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But there's another lesser-known S&P 500 index that you might not have heard of: the SPW. In contrast, the conventional S&P 500 allocates more weight to the biggest companies based on market capitalization. Big Tech names carry very little debt on their balance sheets, meaning that they are less affected by elevated interest rates. Bank of AmericaIn contrast, the cap-weight S&P 500 is approaching overvalued territory. Examples of SPW index funds include the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) and Goldman Sachs Equal Weight U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF (GSEW).
Persons: , that's, Jack Ablin, LPL, Jeff Buchbinder, Savita Subramanian, Buchbinder, Ablin, haven't, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Big Tech, Business, Bank of America, Cresset, Healthcare, financials, Bank of America's, Equity, RSP
CNN —Four years ago, North Carolina voters handed Democrats one of the party’s toughest losses and one of its most consequential wins. The race to succeed the term-limited Cooper, however, seems to be leaning toward the Democratic nominee, North Carolina Attorney General Josh Stein. But North Carolina is still a purple state with a history of elections decided by razor-thin margins. Mike Stewart/APA ticket-splitting stateHistorically, North Carolina voters have favored ticket-splitting. “There’s no connection between the gubernatorial ticket and presidential ticket,” said North Carolina Republican strategist Paul Shumaker.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Roy Cooper, Kamala Harris, Harris, Cooper, Josh Stein, Stein, Mark Robinson’s, Sen, Thom Tillis, Pat McCrory, Robinson, , ” Jonathan Felts, , ” Felts, Mike Stewart, Jimmy Carter, Barack Obama, McCrory, HB2, Trump, Hillary Clinton, Paul Shumaker, “ There’s, don’t, He’s, Mark Robinson, ” Robinson, Mike Lonergan, ” Stein, Morgan Hopkins, “ Martin Luther King, It’s, ” Trump, Susan Myers, ” Myers, “ Mark’s, Grant Baldwin, Anderson Clayton, “ He’s, Adam Stein –, Deloris Rhodes, she’s, ” Rhodes, Heather Horak, , Obama, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Horak, wasn’t, he’s, ” CNN’s David Wright Organizations: CNN, North, Democratic Gov, Republican, Trump, Democratic, GOP, Democrats, Democrat, North Carolina Republican Council of State, Labor, Republicans, ” North Carolina, AP, North Carolina Republican, Quinnipiac, Fox, America, Democratic Governors Association, Republican Governors Association, , , Getty, Dartmouth, Harvard University, Ivy League, Army Reserves, University of North, Greensboro City, Facebook, Wilmington Business, State Board of Education, Wilmington Locations: North Carolina, Charlotte, Greensboro, , Raleigh, McCrory’s, Asheville, Pink Hill , North Carolina, Charlotte , North Carolina, Chapel Hill, Carolina, University of North Carolina, Parkland , Florida, Wilmington
Harris’ campaign is also leveraging the endorsement of Taylor Swift, which could open a new seam of interest among the pop megastar’s loyal fanbase. The former president also Wednesday publicly toyed with the idea of a second debate, after the Harris campaign challenged him to another round. There’s a case for the vice president folding her tent given that she might not be able to repeat Tuesday’s performance. He weaved a dismissal of the Swift endorsement for Harris into a wider attack on the vice president on Fox News. The Trump campaign is sure to keep up its drumbeat of complaints that she’s avoiding deeper media scrutiny.
Persons: CNN —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden’s, Taylor Swift, goad Trump, Philippe Reines, Hillary Clinton, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, Reines, State Clinton, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Sen, JD Vance, Michael M, Biden, Mike Bloomberg, Andrew Bates, ” Bates, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, ” Harris “, ” Kennedy, , Mike DeWine, he’s, smarting, doesn’t, SSRS, ” Vance, John Murtha Johnstown, Mandel Ngan, CNN’s MJ Lee, CNN’s John King, “ Kamala Harris, Linda Rooney, Nikki Haley Organizations: CNN, Democratic National Convention, Trump, State, New York City, Museum, Republican, New, Fox News, ABC News, Republican Party, Ohio’s Republican Gov, Fox, ABC, , Boxing, UFC, Fighter, Truth, Air Force, Getty, Harris, Democratic, South Carolina Gov Locations: Philadelphia, , New York, New York City, Shanksville , Pennsylvania, untruths, Springfield , Ohio, Cambria, Airport, Johnstown , Pennsylvania, AFP, Wilmington , Delaware
According to Bank of America, one area of the market is set to benefit from increased market volatility: quality stocks, or stocks with strong business models and financial fundamentals. And the cherry on top is that quality stocks — which typically become expensive during downturns — are still cheap despite their recent rally, coming out of a two-decade rut. As seen in the graph below, the high-quality factor serves as a hedge against elevated market volatility. Bank of AmericaQuality is still cheapLuckily for investors, this safe-haven area of the stock market is trading at an attractive valuation. Bank of AmericaWhile quality stocks have recently re-rated to a slight premium, they're still reasonably priced, according to Bank of America.
Persons: , Subramanian, Financials, Schwab Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, PMI, Investors, of, Companies, Equity Locations: of America's
Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Goldman Sachs downgrades Morgan Stanley to neutral from buy Goldman said it sees better value elsewhere than Morgan Stanley. Goldman Sachs upgrades Evercore to buy from neutral Goldman said the investment banking firm is "best in class." JPMorgan reiterates Nvidia as overweight JPMorgan said stocks such as Nvidia are "strong beneficiaries in the emerging AI arms race." Morgan Stanley reiterates Arm as a top pick Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with its overweight rating on the semiconductor chip company. Bank of America reiterates Apple as buy Bank of America said it's standing by its buy rating on shares of Apple.
Persons: Goldman Sachs downgrades Morgan Stanley, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Rosenblatt, Canaan, Jefferies, Williams, Guggenheim, it's, orals, it's bullish, Bernstein, Robinhood, Wells, Shopify, Truist, Wolfe Organizations: NASDAQ, JPMorgan, Viking Therapeutics, Citi, Apollo Global Citi, APO, U.S, " Bank of America, Novartis, Bank of America, Nvidia, Apple, Spotify, Disney, AES, ~$ Locations: Canaan, Williams, Sonoma, 2030E
U.S. crude oil rebounded more than 2% on Wednesday, regaining some ground after prices closed at the lowest level in nearly three years in the previous session. Here are Wednesday's energy prices:The steep selloff Tuesday came after OPEC lowered its demand growth outlook for the second time in two months, and as China crude oil imports slow in 2024. Some traders are worried about Brent prices heading toward $60 per barrel, but this level of bearishness is unwarranted, Galimberti said. Supply and demand fundamentals point toward stockpiles falling, and prices can only rise if China's economy rebounds and OPEC+ complies with its own production quotas, the analyst said. "We don't think we're going to see $60 per barrel in a consistent manner for the next three months."
Persons: Claudio Galimberti, CNBC's, Brent, Galimberti Organizations: OPEC, Traders, Rystad Energy, Supply Locations: China
Don't get caught up in the debate on large-cap versus small-cap stocks — the real Goldilocks opportunity lies in mid-cap stocks, according to Goldman Sachs. "Today, mid-cap equities offer investors superior earnings growth at a reasonable price compared with large-caps," Ma wrote in a Tuesday note. "Mid-cap stocks have typically outperformed both large-caps and small-caps during the 12 months following the first Fed rate cut in an easing cycle," she added. In addition, mid-caps have "stronger fundamentals" compared with small-cap names, Ma noted. Here are some of Ma's favorite mid-cap names that are both high quality with potential to grow.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Russell, Jenny Ma, Ma, Ma's Organizations: Neurocrine Biosciences, BioMarin Pharmaceutical
Mid-cap stocks are poised for greater growth than small- and large-caps, Goldman Sachs says. They forecast a 13% return on mid-caps in the next year after rate cuts. AdvertisementThere's one area of the stock market that is likely set for outsized growth after rate cuts: the mid-cap shares. Mid-cap equities have historically seen stronger growth in the year after rate cuts compared to large- and small-caps, analysts from Goldman Sachs say. Goldman Sachs expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its policy meeting next week, followed by 25 basis points in November and December.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Russell, Goldman Organizations: Service
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket fundamentals 'still supportive of equities', says Vital Knowledges' Adam CrisafulliAdam Crisafulli, Vital Knowledge founder, and Keith Lerner, Truist Wealth co-CIO, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Vital Knowledges, Adam Crisafulli Adam Crisafulli, Keith Lerner Organizations: Vital Knowledge, Truist
Oil prices plunged to their lowest level since December 2021, with Brent oil falling 4% to $68.99 on Tuesday. OPEC cut its oil demand outlook and delayed production boosts, while US production hits record highs. In its monthly oil market report, OPEC cut its outlook for oil demand because of the deceleration in China's economy. That's nearly double its oil production levels in 2014. Senior market analyst David Morrison at Trade Nation said in an email that investors shouldn't expect a rebound in oil prices anytime soon.
Persons: Brent, , oil's, That's, David Morrison, Morrison Organizations: ., Service, brent, OPEC, Trade Nation Locations: Brent, YCharts
Despite a 7% rebound on Monday, Trump Media has lost nearlythree-quarters (72%) of its value since peaking at $66.22 on March 27. The wipeout reinforces concerns raised by experts who have repeatedly warned that Trump Media’s multi-billion-dollar price tag defies logic. The company is losing money, generating very little revenue and Truth Social remains a relatively tiny player in social media. In August, Trump Media launched Truth+, a TV streaming platform on iOS, Android and the Web versions of Truth Social. It’s possible Trump Media’s stock market fortunes could turn, especially with the former president’s high-profile debate Tuesday with Harris.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, It’s, Trump, ” Matthew Tuttle, Barry Diller, , Reid Hoffman, Diller, Hoffman, Tuttle, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Harris, ” Tuttle, Still, you’re Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump Media & Technology, Truth, Trump Media, Trump, Bloomberg, Tuttle Capital Management, CNN, CNBC, LinkedIn, Democratic, ” Trump Media Locations: New York
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) sank 11.7% in the Labor Day-shortened, four-day trading week. That was its worst week since a 15.2% drop in March 2020, spurred by the Covid lockdown. SMH 3M mountain This semiconductor ETF just had its worst week since 2020. VanEck itself launched a somewhat narrower version of the fund — the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX) , with 22 stocks — last month. Looking ahead, investors will likely get updates from several chipmakers next week at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference.
Persons: it's, Cantor Fitzgerald, CJ Muse, Muse, , Bernstein, Stacy Rasgon, Rasgon, VanEck, Nick Frasse, Frasse, Goldman Sachs, CNBC's Gina Francolla Organizations: VanEck Semiconductor, Labor, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Wall Street, SOX, CNBC, Intel, Broadcom, Semiconductor, Technology Conference, Devices Locations: VanEck
Like Thursday's look at buy levels for our four 1-rated megacaps — Amazon , Meta Platforms , Microsoft , and Nvidia — we like the business prospects of those industrial names and think their stocks will move higher over time. Here's a look at key technicals in their stock charts that signal attractive buy levels. By now, members likely know that the two levels we are always going to watch are the 50-day moving average and the 200-day. That puts a first buy level at just over $80 apiece , right at the 50-day moving average and around current levels. That said, a move below $170 would represent a breakdown below the 200-day moving average.
Persons: Eaton, we've, Jim Cramer's, DOV, ETN, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jason Marz Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, DuPont, Dover, CNBC Locations: Dover
However, given that September has historically been the worst month of the year for the market, we're layering in some technical analysis to identify some buy levels. We published our prior buy levels analysis on June 26. Clearly, we should have been a bit more conservative in our buy levels, however, in our defense shares only traded below $162 for two days. However, we must be mindful that a move there would once again mean we've broken below the 200-day moving average. Below that and we're looking for the 200-day moving average to hold at around $89 apiece.
Persons: we're, we've, that's, wouldn't, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Mark Zuckerberg, Emily Chang, Jason Henry Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, Club, CNBC, Meta, Inc, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Menlo Park , California
PDD 's tumble of nearly 30% last week on disappointing quarterly results is a reminder that China's consumer has largely moved on from its years of double-digit growth. "The reaction of its stock price is out of touch with its fundamentals," he said in Mandarin, translated by CNBC. "The entire Chinese consumer market is weak, yes, [but] PDD management's very peculiar comments caused the share price decline," he said. Chen Lei, chairman and co-CEO of PDD, warned multiple times on the earnings call about future declines in profit. Revenue grew by 21%, while adjusted earnings nearly doubled from a year ago.
Persons: PDD, Charlie Chen, Chen Lei, Morgan Stanley, Wang Xing, Trip.com, Liqian Ren, Ren, Joey Wat, Banks, Morgan, Richard Xu, Xu Organizations: China Renaissance Securities, CNBC, JPMorgan, Hong, Management, KFC, Yum, Savings Bank of Locations: Asia, Hong Kong, U.S, China, WisdomTree, Beijing, Yum China, Hong, Savings Bank of China
New York CNN —For months, former President Donald Trump has been sitting on a social media fortune that he couldn’t touch. As recently as May 9, Trump’s dominant stake of 114.75 million shares of Trump Media was valued at $6.2 billion. Despite the recent selloff, Trump Media is still valued at nearly $4 billion. Once the lock-up period expires, Trump will no longer be prohibited from borrowing against his stake in Trump Media. Experts say that if Trump does borrow against his Truth Social stake, he may not be required to disclose it.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, ” Michael Ohlrogge, Kamala Harris, , Charles Whitehead, Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, Phillip Juhan, Scott Glabe, Andrew Northwall, Vladimir Novachki, Devin Nunes, Jay Ritter, ” ‘, “ It’s, ” Ritter, , can’t, ” Ohlrogge, Ohlrogge Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump, Truth Social, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, New York University School of Law, CNN, Democratic, Cornell Law School, , , Meta, Republican, SEC, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp, University of Florida’s Warrington College of Business, NYU Locations: New York
"Incredibly, the Fed raised rates 500 basis points under a false presumption — by over one million — of just how robust the jobs market was," Rosenberg said. AdvertisementIn addition to the yearly revisions, monthly payroll revisions from the Bureau of Labor Statistics have also been poor more recently. Related storiesOne is a model that aims to enhance the yield curve as a recession indicator by taking into account US businesses' ability to repay debts and the Fed's National Financial Conditions Index. A soft-landing outcome, where the Fed avoids sending the economy into recession, is also still the consensus view on Wall Street. With inflation down under 3% and rate cuts almost surely on the way, such a scenario is still seemingly possible.
Persons: , David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Pascal Michaillat, Emmanuel Saez, Vane, Chuck Prince, Ian Shepherdson, Shepherdson, payrolls, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Rosenberg Research, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Fed, Treasury, Pantheon, Labor Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming
More than halfway through the third quarter, many of the biggest commodity ETFs in the United States are in sizable holes. Kathy Kriskey, senior commodities ETF strategist at Invesco, said that oil supply is actually tight at the moment. The commodities slump could be partially due to mechanical factors in the market, such as low trading volumes combined with large commodity trading advisors betting against the sector, Kriskey said. "The price of corn has taken almost three full years from those 2022 spike highs to get back down. And oil, one of the biggest weights in commodity indexes, could see stepped up supply in coming months.
Persons: It's, Ryan Grabinski, Strategas, Kathy Kriskey, Kriskey, Sal Gilbertie, We're, Gilbertie, What's, Jerome Powell, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Matijn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Strategy, United States Oil Fund, U.S ., Commodities, 4Q, DB Base Metals Fund Locations: United States, Ukraine, U.S, China
Why dividend stocks should be a hot play into fall
  + stars: | 2024-08-24 | by ( Ellie Stevens | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
It appears more investors are eyeing dividend stocks ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in September. Paul Baiocchi of SS&C ALPS Advisors thinks it is a sound strategy because he sees the Fed easing rates. ALPS is the issuer of several dividend exchange-traded funds including the ALPS O'Shares U.S. Quality Dividend ETF (OUSA) and its counterpart, the ALPS O'Shares U.S. Small-Cap Quality Dividend ETF (OUSM). Relative to the S&P 500 , both dividend ETFs are overweight health care, financials and industrials , according to Baiocchi. Mike Akins, ETF Action's founding partner, views OUSA and OUSM as defensive strategies because the stocks generally have clean balance sheets.
Persons: Paul Baiocchi, CNBC's, Baiocchi, Mike Akins, OUSA, Akins Organizations: C Locations: U.S
According to Wolfe, Expedia has returned just 3% over the last twelve months and an estimated 2024 price-to-earnings ratio of 10. The online travel agency is rated overweight by analysts polled by FactSet, who have a consensus price target implying 11% potential upside. Walgreens is another long-term favorite that popped up on Wolfe's screens. The stock has 25.3 % potential upside, according to analysts' consensus price target of $12.57, according to FactSet. Other stocks that made Wolfe's "Greatest Hits List" included coffee chain Starbucks , automaker General Motors and medical device maker Medtronic .
Persons: Wolfe, Jerome Powell, Chris Senyek, Expedia, FactSet, Bernstein, Richard Clarke, Clarke, Edgar Bronfman Jr, Bronfman's Organizations: Wolfe Research, Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Walgreens Boots, Walgreens, Amazon, Paramount Global, Skydance Media, National Amusements, Paramount, General Motors Locations: Deerfield , Illinois
While expectations are high and caution is certainly warranted, we don't think it's quite that simple. While the Oscillator and Williams' work do point to possible selling pressure ahead, we don't want to get too bearish. However, we don't think the risks are so elevated as to warrant more than a small cash raise. We still view Nvidia as an "own it, don't trade it" stock, but we also don't keep our heads in the sand. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Larry Williams, Williams, Jim, Estee Lauder, Morgan Stanley, hasn't, they've, We're, Jim Cramer's, Dominika Organizations: Nvidia, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Federal, Blackwell, Apple, Microsoft, Super Six, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: Williams
As crypto investing becomes more mainstream and institutionalized with bitcoin ETFs, Wyoming is already pushing into the next phase of growth for crypto: consumer payments. The visionWyoming is currently vetting potential partners and vendors with more tech expertise to help build the stable token. From there, it should be just another payment method for everyday things, said Flavia Naves, a commissioner at the Wyoming Stable Token Commission. "This is a public token as well so as with any public service, all the information is available." The commission invites the public virtually to its meetings on the stable token and posts the minutes to its website afterward.
Persons: Long, Gordon, Washington's, Mark Gordon, it's, Flavia, we've Organizations: CNBC, treasuries, Treasurys, State, U.S ., Treasury, Federal Reserve, Atlantic Council Locations: United States, Wyoming, Jackson, Jackson , Wyoming, Solana
With Federal Reserve rate cuts expected to begin in September, income investors may want to make sure their portfolio is in check. Instruments like money market funds and high-yield savings accounts will react pretty quickly to rate cuts. Some $6.24 trillion is currently sitting in money market funds, as of the week ended Wednesday, according to the Investment Company Institute . Clark Bellin, chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth in Lincoln, Nebraska, is bullish in investment-grade corporate bonds right now. He prefers individual bonds over bond funds because the investor has more control.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Rick Rieder, Lawrence, Clark Bellin, Bellin, he'll, Fidelity's Michael Plage, Treasurys, Patience, BlackRock's Rieder Organizations: Federal, Treasury, U.S, BlackRock, Investment Company Institute Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Hauppauge, Lincoln , Nebraska
The secular megatrend of AI remains strong as Big Tech companies continue to invest billions into developing the technology. Forward earnings estimates for the tech sector are rising to all-time highs, indicating continued optimism. Investor expectations have now become recalibrated after the correction, providing tech stocks with more room to grow, in Lerner's opinion. AdvertisementTruistA cooling macroeconomic environment will also provide a boost to tech stocks as investors flock back to Big Tech, according to Lerner. With the Fed likely to begin cutting rates in September, many of the Big Tech companies are poised to benefit.
Persons: , Keith Lerner, Lerner, that's, shouldn't, Truist, outperformance, He's Organizations: Service, Business, Semiconductor, Big Tech, Tech, Vanguard Information Technology, VanEck Semiconductor
Several analysts raised their ratings and price targets on Starbucks a day after news that Chipotle CEO would take over at the coffee chain. Starbucks shares rallied on the news, while Chipotle shares fell. He also lowered his price target on shares to $685 from $750, which implies just 6% upside from Monday's close. Chipotle shares pulled back of 7% comes as decelerating trends and a sector rotation already impacted Chipotle's multiple. Since Niccol took the position of CEO in 2018, Chipotle shares surged more than 770%.
Persons: Bernstein, Fatima Boolani, Boolani, — Hakyung Kim, Eli Lilly Eli Lilly's, Berenberg, Lilly, Kerry Holford, " Holford, Morgan Stanley, Keith Weiss, Weiss, Hakyung Kim, Brian Niccol's, Danilo Gargiulo, Gargiulo, Niccol, Chipotle, Laxman Narasimhan, Brian Niccol, Baird, David Tarantino, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Citi, Palo Alto, Palo Alto Networks, pharma, Intuit, Starbucks, Deutsche Bank, SBUX Locations: Tuesday's
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