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The economy can still grow without driving inflation, and that would be an ideal scenario for the stock market. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe latest economic data suggests a type of Goldilocks scenario is about to play out in both the economy and stock market. AdvertisementAdvertisement"We think the economy started a productivity growth boom in early 2016 that was interrupted by the pandemic. This year, our growth is being driven by productivity... productivity driven growth brings inflation down, it's good for earnings, but it does drive yields up. For evidence of a surge in productivity growth, he pointed to the fact that job hirings have slowed this year compared to last year, but GDP growth has surged.
Persons: Ed Yardeni, , Yardeni, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel Organizations: Service
Policymakers at the Federal Reserve will announce their latest decision on interest rates on Wednesday, and although they are expected to keep rates steady, their assessment of the economy often moves markets, with implications for borrowers and savers. The Fed last raised its benchmark rate, the federal funds rate, in July to a range of 5.25 to 5.5 percent. A series of rate increases that began in March last year was intended to rein in inflation, which has cooled but remains elevated, leading Fed officials to suggest that they will keep rates high for a prolonged period of time. That means the cost of credit cards and mortgages may remain relatively high, making it more difficult for people who want to pay down debt — as well as those who want to take out new loans to renovate their kitchen or buy a new car. In recent weeks, the long-term market rates that influence many types of consumer and business loans have drifted higher, even as the Fed left its key rate on hold.
Persons: , Anna N’Jie Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Re
Wharton organizational psychologist Adam Grant recently told CNBC's "Squawk Box" about an 'amazing' cover letter he read a few years ago, where the applicant did not have all the qualifications listed. Instead of ignoring her weaknesses, she addressed the elephant in the room by admitting that she was "not quite the fit." I don't have the years of experience and I don't have these skills," Grant said the cover letter read. "She got the job [after that cover letter] and she crushed it." Some of the most in-demand soft skills like time management and critical thinking can be developed in non-position-specific experiences that you can instead demonstrate in your cover letter.
Persons: Wharton, Adam Grant, CNBC's, Grant, Ian Siegel, Markman, Nic Fink, Fink, Warren Buffett Organizations: CNBC, Harvard Business
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWharton's Jeremy Siegel: I do think we're going to have a year-end rally in 2023Jeremy Siegel, professor emeritus of finance at University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, rising Treasury yields, and more.
Persons: Jeremy Siegel Organizations: University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business
Two Sigma, co-founded by David Siegel, is attracting fresh regulatory scrutiny. Photo: Jeenah Moon/Bloomberg NewsA researcher at Two Sigma Investments adjusted the hedge fund’s investing models without authorization, the firm has told clients, leading to losses in some funds, big gains in others and fresh regulatory scrutiny. The researcher, Jian Wu, a senior vice president at New York-based Two Sigma, was trying to boost his compensation, Two Sigma has told clients, without identifying Wu. He made changes over the past year that resulted in a total of $620 million in unexpected gains and losses, according to people close to the matter and investor letters. Two Sigma has placed Wu on administrative leave.
Persons: David Siegel, Jian Wu, Wu Organizations: Sigma, Bloomberg, Sigma Investments Locations: New York
David Siegel went to work for an affiliate of Guaranteed Rate in 2021 and got a signing bonus of more than $100,000. Interest rates were super low, and mortgage bankers were raking in cash. Now that business has dried up, the mortgage company wants its money back. He said it fired him one month shy of the date when it could no longer ask for the bonus back, then demanded the money. Guaranteed Rate and its affiliates are also telling hundreds of other former employees that they have to return their signing bonuses, people familiar with the matter said.
Persons: David Siegel
Wharton School's Jeremy Siegel said investors should stick with stocks even as the 10-year Treasury yield again breaches the key 5% level. Stocks came under pressure Monday from higher Treasury yields. All three major stock market averages were last trading lower as the 10-year Treasury yield briefly topped the 5% level, with some analysts saying yields could climb higher still. "Clearly, stocks are the place to be in if we get stronger growth," Siegel said Monday on CNBC's " Squawk on the Street. " "And if we have real growth that's a source of these higher yields, I don't think that's a negative for stocks."
Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Stocks, Siegel, they've Organizations: Treasury Locations: Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStocks are clearly the place to be if we get stronger growth, says Wharton's Jeremy SiegelJeremy Siegel, Wharton School professor of finance, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss whether Siegel believes earnings for the quarter will impress, the current geopolitical climate, and his thoughts on the Japanese economy.
Persons: Wharton's Jeremy Siegel Jeremy Siegel, Siegel Organizations: Wharton School
[1/3] People react as residents of Tel Aviv show support and solidarity with the families of hostages who are being held in Gaza in Tel Aviv, Israel, October 21, 2023. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has vowed to eliminate Hamas and Israeli troops could enter Gaza at any moment, but many families are urging him to focus solely on the hostages. Israel has a long experience of dealing with hostage crises, but has previously shied away from attempting rescue operations in the densely populated Gaza Strip. Some of the freed Palestinians returned to the ranks of Hamas, including its current leader in Gaza, Yahya Al-Sinwar. We have to help these hostages very fast," said Daniel Lifshitz, whose grandparents, aged 83 and 85, were abducted and have vanished into Gaza.
Persons: Ammar Awad, Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, Noam Alon, Inbar, Isaac Herzog, Carmel Gorni, Yiftah Gorni, Gorni, Ilan, Sandy Feldman, Herzog, Keith Siegel, Jonathan Dekel, Chen, Sagui, Netanyahu, Gilad Shalit, Yahya Al, Shalit, Gal Hirsch, Daniel Lifshitz, Crispian Balmer, Alison Williams Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Aviva, Reuters, Hamas, Thomson Locations: Tel Aviv, Gaza, Israel, Gaza Israel, Jerusalem, Palestinian, Qatar, Qatari
The investment firm said it wouldn't be a surprise if the economy showed strong growth right before a recession started. "In the last 12 recessions, the quarter before the economy went into a recession, growth was positive and robust." AdvertisementAdvertisementInvestors shouldn't be fooled by strong GDP growth in the next quarter or two, as an economic recession could still be right around the corner. That's based on the fact that prior recessions saw solid economic growth in the quarter right before the recession started, according to data from Raymond James. "In the last 12 recessions, the quarter before the economy went into a recession, growth was positive and robust—registering an average growth rate of 2.6%.
Persons: Raymond James, , Larry Adam, Raymond James Strong, Adam, he's, Bill Gross, Gross, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel Organizations: Service, Atlanta Federal
Tesla tumbles as Wall St raises doubt over growth outlook
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
[1/2] The logo of Tesla is seen in Taipei, Taiwan August 11, 2017. Overall, 10 analysts cut their price targets on the stock, pushing the median view to $260, according to LSEG data. Cash crunches at small EV startups and the ongoing strike at the Detroit Three automakers have also added to the optimism around Tesla. Tesla trades at about 59 times its 12-month forward earnings estimates, compared with 6.3 times for Ford and General Motors' 4.2. Reuters GraphicsReporting by Aditya Soni and Akash Sriram in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Tyrone Siu, Tesla, Elon Musk, Canaccord, Chaim Siegel, Elazar, Cybertruck, Cash, Aditya Soni, Akash Sriram, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: Tesla, REUTERS, Wall Street, EV, Reuters, Elazar Advisors, Detroit Three, Ford, General Motors, Thomson Locations: Taipei, Taiwan, Bengaluru
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBonds have proven to been a very bad hedge against inflation, says Wharton's Jeremy SiegelJeremy Siegel, professor emeritus of finance at University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why he believes equities are poised for a year-end rally, rising bond yields, and more.
Persons: Wharton's Jeremy Siegel Jeremy Siegel Organizations: University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business
Bond yields have surged as investors realize the asset is a bad inflation hedge, Jeremy Siegel told CNBC. Instead, stocks are a much better hedge and will perform "beautifully" against inflation, he added. "Bonds are great hedges against geopolitical risk, against financial crises, but they're very bad against inflation." AdvertisementAdvertisementThe bond market crash of recent weeks stems from the asset class' ineffectiveness against inflation, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel told CNBC. Though Siegel sees inflation slowing down, he warned that growing federal deficits and other factors could bring back inflation to pandemic levels.
Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Bonds, , Wharton, Siegel, that's, Howard Marks Organizations: CNBC, Service, Treasury, Oaktree Capital
Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel rejects the notion that US stocks are overvalued, saying they are in fact "underpriced". "Even if there is a mild recession, these are great long-term values," Siegel said, referring to the current levels in stocks. Wharton finance professor and markets guru Jeremy Siegel suggests just the opposite might be the case. Even if there is a mild recession, these are great long-term values. Stocks are almost to levels where earnings yields are above 6%, which equate to real returns going forward," Siegel wrote.
Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Jeremy Grantham, Bill Gross, Jeffrey Gundlach, Siegel, , Wall, MacroEdge Organizations: Service, DoubleLine, JPMorgan, Equity
Silhouettes of runners are seen during the New York City Marathon in New York November 4, 2007. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 11 (Reuters) - Some of the United States' top marathon runners are meeting with USA Track and Field CEO Max Siegel on Thursday in hopes of changing the noon start time of the 2024 U.S. Olympic Trials over concerns about the heat in host Orlando. The athletes want more favourable conditions in order to run faster Olympic qualifying times. "This past February, there was not a single day with a recorded high temperature lower than 70 degrees, and all had high humidity," the marathon runners wrote. "In 2023, the average daily high temperature was 78 degrees with many days in reaching the high 80s.
Persons: Shannon Stapleton, Max Siegel, Max, Jared Ward, Lori Ewing, Christian Radnedge Organizations: New York City Marathon, REUTERS, USA, Olympic, USATF, Thomson Locations: New York, United States, Orlando
Wall Street's dream scenario is dead
  + stars: | 2023-10-07 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +8 min
Wall Street's vision of a Goldilocks scenario for the stock market and economy is unraveling. AdvertisementAdvertisementWall Street's dream of a Goldilocks scenario for the stock market and economy is probably dead. Interest rates soared. As painful as inflation and higher interest rates were, the economy remained resilient as consumers held onto their jobs and kept swiping their credit cards. It has to acknowledge that interest rates are now sufficiently restrictive, and decide that it's next monetary policy move isn't an interest rate hike, but rather a pause, and then a cut.
Persons: , it's, Jerome Powell, Powell's, Powell, Buckle, Greg Daco, Something's, Kevin O'Leary, we've, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Mary Daly, Raphael Bostic Organizations: Service, Treasury, Valley Bank, Bloomberg, CNBC Locations: America
Venture capitalist Alan Patricof has a cautionary message about an AI bubble. "Everyone wants to be at an AI company — it's the flavor of the month," Patricof told the New York Post. Patricof recommends investing in companies utilizing AI as a tool, rather than buying AI platforms. AdvertisementAdvertisementAlan Patricof, the venture capitalist known for his investments in Apple and Venmo, has a cautionary message about an AI bubble. "Everyone wants to be at an AI company — it's the flavor of the month," said Patricof during a Thursday interview with the New York Post.
Persons: Alan Patricof, , Patricof, Mostaque, David Rosenberg, James Penny, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Dan Raju, Raju Organizations: New York, Patricof, Service, Apple, Apax Partners, AOL, TAM Asset Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Wharton's Jeremy Siegel and Virtus Investment's Joe TerranovaJeremy Siegel, professor emeritus at the Wharton School, and Joe Terranova, chief market strategist at Virtus Investment Partners, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss stocks and markets in this rising bond yield environment.
Persons: Wharton's Jeremy Siegel, Virtus Investment's Joe Terranova Jeremy Siegel, Joe Terranova Organizations: Virtus Investment's, Wharton School, Virtus Investment Partners
Stocks will end the year higher, say Wharton's Jeremy Siegel
  + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStocks will end the year higher, say Wharton's Jeremy SiegelJeremy Siegel, professor emeritus at the Wharton School, and Joe Terranova, chief market strategist at Virtus Investment Partners, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss stocks and markets in this rising bond yield environment.
Persons: Jeremy Siegel Jeremy Siegel, Joe Terranova Organizations: Wharton School, Virtus Investment Partners
We're talking about this year's rise in bond yields, oil prices and the dollar — all at the time same. Nevertheless, bond yields, oil prices and the dollar always have far-reaching implications for the stock market. "The higher yields, that's what's been pressuring the equity market," Wharton School professor Jeremy Siegel said Monday on CNBC. In early September, the two countries announced their supply cuts would extend through year-end, a surprise decision that added upward pressure on oil prices. The picture is less clear-cut when considering the impact higher oil prices can have on consumers and non-energy companies.
Persons: , what's, Jeremy Siegel, Brent, WTI, It's, Siegel, Wharton's Siegel, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, U.S, multiweek United Auto Workers, General Motors, Club, Ford, Wharton, CNBC, Federal, Fed, Dow Jones, West, Brent, Natural Resources, Coterra Energy, Consumers, JPMorgan, Procter, Gamble, Apple, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S, Ukraine, West Texas, Saudi Arabia, Russia, tailwind, headwind
The Fed shouldn't get credit for tackling the inflation threat, Jeremy Siegel says. The "Wizard of Wharton" blames the Fed for the US money supply soaring and prices surging. The Fed has caused a "permanent loss of purchasing power" for workers and savers, Siegel says. He also underscored the unnecessary pain that the Fed caused by not only buying bonds to stimulate the economy, but also funding the government's spending spree. AdvertisementAdvertisement"Powell and his Fed deserve little praise for fixing a problem they caused," Siegel said in his WisdomTree column.
Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Wharton, Siegel, , Jerome Powell, that's, Powell Organizations: Fed, Service, Reserve, American Locations: Russia, Ukraine
Wharton's Jeremy Siegel says the U.S. economy is 'cooking'
  + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Even as higher bond yields rattle equity markets, the U.S. economy remains strong overall, said economist and Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel. "I think this economy is cooking," Siegel told CNBC's " Squawk on the Street " on Monday. "I know economic surprises, some of them have been negative but on the whole, we have a strong economy." Siegel added that higher bond yields have been pressuring the equity market, and investors now view them differently in an inflationary environment. He also pointed out that the latest jobless claims data, which showed initial claims of 204,000 for the week ending Sept. 23, still suggests strength in the economy.
Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, CNBC's, Freddie Mac, That's, — CNBC's Gina Francolla Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed will not raise rates in November, says Wharton's Jeremy SiegelJeremy Siegel, professor emeritus at the Wharton School, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his views on the separation between yields and inflation, why bond yields are rising, and more.
Persons: Wharton's Jeremy Siegel Jeremy Siegel Organizations: Wharton School
People visit the Nike store at 5th Avenue during the holiday season in New York City, U.S., December 9, 2022. The company had turned to steep discounting to clear the excess inventory, which had weighed on its margins in the past few quarters. Nike on Thursday estimated a 100 basis point boost to current-quarter gross margin while maintaining its annual forecasts. The jump also lifted shares of Adidas, Puma and JD Sports (JD.L) between 5%-7%. Still, demand in North America remained under pressure, leading Nike to post a slight miss on first-quarter revenue.
Persons: Eduardo Munoz, Drake MacFarlane, David Swartz, Simeon Siegel, Piper Sandler, Abbie Zvejnieks, Savyata Mishra, Deborah Sophia, Sriraj Organizations: Nike, REUTERS, Science, Rivals, Adidas, Puma, Morningstar, BMO, JD Sports, Dick's Sporting, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, North America, Bengaluru
This is what we know so far:WHAT ARE NORD STREAM PIPELINES? The multibillion-dollar infrastructure project was built by Russia's Gazprom (GAZP.MM) in two stages - Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2. Gazprom owns 51% of Nord Stream 1, while Germany's E.ON (EONGn.DE) and Wintershall Dea (WINT.UL) have 15.5% each, while French Engie (ENGIE.PA) and Dutch Gasunie (GSUNI.UL) hold 9% each in Nord Stream 1. Nord Stream 2, fully owned by Gazprom and operated by Nord Stream 2 AG, was completed in September 2021 at a cost of $11 billion, but was never put into operation because Germany had cancelled Nord Stream 2's certification days before Russia's invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24, 2022. The Nord Stream pipelines have been a flashpoint in an energy dispute between Europe and Moscow since Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
Persons: Pipes, Fabian Bimmer, Wintershall, OMV, Peter Frank, Die, Seymour Hersh, Mats Ljungqvist, Der Spiegel, Der Siegel, BfV, Nerijus Adomaitis, Christoph Steitz, Nina Chestney, Ros Russell Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Gazprom, Nord, E.ON, Shell, . Security, WHO, Washington Post, Die Welt, . Security Council, Reuters, Street, ZDF, Kyiv, CIA, NDR, WDR, German Federal Intelligence Service, Thomson Locations: Baltic, Mukran, Germany, Rights OSLO, Russia, Swedish, Bornholm, Sweden, Denmark, Nord, Ukraine, Uniper, Washington, NATO, Moscow, Kaliningrad, Russian, Britain ., U.S, Norway, China, Brazil, Rostock, Wiek, Rugen, Danish, Christianso, Kolobrzeg, Poland, Europe, United States, Oslo, Frankfurt
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