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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPowell: We're watching the run up in bond rates, too early to see where they settleFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell fields questions from reporters after the Central Bank announced its second consecutive interest rate cut on Thursday.
Persons: Powell, We're, Jerome Powell Organizations: Central Bank
Donald Trump's election victory is set to make the Federal Reserve's job more difficult. His tariff and immigration plans are expected to stoke inflation, complicating the Fed's policy decisions. Trump has also said he'd like a say in setting monetary policy, which would erode Fed independence. Donald Trump's election win brings his vision of hefty trade tariffs and a sweeping immigration crackdown closer to becoming reality. A study from the Peterson Institute of International Economics said interfering with the Fed's independence could cost the economy $300 billion and drive inflation higher.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, , it's, Glen Smith, Smith, Paul Krugman, Trump's, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: stoke, Service, Treasury, GDS Wealth Management, Fed, Fed Trump, Peterson Institute of International Economics, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Trump Locations: China
The tax cuts and tariffs floated by Trump has raised worries of a widening fiscal deficit, spurring Treasury yields higher as of late. Bond yields move inversely to their prices. A buying opportunity in bonds Sinead Colton Grant, chief investment officer at BNY Wealth, believes that bond investors overreacted. US10Y YTD mountain U.S. 10-year Treasury "The biggest determinant of your long-term return is the yield," Grant said. Munis While municipal bond yields don't move as quickly as Treasury yields, they are expected to follow, said BNY Wealth's Grant.
Persons: Donald Trump, Bond, Mark Haefele, Sinead Colton Grant, overreacted, Trump, Grant, it's, Brian Rehling, Charles Failla, BNY Wealth's Grant, Sudip Mukherjee Organizations: White, Federal Reserve, Trump, UBS, Fargo Investment, Sovereign Financial Group, AAA, Moody's Locations: Fargo, Stamford, Conn, New York City, muni
US stocks had one of their best days in years and hit new records after Trump's resounding win over Kamala Harris in Tuesday's election. Both of those moves make sense, said David Kelly, the global strategy chief at JPMorgan Asset Management, in an interview on Wednesday. AdvertisementThe strategy chief has been adamant that higher tariffs — one of Trump's key proposals — would cripple the US economy and endanger the global economic expansion. Related storiesMost economists condemn tariffs, which are taxes on imports, because they tend to lead to higher prices and lower economic growth. Sean Gallagher, the global head of Lazard's small-cap equity platform, made a similar point in a recent interview with Business Insider when asked about Trump's tariffs and Kelly's stance.
Persons: Stocks, Donald Trump, David Kelly, Wall, he's, , Donald Trump's, Trump's, Kamala Harris, Kelly, Trump, Mahatma Gandhi, I'm, I've, Tom Orlik, who's, Chris Murphy, Susquehanna's, Orlik, Sean Gallagher, Gallagher, maven, He's, inflation's Organizations: House . Market, Service, Nasdaq, US, JPMorgan Asset Management, Republican, JPMAM, Bloomberg Economics, Business, Trump Locations: Tuesday's
Following Donald Trump's Presidential election win, 30-year fixed mortgage rates briefly surged, settling at 6.98% as of Thursday, according to Mortgage News Daily . Recent interest rate cuts have brought relief to credit card, personal loan and auto borrowers, but homebuyers are unlikely to catch a break as mortgage rates continue to climb. While mortgage rates often move in step with the Fed's benchmark rate, they're more directly tied to 10-year Treasury bond yields. These yields tend to rise when investors expect stronger economic growth and higher inflation — even when the Federal Reserve is cutting the federal funds rate. Either way, "continued deficit spending, coupled with discussions of additional tariffs on imports, is likely to keep [mortgage] rates elevated through the remainder of 2024," says Nourmand.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Melissa Cohn, William Raveis, Harris, Michael Nourmand, Organizations: Reserve, Mortgage News, Federal Reserve, William Raveis Mortgage, Trump, Associates, CNBC Locations: New York, Los Angeles
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAmundi Global Head: 'Sugar rush' to risk assets to continue in the short termJohn O'Toole of Amundi discusses how President-elect Trump's policy priorities will affect the Federal Reserve and the U.S. economy. He sees the Fed cutting rates by 25bps in November and December and increasing spending under Trump as pressure on long-term bond yields and the U.S. dollar. He also sees a rally to risk assets likely to persist in the short term.
Persons: John O'Toole, Amundi Organizations: Federal Reserve, 25bps, Trump, U.S . Locations: U.S
London feels those long-standing bonds and geopolitical interests make its relationship with the U.S., well, special. Not so special anymoreDescribing the "special relationship" as one of convenience for the U.S., Pickering said the U.K. could still maneuver itself to be useful to an incoming Trump government. Whisper it, but the "special relationship" ceased to be special long ago, according to Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg. "That Trump and Starmer are apparently not fans of each other, to put it mildly, will not help in future U.S.-U.K. talks. Britain's Queen Elizabeth II greets U.S. President Donald Trump as he arrives for the Ceremonial Welcome at Buckingham Palace, in London, Britain June 3, 2019.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jeff J Mitchell, Keir Starmer, Trump, David Lammy, Starmer, Harris, Joe Biden, Kevin Lamarque, Badenoch, Lammy, Kallum Pickering, Peel Hunt, We're, we'll, Pickering, Holger Schmieding, Schmieding, Britain's Queen Elizabeth II, Victoria Jones Organizations: Getty, U.S, London, Britain's, Republican, Trump Tower, Trump, Atlantic, Labour Party, White, Reuters, Conservative Party, Republicans, Labour, European Union, China, Peel, CNBC, NATO Locations: London, New York, Washington, Europe, China, EU, U.S, America, Buckingham, Britain
Powell: I don't have more to say on what's driving bond yields
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPowell: I don't have more to say on what's driving bond yieldsFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell fields questions from reporters after the Central Bank announced its second consecutive interest rate cut on Thursday.
Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell Organizations: Central Bank
Global trade changed considerably over the past four years — benefiting India — as President Joe Biden retained much of Trump's tariffs on China. EnergyOn the one hand, analysts expect Indian interests to be aligned with those of the United States regarding oil prices . Trump's previous term in office, whether intentionally or coincidently, saw moderate to low oil prices. As India imports over 90% of its oil needs, New Delhi will likely welcome any move by the U.S. to keep oil prices low. A quick resolution of the war in Ukraine — Trump's campaign promise — would also prove to be negative for oil prices.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Donald Trump, Narendra Modi's, Joe Biden, Macquarie, Aditya Suresh, Trump, Uncle Sam, Samiran Chakraborty, Baqar Zaidi, Ukraine —, , Sanjeev Prasad Organizations: India's, U.S, Manufacturing, Global, Observer Research Foundation, Treasury, Indian, Citi, Companies, Tata Consultancy Services, HCL Tech, Infosys, Energy, Suzlon Locations: Hyderabad, New Delhi, India, China, U.S, Mumbai, United States, Ukraine
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBond yields may begin to challenge the strong equity performance, says former U.K. Treasury MinisterJim O’Neill, former Goldman Sachs Asset Management chairman and former U.K. Treasury Minister, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to what degree yields will be a suppressant on prices and activity.
Persons: Jim O’Neill Organizations: . Treasury, Goldman Sachs, Management
Credit markets face challenges, but opportunities exist in corporate bonds and cheap optionality. But when times are tight, companies deleverage until their debt is less than their cash flow. The yields in corporate bonds aren't much higher than in government bonds, meaning less compensation for more risk. Advertisement"This trade works if natural gas prices remain stable or rise, leading the energy bond to outperform the overall corporate bond market," Rieder said. "It's an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the current tight credit spread conditions and complacency in the overall credit market."
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Mark Rieder, Rieder, I've Organizations: Service, Fed, Treasury, Bloomberg, Business
Detailed below is how a second Trump presidency is expected to impact American wallets. Trump's plan to cut the corporate tax rate is generally viewed as bullish for earnings, particularly for the consumer-discretionary, communication-services, and financial sectors. Further, if Trump's presidency is inflationary and leads to interest-rate hikes, that would hit housing affordability in the form of higher mortgage rates, which track the Federal Reserve's benchmark. AdvertisementThe former president has also said he plans to extend his slew of tax cuts from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 — also known as the "Trump tax cut." Trump's plan for universal tariffs is seen as offsetting a positive tax impact and would be especially costly for lower-earning Americans.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump's, Trump, bitcoin, Vance Organizations: Trump, Service, Biden, White
"The expectation among bond traders coming into the election was that rates would move higher in the event of a Trump victory and especially a red sweep. "The builder stocks are highly sensitive to mortgage rates and mortgage rate expectations. Big builders have been buying down mortgage rates for their customers, but that has been cutting into their margins. Mortgage rates don't follow the Fed, but do react to the central bank's thinking on the economy. Stronger-than-expected economic reports in September and October caused bond yields, and consequently mortgage rates, to move higher.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Matthew Graham, Horton, PulteGroup, Lowe's, John Burns, Trump, Carl Harris, Graham Organizations: Mortgage News, Trump, . Housing, John Burns Real Estate Consulting, National Association of Home Builders, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors Locations: U.S, D.R
Detailed below is how a Trump presidency is expected to impact American wallets. Trump's plan to cut the corporate tax rate is generally viewed as bullish for earnings, particularly for the consumer-discretionary, communication-services, and financial sectors. Trump's plan for universal tariffs is seen as offsetting a positive tax impact and would be especially costly for lower-earning Americans. Trump has proposed expanding the child tax credit, which currently provides up to $2,000 per child. In August, the vice presidential candidate JD Vance floated a child tax credit proposal that would include $5,000 per child for families of all income levels.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump, bitcoin, Vance Organizations: Trump, Service, Biden, White Locations: Americas
Markets: The post-election rally on Wall Street continued into afternoon trading, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumping 3.4%, or roughly 1,450 points, and the S & P 500 advancing 2.4%. It's worth noting, the stock market was reacting like Jim Cramer said it would in his Sunday column . The one thing markets hate is uncertainty, and Wednesday's rally can be attributed, in part, to relief that Wall Street professionals and individual investors alike know where they stand and what to expect from the country's next president. Bond yields move inversely to prices, and a basis point is equal to 0.01%. "You have to be very careful to respect the bond market if you do any buying today," Jim said.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Morgan Stanley, Jim, It's, Yun Li, Trump, Harris, Jerome Powell's, we'll, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, ., Wall, Dow Jones, Trump, Republican, NBC, Senate, NBC News, Wells, BlackRock, Energy, Coterra Energy, Honeywell, Federal, White, Arm Holdings, Qualcomm, Bros, Moderna, Barrick Gold, Halliburton, Hershey, Air Products, Chemicals, Warner Bros ., Jim Cramer's Charitable
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Club stock Nvidia rose about 3% Wednesday to an all-time high above $144 per share. Trump will want to champion Nvidia, Jim said, stressing it's an American success story and it makes too much money. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Dow, Morgan Stanley, We're, Trump, Jim, Trump's, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Club, Wells, BlackRock, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Trump, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: , BlackRock, financials, China
Mr. Trump is widely regarded around the world as a transactional leader. Chinese officials do see a potential upside if Mr. Trump pulls the United States back from its role as a global leader. But the Kremlin seems skeptical that Mr. Trump would actually push for such a deal, especially because of his track record: There was jubilation in Moscow when Mr. Trump won in 2016, but over the next four years, U.S. sanctions against Russia only increased, and Mr. Trump sent antitank weapons to Ukraine. On Wednesday, he quickly made clear that he would seek to have Mr. Trump on his side, as one of the first world leaders to congratulate Mr. Trump in a post on X. Mr. Trump has been effective in demanding more military spending from fellow NATO members, said Mr. Heisbourg.
Persons: David Pierson, Trump, Donald Trump’s, India Mujib Mashal, Narendra Modi, Trump’s, Africa Abdi Latif Dahir, , Gaza Patrick Kingsley, Benjamin Netanyahu, Benjamin Netanyahu’s, Mr, Netanyahu, , , Basem Naim, ” Read, Mexico Natalie Kitroeff, Claudia Sheinbaum, Read, Ukraine Anton Troianovski, J.D, Vance, Volodymyr Zelensky, Donald J, Somini Sengupta, NATO Steven Erlanger, Georgina Wright, Vladimir V, Putin, François Heisbourg, Heisbourg Organizations: The Times, Global, Trump, West Bank, Second Trump, NATO, Mr, Russia, Signals, U.S, Biden, International Studies, Institut Montaigne, Republican Locations: China, Beijing, United States, Taiwan, India, Asia, Africa, U.S, Russia, Niger, Chad, Israel, Gaza, Jerusalem, Iran, Mexico, Mexico City, Stake, Ukraine, Moscow, Kyiv, Paris, Europe, , French
Markets, in particular, crave certainty, and the clear path forward will allow companies to adjust their business and hiring plans. But stocks may also be reacting to Trump’s victory, in particular. Trump flipped several swing states from President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory, and Republicans also took control of the Senate. So Trump’s victory, at least for now, appears to be keeping those rates somewhat higher. Other so-called Trump trades, including shares of his social media stock, Trump Media & Technology Group, surged Wednesday morning.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, refocusing, Sam Stovall, Bitcoin, Crypto, Trump’s, Germany’s DAX, Australia’s, , Neil Newman, Hong, ” Daniel Murray Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Republicans, Fed, JPMorgan, Democratic, CFRA Research, Gross, Treasury, Trump, Trump Media & Technology Group, CAC, Nikkei, Advisory, EFG Asset Management Locations: New York, Europe, Asia, China, Tokyo, Shanghai
Stocks exploded higher, bonds tanked and crypto boomed to historic peaks, indicating lofty hopes for when the president-elect takes office in January. However, there's still a lot of game left to be played, and the score could change a lot in future days. Essentially, strategists worry Trump's plan for punishing tariffs, higher spending and lower taxes will send bond yields higher, generally a recipe for trouble in stocks. "The question for me is how much can the Trump rally extend in the short term, but it strikes me that selling long positions into a rally makes a good deal of sense." "This suggests an asymmetric risk/reward framework with a much higher probability of downside than upside," said Lisa Hornby, head of U.S. fixed income at Schroders.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Stocks, there's, Mark Dowding, Lisa Hornby Organizations: Trump, RBC Global Asset Management, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Schroders
As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Donald Trump, Tesla, Elon Musk, Trump, Gary Gensler, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: NBC, Senate, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Trump, Tesla, Club, Justice Department, Apple, DOJ, FTC, Microsoft, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, SEC, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: China, Taiwan, Mexico
Analysts expect Trump's economic policies to increase inflation, and push interest rates higher. AdvertisementDonald Trump's victory is set to herald a new era of higher inflation, tighter monetary policy, and surging cryptocurrencies, analysts said in initial reactions to the presidential election result. The economic impact of Trump's second term is likely to be volatile, said Lindsay James, investment strategist at UK-based Quilter Investments. However, such cuts could be shortlived if Trump's trade policies, which include proposed near-universal tariffs, prove to be inflationary as expected. Bitcoin could hit $100,000One asset that analysts expect to surge in the wake of Trump's victory is bitcoin, which rallied sharply early on Wednesday morning.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Donald Trump's, Lindsay James, Elon Musk, Thomas Matthews, Trump, Russ Mould, AJ Bell Organizations: Service, Investments, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Rabobank, White
A running influencer from Texas has been disqualified from the New York City Marathon and banned from future New York City running events after he ran part of the course with people on e-bikes filming him. Matthew Choi, of Austin, was disqualified from the 2024 TCS New York City Marathon on Sunday and removed from the results, New York Road Runners said in a statement. And with the New York City Marathon being about everyone else, and about the community, I made it about myself. He said he got an email from New York Road Runners on Monday night about his disqualification and lifetime ban. On Monday he had shared an Instagram reel showing himself running along the NYC marathon path.
Persons: Matthew Choi, , Choi, Tik Tok, , there’s, I’m, ” Choi Organizations: New York City Marathon, Athletic Locations: Texas, New York City, Austin, New York, New, Instagram, York
The bond market, which has already seen dramatic moves leading up to the U.S. presidential election, could see even bigger price action depending on the outcome. One big theme investors are considering is the possibility of a Donald Trump win and higher bond yields that could follow. "I expect them to be worried that Trump would enact all those tax cuts, and I think bond yields would rise." US10Y 3M mountain 10-year Treasury The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield surged 50 basis points in October, marking the biggest monthly increase since September 2022. "There is room for rates to move in either direction depending on [the] election outcome."
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jeremy Siegel, Kamala Harris, Stephanie Roth, Roth, Siegel Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, White, Republican, Senate, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Trump, Wolfe Research
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Bond, it's, we'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Federal Open Markets, Treasury, DuPont, Rogers Corporation, Devon Energy, Novo Nordisk, CVS Health, Howmet Aerospace, Holdings, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Celanese
The former head of Meta's Orion augmented reality glasses initiative has joined OpenAI to lead the startup's robotics and consumer hardware efforts. OpenAI has gained popularity for its viral chatbot, ChatGPT, but the hiring underscores its apparent efforts to move into building and selling hardware. Former Apple exec Jony Ive, who helped design some of Apple's most iconic products from the iMac to the iPhone, has also partnered with OpenAI to create an AI device. The startup focuses on "bringing general-purpose AI into the physical world," per its website, and it aims to do this by developing large-scale artificial intelligence models and algorithms to power robots. Kalinowski's first day on the job at OpenAI is Tuesday, Nov. 5, per a LinkedIn post.
Persons: Orion, OpenAI, Caitlin, CK, Kalinowski, Jony, Jeff Bezos, Meta Organizations: Apple, Physical Intelligence, Amazon, Lux Capital, Bond Capital, Meta, Orion, Pro Locations: San Francisco, OpenAI
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