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Who to Believe? Jerome Powell or the Markets?
  + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Tim Smart | Dec. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +4 min
Last Friday provided a split-screen view of the markets and the Federal Reserve. “Indeed, we look for the return of striking workers to add nearly 45K jobs to November’s payrolls. Wednesday brings the first measure of the November job market when private payroll firm ADP releases its monthly survey of employers. October came in at 150,000, a drop from the recent trend of around 200,000 jobs added per month. Consequently, we expect the post-meeting statement will keep the door open to the possibility of additional tightening this cycle.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, ” William Blair, Richard de Chazal, that’s, de Chazal, , payrolls, , Sam Bullard, November’s, Bullard, Wells Fargo Organizations: Federal Reserve, Spelman College, , Futures, United Auto Workers, UAW, Hollywood, Wells, Labor
Lululemon — Shares declined 2% after Wells Fargo downgraded the athleisure company to equal weight from overweight. The firm said Lululemon's prior positive catalysts have already played out, and it forecasts more muted growth in 2024. Spotify — Shares added 8.8% after the music streaming company announced it would lay off 17% of its workforce. The three stocks will replace Sealed Air , Alaska Air Group and SolarEdge Technologies . Virgin Galactic — Shares of the space company plunged nearly 15%.
Persons: Wells, MicroStrategy, Dow, FirstSource, Richard Branson, Branson, KeyBanc, Carvana, Morgan Stanley, — CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Alex Harring, Samantha Subin, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han, Sarah Min, Michelle Fox Organizations: Marathon, Spotify, Technologies, Uber Technologies, Dow Jones, Builders, Alaska Air Group, SolarEdge Technologies, Galactic —, Financial, United, JPMorgan, Alaska Air Group —, Hawaiian Airlines, Alaska Air, Hawaiian Holdings, General Motors, Cadillac, Chevrolet, Mizuho Securities, United Auto Workers, Palo Alto, Palo Alto Network Locations: MicroStrategy, British, Seattle, Palo
Uber Technologies — The ride-hailing stock rose 4% after S & P Dow Jones Indices on Friday said it will enter the S & P 500, along with Jabil and Builders FirstSource . The three will replace Sealed Air , Alaska Air Group and SolarEdge Technologies . Alaska Air Group — The Seattle-based carrier slid 12% after agreeing to acquire Hawaiian Airlines for $1.9 billion. Alaska Air, which would pay $18 a share, would take on $900 million in debt as part of the deal. Alaska Air is also coming out of the S & P 500 index.
Persons: , Coinbase, MicroStrategy, Dow, Wells, Carvana, — CNBC's Michelle Fox, Hakyung Kim, Pia Singh, Samantha Subin Organizations: Marathon, Technologies, Dow Jones, Builders, Alaska Air Group, SolarEdge Technologies, General Motors, Cadillac, Chevrolet, Mizuho Securities, GM, United Auto Workers, Spotify, CNBC, Hawaiian Airlines, Alaska Air, Hawaiian Holdings, Alaska, JPMorgan Locations: Seattle
The company and the union have agreed on pay, retirement and other items but are working on an implementation schedule, the Southwest Airlines Pilots Association said in a message to its members on Thursday. If a preliminary agreement is approved by Southwest pilots' union board in the coming weeks, it would then go to pilots for a ratification vote. Southwest and the union "are working hard to close out the few remaining items," an airline spokesman told CNBC. "Southwest remains committed to reaching an agreement that rewards our Pilots and places them competitively in the industry." Southwest reached a preliminary agreement with its flight attendants' union earlier this fall that includes 36% pay increases for cabin crew members.
Organizations: Southwest Airlines, Southwest Airlines Pilots Association, . Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, American Airlines, Southwest, CNBC, Hollywood, United Auto Workers
US manufacturing stays depressed in November-ISM
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
REUTERS/Kamil Krzaczynski/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Dec 1(Reuters) - U.S. manufacturing remained subdued in November, according to a survey on Friday that also showed factory employment declining. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said that its manufacturing PMI was unchanged at 46.7 last month. According to the ISM, a PMI reading below 48.7 over a period of time generally indicates a contraction of the overall economy. This measure has not been a reliable predictor of manufacturing payrolls in the government's closely watched employment report. Manufacturing payrolls are expected to have rebounded in November as about 33,000 striking United Auto Workers union members returned to work.
Persons: Kamil Krzaczynski, payrolls, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Reuters, United Auto Workers, Thomson Locations: Normal , Illinois, U.S
The guidance calls for $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes, or EBIT, and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. That compares to its previously announced guidance of adjusted-EBIT of between $11 billion and $12 billion and adjusted free cash flow of $6.5 billion to $7 billion. Ford said the new UAW labor agreement is expected to cost $8.8 billion over the life of the contract, which expires in April 2028. Ford further confirmed on Thursday that the UAW deal is expected to add about $900 in costs per assembled vehicle by 2028. GM's forecast called for net income attributable to stockholders of $9.1 billion to $9.7 billion; adjusted EBIT of $11.7 billion to $12.7 billion; and adjusted earnings per share of roughly $7.20 to $7.70.
Persons: Ford, John Lawler, Lawler, We've Organizations: United Auto Workers, UAW, Crosstown, General Motors, Barclays, GM, Chrysler, U.S
CNBC Daily Open: The COP28 heat is on
  + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The S&P 500 ticked down 0.09% to end at 4,550.58, and the Nasdaq Composite slipped by 0.16% to 14,258.49. The force is risingSalesforce shares rose 7% in extended trading on Wednesday after the cloud software vendor's third-quarter earnings topped analysts' estimates. [PRO] Beware crowded tradesThe S&P 500 is up more than 8% in November, putting it on track for its biggest monthly gain since July 2022.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jensen, Jensen Huang, CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin, Huang, Morgan Stanley, Russell Organizations: Expo, CNBC, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Commerce Department, Gross, Federal Reserve, United Auto Workers, Detroit automakers, BMW, Honda, Hyundai, Mazda, Benz, Nissan, Subaru, Toyota, Volkswagen, Volvo, General Motors, Nvidia Locations: Dubai, United Arab Emirates, U.S, China
BANGKOK (AP) — Asian shares were mostly higher Thursday ahead of an update on U.S. consumer inflation and a meeting of oil producers in Vienna. Consumer spending, the lifeblood of the economy, rose at a 3.6% annual rate from July through September. In Bangkok, the SET fell 0.5%. Facebook parent company Meta fell 2%, Google’s parent company Alphabet gave up 1.6% and Microsoft dropped 1%. Las Vegas Sands slid 4.9% after Miriam Adelson, the casino operator’s controlling shareholder, sold some $2 billion in stock.
Persons: That’s, Yue, India's Sensex, Taiwan's Taiex, Brent, gainers, Miriam Adelson Organizations: Federal, Consumer, U.S ., Bank, Nikkei, Capital Economics, OPEC, Sunday, New York Mercantile Exchange, Big Tech, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Facebook, Meta, Microsoft, New York Stock Exchange, General Motors, GM, United Auto Workers, Canadian, Treasury, Sands Locations: BANGKOK, Vienna . U.S, U.S, Asia, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Australia, Bangkok, Sunday .
CNBC Daily Open: The heat is truly on COP28
  + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Japan's Nikkei 225 closed 0.5% higher, clocking monthly gains of more than 8%, while South Korea's KOSPI finished the day up 0.6%, advancing more than 11% this month. [PRO] Golden crossesThree stocks are on the verge of taking off, according to a chart pattern closely watched by technical analysts. The phenomenon, known as a "golden cross," occurs when a stock's 50-day moving average share price rises above the longer-term 200-day moving average.
Persons: KOSPI, China's, Rebooting, Sam Altman, Altman Organizations: Expo, CNBC, Nikkei, Dow Jones, National Bureau of Statistics, Microsoft, Auto, United Auto Workers, Volvo, BMW, Mercedes, Benz, Hyundai, Honda, Toyota, Detroit, General Motors Locations: Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Asia, Pacific, South, Hong Kong, China, OpenAI, U.S
Check out the companies making headlines before the bell: Salesforce — Salesforce popped more than 9% after the cloud software company reported fiscal third-quarter earnings that beat analysts' expectations. Snowflake posted adjusted earnings of 25 cents per share on revenue of $734 million. It also issued first-quarter and full-year earnings guidance that also topped estimates. On Wednesday, the company announced a $10 billion share buyback, raised its dividend and reinstated its full-year guidance. Pure Storage — The data storage stock tumbled 14.5% in Thursday's premarket after offering a weak revenue outlook.
Persons: Salesforce, Nutanix, Snowflake, Morgan Stanley, Robinhood, James Heaney, Synopsys — Synopsys, FactSet, Goldman Sachs, — CNBC's Brian Evans, Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Samantha Subin Organizations: LSEG, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Nvidia, Jefferies, General Motors, Ford, Ford Motor, United Auto Workers Locations: U.K, Thursday's
Those hopes were reinforced by other data on Thursday showing the labor market gradually easing. Though wages remain elevated, the pace of increase has slowed from earlier in the year as the labor market eases. Personal consumptionINFLATION COOLINGInflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index was unchanged in October after rising 0.4% in September. Stripping out housing, the core PCE price index edged up 0.1% after gaining 0.3% in September. Still, the labor market is cooling in tandem with overall demand in the economy.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Jerome, Powell, Conrad DeQuadros, Nancy Vanden Houten, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: El Progreso Market, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Brean, Commerce Department's, United Auto Workers, Treasury, Fed, Labor Department, Oxford Economics, Thomson Locations: Mount Pleasant, Washington ,, New York, outlays, U.S
DETROIT (AP) — A six-week United Auto Workers strike at Ford cut sales by about 100,000 vehicles and cost the company $1.7 billion in lost profits this year, the automaker said Thursday. The company now expects to earn $10 billion to $10.5 billion before taxes in 2023. UAW workers shut down the company's largest and most profitable factory in Louisville, Kentucky, which makes big SUVs and heavy-duty pickup trucks. The UAW strike began Sept. 15, targeting assembly plants and other facilities at Ford, General Motors and Jeep maker Stellantis. At the end of the contract top-scale assembly workers will make about $42 per hour, plus they’ll get annual profit-sharing checks.
Persons: John Lawler, Ford, Lawler, Shawn Fain Organizations: DETROIT, United Auto Workers, Ford, UAW, Barclays Global Automotive, Mobility Technology, General Motors Locations: Dearborn , Michigan, Louisville , Kentucky, New York
UAW Launches Organizing Drive, Targets Tesla and Toyota
  + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Nora Eckert | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
UAW union members were striking over job security and pay as automakers push forward in developing EV’s, which require fewer workers and cost more in raw materials. So what does it all mean for the future of auto workers and the union? Illustration: George Downs/The Wall Street JournalThe United Auto Workers formally launched one of the largest organizing drives in its history with campaigns at 13 automakers, in an effort to leverage record gains from its recent labor deals in Detroit. The UAW plans to target nearly 150,000 workers at U.S. factories owned by large foreign automakers including Toyota Motor and Volkswagen , as well as newer electric-vehicle manufacturers such as Tesla and Rivian Automotive, the union said Wednesday.
Persons: George Downs Organizations: Street, United Auto Workers, UAW, Toyota Motor, Volkswagen, Rivian Automotive Locations: Detroit
General Motors was the last of the Detroit automakers to reach a new tentative labor deal with the United Auto Workers. Photo: Rebecca Cook/ReutersGeneral Motors plans to sharply increase cash return to shareholders, as Chief Executive Mary Barra seeks to reassure investors about the health of GM’s core car-making business after setbacks in fledgling pursuits such as electric and driverless vehicles. The company also said Wednesday it will work to offset higher labor expenses from its new contract with the United Auto Workers and unionized employees in Canada. The contracts will add a total of $9.3 billion in costs over about four years, including $1.5 billion next year, higher than analysts had estimated.
Persons: Motors, Rebecca Cook, Mary Barra Organizations: Detroit automakers, United Auto Workers, Reuters General Motors Locations: Canada
General Motors is seeking to regain Wall Street's confidence leading into 2024 with several investor-focused initiatives Wednesday following a tumultuous year of labor strikes and setbacks in its plans for electric and autonomous vehicles. GM's reinstated 2023 guidance also includes:Net income attributable to stockholders of $9.1 billion to $9.7 billion, compared to a previous outlook of $9.3 billion to $10.7 billion. Adjusted EBIT of $11.7 billion to $12.7 billion, compared to the previous outlook of $12.0 billion to $14.0 billion. Adjusted earnings per share of roughly $7.20 to $7.70 including the stock buyback, compared to the previous outlook of $7.15 to $8.15. Before the UAW strikes, CFO Paul Jacobson said the company was on track to achieve "toward the upper half" of its earnings forecast.
Persons: Mary Barra, General Motors, GM's, Paul Jacobson Organizations: General Motors Company, Milken Institute Global Conference, General, Detroit, United Auto Workers, GM, UAW Locations: Beverly Hills , California
Shawn Fain, president of the United Auto Workers (UAW) speaks as U.S. President Joe Biden (not pictured) joins striking members of the United Auto Workers (UAW) on the picket line outside GM's Willow Run Distribution Center, in Belleville, Wayne County, Michigan, U.S., September 26, 2023. "To all the auto workers out there working without the benefits of a union, now it's your turn," UAW President Shawn Fain said in a video posted on a website urging auto workers to sign electronic cards seeking union representation. The UAW for decades has unsuccessfully sought to organize auto factories operated by foreign automakers. The website asks Tesla workers to join, saying CEO "Elon Musk is the richest man in the world, with a net worth of $230 billion. The question is, will Tesla workers get their fair share?"
Persons: Shawn Fain, Joe Biden, Evelyn Hockstein, Fain, Elon Musk, Tesla, Harley Shaiken, David Shepardson, Ben Klayman, Matthew Lewis Organizations: United Auto Workers, UAW, REUTERS, Rights, Detroit Three automakers, Tesla, Toyota, Volkswagen, Hyundai, Nissan, BMW, Mercedes, Benz, Detroit, General Motors, Ford Motor, New York Times, Honda, Subaru, Mazda, Volvo, University of California, White, Detroit Three, Lexus ES, Union, Thomson Locations: Belleville, Wayne County , Michigan, U.S, Detroit, America, Mississippi, Tennessee, Chattanooga , Tennessee, Berkeley, Georgetown , Kentucky, Washington
DETROIT (AP) — Less than two weeks after ratifying new contracts with Detroit automakers, the United Auto Workers union announced plans Wednesday to try to simultaneously organize workers at more than a dozen nonunion auto factories. The UAW says the drive will cover nearly 150,000 workers at factories largely in the South, where the union has had little success in recruiting new members. Also on the union's list are U.S. factories run by electric vehicle sales leader Tesla, as well as EV startups Rivian and Lucid. “You don’t have to live paycheck to paycheck,” union President Shawn Fain said in a statement appealing to nonunion workers. At the end of the contract top-scale assembly workers will make about $42 per hour, plus they’ll get annual profit-sharing checks.
Persons: Tesla, Shawn Fain Organizations: DETROIT, Detroit automakers, United Auto Workers, UAW, Toyota, Honda, Hyundai, Nissan, Subaru, Mazda, Volkswagen, Mercedes, BMW, Volvo, Ford, General Motors Locations: Georgetown , Kentucky
GM’s stock jumped nearly 10% on the news. The announcement comes just weeks after GM executives argued the company couldn’t afford to give the union the wage and benefit gains it wanted. The UAW strike dragged on for six weeks and shut down production in key manufacturing plants. New contracts for GM’s unionized workers in the United States and Canada will cost the company an additional $9.3 billion through 2028. Even with Wednesday’s surge in GM’s share price, the stock is trading for less than it did at the start of the strike.
Persons: Mark Reuss, , , Mary Barra, Buybacks, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Warren, ” Warren, — CNN’s Matt Egan Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Motors, GM, United Auto Workers, nonunion automakers, UAW Locations: New York, salve, United States, Canada
Late Tuesday, the company reported fourth-quarter earnings of 2 cents per share, topping the FactSet consensus estimate of a loss of 7 cents per share. Foot Locker — The footwear retailer gained 17% after Foot Locker topped analysts' expectations in its third quarter. The company also issued third-quarter earnings guidance and a full-year forecast that came ahead of what the Street anticipated. Workday — The enterprise cloud stock popped 12% after Workday reported third-quarter results that exceeded expectations. Phillips 66 — Phillips 66 gained 3.6% after Elliott Investment Management on Wednesday said it took a $1 billion stake in the company.
Persons: Locker, CrowdStrike, General Motors, Vestis, Phillips, — Phillips, CNBC's David Faber, Jabil, Hormel, LSEG, , Alex Harring, Darla Mercado Organizations: Rover, Blackstone, Fluence Energy, Revenue, LSEG, General, GM, United Auto Workers, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Elliott Investment Management, Petco, Wellness, Hormel
The quickest growth pace in nearly two years reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday, however, likely exaggerated the health of the economy last quarter. Economists polled by Reuters had expected GDP growth would be revised up to a 5.0% rate. The upward revision to growth last quarter reflected upgrades to business investment on structures, mostly warehouses and healthcare facilities. Inventory investment added 1.40 percentage points to GDP growth. Profits rose at a 0.8% rate in the second quarter.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Christopher Rupkey, There's, Gregory Daco, Jeffrey Roach, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, WASHINGTON, Commerce Department, Gross, Commerce Department's, Reuters, Federal, United Auto Workers, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, LPL Financial, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, New York, EY, Charlotte , North Carolina
The company now predicts full-year net income of $9.1 billion to $9.7 billion, down from its previous outlook of $9.3 billion to $10.7 billion. But GM expects to generate more cash for the full year. To get there, GM expects to cut capital spending, including a slowdown in spending on electric vehicles and at Cruise, its troubled autonomous vehicle unit. In June of last year, electric vehicle sales were growing about 90% year over year, according to Motorintelligence.com. Barra wrote that GM has a strong cash balance due to record profits from selling gas-powered vehicles and more efficient internal combustion and electric vehicle operations.
Persons: Motors, Barra, Cruise, It's, Mary Barra, Shawn Fain, she’s, ” Barra Organizations: DETROIT, , autoworkers, Detroit, Wednesday, United Auto Workers, GM, San, Cruise, Ford, UAW Locations: Cruise, California, San Francisco, Barra, Detroit
UAW aims to organize 13 nonunion automakers
  + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
New York CNN —The United Auto Workers union says it has started an effort to organize workers at 13 non-union automakers with US factories. The union said there are about 150,000 employees at 36 nonunion auto plants operated by the companies it is targeting in this campaign. That is slightly more than the union’s representation at the three unionized automakers, which have about 145,000 UAW members between them. But if a union organizing campaign is successful, the union will be made up of workers from the company. The union has filed complaints accusing many of the automakers of unfair labor practices during those earlier organizing efforts.
Persons: Jeff Allen, “ We’ve, , Allen, we’ve, , Shawn Fain, ” Fain Organizations: New, New York CNN, United Auto Workers, General Motors, Ford, US, BMW, Honda, Hyundai, Mazda, Nissan, Subaru, Toyota, Volkswagen, Volvo, Toyota Camry, Lexus, UAW, Workers, Tesla Locations: New York, Georgetown , Kentucky, America, Volkswagen’s, Chattanooga , Tennessee, Canton , Mississippi, Smyrna , Tennessee
The growth pace, which was the quickest in nearly two years, however, likely exaggerated the health of the economy last quarter. Economists polled by Reuters had expected GDP growth would be revised up to a 5.0% rate. Inventory investment added 1.40 percentage points to GDP growth, instead of the 1.32 percentage points estimated last month. Higher wages contributed to the economy growing at a 1.5% rate last quarter, the fastest in a year, when measured from the income side. That suggested trade could be a drag on GDP growth this quarter after being a neutral factor in the April-June period.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Christopher Rupkey, There's, Conrad DeQuadros, Jeffrey Roach, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Commerce Department, Gross, Commerce Department's, Analysis, Reuters, Federal, United Auto Workers, Treasury, Brean, BEA, Fed, LPL Financial, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Charlotte , North Carolina
The $9.3 billion in additional costs through 2028 is for deals with the UAW as well as Canadian union Unifor, and translates to about $575 per vehicle over the life of the deals. GM's new guidance reduced expected net income attributable to stockholders for 2023 to a range of $9.1 billion to $9.7 billion, compared to the previous outlook of $9.3 billion to $10.7 billion. That includes an estimated $1.1 billion EBIT-adjusted impact from the UAW strike, which lasted just over six weeks, primarily from lost production. GM had approximately 1.37 billion shares of common stock outstanding prior to the buyback program, the company said. GM will still have another $1.4 billion of capacity remaining under its share repurchase authorization for additional stock buybacks.
Persons: Heather Somerville, Mary Barra, Barra, Cruise, Goldman Sachs, David Shepardson, Ben Klayman, Sharon Singleton, Mark Potter Organizations: General Motors, REUTERS, Detroit, United Auto Workers, UAW, GM, Cruise, Bank of America, Barclays, Citibank, Thomson Locations: San Francisco , California, U.S, California, Detroit
General Motors expects new labor contracts with the United Auto Workers and Canadian union Unifor to increase its costs by $9.3 billion and add approximately $575 in costs per vehicle during the terms of the deals. GM disclosed the expected labor deal impact as part of a business update Wednesday in which it initiated a $10 billion accelerated stock buyback program, increased its dividend and reinstated its full-year 2023 guidance. GM said the $9.3 billion in labor cost increases are expected to occur as follows: $1.5 billion in 2024; $1.8 billion in 2025; $2.1 billion in 2026; $2.5 billion in 2027; and $1.1 billion from January-April 2028. GM's expected vehicle cost increase includes $500 per vehicle in 2024. Chrysler parent Stellantis , which was the second of the so-called Big 3 U.S. automakers to reach a deal with the UAW, has not disclosed expected costs of its labor pact with the union.
Persons: , Mary Barra, John Lawler Organizations: Motors, United Auto Workers, Canadian, UAW, GM, Detroit, Ford Motor, Ford, Chrysler, CNBC PRO Locations: , U.S
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