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☆ Gold scales 2-week high as Fed nods to likely Sept rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices climbed to a two-week high on Thursday as U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell opened the door to cutting interest rates as early as September. Gold prices climbed to a two-week high on Thursday as U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell opened the door to cutting interest rates as early as September. Prices were just about $35 shy of the record high of $2483.60 scaled on July 17. "Gold bulls couldn't resist the urge to buy more gold after the Fed effectively signaled the beginning of its rate-cut cycle. "If the data comes in much hotter than expected, that could dent gold as we head towards the weekend," Simpson added.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Matt Simpson, Simpson, Ismail Haniyeh, Nicky Shiels Organizations: Federal, Index, MKS PAMP SA Locations: U.S, Tehran, Israel, Gaza

☆ Treasury yields tumble as investors weigh interest rate outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. Treasury yields slid further on Thursday as investors digested comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who suggested a September rate cut was on the table. Yields had fallen on Wednesday after Fed Chairman Powell hinted at a September rate cut after the central bank's July meeting concluded. Depending on these factors, "a reduction in our policy rate could be on the table as soon as the next meeting in September," he said. As expected, the central bank left interest rates unchanged. Several analysts are expecting the central bank to cut rates, but uncertainty remains as the BOE has not sent clear signals.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, BOE Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Bank of England Locations: U.S

☆ Private payroll growth slowed to 122,000 in July, less than expected, ADP says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Private job growth slowed further in July while the pace of wage gains hit a three-year low, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. Companies added just 122,000 jobs on the month, the slowest pace since January and below the upwardly revised 155,000 in June. Several sectors reported net losses on the month. The ADP report comes two days before the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Services releases its nonfarm payrolls count, which, unlike the ADP tally, includes government jobs. The two reports can differ substantially, with ADP overshooting the BLS estimate of 136,000 for private payrolls in June.

Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson Organizations: FedEx, Broadway, Companies, ADP, Federal, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Services Locations: New York City, Midwest

☆ Gold prices set for monthly gain; traders eye Fed verdict
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An employee arranges one kilogram gold bars for a photograph at the YLG Bullion International headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Jan. 13, 2016. Gold prices held steady on Wednesday and headed for a monthly gain, supported by rising optimism surrounding U.S. interest rate cuts, while focus shifted to Federal Reserve's policy verdict due later in the day. Spot gold held its ground at $2,407.85 per ounce, as of 0200 GMT, and has gained more than 3% for the month. Gold will rally if the Fed language indicates that multiple cuts are coming," said Kyle Rodda, a financial market analyst at Capital.com. Traders will also keep an eye on the ADP employment report due later in the day and Friday's U.S. payrolls report.

Persons: Fed's, Kyle Rodda, Israel, Hezbollah's, Rodda Organizations: Traders, Reuters Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, Federal, U.S, United States, Iraq, Beirut, Israel

☆ Powell says September rate cut 'on the table' if inflation data continues to cool
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Recent economic data has pointed toward inflation data falling back toward the central bank's 2% target, while the unemployment rates has crept up above 4%. Powell said Wednesday that central bankers would be "data dependent, but not data-point dependent" in determining when to cut rates. "I don't know think of the labor market in its current state as a likely source of significant inflationary pressures. So I would not like to see material further cooling in the labor market," Powell said. Powell said Wednesday a potential 50-basis point rate cut is "not something we're thinking about right now."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal, Fed

☆ Treasury yields hold steady ahead of Fed rate decision, policy guidance
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by less than one basis point to 4.1316%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.3584% after dipping by less than one basis point. With the Fed meeting set to end on Wednesday, investors looked to the central bank's monetary policy announcement and the post-meeting press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Questions also remain over how many rate cuts could be implemented by the Fed this year. After this month's meeting, three more are in the calendar for the central bank in 2024.

Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Fed, Labor, Survey

☆ Gold lacks momentum as Fed meeting looms
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold struggled for momentum on Tuesday as investors looked for more cues on when the U.S. central bank will cut interest rates from this week's policy meeting and data releases. Gold struggled for momentum on Tuesday as investors looked for more cues on when the U.S. central bank will cut interest rates from this week's policy meeting and data releases. Spot gold was down 0.1% at $2,380.31 per ounce, as of 0156 GMT. "Any moves lower in the dollar would likely provide a boon to gold, which could again see levels north of $2,400." Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding bullion.

Persons: Gold, Tim Waterer, KCM, Heraeus Organizations: Federal, Fed, Bank of England, Bank of Japan Locations: U.S

☆ S&P 500 futures are little changed as Wall Street awaits Fed decision: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

S&P 500 futures are near flat Tuesday night as investors parsed the latest earnings reports and readied for the Federal Reserve monetary policy decision coming Wednesday afternoon. Futures tied to the broad index lost 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures ticked higher by 0.2%. Fed funds futures are pricing in a strong likelihood that central bankers will keep rates steady at the 5.25% to 5.5% range, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are tracking to end July down 0.4% and 3.3%, respectively. The Dow and Russell 2000 are slated to finish the month higher by more than 4% and 9%, respectively.

Persons: Dow, Russell, Jerome Powell, CME's, Powell, Bryce Doty Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Sit Investment, Fed, Boeing, Albemarle, Qualcomm, Etsy

☆ Treasury yields fall as investors look to key data, Fed meeting in week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over three basis points to 4.1666%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.3729% after falling by more than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Monday as investors awaited the release of key economic data and looked to the Federal Reserve's meeting scheduled for the week. Investors awaited the Federal Reserve's July meeting and key data from the labor market slated for the week. Investors will be looking at the data for hints about the state of the labor market, as this could also inform monetary policy expectations and decision-making.

Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Investors, PCE

☆ 14 earnings, jobs and the Fed are what we're watching in the market this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-27 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +12 min

As for Club earnings, we got positive results from life sciences company Danaher and industrial firm Dover. Ford was a major disappointment and its nearly 20% stock drop for the week was the worst performer in the portfolio. In the week ahead, it's going to be another big week of earnings with the four mega-cap names and 10 other Club names set to report. Linde : We're looking for more of the same — steady earnings growth; 6% is the Street estimate. End market commentary will also help us better formulate our view of the economy — and in turn the stock market.

Persons: Russell, Jerome Powell's, Ford, Stanley Black, Decker, We're, we'll, Elliott, we've, We'll, Kraft Heinz, Vita Coco, COCO, Lam, SIRI, WEN, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Michael M Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Communication, Honeywell, YouTube, Procter & Gamble, Devices, Microsoft, Starbucks, GE Healthcare, DuPont, Meta, Apple, Coterra Energy, Linde, Silo AI, Elliott Management, GE HealthCare, Amazon, Apple Intelligence, U.S, Labor, Fed, Networks, Procter, Gamble, PayPal, Pfizer, BP, JetBlue Airways, Merck, Solar Inc, Caesars Entertainment, Electronic Arts, EA, Nation Entertainment, Boeing, Cruise, Mastercard, Teva Pharmaceutical, Hess Corp, Arm Holdings, Qualcomm, Lam Research, Western, eBay, EBAY, MGM Resorts, MGM, ConocoPhillips, Mobileye, Canada Goose Holdings, Hershey, Toyota, Dominion Energy, Air Products & Chemicals, Southern Company, International, Coterra Energy Intel, Coinbase, Booking Holdings, LIN, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, LyondellBasell Industries, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: Dover, Eaton, Amazon, China, destocking, Corning, New York City

☆ How Biden's unpopular economic record could be a challenge for Kamala Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

As the frontrunner for the Democratic party's nomination, Kamala Harris will have to run, for better or worse, on President Joe Biden's economic record. It will be just one challenge Harris will have to overcome to defeat her Republican opponent, former President Donald Trump . Despite historically low unemployment and macro growth that has defied long-held expectations for recession, the economy is Biden's soft spot. "I don't see a lot of daylight between her views on economic policy and those of the administration," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics , a Democrat who has advised administrations of both parties. Possible change at the Fed One area of difference between Biden and Harris could be a crucial one — the Federal Reserve.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden's, Biden, Harris, Donald Trump, She's, Greg Valliere, she's, There's, Mark Zandi, Zandi, nonfarm, Joseph LaVorgna, Biden's, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, reappoint Powell Organizations: Democratic, Biden, Republican, AGF Investments, Reuters, Moody's, Democrat, Economic Council, Nikko Securities, Federal Reserve, Senate, Beacon, Advisors Locations: California

☆ European Central Bank holds interest rates, says domestic price pressures 'still high'
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

European Central Bank (ECB) president Christine Lagarde attends a press conference following the Governing Council's monetary policy meeting, in Frankfurt, Germany July 18, 2024. Jana Rodenbusch | ReutersThe European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged on Thursday, after implementing a cut in June. "Monetary policy is keeping financing conditions restrictive. The decision — which keeps the key interest rate at 3.75% — was widely expected amid ongoing concern over inflationary pressures, particularly from the labor market. Analysts expected the central bank to wait for more data across payrolls, economic growth and productivity before easing monetary policy further.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Jana Rodenbusch, —, Lagarde Organizations: European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, U.S . Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, —

☆ Fed Governor Waller sees central bank 'getting closer' to an interest rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday suggested that interest rate cuts are ahead soon as long as there are no major surprises on inflation and employment. "So, while I don't believe we have reached our final destination, I do believe we are getting closer to the time when a cut in the policy rate is warranted." Keeping with statements from other policymakers, Waller's sentiments point to an unlikelihood of a rate cut when the Federal Open Market Committee meets later this month, but a stronger likelihood of a move in September. "Given that I believe the first two scenarios have the highest probability of occurring, I believe the time to lower the policy rate is drawing closer," Waller said. Williams noted that inflation data is "all moving in the right direction and doing that pretty consistently" and is "getting us closer to a disinflationary trend that we're looking for."

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, John Williams, Williams Organizations: Federal, Kansas City Fed, Market Committee, CNBC, New York Fed, Wall Street, Fed, Traders

☆ A famed economist who called the 2008 recession shares 5 signs the US is on the brink of a downturn — all while the stock market shows concerning weakness beneath the surface of record highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-13 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

But don't bet on a soft landing outcome for the US economy as the Fed gets set to cut rates, says famed economist David Rosenberg. AdvertisementRosenberg ResearchRosenberg's downbeat views on the labor market come amid his skepticism about the impressive rallies in major stock-market indexes like the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500. Still, as Rosenberg points out, some say the Fed needs to act urgently as the labor market weakens. Waiting too long to lower interest rates to support the economy will only increase the odds of the job market breaking down." Rosenberg has been consistently bearish on the US economy in recent months, while the labor market has continued to prove him wrong.

Persons: —, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch's, Eli Lilly, Russell, Neil Dutta, Dutta Organizations: Service, Fed, Rosenberg Research, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics ', Survey, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Macro

☆ Dollar firm on Powell caution, kiwi bides time before rates decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The New Zealand dollar edged higher ahead of the central bank's rate decision, with traders on alert for any signals on the timing for policy easing. In the first day of his testimony to Congress overnight, Powell said a rate cut is not appropriate until the Fed gains "greater confidence" inflation is headed toward the 2% inflation target. Traders lay about 73% odds for a rate cut by September, slipping from 76% a day earlier. New Zealand's kiwi added 0.1% to $0.6131, but staying mostly flat this week after pulling back sharply from Monday's three-week high of $0.6171. "If they do, financial markets could fully price the first RBNZ rate cut in October, from November at present," spurring a retreat in the kiwi to NZ$1.1031 per Aussie dollar, she added.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Taylor Nugent, Kristina Clifton Organizations: Federal, New Zealand, Fed, Traders, National Australia Bank, Reserve Bank of New, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Aussie, NZ Locations: Reserve Bank of New Zealand

☆ Restaurants and hotels were helping power the booming job market. Now, they're barely hiring.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Still, the industry largely saw strong monthly job gains following the losses it faced early on in the pandemic, averaging 205,000 jobs a month in 2021. Data out Friday from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed this industry saw a month-over-month job gain of 7,000; the overall nonfarm payroll job gain in June was 206,000. The industry has historically had higher rates of quits and job openings than the overall labor market, per the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Additionally, the healthcare and social assistance sectors have seen robust job growth and likely will be looking for job seekers long-term. AdvertisementThe overall tougher labor market still has potential for job seekers.

Persons: —, switchers, Julia Pollak, " Pollak, Pollak, Nick Bunker Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, BLS, Healthcare, North America Locations: Federal

☆ Gold eases from May peak on profit taking
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A view of ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold, which are placed in a workroom, at Novosibirsk Refining Plant, Russia's leading gold refining and bar manufacturing plant, in Novosibirsk, Russia on Sept. 15, 2023. Spot gold fell 0.4% at $2,382.17 per ounce as of 0346 GMT, after rising to its highest level since May 22 on Friday. Traders are also pricing in a rising chance of a second rate cut in December. Elsewhere, top consumer China's central bank refrained from gold purchases to its reserves for a second consecutive month in June. "China may have paused their gold purchases, but it remains in demand overall.

Persons: We're, Kyle Rodda, CME's, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Matt Simpson, bullish, Simpson Organizations: Novosibirsk Refining Plant, Capital.com, Federal, Fed Locations: Novosibirsk, Russia, China

☆ Euro eases on French poll gridlock, dollar sluggish after US payrolls
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The euro slipped on Monday after projections from France's election pointed to a hung parliament amid an unexpectedly strong showing for a left-wing alliance, spawning fresh uncertainty over the country's fiscal outlook. The euro slipped on Monday after projections from France's election pointed to a hung parliament amid an unexpectedly strong showing for a left-wing alliance, spawning fresh uncertainty over the country's fiscal outlook. The yen headed for a third day of gains after rebounding from last week's nearly 38-year trough to the dollar. The euro was 0.06% lower at $1.0827, and earlier slid as much as 0.4% as investors weighed the consequences of a hung French parliament. The dollar slipped 0.07% to 160.70 yen, down from as high as 161.96 on Wednesday.

Persons: Sterling, Emmanuel Macron's, Chris Weston, Macron, Weston, bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labour, Conservative, New Popular Front, Le, Traders Locations: Gox

☆ Treasury yields rise as investors look to inflation data due in week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over 3 basis points at 4.31%. The 2-year Treasury yield also climbed more than 3 basis points to 4.633%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Monday as investors looked ahead to key economic data due throughout the week, including fresh inflation insights. Data released Friday showed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 206,000 in June, more than the 200,000 Dow Jones forecast. Minutes from the Fed's latest meeting published last week showed that policymakers are looking for more evidence that inflation is easing before deciding to move rates.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Dow

☆ Here are 3 major reports that could drive the stock market in the week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-06 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Three of the four big money center banks report this coming Friday, including Club name Wells Fargo . Economic data : The June consumer price index (CPI) is out on Thursday morning, and the June producer price index (PPI) is out on Friday morning. Earnings season : Within the portfolio, net interest income (NII) guidance is going to be a key watch item when Wells Fargo reports its quarter this coming Friday. However, other factors like muted loan demand have prevented Wells Fargo from raising its outlook this year. Wells Fargo – and our other bank name Morgan Stanely – both passed, indicating they have strong capital positions with excess money to return to shareholders.

Persons: May's, You'll, Wells, Michael Santomassimo, Morgan Stanley, We're, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanely –, JPMorgan Chase, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Beata Zawrzel Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Apple, Broadcom, Club, Meta, Energy, Constellation Brands, Corona, Modelo, Federal Reserve, Manufacturing, PMI, Fed, Wells, PPI, CPI, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, DAL, Conagra Brands, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, U.S, New York Stock Exchange, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, FactSet, Wells, Wells Fargo –, New York, United States, America

☆ The US economy added more jobs than expected last month as unemployment surprisingly rose
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The US economy added 206,000 jobs in June, more than the forecast of 191,000. The unemployment rate rose from 4.0% in May to 4.1% in June. Data released earlier this week showed job openings rose slightly from 7.9 million in April to 8.1 million in May. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose from 4.0% in May to 4.1% in June. According to the forecast noted on Investing.com, the US economy was expected to add 191,000 nonfarm payrolls in June.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, payrolls, Bureau of Labor Statistics

☆ Ron Insana: Why this jobs report should spur the Fed to cut rates in July
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

It's time for the Fed to cut rates at the end of July. Add to that the moderation in the consumer price index , the producer price index and the personal consumption expenditures price index – the Fed's preferred inflation gauge – and the need to wait for further signs of improvement seems like overkill. Also, if the Fed dials back policy later – rather than sooner – there will be claims of political interference if it cut rates immediately before the presidential election. The central bank has been dealing with an economy-crashing pandemic, a surge in prices and uncertainty over how its policies would affect the broad economy, inflation and consumer behavior over time. This is a factor that will likely drive inflation rates lower.

Persons: Adrian –, –, Mickey, Dow Jones, Joe Biden, Adrian . Go, Ron Insana Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow, New York Federal, Atlanta, CNBC

☆ CNBC Daily Open: UK Labour landslide election victory
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. UK Labour wins landslide victoryThe center-left Labour Party has won a landslide victory, ending 14 years of Conservative rule. Samsung shares climbed 2.84%, hitting their highest level since January 2021. Here are Evercore ISI's best stock ideas for the second half.

Persons: Keir Starmer's, Tony Blair's, Rishi Sunak, Brexiteer Nigel Farage, jeopardizing, Korea's Kospi, nonfarm payrolls, Saks, Neiman Marcus, Bergdorf Goodman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Labour, Labour Party, Conservative, Keir Starmer's Labour, Party, Nikkei, Samsung, Samsung Electronics, CSI, S3 Partners, Saks Fifth, HBC, Saks, ISI Locations: May's

☆ Treasury yields little changed ahead of key jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.6934% after rising by less than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields held steady on Friday as markets reopened after the July 4 holiday and investors awaited the latest nonfarm payroll data. Key economic data is expected in form of the June jobs report on Friday. The report is expected to show that nonfarm payrolls added 200,000 jobs in June, according to economists polled by Dow Jones. Many investors are hoping that Friday's jobs data will indicate that the labor market and economy are cooling, as this could support the case for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.

Persons: payrolls, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, ADP, Federal Reserve

☆ Here's where the jobs are for June — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Health care and social assistance added 82,400 jobs, while government increased by 70,000 positions. The breakdown of the June jobs report suggests that growth has become increasingly uneven as the labor market shows signs of softening. Health care and social assistance have been a key component of the labor market recovery since the pandemic. Meanwhile, education accounted for 17,200 of the jobs added in the government sector. Both state and local governments added jobs outside of education, as well.

Persons: nonfarm payrolls, Jeffrey Roach, payrolls, Roach Organizations: Labor Department, LPL

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