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Stocks exploded higher, bonds tanked and crypto boomed to historic peaks, indicating lofty hopes for when the president-elect takes office in January. However, there's still a lot of game left to be played, and the score could change a lot in future days. Essentially, strategists worry Trump's plan for punishing tariffs, higher spending and lower taxes will send bond yields higher, generally a recipe for trouble in stocks. "The question for me is how much can the Trump rally extend in the short term, but it strikes me that selling long positions into a rally makes a good deal of sense." "This suggests an asymmetric risk/reward framework with a much higher probability of downside than upside," said Lisa Hornby, head of U.S. fixed income at Schroders.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Stocks, there's, Mark Dowding, Lisa Hornby Organizations: Trump, RBC Global Asset Management, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Schroders
Markets: The post-election rally on Wall Street continued into afternoon trading, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumping 3.4%, or roughly 1,450 points, and the S & P 500 advancing 2.4%. It's worth noting, the stock market was reacting like Jim Cramer said it would in his Sunday column . The one thing markets hate is uncertainty, and Wednesday's rally can be attributed, in part, to relief that Wall Street professionals and individual investors alike know where they stand and what to expect from the country's next president. Bond yields move inversely to prices, and a basis point is equal to 0.01%. "You have to be very careful to respect the bond market if you do any buying today," Jim said.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Morgan Stanley, Jim, It's, Yun Li, Trump, Harris, Jerome Powell's, we'll, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, ., Wall, Dow Jones, Trump, Republican, NBC, Senate, NBC News, Wells, BlackRock, Energy, Coterra Energy, Honeywell, Federal, White, Arm Holdings, Qualcomm, Bros, Moderna, Barrick Gold, Halliburton, Hershey, Air Products, Chemicals, Warner Bros ., Jim Cramer's Charitable
The S&P 500 has an outstanding track record after major rallies in the first 10 months. Here's why history and other key catalysts are on the market's side, according to Truist. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMore than seven decades' worth of data suggest that US stocks will end 2024 on a high note. Drawdowns are inevitable, as Lerner noted that the S&P 500 typically pulls back by 5% or more three times per year.
Persons: Stocks, , that's, Keith Lerner, Truist, Lerner Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Federal, Fed
As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Donald Trump, Tesla, Elon Musk, Trump, Gary Gensler, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: NBC, Senate, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Trump, Tesla, Club, Justice Department, Apple, DOJ, FTC, Microsoft, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, SEC, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: China, Taiwan, Mexico
Gold holds steady as market awaits U.S. election outcome
  + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold held steady on Wednesday as investors keenly awaited the outcome of a tightly contested U.S. presidential race. Spot gold held its ground at $2,745.42 per ounce, as of 0218 GMT. Gold is considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties and tends to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment. Elsewhere, Perth Mint reported a decline in October gold sales, while silver sales slipped to their lowest in four months. Spot silver fell 0.53% to $32.49 per ounce, platinum shed 0.6% to $993.45 and palladium was down 2.17% to $1,052.25.
Persons: Gold, Republican Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Kyle Rodda, Jerome Powell's, Matt Simpson Organizations: Republican, D.C, Edison Research, Federal Reserve, Trump, Traders, Perth Mint Locations: Istanbul, Tuesday's U.S, Washington
Two stocks have outperformed the S & P 500 every November when elections have been held over the past three decades — regardless of the outcome, according to a CNBC Pro study. Electrical and industrials giant Eaton Corporation and Sweden's second-largest lender, Svenska Handelsbanken , are the two stocks that beat the U.S. benchmark in November every election year. CNBC Pro screened for stocks currently in the MSCI World Index that gained more than the S & P 500 — or lost less than the index — in November of every election year since 1988. Every time is different Historical performance is never a guarantee of future performance, and stocks often move for idiosyncratic reasons. This year, for instance, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce a decision on interest rates on Thursday, which could also influence the trajectory of stocks.
Persons: Brett Linzey, Mizuho, Eaton, Arctic's Roy Tilley, Henry Allen, Pfizer's, Barack Obama, Allen Organizations: CNBC, Eaton Corporation, Svenska, CNBC Pro, Eaton Corp, Mizuho, Svenska Handelsbanken, Arctic Securities, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Locations: U.S, Industrials, Sweden, Greece, Europe
US election news on a screen on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024. Stock futures are near flat Wednesday night after a huge market rally following Donald Trump's decisive victory in the presidential election. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 25 points, or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both traded marginally above flat. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all notched new all-time highs in the session, while the small cap-focused Russell 2000 jumped more than 5%.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Dow, Russell, Scott Helfstein, Jerome Powell's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Traders, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S ., Global, CME Group's, Moderna, Warner Bros Locations: New York
Detailed below is how a second Trump presidency is expected to impact American wallets. Trump's plan to cut the corporate tax rate is generally viewed as bullish for earnings, particularly for the consumer-discretionary, communication-services, and financial sectors. Further, if Trump's presidency is inflationary and leads to interest-rate hikes, that would hit housing affordability in the form of higher mortgage rates, which track the Federal Reserve's benchmark. AdvertisementThe former president has also said he plans to extend his slew of tax cuts from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 — also known as the "Trump tax cut." Trump's plan for universal tariffs is seen as offsetting a positive tax impact and would be especially costly for lower-earning Americans.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump's, Trump, bitcoin, Vance Organizations: Trump, Service, Biden, White
ARK Invest's Cathie Wood is positioning for a White House administration that embraces transformative technology. Wood runs the firm's flagship ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) — which is up almost 22% over the past three months. After soaring nearly 68% last year, the ARK Innovation ETF is down about 8% in 2024. Wood is also behind the ARK Genomic Revolution ETF (ARKG) , which is down about 25% so far this year. The ARK Genomic Revolution ETF owns both stocks.
Persons: Wood, it's, Joe Biden, ARKK Organizations: White, Innovation, Federal Reserve, Tech, Genomic, Beam Therapeutics Locations: ARKK
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering in the mid-6% range, according to Zillow data. Current 15-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates are in the high 5% range, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.
Persons: Trump, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump's, Kamala Harris, you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, We'll Organizations: Investors, Trump, Federal, Fed, Zillow Locations: Chevron
CNBC Daily Open: All eyes on U.S. elections
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. History forecasts a market rally after electionsHistorically, stocks have mostly risen after a presidential election, though there can be some short-term volatility. The three major U.S. benchmarks on average have almost always clocked gains between Election Day and year-end, going back to 1980, according to CNBC data. Markets slip ahead of Election DayStocks fell Monday as investors awaited the U.S. presidential election and Fed rate verdict later this week.
Persons: Wall, aren't, Stocks, Jeff Bezos Organizations: CNBC, JPMorgan, Fitch, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intelligence, Investors, Amazon, U.S, Conference Board Locations: U.S, Francisco
Still, investors don’t appear to be letting their jitters get to them — at least not entirely. “Valuations at the market level and individual stock level are always the key to long-term performance. You may have a lot of noise in the short term, but for long-term investors, it’s always going to be all about valuation,” he said. An election year analysis from Danny Noonan at Morningstar Wealth found that investors are significantly better off in the long run if they ignore politics. For investors, that suggests the best strategy may be to keep calm, trade on — and leave the politics at the polling place.
Persons: , Keith Lerner, Wall, Helene, Milton, Lerner, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Brent Schutte, Dave Sekera, it’s, Danny Noonan, Noonan Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, Morningstar, Morningstar Wealth, Democrat, Republican, they’d Locations: New York, United States
Bolster your portfolio for any Election Day outcome
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +7 min
With Election Day underway, income investors should soon find out how their portfolio may — or may not — be affected by the outcome. Harris has said she wants to boost the corporate tax rate to 28% and increase the top rate for long-term capital gains to 28% for those making more than $1 million. That means that those who are buying AMT bonds but not paying AMT are getting free income, he said. Lastly, a higher corporate tax rate could also spur banks and insurance companies to return to the muni market. The companies owned a lot of municipal bonds when the tax rate was 35% and many bought more corporate bonds when the tax rate fell to 21%, Brandon said.
Persons: Colleen Cunniffe, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Collin Martin, Martin, Trump, Harris, Dan Close, Craig Brandon, Brandon, Andrzej Skiba, Skiba, Schwab's Martin, Cunniffe, Cunniff, Darla Mercado Organizations: Vanguard, Wells Fargo Institute, Schwab Center, Financial Research, US, Treasury, , munis, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Investors, Trump, RBC Global, Management, Federal Reserve Locations: China, Nuveen, U.S
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Bond, it's, we'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Federal Open Markets, Treasury, DuPont, Rogers Corporation, Devon Energy, Novo Nordisk, CVS Health, Howmet Aerospace, Holdings, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Celanese
Business Insider is seeking nominations for its 2024 Oracles of Wall Street list. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! Did you or someone you know on Wall Street predict these and other significant developments in 2024? Business Insider is seeking nominations for its 2024 Oracles of Wall Street list, which highlights the top forecasters among economists, strategists, and analysts this year.
Persons: , Donald Trump, William Edwards Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Nvidia Locations: wedwards
10-year Treasury yield rises with all eyes on the U.S. election
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The 10-year Treasury yield traded 7 basis points higher at 4.6%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was also up by 6 basis points to 4.27%. Treasury yields rose in early trading Tuesday evening as investors awaited results from the tight presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. "I expect them to be worried that Trump would enact all those tax cuts, and I think bond yields would rise." The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield surged 50 basis points in October, marking the biggest monthly increase since September 2022.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Jeremy Siegel, Trump, Harris, Stephanie Roth, Siegel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Treasury, Trump, Republican, White, Senate, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Wolfe Research, Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJefferies' Zervos: We should be worried about illiquidity if there's a contested election outcomeDavid Zervos, Jefferies' chief market strategist, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss how an uncertain election may impact the Federal Reserve's rate decision on Thursday, expectations for rate moves, and more.
Persons: Email Jefferies, there's, David Zervos, Jefferies
That’s why Trump, who closely follows the stock market and obsessed over it as president, should be nervous about the recent trend on Wall Street. If the market goes down, the incumbent party gets replaced,” Stovall told CNN in a phone interview Monday. Market indicator was right in 2016 and 2020Vice President Kamala Harris should feel relieved the market has seen solid gains. In 2016, the S&P 500 dipped 2.2% in the lead-up to Trump’s matchup with the Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton. Yet there’s another market indicator that offers a reason for hope for the Harris camp.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, CFRA Research’s Sam Stovall, Trump, ” Stovall, , Stovall, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Barack Obama, Kamala Harris, Dwight Eisenhower, Adlai Stevenson, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Obama, Joe Biden, Hubert Humphrey, Richard Nixon, Harris, Humphrey, Jimmy Carter, Carter, , Doug Ramsey, Dow, We’re, ” Ramsey Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, , CNN, Lehman Brothers, AIG, Trump, Democratic, State, Democratic Party, Investment, Federal, Dow Jones Locations: New York, Chicago, Vietnam, Iran, Monday’s
Asia-Pacific markets are set to trade mixed on Tuesday as investors prepared for the U.S. presidential election and a possible interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve later this week. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index futures were at 20,658, slightly higher than the HSI's last close of 20,567.52. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 slid 0.32% as traders keep an eye on the upcoming central bank rate decision. Analysts at HSBC and the Commonwealth Bank of Australia expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to leave the cash rate unchanged. South Korea's consumer inflation in October rose 1.3% from a year ago, slightly cooler than Reuters' expectations of 1.4%.
Persons: Australia's Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Nikkei, HSBC, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of Australia Locations: Asia, Pacific, Chicago, Osaka
Mario Tama | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesRetail therapy is thinly coating voters' anxieties from the presidential election — and their wallets know it. Follow: Election 2024 live updates: Trump and Harris await Presidential election results More than half, or 60%, of Americans surveyed are concerned with the state of the world and economy, more than they were a year ago. Top worries among doom spenders include the cost of living (55%), inflation (43%), and the presidential election (28%), the report found. As of June, 50% of cardholders carry a balance every month on their credit cards, a recent Bankrate survey found. About six out of every 10 people who have credit card debt have had it for at least a year, Bankrate found.
Persons: Mario Tama, , Gen Zers, Harris, Rossman, Bankrate, NerdWallet, Z, Alev Organizations: Getty, Intuit Credit Karma, Trump, Karma, Shoppers, Federal Reserve Bank of New, millennials, Fed Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
The bond market, which has already seen dramatic moves leading up to the U.S. presidential election, could see even bigger price action depending on the outcome. One big theme investors are considering is the possibility of a Donald Trump win and higher bond yields that could follow. "I expect them to be worried that Trump would enact all those tax cuts, and I think bond yields would rise." US10Y 3M mountain 10-year Treasury The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield surged 50 basis points in October, marking the biggest monthly increase since September 2022. "There is room for rates to move in either direction depending on [the] election outcome."
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jeremy Siegel, Kamala Harris, Stephanie Roth, Roth, Siegel Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, White, Republican, Senate, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Trump, Wolfe Research
One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. ET the 10-year Treasury yield was down by less than one basis point to 4.3029%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was also less than one basis points lower at 4.1681%. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Tuesday as investors readied themselves for the presidential election. The U.S. will head to the polls on Tuesday for the hotly anticipated presidential election.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, U.S, NBC, PMI, Census, Federal Reserve, Traders Locations: U.S, Washington
New York CNN —US stocks rallied Tuesday as Wall Street awaited the results of a closely contested presidential race. “While it’s still anyone’s call on where the chips will fall on the election, putting it behind in either direction is a relief.”Historically, stocks have often risen on Election Day. This marks the sixth-straight Election Day gain for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. “With Election Day finally here, expect more market volatility, particularly if the wait for a result is long or contested. Just two days after Election Day, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision, the first since cutting rates by half a point.
Persons: Dow, , Louis Navellier, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Adam Turnquist, Gore, ” Turnquist Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Navellier, Associates, LPL, Federal Reserve Locations: New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt would be surprising if Fed doesn't cut by 25 bps at next meeting: Former Fed vice chairRoger Ferguson, former Fed vice chair, and Richard Fisher, Dallas' former Fed president discuss the Federal Reserve's upcoming rate decision.
Persons: Roger Ferguson, Richard Fisher, Dallas Organizations: Fed
Despite increased market volatility stemming from the U.S. presidential election on Tuesday, consumer confidence toward equities has reached its most bullish point ever. The latest Consumer Confidence survey by The Conference Board showed 51.4% of participants — the highest level on record — expect stocks to rise over the next year. This is despite rising uncertainty in the markets from the looming election, evidenced by the stock market’s inability to score further gains on Monday. The record-high consumer confidence in the stock market is “something that makes us say: hmm,” chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky wrote in a note on Sunday. Krinsky noted that bonds remain “slippery,” with the 10-year Treasury yield potentially climbing back to 4.5%.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, , ” Krinsky Organizations: U.S, Conference, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Nvidia, Federal Reserve
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