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Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on June 03, 2024 in New York City. Beyond signaling a still-vibrant labor market, the data at the very least adds to the narrative that the Fed doesn't have to rush to lower interest rates. Even with the unemployment rate rising to 4% in May, the labor market appears vibrant. However, on the other side of the mandate, inflation is still running well above the Fed's target. Most gauges have prices rising annually at about a 3% rate, down significantly from the peaks of mid-2022 but still running hot.
Persons: I've, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal Reserve, Labor Statistics Locations: New York City
US economy added a whopping 272,000 jobs in May
  + stars: | 2024-06-07 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
At a time when Americans and the Federal Reserve are clamoring for clear-cut data about the state and trajectory of the economy, Friday’s jobs report was much more opaque than everyone had hoped. Employment fell in the household survey, while unemployment increased to just shy of 6.5 million and pushing the unemployment rate to the threshold of 4%. Service-providing industries accounted for the bulk of the month’s job gains, with health care and social assistance continuing to lead the way, with 83,500 jobs added. “Don’t get overly spooked by the rise in the unemployment rate,” Bunker wrote. “The labor market is still gliding toward a soft landing.”
Persons: ” Dean Baker, , I’ve, Diane Swonk, , Wall, Chris Rupkey, FwdBonds, CEPR’s Baker, ” Baker, ” Thomas Simons, Jeffries, Nick Bunker, Bunker, “ Don’t, ” Bunker Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Center for Economic, Policy Research, of Labor Statistics, KPMG, That’s, Index, Traders, BLS, Service, North America
Here's what to expect from Friday's big jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Investors will be looking to May's nonfarm payrolls report for more clarity on whether the Federal Reserve can ease up in its battle against inflation. "The jobs report for May is now particularly consequential," Citigroup economist Andrew Hollenhorst said in a note. "A weaker reading [of less than 175,000 jobs and an unemployment rate of 4% or more] would be a final piece of evidence that the slowdown will continue. Citi expects that the report will show just 140,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate hitting 4% for the first time since January 2022. Markets currently are pegging the first rate cut to come in September, with one more on the way in December.
Persons: nonfarm, Dow Jones, Andrew Hollenhorst, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Federal, of Labor Statistics, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S, payrolls
Read previewThe Federal Reserve's aggressive inflation fight hasn't worked to cool off the job market, and the central bank risks sparking a "serious" downturn for US consumers, according to real estate billionaire investor Barry Sternlicht. Sternlicht said high interest rates haven't loosened the job market even in the most rate-sensitive areas like construction. Related storiesJobs in the healthcare industry have climbed 1.4 million since March 2022, the month the Fed first began raising interest rates. The Fed keeping interest rates higher for longer risks further weakening the job market. Other Wall Street forecasters have been warning of the risk of recession, especially as interest rates look poised to stay higher for longer.
Persons: , hasn't, Barry Sternlicht, Sternlicht, Jerome Powell, He's Organizations: Service, Starwood Capital, Business, Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CNBC, Challenger, New
Middle-class Americans are falling behind
  + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
Middle-class income growth has lagged behind that of the upper class since 1970, according to a Pew Research Center report published May 31. There are signs that middle-class Americans are dialing back their spending. Fast food joints, a mainstay dining destination for middle-income consumers, are leaning into discounts to placate frustrated diners. Kohl’s that same month reported weak first-quarter results, underlining how middle-income consumers are pulling back spending on non-essential clothing and discretionary merchandise at department stores. Economic growth has been anemic in recent years, squeezing living standards and starving public services of funds.
Persons: , Jennifer Jones Austin, Thomas Kingsbury, Narendra Modi, Diksha Madhok, Peeyush Mittal, Modi, ” Shilan Shah, ” Read, Hanna Ziady, Rishi Sunak, Sunak, Keir Starmer, Tony Blair, Starmer Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Pew Research, Living Coalition, Data, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Matthews Asia, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Capital Economics, Conservative Party of, European Union, Labour Party, National Health Service, Labour, Conservative Party Locations: New York, India’s, India, United Kingdom, China, San Francisco, Beijing, Washington, Ukraine
CNN —The US job market showed a softer side in April when just 175,000 jobs were added, marking one of the weakest months in the past three years. It was also well shy of economists’ expectations (for 235,000 jobs added) and sharply lower than the 315,000 net gain for March. A separate report released Thursday showed that fewer job cuts were announced in May than both the month and year before. Foreign-born workers: In addition to high labor force participation rates among prime working age individuals, specifically prime working-age women, the US labor market is benefiting from a boom in immigrant workers. Some of these workforce moves typically come at the end of the school year, meaning the May jobs report and June report could show the effects.
Persons: It’s, we’ve, Elizabeth Crofoot, , aren’t, Crofoot, Dean Baker, that’s, Julia Pollak, , ” Andrew Challenger, Ryan Sweet, CEPR’s Dean Baker Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, BLS, Center for Economic, Policy Research, “ Employers, Department of Labor, Challenger, Secondary School Emergency, Oxford Economics Locations: State
Larock's experience comes at a time when, at least on the surface, the jobs market has continued to glide along. But worries are growing that the labor market is beginning to show cracks. Welcome to the good news-bad news labor market, where the collective experience is positive but not as much for individuals in particular groups. "But the bad news is that new entrants to the labor market are faring less well," Peng added. While Peng characterized the jobs market as "strong overall," she said there are "soft soft spots" that are particularly hitting "new entrants to the workforce."
Persons: Samantha McCloud, Victoria Garcia, Jessel Rincon, Irfan Khan, Julianna Larock, Larock, Jacqueline Novogratz, Michael Novogratz, Julianna LaRock, nonfarm, It's, Goldman Sachs, Elsie Peng, Peng, Molly Huang, it's, Huang, David Pakula, Cory Stahle, Joanie Bily, Bily, grads, Ethan Mariano, Mariano Organizations: Temple City High School, Los Angeles Times, Investment Partners, University of Delaware, Fordham, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Goldman, Penn State University, Vanguard, Gettysburg College, American University, State Department Locations: Temple City , CA, Wilmington , Delaware, New York City, New York, Horsham , Pennsylvania, U.S, Washington ,, Hazleton , Pennsylvania
Inflation and the rising cost of living in the US are partially to blame for HIFIs precarious financial situation. HIFIs' spending psychology comes from wanting to belongKnox said that there's often a disconnect between how much money HIFIs make and how much they can afford to spend. Much of HIFIs' spending psychology comes from wanting to belong, Knox said. People want to be able to afford the same clothes or concert tickets as their friends and family, so they keep spending money. AdvertisementSmall spending changes can boost future wealthMany people underestimate how much small spending changes can impact their overall wealth, Knox said.
Persons: , HIFIs, Zers, Natasha Knox, Knox, there's Organizations: Service, DINKs, Sherwood News, Business, Financial, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Sherwood
Gerstbacher, a 50-year-old based in San Francisco, was "really unhappy" at work, he told Business Insider via email. First, he's an "older dad," and he wanted to maximize the time he could spend with his three-year-old son. "I felt that I should take the quality time now since I'll be 70 when my son graduates from high school," he said. However, the decline in working men is also due to some positive developments, like the growth of women in the workforce. AdvertisementEven though he's in the process of returning to the workforce, Gerstbacher said he's continued to prioritize spending time with his son.
Persons: , Francisco Gen Xer, Randy Gerstbacher, Gerstbacher, He's, they've, hasn't, he'd, he's Organizations: Service, Business, CDC, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: San Francisco
US stocks jumped on Monday as traders took in an improved outlook for Fed rate cuts. Investors see two rate cuts in 2024, per the CME FedWatch tool. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Expectations for rate cuts have been bolstered by a cooling labor market, which gives the Federal Reserve room to losen monetary policy. "Investors are viewing slow economic data as 'goldilocks,' with growing hope for Fed rate cuts," Mark Hackett, Nationwide's chief of investment research said in a statement on Wednesday.
Persons: , Nvidia's, Mark Hackett, Nationwide's Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Reserve, Apple, Microsoft, Bureau of Labor Statistics
One in five older Americans have no retirement savings, Social Security doesn't feel like much of a guarantee, and the pension era is over. While the widespread shift over the last five decades to 401(k)s for retirement savings has meant some Americans can't afford the burden of being primarily responsible for their retirement finances, others have been able to work the system to their advantage. Throughout his nearly 40-year-long career in geology, he was able to sock away over $2 million for his retirement, even after putting multiple kids through college. He thinks some just didn't know much about 401(k)s during the switch from a pension or didn't understand them. Advertisement"If I had to tell people what to do, there's save big and save early — or save early, and it doesn't have to be big, but save early and you get all that compounding," Mark said.
Persons: Mark —, , Mark, he's, it's, Roth Organizations: Service, Social Security, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations:
People are exiting the stock market in droves
  + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
The US stock market is shrinking, and investors are pulling their money out at a near-record pace as storm clouds gather over the US economy. A shrinking market: The stock market isn’t the economy (for the most part). Fear is currently driving the US market, according to CNN’s Fear and Greed Index. “We really need to consider: Is this the outcome we want?”CEOs are making almost 200 times what workers areCEOs raked in fat pay packages last year as the US stock market boomed, reports my colleague Matt Egan. Economists were expecting job openings to register 8.36 million, according to FactSet estimates.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Lisa Shatlett, We’ve, Torsten Slok, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, , Matt Egan, Bosses, Alicia Wallace Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, titans, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Federal, Dow, Apollo Global Management, Privately, JPMorgan, Associated Press, Workers, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Labor, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, Nantucket, That’s
Private job creation slowed more than expected in May, according to a report Wednesday from ADP that signals further sluggishness in the labor market. A number of sectors saw job losses on the month. The report comes two days ahead of the more closely watched nonfarm payrolls count from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The ADP report showing private payroll growth of 188,000 in April overshot the BLS count of 167,000. Correction: The ADP figure for May was the lowest monthly level since January.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson, nonfarm Organizations: Dow, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Wall Locations: Central, San Francisco , California, Trade
A soft landing is on the horizon, too — or already here depending on who you ask — and recent data reinforces that. AdvertisementThere has been a ton of moderation in this rate particularly when comparing recent changes to those seen in 2022, another sign pointing to a soft landing. AdvertisementThe soft landing might already be hereDavid Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, believes the US has already achieved a soft landing. "To me, a soft landing is when the unemployment rate has basically hit its full-employment level, and the inflation rate is gradually coming down to a rate that's acceptable," Kelly said. Advertisement"In other words, a fairly comfortable soft landing with occasional turbulence," Draho added.
Persons: , That's, it's, Joseph Briggs, Goldman Sachs, Briggs, Nick Bunker, Bunker, David Kelly, Kelly, Jason Draho, Draho, It's Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, North America, UBS, Morgan Asset Management, UBS Global Wealth Management
Stock futures are near flat Tuesday night as investors geared up for private payroll data while analyzing the latest corporate earnings. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures also each rose just around 0.1%. "Upcoming labor market releases are a clear focus for the broad market," said Bill Northey, investment director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management. "Investors are eyeing the most recent readings on labor market health — JOLTS today, the ADP survey tomorrow and the [Bureau of Labor Statistics] labor report on Friday. All are important data points from a monetary policy standpoint."
Persons: CrowdStrike, Dow, , Dow Jones, Bill Northey, Lululemon Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Federal Reserve, ADP, Traders, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, of Labor Statistics
Job openings fell more than forecast in April, signaling a potential weakening in the labor market that could provide the Federal Reserve with more impetus to start lowering interest rates. The Labor Department's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey released Tuesday showed that the level of employment vacancies slipped to 8.06 million for the month, down by nearly 300,000 from March and close to 19% lower than a year ago. The ratio of job openings to available workers edged down from 1.2 to 1, after being around 2 to 1 when openings peaked above 12 million in March 2022. Fed officials watch the JOLTS report closely for signs of labor market slack as they look for direction on monetary policy. While job openings slid, hires moved slightly higher as did separations and quits, a sign of worker confidence in the ability to move to other positions.
Persons: Dow Jones, nonfarm Organizations: Reserve, Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Cooling labor also extended a Treasury rally, with yields on the benchmark 10-year note dropping over seven basis points. Advertisement"When the job market was red-hot in 2022, Fed officials were getting concerned that wage-price pressures could cause inflation to accelerate out of control," Comerica's chief economist Bill Adams said. "Most labor indicators are pointing to a considerably cooler job market now. In Bank of America's view, a reading of 125,000-175,000 would be the optimal range, pointing to continued strength without the need to keep interest rates higher for longer. The bank said a reading in that range would be a catalyst for further stock market gains.
Persons: , Tuesday's, That's, Bill Adams, Powell, May's Organizations: Fed, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Bank, Here's
For 18 months between 2020 and the end of 2021, Lisa secretly worked one fully remote job and a second hybrid job. When pandemic conditions eased, she thought her fully remote employer would pivot to a hybrid work schedule — and managing two hybrid jobs seemed impossible. Advertisement"It was a good career move at a time when I thought that remote work was going to disappear," she said. Lisa said she'd consider job juggling again if she could find two fully remote jobs that checked most of her boxes. AdvertisementAre you working multiple remote jobs at the same time and willing to provide details about your pay and schedule?
Persons: , Lisa, who's, they'll, who've, It's, Lisa didn't, she'd Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Wisconsin
CNN —The number of job openings in the US shrank for the second month in a row, setting a new three-year low amid further signals of cooling in the labor market. There were 8.06 million available jobs posted in April, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report released Tuesday. Economists were expecting job openings to register 8.36 million, according to FactSet estimates. Layoffs remain lowIn addition to the decline in job openings, other measures of labor turnover showed minimal movement in April. Second, the labor market is a different animal than it was 10 or 20 years ago.
Persons: Nancy Vanden Houten, ” Vanden Houten Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Labor, Oxford Economics, Federal Reserve, Federal, JOLTS, Boomers Locations: That’s
New York City delivery workers who don't use cars have one of the deadliest jobs in the city. There are now more than 65,000 app-based restaurant delivery workers in the city, and about 80% of them use e-bikes and motorbikes. The city report found that 28.7% of e-bike or moped delivery workers experienced injuries that forced them to miss work, lose consciousness, or seek medical care. They're asking for wider protected bike lanes, or even separate lanes for e-bikes and mopeds, and charging facilities for e-bikes. Indeed, "New Yorkers are dependent on app delivery workers to keep them safe and fed during times of crisis," she added.
Persons: , takeout, Eric Adams, it's, Jose Alvarado, Andrew Lichtenstein, Brad Lander, Uber, DoorDash —, Ligia Guallpa, Guallpa, DoorDash, Guallpa's, Lander Organizations: Service, Business, Department of Consumer and Worker Protection, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg, Yorkers, New York Times, Department of Transportation, Getty, City, York, Workers Justice Locations: New York City, York, New York, South Bronx, York City, City, Manhattan, Williamsburg , Brooklyn
Bad economic news so far has been mostly positive for the stock market, as investors worry over whether the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates. The greenback often rises on bad news as investors seek the safety of cash and equivalents, while the stock market gains on good news. .SPX .DXY line 2024-04-01 Stocks vs. the dollar At the same time, economic data has generally deteriorated, or at least not met Wall Street forecasts. For the most part, bad economic news likely could help convince the Fed that the time is right to start lowering interest rates. Based on the prior two months, the unemployment rate would have to rise to 4.3% in May for that to happen.
Persons: Ohsung Kwon, Kwon, Dow Jones, Claudia Sahm, BofA Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Citi, Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New Century Advisors
But after being a stay-at-home dad for over a decade, Dan and his wife got divorced a few years ago. AdvertisementSo after nearly 20 years out of the workforce, Dan has started to dip his toe into the job market. "When I review job sites, I'm underqualified for jobs that I used to do, and I most likely present as too old for entry-level positions," he said. "I'm resigned to ultimately taking an entry-level job if they'll have me." Dan said he'd been advised to pursue an entry-level job at Home Depot or Costco, in part so he could receive health benefits.
Persons: , Dan, He's, that's, I'm, it's, he's, he'd, they'll, Dan's, hasn't Organizations: Service, Yorker, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Walmart, Depot Locations: Costco
CNN —For more than 35 years, Michigan Central Station has lain dormant, towering above Detroit’s Corktown neighborhood as a harsh and stoic reminder of the city’s economic pain. Now, Michigan Central Station, the neighboring old Book Depository and Butler himself are all symbols of hope for Detroit’s future and its ongoing economic resurgence. An aerial view of Michigan Central Station and the surrounding property, including the former Book Depository (left), under construction in 2020. Stephen McGee/Michigan Central Michigan Central Station's Grand Hall before and after the six-year renovation project funded by the Ford Motor Company. And with Michigan Central Station coming online, that’s only expected to grow.
Persons: Ronald Butler, “ We’ve, ” Butler, Timothy Fadek, , Henry Ford’s, Butler, James Haefner, Mary Culler, Ford, , Kevin Johnson, Stephen McGee, ” Johnson, , Johnson, Charles Dougherty, I’m, Geoff Robins, ’ ” Dan Austin, Eminen’s, Rebecca Cook, Bill Ford, CNN’s Poppy Harlow, Michigan Central Stephen McGee, tradespeople, Carlos Osorio, ” Austin, Josh Sirefman Organizations: CNN, Michigan Central, Detroit Fire Department, , Train Station, Motor, Detroit, Michigan Central Station, Storage Safety, Michigan, Ford Motor Company, Depository, Ford, Detroit Economic Growth Corporation, of Labor Statistics, Getty, Honda Accord, Reuters, Denver’s, Michigan Central Michigan Central Station's Locations: ” Michigan, Motor City, Michigan, Detroit, , Wells Fargo, AFP, , ’ ” Dan Austin , Michigan, America, Indiana
In this way, the nonfarm payroll report also offers clues on the near-term path of inflation. As always, payroll processing firm ADP will release its May private-sector jobs report before the government's nonfarm payroll report. On Tuesday, we'll get the latest JOLTS data, shorthand for the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey conducted by the Labor Department. Earnings A few noteworthy earnings reports set for next week include CrowdStrike and Hewlett Packard Enterprise after the close on Tuesday. A report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed the US economy added 311,000 jobs in February.
Persons: industrials, Eaton, Locker, Salesforce, we've, FactSet, Dow Jones, we'll, Ferguson, OLLI, Campbell Soup, Brown, Forman, LULU, JM Smucker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Joe Raedle Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Federal, Energy, Coterra Energy, Palo Alto Networks, Broadcom, Microsoft, Costco, Labor, Labor Department, Institute for Supply, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Body, Donaldson Company, DCI, Brands, Natural Foods, THOR Industries, ABM Industries, Vail Resorts, MTN, NGL Energy, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Getty Locations: Chicago, Palo, U.S, Bath, Toro, Miami , Florida
New York CNN —It’s almost laughable at this point when Bryn Savidge gets a job rejection email. But she is relieved to have at least secured a summer internship at an environmental science publication. But after applying to more than 100 jobs since fall, the Kenyon College grad is having second thoughts. Courtesy Bryn SavidgeOn paper, the job market looks like it’s hardly ever been better. But zooming in on the job market for recent college graduates paints the economy in a much less rosy light.
Persons: New York CNN — It’s, Bryn Savidge, , ’ ”, Savidge, we’ve, , Savidge hasn’t, Bryn, Kory Kantenga, Kantenga, Angela Mangione, Mangione, Angela Mangione “, I’ve, Biden, Moises Brito, Chapman, he’s, Brito, he'll, doesn’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Kenyon College, Kenyon College grad, of Labor Statistics, , Colgate University, CNN, Deloitte, Society, Chapman University in Locations: New York, Columbus , Ohio, Buffalo , New York, Chapman University in Orange , California, Orange County , California
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