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☆ Trump's plan to hike tariffs instead of raising taxes could cause the 'mother of all stagflations,' policymakers warn
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Trump's idea to replace the US income tax with tariffs notched criticism from two treasury secretaries. "This is a prescription for the mother of all stagflations," former secretary Larry Summers told Bloomberg TV. Secretary Janet Yellen noted that it would make life unaffordable for Americans. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . The idea, floated by Donald Trump to Republicans last week, would be to slash income taxes by raising tariffs on imports.

Persons: Larry Summers, Janet Yellen, —, Donald Trump Organizations: Bloomberg TV, Service, Trump, Treasury, Republicans, Business

☆ 'We're not backing down:' How the West plans to use Russia's frozen funds, and why some say it's still not enough to help Ukraine
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-16 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The Group of Seven has agreed in principal to provide Ukraine with a $50 billion loan. Profits from Russian frozen funds are to be used as collateral to back the loan. AdvertisementThe Group of Seven has finally moved the dial on a contentious idea to provide funding to Ukraine by using Russian funds. AdvertisementRoughly $322 billion in funds were frozen after Moscow invaded Ukraine and have sat untouched for over two years. That could mean Moscow taps Western funds in the country and punishes any Western companies that have remained in Russia.

Persons: —, Putin, we're, Joe Biden, Biden, Michael Froman, Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, Charles Lichfield, Chatham House's Timothy Ash Organizations: Seven, Service, Kyiv, European Commission, of Foreign, CNBC, Moscow, The, CEPA, Financial Times Locations: Ukraine, headbutting, Moscow, Europe, Kyiv, Russia, France, Germany

☆ Donald Trump reportedly wants to raise tariffs to pay for tax cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Donald Trump floated a proposal to hike tariffs in order to cut income taxes, sources told Bloomberg. The Republican candidate has touted tariffs as a key part of his trade policy. But income tax make up a much larger part of federal revenue than tariffs. AdvertisementDonald Trump suggested tariffs could be increased as a way to lower US income tax, sources told Bloomberg. Trump also discussed tariffs as a negotiating tool over foreign actors, sources separately told CNBC.

Persons: Donald Trump, —, Republicans —, Trump Organizations: Bloomberg, Republican, Service, Republicans, CNBC, Business Locations: China

☆ Energy prices in France turn negative as surging renewable output takes nuclear plants offline
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

French energy prices fell into negative territory on an overflow of renewable power, Bloomberg reported. AdvertisementDay-ahead energy prices in France fell into negative territory amid surging renewable power production, Bloomberg reported. The situation in France is different in that the rollout of renewable power has been slower than in other countries in the region, Reuters said. Paris has installed around 45 gigawatts of wind and solar capacity, and is behind European Commission targets. AdvertisementIf the National Rally party wins, it has pledged to slash renewable subsidies and end the wind power industry's expansion.

Persons: —, It's, SEB Research Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Electricite, Reuters, National Rally Locations: France, Spain, Germany, Paris

☆ Tesla stock could soar 90% now that Elon Musk's pay package 'soap opera' is over, Wedbush says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Elon Musk's pay package approval removes a burden on Tesla's stock, Wedbush Securities said. AdvertisementTesla shares are on track to race higher with the firm's pay package dispute finally out of the way, Wedbush Securities wrote. With CEO Elon Musk approved to receive his $46 billion compensation package, the stock is at last unshackled from the uncertainty surrounding the compensation sage. "Tesla is Musk and Musk is Tesla....shareholders spoke loudly today." Tesla's robotaxi day in early August is the next potential catalyst for the stock, Ives.

Persons: Elon, Tesla, Dan Ives, —, Elon Musk, Musk, Ives, he's, Tesla's Organizations: Wedbush Securities, Service, didn't, Tesla Locations: Delaware

☆ Stock market today: Stocks edge higher to close at a record after upbeat producer inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Max Adams | Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks ended mostly higher on Thursday as investors were encouraged by new inflation data. Data showed wholesale inflation rose less than expected in May, a day after CPI showed consumer inflation also slowed. Tesla shares jumped ahead of the results of Elon Musk's pay package vote, while Broadcom soared after earnings. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Meanwhile, Broadcom stock rocketed higher on upbeat earnings and the announcement of a 10-for-1 stock split.

Persons: —, Bill Adams, Elon Musk Organizations: Elon, Broadcom, Service, Federal Reserve, Traders, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Fed, Comerica Bank, BlackRock, Vanguard, Bank of America, Nvidia, Here's

☆ Russia shuts down dollar and euro trading after sweeping US sanctions take aim at Moscow's financial lifelines
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Russia's Moscow Exchange halted dollar and euro trading on Thursday. AdvertisementRussia's central exchange has barred dollar and euro trading, spelling an end to a market that's been open since the Cold War. Trades were halted Thursday on the Moscow Exchange after it became one of many targets of an expansive new US sanctions package. The latest sanctions are part of a US effort to sever Russia from foreign financial support, taking aim at virtually any global lender that transacts with Moscow. Last month, the yuan made up over half of foreign currency trades in Russia, the FT reported.

Persons: That's, —, Moex Organizations: Russia's, Russia's Moscow Exchange, US, Service, Clearing Center, Settlement Depository, Financial Times, Bloomberg Locations: Russia's Moscow, Moscow, Russia, Ukraine, Russian, Beijing

☆ Broadcom is the next stock that could enter the trillion-dollar club, according to Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Broadcom could be the next stock to reach a trillion-dollar market cap, Bank of America said. AdvertisementChip maker Broadcom looks like a contender to be the next member of the stock market's trillion-dollar club, Bank of America said Thursday. Bank of America thinks Broadcom has even greater potential even after its big quarterly report. Upside drivers will be semiconductor sales and Broadcom's VMWare, a software firm it acquired last year. AdvertisementIf Bank of America's price target pans out, that would place Broadcom among an exclusive group of stocks with trillion-dollar market capitalization.

Persons: BofA, — Organizations: Broadcom, Bank of America, Service, VMware, VMWare, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple

☆ Stock market today: US stocks climb as wholesale inflation data shows big cooldown in prices
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The producer price index slid 0.2% month over month against forecasts of a 0.1% decrease. Tesla stock jumped as Elon Musk said on X his pay package was headed for approval. AdvertisementUS stocks continued their rally to record highs on Thursday after investors took in another cooler-than-expected inflation print. In May, the producer price index slid 0.2% month over month against forecasts of a 0.1% decrease. Tesla stock jumped more than 6% as Elon Musk said on X that his $56 billion compensation package was headed for shareholder approval.

Persons: Stocks, Elon Musk, —, Clark, Bellwether, DealBook Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, PPI, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Vanguard, BlackRock, Here's

☆ The US expands sanctions against Russia-friendly institutions as Treasury chief Janet Yellen says the Kremlin is 'desperate' for outside help
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewForeign financial institutions engaged in Russia's wartime economy are now at greater risk of secondary sanctions, as the Treasury Department's ability to blacklist institutions just got a boost. The update, announced Wednesday, also unveiled fresh sanctions against 300 individuals and entities accused of fueling Moscow's war in Ukraine and helping it circumvent sanctions. "Russia's war economy is deeply isolated from the international financial system, leaving the Kremlin's military desperate for access to the outside world," said Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said, quoted in the report. The new announcement comes as Russia's wartime activity has kept its economy afloat while its partnership with China has only grown. AdvertisementA handful of stock exchanges in Moscow are also restricted, meant to prevent investors from profiting from Russia's war through defense firms and other corporations.

Persons: —, Janet Yellen, that's Organizations: Service, Treasury, Business, United Arab, Financial Times, West Locations: Ukraine, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Austria, Russia, China, Russian, Moscow

☆ Stock market today: S&P 500 closes at a record high as investors await the latest Fed decision, May CPI
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched new highs Tuesday as investors geared up for the Fed's policy decision. Shares of Apple soared as much as 7% as Wall Street cheered its WWDC event. AdvertisementUS stocks were mostly higher Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting all-time highs as traders looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision. If so, that will be below the recent highs of 3.7% from September and October, but still well above the 3% recorded last July, and way above the Fed's own 2% target. The firm's unveiled developments were met with fanfare on Wall Street, and the stock jumped as much as 7%.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, David Morrison, Apple Organizations: Nasdaq, Apple, Service, Federal

☆ Stock market today: US stocks dip as 2-day Fed meeting kicks off
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Stock markets slipped as investors prepare for the Fed's June policy meeting. The FOMC meeting will end Wednesday, and will help determine where interest rates are going. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Investors are convinced that interest rates will remain unchanged, futures markets data shows. Upcoming inflation data on Wednesday should also help determine where interest rates are headed beyond in the coming months.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, eyeing, Brent, Bitcoin Organizations: Service, Federal, Apple, West Texas, Treasury

☆ Bond giant PIMCO sees another wave of bank failures coming as commercial mortgage trouble mounts
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

"The real wave of distress is just starting" for commercial property debt, Pimco's John Murray told Bloomberg. He warned that bank failures could jump amid high exposure to commercial property loans. AdvertisementA "very high" concentration of distressed commercial real estate loans will be drive another spate of bank failures, Pimco's global head of real estate, John Murray, told Bloomberg. "The real wave of distress is just starting," Murray said. Ever since interest rates spiked two years ago, heavy attention has been paid to commercial real estate as doubt grows over property owners' ability to refinance debt.

Persons: Pimco's John Murray, —, John Murray, Murray Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Business

☆ What the US can do to halt de-dollarization, according to one think tank expert
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The US can counter de-dollarization efforts, a think tank expert says. Currency experts have sounded the alarm on what it could mean for the dollar hegemony in global trade and finance. To that end, the US should look to prevent counter-coalitions from forming, and do so by seeking out healthy foreign policy and positive trade partnerships, she said. To prevent the trend from accelerating further, the US should also actively pursue dollar stability through tech-based financial solutions, such as developments in digital payments. The same argument was posed by two other think tank experts on Monday, who warned that internal US dysfunction was the real threat to the dollar.

Persons: —, Carla Norrlöf, Norrlöf, it's, dollarization Organizations: Service, greenback, Project Syndicate, Atlantic Council Locations: Russia, China, Washington

☆ The US office sector will worsen through next year, and the recovery will be slower than after the 2008 crisis, Fitch Ratings says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Fitch Ratings revised its office delinquency forecast for 2024 and 2025. Maturing office loan refinanceability will reach no more than 16%-21%. AdvertisementThings are not looking up for the US office sector, with loan performance set to slump even further in 2025, Fitch Ratings said. Driving the fallout are still-elevated interest rates, cooling economic growth, and a stricter lending environment, Fitch wrote on Friday. Fitch anticipates low refinanceability on maturing office loans through this year, with 16%-21% able to refinance.

Persons: Fitch, — Organizations: Service, Fitch, National Association of Realtors

☆ Analysts are warning there could be zero rate cuts in 2024 - and stocks could suffer if the Fed doesn't move
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Some analysts are eyeing zero rate cuts from the Fed this year. AdvertisementAfter the latest jobs report all but dismissed an interest rate cut in July, some analysts are taking it a step further, and expect no rate cuts at all this calendar year. That's more pessimistic than what investors continue to bet on, with fed fund futures indicating at least one 25-basis point rate cut to occur in 2024. According to market veteran Ed Yardeni, the Federal Reserve should "take a vacation," and leave interest rates unchanged through 2024, he told CNBC-TV18. AdvertisementMeanwhile, Catalyst Capital's David Miller agreed that the Fed shouldn't cut interest rates in 2024, citing that this would allow inflation to run hotter.

Persons: RBC's Lori Calvasina, —, That's, It's, Lori Calvasina, Ed Yardeni, Capital's David Miller, Mark Zandi, I've Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Treasury, Federal, CNBC, TV18, Yardeni Research, Moody Analytics, Federal Reserve

☆ China's explosive export growth could make trade tensions with America even worse
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

China's exports in May blew past estimates, rising 7.6% year-over-year in dollar terms. But as cheap products flood the US and EU, Western leaders are responding with trade barriers. But as Beijing unloads its products on the world, it's turning up the heat on trade tensions. Friday's data suggests that technology products are boosting China's exports, resulting from the country's growing emphasis on advanced manufacturing. Last month, President Joe Biden announced fresh tariffs against Beijing's advanced products, including quadrupling the duties on Chinese electric vehicles.

Persons: that's, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Leland Miller, Donald Trump's, Neil Shearing Organizations: Service, Reuters, European Union, Beijing's, Republican Locations: EU, Beijing, China, Southeast Asia

☆ The biggest threat to the dollar isn't other countries but America's own dysfunction, think tank experts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Foreign de-dollarization efforts are unlikely to spur the greenback's demise. Instead, internal dysfunction could cut into the dollar's dominance, two think tank experts wrote in the FT.That's because the US's global and economic power are the basis for the currency's might. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementWhile they've grabbed a lot of attention, foreign efforts to advance the trend are questionable at best, Kamin and Sobel wrote. Amplifying de-dollarization is rising trade protectionism and the potential for unilateral financial sanctions.

Persons: —, Steven B, Kamin, Mark Sobel, they've, Sobel, bode Organizations: Service, Financial Times Locations: Russia, Ukraine

☆ US solar producers could finally have a fighting chance as tariffs kick in on cheaper imports from Asia
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-09 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

AdvertisementTariffs are finally in play on cheap solar imports from Asia after a two-year moratorium on the restrictions expired on Thursday. In 2023, the Department of Commerce determined that Chinese solar was making its way into the US duty-free, despite tariffs on imports from the country. But this gave way to a flood of cheap imports, causing solar prices to crater last year. Meanwhile, solar shipments from Southeast Asian producers have not slowed, and accounted for 87.5% of US module imports in the first quarter, S&P Global said. The tariffs could eventually bring upside for US producers, and Carr indicates that a 25%-30% price correction for solar modules could materialize.

Persons: —, Mike Carr, Carr, David Feldman Organizations: Service, Solar Energy Manufacturers of America, Department of Commerce, P Global, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Reuters, Commerce Department Locations: Southeast Asia, Asia, China

☆ Home prices are cooling nationwide. These 4 cities are leading the declines.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The share of US homes seeing price declines has hit its highest level since 2022, Redfin said. It could be a sign that national price growth will soon start softening. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMore than 6% of US homes are seeing price declines, the biggest share since November 2022, according to a new Redfin report.

Persons: Redfin, —, That's Organizations: Service, metros, Business Locations: Texas, Oregon, Austin, San Antonio, Fort Worth, Portland , Oregon

☆ The real reason for copper's record-shattering rally, according to one trading firm
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Copper's rise to more than $11,000 a ton isn't supported by fundamentals, according to trading firm Trafigura. AdvertisementSupply and demand fundamentals haven't been enough to support copper's sky-high rally. Instead, the commodity's massive bull run is thanks to expectations of interest-rate cuts, according to the commodity-trading firm Trafigura. The pattern isn't exclusive to copper only, as other metals have also disassociated from their fundamentals in 2024, Rahim said. According to Bloomberg, Trafigura is an entrenched copper bull, forecasting in 2021 that the industrial metal could eventually hit $15,000 a ton.

Persons: —, Saad Rahim, Rahim, Trafigura, Jeff Currie Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg

☆ Russia's biggest energy company says it'll take it at least 10 years to recover gas sales lost because of the Ukraine war
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Russia's gas giant Gazprom won't recover gas sales lost to the Ukraine war for at least a decade. Gazprom will likely lose its leading role in Russia's energy sector over time. AdvertisementGazprom, Russia's state-owned energy giant, likely won't recoup pre-war gas sales for a decade, research commissioned by the company said. By that year, gas exports to Europe will barely average a third of the volumes sold before 2022, when Moscow invaded Ukraine. Although Europe has long been the primary hub for Russia's gas, the war triggered a wave of retaliatory sanctions, upending trade with the West.

Persons: —, that's Organizations: Gazprom, Financial Times, Service, Financial, West Locations: Ukraine, Russia's, Europe, Moscow, Siberia, Russia, Beijing, China

☆ Crypto billionaire Michael Novogratz says bitcoin will surge above $100,000 this year as politicians warm up to it
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Crypto bull Michael Novogratz says bitcoin could top $100,000 by year-end. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementBitcoin could break past $100,000 by the end of this year as political roadblocks come down, Galaxy Digital CEO Michael Novogratz told Bloomberg TV. There's been about 150 million on its way to $250 million in these crypto Super PACs," he said. As political obstacles clear, Novogratz expects it will lead to legislation that can spur crypto upside.

Persons: Crypto, Michael Novogratz, bitcoin, —, Novogratz, he's, We're, it's, There's, Donald Trump Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Galaxy Digital, Securities and Exchange Commission, Innovation, Technology, Century

☆ Ahead of schedule: Why the Fed should cut rates in July, according to Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The Fed should start cutting interest rates in July, but likely won't, Mohamed El-Erian said. "We've had nothing but negative surprises," he told Fox Business. AdvertisementWhile markets dissect economic data points to determine whether interest-rate cuts will come this fall, Mohamed El-Erian says there's enough to support cuts in July. "We've had nothing but negative surprises," he said. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, We've, — Organizations: Fox Business, Service, Federal, Business

☆ Stock market today: Stocks rise and yields fall as fresh data points to cooling job market
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Cooling labor also extended a Treasury rally, with yields on the benchmark 10-year note dropping over seven basis points. Advertisement"When the job market was red-hot in 2022, Fed officials were getting concerned that wage-price pressures could cause inflation to accelerate out of control," Comerica's chief economist Bill Adams said. "Most labor indicators are pointing to a considerably cooler job market now. In Bank of America's view, a reading of 125,000-175,000 would be the optimal range, pointing to continued strength without the need to keep interest rates higher for longer. The bank said a reading in that range would be a catalyst for further stock market gains.

Persons: —, Tuesday's, That's, Bill Adams, Powell, May's Organizations: Fed, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Bank, Here's

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