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Federal Reserve policymakers have been breathing easier lately regarding inflation, and that faith that they're closer to achieving their goal will get a key test Thursday. Specifically, the Labor Department's reading is expected to show an annual inflation rate of 2.2% and a monthly gain of just 0.1%, according to the Dow Jones consensus. However, following a much better than expected jobs report for September, Fed officials in recent days have indicated a likely more measured approach to cuts ahead. Details in Thursday's report will matter: Housing inflation has proven to be stubborn, though policymakers still expect lower rent renewals to feed into the data the months progress. The report hits just after the S & P 500 rose to a new record on Wednesday.
Persons: Dow Jones, Lorie Logan, Logan Organizations: Labor Department, Labor, Dallas
Indexes hit fresh all-time highs ahead of the key inflation report for September due Thursday. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Wednesday as traders looked ahead to coming inflation data and took in the minutes of the Federal Reserve's last meeting. The stakes of the next inflation reading have risen after the big September jobs number, and Wall Street could be in for some volatility in the event of an upside surprise, Bank of America said this week. Central bankers predicted inflation would fall to 2% by 2026, while risks to economic strength were "tilted to the downside." According to the CME FedWatch tool, the odds for another jumbo-sized rate cut in 2024 have fallen to zero.
Persons: , Josh Hirt, Oliver Allen Organizations: Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Investors, Nasdaq, Justice, Treasury, Here's, Fed, Bank of America, Vanguard, Pantheon
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading in New York City. U.S. stock futures were little changed Wednesday night as investors looked ahead to the release of September's consumer price index report. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded near the flatline. Fed funds futures trading data suggests a roughly 70% likelihood of a quarter-point cut, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Economists polled by Dow Jones see core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rising by 0.2%.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Stephanie Roth Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Wolfe Research, Delta Air Lines Locations: New York City . U.S
Earnings season is right around the corner, and there are some stocks investors should be wary of, according to Piper Sandler. The season unofficially kicks off this week, with JPMorgan's third-quarter results due Friday before the bell, and it ramps up from there. The remaining four have a strong buy or buy rating. The department store chain is set to report its quarterly results in November. By contrast, only two have a strong buy or buy rating.
Persons: Piper Sandler, they've, Paramount's, Skydance, Nordstrom, it's, Piper, Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Paramount Global, Warner Bros, Paramount, GameStop, Southwest Airlines, Southwest Locations: U.S, GME
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. The latest iteration of Piper Sandler's teen survey found somewhat lukewarm interest in Apple 's new iPhone 16. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, that's, Piper, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Department of Justice, Google, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Analysts, Depot
Nonfarm payrolls added 254,000 jobs in September, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, down 0.1 percentage points. "It was a very good report across every indicator in there," said Aaron Sojourner, a senior researcher at the W.E. As they barnstorm across battleground states, Harris and Trump paint dueling pictures of the U.S. labor market. Jim Watson | AFP | Getty ImagesThe jobs report adds to a flurry of good economic news in recent weeks, with metrics that could potentially amount to the best economic upswing in decades. Following the jobs report blowout, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed out last week at a fresh all-time high of 42,352.75.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, payrolls, Dow, Aaron Sojourner, Harris, Trump, Jim Watson, I've, Mark Zandi, Biden, Clinton, Justin Wolfers, stoking Organizations: . Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, Trump, CBS, Republican, Ryder Center for Health, Physical Education, Saginaw Valley State University, AFP, Getty, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, chipmaker Micron Technology, Oracle Locations: U.S, Michigan, America, Saginaw, Saginaw , Michigan
U.S. stock futures hovered near the flatline Tuesday night following a winning session for the major averages. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 11 points, or 0.03%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.01% and 0.01%, respectively. Wall Street is coming off a strong session for the major averages as tech stocks outperformed, and oil prices eased off their highs. The S&P 500 rose nearly 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite rallied about 1.5%.
Persons: Dow, Keith Lerner, Lerner, Wells Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Broadcom, Truist, U.S, Treasury, Fed, JPMorgan Chase Locations: what's, Wells Fargo
Jim Cramer counters Amazon and Apple downgrades
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
CNBC's Jim Cramer told investors not to get caught up in downgrades or general trading on Wall Street, reiterating his stance that there's merit to sticking with solid companies even if their share prices fluctuate. "If you listen to the downgrades, though, you'll never recover with it." Cramer said Monday had a "ridiculous plethora of sell-side downgrades," where the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.94%, the S&P 500 shed 0.96% and the Nasdaq Composite declined 1.18%. Although he acknowledged that Amazon is facing some hurdles, he disagreed with Wells Fargo's downgrade of the stock. "But if you're managing your own money, you should not be listening to all of this trading advice.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, you'll, Cramer, heeding, Wells, it's, Jeffries Organizations: Wall, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Apple Locations: downgrades
A stock trader looks at his monitors in the trading room of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. Worries about a new coronavirus mutation in southern Africa have dealt a major blow to the German stock market. LONDON — European stocks are expected to start the new trading week on a positive note, buoyed by gains in Asia overnight and last Friday's rally on Wall Street. European stocks look set to continue the positive sentiment seen at the close of trade last week, with markets getting a boost from the latest U.S. jobs report that exceeded expectations. Nonfarm payrolls data showed the U.S. economy added 254,000 jobs in September, ahead of the 150,000 estimated by economists polled by Dow Jones.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Dow Jones Organizations: Frankfurt Stock Exchange, LONDON, CAC, IG Locations: Africa, Asia, U.S
Stock futures were little changed on Monday night, following a losing day on Wall Street as rising oil prices and bond yields weighed on markets. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures each also traded near flat. The Dow finished nearly 400 points lower, while the S&P 500 slid close to 1%. Bond yields and prices move inversely to each other. But energy names climbed alongside the commodity, making it the only sector of the 11 that comprise the S&P 500 to finish Monday in the green.
Persons: Bond, Larry Tentarelli, you've, They'll, Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Treasury, West Texas, Boston Federal, Atlanta Fed Locations: New York City, East, Iran, Israel
Market volatility will likely increase from here as the race for the White House enters its final weeks, according to Wolfe Research. Technical strategist Rob Ginsberg tracked the average move of the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) during a presidential election year. With momentum rolling over and several sectors seeing healthy pullbacks of late ... we feel the S & P is overdue for another 3 – 4% correction." To be sure, any troubles in the market into Election Day would mark a turn after an unusually strong year. Notably, Bespoke Investment Group found the S & P 500 notched its largest gain over the first nine months of a year since 1997.
Persons: Brace, Rob Ginsberg, bode, Ginsberg, What's Organizations: White, Wolfe Research, Traders, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investment, Carson Group Locations: Israel
US stocks fell Monday as investors assessed interest rate moves after Friday's strong jobs report. The 10-year Treasury yield rose above 4% for the first time since late July. Investors will focus on earnings season and the upcoming September CPI report this week. AdvertisementUS stocks dipped to start the week as investors assessed the outlook for interest rates following the strong September jobs report. The September CPI report is also on the economic calendar this week, set to be released on Thursday.
Persons: Organizations: Treasury, Service, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Investors, PepsiCo, Here's
The tech trade lost some of its steam over the summer, and that could create opportunities for tactical trading in the fourth quarter, several investors told CNBC. The Nasdaq Composite rose 2.6% during the third quarter, lagging behind both the broader S & P 500 's gain of 5.5% and the small Russell 2000's jump of 8.9%. Still, many investors are cautious of abandoning the tech trade completely even after a few bumpy months. Even after the recent slump, those stocks still account for about 31% of the S & P 500, and even more in many funds focused on tech or growth. RSP 6M mountain This equal weight version of the S & P 500 outperformed the regular S & P 500, the Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average in the third quarter.
Persons: Russell, James Ragan, DA Davidson, We're, Frank Tedesco, Ragan, Jason Browne, Alexis, We've, we've, Browne, LEXI Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, DA, Astoria, RSP, Dow Jones, Quality, Alexis Investment Partners, Big Tech Locations: Astoria
U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher early Monday as investors assessed future moves from the Federal Reserve following Friday's bumper jobs report. The 10-year Treasury yield was up by under a basis point at 3.984%, while the yield on the 2-year Treasury was over 3 basis points higher at 3.968%. One basis point equals 0.01%. Treasury yields jumped on Friday as investors digested a better-than-expected September jobs report. The CME Group's FedWatch tool indicates that traders are now pricing in an 91% chance of a quarter percentage point rate cut at the central bank's next meeting in November.
Persons: Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Neel Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, Michelle Bowman, Alberto Musalem Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Investors Locations: Israel
Inflation could be a market-driving fear again this week when September data is released, according to Bank of America. But last week's stronger-than-expected jobs report has shaken up the consensus outlook for the economy. "After the blowout jobs report, CPI is no longer a 'non-event.' The CPI report is due out before the opening bell Thursday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect the CPI report to show a 0.1% increase in September and a 2.3% rise from 12 months earlier.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Bank of America, Federal
A television broadcasts the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Sept. 18, 2024. Roche said the figures made the Fed's "jumbo interest rate cut look silly, populist and panicky." 1 is that [it gives the impression that] the economy is more fragile than it is ... and the economy is fine, thank you very much, and doesn't need jumbo rate cuts," he told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe." And headline and core inflation will stay above the Fed target of 2%, so the case for aggressive rate cuts [is not there]," he said. "Yes there is a case for modest rate cuts, there is a case for 25 to 50 basis point cuts by January next year, but a case for 50 basis point cut at the next meeting just does not exist," Parker said.
Persons: Michael Nagle, David Roche, Roche, CNBC's, " Roche, Bob Parker, Parker, Dave Pierce Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Quantum, Federal, Market, International Capital Markets Association, Fed, Global, Capital, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: Israel, U.S
Friday's knockout jobs report has squashed fears of an imminent recession. Goldman Sachs cut the chances of a recession in the next year to 15%, and other analysts cheered. AdvertisementRecession fears have weighed on Wall Street recently, but Friday's blowout jobs report has assuaged worries of an imminent economic downturn. "Friday's US labor report put paid to US recession fears," Rabobank's research team wrote. The latest jobs report has relieved some concerns about the economy, but also dashed hopes for another jumbo cut in November.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Stocks, Goldman, Saxo, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Labor Statistics, Federal Locations: There's
Paul Bersebach | Medianews Group | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineOh, to be a fly on the wall when the U.S. Labor Department arrived at the final tally for September's jobs number. That's perhaps why stocks rose only tentatively on its release. For the week, S&P rose 0.22%, the Dow ticked up 0.09% and the Nasdaq increased 0.1% — a huge jump, considering it was down more than 1% at Thursday's close.
Persons: SPX, Paul Bersebach, payrolls, David Royal, , Jeff Cox, Alex Harring, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Medianews, Getty, CNBC, U.S . Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Labor Locations: Lake Forest , CA, , Thursday's
Angus Mordant | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineOh, to be a fly on the wall when the U.S. Labor Department arrived at the final tally for September's jobs number. That's perhaps why stocks rose only tentatively on its release. For the week, S&P rose 0.22%, the Dow ticked up 0.09% and the Nasdaq increased 0.1% — a huge jump, considering it was down more than 1% at Thursday's close.
Persons: Angus Mordant, payrolls, David Royal, , Jeff Cox, Alex Harring, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: HK UBI, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, U.S . Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Labor Locations: Albany, Latham , New York, , Thursday's
Stock futures were flat on Sunday evening as Wall Street looks to keep the momentum from Friday's rally. S&P 500 futures added less than 0.1%. Nasdaq 100 futures were also up less than 0.1%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked up 26 points, or less than 0.1%. The S&P 500 added 0.22% for the week, while the Nasdaq Composite inched up 0.10% and the Dow added 0.09%. "Two old adages on Wall Street: don't fight the trend and don't fight the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Keith Lerner, Lerner, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Federal, Federal Reserve, Delta Air Lines, JPMorgan Locations: U.S
It's officially a new trading month, and HSBC recommends investors broaden their exposure in the fourth quarter by seeking out stocks with more reasonable valuations. "These 'big' companies represent the lion's share of equity index returns year to date." HSBC has a buy rating on the stock. In all, 16 of the 29 analysts covering GM have a strong buy or buy rating, and its average price target of $54.35 implies nearly 19% upside from Friday's close, per LSEG. The remaining 11 have a buy or strong buy rating.
Persons: It's, Nicole Inui, General Motors, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: HSBC, Dow, Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, General, GM, Pharmaceutical, Pfizer, Delta Air Lines Locations: Americas, U.S
The S&P 500 rose 0.9% to 5,751.07, while the Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.22% to 18,137.85. Stocks rallied after data showed nonfarm payrolls grew by 254,000 jobs in September, far outpacing the forecasted gain of 150,000 from economists polled by Dow Jones. Financials were the top sector in the S&P 500 during the session, surging 1.6% and closing at a record. The S&P 500 finished up 0.22% on the week, while the Dow inched higher by 0.09%. Energy stocks have jumped this week as oil rallied, with the S&P 500 sector up 7%.
Persons: Stocks, payrolls, Dow Jones, , Michelle Cluver, Tesla, Financials, Wells Fargo, Russell Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Global, Netflix, JPMorgan Chase, Dow, Israel . Energy Locations: U.S, East, Iran, Israel
RBC gives its top stock picks for the fourth quarter
  + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The fourth quarter is just getting started, and RBC Capital Markets sees some stocks slated for growth in the months ahead. Looking ahead, RBC unveiled a list of its top 30 high-conviction global stock ideas that it thinks are poised to outperform in the long term. As a result, RBC has an outperform rating on the name, with a price target of $48. "As proof-points to the success of this strategy emerge, we believe the stock could begin to re-rate higher," the analyst said. Software name CrowdStrike and British oil giant Shell were also picked for the fourth quarter's list.
Persons: Brad Erickson, Daniel Perlin, Perlin, Ferrari, Tom Narayan Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, Dow Jones, RBC, Sarepta Therapeutics, Amazon, P Global, PayPal, Reuters Locations: Italy
Treasury yields dip ahead of September jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The 10-year Treasury yield was lower by one basis point at 3.84%, while the yield on the 2-year Treasury was also one basis point lower at 3.697%. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower early Friday as investors gear up for the closely watched September jobs report. Treasury yields rose on Thursday after ADP data showed private payrolls grew by more than expected in September. Private companies added 143,000 jobs, ahead of August's figure of 103,000 and a forecast of 128,000. That was given as justification for the jumbo 50-basis-point interest rate cut carried out by the Fed last month.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Fed
watch nowThe U.S. economy added far more jobs than expected in September, pointing to a vital employment picture as the unemployment rate edged lower, the Labor Department reported Friday. Nonfarm payrolls surged by 254,000 for the month, up from a revised 159,000 in August and better than the 150,000 Dow Jones consensus forecast. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, down 0.1 percentage point. Strength in job creation spilled over to wages, as average hourly earnings increased 0.4% on the month and were up 4% from a year ago. You get upward revisions and it tells you the job market continues to be healthy, and that means the economy is healthy."
Persons: Nonfarm payrolls, Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Organizations: Labor Department, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
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