1.7 million encounters with migrants at the US-Mexico border in 2021. Last year, a new record was set with over 2 million encounters.
US stocks closed mixed on Friday after a volatile trading session amid weak earnings reports. The S&P 500 suffered its first weekly loss in three weeks and notched its worst one-week decline since December. But the Nasdaq led the weekly sell-off with a drop of more than 2%. The S&P 500 suffered its first weekly loss in three weeks and notched its worst one-week decline since December. Trading on Friday began in the red amid some weak earnings reports.
U.S. and European equity markets were mixed to lower, with the euro and pound lower against the dollar. The broad pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) was up 0.04% and MSCI's gauge of global stock performance (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.12%. "What's been really important is that the market sees a lower likelihood of rate cuts by the end of the year." Asian stocks stabilized overnight after they, like most global share markets, suffered steep losses following that U.S jobs data. "Sentiment in markets is dominated by central banks and the repricing of rates yet again," Kerry Craig, JPMorgan Asset Management's global market strategist, said.
Sell-off fizzles out ahead of Fed, ECB and BoE speeches
  + stars: | 2023-02-07 | by ( Marc Jones | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
[1/2] The Federal Reserve building is seen in Washington, U.S., January 26, 2022. Then comes Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the Economic Club of Washington during U.S. trading plus U.S. President Joe Biden's State of the Union address. DEADLY QUAKEAmong the main commodities, oil jumped for a second straight session driven by optimism about recovering demand in China, and after Monday's devastating earthquake in Turkey had shut down one of the region's major oil export terminals. "Equities have had a strong run since the start of the year so seeing an air pocket emerge now is no major surprise." Additional reporting by Scoot Murdoch in Sydney; Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore and Jacqueline WongOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Australia's S&P/ASX200 (.AXJO) was trading higher ahead of the Reserve Bank's decision but slid into negative territory after the official cash rate was raised by 25 basis points. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (.HSI) was trading 0.67% higher and China's bluechip CSI300 Index (.CSI300) was up 0.07%. The two-year yield , which rises with traders' expectations of higher Fed fund rates, touched 4.4267% compared with a U.S. close of 4.456%. The repricing of higher rates began after strong U.S jobs growth in January, with employment rising 517,000, more than double economists expectations. The dollar index , which tracks the greenback against a basket of major trading partner currencies, was down marginally at 103.45 from its U.S. trading levels.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) bounced slightly 0.4%, after U.S. stocks ended the previous session with mild losses. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (.HSI) opened up 0.68% and China's bluechip CSI300 Index (.CSI300) was 0.3% higher in early trade. The repricing of higher rates began after strong U.S jobs growth in January, with employment rising 517,000, more than double economists expectations. The dollar index , which tracks the greenback against a basket of major trading partner currencies, was down marginally at 103.47 from its U.S. trading levels. Gold was slightly higher.
"The resounding strength of January employment report does not change our view of the labor market. Significant imbalances remain in the labor market due to too much excess demand and limited labor market slack," added Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist at Bank of America. That's because they see the jobs report gain of 517,000 as a potential impetus to push the Fed into more aggressive interest rate hikes. He thinks future months will show a slowing labor market that will force the Fed into halting its hikes. "From a data-dependency perspective, the strength of the labor market suggests there might be need to continue to raise interest rates."
Since March, Rosenberg has warned that by trying to crush inflation, the Fed would inadvertently kill the economy as well. "I think that the odds now are that it's going to be more severe than people think because the Fed has gone way overboard," Rosenberg said of a recession. The contrarian view: With inflation falling, a recession is no guaranteeHowever, not every strategist thinks that a recession is a sure thing. But what I think we can see is the Federal Reserve is overdoing it and eventually, the Fed will have to cut rates." Fittingly, Parker's bets are contingent on his view that the US economy won't suffer from a severe recession.
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