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☆ Asian shares rally, dollar slides on bets Fed almost done hiking
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) rose 1.5%, bolstered by a 2.1% jump in Hong Kong's Hang Seng index (.HSI) and a 1.4% gain in Australia's resources-heavy shares (.AXJO). Overnight, the much-watched U.S. consumer inflation report provided better news than markets had hoped for. In particular, core inflation, which the Fed has feared to be sticky, also showed a sharper-than-expected slowdown. Elsewhere, oil prices settled near the highest in two months on a soft U.S. dollar. Brent crude futures rose 0.2% to $80.29 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 0.2 at $75.88.

Persons: Li Qiang, Michael Feroli, Bonds, Alan Ruskin, Stella Qiu, Jamie Freed Organizations: SYDNEY, Japan's Nikkei, Index, Fed, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, FedWatch, U.S, European Central Bank, Deutsche Bank ., Bank of Canada, Brent, . West Texas, Thomson Locations: China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Hong Kong, Canada

☆ Morning Bid: Markets bet July 2023 is 'peak Fed'
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanSurprise news of a 2%-plus print on U.S. headline inflation rate for June has world markets betting the peak of the Federal Reserve's interest rate campaign will now be this month. Either way, the latest inflation cheer means U.S. rate futures have wiped out bets of another Fed rate hike after a final quarter-point move to 5.25-5.50% at July 26's meeting. Although they see peak rates held there to year-end, futures now price as much as a full percentage point of cuts by this time in 2024. The VIX "fear index" (.VIX) fell back below 14 to its lowest of the month so far. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan, That's, Christopher Waller, Mary Daly, Joe Biden, Christine Lagarde, Toby Chopra Organizations: Fed, Nasdaq, PepsiCo, Delta Airlines, Bank of, Swiss, Bank of Canada, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, Nordic, European Central Bank, . Treasury, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Beijing, Jackson, Fastenal, Helsinki, Brussels, Japan

☆ Strike at Canada's Pacific ports ends with tentative, 4-year deal
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Chris Helgren | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/5] Union members with the International Longshore and Warehouse Union Canada (ILWU) remove strike signs from a picket line outside the despatch hall in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada July 13, 2023. REUTERS/Chris HelgrenVANCOUVER, British Columbia, July 13 (Reuters) - Dock workers at ports along Canada's Pacific coast and their employers accepted a tentative wage deal on Thursday, ending a 13-day strike that disrupted trade at the country's busiest ports and risked worsening inflation. "The British Columbia Maritime Employers Association (BCMEA) and International Longshore and Warehouse Union (ILWU) Canada are pleased to advise that the parties have reached a tentative agreement on a new 4-year deal," the BCMEA said in a statement. The union had made demands including wage increases and expansion of their jurisdiction to regular maintenance work on terminals. He offered terms drafted by a federal mediator and gave the union and employers 24 hours to decide if they were satisfied.

Persons: Chris Helgren, of Prince Rupert, Seamus O'Regan, Omar Alghabra, O'Regan, Ismail Shakil, Steve Scherer, Deepa Babington, Alexandra Hudson Organizations: Warehouse Union, REUTERS, British Columbia Maritime Employers Association, Bank of Canada, Labour, Port, Canadian Federation of Independent Business, Canadian Manufacturers, Alexandra Hudson Our, Thomson, & ' $ Locations: Vancouver , British Columbia, Canada, Chris Helgren VANCOUVER, British Columbia, British, Port of Vancouver, of, Vancouver, Ottawa

☆ Bank of Canada Lifts Interest Rates, Warns Path to Stable Inflation at Risk
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Paul Vieira | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com. https://www.wsj.com/articles/bank-of-canada-lifts-interest-rates-warns-path-to-stable-inflation-at-risk-18462fb

Persons: Dow Jones Locations: canada

[1/2] A trader works at the Frankfurt stock exchange, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Frankfurt, Germany, December 30, 2020. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) gained just 0.2% last month, the Labor Department said on Wednesday, lifted by rises in gasoline prices as well as rents, which offset a decrease in prices of used motor vehicles. CPI advanced 3.0% in the 12 months through June, down from 4.0% in May and the smallest year-on-year increase since March 2021. /FRXU.S. Treasury yields also dropped, with the 10-year Treasury yield now at 3.853%, down 12.9 basis points . EARNINGS AHEADOvernight in Asia, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index (.AXJO) rose 0.4%, while the bouncing yen knocked Japan's Nikkei (.N225) down 0.8%.

Persons: Ralph Orlowski, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Bryce Doty, Australia's, Wells, Scott Wren, Wren, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Marc Jones, Ankur Banerjee, Jan Harvey, Chizu Nomiyama, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: REUTERS, Companies U.S, Treasury, Index, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Bank of England, U.S, Sit Investment, Fed, Bank of Canada, Japan's Nikkei, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells, Investment Institute, Brent, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, U.S, Minneapolis, Asia, dealmaking, Boston, London, Singapore, Carolina, New York

After a five-month pause, the BoC raised its overnight rate in June, saying monetary policy was not sufficiently restrictive. "If new information suggests we need to do more, we are prepared to increase our policy rate further," BoC Governor Tiff Macklem told reporters after the decision. The BoC's overnight target rate was last at 5.00% in March and April of 2001. Twenty of 24 economists surveyed by Reuters had expected the central bank to lift rates by a quarter of a percentage point. Money markets had seen a more than a 70% chance of a rate hike before the announcement.

Persons: Derek Holt, Andrew Kelvin, Steve Scherer, Ismail Shakil, Fergal Smith, Divya Rajogopal, Nivedita Balu, Paul Simao, Mark Porter Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, Wednesday, BoC, Scotiabank, Reuters, TD Securities, Thomson Locations: Canada, Toronto

[1/2] A trader works at the Frankfurt stock exchange, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Frankfurt, Germany, December 30, 2020. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) gained just 0.2% last month, the Labor Department said on Wednesday, lifted by rises in gasoline prices as well as rents, which offset a decrease in the price of used motor vehicles. CPI advanced 3.0% in the 12 months through June, down from 4.0% in May and the smallest year-on-year increase since March 2021. /FRXU.S. Treasury yields also dropped, with the 10-year Treasury yield now at 3.885%, down 9.7 basis points . GLOBAL STOCKS, COMMODITIESOvernight in Asia, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index (.AXJO) rose 0.4%, while the bouncing yen knocked Japan's Nikkei (.N225) down 0.8%.

Persons: Ralph Orlowski, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Bryce Doty, Australia's, Wells, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Marc Jones, Ankur Banerjee, Shashwat Chauhan, Jan Harvey, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Companies U.S, Treasury, Index, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Bank of England, U.S, Sit Investment, Fed, Bank of Canada, Japan's Nikkei, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Brent, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, U.S, Minneapolis, Asia, Boston, London, Singapore, Bengaluru

☆ Bank of Canada expected to hike rates as economy outperforms
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

"We expect the Bank of Canada to raise its policy rate to 5.00% and leave the door open to more hikes this fall." Twenty of 24 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the central bank to lift rates by another quarter of a percentage point and then hold them there well into 2024. Money markets see more than a 70% chance of a rate hike on Wednesday, and are fully pricing in such a move by September. Canada added far more jobs than expected in June, according to data published on Friday. "And let's face it, inflation is still above the Bank of Canada's 2% target."

Persons: Royce Mendes, Tiago Figueiredo, Doug Porter, Porter, Steve Scherer, Fergal Smith, Paul Simao Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, BoC, Bank of Canada's, Group, Reuters, BMO Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: Canadian, Canada

☆ Morning Bid: Dollar swoons in upbeat inflation vigil
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanWorld markets leaned positively into another critical U.S. inflation report later on Wednesday, seeding a dollar (.DXY) slide to two-month lows that's revved-up yen and sterling gains. And June's CPI readout should be a marker if the consensus forecast for almost a full percentage-point drop in the headline inflation rate to two year lows of just 3.1% is borne out. Still, encouraged by a screed of other positive disinflation signals this week, U.S. markets are relatively buoyant going into the release and still feel the end of the Fed rate rise campaign is nigh. UK bank stocks pushed higher on the rates view and a relatively clean bill of health from Wednesday's financial stability report from the BOE. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand paused its long-running rate rise campaign early on Tuesday.

Persons: Mike Dolan, BOE, Thomas Barkin, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari, Loretta Mester, Joe Biden, Nick Macfie Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, yearend, Treasury, Bank of Japan, Bank of, recoiling, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Bank of Canada, Japan's Nikkei, Microsoft, Activision, Richmond Federal, Atlanta Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Cleveland Fed, NATO, . Treasury, Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: U.S, Asia, Shanghai, Hong Kong, British, Vilnius

☆ Rail trade from Canada plummets due to West Coast ports strike, down nearly 50%
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Lori Ann Larocco | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Year-over-year intermodal Canadian rail was down 46.2% last week as a result of the strike. Weekly rail trade data from the Association of American Railroads shows the devastating impact that Canadian West Coast ports strike is having on freight rail cargo entering the U.S. The U.S. and Canada have a historically strong trade relationship: Each country is the other's top trading partner. The Canadian Chamber of Commerce estimates $605 million in trade moves through one of those two ports daily. The International Longshoremen and Warehouse Union of Canada begin its strike on July 1.

Persons: Vancouver and Prince Rupert, Paul Brashier, Prince Rupert, Brashier, Eric Byer, Byer, Willie Adams, Sara Elena, Medea, Rob Ashton, Steve Lamar Organizations: AAR, Association of American Railroads, Railway Association of Canada, Canadian Chamber of Commerce, Warehouse Union of Canada, British Columbia Maritime Employers Association, ITS Logistics, ITS, U.S ., National Association of Chemical Distributors, Products, CNBC, Hyundai, CMA, Canadian Labor, Labor, Bank of Canada, American Apparel and Footwear Association Locations: West Coast, U.S, Canada, Vancouver, British, United States, U.S . West Coast, East Coast, Western Canada, Asia, Chicago, San Francisco

☆ Morning Bid: Stocks rise, dollar slips as all eyes on US inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Economists polled by Reuters expect the consumer price index to have risen by 3.1% in June, after May's 4% rise. The core rate is expected to have dropped for a third straight month to 5% from 5.3%. ING economists think the core rate would need to come in well below the forecast for a July rate hike to look doubtful. Markets are pricing in a 92.4% chance of a 25 bps hike in July, CME FedWatch tool showed. Elsewhere, the spotlight will also be on the Bank of Canada's policy decision, with the central bank likely heading toward a second consecutive quarter-point interest rate hike.

Persons: Ankur Banerjee, it's, Muralikumar Organizations: Ankur, Federal, Reuters, ING, Microsoft, Activision, Sony, Bank of, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: Asia, Pacific, Japan, U.S, British, Spain, Portugal, Singapore

☆ Bank of Canada seen hiking rates quarter point to tame stubborn inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

In June, the central bank raised its overnight rate to a 22-year high of 4.75% after a five-month pause, saying monetary policy was not restrictive enough. Data in the past month showed some signs of a slowdown - inflation cooling to 3.4%, a tepid May jobs report and a surprise trade deficit in May. "We expect the BoC to take the policy rate 25 basis points higher to 5%." Twenty of 24 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the bank to lift rates by another quarter-point and then hold well into 2024. Reporting by Steve Scherer, additional reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by David GregorioOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Jay Zhao, Murray, Andrew Grantham, Steve Scherer, Fergal Smith, David Gregorio Our Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, BoC, Monex, Reuters, CIBC Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: Canada

OTTAWA, July 7 (Reuters) - Canada's economy added far more jobs than expected in June, data showed on Friday, a result analysts said probably seals the deal for another Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate hike next week. The unemployment rate in June increased for the second consecutive month and is now at its highest level since February 2022, though still below a pre-pandemic 12-month average, Statscan said. The June jobs report is the last major economic figure to be released before the BoC's rate announcement on Wednesday. Growth has remained resilient despite nine rate increases totaling 450 basis points since March of last year. The net jobs addition in June, the largest since January, were driven by full-time work.

Persons: Jobs, Statscan, Derek Holt, Royce Mendes, Ismail Shakil, Steve Scherer, Dale Smith, Emelia Sithole, Mark Porter Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, BoC, Statistics, Scotiabank, Desjardins Group, Reuters, Canadian, Employment, Thomson Locations: Statistics Canada, Ottawa

☆ Canada port strike may add to inflation concerns ahead of rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/3] A view shows placards as longshoremen with the International Longshore and Warehouse Union Canada (ILWU) strike outside the Port of Vancouver's Neptune Bulk Terminals in North Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada July 5, 2023. Some 7,500 dock workers went on strike on Saturday for higher wages, upending operations at two of Canada's three busiest ports, the Port of Vancouver and Port of Prince Rupert. Money markets expect the central bank to tighten further, possibly as soon as at a policy decision next Wednesday. The Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters (CM&E) industry body said the strike is disrupting C$500 million in trade every day. ($1 = 1.3360 Canadian dollars)Reporting by Fergal Smith, editing by Steve Scherer and Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Chris Helgren, Port of Prince Rupert, Andrew Grantham, Seamus O'Regan, It's, Robert Kavcic, Fergal Smith, Steve Scherer, Josie Kao Organizations: Warehouse Union, REUTERS, TORONTO, Bank of Canada, BoC, CIBC Capital Markets, Bank of, Reuters, Twitter, Canadian Manufacturers, BMO Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: of, North Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Port of Vancouver, Port of, Bank of Canada

☆ Bank of Canada to raise rates 25 basis points on July 12, possibly the last
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Milounee Purohit | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

So the BoC will press ahead and hike the overnight rate by 25 basis points to 5.00% on July 12, according to 20 of 24 economists in the June 28-July 6 Reuters poll. That would amount to 475 basis points in total since March 2022, taking the overnight rate to a new 22-year high. Inflation is not expected to fall to the central bank's 2% target at least until 2025, according to the poll. The central bank was predicted to keep rates on hold at 5.00% until Q2 2024, said a majority of economists. Rates staying high for longer is expected to boost the Canadian dollar, one of the best performers among G10 currencies this year.

Persons: Priscilla Thiagamoorthy, Claire Fan, Kit Juckes, Milounee Purohit, Vijayalakshmi Srinivasan, Ross Finley, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Bank of Canada, Reuters, BoC, BMO Capital Markets, Gross, RBC Economics, Canadian, U.S, Societe Generale, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU

☆ Factbox: Potential candidates as next chief of Australia's central bank
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SYDNEY, July 5 (Reuters) - The Australian government will announce this month whether it would reappoint Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe or replace him. * Michele Bullock, 60, became the first female Deputy Governor of the RBA when she was appointed in the role in April 2022. She studied economics at the University of New England and a masters from the London School of Economics. He studied economics at Sydney University, and completed a PhD in health economics at the Australian National University. He has PhD degrees in physiology from Cambridge University and in economics from the Australian National University.

Persons: Philip Lowe, Michele Bullock, Bullock, RBA, Steven Kennedy, Kennedy, Kevin Rudd, Julia Gillard, Jenny Wilkinson, David Gruen, Wilkinson, Gruen, Martin Parkinson, Guy Debelle, Fortescue, Australia's, Debelle, Andrew, Carolyn Wilkins, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: SYDNEY, Australian, Reserve Bank of Australia, University of New, London School of Economics, Treasury, Labor, Sydney University, Australian National University, government's Department of Finance, Parliamentary, ANU, Princeton, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Cambridge University, Macquarie University, Department of Prime, Adelaide University, Fortescue Future Industries, University of Adelaide, MIT, Bank of Canada, Thomson Locations: University of New England

☆ Canadian dollar edges higher as oil prices climb
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Summary Canadian dollar strengthens 0.2% against the greenbackPrice of U.S. oil increases 2%Canada manufacturing PMI dips to 48.8 in JuneCanadian bond yields rise across the curveTORONTO, July 4 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar strengthened against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday as oil prices rose and despite domestic data that showed factory activity slowing further in June. Speculators have slashed their bearish bets on the Canadian dollar, data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed on Friday. The price of oil , one of Canada's major exports, climbed 2% to $71.16 a barrel as markets weighed August supply cuts by top exporters Saudi Arabia and Russia against a weak global economic outlook. Contraction in Canada's manufacturing sector deepened slightly in June as an uncertain economic outlook weighed on both domestic and foreign demand. Canadian government bond yields were higher across the curve, with the 10-year up 6.4 basis points at 3.335%.

Persons: greenback Price, Fergal Smith, Josie Kao Organizations: greenback, Canadian, U.S, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading, P Global Canada Manufacturing, Bank of Canada, BoC, Thomson Locations: Canada, TORONTO, Saudi Arabia, Russia

☆ Canadian firms see labor market pressure easing, near-term inflation slowing
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

By Steve SchererOTTAWA, June 30 (Reuters) - Canadian businesses see labor pressures easing and expect short-term inflation to edge down, the Bank of Canada said on Friday in a second quarter survey, but fewer firms expect an outright recession over the next year than three months ago. More businesses still expect wage growth over the next year, but the second-quarter number is a third of what it was a year ago. An increasing number of firms see both their input costs and the prices of what they sell declining over the next year. "Although labor shortages remain common in some sectors, pressures on the labor market are easing due to decreased competition for workers and increased labor supply," the report said. "Firms expect growth in their wages to moderate from high levels."

Persons: Steve Scherer OTTAWA, Steve Scherer, Ismail Shakil Organizations: Bank of Canada, BoC, Thomson

☆ Canada's economy unchanged in April, but likely surged 0.4% in May
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

OTTAWA, June 30 (Reuters) - The Canadian economy was unchanged in April from March, missing forecasts, before likely rebounding with a 0.4% jump in real gross domestic product in May, Statistics Canada said on Friday. March GDP was upwardly revised to 0.1% growth from an initial report of flat growth. Canada's goods-producing sector expanded 0.1% in April, but were offset by a slight decline in the service-producing sector. The mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction sector and the utilities sector are expected to be post declines in May. Declines in wholesale trade as well as finance and insurance also contributed to the softness in the services sector.

Persons: Statscan, Ismail Shakil, Dale Smith Organizations: OTTAWA, Statistics, Reuters, Bank of Canada, Public Service Alliance of Canada, Thomson Locations: Statistics Canada, Ottawa

OTTAWA, June 30 (Reuters) - Canada's economy regained momentum in May after stalling in April, Statistics Canada data showed on Friday, leaving the door open for the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates in July. The economy was unchanged in April from March, missing forecasts, in what economists said was the fallout from a federal civil servant strike in April. Canada's goods-producing sector expanded 0.1% in April, but were offset by a slight decline in the service-producing sector. Figueiredo expects the central bank to raise interest rate by another 0.25% in July. Money markets see a roughly 61% chance of the central bank hiking rates in July.

Persons: Statscan, it's, Doug Porter, Desjardins, Tiago Figueiredo, Figueiredo, Ismail Shakil, Nivedita Balu, Dale Smith, Jonathan Oatis, Philippa Fletcher Organizations: OTTAWA, Statistics, Bank of Canada, Reuters, BMO Capital Markets, Public Service Alliance of Canada, Toronto Stock, Canadian, Thomson Locations: Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Toronto

The central bank is worried that the Canadian economy is running too hot for inflation to return to its 2% target and that if it waits to act, inflation expectations could rise, making matters worse. The central bank lifted its benchmark rate to a 22-year high of 4.75% this month and is expected to tighten further in July or September. A hard landing for the economy, or a recession, could raise unemployment, something the BoC has been hoping to avoid. "I'm not going to be betting against interest rates and I'm not going to be betting against policy lags." The data has left analysts pushing back their forecasts of a slowdown to later in 2023 or in 2024 but accompanied by higher than anticipated interest rates.

Persons: Karl Schamotta, David Rosenberg, I'm, Royce Mendes, Fergal Smith, Steve Scherer, Denny Thomas, Stephen Coates Organizations: TORONTO, Bank, Bank of Canada's, BoC, Bank of Canada, Rosenberg Research, Desjardins, Thomson Locations: United States, Data, Toronto, Ottawa

☆ Canadian dollar hits 2-week low as rate hike bets recede
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The loonie was trading 0.5% lower at 1.3250 to the greenback, or 75.47 U.S. cents, after touching its weakest intraday level since June 15 at 1.3276. "The market is losing confidence that the Bank of Canada will hike again next month," said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive. Money markets see a 55% chance of a rate hike at the Bank of Canada's next policy decision on July 12, down from 64% before data on Tuesday that showed inflation easing to its slowest pace in two years. "The Bank of Canada is going to see economic weakness developing in Canada." One potential measure of support for the loonie was a rebound in the price of oil, one of Canada's major exports.

Persons: Adam Button, Button, Jerome Powell, Fergal Smith, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: greenback, Canadian, U.S, Bank of Canada, Bank of, of Canada, U.S ., Thomson Locations: TORONTO, Bank of Canada, Bank of Canada's, Canada

☆ Canada annual inflation rate slows to 3.4% in May
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

OTTAWA, June 27 (Reuters) - Canada's annual inflation rate slowed to 3.4% in May on lower prices for gasoline as a result of the base-year effect, while mortgage interest costs remain high, Statistics Canada said on Tuesday. This was in line with what analysts polled by Reuters had expected, down from 4.4% in April. Percent changesMonth-on-month Year-on-yearMay Apr May AprCPI - all items +0.4 +0.7 +3.4 +4.4CPI - common n/a n/a +5.2 +5.7CPI - median n/a n/a +3.9 +4.3CPI - trim n/a n/a +3.8 +4.2Bank of Canada core +0.4 +0.5 +3.7 +4.1All items ex food/energy +0.4 +0.5 +4.0 +4.4Goods +0.1 +0.8 +2.1 +4.0Services +0.5 +0.5 +4.6 +4.8Energy -0.8 +3.4 -12.4 -4.2Seasonally adjusted +0.1 +0.5 n/a n/aCore CPI, SA +0.2 +0.5 n/a n/aNOTE: Analysts in a Reuters survey had on average forecast May CPI to be 3.4% annualized, and to be up 0.5% on the month. They also forecast Bank of Canada Core to be 3.9% year-on-year. (Reporting by Dale Smith; Editing by Ismail Shakil)((ismail.shakil@tr.com))Keywords: CANADA ECONOMY/INFLATIONOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Dale Smith, Ismail Shakil Organizations: OTTAWA, Statistics, Reuters, of Canada, CPI, SA, Canada, Thomson Locations: Statistics Canada

☆ Canada's inflation rate slows to 3.4% in May on cheaper gas
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

OTTAWA, June 27 (Reuters) - Canada's annual inflation rate slowed to 3.4% in May, matching expectations, driven by a drop in gasoline prices, while mortgage interest costs remained high, Statistics Canada data showed on Tuesday. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected annual inflation to drop to 3.4% from 4.4% in April. The annual rate, which benefited from a comparison to last May's strong price increases, is the slowest since June 2021 and broadly in line with the Bank of Canada's expectation that inflation would cool to around 3% by mid-2023. Grocery prices continued to surge, rising 9% year-over-year in May, nearly unchanged from the increases recorded in April. The average of two of the Bank of Canada's core measures of underlying inflation, CPI-median and CPI-trim, came in at 3.9% compared with 4.3% in April.

Persons: Statscan, Ismail Shakil, Dale Smith, Andrew Heavens Organizations: OTTAWA, Statistics, Reuters, Bank of, Energy, Thomson Locations: Statistics Canada, Ukraine, Ottawa

Variable rate mortgages in Canada typically require borrowers to make regular payments in fixed amounts. WHAT IS THE EXTENT OF MORTGAGE AMORTIZATION EXTENSION? Both banks had no variable-rate mortgages with amortizations greater than 30 years prior to the start of rate hikes. If interest rates stay high over the next few years, as the central bank has warned, it raises questions about customers' ability to service bigger than anticipated debt at higher rates during renewals. The big banks said most customers are able to cope with higher interest rates as they had passed a rigorous stress test to handle higher interest rates.

Persons: Royce Mendes, Carolyn Rogers, OSFI, Nivedita Balu, Fergal Smith, Steve Scherer, Denny Thomas, Conor Humphries Organizations: TORONTO, Statistics Canada, Royal Bank of Canada, CIBC, Bank of Nova, National Bank, Bank of Canada, BoC, Thomson Locations: Canada, United States, Bank of Nova Scotia, amortization, Toronto, Ottawa

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