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Yuan slide half pulls Beijing out of its inertia
  + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Yawen Chen | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Support measures appear piecemeal, the latest include a move to extend trading hours to jolt a battered stock market. But if there’s one thing that authorities cannot let slide, it is the weakening currency. Slowing economic growth also has forced the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) to cut interest rates against Western counterparts’ aggressive rate hikes. Policymakers also could increase offshore issuance of yuan bills in Hong Kong, and there’s always the option of introducing more stringent capital controls. The central bank will "resolutely" prevent excessive movement in the yuan, the report said.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Bond, there’s, Xi, Una Galani, Katrina Hamlin Organizations: Reuters, Zhongzhi Enterprise Group, People’s Bank of China, Western, People's Bank of China, Thomson Locations: China, Hong Kong, U.S
China surprises with modest rate cut amid growing yuan risks
  + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) was lowered by 10 basis points to 3.45% from 3.55% previously, while the five-year LPR was left at 4.20%. The 10 bp cut in the one-year rate was smaller than the 15 bp cut expected by most poll respondents. Most new and outstanding loans in China are based on the one-year LPR, while the five-year rate influences the pricing of mortgages. The reduction in the one-year LPR came after the People's Bank of China (PBOC) unexpectedly lowered its medium-term policy rate last week. Cheung added that the unexpected rate outcome should be "negative to China growth outlook and the yuan exchange rate".
Persons: Tingshu Wang, LPR, Masayuki Kichikawa, Ken Cheung, Cheung, Winni Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Kevin Buckland, Sam Holmes Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Rights, Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management, Mizuho Bank, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Rights SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, Shanghai
Headquarters of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), the central bank, is pictured in Beijing, China September 28, 2018. REUTERS/Jason Lee/ File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBEIJING, Aug 20 (Reuters) - China will coordinate financial support to resolve local government debt problems, the central bank said in a statement on Sunday, as policymakers look to shore up an increasingly shaky economic recovery and reassure worried investors. Financial departments should coordinate support to resolve local debt risks, enrich tools to prevent and resolve debt risks, strengthen risk monitoring and firmly hold the line on avoiding systemic risk, according to the PBOC statement. Bloomberg reported on Aug. 11 that China will offer local governments a combined 1 trillion yuan ($137 billion) in bond issuance quotas for refinancing. "Financial support to the real economy must be strong enough" while major banks should increase lending, the statement said.
Persons: Jason Lee, Fitch, Pan Gongsheng, Xiao Yuanqi, Li Chao, PBOC, Ellen Zhang, Siyi Liu, Ryan Woo, Kim Coghill Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Rights, Communist Party, Bloomberg, PBOC, National Financial Regulatory, China Securities Regulatory, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Rights BEIJING
The headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank, is pictured behind an iron chain in Beijing August 30, 2010. REUTERS/Jason Lee/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsAug 21 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The People's Bank of China is expected to cut interest rates on Monday, but it may have to throw caution to the wind and 'go big' if it is to soothe the nervousness and concern around China currently sweeping through financial markets. Either way, investors will be looking to Beijing and Jackson Hole this week for some degree of assurance and guidance. Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Monday:- China interest rate decision- Thailand GDP (Q2)- Hong Kong inflation (July)By Jamie McGeever; Editing by Diane CraftOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jason Lee, Jamie McGeever, Jerome Powell, Xi Jinping, Xi, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Jackson, Diane Craft Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, People's Bank of, Bank of Korea, Bank Indonesia, U.S, U.S . Federal, Goldman, Barclays, Treasury, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Beijing, People's Bank of China, China, Asia, U.S ., Brazil, Russia, India, South Africa, U.S, Thailand, Hong Kong
U.S. Dollar and Chinese Yuan banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 14, 2022. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) set a much stronger-than-expected daily fixing, lifting the yuan from a 9-month low hit on Thursday. The yuan weakened against the dollar to 7.3060 in offshore trading after the PBOC set the official mid-point at 7.2006, more than 1,000 pips stronger than Reuters' estimate. China's economic troubles have deepened, with property developer China Evergrande (3333.HK) seeking Chapter 15 protection in a U.S. bankruptcy court. The Japanese yen strengthened 0.38% versus the greenback at 145.29 per dollar after reaching a nine-month low of 146.56 on Thursday.
Persons: Florence Lo, Joe Manimbo, it's, we've, Joseph Trevisani, that's, Hannah Lang, Joice Alves, Kevin Buckland, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, People's Bank of China, Reuters, China, HK, U.S, Federal, Thomson Locations: U.S, Convera, China, Washington, London, Tokyo
U.S. Dollar and Chinese Yuan banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 14, 2022. "High yields and growing risks in China suggests the balance of risks is moderately tilted to the upside for the dollar," he added. The U.S. dollar index , which measures the currency against six peers, edged 0.1% higher at 103.53, after touching a two-month high at 103.59 on Thursday. ING'S Pesole said the single currency has been surprisingly resilient given the euro zone’s economic exposure to China. Against the yen, the dollar eased 0.3% to 145.38 , after reaching a nine-month peak of 146.56 on Thursday.
Persons: Florence Lo, Francesco Pesole, ING'S Pesole, Joice Alves, Kevin Buckland, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, People's Bank of China, Reuters, China, HK, U.S, ING, Federal, Thomson Locations: Thursday's, U.S, Beijing, China, London, Tokyo
U.S. Dollar and Chinese Yuan banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 14, 2022. Strong economic data this week, particularly retail sales, had already bolstered the case for additional tightening. That all helped push 10-year Treasury yields to the highest since October at 4.328% on Thursday. "The risk aversion, the higher yields, the resilient economic data ... all of those things have played out to perfection for the U.S. Against the yen, the dollar eased 0.32% to 145.365 on Friday, after reaching a nine-month peak of 146.40 overnight.
Persons: Florence Lo, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, Ray Attrill, Kevin Buckland, Jacqueline Wong, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, People's Bank of, U.S, Federal, IG, U.S ., National Australia Bank, Reuters, HK, . Treasury, Thomson Locations: Beijing, People's Bank of China, China, U.S
In Asia, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) fell 0.6% to just a whisker above a nine-month low hit the previous day. That brought the total loss for the week to 3.4% and marked the third straight week of declines for the index. Shares of Chinese property developers (.HSMPI) listed in Hong Kong fell 1.2%, after China Evergrande (3333.HK) filed for protection from creditors in a U.S. bankruptcy court. "At the start of the year China's economy was powering ahead. Brent crude futures dipped 0.2% to $83.94 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures was flat at $80.36.
Persons: Yuan, HSI, China Evergrande, Jonas Goltermann, Goltermann, Padhraic Garvey, Sam Holmes, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: SYDNEY, Nasdaq, Nikkei, Bank of, Technology, HK, Capital Economics, ING, Atlanta Federal, U.S ., U.S, Brent, . West Texas, Thomson Locations: Japan, Europe, Asia, Pacific, Bank of Japan, Hong Kong, China, U.S, Beijing, Americas
U.S. Dollar and Chinese Yuan banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 14, 2022. Strong economic data this week, particularly retail sales, had already bolstered the case for additional tightening. "The market wants the Fed to go on hold, but the data just isn't supporting that," said Tony Sycamore, a markets analyst at IG. "The risk aversion, the higher yields, the resilient economic data ... all of those things have played out to perfection for the U.S. Against the yen, the dollar eased 0.22% to 145.515 on Friday, after reaching a nine-month peak of 146.40 overnight.
Persons: Florence Lo, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, Kevin Buckland, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, People's Bank of, U.S, Federal, IG, U.S ., Reuters, HK, . Treasury, Thomson Locations: People's Bank of China, China, U.S, Beijing
The yuan midpoint is a reference point for trading, and caps the range between +2% and -2%. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart iconFriday's move comes after the onshore yuan fell to a 16-year low against the greenback on Wednesday, trading at 7.2981. The onshore yuan strengthened 0.1% against the greenback at 7.2836 on Friday, and the offshore yuan weakened marginally to 7.3057. The onshore yuan is traded on the mainland and referred to as the CNY, while the offshore yuan — traded in markets like Hong Kong and Singapore — is referred to as the CNH. It vowed to "maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level, and resolutely prevent the risk of exchange rate overshoot."
Persons: Vishnu Varathan Organizations: Nurphoto, People's Bank of, U.S, Reuters, Mizuho Bank Locations: Fuyang city, East China's Anhui, People's Bank of China, Hong Kong, Singapore, Asia, Oceania
A man wearing a mask walks past the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank, in Beijing, China, as the country is hit by an outbreak of the new coronavirus, February 3, 2020. REUTERS/Jason Lee/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBEIJING, Aug 17 (Reuters) - China's central bank said on Thursday it would keep liquidity reasonably ample and keep its policy "precise and forceful" to support the country's economic recovery, amid rising headwinds. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will "better leverage the dual functions of aggregate and structural monetary policy tools and firmly support the recovery and development of the real economy," the bank said in its second-quarter monetary policy implementation report. Markets widely expect the bank to loosen monetary policy further. China will also prevent overshooting risks of the yuan exchange rate and fend off systemic financial risks, the central bank said.
Persons: Jason Lee, Liangping Gao, Ella Cao, Kevin Yao, Toby Chopra, Hugh Lawson Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Rights, HK, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Rights BEIJING
"State bank dollar selling has become a new normal to slow the pace of yuan depreciation," said one Shanghai-based trader. Offshore branches of the state banks were also seen selling dollars during London and New York trading hours this week, two sources with direct knowledge of the matter said on Thursday. Such dollar selling could limit falls in the offshore yuan and prevent it from diverging too far from its onshore counterpart . The onshore yuan traded at 7.3145 per dollar as of 0442 GMT, while the offshore yuan last fetched 7.3400. During recent weeks, market watchers say the Chinese authorities have sought to slow the yuan's decline, with the PBOC persistently setting a stronger-than-expected fixing, and state banks repeatedly selling dollars.
Persons: Yuan, Dado Ruvic, Hong, Jacqueline Wong, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S, People's Bank of China, Shanghai, Thomson Locations: State, Shanghai, London, New York, China, U.S, Hong Kong
And markets widely expect the PBOC to loosen monetary policy further. But the divergent monetary policy paths between the world's two largest economies widened the yield gap to 164 basis points between China's benchmark 10-year government bonds and U.S Treasuries s - the highest since February 2007. "More broadly, recent economic data releases in China have been disappointing, while those in the U.S. have surprised to the upside." The widening yield gap reduced foreign appetite in China's onshore yuan bonds, with latest official data showing overseas investors' holding declined in July. But the expectations for further monetary easing and capital outflow risks has pressure on the Chinese yuan to depreciate further.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Mark Schiefelbein, David Chao, Eugenia Victorino, SEB, Winni Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: Rights, People's Bank of China, Asia, Thomson Locations: United States, Diaoyutai, Beijing, China, Rights SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, Invesco, U.S, Asia
Asia stocks fall as weak China data weigh
  + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( Kane Wu | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
China reported weaker than expected July activity data Tuesday, accompanied by news that Beijing would no longer publish youth unemployment data. Wong said he was most concerned about month-to-month decline of China's retail sales and weak infrastructure investments, which suggested lack of funding from local governments. China's industrial output and retail sales growth both slowed from a month earlier to a year-on-year pace of 3.7% and 2.5% respectively, missing expectations. If the decline begins to accelerate, it will feed back on weaker consumer confidence and weigh on already feeble retail sales growth. All three major U.S. equity indexes ended Tuesday lower, after a stronger-than-expected report on U.S. retail sales data.
Persons: Issei Kato, HONG KONG, Australia's, Redmond Wong, Wong, Hang, John Milroy, Ord Minnett, Tina Teng, Ord Minnett's Milroy, Brent, Kane Wu, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, Japan's Nikkei, Saxo Markets, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Fed, New Zealand, CMC, Canada, BHP, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, HONG, Asia, Asia Pacific, China, Beijing, Greater China, Wedneday
[1/2] Chinese Yuan and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. That represented the highest annual growth rate since comparable records began in 2001. "BoE Sep rate hike bets have jumped ... providing support for the GBP," said Scotiabank chief FX strategist Shaun Osborne. The yuan briefly bounced back as major state-owned banks were seen selling dollars to support the local currency. Punctuating those worries, Chinese data on industrial output, retail sales and investment released shortly after the PBOC's rate cut showed unexpected slowdowns.
Persons: Yuan, Dado Ruvic, Sterling, BoE, Shaun Osborne, Scotiabank's Osborne, Osborne, Shinichiro Kadota, Shunichi Suzuki, Joice Alves, Samuel Indyk, Brigid Riley, Kevin Buckland, Susan Fenton Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of, Kremlin, Bank of England, Scotiabank, People's Bank of China, U.S, Traders, Barclays, Finance, Thomson Locations: Russian
Oil edges up as China cuts policy rates to support economy
  + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Muyu Xu | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A VLCC oil tanker is seen at a crude oil terminal in Ningbo Zhoushan port, Zhejiang province, China May 16, 2017. Prices turned higher after the People's Bank of China (PBOC) lowered the rate on 401 billion yuan ($55.3 billion) in one-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) loans to some financial institutions by 15 basis points to 2.5%. Despite the weak macroeconomic data, China's oil appetite showed resilience. The declining U.S. output could exacerbate global oil supply tightness as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, known as OPEC+, cut production. Reporting by Muyu Xu and Katya Golubkova; Editing by Sonali Paul and Tom HogueOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Stringer, Robert Carnell, refiners, Muyu Xu, Katya Golubkova, Sonali Paul, Tom Hogue Organizations: REUTERS, Garden Holdings, SINGAPORE, Brent, . West Texas, People's Bank of China, ING Bank, Energy, of, Petroleum, Thomson Locations: Ningbo Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China, Beijing, Asia Pacific, OPEC
A citizen walks past the Hangzhou Central branch of the People's Bank of China in Hangzhou, east China's Zhejiang province, June 13, 2023. China's central bank unexpectedly cut key policy rates for the second time in three months on Tuesday, in a fresh sign that the authorities are ramping up monetary easing efforts to boost a sputtering economic recovery. Analysts said the move opened the door to a potential cut in China's lending benchmark loan prime rate (LPR) next week. In a Reuters poll of 26 market watchers conducted this week, 20 participants, or 77%, predicted that the central bank would leave the MLF rate unchanged. The PBOC lowered key policy rates in June to prop up the broad economy, but data has been increasingly weak since.
Persons: Tommy Wu, Ken Cheung Organizations: People's Bank of China, Mizuho Bank Locations: Hangzhou Central, Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China's, China, United States
Oil steadies as China data sours sentiment
  + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Natalie Grover | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A VLCC oil tanker is seen at a crude oil terminal in Ningbo Zhoushan port, Zhejiang province, China May 16, 2017. REUTERS/Stringer /File PhotoCompanies Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd FollowLONDON, Aug 15 (Reuters) - Oil prices stabilised on Tuesday as sluggish Chinese economic figures were countered by Beijing unexpectedly cutting key policy rates for the second time in three months. China's industrial output and retail sales data on Tuesday showed the economy slowed further last month, intensifying pressure on already faltering growth and prompting authorities to cut key policy rates to shore up activity. In an effort to shore up support, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) lowered the rate on 401 billion yuan ($55.3 billion) in one-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) loans to some financial institutions by 15 basis points to 2.5%. Still, sentiment on China is souring, added PVM's Evans.
Persons: Stringer, galvanise, John Evans, Robert Carnell, refiners, PVM's Evans, Natalie Grover, Muyu Xu, Katya Golubkova, Tom Hogue, Jason Neely Organizations: REUTERS, Garden Holdings, Brent, . West Texas, of, Petroleum, People's Bank of China, ING Bank, Thomson Locations: Ningbo Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China, Beijing, Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, Asia Pacific
Dollar firm, yuan slides after China unexpectedly cuts rates
  + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The safe-haven dollar stayed firm against major peers while the yuan sank to a nine-month trough after China's central bank unexpectedly cut key policy rates for a second time in three months on Tuesday to shore up the country's sputtering economy. Chinese data on industrial output and retail sales released shortly after the PBOC's rate cut also fell short of economists' forecasts. The Australian dollar , which often acts as a proxy trade on China, dipped as much as 0.39% to $0.6463 but failed to breach Monday's nine-month low of $0.6454. "There's a floor under (the Aussie dollar), and any rumors of stimulus could light the bullish match for these markets to bounce." Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar pushed to a fresh nine-month high of 145.60 yen before retreating to be down 0.09% at 145.435.
Persons: Matt Simpson Organizations: Reserve Bank, Australia's, U.S, Traders Locations: China
Paramilitary police officers stand guard in front of the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank (PBOC), in Beijing, China September 30, 2022. REUTERS/Tingshu Wang/File PhotoSHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Aug 15 (Reuters) - China's central bank unexpectedly cut key policy rates for the second time in three months on Tuesday, in a fresh sign that the authorities are ramping up monetary easing efforts to boost a sputtering economic recovery. Analysts said the move opened the door to a potential cut in China's lending benchmark loan prime rate (LPR) next week. In a Reuters poll of 26 market watchers conducted this week, 20 participants, or 77%, predicted that the central bank would leave the MLF rate unchanged. The PBOC lowered key policy rates in June to prop up the broad economy, but data has been increasingly weak since.
Persons: Tingshu Wang, Tommy Wu, Ken Cheung, Winni Zhou, Rae Wee, Kim Coghill, Jamie Freed Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Mizuho Bank, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, United States
Str | Afp | Getty ImagesChina's central bank unexpectedly cut rates on Tuesday, as policymakers continued to ramp up support for its struggling economy. It was the second rate cut in three months. China is facing a "confidence crisis" as Beijing's policy delay is being perceived as "inaction" to spur growth, according to an economist. "In a crisis such as this … you can't really call it a consumption crisis or investment crisis. In addition to the rate cut on Tuesday, the central bank also injected 204 billion yuan through seven-day reverse repos, cutting borrowing costs by 10 basis points to 1.80% from 1.90%.
Persons: we've, Louise Loo, CNBC's, Loo, they've, 15bps, Goldman Sachs, Hao Zhou Organizations: Afp, Getty, People's Bank of China, Oxford Economics, Guotai Locations: China
The PBOC cut its one-year medium-term lending facility rate by 15 basis points to 2.5%, the biggest reduction since 2020. The People's Bank of China slashed its one-year medium-term lending facility rate by 15 basis points to 2.5%, the deepest cut since 2020. Even more surprisingly, China omitted any mention of youth unemployment statistics in its July report card. Youth unemployment had soared to a record high of 21.3% in the second quarter of 2023. China's statistics bureau spokesperson told Bloomberg that the youth unemployment rate won't be released from August until surveying methods are improved.
Organizations: Bureau, Statistics, Service, People's Bank of China, Bloomberg, Reuters, Exports Locations: Wall, Silicon, China
China c.bank seen leaving policy loan rate unchanged on Tuesday
  + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Paramilitary police officers stand guard in front of the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank (PBOC), in Beijing, China September 30, 2022. REUTERS/Tingshu Wang/File PhotoSHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Aug 14 (Reuters) - China's central bank is expected to keep rates on its medium-term policy loans unchanged on Tuesday, a Reuters survey showed, despite fresh signs the economic recovery is losing momentum. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) last lowered the rate by 10 basis points to 2.65% in June. "We believe more pro-growth policies are warranted to support the economic growth, and further easing in monetary policy can be expected," analysts at BofA Global Research said. They expect a 15-basis-point cut in one-year loan prime rate (LPR) in total in the third quarter of the year.
Persons: Tingshu Wang, Li Hongwei, Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, HSBC, BofA Global Research, July's, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, United States, Shanghai, Singapore
Morning Bid: China property troubles plague Asia stocks
  + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Wayne Cole. Core inflation actually doubled to 0.8% y/y and the drop in consumer prices was largely driven by year-ago volatility in pork prices. That puts the focus on retail sales on Tuesday where a rise of 4.7% is forecast, though a wide range of estimates from +2.8% to +10.8% suggests a surprise is possible. The same goes for U.S. retail sales on Tuesday where the median is for a 0.4% increase, but BofA is tipping 0.7% based on credit and debit spending in the month. The dollar is also flying on the Aussie and kiwi and a range of emerging Asian currencies, which are being dumped as proxies for China risk.
Persons: Wayne Cole, It's, it's, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Wayne, Asia, China, Beijing
Banknotes of Chinese yuan and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration picture taken September 29, 2022. The Australian and New Zealand dollars hovered close to two-month lows amid a worsening economic outlook for key trade partner China. The dollar was little changed at 143.79 yen , after earlier drifting to the highest since July 7 at 143.90. Elsewhere, the Chinese yuan tacked on about 0.1% to 7.2235 per dollar in offshore trading after the PBOC set a stronger official mid-point than the market consensus for a second day. New Zealand's kiwi was flat at $0.6053, just above Tuesday's low of $0.6035, which was the weakest since June 8.
Persons: Florence Lo, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, Kristina Clifton, Joe Biden, Kevin Buckland, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, New, People's Bank of China, Street, Fed, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S, Thomson Locations: New Zealand, China, U.S, Japan
Total: 25