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☆ Georgia or Alabama: Who is facing the most pressure in SEC showdown?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Seth Emerson | Kennington Smith Iii | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +11 min

Georgia is favored over Alabama for the fourth straight time Saturday, but another loss would be three losses in those four games. A loss would turn the conversation from “Kirby Smart had a Nick Saban problem” to “Georgia has an Alabama problem.”Alabama beat Georgia in the SEC Championship Game and earned a spot in the College Football Playoff. It certainly was in last year’s SEC Championship Game and likely will be again this weekend. But an Alabama win would elevate his status early in his tenure, so in that regard, there’s a lot to gain. Win or lose, both Georgia and Alabama will come away with things they need to work on.

Persons: Kirby Smart, Billie Jean King, ” Smart, Kalen, Nick Saban, Seth Emerson, Kennington Smith, Smith, That’s, Kirby, Saban, “ Kirby Smart, ”, Kevin C, Cox, Emerson, Smart, Minus Saban, Ole Miss, Carson, Beck, Jalen Milroe, Glenn Schumann, Milroe, he’s, —, Ryan Williams, Brock Bowers, Ladd McConkey, Mitchell, We’ve, I’m, it’s, Meech Robinson, DeBoer, Todd Kirkland, Erick W Organizations: Alabama, Smart, Georgia, Tide, SEC, College Football, Tennessee, LSU, Oklahoma, Saban, Texas, Emerson, Kentucky, Heisman Trophy, NFL, South, Wisconsin, Clemson, Getty Locations: Georgia, Tuscaloosa, Alabama, Smart, DeBoer, “ Georgia, Texas, Missouri, Kentucky, Tennessee, South Florida

☆ Luxury stocks slip as fears grow of a prolonged downturn
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — European luxury stocks tumbled on Monday as analysts warned of a deteriorating demand outlook, particularly among high-spending Chinese consumers. "Following the post-Covid peak in consumption in 2022, luxury sector revenues have been sequentially slowing. Across European luxury firms, they expect a 1% revenue decline in 2024. The Stoxx Europe Luxury 10, an index tracking top names in the sector, managed to hold flat but has fallen 3.82% in the year to date. 'Prolonged period of weakness'They're not alone in their bearish view on Europe's luxury sector.

Persons: Hugo Boss, Germany's Hugo Boss, Burberry, Kering, Hermes, Jon Cox, Kepler Cheuvreux, CNBC's, Cox Organizations: Hugo, Hugo Boss AG, Bloomberg, Getty, Bank of America, Korean, BofA Securities, Kepler, U.S, CNBC, Burberry Locations: Shanghai, China, American, Europe

☆ Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari sees a slower pace of rate cuts ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Monday that he expects policymakers to dial down the pace of interest rate cuts after last week's half percentage point reduction. "I think after 50 basis points, we're still in a net tight position," Kashkari said in a CNBC "Squawk Box" interview. "Right now, we still have a strong, healthy labor market. In their latest economic projections, FOMC members indicated that rate is probably around 2.9%; the current fed funds rate is targeted between 4.75% and 5%. Speaking separately Monday morning, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic indicated he expects the Fed to move aggressively in getting back to a neutral rate.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, we're, Kashkari, Kasharki, Raphael Bostic, Bostic Organizations: Minneapolis Federal, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Fed Locations: Minneapolis

☆ CNBC Daily Open: One day makes all the difference
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "Recalibration" Fed Chair Jerome Powell's use of the word "recalibration" seemed to reassure investors that the central bank's 50 basis point cut wasn't that worrying. It signaled the Fed wasn't responding to a slowing economy, but shifting focus to ensuring employment doesn't dip further, wrote CNBC's Jeff Cox. At the end of Washington's song, she croons, "What a difference a day makes / And the difference is you."

Persons: BOE, Jerome Powell's, Jeff Cox, Dinah Washington, Oppenheimer, Brian Belski, Powell, –, Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Hakyung Kim, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, JPMorgan Chase, of England, Monetary, Fed, Dow, Nvidia, Apple, BMO Locations: New York, Dinah Washington . Washington

☆ Fed Governor Waller says inflation softening faster than he expected put him in half-point-cut camp
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said Friday he supported a half percentage point rate cut at this week's meeting because inflation is falling even faster than he had expected. A week before the Fed meeting, markets were overwhelmingly pricing in a 25 basis point cut. Along with the decision, individual officials signaled the likelihood of another half point in cuts this year, followed by a full percentage point of reductions in 2025. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman was the only Federal Open Market Committee member to vote against the reduction, instead preferring a smaller quarter percentage point cut. "I was a big advocate of large rate hikes when inflation was moving much, much faster than any of us expected," he said.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, CNBC's Steve Liesman, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Fed, Market, Commerce Department

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Markets have finally processed the good news
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. [PRO] Commodity price movements Stocks have rallied on the back of the Fed's rate cut. The S&P climbed 1.7% to end at 5,713.64, the first time the broad-based index has broken through the 5,700 ceiling. At the end of Washington's song, she croons, "What a difference a day makes / And the difference is you."

Persons: Stocks, it's, Jerome Powell's, Jeff Cox, Dinah Washington, Oppenheimer, Brian Belski, Powell, –, Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Hakyung Kim, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Citi, HSBC, People's Bank of, Bank of, Fed, Dow, Nvidia, Apple, BMO Locations: New York, China, Japan, Asia, People's Bank of China, Bank of Japan, Dinah Washington . Washington

☆ ‘Billions’ of golf balls could be lost every year. Where do they end up?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Jack Bantock | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +20 min

Found Golf Balls CEO Shaun Shienfield, whose company recovers and resells millions of lost balls across the US and Canada each year, told CNN that he gauged the average to be between three and four each round. Using Shienfield’s low estimate, that’s over 1.5 billion balls lost in the US every year since 2020. “While precise global estimates are challenging … the worldwide figure could easily exceed 3 to 5 billion golf balls lost each year,” Petersen told CNN. Mitchell Schols, founder of Canada-based Biodegradable Golf Balls, put a “very conservative” estimate for North America at one million balls lost to oceans annually. One UK-based man told CNN in 2015 that he could earn up to £100,000 (about $114,000) annually by diving to retrieve golf balls from lakes on golf courses.

Persons: Woods, Jonathan Ferrey, Shaun Shienfield, Torben Kastrup Petersen, ” Petersen, Loch, Cam Bauer, fairways, Jae C, Paula Gallani, Jack Taylor, Bonifas, Paul Barker, Alex Livesey, Josh Noel, Richard Heathcote, Sam Greenwood, Mohammed Afzal Abdul Afghanistan'shas, Mohammed Afzal Abdul, Shah Marai, Africa's, Alf Caputo, Mi Jung Hur, Michael Cohen, Matthew Savoca, Davis, Alex Weber, Savoca, Weber, Jack Johnston, Ezra Shaw, ” Savoca, “, there’s, ”, Mitchell Schols, Petersen, Kevin C, Cox, Schols, Albus Golf, ” Schols, Jared C, Tilton, “ I’m Organizations: CNN, United States Golf Association, National Golf Foundation, Danish Golf Union, La, Don Mueang International Airport, Getty, Chicago Tribune, Tribune, Service, La Paz Golf Club, AFP, Soviet Army, Kenya, Ladies European, Indy Women, Tech, University of California, Carmel High School, Monterey Bay National, National, Canada, North America, “, USGA, Pebble Beach Resorts Locations: Pebble Beach , California, Stillwater, Monterey , California, Canada, Greenland, Norway, Hawaii, France, Bangkok, Don, AFP, North, South Korea, Washington, Uummannaq, Coeur D'Alene, Death Valley , California, South Carolina, Bolivia, Kabul, Kenya, Australia, Ceduna, Kalgoorlie, Monterey Bay, Pebble Beach, Cypress Point, Carmel, California, Monterey, Japan, England, Germany, America, –, Spanish, London, Florida

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Markets need time to digest the 50-point cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Anna Moneymaker | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. By contrast, the prevailing sentiment among experts was that a 25-point cut was more likely, according to a CNBC survey. And he was likely aware that a bigger-than-usual cut might connote that the Fed's worried about the economy. "I don't see anything in the economy right now that suggests that the likelihood of a recession, sorry, of a downturn, is elevated," Powell said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker, Jerome Powell's, Powell, –, Jeff Cox, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Washington , DC

☆ JPMorgan economist who nailed half-point call sees another big Fed rate cut in November
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

At its much-anticipated meeting Wednesday, the Fed approved a half percentage point, or 50 basis point, cut to its benchmark funds rate that ran counter to the 25 basis point move that many Wall Street economists and strategists had been expecting. The benchmark fed funds rate now stands at 4.75% to 5.00% after Wednesday's move. Futures market pricing Thursday suggested a 25 basis point move in November followed by a 50 basis point cut in December, according to the CME Group's FedWatch. A basis point equals 0.01%. "Ultimately what we found most important in what Powell said was also among the least surprising things he said: future decisions are going to depend on the data," Feroli wrote.

Persons: Michael Feroli, Feroli, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Fed, Street Locations: U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Markets seemed taken aback by the 50-point cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. By contrast, the prevailing sentiment among experts was that a 25-point cut was more likely, according to a CNBC survey. And he was likely aware that a bigger-than-usual cut might connote that the Fed's worried about the economy. "I don't see anything in the economy right now that suggests that the likelihood of a recession, sorry, of a downturn, is elevated," Powell said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Jeff Cox, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Washington , DC

☆ The Fed has set out on a 'recalibration' of policy. Here's what Powell's new buzzword means
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has unveiled his latest buzzword to describe monetary policy, with a "recalibration" of policy at a pivotal moment for the central bank. "This recalibration of our policy stance will help maintain the strength of the economy and the labor market, and will continue to enable further progress on inflation as we begin the process of moving forward a more neutral stance," Powell said. Financial markets weren't quite sure what to make of the chair's messaging in the meeting's immediate aftermath. However, asset prices soared Thursday as investors took Powell at his word that the unusually outsized move wasn't in response to a substantial slowing of the economy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 jumped to new highs in trading Thursday after swinging violently Wednesday.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, didn't, Tom Porcelli Organizations: Financial, Dow Jones Industrial

☆ The first and last lines of 27 'Friends' characters
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Amory Rose | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: 1 min

Monica says the first line on the entire series. Courteney Cox on "Friends." NBCFirst appearance: Season one, "The Pilot/The One Where Monica Gets a Roommate"The first scene of "Friends" shows Monica (Courteney Cox) talking to her friends in Central Perk coffeehouse. Her first line, which is the first of the series, is "There's nothing to tell! It's just some guy I work with," in reference to a date she has later that night.

Persons: Monica, Courteney Cox Organizations: NBC Locations: Central

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Hoping for a 50-basis-point cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Without any warning signs flashing red, it's difficult for the Fed to justify lowering rates by more than a quarter point. That's why some economists and analysts hope the Fed will cut by half a point. "But I suspect they'll cut 25," Zandi added.

Persons: Anna Moneymaker, Mark Zandi, they'll, Zandi, Hope, Jeff Cox, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Dow, Moody's Locations: Washington , DC, U.S

☆ Recession is not imminent, says New Century Advisors' Claudia Sahm
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecession is not imminent, says New Century Advisors' Claudia SahmClaudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors; Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group; and Subadra Rajappa, head of U.S. rates strategy at Societe Generale, join ‘The Exchange’ to discuss their expectations from the Fed, why the Fed is finally cutting rates, and more

Persons: Claudia Sahm Claudia Sahm, Jamie Cox, Subadra Rajappa Organizations: Advisors, New Century Advisors, Harris Financial Group, Societe Generale

☆ Traders got their big-rate-cut wish and markets still couldn't rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Wall Street got the big rate cut it wanted, but markets failed to sustain a rally. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday cut its key overnight lending rate by a half percentage point . Ryan Sweet, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, noted that the half-point cut suggests slowing growth is increasingly concerning Fed policy makers. "The Fed is likely worried that labor demand would weaken more, causing additional stress points in the labor market." "A larger cut probably was not needed out of the gate, but that should support risk-on asset allocation."

Persons: Ryan Sweet, Sweet, Nancy Tengler, Tengler, Scott Helfstein, Jeff Cox, Michelle Fox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Oxford Economics, Fed, Global

☆ Fed slashes interest rates by a half point, an aggressive start to its first easing campaign in four years
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The matrix of individual officials' expectations pointed to another full percentage point in cuts by the end of 2025 and a half-point in 2026. In all, the dot plot shows the benchmark rate coming down about 2 percentage points beyond Wednesday's move. On core inflation, the committee took down its projection to 2.6%, a 0.2 percentage point reduction from June. In fact, the last time the monthly hiring rate was this low – 3.5% as a share of the labor force – the unemployment rate was above 6%. At his press conference following the July meeting, Powell remarked that a 50 basis point cut was "not something we're thinking about right now."

Persons: Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, Market, Dow Jones, Fed, Gross, Atlanta Fed

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Hoping for a half-point cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Without any warning signs flashing red, it's difficult for the Fed to justify lowering rates by more than a quarter point. That's why some economists and analysts hope the Fed will cut by half a point. "But I suspect they'll cut 25," Zandi added.

Persons: Anna Moneymaker, Mark Zandi, they'll, Zandi, Hope, Jeff Cox, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Dow, Moody's Locations: Washington , DC, U.S

☆ The Fed's biggest interest rate call in years happens Wednesday. Here's what to expect
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The meeting wraps up Wednesday afternoon, with the release of the Fed's rate decision coming at 2 p.m. "I hope they cut 50 basis points, but I suspect they'll cut 25. Here's a breakdown of what's on tap:The rate waitThe FOMC has been holding its benchmark fed funds rate in a range between 5.25%-5.5% since it last hiked in July 2023. The 'dot plot'Perhaps just as important as the rate cut will be the signals meeting participants send about where they expect rates to go from here. In June, FOMC members penciled in just one rate cut through the end of the year.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Andrew Harnik, they'll, Mark Zandi, that's, Tom Simons, Zandi, Robert Kaplan, There'll, Seema Shah, FOMC, Moody's, Goldman Sachs, Powell presser, Goldman, Simons Organizations: Federal Reserve, Committee, Moody's, Wall, Jefferies, Dallas Fed, CNBC, Asset Management Locations: Washington , DC

☆ Former Dallas Fed President Kaplan advocates for a half-point interest rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

If Robert Kaplan still had a say in the matter, he'd be pushing for a half percentage point interest rate reduction at this week's Federal Reserve meeting. The former Dallas Fed president told CNBC on Tuesday that making the bolder move of 50 basis points would better position policymakers heading into the latter part of the year and the economic challenges ahead. "If I were sitting at the table, I would be advocating for 50 in this meeting," Kaplan said during a "Squawk Box" interview. One basis point equals 0.01%. Kaplan ran the Dallas Fed from 2015-21 and is now a managing director at Goldman Sachs.

Persons: Robert Kaplan, Kaplan, Jerome Powell, Jay Powell, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Dallas Fed, CNBC, Federal

But increasingly concerned Republicans fear the Trump team is firing blanks. So I just think that’s super overblown criticism by people who don’t know what they’re talking about.”‘Some groups are better than others’Concerns over Republican field efforts are nothing new. Large-scale conservative canvassing efforts, these Republicans explained, were plagued with issues including fraudulent and untrustworthy data entries. The senior Trump campaign official said the campaign was not caught off guard by Turning Point having a more limited scope, saying it has been working closely with the organization. “You gotta remember, Donald Trump got more votes for a sitting president than ever before in history,” this person said.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, ”, Kamala Harris ’, “ Local Republicans aren’t, they’re, Elon, James John Liautaud, Jimmy John’s, Shaun Maguire, Douglas, Ron DeSantis ’, Generra Peck, Phil Cox, there’s, it’s, … I’ve, Semafor, “, ” Andrew Kolvet, Michael Whatley, Harris, Joe Biden, ” Sen, Steve Daines, Kamala Harris, ” Whatley, GOTV, isn’t, Donald Trump Organizations: Republican National Committee, Trump, Federal, Commission, RNC, Republican, “ Local Republicans, America PAC, FEC, Sequoia Capital, GOP, Gov, New York Times, NBC, “, NBC News, House Republicans, National Republican Senatorial, Democrats ’ Senate, ”, Republicans Locations: Iowa, Douglas Leone, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, Georgia

☆ Top NFL Week 2 storylines: Bengals-Chiefs next chapter; C.J. Stroud, Caleb Williams on SNF
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Mike Jones | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +11 min

The 16 teams that lost last week look to bounce back with performances that reflect improvement and promise. Rodgers completed 13 of 21 passes for 167 yards, a touchdown and an interception, and the Jets managed just 68 rushing yards. Stroud, the best quarterback from last year’s draft class, and Chicago’s Caleb Williams, the first pick of this year’s draft. Stroud continued to impress in Week 1, throwing for 234 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. After the game, Williams vowed, “I will be better.” Excelling against a talented Texans defense, however, could prove challenging.

Persons: what’s, Tua Tagovailoa, Aaron Rodgers, Rodgers, Will Levis, Malik Willis, Jordan Love, Green, Matt LaFleur, Willis, LaFleur, Love, Patrick Mahomes, Denny Medley, NFL schedulers, Joe Burrow, Mahomes, Burrow, Burrow's, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Higgins, Macdonald, Jerod Mayo, Bill Belichick, Mike Macdonald, Geno Smith, Jacoby Brissett, Smith, Baker Mayfield, Nathan Ray Seebeck, He’ll, Aidan Hutchinson, Jared Goff, Goff, Mayfield, Mike Evans, Derrick Barnes, Williams, Houston’s, Chicago’s Caleb Williams, Stroud, CJ Stroud, He’s, Jonathan Owens, Tyrique Stevenson, Williams didn’t, “, Kevin C, Cox Organizations: NFL, Buffalo, Bills, Dolphins, Falcons – Eagles, Cowboys, Bears, Texans, Jets, Tennessee Titans, Tennessee, Chicago Bears, Ravens, Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Browns, Rams, Titans, 49ers, Eagles, Detroit Lions, NFC, Liberty University, Green, Indianapolis Colts, Lambeau, Colts, Chiefs, Sunday, AFC, Baltimore, Mayo, Patriots, Mayo’s Patriots, Macdonald’s Seahawks, Broncos, The Patriots, Seahawks, Bucs, Lions NFC, Lions, Buccaneers, Washington, Tampa, Stroud, AFC South, Indianapolis, Chicago Locations: Miami, Philadelphia, San Francisco, Brazil, Green, Mahomes, New England, Seattle, Baltimore, Mayo, Foxboro, USA, Tampa ., Detroit, Houston’s C.J, Stroud

☆ I've held leadership roles at Yahoo, Google, and Facebook. Taking a demotion is what set my career on the right path.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( Nora Redmond | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

I wanted to work in technology, and I wanted to work in business, so I went to get an MBA, as many people do. Coming out of Cornell's business school in 1999, I had a choice between traditional routes like consulting or brand management. Since then, I've spent 25 years working in leadership roles at tech companies, including Yahoo, Google, and Facebook. Sometimes, a demotion might be the right moveAt various stages in my career, I've had those kinds of crossroad moments. So, I'm teaching people how to scale companies while I'm scaling my own company, and I'm teaching people how to be great leaders while I'm building a company that helps people be great leaders.

Persons: —, Jennifer Dulski, It's, I've, That's, you've Organizations: Service, Rising Team, Stanford Graduate School of Business, Yahoo, Google, Facebook, Business, Rising, Stanford

☆ The Fed has the proof it wants that inflation is slowing, but the next move is still up in the air
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A week's worth of inflation data showed that price pressures have eased substantially since their meteoric rise in 2021-22. "We got two more months of good inflation data" since the last Fed meeting, Claudia Sahm, chief economist for New Century Advisors, said in a CNBC interview Friday. Futures markets for most of the past week had lasered in on a quarter percentage point, or 25 basis point, rate cut. The inflation data "on its own would have gotten us 25 next week, as it should, and will get us a whole string of cuts after that," she said. [Fed officials] need to kind of clean it up, do a 50 basis point cut and then be ready to do more."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Claudia Sahm, Sahm Organizations: Banking, Housing, Urban, Capitol, Federal Reserve, Federal, New Century Advisors, CNBC, Fed Locations: Washington ,

☆ Top economist Ed Hyman no longer sees recession coming, flips GDP forecast to positive
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Economists Ed Hyman is backing off his call for a hard landing, even though he still sees the potential for a recession ahead. "History and experience say to stick with a hard landing outlook," he said in a client note Thursday. "However, the hard math that our team has reviewed says flip to a soft landing outlook. "In our view, arguments for a hard landing are still persuasive," Hyman wrote. "So this flip could be a mistake," Hyman wrote.

Persons: Ed Hyman, Hyman, Ally, Russell Hutchinson, it's Organizations: ISI, Atlanta Federal Reserve, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve Locations: New York

☆ CNBC Daily Open: All key data is in — and it's made the Fed's policy path more uncertain
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Last Friday, the August employment report showed the number of jobs added was lower than expected but higher than the previous month. Wednesday's CPI report showed the lowest 12-month inflation rate in two-and-a-half years. In short, the data hasn't cleared up whether the Fed will cut by 25 or 50 basis points. They think there's a 57% chance of a 25 point cut and 43% of a 50 point one, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Persons: Stefani Reynolds, We've, Wednesday's, Jeff Cox, Pia Singh, Sarah Min Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, CNBC, U.S . Federal Reserve, PPI Locations: Washington ,

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