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People are seen inside the First Republic Bank branch in Midtown Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., March 13, 2023. REUTERS/Mike SegarShares of First Republic were under pressure Friday despite the beaten-down regional bank receiving aid from other financial institutions. ET, the stock was down about 24% and was the worst performer in the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) — which dropped 5%. PacWest and Western Alliance also lost more than 13% each, while KeyCorp slid 8%. Those losses come even after 11 other banks pledged to deposit $30 billion in First Republic as a vote of confidence in the company.
A common tool to gauge the market's intent is following inflows and outflows in large ETFs. There have been outflows from corporate bond ETFs like Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond (VCSH), high yield funds like SPDR High Yield ETF (JNK), bank loan ETFs like SPDR Senior Loan ETF (SRLN) and bank stock ETFs like Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB). The Credit Suisse issue was somewhat different. Europeans at the conference were surprised that there was a focus on Credit Suisse. The common thread of the commentary was that Credit Suisse had never recovered from the financial crisis, that it had been in decline for nearly 20 years.
The selloff in regional banks is overdone, with four names looking especially attractive at these levels, according to UBS. While bank stocks moved higher on Thursday, volatility has risen this week. Regional banks were particularly hard hit. Investors also need to remember that not all regional banks are equivalent, she added. "Thus, we believe that investors should not look at unrealized securities losses in a static manner," Najarian wrote.
The struggles for regional bank stocks has continued despite the announcement from U.S. regulators over the weekend of additional support. The SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) has dropped more than 11% this week. The SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) was down another 1% in premarket trading Thursday. However, the Swiss National Bank struck a deal with Credit Suisse to allow the national bank to borrow up to roughly $54 billion. But while Credit Suisse's struggles could have ripple effects throughout the global banking system, the Swiss bank's problems appear to be unrelated to the U.S. regional banks.
"The Big Short" investor Michael Burry said regulators' extraordinary action to backstop regional banks should be enough to resolve this crisis and stabilize the financial markets. "In October 1907, Knickerbocker Trust failed due to risky bets, sparking a panic. 3 weeks later the Panic resolved & markets bottomed," Burry said in tweet Wednesday. More than a century ago, the financial crisis known as the "Panic of 1907" took place where there were numerous runs on banks, including Knickerbocker Trust. Burry was depicted in Michael Lewis' book "The Big Short" and the subsequent Oscar-winning movie of the same name.
Shares of the Swiss bank fell more than 24% after its biggest backer said it won't provide further financial support. Credit Suisse announced on Tuesday that it had found " material weakness " in its financial reporting process from prior years. Bank stocks were under pressure on Wednesday as the sharp drop of Credit Suisse rattled a segment of the market that was already reeling from two large bank failures in the past week. Some regional bank stocks saw even bigger declines. Credit Suisse struggles come on the heels of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in the U.S. Those failures caused steep sell-offs in regional bank stocks on Monday.
That made Credit Suisse the fourth most heavily traded single-stock name in the U.S. options market on Wednesday. The surge in trading followed a near 31% tumble in Credit Suisse shares on Wednesday after Saudi National Bank (SNB) (1180.SE), which holds 9.88% of Credit Suisse (CSGN.S), said it would not buy more shares on regulatory grounds. Trading in Credit Suisse puts outnumbered that in its call options 1.7-to-1. "There's a lot of moving parts in the Credit Suisse trade right now with respect to a major credit event, European bank contagion, and the possibility of ECB intervention," said Steven Place, an independent options trader in Destin, Florida. For SPDR S&P regional banking ETF (KRE.P), the options trading action was a mix of investors taking profits on existing hedges while putting on new defensive positions, Susquehanna's Murphy said.
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. And after the chaotic few days following Silicon Valley Bank's collapse, unsurprising is what markets needed. The bigger news of the day was banks' — and investors' — reaction to U.S. financial regulators' measures to protect the financial industry. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Of course, the muted reaction to the CPI might be because the numbers were exactly in line with estimates. The bigger news of the day was banks' — and investors' — reaction to U.S. financial regulators' measures to protect the financial industry. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
Oakmark Select Fund's Bill Nygren said it is a good time to buy bank stocks, as attention shifts away from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and toward financial names he believes are strong investments. "I think it's important for people to understand just how different SVB is or was compared to other bank stocks," Nygren said on CNBC's "Closing Bell." The fund manager said the tech-focused Silicon Valley Bank lacked a diversified source of depositors, almost all of them being uninsured, and also had a substantial investment in long-duration assets. The portfolio manager said that the bank stocks Oakmark owns trade at a multiple that is about six to eight times their earnings. It dropped by more than 12% on Monday after banking regulators seized Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, the second- and third-largest bank failures , respectively, in U.S. history.
The rout in regional banks has resulted in one of the best buying opportunities in "many years," according to Baird. KRE 5D mountain KRE's five-day performance Regional bank stocks nosedived after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, even after U.S. regulators backstopped all depositors in the banks. George noted that while liquidity movement is generally hard to predict, the average retail or corporate customer of most regional banks is not at all similar to those at SVB. Among his coverage universe, he has overweight ratings on 11 regional bank stocks. But even after Moody's comments, bank stocks were still recovering some lost ground on Tuesday, including Fifth Third Bancorp shares, which rose nearly 3%.
Losses in Silicon Valley Bank's bond portfolio have highlighted similar risks for Japanese lenders' gigantic foreign bond holdings, which are carrying over 4 trillion yen ($30 billion) in unrealised losses. Three days of selling has the Tokyo Stock Exchange banks index (.IBNKS.T) down 16% - its sharpest drop since the days after the 2011 earthquake and tsunami struck Japan. Reuters GraphicsBONDS GETTING HITMost of the time, bond losses aren't a problem for banks, which typically hold their investments to maturity. An annual Bank of Japan report published on Tuesday said Japanese financial institutions have sufficient capital buffers. "And maybe some concerns Japanese banks have exposures, and some profit taking," he said.
Stocks are bouncing but market will soon face next big hurdle
  + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Strategists see the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next Tuesday and Wednesday as the next big hurdle for markets, barring any other unexpected developments. Traders in the futures market upped their bets Tuesday to a more than 70% chance that the Fed raises interest rates by a quarter point on March 22. Regional bank stocks rose sharply Tuesday after being crushed on fears there could be more bank failures, following the rapid collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. The central bank will also release forecasts after that meeting, including new outlooks for interest rates and inflation. "Something pretty darn significant just broke as a result of higher rates," said Lori Calvasina, head U.S. equity strategist at RBC.
Options traders were buying up short-term call options on a variety of names, including the SPDR S&P regional banking ETF (KRE.P) and regional banks such as First Republic Bank (FRC.N) and Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL.N). "It's early days here but … there is some stability returning in bank share price action," said Michael Purves, chief executive of Tallbacken Capital. "Risk-on appears to be the flavor for regional banks today," said Ophir Gottlieb, chief executive of Los Angeles-based Capital Market Laboratories. Bullish speculation was particularly heavy in options expiring in less than a week, while longer-dated options saw less interest, he said. With some calm returning on Tuesday, options traders' also dialed back expectations for more near-term fireworks from the sector.
Shares of First Republic were up sharply in early Tuesday trading as concern over the state of the regional bank appeared to ease after a day of heavy selling. Shares of other regional banks also surged before the bell. Those moves come after regional banks fell sharply on Monday, even after U.S. regulators took extraordinary measures to backstop all depositors in the now-failed Silicon Valley Bank. In addition the backstopping the deposits at SVB and Signature Bank, which was closed on Sunday, federal regulators also announced efforts on Sunday to stabilize the wider banking system. "Outflows did not accelerate during the last few days and, in fact, some banks have seen net inflows given movement in deposits from SVB and Signature Bank," Tamayo said in a note to clients.
SummarySummary Companies Move comes shortly after Scout plant announcementPlant in Canada can also qualify for IRA subsidiesBASF also picked Canada for EV battery materials plantWOLFSBURG, Germany, March 13 (Reuters) - Volkswagen (VOWG_p.DE) chose Canada to build its first battery cell plant outside Europe, granting its cars access to both Canadian and U.S. subsidies as it works to localise electric vehicle production chain in the region. Canada, home to a large mining sector for minerals including lithium, nickel and cobalt, is trying to woo companies involved in all levels of the EV supply chain via a multi-billion-dollar green technology fund as the world seeks to cut carbon emissions. The Canadian federal innovation minister, Francois-Philippe Champagne, called the VW battery plant a "home run for Canada" and said it was "the largest single investment in the auto sector in the history of Canada", without giving details. "I think all the big manufacturers understand that if you need to green the supply chain, Canada is the place to do that," said Champagne. Chemicals giant BASF (BASFn.DE) a year ago also secured land in Canada for a planned battery materials facility to better serve electric vehicle markets in the U.S. and Mexico.
SummarySummary Companies Move comes shortly after Scout plant announcementPlant in Canada can also qualify for IRA subsidiesBASF also picked Canada for EV battery materials plantWOLFSBURG, March 13 (Reuters) - Volkswagen (VOWG_p.DE) chose Canada to build its first battery cell plant outside Europe, granting its cars access to both Canadian and U.S. subsidies as it works to localise electric vehicle production chain in the region. He said Volkswagen would be making "the largest single investment in the auto sector in the history of Canada" but did not give details. The plant will be based in the city of St. Thomas, around 195 km (120 miles) northeast of Detroit. "I think all the big manufacturers understand that if you need to green the supply chain, Canada is the place to do that," said Champagne. Chemicals giant BASF (BASFn.DE) a year ago also secured land in Canada for a planned battery materials facility to better serve electric vehicle markets in the U.S. and Mexico.
WOLFSBURG, March 13 (Reuters) - Volkswagen (VOWG_p.DE) said on Monday it will build its first North American battery cell plant in Canada, granting its cars access to both Canadian and U.S. subsidies as it works to localise its electric vehicle production chain in the region. VW's Monday's announcement did not specify the size of the investment or the capacity of the new plant, but board member Thomas Schmall said in August the company was targeting 20 gigawatt hours of capacity at its first North American site. Volkswagen has long said it is working towards setting up regional supply chains in Europe, North America and China for EV production in light of high transport and logistic costs, supply chain risks and geopolitical tensions. It announced last week its Scout brand would build a $2 billion manufacturing plant near Columbia, South Carolina for trucks and SUVs, with production to start in 2026. Reporting by Victoria Waldersee and Jan Schwartz, Editing by Angus MacSwan, Kirsten DonovanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Shares of First Republic sold off sharply on Monday as a selloff in regional bank stocks continued. Regional bank stocks staged their deepest retreat in three years on Monday, reflecting deepening investor concern about the health of the industry following three bank failures in the past week. The KBW Nasdaq index of commercial banks dropped more than 10%, with large lenders such as Comerica Inc. and Zions Bancorp declining more than 20%. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF dropped more than 15%, putting it on pace for its largest decline since 2008.
A First Republic Bank branch in New York, US, on Friday, March 10, 2023. San Francisco's First Republic shares lost 70% in premarket trading Monday after declining 33% last week. First Republic Bank led a decline in bank shares Monday that came even after regulators' extraordinary actions Sunday evening to backstop all depositors in failed Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank and offer additional funding to other troubled institutions. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF lost 4% in premarket trading Monday following a 16% decline last week. The slide for regional bank stocks on Monday comes after a rush of withdrawals from SVB Financial forced that bank to close.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer SEC Chair on SVB fallout: Federal regulators were right to step in and help regional banksJay Clayton, former SEC chairman and Sullivan and Cromwell senior policy advisor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the comparisons between 2008's bank crisis and SVB's fallout, how regional banks are acting right now and much more.
LONDON, March 13 (Reuters) - Britain published an update to its foreign policy framework on Monday, which announced increases in defence spending and labelled China as a challenge while citing Russia as the most acute threat to Britain's security. The new strategy towards Russia will focus on denying it any benefit from invading Ukraine; contesting Russia's "malign" influence globally and degrading the country's capabilities threatening Britain, including preventing access to critical technology and materials. Britain said Russia's growing cooperation with China and Iran following the invasion of Ukraine are developments of particular concern. CHINABritain said China poses an "epoch-defining challenge" with implications for almost every area of government policy and the lives of British people. NUCLEAR PLANRecognising the growing importance of nuclear to its security, energy and economy needs, Britain said it would publish a Defence Nuclear Strategy later this year.
Bank stocks rebounded somewhat after getting pummeled during Monday's trading session. U.S. stock futures rose on Monday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average notched a fifth day of losses. On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell after a plan to backstop depositors in Silicon Valley Bank failed to buoy bank stocks, as well as the S&P 500 . On the other hand, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite bucked the trend, rising 0.45%, as some investors bet the collapse at Silicon Valley Bank could mean a pause in future interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. Due out Tuesday before the bell, the February consumer price index is expected to show a rise of 0.4% last month, according to consensus estimates from Dow Jones.
The dramatic drop in regional bank stocks is a key entry point for investors, according to analyst Christopher Marinac. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF dropped by more than 12% on Monday after regulators shuttered Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. When asked which regional banks look most attractive, Marinac recommends Fifth Third Bank . Marinac also named Truist as a top sector pick, saying the company has a competitive advantage among regional banks after selling a portion of its insurance unit. Truist stock has dropped 30% over the past five sessions.
In this photo illustration of the TradingView stock market chart of SVB Financial Group seen displayed on a smartphone with the SVB Financial Group logo in the background. Shares of SVB Financial Group , known as Silicon Valley Bank, tumbled for a second day Friday and weighed on the whole banking sector again on fears more banks would incur heavy losses on their bond portfolios. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF was off another 1.5% Friday following an 8% tumble on Thursday. Signature Bank , which does a lot of business with the crypto sector, was off 4% in premarket trading following a 12% tumble Thursday. On Thursday, the bank was worth $6.3 billion with that value set to drop even more when trading begins Friday.
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