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SHENZHEN, CHINA - MARCH 09: View of high commercial and residential buildings on March 9, 2016 in Shenzhen, China. "As a result, Chinese economic weakness and falling prices (especially Chinese producer prices) are likely to spill over into global markets — near-term good news for the Western central banks' fight against elevated inflation." "China's disappointing rebound is now feeding negatively into global sentiment and growth. Beyond the trade-related spillovers, a common global disinflationary pressure comes from commodity prices, where as a huge importer of commodities, Chinese domestic demand remains a key factor. "Weak Chinese domestic investment and broad-based excess capacity in manufacturing, as well as weak sales of new homes and land, are likely to continue to depress global commodity demand," Wilding and Liao said.
Persons: Zhong Zhi, Tiffany Wilding, Wilding, Carol Liao, Montgomery Koning, Liao, TS Lombard's Montgomery Koning Organizations: Getty, National Bureau, Statistics, Evergrande, TS Lombard, Lombard, U.S, Census, TS Lombard's Locations: SHENZHEN, CHINA, Shenzhen, China, U.S, Beijing, West, Germany
Many economists have called on China to boost its social safety net to rebalance the economy. Yao was unswayed and would prefer consumer vouchers, which some local governments in China have issued, but in amounts too small to matter at a macro level. Local governments, while cash poor, are asset rich. Michael Pettis, senior fellow at Carnegie China, estimates that if Beijing forces local governments to transfer 1-1.5% of GDP to households, China could maintain current growth. "One of the really big conflicts is likely to be between Beijing and the local governments over how to allocate the various adjustment costs.
Persons: Erin Yao, Juan Orts, Orts, Tokyo's, Yao, joblessness, Jens Eskelund, Wang Jiliu, Wang, Michael Pettis, Laurie Chen, Kripa Jayaram, Marius Zaharia, Sam Holmes Organizations: Fathom Consulting, Communist Party, Reuters Graphics, European Chamber of Commerce, Carnegie China, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, HONG KONG, China, Beijing, United States, Hainan
Oil edges up on tighter supplies, heating oil prices
  + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Natalie Grover | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummary China draws on record inventories amid high prices - dataBouyant price of heating oil lifts crude prices - analystChina economic sentiment, US rate hike risk continues to weighLONDON, Aug 21 (Reuters) - Oil prices edged higher on Monday as tighter supply reflected in fewer exports from Saudi Arabia and Russia and high heating oil prices outweighed concerns about global demand growth amid high interest rates. The September WTI contract expires on Tuesday and the more active October contract gained 78 cents to $81.44 a barrel. As well, "the dollar seems to be taking somewhat of a breather, which would be providing some support," he said. A weaker dollar makes oil purchases less expensive for holders of other currencies, sparking demand. Also supporting crude is the buoyant price of heating oil, which is in focus as the northern hemisphere approaches darker months, said John Evans of oil broker PVM.
Persons: Lucy Nicholson, Brent, Warren Patterson, ING's, John Evans, Stefano Grasso, Natalie Grover, Florence, Mohi Narayan, Shri Navaratnam, Tom Hogue Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Thomson Locations: Bakersfield , California, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, Saudi, 8VantEdge, Singapore, London, Florence Tan, New Delhi
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's economic slump is nowhere near the bottom, says Oxford EconomicsLouise Loo, Lead China Economist at Oxford Economics, discusses China's decision to not cut rates this weekend.
Persons: Louise Loo Organizations: Oxford, China, Oxford Economics
What's gone wrong with China's economy
  + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
It’s a far cry from global financial meltdown of 2008, when China launched the largest stimulus package in the world and was the first major economy to emerge from the crisis. It’s also a reversal from the early days of the pandemic, when China was the only major developed economy to dodge a recession. Property woesChina’s economy has been in doldrums since April, when momentum from a strong start to the year faded. While Evergrade is still undergoing a debt restructuring, troubles at Country Garden raised fresh concerns about the Chinese economy. Beijing has so far unveiled a steady incremental drip of measures to boost the economy, including interest rate cuts and other moves to help the property market and consumer businesses.
Persons: rekindling, Ying Tang, Morgan Stanley, Xi Jinping, It’s, what’s, Evergrande, Evergrade, , Julian Evans, Pritchard, Evans Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, UBS, Nomura, Barclays, Garden, Zhongrong Trust, CNN, Capital Economics, , People’s Bank of China, National Health Commission, Moody’s Investors Service Locations: Hong Kong, China, Shanghai, It’s, doldrums, Beijing, United States, Europe
New York CNN —David Solomon, CEO and president of Goldman Sachs, is getting bad press — a lot of bad press. And while shares of Goldman Sachs (GS) may be down by more than 5% this year, they’re still up by about 40% since he took over in 2018. Goldman Sachs did not respond to requests for comment for this article. Before the Bell: What is going on at Goldman Sachs? There have been articles purporting that former Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein isn’t happy with the job David Solomon has done and that he has offered to step in to help.
Persons: David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, Marcus, Solomon, they’re, Bell, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Lloyd Blankfein isn’t, that’s, Lloyd, he’s, That’s, David, , Juliana Liu, Michelle Toh, ” Julian Evans, Pritchard, Zichun Huang, Hang, Lehman, Hillary, Eva Rothenberg, Harry Reid, Hilary Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Financial Times, Yale School of Management’s, Leadership Institute, Nokia, BlackBerry, Microsoft, Goldman, People’s Bank of China, Reuters, Capital Economics, Hang Seng, The Bank of Korea, Bank Indonesia, country’s National Bureau of Statistics, Harry, Harry Reid International, San Diego International Locations: New York, Lloyd, China, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Asia, Las Vegas, California, Nevada, Southern California, Idaho
A man walks past a No Entry traffic sign near the headquarters of China Evergrande Group in Shenzhen, Guangdong province, China September 26, 2021. Evergrande's offshore debt restructuring involves a total of $31.7 billion, which include bonds, collaterals and repurchase obligations. Evergrande announced an offshore debt restructuring plan in March, expecting it to facilitate a gradual resumption of operations and generation of cash flow. Trading in China Evergrande shares has been suspended since March 2022. Shares of Evergrande Services (6666.HK) plunged as much as 20% on Friday, while China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Group (0708.HK) lost as much as 17%.
Persons: Aly, Evergrande, Morgan Stanley, HSI, Clare Jim, Jonathan Stempel, Dietrich Knauth, Manya, Sumeet Chatterjee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: China Evergrande Group, REUTERS, HONG KONG, China Evergrande, HK, Longfor, Tianji Holdings, British Virgin Islands, Co ., Evergrande Services, Energy Vehicle Group, Manya Saini, Thomson Locations: China, Shenzhen, Guangdong province, Asia, HONG, U.S, United States, Beijing, Manhattan, Hong Kong, Cayman Islands, British Virgin, Land, New York, Trading, Bengaluru
Ukraine claims gains in its counteroffensive – how significant are they? A whole Canadian city is ordered to evacuate as wildfires rage. And the countdown to the women’s soccer World Cup final – will it be England or Spain? Plus, the spectre of failed property giant Evergrande looms of China’s economic gloom. Visit the for information on our privacy and data protection practices.
Organizations: Apple, Google, Reuters, Reading, Thomson Locations: England, Spain, Moscow, Russia, Canada, Yellowknife, Evergrande, China
"The application is a normal procedure for the offshore debt restructuring and does not involve (a) bankruptcy petition," it said in the filing, adding it is pushing forward with its offshore debt restructuring. Evergrande's offshore debt restructuring involves a total of $31.7 billion, which include bonds, collateral and repurchase obligations. A man walks past a No Entry traffic sign near the headquarters of China Evergrande Group in Shenzhen, Guangdong province, China September 26, 2021. China's economic and property woes and the absence of concrete stimulus steps have sent a chill through global markets. "The China property sector is like a black hole, so many developers have been dragged into it since two years ago after Evergrande," said Winner Zone Asset Management CEO and CIO Alan Luk.
Persons: Evergrande, Aly, Nomura, HSI, Alan Luk, Clare Jim, Jonathan Stempel, Dietrich Knauth, Manya, Sumeet Chatterjee, Shri Navaratnam, Kim Coghill Organizations: HONG KONG, China Evergrande, HK, U.S, Hong, British Virgin Islands, China Evergrande Group, REUTERS, Zhongrong International Trust Co, Longfor, Asset Management, Manya Saini, Thomson Locations: China, Asia, HONG, U.S, United States, Hong Kong, British Virgin, New York, Shenzhen, Guangdong province, Beijing, Bengaluru
Losses were broad-based across Asia Pacific on Thursday, with Japan's Nikkei (.N225) and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index (.AXJO) down 1%. "Some participants" cited the risks to the economy of pushing rates too far even as "most" policymakers continued to prioritise the battle against inflation. The U.S. central bank hiked rates by 25 basis points at the July meeting after standing pat in June. The rising yields lifted the dollar, with the dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, touching a two-month peak of 103.58 as investors sought safety. Worries over China and the trajectory of the U.S. interest rates also rattled the commodities market, with oil prices dropping for the fourth straight session.
Persons: Issei Kato, HSI, Taylor Nugent, Jerome Powell, Shunichi Suzuki, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Muralikumar Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, Asia Pacific, Japan's Nikkei, NAB, ING, Finance, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific, China, U.S
An aerial view shows a crude oil tanker at an oil terminal off Waidiao island in Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China January 4, 2023. Brent crude futures were up 8 cents, or 0.1%, at $83.53 a barrel by 0245 GMT, after initially falling 0.5%. Higher interest rates increase borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand. "Crude prices are going to struggle here as we have bearish sentiment in the world's two largest economies," said Edward Moya, an analyst at OANDA. Reporting by Katya Golubkova; Editing by Sonali Paul and Muralikumar AnantharamanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Tina Teng, Teng, Edward Moya, Katya Golubkova, Sonali Paul, Muralikumar Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Brent, U.S . West Texas, CMC Markets, Traders, U.S, U.S . Federal, OANDA, Thomson Locations: Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China, U.S, OPEC, China's, U.S .
The company logo of Chinese developer Country Garden is pictured at the Shanghai Country Garden Center in Shanghai, China August 9, 2023. Smaller Chinese cities, whose revenues have already been deteriorating, could have a glut of unfinished homes, a social problem Beijing is trying to avoid. But as China's economy started slowing during and after its COVID-19 lockdowns, property sales in those areas has plummeted along with values of the homes themselves. Country Garden's sales in 2020 were 570.7 billion yuan ($78.22 billion), but that slipped to 357.5 billion yuan in 2022. Country Garden has nearly 1 million homes to complete, according to estimates from Japanese investment bank Nomura.
Persons: Aly, HONG KONG, Oscar Choi, Yang Huiyan, Lu Ting, Nomura, Gerwin Bell, Clare Jim, Liangping Gao, Matt Tracy, Davide Barbuscia, Christian Schmollinger Organizations: Shanghai Country Garden, REUTERS, Country, HK, National Bureau, Statistics, Partners Capital, China Evergrande, Oxford Economics, Nomura, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, HONG, Beijing, Dezhou, Hong Kong, Asia, Washington, New York
Greg Baker | Afp | Getty ImagesBEIJING — Without more stimulus, China is increasingly likely to miss its growth target of around 5% this year, economists said. "In such a case, economic momentum may stay subdued in the rest of the year and China may miss this year's growth target of around 5%," she said. China is the world's second-largest economy, and accounted for nearly 18% of global GDP in 2022, according to World Bank data. "We also see bigger downside risk to our 4.9% y-o-y growth forecast for both Q3 and Q4, and it is increasingly possible that annual GDP growth this year will miss the 5.0% mark," the report said. Growth vs. national securityChinese authorities' initial crackdown on real estate developers in 2020 was an attempt to curb their high reliance on growth.
Persons: Greg Baker, Tao Wang, spender, Nomura Ting Lu, Ting Lu, haven't, Louise Loo, Loo, that's, Xiangrong Yu, Gabriel Wildau, Teneo, Wildau Organizations: Afp, Getty, UBS Investment Bank, Bank, China, People's Bank of, Oxford Economics, Zhongrong International Trust, Information, Beijing, CNBC, Baoshang Bank, Anbang Locations: Beijing, BEIJING, China, Asia, People's Bank of China
The 0.2% fall month-on-month came after June's flat reading, according to Reuters calculations based on National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data. The decline in home prices comes amid a worsening debt crisis at major developers, sliding property investment and home sales. Among 70 cities, 49 saw a fall in new home prices month-on-month in July from 38 cities the previous month. However, most economists expect the downside trend in home sales and prices to persist for while. "Without additional major policy easing and/or fiscal support, property sales and investment may weaken further or stay at the bottom for longer than assumed in our baseline," said Wang.
Persons: Jason Lee, Goldman Sachs, Wang Tao, Wang, Qiaoyi Li, Liangping Gao, Ryan Woo, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, National Bureau of Statistics, Goldman, Asia Economics, China, UBS Investment Bank, Thomson Locations: Wangjing, China, BEIJING, Zhengzhou, Xian, Fuzhou
Construction workers take a nap in front of a wall of a construction site during their lunch break in Beijing, China, May 5, 2015. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon /File PhotoAug 15 (Reuters) - China suspended publication of its youth jobless data on Tuesday, saying it needed to review the methodology behind the closely watched benchmark, which has hit record highs in one of many warning signs for the world's second-largest economy. Fu Linghui, a spokesman for the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), said the release of data would be suspended while authorities look to "optimise" collection methods. "The declining availability of macro data may further weaken global investors' confidence in China," said Ting Lu, chief China economist at Nomura, adding that youth unemployment was expected to have risen in July. The most recent NBS data on youth unemployment, published last month, showed the jobless rate jumping to a record high of 21.3% in June.
Persons: Kim Kyung, Fu Linghui, Fu, Ting Lu, Tuesday's, Laurie Chen, Albee Zhang, Muralikumar Anantharaman, Sam Holmes, Gerry Doyle Organizations: REUTERS, National Bureau of Statistics, Nomura, China News Service, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Weibo
A citizen walks past the Hangzhou Central branch of the People's Bank of China in Hangzhou, east China's Zhejiang province, June 13, 2023. China's central bank unexpectedly cut key policy rates for the second time in three months on Tuesday, in a fresh sign that the authorities are ramping up monetary easing efforts to boost a sputtering economic recovery. Analysts said the move opened the door to a potential cut in China's lending benchmark loan prime rate (LPR) next week. In a Reuters poll of 26 market watchers conducted this week, 20 participants, or 77%, predicted that the central bank would leave the MLF rate unchanged. The PBOC lowered key policy rates in June to prop up the broad economy, but data has been increasingly weak since.
Persons: Tommy Wu, Ken Cheung Organizations: People's Bank of China, Mizuho Bank Locations: Hangzhou Central, Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China's, China, United States
Paramilitary police officers stand guard in front of the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank (PBOC), in Beijing, China September 30, 2022. REUTERS/Tingshu Wang/File PhotoSHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Aug 15 (Reuters) - China's central bank unexpectedly cut key policy rates for the second time in three months on Tuesday, in a fresh sign that the authorities are ramping up monetary easing efforts to boost a sputtering economic recovery. Analysts said the move opened the door to a potential cut in China's lending benchmark loan prime rate (LPR) next week. In a Reuters poll of 26 market watchers conducted this week, 20 participants, or 77%, predicted that the central bank would leave the MLF rate unchanged. The PBOC lowered key policy rates in June to prop up the broad economy, but data has been increasingly weak since.
Persons: Tingshu Wang, Tommy Wu, Ken Cheung, Winni Zhou, Rae Wee, Kim Coghill, Jamie Freed Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Mizuho Bank, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailData points to a Chinese economy 'struggling for momentum,' economist saysJulian Evans-Pritchard, head of China economics at Capital Economics, says there needs to be "a lot more stimulus if they really want to put a floor under growth and get the economy going again."
Persons: Julian Evans, Pritchard Organizations: Capital Economics Locations: China
Turmoil in the Chinese economy can mean bad news for a range of popular stocks. And the global superpower has flashed warning signs in recent days, signaling stocks with exposure to the country could feel pressure. In May, Morgan Stanley screened for publicly traded companies in the U.S. with the highest share of revenue connected to China. Other stocks to watch To be sure, exposure to China extends beyond the semi landscape. Battery manufacturer Microvast was the most exposed with 80% of revenue coming from China, Morgan Stanley's analysis found.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Baird, Microvast, Morgan, Wynn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Reuters, Nvidia, UBS, Marvell Technology, Silicon Laboratories, Devices, Qualcomm, Wynn Resorts, Vegas, Street, Las Vegas Sands, Western Locations: China, Beijing, U.S, Refinitiv, Wells Fargo, Vegas, Las Vegas, Corning
Aug 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices declined more than 1% on Monday as concerns about China's faltering economic recovery and a stronger dollar weighed against seven weeks of gains on tightening supply from OPEC+ output cuts. A stronger dollar pressures oil demand by making the commodity more expensive for buyers holding other currencies. It has been singularly focused on U.S. economic optimism, to the exclusion of the increasingly stronger headwinds blowing in the eurozone and China," said Vandana Hari, founder of oil market analysis provider Vanda Insights. "A rebalancing is overdue but it may need a reality check in the markets stateside," Hari said. In the United States, the number of operating oil rigs held steady at 525 last week, after falling for eight weeks in a row, according to Baker Hughes weekly report.
Persons: Vandana Hari, Hari, Tina Teng, Brent, Baker Hughes, Florence Tan, Mohi Narayan, Tom Hogue, Sonali Paul Organizations: Brent, West Texas, U.S, Federal, Vanda Insights, CMC, Organization of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, Thomson Locations: China, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Russian, Ukraine, United States, Singapore, New Delhi
Aug 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices eased on Monday as concerns about China's faltering economic recovery and a stronger dollar weighed against seven weeks of gains on tightening supply from OPEC+ output cuts. A stronger dollar pressures oil demand by making the commodity more expensive for buyers holding other currencies. "A rebalancing is overdue but it may need a reality check in the markets stateside," Hari said. In the United States, the number of operating oil rigs held steady at 525 last week, after falling for eight weeks in a row, according to Baker Hughes weekly report. Reporting by Florence Tan in Singapore and Mohi Narayan in New Delhi; Editing by Sonali Paul and Tom HogueOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Vandana Hari, Hari, Tina Teng, Brent, Baker Hughes, Florence Tan, Mohi Narayan, Sonali Paul, Tom Hogue Organizations: Brent, West Texas, U.S, Federal, Vanda Insights, CMC, Organization of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, Thomson Locations: China, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Russian, Ukraine, United States, Singapore, New Delhi
Real estate problems persist with once-healthy developer Country Garden now on the brink of default. Real estate dragChina's massive real estate sector, where the majority of household wealth is parked, has reemerged as an area of concern that it could drag down the broader economy. Developer Country Garden announced over the weekend it was suspending trading in at least 10 of its mainland-China traded yuan bonds. The more the government tries to help the real estate industry, the longer it takes for the industry to find a reasonable bottom. State-owned developers have also fared better in terms of recent sales than non-state-owned developers, data show.
Persons: Aly Song, Lu Ting, corporates, Xiangrong Yu, Goldman Sachs, Louis Lau Brandes, Louis Lau Organizations: Bund, Reuters, Nomura, Citi New, Citi, Garden, ., Country Garden's U.S, China U.S, Goldman, Louis Lau Brandes Investment Partners, Brandes Investment Partners Locations: Pudong, Shanghai, China, Reuters BEIJING, Japan, today's China, corporates, State, South Korea
UK considers response to US ban on tech investments in China
  + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A worker adjusts British and China (R) national flags on display for a signing ceremony at the seventh UK-China Economic and Financial Dialogue "Roundtable on Public-Private Partnerships" at Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing, China September 21, 2015. REUTERS/Andy Wong/File PhotoLONDON, Aug 10 (Reuters) - Britain said on Thursday it was weighing how to respond to a decision by U.S. President Joe Biden to prohibit some tech investments in China, adding it was continuing to assess potential national security risks. The U.S. government has said the measures are designed to address national security risks. A spokesperson for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's government said the executive order gave important clarity on the U.S. approach: "The UK will consider these new measures closely as we continue to assess potential national security risks attached to some investments." British investment in Hong Kong stood at 77.6 billion pounds.
Persons: Andy Wong, Joe Biden, Biden, Rishi Sunak's, James, Sunak, Kate Holton, William Schomberg, Sharon Singleton Organizations: China Economic, Public, REUTERS, U.S, Treasury, Thomson Locations: China, Diaoyutai, Beijing, Britain, U.S, London, Hong Kong, Xinjiang, United States
"The situation is already very bad for dollar-based funds to invest in China's tech sector. There isn't much room for things to get worse," said Beijing-based China Growth Capital partner Wayne Shiong. Biden's move will likely make China-focussed venture capital firms feel more urgency to raise yuan funds from Chinese investors, he said. In response to Biden's executive order, China's commerce ministry said it was "gravely concerned" and reserved the right to take countermeasures. But the executive order is barely going to do anything, and China escalating would risk turning a molehill into a mountain."
Persons: Florence Lo, Joe Biden's, Donald Trump, Weiheng Chen, Wilson Sonsini, Biden, Chen, Wayne Shiong, Biden's, Yuan, Pan, Trump, Derek Scissors, Kane Wu, Michael Martina, Roxanne Liu, Ziyi Tang, Yantoultra, Sumeet Chatterjee, William Mallard Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Reuters Graphics Reuters, China Growth Capital, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, TECH, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Analysts, American Enterprise Institute, Thomson Locations: China, U.S, HONG KONG, WASHINGTON, Beijing, Washington, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Singapore, Bengaluru
We're be buying 400 shares of Coterra Energy (CTRA) at roughly $26.79 each. Following Tuesday's trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 1,550 shares of CTRA, increasing its weighting in the portfolio to 1.48% from 1.1%. The energy trade may be the group hit hardest Tuesday as worries about the China economic recovery, which continues to disappoint, put pressure on oil prices. CTRA YTD mountain Coterra Energy YTD performance Shares of Coterra Energy dropped more than 3.5% on Tuesday morning, one day after reporting second-quarter earnings . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: We're, Jim Cramer's, Moody's, Coterra, we're, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Coterra Energy, CTRA, Texas, Natural Resources, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: China
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