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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGirard: The Fed focuses on core CPI, excluding food and energy pricesMichelle Girard, Head of NatWest Markets, highlights the importance of core CPI for the Federal Reserve in assessing inflation trends.
Persons: Michelle Girard , Organizations: Girard, Michelle Girard , Head, NatWest Markets, Federal Reserve
Valerie Plesch | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Sentiment in markets, it seems, was buoyed by encouraging comments from the Fed. The Fed, in other words, is keeping a close eye on the economy and wants to make sure it maintains its smooth landing. It's as if Stephen Sondheim's musical "Into the woods to get the money," markets are merrily singing.
Persons: Valerie Plesch, Gregory Daco, Goldman Sachs, Stephen Suttmeier, Philip Jefferson reemphasized, we're, Mike Bailey, Stephen Sondheim's, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Sarah Min Organizations: Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Brent, Bank of America, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Apple, Micro Computer, Fed, FBB Capital Partners Locations: USA, Washington, Florida, U.S, Israel
A TD bank stands in Brooklyn on June 04, 2024 in New York City. TD Bank is reportedly expected to pay a whopping $3 billion in fines to the Department of Justice and financial crimes regulators to settle a federal probe over its alleged failure to monitor money laundering by drug cartels. TD Bank, whose U.S. unit is the 10th-largest American bank by assets, is also set to accept limits on its growth as part of the settlement, according to the report by The Wall Street Journal on Wednesday night. The reported restrictions on TD Bank's growth would be similar to those imposed by the Federal Reserve on Wells Fargo in 2018 over what the Fed called "widespread consumer abuses" at that bank. TD Bank shares were down more than 3% midday Thursday.
Organizations: Bank, Department of Justice, TD Bank, Wall, Federal Reserve Locations: Brooklyn, New York City, U.S, Wells Fargo
This article is part of the Opinion series At the Brink,about the threat of nuclear weapons in an unstable world. It follows a decades-long freeze on designing, building or testing new nuclear weapons. The new buildings and cutting-edge machinery will eventually process the uranium needed to make the next generation of American nuclear weapons. Now there are an estimated 12,000 nuclear weapons in the world. It is undeniably true that the world is becoming more contentious, and nuclear weapons do deter our adversaries.
Persons: Melissa Durkee’s, Adalie, , Warren Air Force Base Missiles Ellsworth Air Force Base Pantex Plant Minot Air Force Base Dyess Air Force Base Lockheed Martin Tinker, Todd Weeks, Weeks, you’re, Eric Helms, Helms, it’s, , aren’t, Robin Darnall, she’s, , can’t, Northrop Grumman, Nunn, Walter Schweitzer, Mr, Schweitzer, Robert Oppenheimer, didn’t, Jay Coghlan, Charles McMillan, Greg Mello Organizations: U.S, Preston Veterans ’ Memorial, Dynamics, U.S . Navy, Preston Veterans ’, The Times Naval Base Kitsap Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Northrop Grumman Nevada National Security, Air Force Base Malmstrom Air Force Base Sandia National Laboratories Los Alamos National Laboratory, Warren Air Force Base Missiles Ellsworth Air Force Base Pantex Plant Minot Air Force Base Dyess Air Force Base, Warren Air Force Base Missiles Ellsworth Air Force Base Pantex Plant Minot Air Force Base Dyess Air Force Base Lockheed Martin Tinker Air Force Base Offutt Air Force Base Kansas City National Security, Chaffee, Air Force Base Whiteman Air Force Base, Security, Laboratory Naval Submarine Base, Bay Northrop, Newport News Shipbuilding General Dynamics Electric, Submarines, Submarines Connecticut Rhode Island, Submarines Connecticut Rhode Island Virginia General Dynamics Electric, General Dynamics, Columbia, Engineering, Republican, Democratic, Office, General Dynamics Electric, Navy, NASCAR, Manhattan, Reactor, The Energy Department, National Nuclear Security Administration, Energy Department, National Nuclear Security, Fort, Missiles Wyoming North Dakota, Missiles Wyoming North Dakota Colorado Nebraska Montana America’s, The Air Force, Minuteman III, Air Force, Warren Air Force Base, Sentinel, Banner, Soviets, Air Force Base, McCurdy, Pentagon, Montana Farmers Union, Mexico South, Environmental Protection Agency, Los Alamos, Nuclear Watch, Alamos County, Atomic, Los Alamos Study, United States Locations: Preston, Conn, New England, America, Russia, China, North Korea, Iran, United States, Savannah, Manhattan, Washington, Submarines Connecticut, Submarines Connecticut Rhode Island Virginia, Narragansett, Rhode Island, Quonset, R.I, Groton, Soviet Union, Rhode Island , Connecticut, Virginia, Columbia, Tennessee, Oak Ridge, Tenn, Hiroshima, Nagasaki, Texas, Fort Knox, Missiles Wyoming North Dakota Colorado, , Wyoming , Nebraska , Colorado , Montana, North Dakota, Plains, F.E, Wyoming, Nebraska, Banner County, Great Falls, Mont, Mexico, Mexico South Carolina, New Mexico, Los Alamos, N.M, Savannah River, S.C, Colorado, Rocky, Alamos, Nuclear Watch New Mexico, Santa Fe
FEMA for two months had to pause $9 billion meant for communities still recovering from past disasters. In this case, for nearly two months, FEMA hoarded $9 billion to make up for delayed funding from Congress. But Biden-administration officials warn of another shortfall as soon as January, especially after Hurricane Milton slammed into the Tampa area late Wednesday. "So if FEMA delays reimbursements, local governments have to bear those costs, and they may put off recovery efforts. FEMA officials have repeatedly said they have enough resources to respond to Hurricane Helene and now Hurricane Milton but declined to specify how much disaster aid remained available.
Persons: Milton, Helene, Hurricane Milton, Biden, Craig Fugate, Obama, Carlos Martín, Martín, Yucel Ors, Joe Biden, Mike Johnson, Hurricane Helene, Johnson, Ors Organizations: Hurricanes, FEMA, Service, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Hurricane, FEMA doesn't, Harvard University, National League of Cities, White, Republican, Fox Locations: Florida, Hurricane, Vermont, California, Pacific, Tampa, Washington, Louisiana, Milton, North Carolina , Georgia, South Carolina , Florida , Tennessee, Virginia, Asheville , North Carolina, Asheville
Additional disruptions from Hurricane Milton complicate the data collection for October's jobs report. To stimulate hiring, the Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates in September, and the jobs report will strongly inform its path forward. "I wouldn't expect these events to materially change how Americans view the economy before the election," DeAntonio said. For example, it noted in its release last week Hurricane Francine, which hit Louisiana in early September, "had no discernible effect" on the employment data it collected. Any effects from the hurricanes could lead to an October jobs report that shows a more pessimistic view of the economy than underlying conditions would suggest.
Persons: Helene, Milton, , Hurricane, Hurricane Helene, Hurricane Milton, Dante DeAntonio, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Daniel Zhao, DeAntonio, Francine, Guy Berger Organizations: Service, Hurricanes, Southern, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan's, Department, Labor, of Labor, Labor Statistics, Boeing, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employees, Glass Institute Locations: Florida, North Carolina, Hurricane, Louisiana
Indexes dipped Thursday as investors took in hotter-than-expected inflation data. Traders see the latest data solidifying odds of a 25 basis point rate cut next month. AdvertisementUS stocks edged lower on Thursday as investors took in slightly hotter-than-expected inflation data after last week's blockbuster jobs report. The core CPI reading, which excludes food and energy costs, came in at 3.3% year-over-year, slightly above forecasts of 3.2% and 0.3% higher than the August reading. JPMorgan's top strategist, one of Wall Street's biggest bears, is turning upbeat on the stock market for the first time in two years.
Persons: , Milton, Bill Gross Organizations: Traders, Service, CPI, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Labor Department, FEMA, Hurricanes Locations: Here's
The U.S. dollar traded near a two-month peak against major peers on Thursday as markets grew more confident about a patient approach from the Federal Reserve to further monetary easing, even as a key inflation report loomed later in the day. The U.S. dollar traded near a two-month peak against major peers on Thursday as markets grew more confident about a patient approach from the Federal Reserve to further monetary easing, even as a key inflation report loomed later in the day. The euro languished near its lowest since Aug. 13, while against the yen, the dollar hovered close to its strongest level since Aug. 15. The dollar index was little changed at 102.86 as of 0024 GMT, sticking close to Wednesday's high of 102.93. The greenback eased 0.18% to 149.035 yen , but was not far from the overnight peak of 146.365.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, , Rodda, Mary Daly Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, Reuters, U.S, CPI, Francisco Fed, Traders, New Locations: U.S
Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell holds a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy in Washington, U.S., September 18, 2024. REUTERS/Tom BrennerFalling interest rates are usually good news for banks, especially when the cuts aren't a harbinger of recession. That's because lower rates will slow the migration of money that's happened over the past two years as customers shifted cash out of checking accounts and into higher-yielding options like CDs and money market funds. When the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark rate by half a percentage point last month, it signaled a turning point in its stewardship of the economy and telegraphed its intention to cut rates by another two full percentage points, according to the central bank's projections, boosting prospects for banks. The bank is expected to report $4.01 per share in earnings, a 7.4% drop from the year-earlier period.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Tom Brenner, Chris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Federal, Committee, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan Locations: Washington , U.S
Watch CNBC's full interview with IBM vice chair Gary Cohn
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with IBM vice chair Gary CohnGary Cohn, IBM vice chair, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how investors should feel about inflation, what the Federal Reserve should do, and how Cohn would prefer the last mile of inflation be wiped away.
Persons: Gary Cohn Gary Cohn, Cohn Organizations: IBM, Federal
A big jump in retail spending would be the next data point indicating a "no landing" of the economy. A no-landing scenario occurs when strong economic growth fuels inflation and hinders rate cuts. Bank of America analysts expect September retail sales data, set for release on October 17, to show a 0.8% surge. "Monthly retail sales data can be volatile. If retail sales accelerate considerably, in our view, the narrative may shift further toward 'no landing' or even re-acceleration," they said.
Persons: , Helene Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Bank, America
Furthermore, it's the only credit card that allows me to gift airport lounge access to four people for free by adding them as authorized users on my credit card. I Earn 2% Back on Therapy with my Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit CardI primarily use my Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card on transactions that don't earn bonus points on another card. Capital One Venture X Annual Fee and Other CostsThe Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card charges a $395 annual fee (rates and fees). Capital One Venture X Frequently Asked QuestionsIs the Capital One Venture X worth it? Yes, it's possible to get approved for the Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card if you already have the Capital One Venture Rewards Credit Card open.
Persons: I've, cardholder, Miles, Chase, LifeMiles, Smiles, Red, Wyndham, cardholders, Cardholders, I'm, You've, Jasmin Baron, Read, Angela Fung Organizations: Business, Venture, Capital, One, Chase, Five, U.S, American, American Express, Chase Sapphire Reserve, Aeromexico Club, Air Canada, Air France, KLM, Blue, British Airways Executive Club, Cathay, Emirates, Etihad, Qantas Frequent, TAP Air Portugal Miles, Turkish Airlines Miles, Wyndham Rewards, Collection Hotels, Premier, Resorts, Chase Travel, Marriott, TSA, Hertz, Cell, Travel Insurance, One Venture, Mastercard, Chevron, Finance Locations: Taiwan, Cathay Pacific Asia, Singapore, Canada
Both readings were 0.1 percentage point above the Dow Jones consensus. The annual inflation rate was 0.1 percentage point lower than August. Excluding food and energy, core prices increased 0.3% on the month, putting the annual rate at 3.3%. Both core readings also were 0.1 percentage point above forecast. After a half percentage point reduction in September, the central bank is expected to continue cutting, though the pace and degree remain in question.
Persons: Justin Sullivan, Dow Jones Organizations: Labor Department, Dow, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Locations: Greenbrae , California, U.S
As the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, investors should review their bond portfolio, which could see a boost from dovish Fed policy. Typically, bond prices and market interest rates move in opposite directions. While it may be tempting to cling to cash, it will become “less attractive, less productive as interest rates fall,” Ward said. Many corporations leveraged rock-bottom interest rates during the pandemic to strengthen balance sheets and refinance debt, said Ward. As interest rates fall, those longer-maturity bonds should reward investors, experts say.
Persons: , Scott Ward, ” Ward, Ted Jenkin, Ward, , Jenkin Organizations: Federal Reserve, dovish Fed, Fed, Morningstar, Bond, CNBC’s Locations: Birmingham , Alabama, Atlanta,
Earnings season is right around the corner, and there are some stocks investors should be wary of, according to Piper Sandler. The season unofficially kicks off this week, with JPMorgan's third-quarter results due Friday before the bell, and it ramps up from there. The remaining four have a strong buy or buy rating. The department store chain is set to report its quarterly results in November. By contrast, only two have a strong buy or buy rating.
Persons: Piper Sandler, they've, Paramount's, Skydance, Nordstrom, it's, Piper, Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Paramount Global, Warner Bros, Paramount, GameStop, Southwest Airlines, Southwest Locations: U.S, GME
10-year Treasury yield shifts lower but hovers above 4%
  + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
U.S. Treasury yields shifted slightly lower Wednesday, days after the rate on the 10-year note hit its highest level in more than two months. The 10-year Treasury yield's jump to 4% on Monday came after last week's stronger labor market readings, and follows on from the Federal Reserve's rate cut last month. The 10-year Treasury yield was 2 basis points lower at 4.013% Wednesday morning. The 2-year Treasury slipped over 2 basis points to 3.952%. One basis point equals 0.01%.
Persons: yield's Organizations: Treasury
Hurricane Milton may cause major losses for catastrophe bond investors. AdvertisementThe back-to-back barrage of Hurricanes Helene and Milton could trigger big losses for investors in catastrophe bonds. However, on the other hand, a strong hurricane can trigger various clauses within catastrophe bonds, resulting in big losses for investors. AdvertisementHowever, according to RBC, higher reinsurance rates implemented following Hurricane Ian could soften the blow for cat bond investors, depending on the severity of Hurricane Milton. The potential for massive damage caused by Hurricane Milton, which is considered to be a once-in-a-generation event, is also dragging down global reinsurer stocks.
Persons: Milton, , Hurricanes Helene, Hurricane Ian, Hurricane Milton, Helene, Hurricane Organizations: Service, Hurricanes, Investors, Swiss Re, Hurricane, Jefferies, RBC, Cat, Swiss Locations: Florida, Hurricane, Artemis, Hurricane Milton, North Carolina, Munich
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Both West Texas Intermediate and Brent futures retreated 4.63% during U.S. trading hours Tuesday, halting the red-hot rally oil prices have experienced the past week. The central bank's likely to make another half-point cut in November, Paul Bloxham, HSBC's chief economist for Australia and New Zealand, told CNBC. On the back of such turbulence, CNBC Pro asks two strategists whether now's the time to invest in China.
Persons: It's, Paul Bloxham, HSBC's Organizations: Central, CNBC, Technology, Nasdaq, Google, U.S . Department of Justice, U.S, The New York Times, West Texas Intermediate, Brent, Reserve Bank of New, CSI, CNBC Pro Locations: New York, United States, Jerusalem, Israel, Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Australia, New Zealand, China
As the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, investors should review their bond portfolio, which could see a boost from dovish Fed policy. However, the Fed policy shift could be good for parts of the bond market, experts say. Typically, bond prices and market interest rates move in opposite directions. "This is a fantastic time to revisit bonds again," said certified financial planner Scott Ward, senior vice president of Compound Planning in Birmingham, Alabama. While it may be tempting to cling to cash, it will become "less attractive, less productive as interest rates fall," Ward said.
Persons: Scott Ward, Ward Organizations: Federal Reserve, dovish Fed, Finance, SEC, Fed Locations: Birmingham , Alabama
The New Zealand dollar slumped to its lowest since Aug. 19 at $0.6096, after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut interest rates by 50 basis points. A majority of economists in a Reuters poll last week had predicted a big half a percentage point cut. The central bank kicked off an easing cycle in August seeking to trim rates from 15-year highs. The U.S. data calendar this week is relatively light, offering a breather after a strong jobs report on Friday sent the dollar jumping and markets repricing the expected scale of upcoming interest rate reductions. On Wednesday, investors will get minutes of the Fed's September meeting, which will show discussions about what at the time had appeared to be a deteriorating labor market that ended with all but one policymaker agreeing to a 50-basis point cut.
Organizations: New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: United States, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, U.S
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading in New York City. U.S. stock futures were little changed Wednesday night as investors looked ahead to the release of September's consumer price index report. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded near the flatline. Fed funds futures trading data suggests a roughly 70% likelihood of a quarter-point cut, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Economists polled by Dow Jones see core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rising by 0.2%.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Stephanie Roth Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Wolfe Research, Delta Air Lines Locations: New York City . U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBNZ likely to cut rates by another 50 basis points at its next meeting: HSBC economistPaul Bloxham, chief economist for Australia and New Zealand and global commodities at HSBC, says the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is likely to cut rates further in 2025, reaching a policy rate of 3.25% by end-2025 or 3% by early 2026.
Persons: Paul Bloxham Organizations: HSBC, Reserve Bank of New Locations: Australia, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
A Trump win would pose risks to economic growth and inflation in Europe, ECB member Joachim Nagel says. Officials in Europe, for their part, are warily eyeing what a Donald Trump win would mean. Nagel's comments come just weeks before the US presidential election and follow previous warnings from ECB members about the potential impact of a Trump win. AdvertisementBack in January, ECB president Christine Lagarde said a Trump win is "clearly a threat" to Europe considering the policies he implemented during his first term in office. She pointed to Trump's tariffs, commitment to NATO, and climate change policies, which she said were misaligned with European interests.
Persons: Joachim Nagel, Nagel, , Donald Trump, Trump, he'd, " Nagel, there's, it's, Harris, Kamala Harris, Christine Lagarde Organizations: Trump, Service, European Central Bank Governing, Tuesday, Bloomberg, Federal, NATO Locations: Europe, Germany, Berlin, Italy, EU
A security guard stands in the main entrance to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand located in central Wellington, New Zealand, July 3, 2017. New Zealand's central bank has slashed its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points after its monetary policy meeting, marking a second straight cut to its benchmark interest rate. The cut brings the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rate to 4.75% from 5.25%. The central bank said at the time that the pace of further easing will depend on how confident it is about a low inflation environment. New Zealand's annual inflation rate hit 7.3% in the June quarter 2022, its highest level in over three decades.
Organizations: Reserve Bank of New, Reuters Locations: Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Wellington , New Zealand, New
Last month, the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates by a half point – the first time the central bank cut rates since 2020. Since the Sept. 18 meeting, the market has moved even higher, with all three major averages gaining between 1% and 3%. The bank noted that several of the companies in the screen have lagged the cyclical recovery, making the stocks likely to benefit from the market's ongoing rotation. JPMorgan rates Alaska Air overweight. Wall Street is rather bullish on the name, as 10 of the 14 analysts covering the stock have a buy or strong buy rating.
Persons: Dubravko, Bujas, E.l.f, Tarang Amin, CNBC's, Brian Niccol, Elliott Hill Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, Federal, Fed, Alaska Air, Hawaiian Airlines, U.S . Department, Starbucks, Nike
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