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☆ A transportation stock is setting up for an oversold bounce, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.

Persons: DAL, Katie Stockton Organizations: Delta Air Lines, DAL, DeMARK, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities

☆ Using options to gain upside stock exposure with less risk during tumultuous times
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Black swans and grey Swans refer to events that profoundly impact markets and economies due to their unpredictability and importantly potential for substantial disruption. Generally, black swans are rare and lie outside regular expectations, but they have a significant impact when they occur. Their rarity is what makes them unique and their impact, when they do occur, is significant. The 2008 "Great Financial Crisis", sometimes abbreviated as "The GFC", the 9/11 terrorist attacks, and the COVID-19 pandemic have been described by some as "black swans". Still, there are ways to maintain some upside exposure without taking all the downside risk other than hedging.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Biden Organizations: Sunday, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ How to get long the rotation into small caps at nearly no cost using options
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Investors endured a historic move in U.S. equities Thursday as the Russell 2000 gained roughly 3.5% while the S & P 500 dropped almost 1%. Although the small-cap index has dragged the megacap driven S & P 500 for years, I believe now is the time to own the iShares Russell 2000 ETF . IWM .SPX YTD mountain iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) vs S & P 500 year-to-date Small caps seemingly benefited from Thursday's cooler-than-expected June consumer inflation report via CPI, signaling the Fed could kick off their interest rate cutting campaign in September now. Thursday was just the second day since 1979 when the Russell 2000 rose more than 3% while the S & P 500 declined. In the event the IWM does not move higher, an investor has to be prepared (with the cash) to own IWM for a longer term play.

Persons: Russell, IWM Organizations: CPI, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ The return of Wayne LaPierre: in 2nd NY trial, NRA's former 'king' fights for the right to resume some role at gun lobby
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Laura Italiano | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

NRA lawyers pointed to his sudden, mid-trial resignation as welcomed proof of a "course correction." New York Attorney General Letitia James wants Wayne LaPierre barred from resuming any financial role at the NRA. The NRA also hasn't ruled out the possibility of paying for LaPierre's continued legal fees, James' lawyers said. Despite leaving these millions of dollars in LaPierre repayments on the table, NRA lawyers are arguing that they are hemorrhaging money. For the NRA, James is asking Cohen to appoint an independent monitor who would audit and oversee the association to ensure donor money is safe.

Persons: —, Wayne LaPierre, LaPierre, Letitia James, James, Kent Correll, Correll, It's, Wilson, Woody, Phillips, Joel Cohen, what's, John Frazer —, LaPierre's, hasn't, Scott Nichols, Cohen, Jonny Frank, Charles Cotton, Douglas, Nick Suplina Organizations: Service, National Rifle Association, Business, NRA, New York, New, Brady United, Gun Safety Locations: New York, —, Manhattan, That's, United States

☆ Japan is worried about another 'transactional' Trump presidency, Tokyo-based expert says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

However, following the recent turmoil in Biden's party, Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party is now reappraising the odds of a "Trump 2.0 presidency." "I think the issue with Trump, he's very transactional, he's not very predictable. If you're Japan, they're looking at the future and wondering, 'this could be a fascinating few years for for us.'" Collateral damageA Trump presidency is concerning to Tokyo because Japan suffered from "collateral damage" during his first term, Pesek said. "Now Japan has to, in many ways, go back to the drawing board, and at least begin bracing for a Trump 2.0 presidency, which is not going down very well [in Tokyo]."

Persons: Shinz Abe, Donald Trump, Cheriss, Donald Trump's, William Pesek, Joe Biden's, Pesek, Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Trump, CEPR, He's Organizations: White, Washington , D.C, NurPhoto, Democratic, Liberal Democratic Party, Trump, Economic, Research Locations: Washington ,, Japan, Tokyo, Asia, China, North America

☆ How did the auto dealer outage end? CDK almost certainly paid a $25 million ransom
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Sean Lyngaas | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Pinpointing exactly who sends a cryptocurrency payment can be complicated by the relative anonymity that some crypto services offer. The ransom payment of $25 million hasn’t been previously reported. A $25 million ransom payment is certainly large but not unheard of in the lucrative ransomware economy. UnitedHealth Group, the health care conglomerate whose subsidiary suffered a ransomware attack in February that hobbled pharmacies across the US, paid a $22 million ransom to a different criminal group. But the average ransom payment in the fourth quarter of 2023 was significantly lower: $568,705, according to cybersecurity firm Coveware.

Persons: —, Chris Janczewski, CDK, Janczewski, Lisa Finney, Finney, Brian MacDonald, ” CDK, ”, Jon DiMaggio, Analyst1, ” DiMaggio Organizations: CNN, CDK, TRM Labs, Bloomberg, CBS, US Department of Health, Human Services, UnitedHealth Locations: North America, Chainalysis

☆ An options trade that wins if the worst is mostly over for this struggling trucking stock
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Here I'll break down a nuanced options trade for on a transportation stock reporting next week. JB Hunt Transport Services, Inc . Unfortunately, this has been the case for JB Hunt lately. While I'm not prepared to call for a stellar quarter - economic pressures generally don't resolve quickly - much of the near-term damage may be done. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: you've, JB Hunt, Hunt, I'm Organizations: JB, Transport Services, Inc, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: you've, North America's, Lowell , Arkansas

☆ Financial ETF nears substantial breakout, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The charts indicate the ETF could be nearing a substantial breakout attempt. The ETF is comprised of five industries: financial services (33%), banks (26%) capital markets (21%), insurance (16%) and consumer finance (4%). Daily Bullish Pattern First, here's the daily chart. The SPX finally eclipsed its 2007 high in 2013; the XLF reclaimed its 2007 high in 2021, but that didn't hold. Putting it all together, a successful daily pattern breakout also would help the much bigger weekly pattern break out, which would finally create distance from the 2007 high and prompt a multi-decade breakout.

Persons: Banks, XLF, it's, that's, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A lower-risk way to bet Morgan Stanley's upcoming earnings catapult stock to a new high
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Let's start with a longer-term chart of Morgan Stanley (MS) , which reports on July 16. A breakout above this level would be a clear bullish signal, with earnings as the catalyst. Morgan Stanley has been investing in building out its wealth management business for years and it now accounts for more than 51% of its revenue. The trade With low implied volatility, options on Morgan Stanley are relatively inexpensive. This strategy leverages the relatively low option premiums due to the low IV Rank, aligning with our bullish technical and fundamental thesis for Morgan Stanley.

Persons: Morgan Stanley Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ This software stock is about to hit heavy resistance. How to trade it with options
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

I believe Salesforce shares are about to hit resistance and there's an options trade that will win if the stock falters. Salesforce (CRM) dropped an eye-popping 22% despite beating earnings estimates in its last earnings report on May 29. As is common with growth stocks, which trade at a high valuation, beating earnings estimates is important, but even more crucial is forward guidance. The trade To construct my trade, I am selling a $265 call option which happens to coincide with upside gap fill resistance and buy a $270 call option as a single unit. As long as CRM doesn't go above $265 by my expiration date, this trade will return 30% ROI in 18 short days.

Persons: Nishant Pant Organizations: CRM, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Bitcoin is holding support and ready to make another run at a record, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

That pullback has materialized and according to our Elliott Wave analysis of the bitcoin chart, support has possibly been formed in the zone of $59k - $49k. Looking at the 3-chart overlay below you'll find bitcoin, gold, and US 10-year yields since 2020. First is that gold and Bitcoin (blue and orange) have a very close positive correlation. Pulling it all together higher rates have a negative impact on all three; bitcoin, gold, and the stock market, which are all showing a positive relationship in recent months. In summary, being very bullish on the stock market, I would like to see bitcoin and gold move higher along with lower US yields.

Persons: Bitcoin, Elliott, Todd Gordon, Gordon, IBIT Organizations: Tactical Alpha, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: bitcoin

☆ Incumbents pay the price in year of global elections
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +13 min

And elections in Taiwan and South Korea proved the dynamism of the idea that free elections can promote stable governance. The two round French election system once again kept the far-right out of power on Sunday but Macron’s gamble didn’t exactly pay off. An era of political turmoil now looms with a hung parliament, a likely shaky coalition and instability ahead of the next presidential election in 2027. Kevin Coombs/ReutersIndonesiaPrabowo Subianto, a former army general, won the presidential election in the world’s fourth most populous nation, which is home to its largest Muslim population. IranIran wasn’t supposed to have a presidential election this year.

Persons: El, they’ve, Donald Trump’s, Joe Biden, Trump —, Ursula von der Leyen, Emmanuel Macron, Le, Macron, Keir Starmer, Kevin Coombs, Suharto, Narendra Modi, Adnan Abidi, Imran Khan, Nawaz, Asif Ali Zardari, Benazir Bhutto, Sheikh Hasina, Vladimir Putin, Alexey Navalny, Putin, El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, ”, Bukele, Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo, ObturadorMX, Claudia Sheinbaum, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, Sheinbaum, Lai Ching, Yoon Suk Yeol, André Ventura, Peter Pellegrini, Robert Fico, Fico, Nelson Mandela —, —, Macky Sall, Sall, Bassirou Diomaye Faye, Ebrahim Raisi, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Masoud Pezeshkian, ultraconservative Saeed Jalili, Pezeshkian Organizations: CNN, European Union, United States –, France, European People’s Party, Popular Front, Britain Voters, Conservative, Labour Party, Reuters, Reuters Indonesia Prabowo, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Pakistan Muslim League, Pakistan People’s Party, Bangladeshi, Kremlin, El, El Salvador Strongman, El Salvador —, Getty, Democratic Progressive Party, Portugal Incumbents, Democratic Alliance coalition, Putin, Russian, South Africa Voters, National Congress, ANC, Democratic Alliance Locations: France, Britain, Iran, El Salvador, Slovakia, Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa, United States, India, Senegal, Taiwan, South Korea, Germany, London, Reuters Indonesia, Subianto, New Delhi, Reuters Pakistan, Pakistan, —, Bangladesh, South Asia, America, China, Beijing, Portugal, Ukraine, Europe, Senegal Senegal, Africa, Sall, Iran Iran, Islamic Republic

☆ French stocks ETF looks poised to resume uptrend following election, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Despite the pullback, a primary uptrend remains in place for the CAC 40, in addition to the related iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ) . Both proxies for French stocks appear to be finding their footing, which suggests that the market is welcoming the latest news regarding the election. Once the final outcome is determined, it would be natural for investors to respond favorably to the removal of uncertainty, particularly given the oversold status of French stocks. This suggests a counter-trend phase of outperformance is possible for French stocks versus U.S. stocks. Recent stabilization in many French stocks shows a positive reaction to widespread intermediate-term oversold conditions, which we gauge using the weekly stochastic oscillator.

Persons: LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton, Katie Stockton Organizations: CAC, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: France, EWQ

☆ This industrial stock reporting Friday could indicate an economic slowdown. How to trade it
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

With earnings season kicking off, we'll break down an industrial stock reporting Friday and how to trade it. Historically, Alcoa Inc. marked the start of earnings season, being one of the first major companies to report results. It has underperformed the S & P year-to-date, down nearly 2.5% and declining more than 20% since the late March highs. The company's sales data, reflecting real-time demand for industrial and construction supplies, is closely linked to economic health. The trade Given the expectation that the stock is unlikely to rebound on earnings, a calendar spread could be a suitable trade.

Persons: Wells Fargo, Wells, we're Organizations: Alcoa Inc, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Fastenal, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Wells, U.S, United States, Fastenal

☆ A low-cost way to bet on the Tesla comeback using options
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

I believe Tesla (TSLA) remains one of the purest AI plays available to investors and has even more room to go higher as shorts cover their positions and investor enthusiasm reignites. The recent surge in TSLA's stock price has changed sentiment as Tesla seemingly has regained its mojo. Another key milestone event lays ahead at the August robotaxi event. However, I do have concerns that the robotaxi event could disappoint and I suggest traders to manage any and all Tesla risk prior to that event. Also, I chose an end of July expiration date for this spread which is about a week before the much anticipated robotaxi event.

Persons: reignites, Elon Musk, Tesla, TSLA Organizations: mojo, Tesla, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: China

☆ Why ABC moved the Biden interview to air Friday night
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Hadas Gold | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —When ABC News first secured its exclusive interview with President Joe Biden, the rollout plan was paint-by-numbers. Anchor George Stephanopoulos is expected to interview Biden on Friday in Wisconsin, the president’s first extended interview with a major media network since his disastrous debate performance last week that has led many in the Democratic Party to question whether Biden should be the nominee. ABC had planned to release clips Friday evening, and the whole interview would air during Stephanopoulos’ Sunday morning show, “This Week With George Stephanopoulos.”Recognizing this extraordinary political moment, however, ABC had a change of heart. When ABC executives agreed to a time slot for the interview on Friday evening, they notified the White House and changed course, the source said. It’s not clear how long the interview will end up lasting, but ABC affiliates have it slated for a 30-minute special.

Persons: Joe Biden, George Stephanopoulos, Biden, ”, Donald Trump, Stephanopoulos, Bill Clinton Organizations: CNN, ABC News, ABC, Democratic Party, ” ABC, White, Biden, White House Locations: Wisconsin, Stephanopoulos

☆ A buying opportunity in a consumer stock with a long-term bullish trend, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

I'm always on the lookout for stocks with ideal technical set-ups, and my favorite one is a chart with a long-term uptrend and short-term pullback. I actually call this setup a "fat pitch" chart. So when a chart is in a primary uptrend, and then has a decent pullback to make a higher low, this fat pitch chart can often provide a fantastic "buy on the dips" opportunity. We can also see that the RSI is currently just above the 40 level, which tells us that the price momentum remains fairly bullish despite the recent price pullback. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: I'm, CROX, that's, trendline Organizations: Crocs, Inc, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ An options bet that wins if homebuilder stocks continue to weaken under high rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Back in late May I published a bearish thesis on the homebuilders and laid out a trade for D.R. Since then, homebuilders have continued to underperform the S & P 500 and as 10-year yields continue to climb back towards 4.5%. I believe that there is further downside and currently there is another opportunity to take another bearish trade on DHI. Just earlier this week the $140 support level was broken and we can now confirm a new bearish trend. The total risk on this trade would be $625 per contract if DHI is above $140 at expiration.

Persons: Horton, homebuilders, DHI Organizations: D.R, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: DHI

☆ A full breakdown of the S&P 500's chart and what it indicates about the second half
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-02 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Let's look at what the the S & P 500's first half taught us about the chances for more gains in the second half. From Q1 1995 through Q2 1998, the S & P 500 was up 14 straight quarters. Below are four important factors we're continuing to watch closely into the year's second half. 116 of them are up more than the S & P 500 (+14.8%) through July 1 st , 2024. Good closes The S & P 500 has closed above its intra-day mid-point 77/125 trading days through Monday.

Persons: We've, That's, they'll, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Singtel Group CFO discusses the company's new growth plan Singtel28
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSingtel Group CFO discusses the company's approach under the new growth planArthur Lang of Singtel says its businesses and affiliates are "in a very good position" but the company will continue to look at partnerships and investments as long as there is a reason for it.

Persons: Arthur Lang, Singtel Organizations: Singtel

☆ How to construct a winning options strategy on a software stock that had a big June
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-02 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The charts indicate the TurboTax maker could be caught in a trading range from here and I've got an options strategy that wins if it remains stuck. An Iron Condor is a great trade structure to use when dealing with trading ranges like this one. To construct an Iron Condor, all I have to do is sell a call credit spread and a put credit spread at the same time. Most trading platforms will allow you to put this trade as one unit by selecting "Sell Iron Condor" as the trade structure. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: I've, INTU, Nishant Pant Organizations: Intuit, Condor, Iron Condor, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A market hedge if this atypical election run-up causes an S&P 500 correction
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The S & P 500 has yielded an average return of 7.9% since 1928, the year Herbert Hoover was elected. LBJ's presidency was also notable because he chose not to seek reelection in 1968, a year with a modest S & P return of 7.7%. A market correction could be more likely now than it seemed two weeks ago, as suggested by the current pricing of S & P options. Options such as SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) August $535 puts are currently priced around $5.50, about 1% of SPY's price, while S & P 500 5350 puts are around $50. SPY YTD mountain SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust If a correction does occur, investors could monetize, roll, or spread the hedge.

Persons: Herbert Hoover, Hoover, Carter, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, LBJ's, Trump Organizations: Trump, JFK, FDR, Nvidia, Trust, Democratic National Convention, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: George H.W .

☆ Cathie Wood's ARK Innovation ETF poised to break out of its sideways trading, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Persons: Cathie, ARKK, Katie Stockton Organizations: Innovation, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: ARKK

☆ A financially independent entrepreneur shares the 'ticket for passive income' — and how she plans to grow from a six-figure business to 'multiple seven figures'
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-30 | by ( Kathleen Elkins | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewLiz Wilcox brings in, on average, $40,000 a month from her email marketing business — and she's not logging a lot of hours. Her business brought in five figures while she competed on the reality TV show without access to the outside world. AdvertisementThanks to the way she's set up her business, "I really could disappear for a month," said Wilcox. Because almost every business, if they're doing it right, is doing email marketing."

Persons: —, Liz Wilcox, I've, Wilcox, Burger King, We've, Liz, she'd, we'd Organizations: Service, Business, BI Locations: Destin , Florida

☆ An options trade that wins if the red-hot chip trade cools off in the second half
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Although Micron (MU) has not had Nvidia's meteoric performance, it has been a stellar stock, doubling in the last year and up over 50% in 2024. The AI boom has buoyed memory chips higher as these chips have become a more important component for artificial intelligence accelerators. However, the possibly unrealistic bar now being set for AI earnings reports saw Micron drop more than 7% on high volume. I want to express a short-term bearish view in Micron as I believe further profit-taking will occur in the third quarter. Micron is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world, specializing in high-bandwidth memory and storage chips.

Persons: Long Organizations: Micron, Nvidia, JPMorgan, MU, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: CapEx

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