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[1/2] U.S. Dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 14, 2022. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasuries dropped 23 basis points after the data to 3.9137%, S&P futures rose 3% and Nasdaq futures rose 4%. In currency markets the dollar sold off sharply, falling 1.75% against the rate sensitive Japanese yen to 143.64, while the euro climbed 1.2% to $1.016 a two-month high. Sky-high inflation has caused the Fed to raise rates aggressively this year, a process that has boosted the dollar and caused U.S. Treasuries and shares around the world to sell off sharply. U.S. crude oil futures were 0.1% higher at $85.93 per barrel, while Brent crude futures gained 1% to $93.58.
Futures rise with all eyes on key jobs data
  + stars: | 2022-11-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Nonfarm payrolls is expected to have increased by 200,000 jobs last month after rising 263,000 in September, according to a Reuters survey of economists. The U.S. central bank on Wednesday hiked its benchmark rate by 75 basis points as expected while hinting at smaller increases ahead. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the "ultimate level" of policy rate would likely be higher than previously estimated. ET, Dow e-minis were up 197 points, or 0.62%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 29 points, or 0.78%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 84.5 points, or 0.79%. Reporting by Shubham Batra, Shreyashi Sanyal and Sruthi Shankar in Bengaluru; Editing by Sriraj KalluvilaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 14, 2022. read moreWith roughly 80% of S&P 500 companies having reported earnings, the expected growth rate is 4.7%, according to Refinitiv data, up slightly from the 4.5% at the start of October. Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.75-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.50-to-1 ratio favored decliners. The S&P 500 posted 6 new 52-week highs and 46 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 77 new highs and 291 new lows. Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak in New York Editing by Matthew LewisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Yields on U.S. Treasury securities, which had dropped sharply after the Fed statement was released, turned higher. The 2-year note - the bond maturity most sensitive to Fed policy expectations - was up 6 basis points to about 4.61%. The document "implied that (the Fed) may be aiming for a higher medium-term level for the fed funds rate than currently expected," Nelson said. The language in the policy statement acknowledged the broad debate that has emerged around the Fed's policy tightening, and opened a new stage in that discussion. The Fed's statement "was a lot more definite about a possible downshift than I thought it would be.
"Ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate," the U.S. central bank said at the end of its latest two-day policy meeting. The language acknowledges the broad debate that has emerged around the Fed's policy tightening, its impact on the U.S. and world economies, and the danger that continued large rate hikes could stress the financial system or trigger a recession. The policy decision set the target federal funds rate in a range between 3.75% and 4.00%, the highest since early 2008. The U.S. central bank has raised rates at its last six meetings beginning in March, marking the fastest round of rate increases since former Fed Chair Paul Volcker's fight to control inflation in the 1970s and 1980s. The economy, the Fed noted, appeared to be growing modestly, with still "robust" job gains and low unemployment.
The sharp focus on labor market data overshadowed another report which showed U.S. manufacturing activity grew at its slowest pace in nearly 2-1/2 years in October as rising rates cool demand for goods and pricing pressures on manufacturers lessened. People are seen on Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021. That also helped boost U.S.-listed shares of Chinese firms such as JD.Com , up 3.08% and Alibaba Group Holding , which gained 3.59%. Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.56-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.29-to-1 ratio favored advancers. The S&P 500 posted 24 new 52-week highs and eight new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 120 new highs and 110 new lows.
Investors have been paying close attention to labor market data for any signs of weakening in the job market, as decreasing wage pressures and easing demand would help reduce inflation, giving the Fed the ammunition to begin decelerating with a 50-basis-point rate hike in December. "From an employment standpoint things look really robust though, and that is putting some pressure on stocks." According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 16.26 points, or 0.42%, to end at 3,855.79 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) lost 97.62 points, or 0.90%, to 10,889.23. Megacap growth names such as Amazon (AMZN.O) and Apple (AAPL.O), which have struggled since the Fed began raising interest rates, were once again under pressure. Pfizer (PFE.N) rose after the drugmaker raised full-year sales estimates for its COVID-19 vaccine, while Eli Lilly (LLY.N) fell after trimming its profit forecast.
[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 17, 2022. Still, investors were also digesting Tuesday's data showing U.S. job openings unexpectedly rose in September, suggesting that demand for labor remains strong despite the Fed's recent rate hikes. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.50% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 0.07%. In the currency market, the dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was last little changed. U.S. crude recently rose 2.09% to $88.34 per barrel and Brent was at $94.59, up 1.92% on the day.
Companies U.S. House of Representatives FollowWASHINGTON, Nov 1 (Reuters) - U.S. Chief Justice John Roberts on Tuesday temporarily blocked a U.S. House of Representatives committee from gaining access to former President Donald Trump's tax returns, effectively pausing the fight over a request from lawmakers that he claims is politically motivated. Roberts ordered the Democratic-led House Ways and Means Committee to respond to Trump's bid by Nov. 10. The legal fight has lingered since 2019 when the committee sued Trump to force disclosure of the tax returns. Trump was the first president in four decades years not to release his tax returns as he aimed to keep secret the details of his wealth and the activities of his company, the Trump Organization. The committee's purpose is "exposing President Trump's tax information to the public for the sake of exposure," the lawyers added.
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said on Tuesday that its manufacturing PMI fell to 50.2 in October from 50.9 in September. China's Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI stood at 49.2 in October, up from 48.1 in September. The private sector survey was in line with an official PMI released on Monday that showed China's factory activity unexpectedly fell in October. Japan's au Jibun Bank Japan Manufacturing PMI fell to 50.7 in October from September's 50.8 final, marking the weakest growth since January last year. India was an outlier with factory activity expanding at a stronger pace in October as demand remained solid.
The Fed, which begins its two-day meeting Tuesday, is expected to deliver a fourth straight 75-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday in its attempt to tame inflation. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.35% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.44%. read moreKey food and energy prices drop after initial panicGRAINS REPORTIn currencies, the dollar rose 0.8% against the struggling yen to 148.62 yen . Brazil's currency and main stock index rallied Monday, a day after leftist Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva won the country's presidential election. The Bovespa stock index (.BVSP) sank 2% at the opening and ended the session up 1.3%.
The idled St. Croix refinery, formerly called Limetree Bay, was shut down by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency in May 2021 after a series of chemical releases into the environment sickened neighboring residents. The refinery was sold in December 2021 for $62 million to West Indies Petroleum and Port Hamilton Refining and Transportation, following the bankruptcy of its former private equity owners. The owners also failed to provide hazard assessments and other documentation for the facility, the EPA said. The refinery was sold in December 2021 for $62 million to West Indies Petroleum, a Jamaican oil storage company that intends to operate the facility. In June, West Indies Petroleum denied its ownership of the facility, though the EPA has said it does.
Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com Register"The recent recovery in oil imports faltered in September," ANZ analysts said in a note, adding that independent refiners failed to utilise increased quotas as ongoing COVID-related lockdowns weighed on demand. Ongoing strength in the U.S. dollar, which was up again for part of the trading session following another suspected foreign exchange intervention by Japan, also posed problems for oil prices. read more A stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for non-U.S. buyers. Oil prices regained some ground after data that showed U.S. business activity contracted for a fourth straight month in October, with manufacturers and services firms in a monthly survey of purchasing managers both reporting weaker client demand. "Such a release is likely to have only a modest influence (<$5/bbl) on oil prices", the bank said in a note.
SummarySummary Companies U.S. business activity weakens again in October -S&P GlobalChina's Sept crude imports fall, fuel exports hit 15-mth highNEW YORK, Oct 24 (Reuters) - Oil prices steadied in choppy trade on Monday, as weakening U.S. business activity data eased expectations for more aggressive interest rate hikes, while data showing demand from China remained lacklustre in September limited prices. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for December delivery lost 34 cents, or 0.4%, to $84.71 a barrel. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com Register"The recent recovery in oil imports faltered in September," ANZ analysts said in a note, adding that independent refiners failed to utilise increased quotas as ongoing COVID-related lockdowns weighed on demand. Oil prices regained some ground after data that showed U.S. business activity contracted for a fourth straight month in October, with manufacturers and services firms in a monthly survey of purchasing managers both reporting weaker client demand. "Such a release is likely to have only a modest influence (<$5/bbl) on oil prices", the bank said in a note.
SummarySummary Companies U.S. business activity weakens again in October -S&P GlobalNEW YORK, Oct 24 (Reuters) - Oil edged up in choppy trade on Monday, as weakening U.S. business activity data eased expectations for more aggressive interest rate hikes, while data showing demand from China remained lacklustre in September limited prices. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for December delivery gained 55 cents, or 0.7%, to $85.60 a barrel. Oil prices regained some ground after data that showed U.S. business activity contracted for a fourth straight month in October, with manufacturers and services firms in a monthly survey of purchasing managers both reporting weaker client demand. "Such a release is likely to have only a modest influence (<$5/bbl) on oil prices", the bank said in a note. U.S. energy firms added oil and natural gas rigs last week for the second week in a row as relatively high oil prices encourage firms to drill more, energy services firm Baker Hughes Co said in a report.
The U.S. central bank is likely to raise rates by 75-basis points for the fourth straight time this year in November. "That probably won't be coming until we start to see some weakness in the labor market, which is helping fuel inflation pressures." Dow components Procter & Gamble Co and Travelers Companies Inc (TRV.N) rose 3.4% and 2.6%, respectively, after the companies posted better-than expected quarterly profit. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.56-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.92-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded two new 52-week highs and five new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 18 new highs and 100 new lows.
"That probably won't be coming until we start to see some weakness in the labor market, which is helping fuel inflation pressures." Apple Inc (AAPL.O) fell 1.3% in premarket trading after a report of iPhone 14 Plus production cut within weeks of starting shipments. Other growth stocks including Tesla Inc (TSLA.O), Amazon.com (AMZN.O), Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) and Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O) fell between 0.1% and 0.2%. ET, Dow e-minis were down 134 points, or 0.44%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 21 points, or 0.56%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 57.25 points, or 0.51%. United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL.O) jumped 5.8% as the U.S. carrier posted its strongest quarterly earnings in three years.
Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. All three major U.S. stock indexes rallied to end the session 1.9% to 3.4% higher while and the dollar lost ground against a basket of world currencies. "The catalysts that have triggered in the markets year-to-date are well-known," said Joseph Sroka, chief investment officer at NovaPoint in Atlanta. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 1.83% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 2.09%. Emerging market stocks rose 0.32%.
Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. A broad-based rally sent all three major U.S. stock indexes sharply higher, while Treasury yields eased and the dollar lost ground. European stocks closed sharply higher on the UK's financial policy reversal. Emerging market stocks rose 0.37%. The euro and sterling gained strength following Hunt's announced policy reversal, causing the greenback to lose ground against a basket of major world currencies.
Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. "More and more economists are embracing recession," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York. "Usually when the market has discounted everything - and I believe it has - usually (the last months of the year) are positive for the stock market." Emerging market stocks rose 0.42%. Treasury prices rose, tracking similar moves in the UK bond market, pushing benchmark Treasury yields lower for the first time in three days.
Shipping Corp FollowWASHINGTON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The Biden administration late on Sunday approved a waiver of U.S. shipping rules to address Puerto Rico's urgent need for liquefied natural gas (LNG) after Hurricane Fiona. In late September, the DHS approved a Jones Act waiver to ensure Puerto Rico had "sufficient diesel to run generators needed for electricity and the functioning of critical facilities." Last month, Puerto Rico Governor Pedro Pierluisi asked the White House for a waiver to increase the availability of fuel after the storm. A group of eight House lawmakers had asked Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas for "a one-year waiver from the Jones Act for Puerto Rico" which faces "an unprecedented uphill battle to rebuild its homes, businesses, and communities." All other waivers, DHS said, "must be reviewed on a case-by-case basis."
SummarySummary Companies U.S. CPI data due at 1230 GMTAroundtown slumps after Citi downgradeOct 13 (Reuters) - Europe's STOXX 600 index fell for a seventh day on Thursday, dragged by technology and real estate stocks, with investors focussed solely on U.S. inflation data due later in the day to gauge the Federal Reserve's rate-hike trajectory. The region-wide (.STOXX) index was down 0.5% by 0810 GMT, and on pace for its longest losing streak since early February 2018, if losses hold. All eyes are on U.S. CPI data due at 1230 GMT. "The effects of inflation and expected economic contractions on shoppers caution are expected to continue to weigh on consumer discretionary stocks, particularly retail, travel and hospitality," Streeter said. Norwegian aluminium producer Norsk Hydro (NHY.OL) jumped 5.6% after reports that the United States was weighing restricting imports of Russian aluminium.
The September meeting minutes also showed many Fed officials stressed the cost of not doing enough to bring down inflation. read moreThe market bounced around just after the open, with data earlier showing a surprise rise in September producer prices. The Labor Department's producer prices index rose 8.5% in the 12 months through September, slightly higher than an estimated 8.4% rise. The S&P 500 financial index (.SPSY) ended down 0.3%. The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 78 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 20 new highs and 433 new lows.
The minutes of the September meeting showed many Fed officials stressed the cost of not doing enough to bring down inflation. At the September meeting, Fed officials raised interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point for the third straight time in an effort to drive inflation down from 40-year highs. "For the most part there's nothing too earth-shattering in the Fed minutes. Data earlier in the day showed a surprise rise in September producer prices. The Labor Department's producer prices index rose 8.5% in the 12 months through September, slightly higher than an estimated 8.4% rise.
SummarySummary Companies U.S. producer prices rise more than expected in SeptemberFOMC September meet minutes due at 2 p.m. The Labor Department's producer prices index rose 8.5% in the 12 months through September, slightly higher than an estimated 8.4% rise. In the afternoon, investors will scrutinize the Fed's September meeting minutes for more clarity on the central bank's rate hike trajectory. Investors also await the highly-anticipated consumer prices report on Thursday, which is expected to have picked up in September. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 1.45-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and advancers for a 1.22-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.
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