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Search resuls for: "CME's FedWatch"


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Dollar steady as U.S. inflation data awaited, yen retraces gains
  + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
More broadly, the dollar held firm, though moves were subdued as traders awaited a closely watched U.S. inflation reading due later on Wednesday. Analysts attributed the slide to an unwinding of long dollar positions after a recent run of resilient U.S. economic data. Wednesday's U.S. consumer price index, or CPI, data for August comes just a week before Federal Reserve officials gather to decide on interest rate policy. "In recent months, European inflation, core inflation in particular, has fallen more slowly than expected. "The high inflation rate warrants another rate hike, but the economic indicators ... signal that a recession is imminent."
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Alvin Tan, Ueda, Hiroshige Seko, Sterling, CME's, Tina Teng Organizations: Bank of Japan, Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, Federal Reserve, U.S, Fed, CMC Markets, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Rabobank Locations: U.S, Asia
In the broader currency market, the dollar stood firm, though moves were subdued as traders stayed on guard ahead of the closely-watched U.S. inflation reading out later on Wednesday. Wednesday's U.S. consumer price index (CPI) data for August comes just a week before Federal Reserve officials gather to decide on interest rate policy. While the central bank is largely expected to keep rates on hold at next week's meeting, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, the Fed's next move in November remains more uncertain. "In recent months, European inflation, core inflation in particular, has fallen more slowly than expected. "The high inflation rate warrants another rate hike, but the economic indicators ... signal that a recession is imminent."
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Kazuo Ueda, Alvin Tan, Ueda, Hiroshige Seko, Sterling, CME's, Tina Teng, Brigid Riley, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, Federal Reserve, U.S, Wednesday's, Fed, CMC Markets, European Central Bank, Reuters, Rabobank, Thomson Locations: U.S, Asia, Wednesday's U.S
Gold listless as investors await U.S. data for Fed policy guidance
  + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices settled into a holding pattern on Tuesday as investors awaited U.S. inflation figures that could provide an updated view on interest rates after the Federal Reserve kept the door open for further policy tightening. Spot gold was flat at $1,921.25 per ounce, as of 0510 GMT, while U.S. gold futures eased 0.2% to $1,944.30. Demand for non-interest-bearing gold could take a hit if the Fed further raises U.S. interest rates to quell inflation. Although, a sustained push higher in gold prices likely needs to be catalyzed by an eventual turn towards a Fed cutting cycle, they added. Elsewhere, spot silver rose 0.2% to $23.12 per ounce, platinum climbed 0.2% to $899.90 per ounce and palladium added 0.2% to $1,220.64 per ounce.
Persons: Nicholas Frappell, J.P, Morgan Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S . Consumer, Fed, ABC Refinery, New York Fed, U.S Locations: U.S
Steve Forbes says the Fed's not going to cut rates soon
  + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Steve Forbes doesn't expect the Federal Reserve to raise rates in upcoming meetings, but the Forbes Media chairman doesn't see cuts in the near term either. "I think the Federal Reserve is not going to increase interest rates in the next few months. I think they're going to pause," Forbes said, citing the slew of contradictory U.S. economic data. The Federal Open Market Committee's next meeting is scheduled for Sept. 19 to 20. There's a 92% chance the central bank will leave rates unchanged after its September meeting, according to the CME's FedWatch tool.
Persons: Steve Forbes doesn't, doesn't, Forbes, CNBC's Chery Kang, There's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Forbes Media, Forbes Global, Fed Locations: Singapore
Wall Street gains, dollar eases ahead of CPI report
  + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
[1/2] People are seen on Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021. The relatively languid session appeared to be the calm before a storm of U.S. economic data this week, with Wednesday's crucial consumer prices report (CPI) paramount. "Investors are focusing on how they will respond to Wednesday's CPI report," Stovall added. Emerging market stocks rose 0.48%. Gold prices headed higher in opposition to the dollar.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling, Brent, Stephen Culp, Amanda Cooper, William Maclean, Angus MacSwan Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Bank of, Nasdaq, Tesla Inc, CFRA Research, CPI, U.S, Financial, Bank of Japan, Dow Jones, Bank's, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bank of Japan, New York, U.S . Federal, Japan, Asia, Pacific, Russian, Saudi, London
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. Aside from data on consumer prices due Wednesday, investors will also see producer prices and retail sales numbers on Thursday. Traders have been closely watching for any signs of intervention from Japan to shore up the yen since it weakened past the 145 per dollar threshold last month. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against peers including the yen, was last down 0.32% to 104.51, after falling to 104.41, its lowest since Sept. 5. Against the softer dollar, sterling gained 0.5% to $1.2527, continuing to recover from a three-month low of $1.2445 hit last week.
Persons: Florence Lo, Kazuo Ueda, Edward Moya, CME's, Chuck Mikolajczak, Mark Potter Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Traders, Thomson Locations: Ueda, New York, Japan
Yields and prices have an inverted relationship and one basis point equals 0.01%. ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by more than 1 basis point at 4.246%. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Friday as investors fretted over the possibility of further interest rate hikes following the release of fresh economic data. The central bank has followed a restrictive monetary policy approach since early 2022, which has included a series of interest rate hikes. Investors are also gearing up for key data releases next week, including the latest consumer and producer price index reports.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve
The greenback recovered against most currencies after the data, with the euro and sterling hitting three-month lows and the yen touching session troughs. The euro and sterling fell to three-month lows after the data and were last flat at $1.0726 and down 0.5% at $1.2505 , respectively. Data showed the Institute for Supply Management (ISM)'s non-manufacturing PMI rose to 54.5 last month, the highest since February and up from 52.7 in July. Against the yen, the dollar trimmed losses, last down little changed at 147.69 yen. The dollar showed little reaction to the report.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Helen, Susan Collins, Christopher Waller, Waller, Masato Kanda, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Samuel Indyk, Ankur Banerjee, Savio D'Souza, Alexandra Hudson, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, Institute for Supply Management, Reuters, Monex USA, Federal, Fed, Boston, CNBC, Ministry of Finance, Thomson Locations: Washington, U.S, Kanda, London, Singapore
The Labor Department's report showed the August unemployment rate rose to 3.8% while wage growth slowed. The most traded stock in the S&P 500 was Tesla Inc , with $32.6 billion worth of shares exchanged during the session. For the week, the S&P 500 rose 2.50%, the Dow added 1.43% and the Nasdaq climbed 3.25%. Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&P 500 (.AD.SPX) by a 2.1-to-one ratio. The S&P 500 posted 28 new highs and 20 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 84 new highs and 90 new lows.
Persons: Keith Buchanan, Walt Disney, Brendan McDermid, Lululemon, Rosalind Brewer, Shristi Achar, Noel Randewich, Sruthi Shankar, Shounak Dasgupta, Richard Chang Organizations: Dell, Nasdaq, Dow, Disney, Charter Communications, Labor, Federal Reserve, GLOBALT Investments, ESPN, Charter's, Warner Bros Discovery, Paramount Global, Fox Corp, Tesla Inc, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow Jones, Broadcom, Dell Technologies, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Thomson Locations: Atlanta, U.S, New York City, Bengaluru, Oakland , California
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during opening bell in New York City on August 21, 2023. ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up 1 basis point at 4.096%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last trading 2 basis points lower at 4.84%. The 10-year Treasury yield edged higher Friday as investors await a key jobs report that could provide clues about the state of the economy and inform the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions ahead. The latest unemployment rate, as well as average hourly earnings figures, will be released alongside non-farm payrolls.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Treasury Locations: New York City
Maryland realtor Bill Armstrong says now could be the time to get into an adjustable-rate mortgage. With mortgage rates back above 7% and home prices still high, it's not necessarily the greatest time to buy a rental property. But in every kind of market, there are opportunities, says Bill Armstrong, a realtor in Frederick, Maryland. The first piece of advice he gave is to consider getting an adjustable-rate mortgage as opposed to a fixed-rate mortgage. This means they know the market you're looking in well, but aren't considering deals for themselves first, he said.
Persons: Bill Armstrong, isn't, it's, Armstrong, that's, townhomes, you've Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Federal Reserve Locations: Maryland, Frederick , Maryland
Weak economic data could be good news for interest rates, as it could give the Federal Reserve a rationale for letting key interest rates stand at next month's monetary policy meeting. GDPFinancial markets have currently priced in a 88.5% likelihood of a September Fed pause, according to CME's FedWatch tool. Emerging market stocks rose 0.11%. The greenback extended its losses, touching a two-week low against a basket of world currencies in the wake of disappointing economic data. Crude prices edged higher as industry data showed tighter-than-expected supply as investors digested Hurricane Idalia's potential effect on demand.
Persons: Jason Reed, Dow, Oliver Pursche, Thomas Martin, Martin, Sterling, Brent, Stephen Culp, Sharon Singleton, Nick Zieminski, Josie Kao Organizations: U.S . Federal, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Federal, Wealthspire Advisors, Dow Jones, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, U.S ., Thomson Locations: Washington, New York, Atlanta, Asia, Pacific, Japan, U.S
Gold near 3-week high as markets cut back U.S. rate hike bets
  + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Pure 1,000-gram gold bars produced by South Korea's LS-Nikko are stacked in a dealers room in Seoul on January 9, 2009. Gold prices hovered near three-week highs on Wednesday, as investors pared back bets of further U.S. interest rate hikes in response to soft economic readings, with more data eyed this week to analyze the outlook. Spot gold was flat at $1,936.17 per ounce by 0328 GMT, about $2 below its highest levels since Aug. 7 hit on Tuesday. Gold may extend gains to $1,948 per ounce, as it has cleared a resistance at $1,936, said Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao. Platinum eased 0.1% to $975.07, having climbed to its highest level since July 19 in the previous session.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Wang Tao Organizations: South Korea's, Nikko, Treasury, U.S ., Commerce, Federal Locations: Seoul, ., U.S
Fed chief Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak Friday at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Markets will be hanging on his every word, and Wall Street expects him to focus on inflation and interest rates. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. "We are not expecting to get a strong monetary policy signal out of Jackson Hole," Goldman Sachs strategists wrote in a note Friday. "Typically, markets have been in positive territory the week following Jackson Hole."
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, goad Powell, CME's, Goldman Sachs, Quincy Krosby, Tom Lee, Ned Davis Organizations: Wall Street, Service, Wall, LPL Financial, Fed, NDR Locations: , Wyoming, Wall, Silicon, dovish, Russia, Ukraine, China
Gold listless as traders avoid big bets ahead of Fed decision
  + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold struggled for momentum on Wednesday as traders refrained from making big bets ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy decision later in the day. Spot gold held steady at $1,963.99 per ounce by 0546 GMT, while U.S. gold futures were up 0.1% to $1,965.20. Gold is highly sensitive to rising interest rates as they increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Along with policy guidance from the European Central Bank, traders also await second-quarter U.S. GDP data due on Thursday. As per the International Monetary Fund, the bank should start preparing for future monetary tightening.
Persons: Gold, Jun Rong, Yeap Organizations: U.S, IG, Treasury, European Central Bank, PCE, Bank of Japan's, Monetary Fund Locations: Siberian, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, U.S . Federal, U.S, Asia, Japan
Gold near 9-week high on weaker dollar, hopes of Fed rate pause
  + stars: | 2023-07-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices climbed on Thursday to a near nine-week peak, amid a weaker dollar and bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve might soon pause its interest rate hiking cycle. Spot gold rose 0.4% to $1,984.29 per ounce by 0521 GMT, close to its highest since mid-May. Gold has been supported by the dollar weakening and inflation prints coming in lower, said Brian Lan of Singapore dealer GoldSilver Central. The dollar index was 0.2% lower, close to an over one-year low, making gold cheaper for holders of other currencies. Spot silver rose 0.2% to $25.21 per ounce, platinum was down 0.1% to $971.87 while palladium slipped 0.6% to $1,300.21.
Persons: Brian Lan, We've, Lan, Baden Moore Organizations: U.S . Federal, GoldSilver Central, Investors, National Australia Bank Locations: Brian Lan of Singapore, Asia
"By and large, the market in its totality continues to be reasonably priced if not kind of cheap. The S&P and Nasdaq have advanced in five of the past six sessions. Tesla (TSLA.O) gained after the company said on Saturday it had built its first Cybertruck, after two years of delays. Bank shares recovered from Friday's losses, with the S&P 500 bank index (.SPXBK) up and the KBW regional bank index (.KRX) also advancing. Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak in New York Editing by Matthew LewisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Ford, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Stephen Massocca, CME's, Tesla, General Motors, Chuck Mikolajczak, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Citi, NEW, Netflix, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wedbush Securities, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Ford, General, Reuters Graphics Apple, . Bank, Activision, Microsoft, PlayStation, Verizon, Thomson Locations: San Francisco, India, United States, New York
US producer inflation muted; labor market still tight
  + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
That was the smallest year-on-year gain since August 2020 and followed a 0.9% increase in May. CORE INFLATION SLOWINGExcluding the volatile food and energy components, the so-called core goods prices fell 0.2% last month after climbing 0.1% in May. In the 12 months through June, the core PPI advanced 2.6%. That was the smallest year-on-year gain since February 2021 and followed a 2.8% increase in May. While inflation is slowing, the labor market remains tight.
Persons: Bill Adams, Jeffrey Roach, Christopher Rupkey, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: PPI, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Comerica Bank, Reuters, Financial, Services, Wholesale, Fed, Energy, LPL Financial, Treasury, CPI, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, Dallas, Charlotte , North Carolina, Stocks, New York
The pan-European Stoxx 600 was up 0.3% at 8:45 a.m. in London, with tech stocks up 1%. LONDON — European stock markets were higher Thursday morning after a cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation reading and fall in U.K. gross domestic product. The U.K. economy contracted 0.1% in May, official figures showed, though this was less than the 0.3% month-on-month contraction forecast in a Reuters poll of economists. Asia-Pacific stocks were higher Thursday, while the S&P 500 closed Wednesday at its highest level since April 2022. U.S. producer price figures are due today.
Persons: industrials Organizations: LONDON, CPI, Federal Reserve Locations: London, U.K, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Europe, France
That was the smallest year-on-year increase since March 2021 and followed a 4.0% rise in May. The year-on-year CPI is slowing in part as last year's large rises drop out of the calculation. It was the first time in six months that the so-called core CPI did not post monthly gains of at least 0.4%. Services prices rose 0.3%, matching May's gain. Economists view the ISM services prices paid measure as a good predictor of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation.
Persons: Christopher Rupkey, Joe Biden, Chris Zaccarelli, Sarah Silbiger, Michael Gregory, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Fed, Reuters Graphics, CPI, Reuters, Independent, Treasury, El Progreso Market, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Institute, Supply, BMO Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, New York, Charlotte , North Carolina, Mount Pleasant, Washington ,, Toronto
U.S. Treasury prices rose. It was the first time in six months that the so-called core CPI did not post monthly gains of at least 0.4%. In the 12 months through June, the core CPI rose 4.8%. Core inflation is expected to continue receding in the months ahead, with the labor market cooling and independent measures showing rents on a downward trend. Economists view the ISM services prices paid measure as a good predictor of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation.
Persons: Christopher Rupkey, Sarah Silbiger, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Reserve, Labor Department, Fed, Reuters Graphics, CPI, Reuters, Treasury, El Progreso Market, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Institute, Supply, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, New York, Mount Pleasant, Washington ,
SummaryCompanies Dollar down 0.3%, at lowest since May 11Inflation data expected at 1230 GMTJuly 12 (Reuters) - Gold prices rose on Wednesday after the dollar and bond yields retreated as investors awaited U.S. inflation data that could offer more cues on the Federal Reserve's rate-hike policy path. Making gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, the dollar index (.DXY) fell 0.3% to its lowest level since May 11. "There has been some renewed confidence in gold prices lately, given the broad expectations for the upcoming U.S. CPI to reflect further moderation in pricing pressures," said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG. Economists polled by Reuters expect June core inflation rate to have dropped to 5% from 5.3%, still significantly above the Fed's 2% target. In the wider base metals market, prices rose, supported by a weaker dollar, although a gloomy demand outlook loomed over the market.
Persons: Jun Rong, Barot, Seher, Sherry Jacob, Phillips, Sohini Organizations: Treasury, CPI, IG, Reuters, Metals, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru
Gold rises on softer dollar, yields ahead of U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices rose on Wednesday after the dollar and bond yields retreated as investors awaited U.S. inflation data that could offer more cues on the Federal Reserve's rate-hike policy path. Spot gold rose 0.4% to $1,939.43 per ounce by 0518 GMT, its highest since June 20. U.S. gold futures rose 0.4% to $1,944.90. Economists polled by Reuters expect June core inflation rate to have dropped to 5% from 5.3%, still significantly above the Fed's 2% target. In the wider base metals market, prices rose, supported by a weaker dollar, although a gloomy demand outlook loomed over the market.
Persons: Jun Rong, Barot Organizations: Pro Aurum, Treasury, CPI, IG, Reuters, Metals Focus, greenback
The 2-year Treasury yield was down by more than 1 basis point at 4.847%. U.S. Treasury yields declined Tuesday as investors assessed what could be next for Federal Reserve monetary policy following remarks from central bank officials and ahead of key economic data. Investors considered the Federal Reserve's next interest rate policy moves ahead of key inflation data due this week and the central bank's upcoming meeting on July 25-26. Investors are also looking out for several major economic data points scheduled for this week, including the latest consumer inflation figures on Wednesday and wholesale inflation on Thursday. No key data is expected on Tuesday.
Persons: Mary Daly, Jerome Powell, CME's Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Investors, Federal, San Francisco Fed, Institution
Spot gold held its ground at $1,926.19 per ounce by 0231 GMT. The dollar (.DXY) was near a two-month low on prospects of lower rates, while benchmark U.S. yields hovered near Monday's lows at 4.0018%. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for holders of foreign currencies. "As we've become accustomed to inflation decelerating, an upside surprise would spark the most volatile reaction and weigh on gold. Gold bulls need inflation to behave to justify a bullish breakout," Simpson added.
Persons: Matt Simpson, we've, Simpson, Seher, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: Index, U.S, Investors, U.S . CPI, Consumer, Thomson Locations: Wednesday's U.S, China, Bengaluru
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