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Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Amazon CEO, Andy Jassy speaking with CNBC's Jim Cramer on Mad Money in Seattle, WA.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Andy Jassy, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Mad Organizations: CNBC, Apple, Netflix, Federal Reserve, Web Services, Micron, Jefferies, Walgreens, McCormick, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Amazon Locations: Seattle , WA
The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in July to prevent a recession. Markets are only pricing in a 10% chance of an interest rate cut in July, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. AdvertisementMarkets may think it's a long-shot, but the Federal Reserve could make its first interest rate cut in July as recessionary cracks start to form in the economy. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are only pricing in a 10% chance of an interest rate cut at the July policy meeting, with most market participants expecting the first interest rate cut to happen in either September of November. And with recent data showing cracks forming in the housing and labor markets, that means a rate cut will happen sooner than most expect.
Persons: , Steven Blitz, Jerome Powell, Powell, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, GlobalData, Fed
With stocks set to close out a strong first half of 2024, investors have just one more key inflation hurdle to clear in the week ahead: May's personal expenditure report. Next week's personal consumption expenditure data, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, could show whether that overall picture is intact. May's consumer price index, for example, showed no increase from the prior month. Last month's producer price index , a measure of wholesale prices, unexpectedly dropped from the previous reading. Pending Home Sales Index (May) 11 a.m. Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index (June) Earnings: Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance , McCormick & Co. Friday June 28 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Stocks, Terry Sandven, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Scott Chronert, Brian Leonard, Leonard, Bank's Sandven, Sandven, Mills Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, U.S, Bank Asset Management, Federal, PCE, Bank of America Securities, Wall, Keeley, Advisors, FedEx, Dow, Nasdaq, Dallas Fed, Chicago, Richmond Fed, Carnival, New, Micron Technology, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance, McCormick, Chicago PMI Locations: . Kansas, Chicago, Michigan
US stocks finished the week higher even as the AI trade showed signs of exhaustion. Some economists are calling on the Fed to cut interest rates in July as the risk of a recession grows. AdvertisementUS stocks closed mixed on Friday but finished the week higher even as the artificial intelligence trade showed signs of stumbling. Leading the market higher this week was the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which was up nearly 2%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 finished the week higher by about one-half of a percent.
Persons: Dow Jones, , Claudia Sahm, Sahm, I'm Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Broadcom, Dell, Federal Reserve, CNBC
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Jim Cramer has said he's tentative about the next steps and has the stock in the penalty box. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, WTI, Coterra, Uber, Jeff Marks, Marks, — CNBC's Matthew J, Belvedere, Kevin Stankiewicz, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, West Texas, Coterra Energy, Reuters, Amazon, Alexa, Starbucks, Wall Street Journal, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S
Weak retail sales data on Tuesday sent bond yields lowersMonth-to-month sales rose 0.1%, below estimates. Stocks rose as investors assessed the data's impact on rate cut forecasts. AdvertisementUS stocks edged up on Tuesday after retail sales data for May came in weaker than expected, sending Treasury yields lower. US consumers appeared to cut back last month, with month-over-month sales rising 0.1% in May, below estimates. AdvertisementHere's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Tuesday:Here's what else happened today:AdvertisementIn commodities, bonds, and crypto:
Persons: Stocks, , Quincy Krosby, Powell Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Federal, LPL, Fed, Here's
Wall Street is turning more bullish
  + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —It’s tough being a Wall Street bear these days. The S&P 500 index has climbed nearly 15% this year and clinched 30 record-high closes. The new backdrop of cooling inflation coupled with rate cuts on the horizon is prompting investors to up their bullish wagers. Evercore ISI raised its price target to 6,000 for the S&P 500, a reversal from its previous, more gloomy 4,750 target. Much of the S&P 500 index’s returns are tied to the mega-cap tech Magnificent Seven stocks, leaving the market dependent on just a handful of names to continue its monster run.
Persons: New York CNN —, Goldman Sachs, , Julian Emanuel, index’s, Bacon, Danielle Wiener, Bronner, fuming, Jin Bian, Samantha Delouya, Bian, , Ron DeSantis, isn’t, Bill 264, Sellers, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, ISI, Evercore ISI, Shoppers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CNN Locations: New York, Monday’s, Florida, Tampa , Florida, Nanjing, China
The market has been on a tear in 2024, driven higher by robust corporate earnings and the artificial intelligence boom. Traders expect the Fed to begin easing rates in September at the earliest, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. If inflation is cooling down but the Fed is still expected to keep its key lending rate higher for longer, what does that mean for the stock market? The data will tell us that, but I think the big takeaway for us is [inflation] going in the right direction. Do you expect some of the cash that’s on the sidelines to enter the stock market?
Persons: Price, Wall, Bell, Jack Janasiewicz, Jerome, Powell, we’re, it’s, wouldn’t, you’re, Hilary Whiteman, Read, Sam Altman, Steve Wozniak, OpenAI, Altman, Samantha Murphy Kelly, Tim Cook, , Ben Wood, “ Apple, Siri Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal, Nasdaq, Fed, Traders, Solutions, You’re, Apple, Insight, CNN, Apple Intelligence Locations: New York, United States, West Coast, Hawaii, California, San Jose , Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Diego, Honolulu, Australia, Sydney, Melbourne, Victoria, Adelaide, South Australia
Also helping was the 8.5% rally in portfolio heavyweight Nvidia following its 10-for-1 stock split on Monday. Within the Club this week, we heard from Broadcom , which reported strong quarterly results and announced its own 10-for-1 stock split. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Economists, Jerome Powell, financials, That's, Here's, FactSet, Lennar, LEN, Jabil, Smith, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Wednesday, PPI, Apple, Broadcom, Oracle, Adobe, Nvidia, Investors, Housing, Monday, Darden, Olive Garden, Longhorn, U.S, Accenture, Kroger, KR, Wesson, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange Locations: U.S, Olive, New York City
Read previewThe Federal Reserve's path of rate cuts could be what ends up causing a US recession, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian. Elevated interest rates could cut into economic activity and employment, Powell said at a press conference on Wednesday. At this point, the economy faces a bigger risk of recession than rampant inflation, El-Erian suggested. The recession outlook remains mixed, given the cocktail of tight financial conditions and resilient economic growth so far. According to New York Fed economists, the US has a 52% chance of slipping into recession by May next year.
Persons: , Mohamed El, Erian, Powell Organizations: Service, Business, Fed, Yahoo Finance, San Francisco Fed, New York Fed, Consumer Locations: El
US stocks traded mostly lower on Friday but ended up for the week after a cool May CPI report. The Nasdaq 100 closed at record highs driven by AI excitement and solid earnings from Broadcom and Adobe. AdvertisementUS stocks traded mostly lower on Friday but gained for the week after a cool May inflation report and Apple's unveiling of its AI ambitions at WWDC. The Nasdaq 100 finished the week higher by more than 3%, while the S&P 500 was up about 1.5%. The Dow Jones, which has little exposure to the AI tech trade, finished the week down about 0.5%.
Persons: , Dow Jones, Loretta Mester, we'll, Mester, Austan Goolsbee, We've, Goolsbee Organizations: Nasdaq, Broadcom, Adobe, Service, Federal, PPI, CNBC
The producer price index slid 0.2% month over month against forecasts of a 0.1% decrease. Tesla stock jumped as Elon Musk said on X his pay package was headed for approval. AdvertisementUS stocks continued their rally to record highs on Thursday after investors took in another cooler-than-expected inflation print. In May, the producer price index slid 0.2% month over month against forecasts of a 0.1% decrease. Tesla stock jumped more than 6% as Elon Musk said on X that his $56 billion compensation package was headed for shareholder approval.
Persons: Stocks, Elon Musk, , Clark, Bellwether, DealBook Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, PPI, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Vanguard, BlackRock, Here's
US stocks rose to fresh records Wednesday as traders took in cool inflation and Fed comments. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Wednesday as investors took in cool inflation data and the Federal Reserve's latest guidance on rate cuts, helping the S&P 500 to another record close. The 10-year Treasury fell seven basis points to 6.33%, rising from steeper losses earlier in the day after the central bank updated its outlook to include fewer rate cuts than previously expected. FOMC members said they didn't believe it was "appropriate" to cut rates until they had gained more confidence inflation is trending back to 2%. Fed fund futures show that investors see a 62% chance the Fed will cut rates three times or more by year-end, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Persons: , FOMC, Powell, Bill Adams Organizations: Service, Federal, Treasury, Fed, Comerica Bank Locations: April's
Economists polled by Reuters expect headline consumer price inflation to ease to 0.1% from 0.3% last month, and core price inflation to remain steady on the month at 0.3%. Powell is likely to strike a relatively dovish tone at the press conference, however, given disappointing growth indicators since the last Fed meeting, Williams said. Japanese wholesale prices rose 2.4% in the year to May, Bank of Japan data showed on Wednesday, beating market forecasts for a 2% increase. The yen held steady at 157.16 per greenback after slipping to its lowest since June 3 at 157.40 the previous day. While Japan's central bank will likely discuss bond buying cuts to pre-empt yen selling pressure, dollar/volatility this week largely depend on Wednesday's U.S. CPI and Fed meeting, he added.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Kieran Williams, Powell, Williams, Emmanuel Macron's, Sterling, Wei Liang Chang, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Consumer, Fed, Reuters, Asia FX, InTouch, Bank of Japan, Bank of, DBS, CPI Locations: Czech, U.S, Asia, Bank of Japan
Investors cheered a soft May inflation report, which could pave the way for Fed easing this year. Rate cuts in September are "overwhelmingly likely," one economist said. AdvertisementSome Wall Street analysts predict the Fed's first cut could come as soon as July, though most see a rate cut in September as the most likely scenario. "But rate cuts starting by September should now be cemented as overwhelmingly likely." Investors are waiting for Fed Chair Jerome Powell to speak later Wednesday afternoon, which should give markets more guidance on the path of rate cuts.
Persons: , Skyler Weinand, Regan Capital, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Ryan Severino, BGO, Jerome Powell, Weinand, David Russell Organizations: Service, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed
Falling gas prices kept inflation in check following a 0.3% gain in April. “Adding to the good inflation news, core services inflation (excludes energy services) printed its mildest monthly increase since September 2021,” Kathy Bostjancic, Nationwide’s chief economist, wrote in a note issued Wednesday. On an annual basis, shelter inflation slowed a tenth of a percentage point to 5.4%, which is its lowest rate since April 2022. Still, those costs continue to run hot for consumers, with transportation services prices up 10.5% from a year ago and car insurance up 20.3%. Soft CPI boosts chances for Fed cutsThe CPI, which tracks average change in prices for a basket of goods and services common to consumers, is the most widely cited inflation metric.
Persons: ” Philip T, Powell, They’re, ” Kathy Bostjancic, Indiana University’s Powell, it’s, ” Sean Snaith, ” Preston Caldwell, Tool, , ” Scott Anderson Organizations: CNN, Inflation, Federal, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Indiana Business Research Center, Indiana University Kelley School of Business, Federal Reserve, CPI, Transportation, University of Central, Soft, Fed, Morningstar, BMO Bank Locations: , Indiana, University of Central Florida
Broadly speaking, market observers expect that investors have already priced in how the Fed may proceed with interest rates. So long as this week's Fed meeting sticks to the consensus view, many observers expect stocks will breathe a sigh of relief. "This is one of the busiest of the days on Wednesday," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B.Riley Financial. Possibility for surprise Of course, the Fed meeting still has the potential to surprise investors. ET Wednesday while the Fed meeting wraps up at 2:00 p.m. and Powell's press conference starts a half hour later.
Persons: shrugging, Hogan, Dave Sekera, it's, Riley's Hogan, ChairJerome Powell, Powell, hasn't, Brian Nick, Nick, , I'd, Jeff Klingelhofer, Klingelhofer, Joshua Roberts Organizations: Federal Reserve, B.Riley, Morningstar, Fed, Macro, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Nvidia, Thornburg Investment Management, Federal Locations: U.S, Washington ,
Despite the rare event, it’s unlikely the stock market will swing widely because of the economic two-fer, some investors say. Inflation showed signs of cooling in April after staying worryingly warm during the first quarter of this year. America’s rural hospitals keep getting attacked by cybercriminals. Microsoft said in a statement to CNN that it would provide free security updates for eligible rural hospitals, as well as security assessments and training for hospital staff. Google will provide free cybersecurity advice to rural hospitals and start a pilot program to match the firm’s cybersecurity services with the needs of rural hospitals.
Persons: Powell, , Dave Sekera, Alicia Wallace, Sean Lyngaas, Michelle Watson Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, CPI, Bank of America, Morningstar, Investors, Traders, Fed, UBS, Federal Reserve Bank of New, The, Consumer, cybercriminals, Microsoft, Google, White, CNN, White House National Security Council Locations: New York, pare, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, York, United States
Americans shouldn't expect interest rate cuts to head their way anytime soon. Related stories"It may be bad, partly, because it is driven in part by uncertainty and fear and high interest rates holding back activity," Pollak added. "And if I had to bet, I bet that we will get two rate cuts, one in September and one in December." Some Democratic lawmakers have been pushing the Fed to cut rates and give Americans some breathing room, especially after the European Central Bank cut rates earlier in June for the first time in five years. "The Fed's decision to keep interest rates highs continues to widen the rate gap between Europe and the U.S, as the lower interest rates could push the dollar higher, tightening financial conditions," they wrote, adding: "You have kept interest rates too high for too long: it is time to cut rates."
Persons: there's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter, It's, Pollak, Nick Bunker, Joseph Briggs, Goldman Sachs, we're, David Kelly, Kelly, Elizabeth Warren, Jacky Rosen, John Hickenlooper Organizations: Service, Reserve, Business, North America, Morgan Asset Management, Democratic, European Central Bank Locations: United States, Amsterdam, Sens, Europe
People watch the first sunrise of the new year from a footbridge overlooking the city skyline in Seoul on January 1, 2024. Asia-Pacific markets opened mixed on Tuesday, even as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite reached new highs on Wall Street overnight. Investors will parse through the Fed's updated projections on the timing and frequency of rate cuts. Markets are now pricing in just one rate cut this year, coming in November, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Asia-Pacific markets like Australia, Hong Kong, mainland China and Taiwan will return to trade on Tuesday, after being closed for a public holiday the previous day.
Organizations: Nasdaq, Traders, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: Seoul, Asia, Pacific, U.S ., Australia, Hong Kong, China, Taiwan
New York CNN —Another month, another hot jobs report that has Wall Street wondering when the Federal Reserve will finally cut interest rates. On the other, it puts long-awaited interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve on the back burner. Before the Bell: Do you think the Fed could lower its projection for three quarter-point rate cuts this year? Is it concerning that the European Central Bank and Bank of Canada have begun cutting rates before the Fed? A Samsung spokesperson told CNN that, “there is no impact on production and management activities” as a result of the one-day walkout.
Persons: Bell, Nate Thooft, I’m, that’s, Yoonjung Seo, , Son Woomok, Matt Egan, Lina Khan, Beam, Robinson Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Manulife Investment Management, Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank and Bank of Canada, Workers, Samsung Electronics, Nationwide Samsung Electronics Union, CNN, Reuters, Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron Technology, Federal Trade Commission, Southern, Biden, FTC, Politico Locations: New York, South Korea, Miami, United States
Traders and floor officials react to technical issues on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on June 3, 2024. U.S. stock futures were little changed Sunday night after a winning week, as traders looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and May inflation data. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat. Markets are now pricing in just one rate cut this year, coming in November, according to the CME FedWatch tool. ... On the hawkish side is that the firm NFP and associated details suggest labor demand growth remains solid."
Persons: Macquarie's David Doyle Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Nvidia, Apple's Worldwide
All three major averages closed higher for the week, shrugging off Friday's hotter than expected jobs report. No portfolio names reported this week, but we will hear from one last stock next week. Last quarterly Club stock report : Broadcom reports on Wednesday after the closing bell. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Nonfarm, Dow Jones, FactSet, We'll, we've, Jerome Powell, Siri, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Tim Cook, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Technology, Utilities, PPI, Broadcom, VMWare, Apple's, Sports, GameStop, Oracle, Casey's, Buster's Entertainment, Oxford Industries, Signet Jewelers, SIG, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Apple, Apple Worldwide Locations: FactSet, Cupertino , California
US economy added a whopping 272,000 jobs in May
  + stars: | 2024-06-07 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
At a time when Americans and the Federal Reserve are clamoring for clear-cut data about the state and trajectory of the economy, Friday’s jobs report was much more opaque than everyone had hoped. Employment fell in the household survey, while unemployment increased to just shy of 6.5 million and pushing the unemployment rate to the threshold of 4%. Service-providing industries accounted for the bulk of the month’s job gains, with health care and social assistance continuing to lead the way, with 83,500 jobs added. “Don’t get overly spooked by the rise in the unemployment rate,” Bunker wrote. “The labor market is still gliding toward a soft landing.”
Persons: ” Dean Baker, , I’ve, Diane Swonk, , Wall, Chris Rupkey, FwdBonds, CEPR’s Baker, ” Baker, ” Thomas Simons, Jeffries, Nick Bunker, Bunker, “ Don’t, ” Bunker Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Center for Economic, Policy Research, of Labor Statistics, KPMG, That’s, Index, Traders, BLS, Service, North America
U.S. stock futures opened little changed on Thursday as investors geared up for Friday morning's nonfarm payrolls report. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average inched higher by 16 points, or 0.04%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures hovered near the flatline. The S&P 500 edged lower by 0.02%, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.09%. The Dow has a 0.52% gain, while the S&P 500 is higher by 1.43% and the Nasdaq is on pace for a 2.62% advance.
Persons: nonfarm, Dow, Dow Jones, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal Reserve, Ned Davis Research, European Central Bank, Fed Locations: U.S, it's
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