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Why the stock market is going berserk today
  + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
The stock market is in shambles on Friday, with all three major indexes falling more than 2%. AdvertisementThe US stock market has plunged into chaos as investors digest a streak of negative economic data and disappointing mega-cap-tech earnings. Months ago, signs of a slowing economy would bolster expectations for Fed rate cuts, which are seen as rocket fuel for stocks. "Pressure will escalate on the Federal Reserve as market interest rates will continue the attempt to force their hand." She added: "A September rate cut is in the bag and the Fed will be hoping they haven't, once again, been too slow to act."
Persons: They're, , John Lynch, Seema Shah, Ryan Detrick, Carson Organizations: Amazon, Service, Investors, Intel, Comerica Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, York Fed Locations: New York
Read previewThe July jobs report has thrown the economy's soft landing into question — and the Federal Reserve is taking the heat. AdvertisementGiven the jobs report, Nick Bunker, economic research director for North America at the Indeed Hiring Lab, told Business Insider that "the soft landing for the US labor market is in peril." Advertisement"The problem is there's very few indications that this is the labor market we're going to stick around in," Bunker said. "It's clear that momentum of the labor market continues to be downward. "But I continue to stand by the idea that this is still part of the soft landing that people thought was not possible."
Persons: , it's, Nick Bunker, Claudia Sahm, Sahm, Jerome Powell, Julia Pollak, It's, We're, Bunker, Powell, Harris, doesn't, Labor Julie Su, Su, they've Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, North America, New Century Advisors, Fed, Biden, Labor
Now the central bank is mulling over when to do something it hasn’t done since the darkest days of the pandemic: cut interest rates. “A rate cut could be on the table in the September meeting,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday, immediately jolting markets. When will the Fed cut rates? Rate cut probabilityThat said, investors are entirely convinced the Fed will cut rates at their September meeting, according to Fed funds futures data. Torsten Slok, Apollo Global’s chief economist, is maintaining his prior forecast that the Fed won’t cut rates at all this year.
Persons: Jerome Powell, we’re, It’s, Powell, , ” Powell, Torsten Slok, Apollo Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, European Central Bank, CNN Locations: New York,
As much as I may enjoy them, I don't need them the same way I need to pay rent and buy groceries. Related storiesIt's not rent or utilities or the many things I'm fortunate enough to be at least able to afford. The author — pictured with his mom and sisters — relies on his parents financially for fun things. I don't buy a lot of groceries, mostly rice, cheese, and occasionally eggs. But when my parents are here, I'm ordering the Weissbeer that's new on the draft list for a limited time only.
Persons: Miller, , It's, it's, I'm, they've Organizations: Service, Gatorade, CVS Locations: Wawa, It's
US stocks nosedived on Thursday after several discouraging economic data points. The ISM manufacturing index dropped from 48.5% in June to 46.8% in July, marking an eight-month low. Investors are pricing in a 100% chance of Fed rate cuts in September, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Meanwhile, new data shows ISM manufacturing slid further into contraction territory in July. Jensen Huang just got $12 billion richer in a single day as Nvidia's stock soared on Wednesday.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Jensen Huang Organizations: Service, Reuters
Read previewDuring a chaotic and sometimes combative interview at the National Association of Black Journalists conference on Wednesday, former President Donald Trump said vice presidents have "virtually no impact." "Historically, the vice president — in terms of the election — does not have any impact. The Influence of Vice Presidential Candidates in Presidential Elections." AdvertisementHe said that they act as "attack dogs" on behalf of the presidential candidate and work to drum up support for them. For those who do become vice president, history shows they can play a meaningful role in governing.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Trump, Vance, Vance's, Karen Hult, Christopher J, Devine, Joel Goldstein, Andrew Gelman, Gelman, Richard Yon, Yon, Gore, Mondale, Carter, Cheney, Bush, Biden, Obama Organizations: Service, National Association of Black Journalists, Business, Virginia Tech, Saint Louis University, Columbia University, Shadows Locations: Trump, Clinton
Yen braces for BOJ decision with risk events aplenty
  + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
That is followed by inflation readings in France and the wider euro zone later in the day, alongside the Federal Reserve's policy decision, which takes center stage. With plenty of risk events to mark the month-end, currency moves were largely subdued in early Asia trade as investors were hesitant to take on fresh positions. "We anticipate that the BOJ will increase interest rates to around 0.25% at the upper limit." "A rate hike could help stabilize the yen's current levels, whereas the absence of a rate hike may trigger renewed selling pressure driven by carry trades." The yen similarly made headway against other currencies, with the euro falling 0.07% to 165.07 yen and the Australian dollar slipping 0.12% to 99.80 yen.
Persons: Gregor Hirt, Sterling eked, Julien Lafargue Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal, CIO, Allianz Global Investors, Traders, Barclays Private Bank, New Zealand Locations: Bank, France, Asia
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThis as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Beth Keeton, a 34-year-old publicist in Fort Worth, Texas. After the crumbling of my marriage, a divorce, and landing back on my feet, I started my own business. AdvertisementIf there's one lesson I've learned, it's that when your gut tells you something feels off, you need to listen. Now, I listen to what my gut tells me, which has protected my business in many ways.
Persons: , Beth Keeton, It's, I'm, didn't, Dave Ramsey, I've, would've Organizations: Service, Elephant House, Business, Peace University Locations: Fort Worth , Texas
Headline inflation in the euro zone unexpectedly rose to 2.6% in June, the European Union's statistics agency said Wednesday. In June, inflation had come in at 2.5%, easing slightly from the 2.6% of May. Economists polled by Reuters had been expecting the headline figure for July to be unchanged from June's reading at 2.5%. Core inflation, which excludes more volatile energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices, hit 2.9% in July, versus a Reuters estimate of 2.8%. The inflation rates come just a day after the release of the zone's second quarter gross domestic product, which the European Union's statistics office said grew 0.3% in the three months to the end of June.
Organizations: Reuters, ECB Locations: Germany
It is a question based on recent market behavior, corporate profit reports and prospective economic policy changes at home and abroad. It suggests that declining inflation and economic weakness may well be in our future. Recent U.S. economic data has been unexpectedly steady, with recent growth pegged at an annual rate of 2.8% in the second quarter. Unemployment data flashes a warning sign The unemployment rate remains low at 4.1% as of June, but it has risen from 3.7% back in January . Some economists argue that an increase of half a percentage point in the unemployment rate, off the lows, is a precursor to a recession.
Persons: you've, Ron Insana Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Procter, Gamble, Federal Reserve, Clearwater, CNBC Locations: Clearwater, Japan, Switzerland, Venezuela, U.S
Drop bears: The true history of a fake Australian animal
  + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Ben Westcott | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +10 min
“Once prey is within view, the Drop Bear will drop as much as eight meters to pounce on top of the unsuspecting victim. When CNN Travel asked Australian film star Chris Hemsworth for advice on avoiding drop bears in 2018, he said: “Bring an umbrella.”The origins of the drop bearDespite the drop bear’s popularity and growing international reputation, its actual origins are unknown. Not every Australian grew up with stories of drop bears, but those who do remember being told about drop bears by their parents, especially people who grew up in the country or in farming communities. The Drop BearsThere is, however, one clear marker of when the mythical drop bears began to enter Australian pop culture. Tell them you’ve got to be wary or (the drop bears) will drop down and take you,” Batchelor said.
Persons: they’ll, , Ian Coate, , Chris Hemsworth, Clint, Paul Hogan, Hogan, Indiana Jones, koalas, savaging Hogan, Coate, ” Coate, Chris Toms, Johnny Batchelor, ” Batchelor, Toms, you’ve, Batchelor, It’s, Bears Batchelor, thylacoleo, Australia’s Coates, Coates, isn’t Organizations: CNN, of Australia, CNN Travel, National Library of Australia, Canberra Times, TAM, Clint, US, Aussie, Bears, Google, Bundaberg, ITV Locations: Australian, , Goannas, Australia, Zealander, Sydney, New Zealand, New South Wales, Bundaberg Rum
New York CNN —The Federal Reserve is all but certain to hold interest rates steady at its meeting this week. That’s why Torsten Slok, Apollo Global’s chief economist, is maintaining his prior forecast that the Fed won’t cut rates at all this year. “There are still two more CPI releases before the September 18 [Fed] meeting, so we have to wait and see if the downtrend in inflation continues,” he told CNN. Fed officials have signaled that September will be when they finally lower interest rates. The difference between a few months for that initial cut “really doesn’t matter unless there’s some big shock that hits the economy in that time,” Fed Governor Christopher Waller said earlier this month.
Persons: Alan Blinder, Paul Krugman —, Blinder, what’s, Brandon Bell, Torsten Slok, Apollo, , Sean Snaith, it’s, Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, CNN, ” University of Central, Locations: New York, ” University of Central Florida, Iran, Israel
The stock market is about to see a major shift once the Fed cuts rates, Jeremy Siegel said. The top economist thinks value stocks could start outperforming growth stocks once the Fed eases policy. Cooling inflation data supports a Fed rate cut by September, Siegel predicted. The Wharton School finance professor pointed to opportunity lurking in value stocks, an unloved group of the market that's underperformed this year when compared to growth stocks. Growth stocks have outperformed partly due to Wall Street's AI craze, which has ignited investor fervor for growth stocks, like mega-cap tech firms.
Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, , Powell Organizations: Service, Wharton School, CNBC
The real kicker, however, is the company's 2% rewards offer for Executive members, plus an another 2% reward for holders of the Costco credit card. One Costco member told Business Insider says he uses these percentage-point differences to make up to $500 per week buying coins and flipping them to online dealers and to local shops. "For me, gold is gold," he said, "but there's always more demand for Mint." Driving through Texas one day he stopped into a Costco warehouse that happened to have US gold buffalo coins in stock. AdvertisementIn just the past six months, the member has bought more than $110,000 worth of gold, according to credit card transactions reviewed with BI.
Persons: , it's, there's, he's Organizations: Service, Business, Costco, BI, US, Mint Locations: Swiss, Texas
We wanted to be cautious and avoid any potential heartache and confusion for all parties. I quickly formed a bond with my partner's sonHis son and I fell into a surprisingly easy groove. Related storiesI never wanted one and still don't, but what I do want is exactly what we have. It's a similar relationship with my partner's son; I'm as important to him as he feels I am. AdvertisementIt's been a surprise as someone who never wanted kids of my own to get to enjoy a version of the experience.
Persons: , it's, I've, he's, I'm, It's Organizations: Service
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Read previewThis as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Angelica Miller, a 31-year-old recruiter from Arizona who was recently laid off. My last boss and I were friends. We became friends instantlyBefore she became my boss, she was my peer. My coworkers and boss have been nothing but kind to me, but I can't help but feel skeptical of their authenticity. I don't have any regrets about being friends with my boss, but I definitely won't do it again.
Persons: , Angelica Miller, It's, I've, I'd, it's, Miller, Tess Martinelli, tmartinelli@businessinsider.com Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Arizona, California
They then fired the thruster to try out several ways the engines might fire on the way home from space, according to Boeing. Officials said they were able to recreate how the thrusters in space deteriorated during flight with the ground tests. Additional Starliner testingSeparately, engineers may have made headway understanding helium leaks that hampered the first leg of Starliner’s journey. “The key attributes of the flight rationale really are that we understand the helium leaks — we understand the stability of the leaks and how we can manage those, should they get bigger,” Stich said, referring to the possibility that helium leaks affecting the Starliner service module may worsen. NASA and Boeing plan to carry out a review to plan for Starliner’s undocking, which “could be as early as late next week,” according to Stich.
Persons: Mark Nappi, ” Nappi, Boeing’s, Butch Wilmore, Suni Williams, , Steve Stich, NASA’s, Still, Butch, Suni, ” Stich, Williams, Wilmore, Stich, Nappi, Starliner’s Organizations: CNN, NASA, Boeing, International Space, Officials, International, Harmony, Station Locations: New Mexico, Starliner, White Sands , New Mexico
U.S. Economy Grew at 2.8% Rate in Latest Quarter
  + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( Ben Casselman | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, increased at a 2.8 percent annual rate in the second quarter, the Commerce Department said on Thursday. That was faster than both the 1.4 percent rate recorded in the first quarter, but down from the unexpectedly strong growth in the second half of last year. Consumer spending, the backbone of the U.S. economy, rose at a 2.3 percent annual rate in the second quarter — a solid pace, albeit much slower than in 2021, when businesses were reopening after pandemic-induced closings. Inflation, which picked up unexpectedly at the start of the year, eased in the second quarter. That is something few forecasters considered likely when the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates to combat inflation two years ago.
Organizations: Gross, Commerce Department, Consumer, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
CNBC | Evelyn ChengSHANGHAI — China on Thursday announced its most targeted measures yet for boosting consumption, which has remained lackluster since the Covid-19 pandemic. Authorities announced they would allocate 300 billion Chinese yuan ($41.5 billion) in ultra-long special government bonds to expand an existing trade-in and equipment upgrade policy. He noted how the new policy links Beijing's ultra-long bond program — announced in March — with consumption. The National Development and Reform Commission on Thursday then announced the expanded policy to support consumption. He noted that the 300 billion yuan designation also reflects "a new way of thinking" which can have impact at scale.
Persons: Evelyn Cheng, Zong Liang, , Zong, Bruce Pang Organizations: CNBC, Thursday, Authorities, National Development, Reform, Ministry of Finance, Bank of, People's Bank of Locations: Evelyn Cheng SHANGHAI, China, People's Bank of China, JLL
She said she was unexpectedly put on a PIP by her manager several years ago when working in marketing. AdvertisementRymsha explained that many of her former HR business partners hated putting people on them. Quiet firingFor Rymsha, a PIP is an invitation to leave a company. Advertisement"If you get that PIP, you've been quiet fired, probably three to six months ahead of time," she said. Rymsha said often, before a PIP is even issued, employees will gradually see things being taken away from them.
Persons: , Catherine Rymsha, Rymsha Organizations: Service, Business, University of Massachusetts Locations: Lowell
China’s central bank on Thursday cut a key interest rate, in Beijing’s second move this week to try to offset a weakening economy and a housing market crisis. The unexpected action came as stock markets fell sharply across most of Asia in early trading, in an echo of Wall Street’s sharp drop the day before. Market indexes were down 1 to 3 percent in Australia, Japan, South Korea and Hong Kong. That could reflect a favorable response by investors to the central bank’s rate move, or a sign of intervention by the Chinese government, which plays an extensive role in the country’s stock markets. As markets opened in China on Thursday, the People’s Bank of China, the central bank, reduced its interest rate for one-year loans to commercial banks to 2.3 percent, from 2.5 percent.
Organizations: People’s Bank of China Locations: Asia, Australia, Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen, China
Perhaps eating as much as a tiger shark is where Edgley could gain a lead in the competition. Edgley tried to fast and feed like a tiger sharkRoss Edgley before and after his fasting portion of the tiger shark test for "Shark vs. Ross Edgley." He thought for sure it put him in competition with the tiger shark. Tiger sharks can take 6-pound bitesTiger sharks give a whole new meaning to the term "bite size." Advertisement"That's what's been amazing," he said, "seeing on social media, even kids just going, 'Oh my God, he tried to eat like a tiger shark.
Persons: , Ross Edgley, Edgley, He's, Nathalie Miles, chowing, Mike Heithaus, Heithaus, it's Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Australia, Great Britain
A coalition of France’s left-wing parties on Tuesday tapped a little-known civil servant to be prime minister, unexpectedly ending weeks of bickering after snap parliamentary elections plunged the country into political gridlock. But President Emmanuel Macron immediately rejected the coalition’s pick, Lucie Castets. The French president alone has the power to appoint the prime minister and the cabinet. His choice must, theoretically, reflect the political balance in Parliament, but there is no constitutionally mandated deadline for him to choose. The left-wing coalition, known as the New Popular Front, said in a statement that it had agreed on Ms. Castets, 37, who has worked at France’s treasury and its anti-money-laundering unit and currently handles financial matters at Paris City Hall.
Persons: France’s, Emmanuel Macron, Lucie Castets, Macron, Castets Organizations: Paris, Paris City Hall
Bank of America strategist says it's time to get bearish
  + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
As stocks pull back from all-time highs, a top Bank of America strategist warned investors to be cautious, citing a series of economic indicators that have historically signaled the end of a rally. "Historically, whenever the unemployment rate has started to rise, it has never gone down again. The unemployment rate unexpectedly climbed to 4.1% in June , tied for the highest level since October 2021. The strategist added that such conditions typically lead to higher risk premiums and lower asset prices, especially given the current elevated market levels. The Bank of America strategist also expressed concern about consumer confidence, which he described as "collapsing."
Persons: Sebastian Raedler, Raedler, Hani Redha, Redha, Peter Lynch Organizations: Bank of America, . Treasury, University of Michigan, Pine, Investments Locations: U.S
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