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He believes the S & P 500 will see a Santa Claus rally before hitting a new low in 2023. "Why are we bearish longer-term and believe the S & P will hit a new low in 2023?" Niles said the U.S.-focused long-short equity fund is up this year, beating the S & P 500, which has declined around 17% in the same period. Key to its outperformance is the strategy of pairing short positions with long ones, Niles said. The Satori Fund has short positions in tech stocks with advertising exposure, such as Google parent Alphabet .
Tengler, who's been a proponent of dividend growth strategies for more than three decades, named four stocks she owns. Her firm uses what's known as a relative dividend yield strategy to judge the value of a stock. A high relative dividend yield is a buy signal if the dividend level is expected to be sustained and increased over time. Goldman also fits into one of Tengler's top investment themes: old economy stocks that are embracing digital transformation. Two asset managers face off Another old economy stock that Tengler likes is California-based self-storage firm Public Storage .
Feeling defiant, I told him, I will let the world know what you police are doing," said Pei, 27. He asked to be identified only by part of his name for fear of repercussions. China's Ministry of Public Security did not respond to a request for comment on the laws they might use against protesters. Zhang Dongshuo, a Beijing-based lawyer who has handled rights cases in the past, said the levels of punishment for protesting in China vary widely. "They just sprang up organically because people were driven by a sense of hopelessness and desperation about the never-ending COVID restrictions," Wu said.
It's time to rethink bonds, according to the BlackRock Investment Institute, which said "the lure of fixed income is strong" right now. The research arm of BlackRock , one of the world's largest asset managers, urged investors to favor investment-grade bonds, short-term government debt and inflation-linked bonds amid recession fears and higher-for-longer inflation. "Higher yields are a gift to investors who have long been starved for income. "Investors also will increasingly ask for more compensation to hold long-term government bonds — or term premium — amid high debt levels, rising supply and rising inflation." The BlackRock Investment Institute has raised its overweight position on investment-grade credit, but remains underweight on long-term government bonds.
The stock is buy rated by about 70% of analysts covering it, who give it average upside of 164.3%. Meanwhile, shares in Warren Buffett-backed BYD were up just 9% in November, but analysts think the stock could rally 68.4% looking ahead. Tech stocks A slew of Chinese tech stocks made the screen too, including Alibaba and Tencent . Analysts are bullish on Alibaba, with 89% of analysts holding a buy rating on the stock and giving it average upside of 39%. Andrew Maynard, head of equities at investment bank China Renaissance, believes Chinese Big Tech stocks such as Alibaba and Tencent are "incredibly cheap."
An index tracking high-yield dollar bonds of Chinese developers (.IBXXAX13) has jumped more than 70% from its Nov. 3 low, but is still down about 70% from its peak in May, 2021. A growing list of Chinese developers have entered into or are preparing to kick-off debt restructuring talks with offshore bondholders after defaulting on payments. Of 241 dollar-denominated bonds issued by Chinese property firms, 211 are trading in distressed territory below 50 cents on the dollar, Refinitiv data shows. The recent rally in developers' shares and bonds on the back of funding support measures, however, has given investors some respite. "A recovery in property sales would be firmer in a re-opening scenario," said Justin Ong of Columbia Threadneedle, which holds China property bonds, as it would offer a clearer timeline for re-opening.
E-commerce Meeks is avoiding the e-commerce space altogether, citing concerns about "lackluster" online Christmas spending in the United States and the return of Covid shutdowns in China. Among the world's major e-commerce stocks, Meeks said he prefers JD.com to Alibaba and Amazon , though he suggested that "investors wait to buy any of them." Cyber stocks Cyber stocks, like nearly everything else in the broader tech sector, haven't been spared from this year's tech rout. The First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) and the iShares Cybersecurity and Tech ETF (IHAK) are both down by about 22% this year, less than the Nasdaq's 30% drop. The semiconductor sector has, however, recovered slightly, with the SOX up 14.9% since the end of the third quarter.
After what has been a tumultuous year for stocks, many investors are hoping that markets are at a turning point. Defensive stocks ArcelorMittal , the world's largest steelmaker, made CNBC's screen. The stock is rated buy by nearly 60% of analysts covering it, who give it potential upside of 26.3%. The company is expected to grow its margin by 17.9% next year and analysts give it potential upside of 23.4%. Analysts give the stock potential upside of 34.8%.
Tech stocks have endured a brutal year so far, but asset manager Patrick Armstrong believes investor interest in Big Tech could reignite next year. "I do think Alphabet and Apple are [going to retain] their dominant market shares. Tech stocks have borne the brunt of this carnage, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite down around 30% this year. Tech stocks have pared some losses since hitting their lows, but investor confidence in the sector remains shaky amid several bouts of bear market rallies that fizzled out quickly. 'Everyone wants to own' Big Tech "Going into year-end, I think Big Tech as a whole is going to see investors allocating to it.
"Consumers are going to have their purse strings pulled by utility bills, higher mortgage costs, higher petrol prices, and there's going to be margin squeeze." He said wage pressure and higher commodity prices were particularly challenging and could eat into companies' margins. Luxury Luxury stocks are another favorite for Armstrong. Moreover, the "massive" profit margins of luxury companies are also insulated from increases in input prices, he added. Within the space, Armstrong's fund owns French luxury goods companies LVMH and Hermes , given their "defendable margins" and the ability to be price setters.
It cited China's large domestic market, high acceptance of autonomous driving, efficient supply chains, and supportive infrastructure among other factors. UBS estimated that China's potential autonomous driving-related market could reach $100 billion by 2030. As such, the Swiss bank said it sees "significant" investment opportunities in the autonomous driving space. Stock picks Tesla is among UBS' top picks to play the autonomous driving theme. Xpeng also made the list, with the bank describing the automaker as one of the "leading autonomous driving players in China."
Two market pros faced off on CNBC's " Street Signs Asia " on Thursday to make a case for and against buying the stock. Long-term investment story Veteran tech investor Gene Munster believes "there is no company like Amazon" when it comes to e-commerce and logistics. "We both know this has been the carrot that has been held out there forever when it comes to Amazon. It's not about revenue growth. Davidson, noted that Amazon is now a mature e-commerce company — one that requires $4.7 billion in incremental revenue just to post revenue growth of one-percentage point.
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It added that the uncertain economic outlook hasn't yet eaten into leisure travel spending — with the International Air Transport Association continuing to see strong forward international air travel bookings. The bank's key picks to play the sector are Beijing Capital International Airport and Shanghai Airport. Other airline stocks that are among JPMorgan's picks include Air China and Qantas Airways . Other stocks that could take flight Apart from airport and airline stocks, China's reopening would also benefit hotels, restaurants and leisure sectors , according to a Goldman Sachs note from Nov. 6. These stocks include casino operators Galaxy Entertainment and Sands China , food chain Yum China , as well as Trip.com .
Given this outlook for battery metals, CNBC Pro screened the Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF for EV-related stocks that could offer opportunities to investors. The stock is rated buy by 51% of analysts covering it, who give it average potential upside of 51.4%. The majority of analysts covering the stock — 70% — rate it a "buy" and give the stock an average potential upside of 81.7%, according to FactSet data. Chinese battery manufacturer Contemporary Amperex Technology is another stock expected to grow earnings next year. The company is expected to increase EPS by 51.1% next year, with analysts covering the stock giving it average upside of 47.5%.
China announced a shortening of its quarantine requirements last week, while simplifying travel rules and adjusting its monitoring regime. China has stood firm on its zero-Covid policy even as countries around the world adopt a "live with the virus" approach. Fund manager Brian Arcese believes the market reaction reflects the "underlying fundamentals that earnings will really start to improve." Meanwhile, Arcese, who is a portfolio manager at Foord Asset Management, said the firm has a China exposure of about 20%. It should benefit from the re-opening of China as tourism gradually recovers to pre-Covid levels," he added.
Tech stocks saw a rebound in trading last week, as a lighter-than-expected inflation reading spurred hopes that the U.S. Federal Reserve would soon temper its aggressive pace of monetary policy tightening. Unsurprisingly, tech stocks were among the top global individual stock performers last week. Of the 25 stocks on the MSCI World Index that saw gains of more than 20%, seven were from the tech sector. With the rebound, the stock now has an average potential upside of 46.7%, with nearly 60% of analysts giving it a buy rating. Other tech stocks that saw big jumps last week include cloud data platform provider Snowflake , semiconductor company Applied Materials and database platform provider MongoDB .
This year's bear market has wiped trillions in market cap off the stock market, hitting both growth and defensive stocks alike. 'Best in class' Of the three, just one stock is buy-rated by Bank of America: O'Reilly Auto. It describes the company as a "best in class" auto parts retailer, with a long track record of above-industry sales growth. The stock is up more than 20% this year, but Bank of America expects further outperformance in the share price. A defensive sector One reason for O'Reilly's outperformance this year could boil down to the defensiveness of the auto parts sector.
A quarter of the 75 component stocks are tech names, with materials and industrials stocks, as well as auto stocks, making up the rest. To identify the stocks that analysts are most bullish on, CNBC Pro screened the ETF on FactSet for stocks that are buy-rated by the majority of analysts covering them. Analysts also gave these stocks average potential upside of at least 20% over the next 12 months. This was hydrogen fuel cell maker Plug Power , which analysts gave a whopping average potential upside of 122%, according to FactSet. Several Big Tech stocks in the EV supply chain are also well-liked by analysts, including Apple , Alphabet and Microsoft .
This would be a boon for the stock market, according to Lau, who estimates that a full reopening could drive 20% upside for Chinese stocks. "While the reopening roadmap is still unclear, our reopening beneficiaries have outperformed the [MSCI China Index] by 20% since July," he said. Reopening beneficiaries The bank's list of reopening beneficiaries comprises 30 names it says are "well placed" to gain from the easing of social distancing and travel curbs. Here's what it found A third of the bank's list of reopening beneficiaries is made up of companies in the hotels, restaurants and leisure sectors. The stocks include casino operators Galaxy Entertainment and Sands China , food chain Yum China , as well as Trip.com .
The bank should also post better-than-expected net interest margins and net interest income given the rise in short-term interest rates, he added. The bank's third-quarter profit and earnings topped expectations on better-than-expected fixed income trading and gains in interest income. Meanwhile, Chuck Liberman, chief investment officer at Advisors Capital Management, likes Wells Fargo , calling it a "one of the cheapest banks with a large retail deposit base." This will boost the bank's net interest margins as interest rates spike, he told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" on Tuesday. "A rare small cap play for us at only $2.6 billion market cap, the company has been a dividend grower (with significant annual special dividends on top) since day one … they have no debt on the balance sheet.
The stock market has experienced a series of bear market rallies this year. Demmert said the bear market is now its "third and final phase." It is now in its 11 th month of a typical 12–15-month cycle, according to Demmert — indicating that a bottom could be close. "It's sort of an all-weather company at this point because they have the dominant exposure in that market globally. "That's where people go where they think it's safe, such as Google [parent Alphabet ] and Microsoft in the tech space.
With such a mixed picture, should investors buy the dip on Uber, or should they continue to stay on the sidelines? But for those who are looking for growth and future profit assets — which is a very tough thing to do in this market — there's Uber. While Uber's growth potential is undeniable, investors have long been skeptical about its ability to do so profitably. The company will generate about $4 billion in free cash flow in 2024 and $5 billion in 2025, he estimates. It's popping on free cash flow.
There is huge demand for cars in both the U.S. and China -- the world's two largest autos markets -- according to fund manager Steven Glass, who named one automaker to cash in. In the U.S. alone, the shortfall stands at five million vehicles, Glass, managing director and analyst at Pella Funds Management, told CNBC's Street Signs Asia on Monday. How to play it His top pick to play the sector is German automaker BMW . The Bavarian automaker aims to have two million EVs on the roads by 2025 and estimates half of its car sales to comprise EVs by 2030. Of this investment, $1 billion has been earmarked to prepare BMW's existing U.S. manufacturing facility in South Carolina to produce EVs.
Morgan Stanley cut its price target on Tesla from $350 a share to $330 last week following the earnings release, citing unexpected headwinds in the fourth quarter and beyond. A weakening demand outlook for EVs and concerns over the impact of the Inflation Reduction Act have also already been priced in to CATL's stock price, Citi added. Battery boom HSBC has forecast demand for EV lithium-ion batteries to grow at a compounded rate of 32% into 2030. Meanwhile, Citi estimates global EV penetration will reach 55% by 2030. The bank sees global battery demand for EVs and energy storage systems to grow 62% this year and a further 29% in 2023.
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