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See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering in the mid-6% range, according to Zillow data. Current 15-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates are in the high 5% range, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.
Persons: Trump, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump's, Kamala Harris, you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, We'll Organizations: Investors, Trump, Federal, Fed, Zillow Locations: Chevron
Goldman Sachs has modeled out some election outcomes, along with how the S & P 500 will react, ahead of the results. Trump wins and Republicans sweep A 25% likelihood, with the S & P 500 set to rise 3%. Trump wins, but the government is divided A 30% likelihood, with the S & P 500 set to gain 1.5%. This scenario will still be positive for markets, with the S & P 500 set to gain 1.5% afterward, the note read. However, investors could step in and buy the dip on the S & P 500, the firm said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris Organizations: U.S, Republicans, Trump, Republican, Nasdaq, Democratic Locations: Wednesday's, cyclicals
Chinese Premier Li Qiang spurred market expectations for more stimulus in a speech. China's services activity and business confidence rose in October, boosting market sentiment. Beijing is monitoring the US presidential election and may adjust its fiscal stimulus based on its outcome. He also drummed up market expectations for more economic stimulus, saying Beijing has "ample space for fiscal policy and monetary policy." AdvertisementBeijing is likely to roll out a bigger stimulus to buffer market volatility if Republican candidate Donald Trump wins, Varathan wrote.
Persons: Li Qiang, , Li's, Wang Zhe, Wang, Hong, Harris, Vishnu, Mizuho Bank's, Donald Trump, Varathan Organizations: Service, P Global, Protesters, Caixin Insight, Deutsche Bank, PMI, National People's Congress, Trump Presidency, Reuters Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, Japan
With Election Day upon us, many investors are wondering how to, or if they even should, position their stock portfolios ahead of knowing who the next president will be. Indecision will hurt the stock market, not destroy it, but bruise it because the only thing markets really hate is uncertainty." Jim also wrote Sunday that the stock market will more than likely be just fine no matter who wins the presidency. Bottom line A quick and decisive presidential election outcome — one way or the other — is what's best for the stock market. Combination with Former President and Republican Presidential Candidate Donald Trump (L), and Vice President and Democratic Presidential Candidate Kamala Harris.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, That's, Joe Biden, Jim Cramer, Jim, we've, Barack Obama, Biden, George W, Bush, Richard Nixon, Jim Cramer's Organizations: NBC News, Democratic, Republican, Trump, JPMorgan, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC
Polls close Tuesday night, but it's unclear when we'll know the results of the 2024 election. Some states' election laws allow for some votes to be counted before polls close; others do not. Here's where things stand — and what to watch for on election night. 7 p.m. — Polls close in Georgia, where a winner could be declared by late Tuesday night. AdvertisementThe winner must get at least 270 electoral votes — a majority of the 538 total.
Persons: we'll, , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Harris, Trump Organizations: Service, Keystone State, Pennsylvania, CNN, College, Electoral, Trump, Sun Locations: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Time, North Carolina, Pennsylvania . Michigan, Pennsylvania, Democratic, Milwaukee, Nevada, Pennsylvania , Michigan, Arizona , Nevada , Georgia
The U.S. presidential election takes place Tuesday as an ultra-tight campaign season ends. Under a Harris victory, Morgan Stanley sees retailers and clean energy stocks outperforming as the threat of higher tariffs lifts. Investors can keep track of these sectors through two ETFs: the SPDR S & P Retail ETF (XRT) and the Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) . ETFs tracking financials and the fossil fuel producers include the Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) and the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) . XLF XLE YTD mountain XLF and XLE year to date These funds could also see sharp moves as exit polls and election results are reported, if they show one candidate pulling ahead.
Persons: It's, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Morgan Stanley, XRT, TAN, Wolfe, cryptocurrency, XLF, XLE, Bernstein Organizations: U.S, NBC, Wolfe Research, P Retail, Trump, Energy, eBay, EBAY
The bond market, which has already seen dramatic moves leading up to the U.S. presidential election, could see even bigger price action depending on the outcome. One big theme investors are considering is the possibility of a Donald Trump win and higher bond yields that could follow. "I expect them to be worried that Trump would enact all those tax cuts, and I think bond yields would rise." US10Y 3M mountain 10-year Treasury The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield surged 50 basis points in October, marking the biggest monthly increase since September 2022. "There is room for rates to move in either direction depending on [the] election outcome."
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jeremy Siegel, Kamala Harris, Stephanie Roth, Roth, Siegel Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, White, Republican, Senate, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Trump, Wolfe Research
Election Day is here, and with it comes a parade of stressors. Many Americans are not only worried about the outcome, but what might happen in the aftermath, regardless of who wins. And 56% are worried that the 2024 election could be the end of democracy in the United States. With 24-hour news coverage already underway, it's nearly impossible to avoid the anxiety the day promises. "Talk to family and friends you find assuring and helpful to reduce your anxiety," Kennedy says.
Persons: Vanessa Kennedy, Kennedy Organizations: American Psychological Association Locations: United States, Austin , Texas
Bolster your portfolio for any Election Day outcome
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +7 min
With Election Day underway, income investors should soon find out how their portfolio may — or may not — be affected by the outcome. Harris has said she wants to boost the corporate tax rate to 28% and increase the top rate for long-term capital gains to 28% for those making more than $1 million. That means that those who are buying AMT bonds but not paying AMT are getting free income, he said. Lastly, a higher corporate tax rate could also spur banks and insurance companies to return to the muni market. The companies owned a lot of municipal bonds when the tax rate was 35% and many bought more corporate bonds when the tax rate fell to 21%, Brandon said.
Persons: Colleen Cunniffe, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Collin Martin, Martin, Trump, Harris, Dan Close, Craig Brandon, Brandon, Andrzej Skiba, Skiba, Schwab's Martin, Cunniffe, Cunniff, Darla Mercado Organizations: Vanguard, Wells Fargo Institute, Schwab Center, Financial Research, US, Treasury, , munis, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Investors, Trump, RBC Global, Management, Federal Reserve Locations: China, Nuveen, U.S
Voting has now wrapped up in all seven swing states and most others. But no swing states have been called, and the race will hinge on their results. Bomb threats roiled polling places in swing states, including Georgia, Arizona and Michigan. Though the election is by no means over, Mr. Trump is showing strength, winning states like Texas and Florida easily. Democrats will have to run the tables in the Republican states of Ohio and Montana to maintain their one-seat control of the Senate.
Persons: Lisa Blunt Rochester, Angela Alsobrooks, Donald J, Trump, Kamala Harris, Jonathan Weisman, Harris, , Ms, Rick Scott, Larry Hogan, Jim Justice, Joe Manchin III, Organizations: Electoral, Mr, Republican, Senate, Republicans, Democratic National Committee, Washington , D.C Locations: Delaware, Maryland, Ohio, Montana, — Arizona , Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Florida, Mar, Washington ,
If this week's presidential election has you nervously eyeing your finances, you're not alone. Consider research published earlier this year from Carson Research Group, which tracked the performance of the S&P 500 under every presidency since 1953. If you followed the same strategy, but only invested with Democrats, you'd have about $60,000. "If you got out of the market because you didn't like the person who was in office, you gave up some really great gains," says Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at the Carson Group. "However, the anxiety and fear that's coming from it — it's still worth thinking about addressing that directly."
Persons: Ryan Detrick, Dan Egan Organizations: Ottawa Hills High School, , Carson Research Group, Republican, you'd, Carson Locations: Grand Rapids , Michigan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhoever wins Pennsylvania will win this election, says Evercore ISI's Sarah BianchiSarah Bianchi, Evercore ISI chief strategist of international political affairs and public policy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the 2024 election, what to watch for in tonight's election results, and more.
Persons: Evercore, Sarah Bianchi Sarah Bianchi Organizations: Pennsylvania
If the former president wins, Caparra’s “my version of this country” comment could be instructive. Economic concerns dominateIf Trump wins, voters like Joseph Knowles and Brian McMutuary will be part of his comeback math too. CNNIf Harris wins, women will be the foundation of her coalition. Many Trump voters echo their candidate in saying the only way for Harris to win is through fraud. Attorney Joan London is another Haley voter turned Harris voter.
Persons: Pennsylvania CNN — Shannon Elliott, Kristin Caparra, “ I’m, ’ ’, Elliott, , ” Caparra, Kamala Harris, , Caparra, Drexel Hill, Donald Trump, ” Elliott, Joe Biden’s, Caparra’s, Diehard Trump, Nikki Haley, Trump, Harris, ” Ebersole, Joseph Knowles, Brian McMutuary, Knowles, Biden, “ We’ve, , ” Knowles, John King, CNN McMutuary, McMutuary, Tamara Varga, Suresh Sharma, , ” John King, Lakeysha Hallmon, ” Hallmon, ” Shannon Elliott, ’ ” Elliott, Michael Pesce, Haley, Angela Lang, Chris Mudd, ” Trump, “ He’s, ’ ”, Pesce, Pennsylvania Haley, Joan London, she’s Organizations: Pennsylvania CNN, Trump, Drexel Hill, Democratic Socialist Party, Swarthmore, Drexel, South Carolina Gov, Republicans, CNN, Republican, Republican Party, Biden, White, Democratic, Black, Communities, Reagan Republican, GOP Locations: Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Swarthmore, Delaware County, Washington, Iowa, Michigan, Macomb County, Milwaukee, , Tucson , Arizona, Georgia, Atlanta, Bucks County, New Tripoli , Pennsylvania, Cedar Falls , Iowa, London
It is currently 5% off its all-time high, after trading near it last week. Stocks tied to the price of the cryptocurrency got a boost in earlier trading during regular stock market hours. Investors are expecting bitcoin trading to be choppy until a clear winner is declared. "Expect bitcoin – and crypto more broadly – to be choppy in the days ahead … until we have definitive election results." "For now, everyone we've spoken to is keeping their powder dry," said James Davies, CEO at crypto futures and options trading platform Crypto Valley Exchange.
Persons: bitcoin, Stocks, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Ryan Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Harris, Julio Moreno, James Davies, I've Organizations: U.S, Metrics, Investors, Bitwise Asset Management, Trump, Federal
Some health experts said elevating Kennedy, even in an informal Trump administration position, could potentially lead to severe consequences for patients, drugmakers and the nation's public health overall. That could exacerbate the nation's existing public health challenges, such as declining childhood vaccination rates for several preventable diseases, some experts say. "I think we could reasonably predict that there would be a decline in vaccination rates among children, and perhaps vaccination overall." Drugmakers such as Pfizer and Moderna are still recovering from falling Covid vaccination rates in the U.S., which have dented their profits over the last two years. Kennedy's other proposals for overhauling federal health agencies will likely be difficult to execute.
Persons: Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Anna Moneymaker, Kennedy, Trump, Dr, Paul Offit, Drew Altman, Altman, Genevieve Kanter, Cynthia Blancas, Deep Patel, Christina House, they've, Offit, Andrew Kelly, USC's Kanter, that's, Georges Benjamin, Covid, Kanter Organizations: Gas, Getty, White House, Trump, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, CNBC, and Drug Administration, Centers for Disease Control, Commonwealth Fund, Senate, Washington Post, University of Southern, CVS, Los Angeles Times, CDC, Pfizer, Moderna, NBC, Health Defense, FDA, Department of Health, Human Services, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, Reuters, American Public Health Association, Pharma Locations: Duluth , Georgia, U.S, University of Southern California, Lynwood, Huntington Park, Samoa, White Oak , Maryland
The closest presidential races have brought stronger relief rallies, according to data from past election cycles analyzed by CNBC. The S&P 500 has gone on to gain around 1.5% on average between Election Day and the end of that respective calendar year, data from every presidential matchup since 1980 shows. That average performance shoots up to 3.9% when looking at just the tightest races from that period. NBC News' latest polling shows the contest is neck-and-neck between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris as Americans head to the polls on Tuesday. "Very close elections, like the one we have currently, are usually greeted with a market bounce, irrespective of who wins or the policies they introduce," TS Lombard economist Dario Perkins said in a note to clients.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Dario Perkins Organizations: CNBC, NBC
That’s why Trump, who closely follows the stock market and obsessed over it as president, should be nervous about the recent trend on Wall Street. If the market goes down, the incumbent party gets replaced,” Stovall told CNN in a phone interview Monday. Market indicator was right in 2016 and 2020Vice President Kamala Harris should feel relieved the market has seen solid gains. In 2016, the S&P 500 dipped 2.2% in the lead-up to Trump’s matchup with the Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton. Yet there’s another market indicator that offers a reason for hope for the Harris camp.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, CFRA Research’s Sam Stovall, Trump, ” Stovall, , Stovall, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Barack Obama, Kamala Harris, Dwight Eisenhower, Adlai Stevenson, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Obama, Joe Biden, Hubert Humphrey, Richard Nixon, Harris, Humphrey, Jimmy Carter, Carter, , Doug Ramsey, Dow, We’re, ” Ramsey Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, , CNN, Lehman Brothers, AIG, Trump, Democratic, State, Democratic Party, Investment, Federal, Dow Jones Locations: New York, Chicago, Vietnam, Iran, Monday’s
Bitcoin, an asset tied to a Trump victory given the candidates courtship of the industry, soared to a record $75,000 . Heading into the election, investors and analysts pointed to several stocks and sectors that could benefit from a Trump win. Here's a roundup of some of those: Steel stocks If Trump regains the presidency, JPMorgan expects steel stocks to outperform . Related stocks that could outperform under a Trump victory include Nucor , Cleveland-Cliffs , Kaiser Aluminum and MP Materials , according to Peterson. Supporters of Trump have also used the stock as a way to invest in a Trump victory.
Persons: Donald Trump ., Trump, Kamala Harris, Here's, Bill Peterson, Peterson, UBS's, Goldman Sachs, Strategas, Lazard, Wolfe, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Marion Laboure, bitcoin, Nic Puckrin, David Zerzos, Zerzos, Marcelli, Seth Seifman, Russell, Joe Biden, IWM, , Halliburton, Trump's, ULTA, Michael Bloom, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Pia Singh Organizations: U.S, NBC, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Trump, JPMorgan, Aluminum, Financials Bank of America, of America, UBS's Trump, UBS, Swiss, Citigroup, Citizens, Wolfe Research, GOP, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, ISI, Deutsche Bank, Investors, Jefferies, Military, Strategas, Gas Energy, Evercore ISI, Exxon Mobil, Halliburton, Companies Locations: Nucor, Cleveland, U.S, China, U.S . Southern
Dem. Josh Stein wins Governor race in North Carolina
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDem. Josh Stein wins Governor race in North CarolinaCNBC's Carl Quintanilla and Eamon Javers discuss the battleground state of North Carolina.
Persons: Josh Stein, North Carolina CNBC's Carl Quintanilla, Eamon Javers Locations: North Carolina
As investors await the results of a tightly contested U.S. presidential election, JPMorgan is eyeing a collection of stocks that is less dependent on the outcome. Against that backdrop, the bank compiled a list of stocks with little exposure to election themes. Here is a look at some of the stocks on JPMorgan's list: Expedia made the list. EXPE YTD mountain Expedia stock. SBUX YTD mountain Starbucks stock.
Persons: Expedia, Uber, Barry Diller, Brian Niccol, headwinds Organizations: JPMorgan, Starbucks, Disney, Hilton Worldwide Locations: U.S
I recently drove the Hyundai Tucson Hybrid and Honda CR-V Hybrid compact SUVs. The Tucson Hybrid wins for its stylish looks, great tech, and solid performance and efficiency. The Honda CR-V offers a refined hybrid powertrain, build quality, and excellent cabin ergonomics. AdvertisementI recently had the chance to drive the top-spec hybrid versions of two of the US' most popular compact SUVsThe 2025 Honda CR-V Hybrid Sport Touring is one of the finest compact SUVs money can buy, with a refined hybrid system, great build quality, and excellent cabin ergonomics. But the 2024 Hyundai Tucson Limited Hybrid is my pick.
Persons: , Here's Organizations: Hyundai Tucson, Honda, Tucson, Service
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBranch: The election will be a catalyst for the markets, no matter who winsGreg Branch of Branch Global Capital Advisors discusses the predictable elements for the markets surrounding the election and the Fed meeting this week, and why he's positive on a global shipping giant.
Persons: Greg Branch Organizations: Branch Global Capital Advisors
Investors in Europe who are concerned about former President Donald Trump's potential return to the White House have several options at their disposal, according to Barclays strategists. European markets are already trading with a risk premium ahead of a potential Trump win, and the investment bank believes the full impact may not be reflected in current valuations. "The possibility to bypass Congress increases the risk of tariff implementation in the event of a Trump win," said Barclays strategists led by Emmanuel Cau in a note to clients on Oct. 23. "Compared to a status quo scenario under a Harris win, a Trump win may have broader and more discriminant implications for markets." Under such a scenario, Barclays strategists warned that investors would have nowhere to hide anywhere.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Emmanuel Cau, Harris, Kamala Harris, DAX, Trump, isn't, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Trump, White Locations: Europe, China, U.S, Russia, Ukraine
10-year Treasury yield rises with all eyes on the U.S. election
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The 10-year Treasury yield traded 7 basis points higher at 4.6%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was also up by 6 basis points to 4.27%. Treasury yields rose in early trading Tuesday evening as investors awaited results from the tight presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. "I expect them to be worried that Trump would enact all those tax cuts, and I think bond yields would rise." The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield surged 50 basis points in October, marking the biggest monthly increase since September 2022.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Jeremy Siegel, Trump, Harris, Stephanie Roth, Siegel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Treasury, Trump, Republican, White, Senate, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Wolfe Research, Federal Reserve
The state is a key component in Ms. Harris’s clearest path to victory — wins in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. It has the potential to be the winning candidate’s “tipping-point” state (like it was in 2020), putting him or her over the top in the Electoral College.
Organizations: Electoral College Locations: Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania
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