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Gold extends decline; investors await U.S. data, Fed comments
  + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices fell for a second straight session on Monday, while investors prepared for U.S. economic data and comments from Federal Reserve officials this week for more clarity on the future direction of U.S. interest rates. Gold prices fell for a second straight session on Monday, while investors prepared for U.S. economic data and comments from Federal Reserve officials this week for more clarity on the future direction of U.S. interest rates. "We may expect the Fed to be more cautious in its easing process ahead, which could cap gold prices," Yeap said. Several Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, are scheduled to speak this week. Additionally, U.S. consumer and producer price index data, weekly jobless claims and retail sales figures are due this week.
Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, Donald Trump's, Yeap, Bullion, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders Locations: Beijing
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures each also ticked down about 0.1% each. Monday's action comes amid a market upswing that began following last week's presidential election won by Donald Trump. The Dow gained more than 300 points to close higher than 44,000, while the S&P 500 finished the session just over 6,000. "It's a lot of what we saw back in 2016 when Trump won the election the first time." The release of data from these inflation gauges comes after the Fed last week announced another interest rate cut.
Persons: that's, Donald Trump, Russell, Larry Tentarelli, They'll, Christopher Waller, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Trump, Federal, Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Home
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPresident-elect Trump is the most pro-stock market president in history: Wharton's Jeremy SiegelJeremy Siegel, professor emeritus of finance at University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business and Wisdom Tree chief economist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss President-elect Trump's election victory, the impact on markets and the economy, independence of the Fed, and more.
Persons: Trump, Wharton's Jeremy Siegel Jeremy Siegel, Trump's Organizations: University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business
Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . What's on deck:Markets: The Wall Streeters advising Trump's transition team on key economic appointments . But regulators launched investigations and filed lawsuits against Big Tech during Trump's first term. News briefTop headlinesAdvertisement3 things in marketsChip Somodevilla/Getty Images; Getty; Rebecca Zisser/BIWho Trump is turning to on Wall Street for advice.
Persons: , Drew Brees, Donald Trump's, Elon, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Trump, Samantha Stokes, Riddhi Kanetkar, Helen Li, Biden, Lina Khan's, Money, Chip Somodevilla, Meta's Mark Zuckerberg, JD Vance, Khan, Zuckerberg, Amazon's Jeff Bezos, OpenAI's Sam Altman, Somodevilla, Rebecca Zisser, Cantor Fitzgerald, Howard Lutnick, Marc Rowan, Blackstone, Steve Schwarzman, Charles Schwab, Herb Sutter, Ken Griffin's, Sutter, he's, Jordan Strauss, Elon Musk's, Reddit, Lebaredian, Chelsea Jia Feng, Kamala Harris, it's, Dan DeFrancesco, Grace Lett, Hallam Bullock, Ella Hopkins, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Super Bowl, Tech, Trump, Microsoft, Nvidia, Big Tech, Wall, Citadel Securities, White, BI, Google, Veterans, World Meteorological Organization Locations: States, Anthropic, Reddit's, New York City, State, Azerbaijan, New York, Chicago, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBarclays: Markets will be range-bound until there's clarity on Trump's policiesAjay Rajadhyaksha of Barclays says Fed chair Jay Powell "will sue" if there is political pressure to push him out of his role and discusses the U.S. economic and market outlook following Trump's election victory.
Persons: Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Jay Powell Organizations: Barclays, Markets
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLazard CEO Peter Orszag: It's in President-elect Trump's interest to have an independent FedLazard CEO Peter Orszag joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss President-elect Trump's election victory, impact on the markets and the economy, state of M&A, regulatory outlook, rooting out government waste, the Fed's independence, and more.
Persons: Peter Orszag, Lazard, Trump's Organizations: Lazard
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLazard CEO Peter Orszag: It’s in President-elect Trump’s interest to have an independent FedLazard CEO Peter Orszag joins ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss President-elect Trump’s election victory, impact on the markets and the economy, state of M&A, regulatory outlook, rooting out government waste, the Fed’s independence, and more.
Persons: Peter Orszag, Lazard, Trump’s Organizations: Lazard
USD still a safe haven - regardless of tariffs: Macquarie Group
  + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUSD still a safe haven - regardless of tariffs: Macquarie GroupGareth Berry of Macquarie Group sees Trump's win as an unambiguous positive for the U.S. dollar. While potential tariffs would hurt U.S. trading partners and spur retaliation, the U.S. dollar can still thrive in that environment. This may stoke inflation and slow Fed rate cuts in 2025. Berry doubts that a Trump administration will undermine Fed independence.
Persons: Macquarie Group Gareth Berry, Berry, Trump Organizations: Macquarie Group, U.S ., U.S
A crucial catalyst for shares of Club holding Wells Fargo may be around the corner, according to one Wall Street firm. Bank of America also raised its price target on Wells Fargo to $84 a share from $75, and reiterated its buy rating on the stock. Bottom line We've long called out the asset cap removal as a big catalyst for Wells Fargo — and it's been central to our overall investment thesis for the stock. That's because once these restrictions are lifted, Wells Fargo can finally grow its balance sheet past that nearly $2 trillion threshold again. Wells Fargo bank signage is seen on Broadway on April 12, 2024 in New York City.
Persons: Wells, Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer, Charlie Scharf's, Scharf, it's, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael M Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Bank, Wells Fargo, Bloomberg News, CNBC, Broadway, Santiago, Getty Locations: Wells, Wells Fargo, Wells Fargo —, New York City
"For example, during Trump's previous administration, deregulation in the energy sector boosted oil and gas stocks, benefiting energy ETFs." Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF (BND), two of the world's largest bond ETFs, and longer-term funds like iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Crypto ETFS having big year and getting bigger Since launching in January, crypto ETFs have attracted roughly $70 billion in assets, one of the most successful ETF launches ever. Bitcoin ETFs including the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest bitcoin ETF by assets under management, have seen significant inflows since October. Rosenberg at Texas Capital acknowledges that certain ETF sectors, like industrials ( Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF , or VIS; iShares U.S. Industrials ETF , or IYJ), "could be hurt by more tariffs."
Persons: Trump, Tom Lydon, John Davi, iShares Russell, ROE, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, Gavi, Edward Rosenberg, Gary Gensler, Michael Novogratz, Cathie Wood, Todd Sohn, Wood, Davi, Rosenberg, industrials Organizations: Astoria, CNBC, Potential Trump, Bank ETF, Assets ETF, Trump, ETF Research, Street Global Advisors, Regional Bank ETF, Treasury, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Fund, Treasury Bond ETF, Texas, SEC, Commodity Futures, Galaxy Digital Holdings, ARK, Innovation, ARKK, Downside, China ETF, Texas Capital, Index, Industrials, U.S, Edge Locations: Astoria, Congress, rulemaking, Coinbase, China, Mexico
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLazard CEO Peter Orszag: Trump's election victory will be good for our business 'temporarily'Lazard CEO Peter Orszag joins ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss President-elect Trump’s election victory, impact on the markets and the economy, state of M&A, regulatory outlook, rooting out government waste, the Fed’s independence, and more.
Persons: Peter Orszag, Lazard, Trump’s Organizations: Lazard
Dollar braces for U.S. inflation data and several Fed speakers
  + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar started in a cautious mood on Monday as markets braced for U.S. inflation data and a throng of Federal Reserve speakers this week, while the yuan nursed a hangover from Beijing's latest underwhelming stimulus package. The dollar started in a cautious mood on Monday as markets braced for U.S. inflation data and a throng of Federal Reserve speakers this week, while the yuan nursed a hangover from Beijing's latest underwhelming stimulus package. Reports on retail sales and industrial output due Friday should show whether Beijing's various attempts at stimulus are having any real effect on demand. The dollar stood at 7.1970 yuan , having jumped 0.7% on Friday, and looks set to again test the 7.2000 barrier. The dollar index was a fraction firmer at 105.00, after gaining 0.6% last week mainly against the euro.
Persons: Olaf Scholz, Donald Trump's, Michael Feroli, Jerome Powell, cryptocurrencies Organizations: Federal Reserve, New, U.S, Fed Locations: China, New Zealand
Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Performance since Nov. 1 closeThe stock market reaction Wednesday to Republican Donald Trump's victory over Democrat Kamala Harris was swift and powerful, sending the Dow , the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to all-time highs. For the week, consumer discretionary, energy, industrials, financials, and information technology were the top five sectors. Only time will tell how the balance of power will play out and whether it's good or bad for the stock market. Barring anything catastrophic, President Joe Biden and Vice President Harris will hand Trump the baton of a healthy economy with moderating inflation and a strong stock market. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Disney YTDDisney reports before the bell Thursday, and its experiences business will be in focus as it has softened recently due to the recent hurricane activity that forced closures at Florida theme park locations and inflation-weary consumers.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jerome Powell, Drew Angerer, Republican Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Dow, Jim Cramer, Wells Fargo Morgan Stanley, Trump, Joe Biden, Harris, FactSet, Helene, Milton, we're, Disney's, Tyson, JD.com Organizations: Federal, White House, Republican, Dow, Nasdaq, Staples, Honeywell, White, Capitol, Republicans, NBC News, Trump, Depot, Disney, CPI, PPI, Home Depot, Summer, IAC, Hertz, Tyson Foods, TSN, AstraZeneca, Occidental Petroleum, Rocket Companies, Cisco, Parts Locations: Washington ,, financials, Washington, inflect, Florida, Paris
Neel Kashkari, President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, speaks at the Milken Conference 2024 Global Conference Sessions at The Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 7, 2024. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Sunday that President-elect Donald Trump's tariff proposals could worsen long-term inflation if global trade partners were to strike back. One-time tariffs, Kashkari said on CBS' "Face the Nation," "shouldn't have an effect long run on inflation." "The challenge becomes, if there's a tit for tat and it's one country imposing tariffs and then responses and it's escalating. Trump and his backers like billionaire Tesla CEO Elon Musk have also been outspoken about their desire to give the president input on Fed policy decisions.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, The Beverly Hilton, Donald Trump's, Kashkari, Trump, We've, Tesla, Elon Musk Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, The Beverly, Minneapolis Federal, Sunday, CBS, U.S, Wall Street Locations: Beverly Hills , California, U.S, Minneapolis, China
Philip Wiseman and his wife moved to Idaho because they were fed up with California's politics. AdvertisementThis as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Philip Wiseman, a 70-year-old retiree who moved from California to Idaho with his wife in 2021. Data compiled by Idaho officials showed 78% of voters who moved from California to Idaho registered as Republicans between 2020 and 2023. We miss our California and what California used to be. I used to love California but things changed as I got olderI moved to California when I was around 30.
Persons: Philip Wiseman, , Monte Sereno, Biden, couldn't, we've, We've, We're, I'm Organizations: Republican, Service, Idaho, Biden Locations: Idaho, Eagle , Idaho, California, Northern California, Silicon, Monte Sereno, Los Gatos, California . California, Nevada, Texas, Arizona , Nevada , Tennessee, Florida, Boise, Eagle, Oregon, Seattle
AdvertisementA key sticking point for the 73,479,065 Americans (and counting) who voted for President-elect Donald Trump was inflation. Inflationary promisesThe main Trump proposals viewed as inflationary are: sweeping tariffs on imports, mass deportation of immigrants, and lower taxes. Related storiesTypically, US companies simply pass the tariff costs to consumers via higher prices, and company executives are already signaling this to investors. Possible inflation falloutIf Trump delivers on all of these proposals, then a rebound in inflation is all but guaranteed, economists have said. AdvertisementIt's worth noting that the tariffs Trump enacted in his first term did not result in a significant inflation increase.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, It's, Taylor Rogers —, Philip Daniele, Timothy Boyle, Wendy Edelberg, Nobel, Paul Krugman, Ned Davis, Veneta Dimitrova, Dimitrova Organizations: Trump, Service, White, Biden, Republican National, Center, Columbia, Washington Post, National Association of Homebuilders, Federal Reserve Locations: China,
WASHINGTON — As a candidate, Donald Trump promised to relieve consumers of high interest rates. Trump repeatedly said during the campaign that he would bring down interest rates without elaborating on how. He has suggested the president should have a say in determining rates set by the Federal Reserve and publicly berated the central bank and its chairman, Jerome Powell, for not lowering rates sooner. Trump has no direct control over the interest rates set by the Federal Reserve, which is determined by a committee that includes seven members appointed to 14-year terms along with five regional Reserve Bank presidents. “There aren’t a lot of policies that the president has at his disposal that can really lower rates,” said McLaughlin.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, , Kent Smetters, , isn’t, Ralph McLaughlin, McLaughlin, Powell, Xi Jinping, ” Powell, he’s, ” Trump, reappoint Powell, Scott Bessent, Barron’s, Bessent Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, United, University of Pennsylvania Wharton School, Federal, Realtor.com, Reserve Bank, Fed’s, Governors, Twitter, Trump, Chicago Economic, Senate, Republicans, Fed Locations: United States, America, U.S, China
Many Americans have been holding back from jumping into the housing market in the hopes that mortgage rates will decline. The average 30-year mortgage rate has been above 6% for two years — and is likely to stay above that level for the foreseeable future, experts say. “Sixes are the new normal,” said Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS, a mortgage listing services group, referring to 6% mortgage rates. It’s really not going to be impacting mortgage rates at all.”Mortgage rates work differently. When demand for those increases, mortgage rates tend to fall.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, , Lisa Sturtevant, Brian Rehling, Trump, Mike Fratantoni, ” Fratantoni, Helene, ” Samuel Tombs, Tombs, Sturtevant, “ It’s Organizations: Federal, Bright MLS, Federal Reserve, Wells, Investment Institute, , U.S, Mortgage, Association, , National Association of Realtors, Pantheon, NBC
Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, the billionaire backer of newly minted President-elect Donald Trump, endorsed the idea of allowing presidents to intervene on Federal Reserve policy. Though brief, Musk's comment reflects a broader pressure campaign on Fed independence that could take shape in the next Trump administration. On Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he would not resign from his post if Trump asked him to do so. But during his first term in office, Trump was not shy about breaking from tradition and publicly disparaging Powell and his policy decisions. Over the course of the 2024 presidential campaign, Trump also often flirted with the idea of giving himself a say in Fed policy if he were to win the White House again.
Persons: Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Tesla, Sen, Mike Lee, Musk, Lee, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Republican, SpaceX, Fed, White, Federal Reserve Locations: Butler , Pennsylvania, Utah, U.S, Lago, Florida
For one, the market was already in a sturdy uptrend, the S & P ahead by 20% in 2024 by October. Now, the S & P is up 44% in the past 18 months and the P/E is above 22 on more elevated margins. Here's the S & P 500 Value vs Growth relationship since 2014. His call is for investors to fade any near-term rally that takes the S & P above his 6100 "bull case" target for year end. For sure, the S & P 500 is by some measures running a bit hot, pushing above the top end of its two-year bull-market path.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Jay Powell, Trump, Cyclicals, Russell, YTD, Doug Ramsey, we're, reflating, Scott Chronert, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Republican, Trump Trade, Federal, Treasury, financials, Nasdaq, Group, Investment, Trump, Russell, Citi Locations: upending Washington, U.S, year's
Incumbent governments have been punished in Britain, France, India, Japan, South Korea, and elsewhere. The near-universal shift away from Democrats echoes voters' rejection of incumbent political parties across the world this year. South Africa's African National Congress (ANC) party lost its majority. Similarly, Deutsche Bank's Reid wrote that voters are disappointed by how slowly their lives are improving amid cooler economic growth. He said they don't buy that incumbents can tackle immigration, some incumbent governments have had scandals, and voters have become "much more willing to change their vote from election to election."
Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, , Donald Trump, Biden, Harris, Narendra Modi, Korea's Democrat Party snagged, Jim Reid, Tina Fordham, Louis Perron, Deutsche Bank's Reid Organizations: Service, Democratic, Britain's Labour Party, Conservative Party, Rally, Japan's Liberal Democratic Party, Indian, Korea's Democrat Party, National Congress, ANC, Deutsche Bank, Fed, Bank of England, European Central Bank, CNN, Win, Deutsche Locations: Britain, France, India, Japan, South Korea, London, Tokyo, Seoul, Cape Town, Washington, Gaza, country's, South, Ukraine
“So if you’re going to hate us, then we’re going to do what we want.”What is the 4B movement? The 4B movement was decentralized and existed in various iterations online and offline, making it difficult to assess its true size and scale. “And we see each other.”The US election is inspiring conversation around 4BIt’s far too early to tell whether the 4B movement might seriously catch on in the US. Some are skeptical 4B will catch onIn Han’s view, the 4B movement is unlikely to become mainstream in the US. “I could definitely see it fueling change in some way.”Han predicts that American interest in the 4B movement will subside quickly.
Persons: Donald Trump, there’s, , ” Ashli Pollard, Louis, Ju Hui Judy Han, Ahn Young, Han, “ It’s, ” Han, Pollard, wasn’t, , Alexa Vargas, , Abby K, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden’s, Hillary Clinton’s, Hadia, hasn’t, don’t, Leda Joy Abkenari Organizations: CNN, Young, University of California, Organisation for Economic Co, OECD, Trump Locations: United States, TikTok, Korean, St, South Korea, Los Angeles, Seoul, Gangham, Boston, Florida, America
The attention on potential Supreme Court vacancies has so far been driven entirely by forces outside the court – and rampant speculation based on a series of murky clues and past practices. “No questions could even be raised about their physical or mental health.”Ed Whelan, a former Supreme Court clerk and legal commentor, said he agreed with Leo’s take. The process of moving a Supreme Court nominee takes considerable time – often several months. The Supreme Court did not respond to a request for comment. It is also fairly common when a new administration comes to town to talk about these things.”’CNN Chief Supreme Court Analyst Joan Biskupic contributed to this report.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito –, Sonia Sotomayor, Joe Biden, Trump, “ Alito, Mike Davis, Stephen Breyer, Biden’s, , Bill Clinton, Thomas, Alito, Leonard Leo, Charles Cooper, scoffed, ” Cooper, ” Ed Whelan, Leo’s, ” Whelan, Davis, Leo, ” Davis, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Amy Coney Barrett, Roe, Wade, Ginsburg, Sotomayor, Barack Obama’s, Biden, John Roberts, George W, Bush, Breyer, Anthony Kennedy, Ronald Reagan, , Andrew Oldham, Neomi Rao –, Judge James Ho, Martha, Ann Alito, Washington –, Ann Alito’s, Martha Alito, Roberts, Josh Blackman, ” ’, Joan Biskupic Organizations: CNN, III, Supreme, GOP, Trump, DC Circuit, Circuit, Washington, South Texas College of Law Houston, ” ’ CNN Locations: Washington, Trump, New Orleans, Virginia, New Jersey
Trump has promised to do a variety of different things on "Day One" of his second term. "​​Many things will be done on day one," Trump said at a town hall with Tucker Carlson in Phoenix in late October. Trump has promised to issue several executive orders when he takes office, though some of them are likely to be challenged in court. "Day One" promises that Trump may not be able to fulfillSome "day one" commitments are simply not possible. AdvertisementAt times during the campaign, Trump pledged to "end inflation" just hours after taking office.
Persons: Trump, , Donald Trump's, Tucker Carlson, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Jack Smith, pardoning, Smith, Hugh Hewitt, Gary Gensler, Gensler, Biden Organizations: Service, Social Security, White, American Civil Liberties Union, Republican, Department, Securities and Exchange Commission, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Phoenix, Wisconsin
The Fed may have declared inflation victory too early, Stanley Druckenmiller said. Inflation could could be bottoming right now, the billionaire investor told a Norges Bank podcast. "I'm a little worried that the Fed has declared victory too early," the billionaire investor said about consumer prices on a Norges Bank podcast. When inflation eases, the Fed lowers rates to make sure economic growth keeps up — and has justified its cuts given shifting labor prints. AdvertisementThough the podcast was recorded prior to the president-elect's victory, Druckenmiller cited that Trump's tariff plans are marginally inflationary.
Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, , Stanley Druckenmiller isn't, Druckenmiller, Donald Trump Organizations: Norges Bank, Service, Federal Reserve, Fed, Trump
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